This study is the result of our understanding about what are IPO and IPO listing procedure in Bangladesh.
*To highlight and analyze different steps of listing procedure followed by Grameenphone ltd.
*Highlights on the IPO performance of Grameenphone ltd.
1. IPO Analysis
(A Case Study on Grameenphone)
Faculty of Business Studies
Jahangirnagar University
Savar, Dhaka-1342
2. IPO Analysis
(A Case Study on Grameenphone)
Course Title: Financial Markets and Institutions
Course Code: EFIN 512
Submitted to:
Mohammad Yousuf Harun
Lecturer
Department of Finance and Banking
Faculty of Business Studies
Submitted By
Group Name: VIGILANCE
Group Leader: Md. Shahinuzzaman
GROUP MEMBERS
Name ID
Md. Shahinuzzaman 20142084
Md. Rezaul Islam 20142061
Md. Rihan Uddin 20142045
Md. Ferdus Ali Munshi 20142013
Department of Finance and Banking
Faculty of Business Studies
Jahangirnagar University
Savar, Dhaka-1342
May 8, 2015
3. May 8, 2015
Mohammad Yousuf Harun
Lecturer
Department of Finance and Banking
Faculty of Business Studies
Jahangirnagr University
Subject: Submission of the Report on âIPO Analysis (A Case Study on Grameenphone)â
Dear Madam:
It is our enormous pleasure to bring up here the report âIPO Analysis (A Case Study on
Grameenphone)â Thank you very much for appreciation you provide us during the period.
We appreciate the opportunity to complete this charge within stipulated time. Any
shortcomings or mistakes are absolutely our fault we would always be available and ready to
explain that further.
Sincerely yours,
Md. Shahinuzzaman
On behalf of group âVigilanceâ
Spring 2015
EMBA
4. ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
Itâs our immense pleasure to complete this study in due time by grace of
almighty Allah. We are grateful to those people who helped us a lot during the
preparation of the report. We wish to express our profound sense of gratitude
to our course teacher âMohammad Yousuf Harun, Lecturer, Dept. of Finance &
Banking, Faculty of business studiesâ for her inspiration, guide, valuable
suggestion, sympathetic advice, and enthusiastic encouragement made
throughout the course of study work. Moreover, we like to avail the
opportunity to express our deep gratitude and regards to Grameenphone Ltd
and DSE for making available information on online.
5. Table of Content
SL Particulars Page
No.
Executive Summary 1
1. Introduction 1
1.1 Definition of IPO 1
1.2 Reasons for offering IPO 1
1.3 Disadvantages of an IPO: 2
1.4 Methodology 2
1.5 Objectives of the study 2
2 Initial Public Offering Process: 3
2.1 Works before Obtaining the Consent from Securities Exchange
Commission
3
2.2 Works after Obtaining the Consent from Securities Exchange
Commission
6
3 Process Followed by Grameenphone for going Public 7
3.1 Activity before Obtaining the Consent from SEC 7
3.2 Activity after Obtaining the Consent from Securities Exchange
Commission
9
4 The Performance Grameenphone after IPO 11
5 Analytical Findings 14
6 Conclusion 15
References 16
List of Figure
Figure
No
Particulars Page
No
1 Works before Obtaining the Consent from Securities Exchange
Commission
3
2 Works after Obtaining the Consent from Securities Exchange
Commission
6
3 Grameenphone day to day price update January 2010- January 2015. 11
4 Grameenphone monthly total no of trade January 2013- May 2015. 11
5 Grameenphone Share Distribution 12
6 Grameenphone dividend History Chart. 12
7 Grameenphone yearly Net Asset Value in Million 2004-2014. 13
8 Grameenphone yearly Earnings per Share 2004-2014. 13
6. 1
Executive summary
This study is the result of our understanding about what are IPO and IPO listing procedure in
Bangladesh. In the introduction, we have briefly discussed about IPO. What it is. In the next we
have also explained the methodology regarding this study. Secondary data and information have
been used in preparing this study. Then comes the Analysis part, where we have explained the
listing procedure. We have divide listing procedure in two Parts according to their behavior, one
is work before Consent and another is work after consent. In the whole listing procedure, the
works are separable like work before IPO consent and work after IPO consent. Here we have
tried to show the performance Grameenphone after IPO. Like all study, this assignment has also
certain limitations which were in some cases unavoidable. In the end we have concluded with a
short discussion of overall analysis
1. Introduction
Initial public offering (IPO), also referred to simply as a "public offering" or "flotation," is when
a company issues common stock or shares to the public for the first time. They are often issued
by smaller, younger companies seeking capital to expand, but can also be done by large privately
owned companies looking to become publicly traded. In an IPO the issuer may obtain the
assistance of an underwriting firm, which helps it determine what type of security to
issue(common or preferred), best offering price and time to bring it to market. For the individual
investor, it is tough to predict what the stock or shares will do on its initial day of trading and in
the near future since there is often little historical data with which to analyze the company. For
minimize the risk and attract more investor to the market The IPO has three part as mention in
the following diagram. 10% Shares are restricted for mutual fund; another 10% shares are
restricted for Non Residence Bangladeshi (NRB); and rest of the 80% shares are allocated for the
general public.
