The document summarizes the evolution of the Western paradigm regarding Abkhazia and its conflict with Georgia following the 2008 Russo-Georgian War. It discusses 3 phases - an initial reactive response to the crisis, a period of reassessment where the West acknowledged Russia as a party to the conflict, and a shift to a more proactive approach of "non-recognition and engagement." The goal of this new approach is to pursue engagement with Abkhazia in order to reduce its isolation while still upholding Georgia's territorial integrity and not recognizing Abkhazia's independence.
Presentation by Oleksandr Tytarchuk and Maksym Khylko delivered on behalf of the East European Security Research Initiative Foundation at the Fourth IOS Annual Conference “Breaking the Ice of Frozen Conflicts? Understanding Territorial Conflicts in East and Southeast Europe,” held by IOS Regensburg, Germany, on June 30 – July 2, 2016.
Greece-EU relations: hypocrisy in all its greatnessTakis Karagiannis
“Hypocrisy, Anti-Hypocrisy and International Order” project addresses the problem of the West’s policy of double standards and the criticism of the West’s own hypocrisy as an ideological basis for attacking the liberal order created by the West. It aims to formulate policy proposals for how Western governments should act and speak in a situation where the relative decline of Western powers will make it increasingly difficult for governments to practice idealistic politics; while, at the same time, non-Western policy actors work to delegitimize the current liberal order and to justify their own revisionism by escalating accusations about the hypocrisy of the West.
Presentation by Oleksandr Tytarchuk and Maksym Khylko delivered on behalf of the East European Security Research Initiative Foundation at the Fourth IOS Annual Conference “Breaking the Ice of Frozen Conflicts? Understanding Territorial Conflicts in East and Southeast Europe,” held by IOS Regensburg, Germany, on June 30 – July 2, 2016.
Greece-EU relations: hypocrisy in all its greatnessTakis Karagiannis
“Hypocrisy, Anti-Hypocrisy and International Order” project addresses the problem of the West’s policy of double standards and the criticism of the West’s own hypocrisy as an ideological basis for attacking the liberal order created by the West. It aims to formulate policy proposals for how Western governments should act and speak in a situation where the relative decline of Western powers will make it increasingly difficult for governments to practice idealistic politics; while, at the same time, non-Western policy actors work to delegitimize the current liberal order and to justify their own revisionism by escalating accusations about the hypocrisy of the West.
A Call to Realism: How the ukrainian Crisis Exposed the Weak EUBright Mhango
Despite being all that a state should be and more, the EU is still unable to effectively move past some foreign policy hurdles. The Ukrainian Crisis, which was sparked by the EU is an example of the weak EU foreign policy. This paper argues that the EU, due primarily to its structure, makes it vulnerable in times of crisis such as the Ukrainian Crisis. The paper suggests that the EU can become a better player, and a stronger one by becoming more like the United States, with member states’ maintaining sovereignty over many issues but with a united and centralized foreign policy and security front.
Economic Sanctions Imposed on Russia Ziad JaserZiad Jaser
Analytical Study of the Effectiveness of the economic sanctions imposed on Russia and the Soft-war waged by Western Powers against Russia over the Ukraine.
Soft-wares which involve economic sanctions, diplomatic measures and covert operations are waged to achieve political goals.The Soft-war has been intensified by Western Powers through imposing economic sanctions on Russia. Russia retaliated by increasing support to pro-Russian separatists thus escalating the conflict in southeastern Ukraine. The political stakes are very high for both parties of the conflict. It is very difficult to compel Russia at this level of sanctions to give up its annexation of Crimea and to abundant its interests in southeastern Ukraine. It will require stronger measures and more time for the sanctions to achieve the desired political outcome. Soft-wars like traditional wars are hard to predict their outcome and difficult to end once started. Compromise in the political demands or escalation of the Soft-war are the only options on the table, and hopefully the conflicting parties would not resort to the military option.
The Exercise of National Sovereignty by Jofi JosephJofi Joseph
Jofi Joseph assesses the nonproliferation approach of the Bush Administration through the prism of a national sovereignty-focused approach. Jofi published this piece for the Nonproliferation Review in their Winter 2004 issue.
Stress, Trauma, Mental Health and Ways of Intervention of Palestinians in the...CrimsonpublishersDIDD
In the following paper we tried to highlight the historical, socioeconomically, and political context of Palestinians living in the Occupied Territories. During the last two decades many historical and political events had occurred. From the first Intifada to Oslo agreement to Al Aqsa Intifada to factional fighting, and lastly the Gaza siege and war on Gaza on 2014. Political violence inflicted on Palestinians escalated day after day and oppression methods changed from time to time. In the following paper were are reviewing the prevalence rate of PTSD, anxiety, and depression due to stress and trauma. Lastly, we are discussing the common intervention programs conducted in the area to help children to overcome the consequences of trauma and other adversities.
A Call to Realism: How the ukrainian Crisis Exposed the Weak EUBright Mhango
Despite being all that a state should be and more, the EU is still unable to effectively move past some foreign policy hurdles. The Ukrainian Crisis, which was sparked by the EU is an example of the weak EU foreign policy. This paper argues that the EU, due primarily to its structure, makes it vulnerable in times of crisis such as the Ukrainian Crisis. The paper suggests that the EU can become a better player, and a stronger one by becoming more like the United States, with member states’ maintaining sovereignty over many issues but with a united and centralized foreign policy and security front.
Economic Sanctions Imposed on Russia Ziad JaserZiad Jaser
Analytical Study of the Effectiveness of the economic sanctions imposed on Russia and the Soft-war waged by Western Powers against Russia over the Ukraine.
