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Visual Analytics: Powering Discovery,
   Innovation, and Decision Making
 (Much more than Big Data Analytics plus Visualization)




                                    David S. Ebert
                                    ebertd@purdue.edu
Path

Introduction to our Center - VACCINE
Motivation and introduction to visual analytics
Example solutions we’ve developed
 Health visual analytics
 Maritime public safety and law enforcement
 Public safety
 Resource allocation
Visual analytic challenges and future

                            April 2012
SFU, JIBC
     UBC


   UW




                                         Purdue

                                                               Penn St.

                                             Ind U
                                                              VaTech
Stanford
                                                        NC UNCC
                                                        A&T


                 Navajo                              GaTech
                 Tech                  JSU                                    U
                                                                          Stuttgart

                           UT UHD                              Swansea U
                          Austin

                                                       FIU




                          April 2012
VACCINE Mission
• Provide visual analytic and scalable
  solutions for all 2.3 million extended
 homeland security personnel
 • 185,000 DHS personnel, 350,000 law enforcement personnel,
   750,000 homeland security practitioners, 2.3 million extended
   personnel


• Achieve excellence in visual
 analytics and visualization sciences
• Educate homeland security
 stakeholders and the next
 generation of talent
                                         April 2012
Who We Are:
International Team of Experts
- 75+ Faculty, 25 institutions
 •   Purdue University                 •        University of Houston, Downtown
 •   Georgia Institute of Technology   •        Virginia Tech
 •   Pennsylvania State University     •        Indiana University
 •   Stanford University               •        Florida International University
 •   University of North Carolina at   •        University of Texas at Austin
     Charlotte                         •        Morgan State University
 •   University of Washington          •        Navajo Technical College
 •   Simon Fraser University           •        University of Stuttgart
 •   University of British Columbia    •        University of Swansea, UK
 •   Justice Institute of British      •        Oxford
     Columbia                          •        University of Calgary
 •   Ontario Institute of Technology   •        University of Manitoba
 •   Dalhousie University              •        Carleton University
                                       •
                                   April 2012
                                                University of Victoria
Some VACCINE Regional and
Corporate Partners
•   Indiana Department of Homeland Security    •   Motorola
•   Indiana State Department of Health         •   Harris Corporation
•   Indianapolis Public Safety                 •   Boeing
•   Charlotte Mecklenburg Police Department    •   Next Wave Systems, LLC
•   Lafayette, West Lafayette, Purdue Police   •   Banfield, The Pet Hospital
    Departments                                •   Raytheon
•   Tippecanoe County EMA & Sherriff’s         •   MacDonald, Dettwiler and Associates
    Department                                 •   Oculus Info Inc.
•   Harrisburg, PA Police                      •   Kx Systems
•   Coast Guard Sector Boston, Seattle, LA     •   Bank of America
•   Joint Harbor Operations Command            •   Duke Energy
    Center
                                               •   World Vision International
•   Port of Seattle
                                               •   Gates Foundation
•   Indianapolis Public Safety
                                               •   Kimberly Clark
•   USCG District 9, D5, D1
                                               •   Hallmark
                                          April 2012
Some VACCINE
 Government Partners
• U.S. Coast Guard                 • National Maritime Intelligence
• Federal Emergency Management Center
  Agency                           • Defence Research & Development
                                     Canada
• Customs and Border Patrol
• National Geospatial Intelligence • Foreign Broadcast Information
  Agency                             Service
                                   • US-CERT
• National Science Foundation
• Army Research Office             • Oak Ridge National Laboratories
• Department of Defense            • US Army Corps of Engineers-
                                     ERDC
• Department of Health and Human
  Services                         • Pacific Northwest National
                                     Laboratory
• U.S. Dept. of State
                                   • ARL CERDEC & ARDEC
• National Institute of Justice
                                   • US Attorney’s Office (David Capp)
                                 April 2012
What We Do
• Enable effective decision making through interactive
  visual analytic environments
• Enable effective communication of information
• Provide quantitative, reliable, reproducible evidence
• Enable user to be more effective from planning to
  detection to response to recovery
• Enable proactive and predictive visual analytics
• Enable effective situational awareness (perception,
  comprehension, projection)
                            April 2012
Path

Introduction to our Center - VACCINE
Motivation and introduction to visual
analytics
Example solutions we’ve developed
 Health visual analytics
 Maritime public safety and law enforcement
 Public safety
 Resource allocation
Visual analytic challenges and future
                            April 2012
Motivation
To solve today’s and tomorrow’s problems requires
 exploring, analyzing, and reasoning with massive,
 multisource, multiscale, heterogeneous, streaming
 data




                                      Image of Analyst’s Notebook
                         April 2012
Definition

Visual Analytics1 is the science of analytical reasoning facilitated
 by interactive visual interfaces
People use visual analytics tools and techniques to
   • Synthesize information and derive insight from massive, dynamic,
     ambiguous, and often conflicting data
   • Detect the expected and discover the unexpected
   • Provide timely, defensible, understandable assessments
   • Communicate assessment effectively for action

                               1. Illuminating the Path: The R&D Agenda for Visual
                                  Analytics, Editors: Thomas and Cook

                                   April 2012
Statistical and Information 
                                     Analytics


     Interaction Science                                  Geospatial Analytics




    Cognitive &                                                  Scientific Computing 
Perceptual Sciences          Foundations
                                   of 
                            Visual
                            Visual Analytics                  Graphics and Visualization 
     Design and 
   Communication 



      Decision Sciences                                    Knowledge
                                                           Knowledge Discovery 

                             Data Management & 
                                 Knowledge


                                      April 2012
What’s Needed for Proactive and
Predictive Visual Analytics?
• Reliable and reproducible models and simulation
• Understanding of the data
 • Distribution and skewness, errors, appropriate analysis
   techniques
• Understanding of the sources and types of data
• Comparable or Correlative sources of data
 • Appropriate transformations applied to enable meaningful
   comparison and correlation
• Understanding of the use and problem to be solved!

