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International Trade

Achievement Standard 90795
          4 Credits
     Externally Assessed
90795 - International Trade
ECONOMICS                                                        18
                                                                                                             94%
                                                                                                                    100%

Level Two
                                                                 16                                                 90%
AS90795
                                                                      80%
An excellent rate of achievement at                              14                                   75%
                                                                                                                    80%
94%.                                                                               73%

Of the 16 students who attempted the                                                                                70%
paper 3 gained E and 7 gained                                    12
M, representing a well above 50% rate




                                          No. papers attempted
                                                                                                                    60%
of M/E.
                                                                 10




                                                                                                                           Pass Rates
Continuing improvement in
                                                                                                                    50%
achievement trends reflects proactive
classroom strategies and, in 2010, a                             8
strong group of motivated and                                                                                       40%
interested students.
                                                                 6
                                                                                                                    30%
OVERALL
                                                                 4
   Review markers report when                                                                                       20%
   available and analyse areas of
   weakness. Rectify.                                            2                                                  10%
   TARGET maintain E/M percentage
   in 2011. Maintain pass at
   minimum of 80%.                                               0                                                  0%
                                                                      2007         2008               2009   2010
   Continue with strategies around
   student lead lessons and on-line                                                       E   M   A     N
   curriculum support

                                      Analysis of 2010 NCEA results - Source: NZQA
AS Content
The description of international trade will involve a
   selection from:
• examples of international trade in goods and services
• sources of imports and export markets
• the balance of payments.
AS Content
The use of economic models to illustrate causes of international
   trade will involve a selection from:
• basis of trade using production possibility frontier to show
   absolute and comparative advantage
• supply and demand analysis to show how the prevailing world
   prices, the cost of production, and domestic demand
   determine the quantities exported and imported, using the
   two country model and the model of New Zealand as a price
   taker.
AS Content
The effects of international trade will involve a
   selection from:
• the classification of transactions in New Zealand’s
   Balance of Payments and International Investment
   Position
• links between fluctuations in trade and the growth
   and contraction of domestic industries
• flow-on effects of these fluctuations in trade on
   growth and inflation.
AS Content – Government Policy on
              Trade

Government economic policy objectives will
  be selected from:
• price stability
• economic growth

• a balance of payments.
AS Content – Government Policy on
                Trade
• trade agreements and organisations (eg Closer
   Economic Relations, World Trade
   Organisation, European Union)
• trade regulations (eg tariffs, quotas)
• government policies to promote trade
• free trade versus protectionism
• policy responses to unforeseen and external
   influences
• impact of trade policies on growth and inflation.
Unit Plan
WEEK                  1                              2                          3                         4
       Explain the business cycle        Business cycle             Introduction to             Friday Five
1      Identify stages in the business   continued                  International Trade         Examples of successful
       cycle                             US resit opportunity       How important is trade to   export and import
       Explain the impact on the                                    New Zealand                 companies
       economy at different stages                                  Review statistics

2      Identify key import and export    Illustrate a world map     World trade statistics
       markets and products              depicting News             Review trade in services.
       Identify volumes/values and       Zealand’s trade            A closer look at NZ
       discuss                           Use statistics to          tourism stats
                                         illustrate the change in
                                         trade

3      Explain Comparative               Review concept             Review Gains from Trade     DO group work task on
       advantage and absolute            Comparative Advantage      and complete exercises      PPC models.
       advantage                         Explain Gains from trade   using PPC model             Students to present
       Use PPC curves to explain the     using a PPC model          illustrations               back work as a group.
       basis of trade                                                                           See Trade 5
       Page 154, W/o notes
       Explain the basis of trade        Review concepts and        Explain the impact of       Review concepts and
4      using Supply and Demand           complete exercises         changes in COP on S and     complete exercises
       model                                                        changes in D on the
       Explain the two country                                      model
       model
       Explain a horizontal world
       supply curve.
Unit Plan
WEEK                  1                             2                           3                          4
       Describe what can be traded.      Balance of Payments        Describe BOP                 Exercises and tasks
5      Define Visibles and Invisibles,   Define BOP and its         Define the financial
       Onshore and offshore services     relevance in NZ            Account and its
       Explain regional trade and        Define the Current         components
       present examples in NZ            account and its
                                         components
                                         Define the Capital
                                         Account and its
                                         components

6      Explain the exchange rate         Exercises and tasks        Define the terms of trade
       using the D and S model                                      and their relevance to the
       Explain appreciation and                                     NZ economy
       depreciation of exchange rate
       Explain the trade weighted
       index