1.1 Definition of IPO
IPO means Initial Public Offering. Basically it means first sale of stock by a private company to
the public. IPOs are often issued by smaller, younger companies seeking the capital to expand,
but can also be done by large privately owned companies looking to become publicly traded.
In an IPO, the issuer obtains the assistance of an underwriting firm, which helps it determine
what type of security to issue (common or preferred), the best offering price and the time to bring
it to market. If any securities sale to more than 35 people is called a public offering, and it
requires the fill up of registration statements with the appropriate regulatory authorities.
1.2 Reasons for offering IPO
When a company lists its securities on a public exchange, the money paid by investors for the
newly-issued shares goes directly to the company. An IPO, therefore, allows a company to tap a
wide pool of investors to provide it with capital for future growth, repayment of debt or working
capital. A company selling common shares is never required to repay the capital to investors.
7. 2
Once a company is listed, it is able to issue additional common shares via a secondary offering,
thereby again providing itself with capital for expansion without incurring any debt.
This ability to quickly raise large amounts of capital from the market is a key reason many
companies seek to go public.
There are several benefits to being a public company, namely:
ďˇ Bolstering and diversifying equity base Methodology of the Study
ďˇ Enabling cheaper access to capital
ďˇ Exposure, prestige and public image
ďˇ Attracting and retaining better management and employees through liquid equity
ďˇ participation
ďˇ Facilitating acquisitions
ďˇ Creating multiple financing opportunities: equity, convertible debt, cheaper bank loans,
etc.
ďˇ Increased liquidity for equity holder
1.3 Disadvantages of an IPO:
There are several disadvantages to completing an initial public offering, namely:
ďˇ Significant legal, accounting and marketing costs
ďˇ Ongoing requirement to disclose financial and business information
ďˇ Meaningful time, effort and attention required of senior management
ďˇ Risk that required funding will not be raised
ďˇ Public dissemination of information which may be useful to competitors, suppliers and
customers.
We have used only secondary data source to conduct the study. The sources of secondary data
are: Secondary information was collected from different web site related to IPO listing procedure
in Bangladesh. We have collected much of the information through the internet and those are
mentioned in the bibliography page.
1.4 Methodology
This is a secondary data based study. Information has been collected from various secondary
sources like journal articles, annual reports of different banks, books and different websites
(stockbangladesh.com, dsebd.org, Grameenphone.com). The two objectives of the study are
subject to be achieved through the secondary data review and the qualitative discussion.
1.5 Objectives of the study
The main objectives of the study are
ďź To highlight and analyze different steps of listing procedure followed by Grameenphone
ltd.
ďź Highlights on the IPO performance of Grameenphone ltd.
8. 3
2. Initial Public Offering Process:
An initial public offering or IPO is a mechanism for companies to make available for the first
time shares of their stock. Its purpose is to either raise capital for a new company or to fulfill a
desire by an existing company to make their shares available to the public. Whether it is a new or
existing company, the IPO process follows a fairly straight forward path with precise steps along
the way.
There are some instructions you have to follow to get consent from Securities Exchange
Commission. These instructions are mandatory for investors. Through this process Investor has
to organize all the relevant information. We have divide listing procedure in two Parts according
to their behavior, one is work before Consent and another in work after consent. In the whole
listing procedure, the works are separable like work before IPO consent and work after IPO
consent.