                             April 2012
How to Harness Visual Representations

• Visual representations translate data into a visible
  form, highlighting important features, such as
  commonalities and anomalies
• Visual representations make it easy for users to
  perceive salient aspects of their data quickly
• These visual representations augment the cognitive
  reasoning process with perceptual reasoning which
  enhances the analytical reasoning process

 1 – J. J. Thomas and K. A. Cook (Ed.). Illuminating the Path: The R&D Agenda for Visual Analytics. National
 Visualization and Analytics Center, 2005.
                                                        April 2012
Why Was I Invited?
Visual Analytics Uses
for Crisis Management and Response?
• Trend analysis, clustering, anomaly detection
• Interactive, multi-day, month, type investigation
• Multisource, multimedia data integration & analysis
• Purpose:
  •   Planning for resiliency
  •   Long-term analysis
  •   Predictive analytics
  •   Training
  •   Detection
  •   Investigation
  •   Response
  •   Recovery, remediation

                                April 2012
Visual Analytics vs. Situational Awareness
Situational Awareness        Sensemaking
situational awareness as a sensemaking process (courtesy Alan MacEachren)
          Situational awareness model (after
           Endsley, 1995; top) compared to
           model of sense making (after Pirolli
           & Card, 2005; bottom)                                                                     Situational Awareness

                          Perception of     Comprehension
     State of                                             Projection of                                        Performanc
                          elements in       of current                                       Decision
   environment                                            future status                                        e of actions
                          current situation situation

                                                      goals & objectives; preconceptions
                                                                                                               Sensemaking
                      Foraging loop                            Sense-making loop
         Search & filter         Read & extract          Schematize           Build case                Tell story

External data                                     Evidence
                          Shoebox                                          Schema           Hypotheses               Presentation
   source                                            file
             Search for              Search for               Search for        Search for support       Reevaluate
           information              relations                evidence
                                                              April 2012
Path
Introduction to our Center - VACCINE
Motivation and introduction to visual analytics

Example solutions we’ve developed
  Health visual analytics
  Maritime public safety and law enforcement
  Public safety
  Resource allocation and business intelligence
Visual analytic challenges and future
                          April 2012
Example: Public Health
                  Visual Analytics



 Health                                    Pandemic                                                   Zoonoses
Surveillance                            Simulation and Planning                                Planning and Response

                Map of the United States showing the estimated percent of the population ill
                based on a simulated pandemic influenza model originating in Chicago, IL.




                 Pandemic spread on day 37 with no       Pandemic spread on day 37 with all
                 decision measures implemented           decision measures implemented
Visual Analytics For Syndromic Surveillance

• Syndromic surveillance: detection of adverse health events
  focusing on pre-diagnosis information to improve response time
• Pre-diagnosis information can consist of multiple data sources:
   – Over the counter medicine sales
   – News reports on emerging diseases
   – Pro-med news feeds
   – Emergency department chief complaints




                              April 2012
Hypothesis Generation and Exploration




 Best Paper Nominee, IEEE Symposium on Visual Analytics Science and Technology (VAST), October 2008, for
 “Understanding Syndromic Hotspots – A Visual Analytics Approach,”                                21
 (Maciejewski, R., Rudolph, S., Hafen, R., Abusalah, A., Yakout, M., Ouzzani, M., Cleveland, W., Grannis, S., Wade,
                                                          April 2012
 M Ebert D )
Time Series Modeling
• Seasonal-Trend
  Decomposition Based
  on Loess
  • Time series can be viewed as
    the sum of multiple trend
    components
  • For each data
    signal, components are extracted
  • Can then analyze correlation
    between components


  Hafen, R., Anderson, D., Cleveland, W., Maciejewski, R., Ebert, D., Abusalah, A., Yakout, M., Ouzzani, M., Grannis, S., “STL for
  Modeling, Visualizing, and Monitoring Disease Counts,” BMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making, 9(21), 2009.     22
                                                                      April 2012
Predictive Visual Analytics




                      April 2012
Advanced Decision Support Tools: Rift
Valley Fever




                    April 2012
Modeling a Pandemic
• Pandemic Influenza Planning Tool
• Models user specified:
 • Pandemic influenza characteristics
 • County population, demographics, hospital beds

• Decision measures
                             Map of the United States showing the estimated percent of the population ill
 • Strategic National        based on a simulated pandemic influenza model originating in Chicago, IL.
   Stockpile deployment
 • School Closures
 • Media Alerts




                             Pandemic spread on day 37 with no          Pandemic spread on day 37 with all
                             decision measures implemented
                                       April 2012                       decision measures implemented
Visual Analytics Uses
for Public Safety
 • Risk visualization and analysis
 • Predictive analytics
 • Uncertain decision making
 • Alternative evaluation and consequence
   investigation
 • Trend analysis, clustering, anomaly detection
 • Interactive, multi-day, month, type
   investigation
 • Multisource, multimedia data
   integration & analysis
                           April 2012
Example Maritime Public Safety Projects



• Search and rescue resource allocation

• Swimmer death analysis

• PWCS analysis

• Economic impact analysis

• Resource allocation and risk-based decision making
                           April 2012
Example: Visual Analytics Environment
• Supports decision making and risk assessment