Soft-wares which involve economic sanctions, diplomatic measures and covert operations are waged to achieve political goals.The Soft-war has been intensified by Western Powers through imposing economic sanctions on Russia. Russia retaliated by increasing support to pro-Russian separatists thus escalating the conflict in southeastern Ukraine. The political stakes are very high for both parties of the conflict. It is very difficult to compel Russia at this level of sanctions to give up its annexation of Crimea and to abundant its interests in southeastern Ukraine. It will require stronger measures and more time for the sanctions to achieve the desired political outcome. Soft-wars like traditional wars are hard to predict their outcome and difficult to end once started. Compromise in the political demands or escalation of the Soft-war are the only options on the table, and hopefully the conflicting parties would not resort to the military option.
The Exercise of National Sovereignty by Jofi JosephJofi Joseph
Jofi Joseph assesses the nonproliferation approach of the Bush Administration through the prism of a national sovereignty-focused approach. Jofi published this piece for the Nonproliferation Review in their Winter 2004 issue.
Stress, Trauma, Mental Health and Ways of Intervention of Palestinians in the...CrimsonpublishersDIDD
In the following paper we tried to highlight the historical, socioeconomically, and political context of Palestinians living in the Occupied Territories. During the last two decades many historical and political events had occurred. From the first Intifada to Oslo agreement to Al Aqsa Intifada to factional fighting, and lastly the Gaza siege and war on Gaza on 2014. Political violence inflicted on Palestinians escalated day after day and oppression methods changed from time to time. In the following paper were are reviewing the prevalence rate of PTSD, anxiety, and depression due to stress and trauma. Lastly, we are discussing the common intervention programs conducted in the area to help children to overcome the consequences of trauma and other adversities.
Abkhaz Capital is being formed at the invitation of the Republic of Abkhazia to assist in the privatization and development of the country's prime real estate and businesses. Abkhazia is a vacation paradise for Russians and sits just across the border from Sochi, Russia, the site of the 2014 Winter Olympics.
Russia and Europe in times of uncertainty. Conference ReportRussian Council
What is the trajectory of European-Russian relations, three years after the outbreak of conflict in Eastern Ukraine? At the fourth session of the German-Russian International Dialogue (GRID) on “Russia and Europe in Times of Uncertainty”, the participants discussed current developments in the relationship between Europe and Russia.
As part of the German-Russian International Dialogue, Russian and German politicians and experts come together twice a year to discuss questions of European security and EU-Russia relations in a confidential atmosphere. The aim is to enable a stable group of participants to continually share their experiences and to develop understandings about the perspectives for EU-Russia relations. Meetings alternate between Moscow and Berlin. The Körber Foundation runs the project together with the Russian International Affairs Council (RIAC).
Newsbud Exclusive – “From the Atlantic to the Pacific”: Vladimir Putin & the ...Chris Helweg
During the Beijing summit, Putin intentionally contrasted the positive prospects of Eurasian integrations “to promote steady development, increase citizens’ incomes and improve education and health care” with the instability, uncertainty, and unpredictability in other regions of the world, including the EU and the U.S. He stated that in the U.S. “an intense internal political struggle continues, creating a nervous atmosphere in both politics and the economy,” while in Europe,
Frozen Conflicts in the Post-Soviet Space and Problems on RussiaJeanmarieColbert3
Frozen Conflicts in the Post-Soviet Space and Problems on Russia’s Periphery
Hard Targets and Intelligence
Week 3
Duggleby
The Florida State University
1
Sovereignty?
2
Let’s address that sovereignty thing again
Only states deal with sovereignty and exercise authority over territory
States have “national interests,” which drive decision-making and policy
History, Culture and Religion play a major role within a state…
So does Nationalism, Patriotism and Pride!
The United States is the only remaining true super-power following the collapse of the Soviet Union
3
What is a ‘Frozen Conflict’?
Armed conflict has ended, but no peace treaty or political resolution has resolved the tensions to the satisfaction of the different sides(1)
Russia is responsible for ALL internationally recognized ‘frozen conflicts’ that began since the collapse of the Soviet Union in December 1991
Sovereign nations affected represent 1/3 of countries previously part of the USSR: (Ukraine, Moldova, Georgia, Azerbaijan, Armenia)
Russia’s response has been to send ‘peacekeepers’, but then remain in the region and ‘stoke the fire’
Moscow’s pretext and justification is the need to ‘protect’ its compatriots—ethnic Russians and Russian speakers (1)
It all begins innocently, with attempts to appeal to the geographically conflicted locals by citing common values, the Orthodox Church, culture
—leads to handing out Russian citizenship/passports(2)
Internal sovereignty is achieved, but external sovereignty is not—no international recognition.
The United States and NATO respects the sovereignty of all states affected
Agnia Grigas: Frozen Conflicts; A Took Kit for US Policymakers
Beyond Crimea, the new Russian empire
4
5
Frozen Conflicts
Ukraine and Moldova are restricting Russian military access to the breakaway territory of Transnistria, where Russia maintains about 1500 “peacekeepers”
6
Georgia Train and Equip Program (GTEP)
U.S. sponsored, 18-month, $64 million program aimed at increasing the capabilities of the Georgian Armed Forces and enhancing Georgia’s CT capabilities
Began in May, 2002, ultimately trained and equipped four 600-man Special Forces battalions (2 Brigades) with light weapons, vehicles and communications
Was US SOF lead in the beginning, shifting to the USMC and the British Army
GTEP ended in April 2004, but actually continued under the Georgia Sustainment and Stability Operations Program, preparing Georgian troops for operations in Iraq
3d largest troop contributor in Afghanistan in 2008. Georgia had its two U.S. trained brigades deployed at the time Russia invaded in August of that year. This was certainly a calculated strategic move by Putin
7
Georgia Frozen Conflicts
Ukraine and Moldova are restricting Russian military access to the breakaway territory of Transnistria, where Russia maintains about 1500 “peacekeepers”
8
9
10
11
Hybrid Warfare
Hybrid warfare is a military st ...