2.1 Works before Obtaining the Consent from Securities Exchange Commission
Figure 1: Works before Obtaining the Consent from Securities Exchange Commission
Selection of Advisors
Completion of Valuation and
restructuring
Selection of Bankers to the Issue
Selection of underwriters
Collection of NOC from Lenders
Audit of Accounts
Credit Rating Report
Agreement with CDBL
Approval from Sponsors
Refund warrant guarantee
Draft Prospectus
Application Submission
Consent from SEC
9. 4
1) Selection of Advisors: Before applying for consent every company suppose to have
section of legal advisor. Legal Adviser is responsible for Security of internal information.
Local Organization usually appoints only Local Advisor and multinational organization
supposed to have two legal advisers both Local & Foreign.
2) Completion of Valuation and restructuring: Before getting consent Organization will
have to complete their total asset Valuation. Another important process is changing
organizationâs employee management and also restructuring and obtaining Reports there
on. Listed Organizationâs all top level employee usually has to follow by theAuditor.
3) Selection of Bankers to the Issue: Bankers Letter confirming opening of separate
account for IPO and accepting their appointment as such Rule -18 of Public Issue Rules
2006.Bankers to the issue will be the important stake holder and they will be responsible
for deposit and withdraw money of investors.
4) Selection of underwriters: Selection of underwriters & completing underwriting
agreement is another essential process of IPO listing procedure. Underwriters are liable
for successful float of all the shares. If the shares under subscribed, then underwriter will
have to buy and hold that particular amount of shares. But, in case of Bangladesh Capital
Market History, It never happens besides applications are over subscribe more than 10
times of offer.
5) Collection of NOC from Lenders: Collection of No Objection Certificates (NOC) from
Lenders is a mandatory to get IPO approval. Lender should have to issue a letter that
if the Company change their existing capital structure then they will not have any
objection. If the company have loan from several banks, then it is necessary to collect
NOC from all the lenders.
6) Audit of Accounts: Organization supposed to have Audit of their accounts by authorized
Auditor duly signed on each page, by the issuerâs chief executive officer/managing
director, chief financial officer and issue manager according to the Rule -3 of Public
Issue Rules 2006. The audited account shall not be older than 120 days of the end of the
period for which the Financial Statement is prepared. 10 copies of Financial Statement
have submitted to SEC, one copy each to DSE and CSE.
7) Credit Rating Report: Generally it takes at least two months to complete the Credit
Rating after the Annual Audit is completed and credit report is mandatory for IPO listing
process. Rule 18 (21) of the Public Issue Rules 2006 says that the application for consent
shall be accompanied by some exhibits including Credit Rating Report. No issue
of shares at a premium or issue of right shares shall be made by a public company unless
the issue is rated by a credit rating company and declaration about such rating is given in
the prospectus or right offer document (Sec.3 of Credit Rating Companies Rule 1996).
10. 5
8) Agreement with CDBL: Before submission of Application to SEC, it is mandatory to
complete agreement with Central Depository Bangladesh Limited (CDBL). CDBL
maintain online transaction of securities by taking some fees and they listed all the
investor in Stock Market. At present there are more than 1600000(sixteen lac investors)
in Bangladesh Capital Market. After completion of agreement now company will have to
take decision on depositing sponsors shares during Lock-in-Period with Custodial
Bank or with CDBL.
9) Approval from Sponsors: At this point of IPO process now it is necessary to take
approval from the sponsor and documentation the process, undertaking and information
from Sponsors/ Directors, Declarations, Due Diligence etc.
10) Refund warrant guarantee: Company supposed to have opened a separate Bank
Account for refund warrant purpose. It also called Mother Accounts for Refund Warrant.
Through this account Company has to refund warrant money to the investor, who will not
get the share.
11) Draft Prospectus: Before applying for IPO Company will have to drafting the a bridge
version of prospectus and dealing with Printers on printing of Prospectus, Forms, Refund
Warrants, Letter of Allotment etc.
12) Application Submission: Application has to submit to SEC for consent to Issue with
approved Prospectus and deposit the Govt. Fees of BDT 10,000. If the application is
incomplete the SEC shall inform the applicant within 28 days of receipt of application
and if the issuer fails to remove incompleteness within 30 days of communication, it shall
file fresh application. (Rule -17 of Public Issue Rules 2006)
13) Consent from SEC: if the application and information, documents are provided by the
applicant are reliable then SEC shall issue letter of Consent within 60 days of receipt
of complete application. (Rule -17(4) of Public Issue Rules 2006). If the application
submitted by the applicant is fresh and correct then usually it takes 45days to get IPO
consent.