• Interactive exploration and analysis of trends, patterns and
  anomalies

• Allows analysis of risks associated with
  • Closing one or more Coast Guard stations
     • Find optimal stations that absorb work load of the closing station
  • Allocating new resources
     • Impact on safety and efficiency of operation

• Currently being used by analysts at the U.S. Ninth District,
  HQ, and Atlantic Commands
                                     April 2012
Example: USCG D9 Search
And Rescue Operational Analysis

• Interactive visual analytics of multivariate
  performance metrics for each unit’s activities

• Interactive linked spatial temporal display, calendar
  view, and timeline views




                           April 2012
System Features: SAR Risk Profile




 Time taken by CG stations to deploy an asset to the Great Lakes to respond to
                               a SAR incident.
                                    April 2012
U.S. Coast Guard Search and Rescue VA (cgSARVA)
 Partners: USCG LANT 7 (Operational Analysis) , USCG D9, USCG D5

IMPACTS:
• Analyzed impact of CG auxiliary
  stations on search and rescue mission
  in Great Lakes
• Used for resource allocation for SAR
• Provided evidence of temporal and
  spatial patterns used in planning –
  new insights to SAR mission
• Hurricane Irene resource allocation
  decision based on cgSARva analysis
  and visualization
   • Highest SAR workload that weekend for D9

                                      April 2012
180
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          FY 
                                                                                                                                                             160                                                                          2006

                                                                                                                                                             140
U.S. Coast Guard                                                                                                                                             120
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          FY 
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          2007


Swimmer Death Analysis                                                                                                                                       100
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          FY 
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          2008

                                                                                                                                                                   80                                                                     FY 
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          2009
                                                                                                                                                                   60
Impact:                                                                                                                                                            40
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          FY 
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          2010
• Analyzed spatial and temporal       20
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          FY 
  patterns of shore-based and          0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          2011


  boat-based swimmer deaths to                                                                                                                                                                                                            5 YEAR 
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          AVG
  understand death dramatic
  increase in D9 in Summer 2010                                                                                                                                                     Findings:
• Provided information and                                                                                                                                                          • Swimmer deaths
                                                                                                                                                                                       • August highest frequency
  visualizations used for public                                                                                                                                                       • Late afternoon highest frequency
  information campaign 2011 and for                                                                                                                                                    • Lake Michigan (south and west shore) have high
                                                                                                                                                                                         concentration
  patrols 2011
                                                                                                                                                                                    • Boating deaths
• Significant decrease in deaths in 2011                                                                                                                                               • Fri, Sat, Sun account for almost all deaths
                                                                                                                                                                                       • Mid July to Mid August have highest frequency
                             Swimmer Deaths – Type ‘Swim’- Apr-Oct 2010 (Lives Lost                                                                                                      (only 1 week significantly high)
14
13
12
                                                     Field)
11
10
 9
 8
                                                                                                                                                                                    • 2009-2010 from MISLE Data
 7
 6
 5
 4                                                                                                                                                                                     • Large increase on Mon, Thu, Fri, Sun
 3
 2
 1
 0                                                                                                                                                                                     • Early and late season increase
                                                6 am




                                                                                                                                       6 pm
     12 am




                                                                            10 am

                                                                                    11 am

                                                                                            12 pm




                                                                                                                                                                    10 pm

                                                                                                                                                                            11 pm
             1 am

                    2 am

                           3 am

                                  4 am

                                         5 am



                                                       7 am

                                                              8 am

                                                                     9 am




                                                                                                    1 pm

                                                                                                           2 pm

                                                                                                                  3 pm

                                                                                                                         4 pm

                                                                                                                                5 pm



                                                                                                                                              7 pm

                                                                                                                                                     8 pm

                                                                                                                                                            9 pm




                                                                                                                                                                    April 2012
Resource Allocation and Risk-Based
Decision Making

• Explore risk-based decision
  making and utilize historical data
  for analysis and prediction
 • Total Risk, Mitigated Risk,
   Residual Risk
 • Explore 11 different USCG missions
 • Explore allocation of assets with
   different capabilities
 • Explore staffing, utilization, assets
   vs. risk measures
 • Perform What-If scenarios
                              April 2012
Example Public Safety Projects:

• Evacuation planning and management
• Hazardous Materials - mobile imaging
• Law enforcement visual analytics
• Additional projects
 • GARI – gang graffiti
 • Jigsaw

                          April 2012
Large Scale Evacuation Model:
Decision Support (Ribarsky et al. UNCC)




                         April 2012
Mobile Interface




                   April 2012
MERGE: Mobile Emergency Response
Guide – System Overview
            Image Capture                                     Image Analysis




                                1                                          2




 Display Information                                 Database Query


                            4
                                                 3




                                    April 2012
MERGE – iVALET Interactive Plume
Visualization and Evacuation Planning

• Chemical release plume
  modeling identifies census
  tracts with the highest
  number of expected
  people affected




                          April 2012
Geovisual Analytics Support For Sensemaking
In Public Health And Crisis Management
(GeoVista Center, PSU)

 • SensePlace – leveraging news to support infectious
   disease modeling and delivery of services in a
   developing country context
 • SensePlace2 – leveraging social media to support
   situational awareness for health and crises




                         April 2012
SensePlace2: Place-Time-Concept
  Analytics
                 query      time filter &     grid map of tweet frequency matching query;
                window      freq display       graduated circles depict 500 most relevant
                                               tweets; support for spatial filter by distance
                                                                from point


                                                                               history
                                                                               view