Reshetnikov M.M. The modern world - psycho-political analysis: what attracts young people to terrorist
organizations and groups? // Oxford University Press: J. Social Problems, Issue 4(2), Vol. 64 - 2017. - P. 1132 - 1153
The world hybrid war: Ukrainian forefront. Volodymyr HorbulinDonbassFullAccess
In this multi-authored monograph the scholars of the National Institute for Strategic Studies of Ukraine present an unprecedented study of the phenomenon of the world hybrid war, which manifested itself in the Russian aggression against Ukraine. The nature of the hybrid war was analyzed in the context of the global security crisis and was studied as a new type of global confrontation. This monograph is a complex analysis of the causes and preconditions of the Russian aggression against Ukraine with respect to the strategic purposes and special aspects of conduct in various dimensions including military, political, economic, social, humanitarian, and informational. This monograph also presents research of the local success of our country in resisting the hostile plans of the Russian Federation in certain areas. The conclusion reached by this study is that Ukraine is capable of fighting against an aggressor for her sovereignty. The reformation of international security institutions and attainment of balance of power in the new hybrid reality are also addressed in the monograph. This book is meant for politicians, political analysts, senior government officials and scientists in the field of security studies. The research results would also be interesting for academia, representatives of civil society, as well as patriotic and responsible citizens.
Students, digital devices and success - Andreas Schleicher - 27 May 2024..pptxEduSkills OECD
Andreas Schleicher presents at the OECD webinar ‘Digital devices in schools: detrimental distraction or secret to success?’ on 27 May 2024. The presentation was based on findings from PISA 2022 results and the webinar helped launch the PISA in Focus ‘Managing screen time: How to protect and equip students against distraction’ https://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/education/managing-screen-time_7c225af4-en and the OECD Education Policy Perspective ‘Students, digital devices and success’ can be found here - https://oe.cd/il/5yV
The Art Pastor's Guide to Sabbath | Steve ThomasonSteve Thomason
What is the purpose of the Sabbath Law in the Torah. It is interesting to compare how the context of the law shifts from Exodus to Deuteronomy. Who gets to rest, and why?
Welcome to TechSoup New Member Orientation and Q&A (May 2024).pdfTechSoup
In this webinar you will learn how your organization can access TechSoup's wide variety of product discount and donation programs. From hardware to software, we'll give you a tour of the tools available to help your nonprofit with productivity, collaboration, financial management, donor tracking, security, and more.
Read| The latest issue of The Challenger is here! We are thrilled to announce that our school paper has qualified for the NATIONAL SCHOOLS PRESS CONFERENCE (NSPC) 2024. Thank you for your unwavering support and trust. Dive into the stories that made us stand out!
How to Create Map Views in the Odoo 17 ERPCeline George
The map views are useful for providing a geographical representation of data. They allow users to visualize and analyze the data in a more intuitive manner.
2024.06.01 Introducing a competency framework for languag learning materials ...Sandy Millin
http://sandymillin.wordpress.com/iateflwebinar2024
Published classroom materials form the basis of syllabuses, drive teacher professional development, and have a potentially huge influence on learners, teachers and education systems. All teachers also create their own materials, whether a few sentences on a blackboard, a highly-structured fully-realised online course, or anything in between. Despite this, the knowledge and skills needed to create effective language learning materials are rarely part of teacher training, and are mostly learnt by trial and error.
Knowledge and skills frameworks, generally called competency frameworks, for ELT teachers, trainers and managers have existed for a few years now. However, until I created one for my MA dissertation, there wasn’t one drawing together what we need to know and do to be able to effectively produce language learning materials.
This webinar will introduce you to my framework, highlighting the key competencies I identified from my research. It will also show how anybody involved in language teaching (any language, not just English!), teacher training, managing schools or developing language learning materials can benefit from using the framework.
How to Split Bills in the Odoo 17 POS ModuleCeline George
Bills have a main role in point of sale procedure. It will help to track sales, handling payments and giving receipts to customers. Bill splitting also has an important role in POS. For example, If some friends come together for dinner and if they want to divide the bill then it is possible by POS bill splitting. This slide will show how to split bills in odoo 17 POS.
This is a presentation by Dada Robert in a Your Skill Boost masterclass organised by the Excellence Foundation for South Sudan (EFSS) on Saturday, the 25th and Sunday, the 26th of May 2024.
He discussed the concept of quality improvement, emphasizing its applicability to various aspects of life, including personal, project, and program improvements. He defined quality as doing the right thing at the right time in the right way to achieve the best possible results and discussed the concept of the "gap" between what we know and what we do, and how this gap represents the areas we need to improve. He explained the scientific approach to quality improvement, which involves systematic performance analysis, testing and learning, and implementing change ideas. He also highlighted the importance of client focus and a team approach to quality improvement.
3. “New” Western Vision – evolution and characteristics
Western paradigm evolved over time from in a way reactive/responsive, to re-assessing and then
pro-active.
Firstly, the West,which could not preempt the mounting crisis had to face the drama and (re)act
accordingly. It was caught by the urgency to extinguish fire and broker emergency peace at first.
Both US Administration and Brussels were sharp in statements aimed to stop Russian military
intervention. Some European leaders, never minding the risks, flew to Tbilisi to show their
support. The US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice paid a visit. Soon the US warship anchored
in Poti to symbolize American support. But it was the EU and its French presidency who took a
political lead rather quickly and brokered the six point agreement that served its immediate
purpose – ceasefire.
The EU was also quick to activate its ESDP civilian mission – the EUMM with then 200
observers mandated to “monitor compliance by all sides with the EU brokered Six-Point
Agreement of 12 August, signed by both Georgia and Russia, and the Agreement on
Implementing Measures of 8 September 2008.”3 Yet the Mission up to now faces what is often
referred to as “unilateral constructivism” to describe Georgia‟s one-sided compliance to
respective commitments. While Russian signatory refuses to adhere to the agreement, withdraw
troops, restore the pre-crisis status quo, Abkhaz and Russian sides deny Monitors‟ access to the
conflict zone, the EUMM remains only a half-fledged instrument.