11. 6
2.2 Works after Obtaining the Consent from Securities Exchange Commission
Figure 2: Works after Obtaining the Consent from Securities Exchange Commission
1) Submission of prospectus: After getting approval from SEC the first step is to submit
the abridged version of prospectus in SEC for approval, usually before 10-15 days prior
to opening of subscription. And also have to submit signed copy of the Prospectus with
Registrar of Joint Stock Company (RJSC) on or before the date of publication
of prospectus in newspapers. (Section 138 of Companies Act 1994)
2) Announcement for the investor: Company will have to Publish of abridged version
of prospectus in 4 newspapers (2 English + 2 Bengali) within 3 working days of the
issuance of Consent Letter (Rule 5(1) of Public Issue Rules 2006). A paper clipping
of published Abridged Version of Prospectus has to submit to SEC within 24 hours
of publication in newspapers. Issuer Company will have to submit a diskette containing
the text of vetted prospectus to SEC, DSE, CSE and Issue Manager and will have to post
the full prospectus vetted by SEC in Websites of Issuer, SEC, DSE, CSE & Issue
Manager within 3 working days of the issuance of Consent Letter (Rule 6(2) of Public
Issue Rules2006).
3) Provide full prospectus: Issuer Company will have to submit 40 copies of printed
prospectus to SEC and also submit printed copies of abridged version Prospectus and
application forms to Bangladesh Embassies by EMS of postal departments within
Submission of prospectus:
Announcement for the
investor
Provide full prospectus
Application for listing
Subscription period
Transaction rate
In case of under
subscription
Application to Stock
Exchanges for Listing
Approval of listing
12. 7
5working days from the date of publication of abridged version of prospectus in
newspapers.
4) Application for listing: At this point Applicant should apply to all Stock Exchanges in
Bangladesh and submit the vetted prospectus to the Stock Exchanges within 7 working
days from the date of issuance of the Consent Letter (Rule 17 of the Public Issue
Rules2006).
5) Subscription period: Subscription List shall be opened and sale of securities commence
after 25 days of publication of Abridged Version of Prospectus. (Rule - 5 of Public Issue
Rules 2006) Subscription List shall be closed after remain open for 5 consecutive
banking days. By NRB be made to the Issuer Company within the closing date so as to
reach the Company by the closing date plus 9 days.
6) Transaction rate: To apply spot buying rate (TT Clean) in US $ and UK pound and
Euro of Sonali Bank for subscription of NRBâs. Spot buying rate to be collected from
SonaliBank on the date of opening of subscription.
7) In case of under subscription: In case of under subscription, Issuer shall notify the
underwriter to take up underwritten shares. The time limitation is within 10 days of close
of subscription date. Full payment is to be made by the underwriter of underwritten
amount within 15 days of Issuers notice.
8) Application to Stock Exchanges for Listing: For application for Listing issuer has to
submit it to SEC attested copies of applications filed with Stock Exchanges within
7working days of issuance of consent letter (Application shall be made by the Company
at least 10 days prior to issue of first Prospectus (Regulation 3 (2) of DSE Listing
Regulations).
9) Approval of listing: Granting of listing applications by DSE and CSE for issuing the
share. The Exchange shall decide the question of granting permission within a maximum
period of 6 weeks from closure of subscription lists. (Regulation 3(3) of DSE Listing
Regulations
3. Process Followed by Grameenphone for going Public:
3.1 Activity before Obtaining the Consent from SEC:
1) Advisor selection: First companies have to select a legal advisor. Legal Adviser is
responsible for Security of internal information. Local Organization usually appoints only
one Local Advisor and multinational organization supposed to have two legal advisers both
Local & Foreign. Grameen phone appoint Barrister Ishtiak as Local advisor and City group
Legal House as Foreign legal advisor.
13. 8
2) Valuation and restructuring: Before getting consent Organization will have to Completion
of their total asset Valuation. Another important process is changing organization employee
management, also restructuring, and obtaining Reports thereon. Listed Organizationâs all top-
level employee usually has to follow by the Auditor. For example, Grameenphone changes
their Organogram in last January.