                                                   ranked, sortable 500             selected
                                                   most relevant tweets             place

http://www.geovista.psu.edu/SensePlac
e2/

                                            April 2012
Scatterblogs: Geo-Spatial Document Analysis




41
                    April 2012
Spatiotemporal Social Media Analytics for
Abnormal Event Detection




                    April 2012
Visual Analytics Law Enforcement Toolkit
(VALET, iVALET)
End-Users: Lafayette, WL Police, Indiana Fusion Center, Indiana State Police, Ohio Fusion Center (initiated)

Impacts:
• In use to analyze crime patterns in
  Lafayette, Indiana and connect strings
  of activities
• Mobile version being released to
  public (November 2011) for
  community-based policing
• Investigating correlation of bus routes
  and crime, street lights and crime
• Analyzing time of day problems and
  improving accuracy of police record VALET delivered:
  management system                       • Spring 2011: WL, Lafayette Police
• Novel statistical predictive model      iVALET delivered:
  incorporated for planning               • October 2011: Purdue, WL Police


                                                     April 2012
Linked Predictive Crime Models by Type
  Visual Analytics Law Enforcement Toolkit
  (VALET)- Tippecanoe County Example

 •



                                                     Day vs. Night Thefts




2008 (red) vs. 2007 (blue background)
Aggravated Theft



                                        April 2012
Drunkenness / Public Intoxication




                                     Day-of-the-Week
                                    60
                                    50
                                    40
                                    30
                                    20
                                    10
                                     0




                                                                       Sat
                                                     Wed
                                         Mon
                                               Tue


                                                           Thu
                                                                 Fri


                                                                             Sun
                     April 2012
Football season
Drunkenness / Public Intoxication                                        Home
                                                                         Away
       PU vs. Notre Dame
                                                      PU vs. Iowa
       PU Lost: 10-38
                       Homecoming (Sat.)              PU Lost: 21-31
                       PU vs. Illinois
                       PU Won: 21-14




                                                  Day-of-the-Week
                                                 60
                                                 50
                                                 40
                                                 30
                                                 20
                                                 10
                                                  0




                                                                                    Sat
                                                      Mon
                                                            Tue
                                                                  Wed
                                                                        Thu
                                                                              Fri


                                                                                          Sun
                                    April 2012
iVALET

                      • Explore criminal,
                        traffic and civil
                        data on-the-go
                      • Risk assessment
                      • Use current
                        spatial +
                        temporal context
                        into analysis


         April 2012
iVALET

                      • Linked views to
                        explore multivariate
                        spatiotemporal
                        dataset
                      • Analytical tools to
                        help explore data




         April 2012
GeoVISTA CrimeViz

… an extensible web-based
geovisualization application
that supports exploration of &
sensemaking about criminal
activity in space & time

Project Personnel:
 Alan M. MacEachren
 Robert E. Roth       GeoVISTA Center
                      Department of
 Kevin S. Ross          Geography
 Scott Pezanowski     Penn State University
                      maceachren@psu.edu

                             http://www.geovista.psu.edu/CrimeViz
                                    April 2012
GeoVISTA CrimeViz: Year/Month View




          Aggrevated Assault, by month, for a year; map depicts freq/cell in Nov.
                               April 2012
Crime Analytics & SA Issues and Techniques
• Fuse data from a variety of sources
 •   Law enforcement records management
 •   Weather and phases of the moon
 •   Street light locations, bus routes
 •   Tracking release data of offenders
 •   Civil court data
 •   Social Media
 •   Local event calendar

• Reliable predictive models
• Understandability and trust of predictions
• Main Question: What helps officers, detectives, chief
  do their variety of jobs?
                                          April 2012
Jigsaw:
Visual Analytics for Investigative Analysis
and Exploration of Document Collections                       “Putting the pieces together”


 Goal: Assist investigators with understanding, sense-making, and analysis of
 large, unstructured and structured document collections
 Approach: Provide multiple visual perspectives on the documents and
 entities within them, highlighting connections between entities




                                     April 2012
Gang Graffiti Recognition and Analysis Using a Mobile Telephone (GARI)
Edward J. Delp, Mireille Boutin
Collaborating Institution(s): Purdue University
End-User(s): Gary Coons, Chief/Indianapolis Department of Public Safety Division of Homeland Security and
IMPD, Indiana Fusion Center Gang Task Force




IMPACT:
 • Allows police to catalog and analyze gang                           GARI delivered:
   graffiti images into a database system to better                    • Summer 2011:
   track and determine gang activity throughout a                        • IMPD gang detectives
                                                                       • August 2011:
   region
                                                                         • IMPD at large
 • Will allow the graffiti images to be “interpreted”                    • Ind Fusion Gang Task Force
 • More than 40 users and 450 graffiti images                          • October 2011:
   acquired                                                              • Gang detectives across
                                                                           Indiana
                                                  April 2012
Path
Introduction to our Center - VACCINE
Motivation and introduction to visual analytics
Example solutions we’ve developed
  Health visual analytics
  Public safety
  Resource allocation




 Visual analytic challenges and future


                                     April 2012
Five Six Challenges for Proactive & Predictive
 Visual Analytics
1. Creating computer-human visual cognition
   environments
2. Integrating interactive simulation and analytics
3. Solving specific scale issues and cross-scale issues
4. Managing uncertainty and time
5. Enabling risk-based decision making
   environments
6. Developing the Science of Interaction for Visual
   Analytics
                            April 2012
Visual Analytics At Real-World Scale

• Utilize advanced HPC                  • Example: Longhorn
  techniques to enable                    Exascale Visual Analytic
  interactive spatiotemporal              Platform
  analysis (spatiotemporal                  • 2048 compute cores (Nehalem
  clustering, prediction)                     quad-core)
• Cluster-based and cloud-                  • 512 GPUs (128 NVIDIA Quadro
  based solutions                            Plex S4s, each containing 4
                                             NVIDIA FX 5800s)
• GPGPU solutions                           • 13.5 TB of distributed memory
• Develop easily usable                     • 210 TB global file system
  HPC visual analytic
  environments
                               April 2012
The Science of Interaction
• Definition: The study of methods by which humans create knowledge through
  the manipulation of an interface.
   • …interaction and inquiry are inextricable. It is through the interactive manipulation of a visual
     interface – the analytic discourse – that knowledge is constructed, tested, refined and shared.”
     Stasko et al., IV2009


5 Challenges:
1.Visual Discourse - Interactive visual thinking tools for the exploration, understanding, collaboration, description,
   explanation, decision, dissemination, persuasion of concepts & data.