Secondly, the reaction of the West followed the Russian decision on „recognition‟ of Georgia‟s
breakaway regions. The individual and collective responses of international community, those of
Washington, EU institutions and individual members states, NATO, OSCE, Foreign Ministers of
the G7, some of the CIS countries, UN, may have differed in toning and sharpness,4 all fine-
tuned to condemn the decision, reaffirm resolute support and respect for Georgia‟s
independence, sovereignty and territorial integrity.
Thirdly, the reaction was on the collapse of all previous formats of talks. With the aim to
somehow diffuse extreme polarization and transfer the process to negotiation table,
internationally sponsored Geneva talks were kicked off with the EU, UN and OSCE co-hosting
Georgia, Russia and US as participants, ensuring representation of Abkhazian and South
Ossetian authorities. The format was foreseen by the same 8 September agreement on
“implementation measures” that gave a start to EUMM and in general meant to flesh out six-
point agreement. Significant by its own virtue as the only platform for discussions, some may
observe more political drama at all 14 uneasy meeting rounds (so far) than effective
consideration of crucial security and humanitarian issues on agenda, including that on IDPs and
3
EUMM official website, http://www.eumm.eu/en/about_eumm
4
for instance president Bush called it “an irresponsible decision”, in West condemns Russia over Georgia, BBC
News, 26 August, 2008, available at: http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/7583164.stm
3
4. refugees. The different perceptions of roles, status and the purpose of Geneva talks hampers
getting down to concrete issues and even squeezes solutions out of its format. Georgia‟s
unilateral pledge on non-use of force, that was largely hailed internationally, is perhaps an
important example on that.5
Fourthly, the reaction was on huge physical damage that Georgia had encountered as a result of
Russian aggression and occupation in terms of its curbed economy, harmed investment climate,
looted infrastructure and urging humanitarian needs following anew exodus of tens of thousands
of ethnic Georgians from conflict zones. Donor conference in October 2008 pledged handful 4.5
billion USD for Georgia (including loans and credits) that came as significant support especially
on the eve of mounting financial crisis.
Then the West shifted from reaction mode to analysis of situation and „new realities‟ in order to
“reassess, readjust and reinforce” the positions of international community, as the Independent
International Fact Finding Mission on the Conflict in Georgia, (the so called “Tagliavini report”)
formulates.
One of the major shifts in Western vision related to the context and the dimension of the
conflicts. Russia practically unveiled itself as a party to the conflicts. This was no novelty in
Georgian perceptions.6 Quite long before August 2008 Tbilisi considered Moscow as interested
actor and biased broker, giving an account to troublesome record of Russian Georgian relations
curiously paralleled with ebbs and flows in peace process for nearly two decades.
Now the West accepted it directly or implicitly. Georgia‟s conflicts get linked to or are viewed as
part of Russian-Georgian controversy, with a consideration of even greater geopolitical terrain.
In his statement on 17 January 2011 Peter Semneby, the EU Special Representative for the South
Caucasus, suggested to view “different levels of conflicts – inter-state and intra-state both of
which have to be addressed if any conflict resolution efforts are ultimately going to be
successful”.7
The multi-layered nature of the conflict was also spelled out in “Tagliavini report,” which reads
the following:8
5
voiced by president Saakashvili in front of European parliament on 23 November and earlier enshrined in State
Strategy on Occupied Territories: Engagement through Cooperation, the Preamble of which reads: “ Georgia seeks
to achieve these objectives only through peaceful means and diplomatic efforts, and rejects the pursuit of a military
solution”, available at: http://www.smr.gov.ge/uploads/file/SMR-Strategy-en.pdf
6
See Archil Gegeshidze, “The August Events: Background Factors of the Crisis, Causes and Prospects of
Elimination,” in Crisis in Georgia 2008: Preconditions, Reality, Perspectives, 2009, available at:
http://fes.ge/de/images/Fes_Files/09_GeoP/crisis%202008%20in%20georgia_final.pdf
7
Peter Semneby speech in front of National assembly of Council of Europe in Paris, 17 January 2011, “on
perspectives of engagement, dialogue and cooperation to address the consequences of the war between Russia and
Georgia: a forward looking approach”
8
Independent International Fact Finding Mission on the Conflict in Georgia, Volume II, p. 33; available at:
http://www.ceiig.ch/
4
5. - The unresolved relationship between Georgian authorities and the minorities living within its
borders;
- The strained and ambiguous relationship between Georgia and its powerful northern neighbour,
the Russian Federation;
- The geo-strategic interests of major international players, both regional and non-regional,
competing for political influence, access to energy supplies and other strategic assets.”
The last point acknowledges the wider-reaching consequences of this conflict. The West was
loudly challenged shortly in the aftermath of the crisis. Moscow did not shy away from
international condemnations for aggression and instead, quickly put forward “new principles” of
world order. Russia attempted to mark the „red lines‟ around the areas of “privileged interests.”9
The West deemed “new dividing lines in Europe”10 unacceptable and condemned Russia‟s
“claim to…special rights of interference into the internal or external affairs of other countries”,
which is in turn is, “irreconcilable with international law”11. Western community also read the
spirit for retaliation for Kosovo that was imminent in the statements on “humanitarian
justification” for intervention by Russian leaders, heavily compromised with their ill-famed
record in Chechnya. Yet not assumptions but investigation of facts guided international fact
finding mission to conclude in its report that “humanitarian intervention” of Russia is not
recognized at all.”12
The same report spells out a few major observations that shape the Western paradigm,
particularly on its non-recognition component, that finds itself well footed in international law.13
“international law does not recognize a right to unilaterally create a new state based on the
principle of self-determination outside the colonial context and apartheid. An extraordinary
acceptance to secede under extreme conditions such as genocide” was not found grounded.