3) Selection of Bankers to the Issue: Bankers Letter confirming opening of separate account
for IPO and accepting their appointment as such Rule -18 of Public Issue Rules 2006.
Bankers to the issue will be the important stakeholder and they will be responsible for
deposit and withdraw money of investors.
4) Selection of underwriters: Selection of underwriters & completing underwriting agreement
is another essential process of IPO listing procedure. Underwriters are liable for successful
float of all the shares. If the shares under subscribed bellow the whole offer, then underwriter
will have to buy and hold that particular amount of shares. But, in case of Bangladesh Capital
Market History, It never happens besides applications are over subscribe more than 10 times
of offer.
5) Collection of NOC from Lenders: Collection of No Objection Certificates (NOC) from
Lenders is a mandatory to get IPO approval. Lender should have to issue a letter that if the
Company change their existing capital structure then they will not have any objection. If the
company have loan from several banks, then it is necessary to collect NOC from all the
lenders.
6) Audit of Accounts: Organization supposed to have Audit of their accounts by authorized
Auditor duly signed on each page, by the issuerâs chief executive officer/managing
director, chief financial officer and issue manager according to the Rule -3 of Public
Issue Rules 2006. The audited account shall not be older than 120 days of the end of the
period for which the Financial Statement is prepared. 10 copies of Financial Statement have
submitted to SEC, one copy each to DSE and CSE.
7) Credit Rating Report: Generally it takes at least two months to complete the Credit Rating
after the Annual Audit is completed and credit report is mandatory for IPO listing process.
Rule 18 (21) of the Public Issue Rules 2006 says that the application for consent shall be
accompanied by some exhibits including Credit Rating Report. No issue of shares at a
premium or issue of right shares shall be made by a public company unless a credit rating
company rates the issue and declaration about such rating is given in the prospectus or right
offer document (Sec.3 of Credit Rating Companies Rule 1996).
8) Agreement with CDBL: Before submission of Application to SEC, it is mandatory to
complete agreement with Central Depository Bangladesh Limited (CDBL). CDBL maintain
online transaction of securities by taking some fees and they listed all the investor in Stock
Market. At present there in more than 1600000(sixteen lac investors) in Bangladesh Capital
Market. After completion of agreement now company will have to take decision on
depositing sponsors shares during Lock-in-Period with Custodial Bank or with CDBL.
14. 9
9) Approval from Sponsors: At this point of IPO process now it is necessary to take approval
from the sponsor and documentation the process, undertaking and information from
Sponsors/ Directors, Declarations, Due Diligence etc. Refund warrant guarantee: Company
supposed to have opened a separate Bank Account for refund warrant purpose. It also called
Mother Accounts for Refund Warrant. Through this account Company has to refund warrant
money to the investor, who will not get the share.
10) Draft Prospectus: Before applying for IPO Company will have to drafting the abridge
version of prospectus and dealing with Printers on printing of Prospectus, Forms, Refund
Warrants, Letter of Allotment etc.
11) Application Submission: Application has to submit to SEC for consent to Issue with
approved Prospectus and deposit the Govt. Fees of BDT 10,000. If the application is
incomplete the SEC shall inform the applicant within 28 days of receipt of application and if
the issuer fails to remove incompleteness within 30 days of communication, it shall file fresh
application. (Rule -17 of Public Issue Rules 2006)
12) Consent from SEC: if the application and information, documents are provided by the
applicant are reliable then SEC shall issue letter of Consent within 60 days of receipt of
complete application.(Rule -17(4) of Public Issue Rules 2006). If the application submitted
by the applicant is fresh and correct then usually it takes 45days to get IPO consent.
3.2 Activity after Obtaining the Consent from Securities Exchange Commission:
1} Submission of prospectus: After getting approval from SEC the first step is to submit the
abridged version of prospectus in SEC for approval, usually before 10-15 days prior to
opening of subscription. And also have to submit signed copy of the Prospectus with
Registrar of Joint Stock Company (RJSC) on or before the date of publication of prospectus
in newspapers.( Section 138 of Companies Act 1994)
2) Announcement for the investor: Company will have to Publish of abridged version of
prospectus in 4 newspapers (2 English + 2 Bengali) within 3 working days of the issuance of
Consent Letter (Rule 5(1) of Public Issue Rules 2006). A paper clipping of published
Abridged Version of Prospectus has to submit to SEC within 24 hours of publication in
newspapers. Issuer Company will have to submit a diskette containing the text of vetted
prospectus to SEC, DSE, CSE and Issue Manager and will have to post the full prospectus
vetted by SEC in Websites of Issuer, SEC, DSE CSE & Issue Manager within 3 working
days of the issuance of Consent Letter (Rule 6(2) of Public Issue Rules 2006).