2.Multi-modal Sensemaking In The Large -                                      Enable large-scale, distributed teams to interactively
   make sense of big multi-modal data and problems.

3.Fluid Interaction - Designing fluid, high-bandwidth, and powerful interaction models and paradigms for the purpose
   of individuals reaching their full potential in viewing, analyzing, and understanding large and complex data.

4. Collaboration – beyond space and time- synergizing technologies and human users
5. Mixed Initiative Data Discovery and Manipulation - Balancing active user input with systematic
   guidance to enable visual data manipulation and analysis.


                                                               April 2012
Visual Analytics: Remember…

• We need to be cognizant of parameters for visual
  representations
• Appropriate analysis can guide users to interesting
  features in the data
• Refined analysis through user interaction and their
  domain knowledge can help discover hidden problems
• There is no single catch-all visual representation or
  analysis


                         April 2012
Keys for Success
• User and problem driven
• Balance human cognition and automated analysis and
  modeling
 • Often applied on-the-fly for specific components identified by the user
• Interactivity and easy interaction
 • Utilizing HPC and novel analysis approaches
• Understandability of why predicted value is what it is
• Intuitive visual cognition
• Not overloaded with features

                                     April 2012
For Further Information

       www.VisualAnalytics-CCI.org




vaccine@purdue.edu
ebertd@purdue.edu


                        April 2012

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Iscram ebert keynote_apr_2012_v2_small