More, “consequently, several elements suggest the conclusion that ethnic cleansing was indeed
practiced against ethnic Georgians in South Ossetia both during and after the August 2008
conflict.” The Abkhaz/Russian forcible seizure of Georgian-administered Upper Kodori valley
and following flow of ethnic Georgians comes also „under scrutiny‟ of this report and finds this
action illegal as breaching international law and concrete agreements.14
9
New Russian World Order: the Five Principles, BBC News, 1 September, 2008, available at:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/7591610.stm
10
Ferrero Walder quoted in BBC News on “EU‟s Show of Unity Over Georgia”, 1 Septemberm 2008, available at:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/7592972.stm
11
“Tagliavini Report”, op. cit., Volume II, p. 7
12
“Tagliavini report”, Volume II, p. 24
13
For further reading please refer to John Dugard and Daviod Raič, “The role of recognition in trhe law and practice
of secession”, in “Secession”, Marcelo G. Kohen (Ed.), Cambridge University Press, 2006, pp. 94-110
14
“Tagliavini report”, op.cit. Paragraph 17 and paragraph 24 in particular
5
6. What comes here as most compromising aspect of secessionist claims in Georgia, is artificial
demographic engineering in favor of preferred ethnic groups on expense of cleansing or
discrimination of others that downs any „legal‟ or „humanitarian‟ clout for the claim within
international law. And indeed, this is even a more serious challenge in Abkhazia case. The most
recent information on the decision of the so called Abkhaz-Russian joint commission to ban the
Russian citizens of Georgian origin from property disputes in January 2011 adds gravity to the
difficult point as it can only be perceived as, softly terming, clear ethnic discrimination (Russian
commentator of Radio “Echo Moskvi” Mathvei Ganatpolsni goes much sharper in his
assessment).15
Based on the observations and assessment, the West shifted to pro-active mode, trying to address
those different layers of conflicts with consideration of „new realities‟;
On interstate levels, the US and the EU approaches (to Russia and to Georgia) largely resemble
despite some differences as briefly outlined below. Both pledge firm support to Georgia‟s
sovereignty and territorial integrity, which translates into the policy of “non-recognition.” Both
condemn Russia‟s decision and action on Georgia. In parallel, both Obama administration and
post-Lisbon Brussels pressed „reset‟ buttons in relations with Moscow to bring the spiraling out
tensions back to peaceful orbit by capitalizing on mutually beneficial cooperation. The EU
foreign policy is more flexible in its perception of “multipolarity” of international system,
(enshrined in EU security strategy from 2003).16 More, particular EU states have a long
experience of building „workable to friendly‟ relations with Russia based on mutually beneficial
cooperation (mostly in the field of energy). Therefore, that is no brand new development here.
From the US administration the move was more a big-time gesture. Russia‟s invitation to NATO
Lisbon Summit and suggestion for a „fresh start‟ was a part of that.17 But, importantly, the core
principles and positions are not sacrificed. Having all that in place, however, the sides „agree to
disagree‟ on Georgia (and conflicts in Georgia accordingly), where positions are not and cannot
be compromised.
Furthermore, the US and Georgia have concluded the Charter on Strategic Partnership,18 that
gets eventually substantiated. The White House, perhaps not as lauded as under Republican
administration but in very consistent and deliberate way pursues its policy of unwavering support
15
Matvei Ganapol’ski “Nevozmozhnoe proizoshlo: Rossija I Abkhazia official’no vveli fashizm”,14 January, 2011,
available at: http://echo.msk.ru/blog/ganapolsky/741745-echo/page/3.html
16
A Secure Europe in a Better World, European Security Strategy, Brussels, 12 December, 2003. Available at:
http://www.consilium.europa.eu/uedocs/cmsUpload/78367.pdf
17
Nato and Russia promise a fresh start at Lisbon Summit, BBC News, 20 November, 2010
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-11799097
18
The US – Georgia Charter on Strategic Partnership, available at: http://www.america.gov/st/texttrans-
english/2009/January/20090109145313eaifas0.2139093.html
6
7. for Georgia‟s sovereignty and territorial integrity. Along with reminding Russia of its
international obligations and being firm on „non-recognition‟, the US State Secretary has used
term “occupation” in relation with Georgian breakaway regions, that is an important diplomatic
signal. (Notably, attribution of term also implies the acknowledgement of responsibilities of
occupier as delineated in international law).
The Europeans are traditionally more cautious and delicate with wording, but here also the term
“occupation”19 and “occupied territories”20 have been applied and voiced lately by different
institutions. The position on non-recognition and respect for Georgia‟s independence,
sovereignty and territorial integrity is explicit at all official levels. Meanwhile, the partnership
between the EU and Georgia also significantly advanced since 2008. The negotiations on
„Association Agreement‟ started in July 2010 and some tangible moves to easing mobility and
upgrading trade relations were made. This format of cooperation promises Georgia closer
political and economic cooperation with the EU with prospects of visa liberalization and Deep
and Comprehensive Free Trade agreement among others in future.
With the „internationalization‟ of conflict and changed constellations on ground the Georgian-
Abkhaz dimension got somewhat feeble. The international projects aimed at confidence building
and bettering off the lives of people still continue, yet implementation factually got curtailed by
„new realities‟ on ground. With no political breakthrough achieved or expected in near future
and considering increasing Russian dominance over the region(s), the West tries to forge the
engagement strategy that would be detached from deadlocked political process but not infringe
the international commitments.
“Non-Recognition and Engagement” and prospects for Abkhazia‟s de-isolation
In search of workable pro-active approach, the Western community came up with the concept of
“Non-Recognition and Engagement” that combines the two principles with the aim to „de-
isolate‟ Abkhazia. Before getting into the scrutiny of this concept, a few factors have to be kept
in mind.
Firstly, even if in Abkhaz perceptions Moscow is seen as the strategic partner and the “only”
access to the outside world, (continuously ignoring Tbilisi as alternative), what we discussed
here as “isolation” is in fact the current status quo of being exposed to Russia exclusively.