3) Provide full prospectus: Issuer Company will have to submit 40 copies of printed
prospectus to SEC and also submit printed copies of abridged version Prospectus and
application forms to Bangladesh Embassies by EMS of postal departments within 5 working
days from the date of publication of abridged version of prospectus in newspapers.
15. 10
4) Application for listing: At this point Applicant should apply to all Stock Exchanges in
Bangladesh and submit the vetted prospectus to the Stock Exchanges within 7 working days
from the date of issuance of the Consent Letter (Rule 17 of the Public Issue Rules 2006)
5) Subscription period: Subscription List shall be opened and sale of securities commence
after 25 days of publication of Abridged Version of Prospectus.(Rule -5 of Public Issue
Rules 2006). Subscription List shall be closed after shall remain open for 5 consecutive
banking days. By NRB be made to the Issuer Company within the closing date so as to reach
the Company by the closing date plus 9 days.
6) Transaction rate: To apply spot buying rate (TT Clean) in US $ and UK pound and Euro of
Sonali Bank for subscription of NRBâs. Spot buying rate to be collected from Sonali Bank on
the date of opening of subscription
7) In case of under subscription: In case of under subscription, Issuer shall notify the
underwriter to take up underwritten shares. The time limitation is within 10 days of close of
subscription date. Full payment has to be made by the underwriter of underwritten amount
within 15 days of Issuers notice.
8) Application to Stock Exchanges for Listing: For application for Listing issuer has to
submit it to SEC attested copies of applications filed with Stock Exchanges within 7 working
days of issuance of consent letter (Application shall be made by the Company at least 10
days prior to issue of first Prospectus (Regulation 3 (2) of DSE Listing Regulations)
9) Approval of listing: Granting of listing applications by DSE and CSE for issuing the share.
The Exchange shall decide the question of granting permission within a maximum period of
6 weeks from closure of subscription lists. (Regulation 3(3) of DSE Listing Regulations)
16. 11
4. The Performance Grameenphone after IPO
Figure 3: Grameenphone day to day price update January 2010- January 2015.
(Source: dsebd.org)
It has been noted that the Grameenphone Lowest Price 139.1 and Highest Price 398.6.
Figure 4: Grameenphone monthly total no of trade January 2013- May 2015.
(Source: dsebd.org)
From above figure it has been seemed that highest value: 5352, lowest value: 250.
17. 12
Figure 5: Grameenphone Share Distribution
(Source: Stockbangladesh.com)
Figure 6: Grameenphone dividend History Chart.
(Source: Stockbangladesh.com)
60
120
205
140 140
0
50
100
150
200
250
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
GP-DividendHistory Chart
4% 3%3%
0%
90%
Share Distribution
Institute Public Foreign Govt. Director
18. 13
Figure 7: Grameenphone yearly Net Asset Value in Million 2004-2014.
(Source: Stockbangladesh.com)
Lowest NAV in 2004-11.4m, and Highest in 2009-37.1m.
Figure 8: Grameenphone yearly Earnings per Share 2004-2014.
(Source: Stockbangladesh.com)
Lowest EPS in 2008-2009-2.5, and Highest in, 2014-14.7
11.4
15
20.2 21.5 22.7
37.1 35.6
23.6
26.3
23.1 23.2
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
GP-Yearly NAV (M)
GP-YearlyNAV (M)
5.7 5.7 6.2
2.5 2.5
12.1
7.9
14
13
10.9
14.7
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
GP-Yearly EPS
GP-YearlyEPS
19. 14
5. Analytical Findings
We want to address the current uncertainty about the timing of the IPO of Grameenphone (GP)
and why we believe a successful stock market flotation will be a pivotal catalyst in our capital
markets development.