  • 1. Visual Analytics: Powering Discovery, Innovation, and Decision Making (Much more than Big Data Analytics plus Visualization) David S. Ebert ebertd@purdue.edu
  • 2. Path Introduction to our Center - VACCINE Motivation and introduction to visual analytics Example solutions we’ve developed Health visual analytics Maritime public safety and law enforcement Public safety Resource allocation Visual analytic challenges and future April 2012
  • 3. SFU, JIBC UBC UW Purdue Penn St. Ind U VaTech Stanford NC UNCC A&T Navajo GaTech Tech JSU U Stuttgart UT UHD Swansea U Austin FIU April 2012
  • 4. VACCINE Mission • Provide visual analytic and scalable solutions for all 2.3 million extended homeland security personnel • 185,000 DHS personnel, 350,000 law enforcement personnel, 750,000 homeland security practitioners, 2.3 million extended personnel • Achieve excellence in visual analytics and visualization sciences • Educate homeland security stakeholders and the next generation of talent April 2012
  • 5. Who We Are: International Team of Experts - 75+ Faculty, 25 institutions • Purdue University • University of Houston, Downtown • Georgia Institute of Technology • Virginia Tech • Pennsylvania State University • Indiana University • Stanford University • Florida International University • University of North Carolina at • University of Texas at Austin Charlotte • Morgan State University • University of Washington • Navajo Technical College • Simon Fraser University • University of Stuttgart • University of British Columbia • University of Swansea, UK • Justice Institute of British • Oxford Columbia • University of Calgary • Ontario Institute of Technology • University of Manitoba • Dalhousie University • Carleton University • April 2012 University of Victoria
  • 6. Some VACCINE Regional and Corporate Partners • Indiana Department of Homeland Security • Motorola • Indiana State Department of Health • Harris Corporation • Indianapolis Public Safety • Boeing • Charlotte Mecklenburg Police Department • Next Wave Systems, LLC • Lafayette, West Lafayette, Purdue Police • Banfield, The Pet Hospital Departments • Raytheon • Tippecanoe County EMA & Sherriff’s • MacDonald, Dettwiler and Associates Department • Oculus Info Inc. • Harrisburg, PA Police • Kx Systems • Coast Guard Sector Boston, Seattle, LA • Bank of America • Joint Harbor Operations Command • Duke Energy Center • World Vision International • Port of Seattle • Gates Foundation • Indianapolis Public Safety • Kimberly Clark • USCG District 9, D5, D1 • Hallmark April 2012
  • 7. Some VACCINE Government Partners • U.S. Coast Guard • National Maritime Intelligence • Federal Emergency Management Center Agency • Defence Research & Development Canada • Customs and Border Patrol • National Geospatial Intelligence • Foreign Broadcast Information Agency Service • US-CERT • National Science Foundation • Army Research Office • Oak Ridge National Laboratories • Department of Defense • US Army Corps of Engineers- ERDC • Department of Health and Human Services • Pacific Northwest National Laboratory • U.S. Dept. of State • ARL CERDEC & ARDEC • National Institute of Justice • US Attorney’s Office (David Capp) April 2012
  • 8. What We Do • Enable effective decision making through interactive visual analytic environments • Enable effective communication of information • Provide quantitative, reliable, reproducible evidence • Enable user to be more effective from planning to detection to response to recovery • Enable proactive and predictive visual analytics • Enable effective situational awareness (perception, comprehension, projection) April 2012
  • 9. Path Introduction to our Center - VACCINE Motivation and introduction to visual analytics Example solutions we’ve developed Health visual analytics Maritime public safety and law enforcement Public safety Resource allocation Visual analytic challenges and future April 2012
  • 10. Motivation To solve today’s and tomorrow’s problems requires exploring, analyzing, and reasoning with massive, multisource, multiscale, heterogeneous, streaming data Image of Analyst’s Notebook April 2012
  • 11. Definition Visual Analytics1 is the science of analytical reasoning facilitated by interactive visual interfaces People use visual analytics tools and techniques to • Synthesize information and derive insight from massive, dynamic, ambiguous, and often conflicting data • Detect the expected and discover the unexpected • Provide timely, defensible, understandable assessments • Communicate assessment effectively for action 1. Illuminating the Path: The R&D Agenda for Visual Analytics, Editors: Thomas and Cook April 2012
  • 12. Statistical and Information  Analytics Interaction Science Geospatial Analytics Cognitive &  Scientific Computing  Perceptual Sciences  Foundations of  Visual Visual Analytics Graphics and Visualization  Design and  Communication  Decision Sciences  Knowledge Knowledge Discovery  Data Management &  Knowledge April 2012
  • 13. What’s Needed for Proactive and Predictive Visual Analytics? • Reliable and reproducible models and simulation • Understanding of the data • Distribution and skewness, errors, appropriate analysis techniques • Understanding of the sources and types of data • Comparable or Correlative sources of data • Appropriate transformations applied to enable meaningful comparison and correlation • Understanding of the use and problem to be solved! April 2012
  • 14. How to Harness Visual Representations • Visual representations translate data into a visible form, highlighting important features, such as commonalities and anomalies • Visual representations make it easy for users to perceive salient aspects of their data quickly • These visual representations augment the cognitive reasoning process with perceptual reasoning which enhances the analytical reasoning process 1 – J. J. Thomas and K. A. Cook (Ed.). Illuminating the Path: The R&D Agenda for Visual Analytics. National Visualization and Analytics Center, 2005. April 2012
  • 15. Why Was I Invited? Visual Analytics Uses for Crisis Management and Response? • Trend analysis, clustering, anomaly detection • Interactive, multi-day, month, type investigation • Multisource, multimedia data integration & analysis • Purpose: • Planning for resiliency • Long-term analysis • Predictive analytics • Training • Detection • Investigation • Response • Recovery, remediation April 2012
  • 16. Visual Analytics vs. Situational Awareness Situational Awareness Sensemaking situational awareness as a sensemaking process (courtesy Alan MacEachren) Situational awareness model (after Endsley, 1995; top) compared to model of sense making (after Pirolli & Card, 2005; bottom) Situational Awareness Perception of Comprehension State of Projection of Performanc elements in of current Decision environment future status e of actions current situation situation goals & objectives; preconceptions Sensemaking Foraging loop Sense-making loop Search & filter Read & extract Schematize Build case Tell story External data Evidence Shoebox Schema Hypotheses Presentation source file Search for Search for Search for Search for support Reevaluate information relations evidence April 2012