Secondly, when we discuss below the Western paradigm on non-recognition and engagement,
we largely attribute it to the EU due to a matter that the US has always been less engaged on
19
European Parliament resolution of 20 January 2011 on an EU Strategy for the Black Sea (2010/2087(INI))
http://www.europarl.europa.eu/sides/getDoc.do?pubRef=-//EP//TEXT+TA+P7-TA-2011-
0025+0+DOC+XML+V0//EN&language=EN
20
Stephan Fule, speaking of situation in occupied territories at the meeting with Georgian delegation in December,
2010, EU- Georgia Talks in Brussels, 8 December, 2010, available at: http://civil.ge/eng/article.php?id=22941
7
8. ground on the one hand and on the other, the administration articulates its own position
differently.21
Thirdly, while stressing the EU as a major actor with non-recognition and engagement agenda,
there will be two other documents briefly discussed, as the EU strategy is still in making and not
yet substantiated to discuss in detail. Hence, having a look at the two other documents shall help
to somewhat visualize the EU concept and ponder what are legal, practical or other opportunities
and challenges inbuilt.
In January 2010, the Georgian government has publicized the “State strategy on occupied
territories: Engagement through Cooperation.”22 The document has been worked out in close
cooperation and consultancy with the Western experts and institutions, especially with the EU
special representative‟s office,23 local independent experts and representatives of international
organizations. The strategy has been hailed in Western community, including in the EU as a step
forward promoting many constructive proposals in line with EU‟s non-recognition and
engagement approach, aimed at “reaching out the populations.”24 The western community
approved the Georgian understanding of sovereignty not as mere control over territory but as
responsibility for the peoples leaving there. Beyond „good-will‟ considerations, the strategy
reflects on recognition of the need to do more beyond “strategic patience” if that would imply
doing nothing but waiting and thus leaving the region „isolated‟ to get completely swamped by
Russia.
Several policy areas for cooperation have been identified such as economy, infrastructure, human
rights, healthcare and education, freedom of movement, free flow of information, cultural
heritage and identity. The Action Plan25 that followed a half a year later, laid out practical
mechanisms for its implementation. The four dimensions of work have been singled out and
seven instruments elaborated for that purposes. The Action Plan also emphasizes the engagement
with the “populations, to reduce their isolation and to improve their welfare, in the interest of
human and regional security”. This paper does not give a detailed account of the document.
However, it is noteworthy, that behind state official wording, that distracts Abkhaz (and
Ossetian) sides, it suggests a number of flexible ideas for consideration.
Simultaneously to Georgian initiatives Political and Security Committee of the EU Council
approved two internal documents on Georgia initiated by Peter Semneby (In December 2009),
one of them on non-recognition and engagement policy towards the conflict zones in Georgia.
The documents are not disclosed to public, yet following statements of the EU officials as well
as coincidence in timing, spelling and European actors behind of Georgian state strategy suggests
21
For official account of US assessment see draft of resolution on Georgia initiated in U.S. Senate, 10 Decemberm
2010, available at: http://www.civil.ge/eng/article.php?id=22951&search=US engagement Abkhazia
22
http://www.smr.gov.ge/uploads/file/SMR-Strategy-en.pdf
23
Peter Semneby speech on 17 January, where he indicted on close cooperation and providing the input to the
strategy and the action plan of the Georgian government.
24
Cathrin Ashton, 8 July, 2010 http://www.mfa.gov.ge/index.php?lang_id=ENG&sec_id=30&info_id=12315
25
Action Plan for Engagement (in English), available at: http://www.civil.ge/files/files/AP-en.pdf
8
9. an assumption on a high level of coordination and convergence between the documents in
essence, if not wrapping.
On the top of it, in May 2010 two American experts Alexander Cooley and Lincoln A. Mitchell
put forward the similar concept for Abkhazia and “Eurasia‟s unrecognized states” called
“Engagement without recognition,” yet this is an academic endeavor only (and not the policy).
The concept with slightly different name suggests similar vision for the US and the EU policies
to combine the elements of non-recognition and engagement. (the updated version published in
October, 2010).26
The concept bases on acknowledgement of conflict having minor chances for resolution in short
and medium future. Hence, further the West remains inactive, more Abkhazia gets absorbed by
Russia, rejecting Tbilisi as alternative. For strategic and humanitarian reasons, the authors
suggest it is time for the West to act and carve out certain openings for local communities in
conflict zones to interact with Euro-Atlantic space and have a grasp of what western values,
western life-style stand for. While non-recognition is secured, the concept suggests engagement
as the way to gradually increase the chances for conflict resolution. In fact authors consider
concept as the “the only way to preserve hope for unified Georgia” despite anticipating Georgian
resistance on that. The logic is following: the policy shall be kicked off without preconditions
(which, as authors assume, will displease Georgian side) and at point when Abkhazia finds the
West as real alternative to Russian dependence, “over medium term, … the nature and degree of
contacts could be adjusted or even explicitly tied to an actual status process or certain
reconciliation initiatives with Georgia.”27
The concept provisions ease of movement for people living in Abkhazia, study opportunities for
them abroad, diversified economic links with Black Sea region and beyond, including tourism,
financial and civil society contacts in Europe and the US. The paper anticipates and covers many
collisions with the law, though calls for searching creative solutions without broaching political
status or breaching non-recognition plea.
One has to note that according to the EU interlocutors, this concept emerged completely
independently from that of the EU.28
The EU Non-Recognition and Engagement
Whilst the official strategy is still absent and Special Representative takes a lead on that.