7      Define the trade cycle and        Explain and evaluate the   Explain and evaluate the     Use Ratfink
       fluctuations in trade.            economic effects of        economic effects of
       Give examples of sunrise and      changing trade patterns    changing trade patterns      Resources 13
       sunset industries                 Possible case study or
       Explain the flow on effects of    research task here?
       changing trade patterns
Unit Plan
WEEK                 1                    2        3   4
       Evaluate concepts around free
8      trade and protectionism in NZ
       and around the world
       Explain the role of the WTO
       and the World Bank
9      Explain and evaluate the
       success or otherwise of
       Government policies related
       to international trade

10     Investigate the impacts and
       effects of Globalisation
Resources
• Link to Activities
• Links to Statistics, NZ Trade and Enterprise,
  Extra tuition,
• Links to other PowerPoint on trade, plus one
  on BOP and Exchange Rates
LEVEL 2 ECONOMICS
AS2.2 Describe international trade and its causes and effects using economic models

The Importance of Trade to New Zealand
Understanding Economic Issues (Pages 130-226)                                                      Monday
See resources                                                                                28th Mar 2011

                         Why trade is important to the
                         New Zealand Economy (the
                         value of trade in relation to
                         GDP)
                         The major trade partners and                                         DO
    KNOW                                                                                  Whakamahi
   Matauranga            goods and services
                                                                                      o Board work
                           Why New Zealand must trade                                 o Note taking
                           in order to gain access to many                            oWorkbook Page
                           of the goods and services we                               137
 UNDERSTAND                consume.
   Whakamarama




THINKING – MANAGING SELF – PARTICIPATING AND CONTRIBUTING - RELATING TO OTHERS – USING LANGUAGE, SYMBOLS and TEXT
Why is Trade Important?




http://www.treasury.govt.nz/economy/overview/2008/nzefo-08.pdf
Why is Trade Important?




http://www.treasury.govt.nz/economy/overview/2008/nzefo-08.pdf
New Zealand's Leading export
         destinations
                                Australia


                                United States


                                Peoples Republic of
                                China
                                Japan


                                Other




Australia                     23%
United States                 10%
Peoples Republic of China   9.10%
Japan                       7.10%
Other                         51%
New Zealand's Major Import
        Locations


                             Australia
                             Peoples Republic of China
                             United States
                             Japan
                             Other




 Australia                               18.50%
 Peoples Republic of China               15.20%
 United States                           10.80%
 Japan                                    7.30%
 Other                                   48.20%
New Zealand’s highest exported
       goods by value

                                 Dairy Produce


                                 Meat and Edible Offal


                                 Wood and articles of
                                 wood
                                 Minerals


                                 Other




     Dairy Produce                  20.20%
     Meat and Edible Offal          13.00%
     Wood and articles of wood       5.80%
     Minerals                        4.80%
     Other                          76.20%
New Zealand’s highest imported
       goods by value


                              Mineral fuels
                              Mechanical Machinery
                              Electrical machinery
                              Vehicles
                              Other




       Mineral fuels          14.40%
       Mechanical Machinery   12.70%
       Electrical machinery   10.10%
       Vehicles                7.90%
       Other                  54.90%
New Zealand’s top overall export
categories (either goods or services) by
              dollar value.

                                                  Dairy Produce


                                                  Meat and edible meat
                                                  offal
                                                  Wood and arti cles of
                                                  wood
                                                  Mineral fuels




                   (Dollar Amounts in Millions)

 Dairy Produce                         $8,016
 Meat and edible meat offal            $5,142
 Wood and arti cles of wood            $2,314
 Mineral fuels                         $1,891
NZ GDP 2008

                                      Consumption Spending
          19%
                M
                          C     36%   Gross Fixed Capital
                                      Formation (Investment)
      X                               Government

18%
                G     I               Change in Stocks

  0%                                  Exports
          12%             15%
                                      Imports
Major Export Markets - Goods
2008 Top Export Markets - Goods

                    24%

                                Australia
                                United States
                                Japan
      53%                 10%   China
                                All Other

                     8%
               5%
Major Export Products
2008 Major Export Goods

                      23%


                              Dairy
                              Meat
                              Timber
  52%                         Machinery
                        12%   All Other



                 8%
            5%
Major Import Markets
2008 Top Import Sources

                  19%



                               Australia
                               China
                         13%   US
   50%
                               Japan
                               All Other