  • 17. Path Introduction to our Center - VACCINE Motivation and introduction to visual analytics Example solutions we’ve developed Health visual analytics Maritime public safety and law enforcement Public safety Resource allocation and business intelligence Visual analytic challenges and future April 2012
  • 18. Example: Public Health Visual Analytics Health Pandemic Zoonoses Surveillance Simulation and Planning Planning and Response Map of the United States showing the estimated percent of the population ill based on a simulated pandemic influenza model originating in Chicago, IL. Pandemic spread on day 37 with no Pandemic spread on day 37 with all decision measures implemented decision measures implemented
  • 19. Visual Analytics For Syndromic Surveillance • Syndromic surveillance: detection of adverse health events focusing on pre-diagnosis information to improve response time • Pre-diagnosis information can consist of multiple data sources: – Over the counter medicine sales – News reports on emerging diseases – Pro-med news feeds – Emergency department chief complaints April 2012
  • 20. Hypothesis Generation and Exploration Best Paper Nominee, IEEE Symposium on Visual Analytics Science and Technology (VAST), October 2008, for “Understanding Syndromic Hotspots – A Visual Analytics Approach,” 21 (Maciejewski, R., Rudolph, S., Hafen, R., Abusalah, A., Yakout, M., Ouzzani, M., Cleveland, W., Grannis, S., Wade, April 2012 M Ebert D )
  • 21. Time Series Modeling • Seasonal-Trend Decomposition Based on Loess • Time series can be viewed as the sum of multiple trend components • For each data signal, components are extracted • Can then analyze correlation between components Hafen, R., Anderson, D., Cleveland, W., Maciejewski, R., Ebert, D., Abusalah, A., Yakout, M., Ouzzani, M., Grannis, S., “STL for Modeling, Visualizing, and Monitoring Disease Counts,” BMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making, 9(21), 2009. 22 April 2012
  • 23. Advanced Decision Support Tools: Rift Valley Fever April 2012
  • 24. Modeling a Pandemic • Pandemic Influenza Planning Tool • Models user specified: • Pandemic influenza characteristics • County population, demographics, hospital beds • Decision measures Map of the United States showing the estimated percent of the population ill • Strategic National based on a simulated pandemic influenza model originating in Chicago, IL. Stockpile deployment • School Closures • Media Alerts Pandemic spread on day 37 with no Pandemic spread on day 37 with all decision measures implemented April 2012 decision measures implemented
  • 25. Visual Analytics Uses for Public Safety • Risk visualization and analysis • Predictive analytics • Uncertain decision making • Alternative evaluation and consequence investigation • Trend analysis, clustering, anomaly detection • Interactive, multi-day, month, type investigation • Multisource, multimedia data integration & analysis April 2012
  • 26. Example Maritime Public Safety Projects • Search and rescue resource allocation • Swimmer death analysis • PWCS analysis • Economic impact analysis • Resource allocation and risk-based decision making April 2012
  • 27. Example: Visual Analytics Environment • Supports decision making and risk assessment • Interactive exploration and analysis of trends, patterns and anomalies • Allows analysis of risks associated with • Closing one or more Coast Guard stations • Find optimal stations that absorb work load of the closing station • Allocating new resources • Impact on safety and efficiency of operation • Currently being used by analysts at the U.S. Ninth District, HQ, and Atlantic Commands April 2012
  • 28. Example: USCG D9 Search And Rescue Operational Analysis • Interactive visual analytics of multivariate performance metrics for each unit’s activities • Interactive linked spatial temporal display, calendar view, and timeline views April 2012
  • 29. System Features: SAR Risk Profile Time taken by CG stations to deploy an asset to the Great Lakes to respond to a SAR incident. April 2012
  • 30. U.S. Coast Guard Search and Rescue VA (cgSARVA) Partners: USCG LANT 7 (Operational Analysis) , USCG D9, USCG D5 IMPACTS: • Analyzed impact of CG auxiliary stations on search and rescue mission in Great Lakes • Used for resource allocation for SAR • Provided evidence of temporal and spatial patterns used in planning – new insights to SAR mission • Hurricane Irene resource allocation decision based on cgSARva analysis and visualization • Highest SAR workload that weekend for D9 April 2012
  • 31. 180 FY  160 2006 140 U.S. Coast Guard 120 FY  2007 Swimmer Death Analysis 100 FY  2008 80 FY  2009 60 Impact: 40 FY  2010 • Analyzed spatial and temporal 20 FY  patterns of shore-based and 0 2011 boat-based swimmer deaths to 5 YEAR  AVG understand death dramatic increase in D9 in Summer 2010 Findings: • Provided information and • Swimmer deaths • August highest frequency visualizations used for public • Late afternoon highest frequency information campaign 2011 and for • Lake Michigan (south and west shore) have high concentration patrols 2011 • Boating deaths • Significant decrease in deaths in 2011 • Fri, Sat, Sun account for almost all deaths • Mid July to Mid August have highest frequency Swimmer Deaths – Type ‘Swim’- Apr-Oct 2010 (Lives Lost (only 1 week significantly high) 14 13 12 Field) 11 10 9 8 • 2009-2010 from MISLE Data 7 6 5 4 • Large increase on Mon, Thu, Fri, Sun 3 2 1 0 • Early and late season increase 6 am 6 pm 12 am 10 am 11 am 12 pm 10 pm 11 pm 1 am 2 am 3 am 4 am 5 am 7 am 8 am 9 am 1 pm 2 pm 3 pm 4 pm 5 pm 7 pm 8 pm 9 pm April 2012
  • 32. Resource Allocation and Risk-Based Decision Making • Explore risk-based decision making and utilize historical data for analysis and prediction • Total Risk, Mitigated Risk, Residual Risk • Explore 11 different USCG missions • Explore allocation of assets with different capabilities • Explore staffing, utilization, assets vs. risk measures • Perform What-If scenarios April 2012
  • 33. Example Public Safety Projects: • Evacuation planning and management • Hazardous Materials - mobile imaging • Law enforcement visual analytics • Additional projects • GARI – gang graffiti • Jigsaw April 2012
  • 34. Large Scale Evacuation Model: Decision Support (Ribarsky et al. UNCC) April 2012
  • 35. Mobile Interface April 2012
  • 36. MERGE: Mobile Emergency Response Guide – System Overview Image Capture Image Analysis 1 2 Display Information Database Query 4 3 April 2012
  • 37. MERGE – iVALET Interactive Plume Visualization and Evacuation Planning • Chemical release plume modeling identifies census tracts with the highest number of expected people affected April 2012
  • 38. Geovisual Analytics Support For Sensemaking In Public Health And Crisis Management (GeoVista Center, PSU) • SensePlace – leveraging news to support infectious disease modeling and delivery of services in a developing country context • SensePlace2 – leveraging social media to support situational awareness for health and crises April 2012
  • 39. SensePlace2: Place-Time-Concept Analytics query time filter & grid map of tweet frequency matching query; window freq display graduated circles depict 500 most relevant tweets; support for spatial filter by distance from point history view ranked, sortable 500 selected most relevant tweets place http://www.geovista.psu.edu/SensePlac e2/ April 2012