Notably, the position of the latter will be scraped soon29 by the decision of the EU High
Representative on Foreign Affairs and Security Policy, Catharine Ashton in favor of streamlining
26
Alexander Cooley and Lincoln L. Mitchel, Engagement without Recognition: A New Strategy toward Abkhazia
and Eurasia‟s Unrecognized States, The Washington Quarterly • 33:4, October 2010, pp. 59-73
27
Alexander Cooley.., op cited. p. 69
28
interviews conducted by the author with the EU interlocutors
29
As of 12 February, 2011
9
10. Brussels‟ multi-faced presence. Hence, one cannot definitely argue when, how and by whom (if)
the concept with be brought forward. But, for already a while, there seems a lot of thinking
behind from official, academic or expert circles. In December, 2010 the brainstorming seminar
on “Non-recognition and engagement: the EU‟s policy towards Abkhazia and South Ossetia”
invited around 70 international experts to European Union Institute for Strategic Studies, co-
hosted by EU Special Representative, to discuss political and legal, economic, societal and
finally practical parameters of the policy. As the meeting was conducted under “Chatham
House” rules, the record is not released. However, reportedly beyond the major visions there
were quite divergent opinions on certain practical aspects .30 Perhaps not all but some of those
ideas may find their way in what the EU continues to tailor as its strategy. Peter Semneby
himself shed some light on what the concept implies, what are considerations and motivations in
his speech on 17 January, 2011.31
Firstly, the EU is concerned with fragility of peace as well as security conditions on ground.
“The EU cannot afford white spots or black holes on the map of its immediate neighborhood” as
the statement stipulates. The non-transparent enclaves happen to be potential heaven for great
deal of smuggling, trafficking and corruption that indeed tweaks EU‟s security agenda.
Secondly, the EU‟s political interests are concerned. In its reading of current situation, the EU
realizes the “separatist regions” get even closer to and more dependent on Russia, thus further
drifted away from Georgia. The statement is quite straightforward on that “by engaging with the
separatist regions of Abkhazia and South Ossetia…the EU can open up these territories, increase
its footprint and leverage, provide alternative perspective to predominant Russian one, and
ultimately, move closer towards a resolution of the conflicts.” Here, the EU acknowledges
difficulty of political process and is concerned that beyond Geneva talks, which serces as
primary contact point for sides, there is little contact between them. By promoting European
values and strengthening European „identity‟ on both sides of boundary line, the EU hopes to
bring closer the conflict-split societies, their way of thinking, their interests and thus increase
prospects of interaction, restored trust and cooperation.
Here also, engagement and dialogue like in the EU‟s grand strategy of „engagement‟ towards
Russia, is provisioned as effective “soft power” to achieve “sustainable solutions”, given that
engagement is accepted and understood from all sides.
The statement describes its two twin pillars Non-recognition and Engagement as „not thinkable‟
without each other and as only tandem where political and legal space for relations could be
found.
Legal and Practical Constraints
30
Interviews with some participants of the gathering
31
Peter Semneby speech in front of National assembly of Council of Europe in Paris, 17 January 2011, “on
perspectives of engagement, dialogue and cooperation to address the consequences of the war between Russia and
Georgia: a forward looking approach”
10
11. Yet, given the variety of opportunities the engagement concept may offer, there is a tight edge to
hold a balance between the two pillars and avoid legal collisions with the international law.
Some practical implications, such as the issue of travel documents for the residents of Abkhazia
may well float up as such a constraint. If engagement policy is enacted, it remains murky which
documents they can use, when legal Georgian passports are neglected, de facto internal passports
unrecognized, illegal Russian passports not allowed and idea of „laissez-passer‟ is still in talks
(neutral documents are initiated by Georgian side and discussed currently with internationals yet
with unclear acceptability prognosis from Abkhaz/Russian side). Hence, it is difficult to operate
within one pillar not infringing the other.
The positions of the parties to the conflict could create additional constraints. In general the
concept is acceptable for two major actors, Georgians and Abkhazians yet in their own
preferential configuration, that can be mutually unacceptable.
Abkhazian side would welcome the EU‟s direct engagement that indeed would result in positive
humanitarian development on ground. People would gain more opportunities to improve their
lives and it is difficult to neglect. However, there are high chances that all direct interactions
under EU engagement policy, unless coordinated with Tbilisi, will be portrayed as de facto
recognition by political elites or communities, generating a hope of a “creeping
recognition.”After Moscow‟s failed efforts to earn the backup for its decision internationally,
including from its hoped allies in the neighborhood, Abkhazia found itself in somewhat an
awkward club of the three: Latin America‟s anti-US Nicaragua and Venezuela entering in
ambiguous economic and military deals with Russia in exchange to recognition and the far away
Pacific Island of Nauru, which with high probability would be as little considerate of the whole
Black Sea region as vice versa. Therefore, the current „status quo‟ may be perceived as far from
desirable. In turn, attempts to portray western engagement as linked to prospects of recognition
may create false expectations from Abkhaz side and frustration from Georgian side, thus
disappoint both and possibly further deepen the dividing lines.
The Georgian side is exactly concerned with the possibilities described above given the EU‟s
direct engagement on ground. These concerns are related to not only the way of interpretation by
Abkhaz side, but actual „endeavors‟ of Abkhaz side to transform this policy over time in de facto
recognition with Russia‟s helping hand in that. More if not preconditioned, Tbilisi fears it‟s
flexibility may cost it the full ignorance of own interests either on political, security or
humanitarian scenery as Abkhaz are not and may become less and less interested to respond to
Tbilisi at all. Some suggest that these concerns are reflected in the modalities for the activities on
the occupied territories, dating 15 October, 2010 which are perfectly in line with domestic and
international law but somewhat squeeze the space of international engagement under given
conditions.. However, Tbilisi is interested in international engagement, and more so with the EU
performance, if it is bonded to the State Strategy on engagement through cooperation and that
would enable Tbilisi to offer powerful incentives to Abkhazians, at least for future cooperation.
The Russian side would not necessarily welcome the EU engagement, at least not to the degree
that would compromise its dominance. This may entail the whole range of areas that shall come
tabooed, starting from physical engagement on ground, such as EU representation that may
11
12. observe or bind its heavily upgraded military presence/activities in any way, to economic
exchange if coming at odds with its own interests. If the EU engagement is allowed anyway, then
firstly, not to the extent that the EU seeks with its political declarations (provide effective
alternative for Russian dimension) and secondly, with intention to use this for diplomatic face-
saving and press for de facto and de jure recognition.
Finally, given the delicacy of the matter, it may be difficult to yield support of all 27 EU
members with different experiences and perceptions of risks in this situation. Hence, the policy
concept needs to be fleshed in by delicate substance which may be a constraint in itself.