âGrameenphone initial public offering is likely to be further delayed, despite fulfillment of the
market regulator's conditions by the mobile phone operator, putting the pre-IPO investors,
including the institutional ones in disarray. The government is now more focused on settling the
ongoing crisis stemming from the BDR mutiny.â
Clearly we all recognize the need in the immediate aftermath the BDR mutiny tragedy for the
government to deal with many pressing issues. But there is also a need to show the international
community that Bangladesh is still a good place for foreign investors to consider.
Against this backdrop, we would like to discuss why approval by the SEC for a GP flotation to
occur in Q2 is so important and address some potential concerns regulators may have: Firstly, the
largest IPO in Bangladesh's history is likely to trigger greater interest from foreign investors to
come to the Bangladesh market. There may be some potential concerns from the stock market
authorities that a fresh demand for $65 million of capital from the market might affect the values
of other stocks or indeed the overall level of the market. However, if the GP brand is sufficiently
strong domestically and internationally, we are likely to see significant new interest from foreign
as well as local investors.
Also, contrary to conventional economic wisdom, supply will likely create new demand. So we
might argue that a successful GP flotation will help support the market by attracting new
investors. This is particularly relevant as the current global stock market turmoil is increasing the
interest in frontier markets like Bangladesh, which have low correlations with global markets.
International investors will be attracted to invest in a GP issue not only on the basis of a strong
brand, but also good corporate governance and transparency.
Although the proposed IPO will be domestic rather than specifically targeted at international
investors, as was the original intention last summer, it would still be surprising if GP's first issue
did not see purchases even in the secondary market from overseas buyers.
By contrast, a second delay to the GP issue will almost certainly send a negative signal to
international investors about the commitment to developing Bangladesh's capital markets. The
risk is that they focus on other frontier markets in Asia such as Vietnam and Cambodia.
There is a great deal of competition among countries for global investor attention. We need to
ensure we maintain their interest and confidence in investing in the Bangladesh economy.
A second potential issue is the valuation of the proposed IPO. It is critical that we move away
from the net asset value (NAV) method of IPO towards a more market-based valuation method.
In that context, the proposal by the SEC to move to a book-building method of valuation is
important and should be introduced as soon as possible. No owners will sell a business at a
20. 15
massive discount to their true value and a failure to change this will see the DSE/CSE fail to
attract major companies to list.
Coming back to the GP issue, valuation techniques are complicated by typically focus on
international and local comparisons for Price/Earnings (P/E) ratios. GP does not appear
expensive to us at their Tk 7 face value that has been proposed.
Investors, who might potentially be interested in investing in GP or any other telecom companies
that come to market, need to see their future earnings growth prospect, the outlook for new 3G
(third generation) wireless networks, industry consolidation and cost reduction opportunities.
We still see significant scope for all the mobile companies in Bangladesh, including GP, to
develop a broader range of value-added services, such as mobile banking, greater internet access,
doctor on call, Cell Bazaar. This suggests the earnings prospects for them are reasonably
attractive. But ultimately, the strong demand seen for the $ 60 million pre-IPO placement seen in
December suggests valuations were not unreasonable.
In conclusion, we would argue that developing Bangladesh's capital markets is an important
objective for the government. The decision to broaden the number of asset managers is a
welcome step.
The SEC has also been taking some important initiatives in starting the book-building process.
But it is important we recognize the damage that might be caused by yet another delay to the GP
IPO.
Hopefully a successful flotation will provide the catalyst we need both to attract international
investors and for the next phase of the stock market development.
6. Conclusion
Grameenphone remains its face value at TK. 10 like other companies share price. And add
another TK 60 as premium. It adds because of company gradual increase of profit and reputation
in cellular phone market. As because of participating in Grameenphone IPO more than two
lakeâs new BO (beneficiary owner) account open in different broker house. As a result many
broker house increase their client and got more money to run their business. It was assumed
previously that if Grameenphone comes into stock market then a massive penetration will occur
in market. Like assumption reality is something different, that is because of Grameenphone
Many people invest in share market but Grameenphone share not increase as so high as expected.
In this report we found that Grameenphone donât have the full privilege to fix the Initial Public
Offering price by itself as Bangladesh Stock Exchange regulatory committee needs to approve it.
Grameenphone made a history by introducing the largest budget on share and brought a huge
change in the capital market in Bangladesh.
21. 16
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