  • 40. Scatterblogs: Geo-Spatial Document Analysis 41 April 2012
  • 41. Spatiotemporal Social Media Analytics for Abnormal Event Detection April 2012
  • 42. Visual Analytics Law Enforcement Toolkit (VALET, iVALET) End-Users: Lafayette, WL Police, Indiana Fusion Center, Indiana State Police, Ohio Fusion Center (initiated) Impacts: • In use to analyze crime patterns in Lafayette, Indiana and connect strings of activities • Mobile version being released to public (November 2011) for community-based policing • Investigating correlation of bus routes and crime, street lights and crime • Analyzing time of day problems and improving accuracy of police record VALET delivered: management system • Spring 2011: WL, Lafayette Police • Novel statistical predictive model iVALET delivered: incorporated for planning • October 2011: Purdue, WL Police April 2012
  • 43. Linked Predictive Crime Models by Type Visual Analytics Law Enforcement Toolkit (VALET)- Tippecanoe County Example • Day vs. Night Thefts 2008 (red) vs. 2007 (blue background) Aggravated Theft April 2012
  • 44. Drunkenness / Public Intoxication Day-of-the-Week 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Sat Wed Mon Tue Thu Fri Sun April 2012
  • 45. Football season Drunkenness / Public Intoxication Home Away PU vs. Notre Dame PU vs. Iowa PU Lost: 10-38 Homecoming (Sat.) PU Lost: 21-31 PU vs. Illinois PU Won: 21-14 Day-of-the-Week 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Sat Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sun April 2012
  • 46. iVALET • Explore criminal, traffic and civil data on-the-go • Risk assessment • Use current spatial + temporal context into analysis April 2012
  • 47. iVALET • Linked views to explore multivariate spatiotemporal dataset • Analytical tools to help explore data April 2012
  • 48. GeoVISTA CrimeViz … an extensible web-based geovisualization application that supports exploration of & sensemaking about criminal activity in space & time Project Personnel: Alan M. MacEachren Robert E. Roth GeoVISTA Center Department of Kevin S. Ross Geography Scott Pezanowski Penn State University maceachren@psu.edu http://www.geovista.psu.edu/CrimeViz April 2012
  • 49. GeoVISTA CrimeViz: Year/Month View Aggrevated Assault, by month, for a year; map depicts freq/cell in Nov. April 2012
  • 50. Crime Analytics & SA Issues and Techniques • Fuse data from a variety of sources • Law enforcement records management • Weather and phases of the moon • Street light locations, bus routes • Tracking release data of offenders • Civil court data • Social Media • Local event calendar • Reliable predictive models • Understandability and trust of predictions • Main Question: What helps officers, detectives, chief do their variety of jobs? April 2012
  • 51. Jigsaw: Visual Analytics for Investigative Analysis and Exploration of Document Collections “Putting the pieces together” Goal: Assist investigators with understanding, sense-making, and analysis of large, unstructured and structured document collections Approach: Provide multiple visual perspectives on the documents and entities within them, highlighting connections between entities April 2012
  • 52. Gang Graffiti Recognition and Analysis Using a Mobile Telephone (GARI) Edward J. Delp, Mireille Boutin Collaborating Institution(s): Purdue University End-User(s): Gary Coons, Chief/Indianapolis Department of Public Safety Division of Homeland Security and IMPD, Indiana Fusion Center Gang Task Force IMPACT: • Allows police to catalog and analyze gang GARI delivered: graffiti images into a database system to better • Summer 2011: track and determine gang activity throughout a • IMPD gang detectives • August 2011: region • IMPD at large • Will allow the graffiti images to be “interpreted” • Ind Fusion Gang Task Force • More than 40 users and 450 graffiti images • October 2011: acquired • Gang detectives across Indiana April 2012
  • 53. Path Introduction to our Center - VACCINE Motivation and introduction to visual analytics Example solutions we’ve developed Health visual analytics Public safety Resource allocation Visual analytic challenges and future April 2012
  • 54. Five Six Challenges for Proactive & Predictive Visual Analytics 1. Creating computer-human visual cognition environments 2. Integrating interactive simulation and analytics 3. Solving specific scale issues and cross-scale issues 4. Managing uncertainty and time 5. Enabling risk-based decision making environments 6. Developing the Science of Interaction for Visual Analytics April 2012
  • 55. Visual Analytics At Real-World Scale • Utilize advanced HPC • Example: Longhorn techniques to enable Exascale Visual Analytic interactive spatiotemporal Platform analysis (spatiotemporal • 2048 compute cores (Nehalem clustering, prediction) quad-core) • Cluster-based and cloud- • 512 GPUs (128 NVIDIA Quadro based solutions Plex S4s, each containing 4 NVIDIA FX 5800s) • GPGPU solutions • 13.5 TB of distributed memory • Develop easily usable • 210 TB global file system HPC visual analytic environments April 2012
  • 56. The Science of Interaction • Definition: The study of methods by which humans create knowledge through the manipulation of an interface. • …interaction and inquiry are inextricable. It is through the interactive manipulation of a visual interface – the analytic discourse – that knowledge is constructed, tested, refined and shared.” Stasko et al., IV2009 5 Challenges: 1.Visual Discourse - Interactive visual thinking tools for the exploration, understanding, collaboration, description, explanation, decision, dissemination, persuasion of concepts & data. 2.Multi-modal Sensemaking In The Large - Enable large-scale, distributed teams to interactively make sense of big multi-modal data and problems. 3.Fluid Interaction - Designing fluid, high-bandwidth, and powerful interaction models and paradigms for the purpose of individuals reaching their full potential in viewing, analyzing, and understanding large and complex data. 4. Collaboration – beyond space and time- synergizing technologies and human users 5. Mixed Initiative Data Discovery and Manipulation - Balancing active user input with systematic guidance to enable visual data manipulation and analysis. April 2012
  • 57. Visual Analytics: Remember… • We need to be cognizant of parameters for visual representations • Appropriate analysis can guide users to interesting features in the data • Refined analysis through user interaction and their domain knowledge can help discover hidden problems • There is no single catch-all visual representation or analysis April 2012
  • 58. Keys for Success • User and problem driven • Balance human cognition and automated analysis and modeling • Often applied on-the-fly for specific components identified by the user • Interactivity and easy interaction • Utilizing HPC and novel analysis approaches • Understandability of why predicted value is what it is • Intuitive visual cognition • Not overloaded with features April 2012
  • 59. For Further Information www.VisualAnalytics-CCI.org vaccine@purdue.edu ebertd@purdue.edu April 2012