Prospects of Engagement with Non Recognition
In line with the spirit of engagement policy, that dominates the current western paradigm at
large, (not only in connection with conflicts in Georgia), certain prospects are looming if built
upon dialogue around mutual interests.
One shall note that it is unrealistic as of now to assume that the EU will circumvent Tbilisi and
Georgian side‟s consent on its non-recognition and engagement strategy for Abkhazia or South
Ossetia, firstly due to its commitments to Georgia‟s sovereignty and secondly, due to its
commitments to Georgia as to important partner with upgrading individual cooperation. Neither
it is likely that policy works if Abkhazians or Russians abstain at large.
Thus, the EU may ultimately seek compromise solutions. Yet, the political stances and political
projects of the sides diverge so dramatically for this moment that there is factually no room for
compromise solutions. Therefore the EU may need to try to drift the parties from political agenda
to pragmatic interests with the latter higher on the list of current preferences and then see where
the points converge. Hence, by capitalizing on the pragmatic rationale, the sides may overcome
the constraints.
Firstly the EU is acceptable international actor more or less for all sides to perform the role.
The Abkhaz side, with no looming prospects to earn its recognition, would have genuine interest
for EU engagement with human-centric considerations in mind, that would create additional
opportunities for people. This may also help to solve a strategic task of at least partially
alleviating Russia‟s exclusive influence over virtually all fields of life. As euphoria passed, the
Abkhazian side may have recognized anew challenges and serious concerns for its
„independence project‟ and its identity at large, stemming from Russian recognition,
„legalization‟ of Russian-Abkhazian interactions and hastily concluded multi-year agreements. 32
Even for Russia, the EU engagement may not be that „traumatic‟ or irritating. The EU was never
perceived as „real‟ threat (unlike NATO or the US), due to the way Moscow appreciates the
32
Alexander Cooley and Lincoln A. Mitchell, Engagement Without Recognition: A New Strategy Toward Abkhazia
and Eurasia‟s Unrecognized States, in The Washington Quarterly, October 2010. pp. 65-66
12
13. capacities of “soft” and “hard” powers evoking its rather different interpretations to what the EU
and NATO respectively are about. Russian side may ultimately even be interested to engage the
EU in tackling some of the aspects of breakaway‟s social, economic and humanitarian life, to lift
a burden off its own budget.
The Georgian side perceives the integration with the EU as the main foreign policy priority and
would indeed accept the EU engagement on ground. More, it would need the EU engagement in
order to save conflict resolution prospects and compensate its de facto dysfunctionality in areas
with fragile humanitarian and security terrain. If the policy is „preconditioned‟ or bound up
smartly to accommodate some vital pragmatic interests and mitigate fundamental concerns, then
it may function well. In this scheme, the non-recognition and engagement policy may be either
directly linked or go in parallel (or be time-framed in stages, etc.) with confidence building and
inter-communal initiatives sought by Georgian side (meaning initiatives promoted not only by
Georgian government but also by Georgian civil/business sector) It also may reflect on progress
in selected crucial security or humanitarian issues (which sometimes Geneva talks fail to address
due to its over-politicization). Combination of efforts with implementation of State Strategy also
might carve some solutions. The best way perhaps would be to shoot out the commonly
consulted strategy from the very beginning that could have been consulted with other parties
through EU brokering. If the policy has to work however similar efforts may need to be triedpost
factum despite additional hindrances to overcome.
The legal constraints may be defused by creative approaches based on mutual pragmatic interests
and compromises that may increase flexibility of actions indeed without breaching the key
international principles.
Instead of Conclusion
As one collects and reads through the statements of the EU officials, could assume that the
scenario is likely to evolve through cooperation and compromise-actions.
In summer the EU High Representative on Foreign Affairs, Catharine Ashton pledged to
“contribute to” Georgia‟s efforts through state strategy “in line with its non-recognition and
engagement policy” and fully backed “the approach based on confidence building and
facilitation of people to people contacts as well as freedom of movement.”33 In December 2010,
Enlargement Commissioner Stephan Fule confirmed the EU commitment to non-recognition and
engagement policy and in this light voiced that together with Georgian delegation he “went
through the very concrete list of the events on how to work together on implementing the
Georgian strategy on engaging these two breakaway territories.”34
33
ENPI info, 08 July, 2010, available at: http://www.enpi-info.eu/maineast.php?id=22133&id_type=1
34
EU-Georgia Talks in Brussels, reported by Civil.Ge, 8 December, 2010, available at:
http://civil.ge/eng/article.php?id=22941
13
14. Peter Semneby aslo mentioned in good light Georgia‟s State Strategy and Action Plan, while
called upon international community “to work with Georgia to ensure that the implementation
phase of the strategy is now characterized by engagement as opposed to isolation”, meanwhile
advising de facto authorities to take a notice of “great deal of constructive proposals” in the
action plan.35
Finally, the same famous speech of Semneby outlined four layers of dealing with war
consequences and devising future strategies; 1) Georgia-Russia relations; 2) Georgia‟s strategy
towards the Occupied Territories; 3) EU‟s Non-Recognition and Engagement Policy Towards
Abkhazia and South Ossetia and 4) EU‟s relations with Georgia and Russia; which altogether
forge EU‟s multi-layered paradigm and urge it to takes steps and exercises its soft powers at
those different layers simultaneously.
The agenda is ambitious but perhaps not impossible, largely depending on genuinity of interests
of sides (particularly that of Abkhaz and Georgian) to trigger off results oriented engagement.
Again, much depends on recognition of pragmatic interests and flexible approaches that cannot
base on „unilateral constructivism,‟ but mutually beneficial or needed solutions.
35
Peter Semneby speech in front of National assembly of Council of Europe in Paris, 17 January 2011, “on
perspectives of engagement, dialogue and cooperation to address the consequences of the war between Russia and
Georgia: a forward looking approach”
14