                    9%


             9%
Major Import Products
2008 Top Imported Goods
                    18%




                                13%
50%

                                      Mineral Fuels
                                      Mechanical Machinery
                                      Vehicles
                          11%         Electrical Machinery
                                      All Other
               8%
Task




Annotate the world map with New Zealand’s major export
and import destinations, including the major products to each
location
World Trade




http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_exports

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_imports
Major Exports of Goods and Servcies
       in New Zealand 2008


                  18%
                                Tourism
                                Dairy
44%
                                Meat
                        18%     Timber
                                Machinery
                                All Other
                  10%
        4%   6%
LEVEL 2 ECONOMICS
AS2.2 Describe international trade and its causes and effects using economic models

The Importance of Tourism to New Zealand
Understanding Economic Issues (Pages 130-226)                                                      Monday
See resources                                                                                 4th April 2011

                         Why tourism is important to
                         the New Zealand Economy
                         (the value of tourism in
                         relation to GDP)
                         The major tourist markets                                            DO
    KNOW                                                                                  Whakamahi
   Matauranga
                                                                                      o Board work
                           Why New Zealand must                                       o Note taking
                           develop tourism as an export                               oWorkbook Page

 UNDERSTAND
   Whakamarama




THINKING – MANAGING SELF – PARTICIPATING AND CONTRIBUTING - RELATING TO OTHERS – USING LANGUAGE, SYMBOLS and TEXT
Which of the following characteristics are commonly associated with a cyclical downturn?

 (i)       declining incomes and employment opportunities
 (ii)      rising general level of prices
 (iii)     a contraction in new investment

 (a)       (i) & (ii) only                         (c)       (ii) & (iii) only
 (b)       (i) & (iii) only                        (d)       all of the above

An inflationary gap occurs when the level of
(a)        aggregate expenditure is greater than that required for full employment level of
           income and output
(b)        aggregate expenditure is greater than the supply of output at current levels of
           income
(c)        spending by households and firms causes output to contract
(d)        net investment causes a multiplier effect greater than expected by firms


Which of these would not be evident in the peak of the business cycle?
(a)      a decreasing unemployment rate
(b)      spending on consumer durables
(c)      falling interest rates
(d)      rising investment expenditures
Fiscal policy refers to the manipulation of government income and expenditure to
           (a)        control the volume and price of money
           (b)        limit the rate of increase in incomes
           (c)        affect the value of $NZ on world financial markets
           (d)        affect the level of total expenditure, output and employment

If the New Zealand government wishes to reduce the level of economic activity in the
economy, appropriate fiscal policy would be
          (a)      bond sales by the central bank to the money market
          (b)      decrease spending and/or increase the level of taxation
          (c)      increase spending and/or decrease the level of taxation
          (d)      decrease spending and/or decrease the level of taxation

A loosening of monetary policy by the Reserve Bank will lead to
          (a)     higher interest rates and an expansion in the money supply
          (b)     higher interest rates and a contraction in the money supply
          (c)     lower interest rates and an expansion in the money supply
          (d)     lower interest rates and a contraction in the money supply
The main purpose of monetary policy is to
         (a)      regulate the behaviour of financial institutions
         (b)      regulate the level of household saving
         (c)      influence the level of economic activity
         (d)      control the value of $NZ on world currency markets

The effect of a contractionary monetary policy on aggregate demand can result in
          (a)       a higher level of economic growth
          (b)       a lower budget deficit
          (c)       a lower value of $NZ
          (d)       an increase in welfare payments
The level of business investment is influenced mainly by
          (a)       changes in savings levels
          (b)       changes in income levels
          (c)       changes in nominal interest rates
          (d)       changes in real interest rates

High rates of inflation in New Zealand tend to be associated with
          (a)         high real interest rates
          (b)         high nominal interest rates
          (c)         low real interest rates
          (d)         low nominal interest rates
Tourism to New Zealand
• Identify the importance of tourism to New
  Zealand’s total exports
• Who are New Zealand’s major tourist sources?
• Explain trends in New Zealand’s tourism
  export industry
Where do our tourists come from 2008
                      Other
    Americas
                       3%
      12%




                              Oceania
    Europe                     44%
     21%




               Asia
               20%
Why are tourists coming
      2%
            6%
                               Holiday/vacation

     10%                       Visit friends/relatives

3%                             Conference/convention
                               Business
                       48%
                               Education/medical
                               Other(5)


     31%
The Changing contribution of Tourism and Dairy to
             New Zealand total Exports 1999 - 2009
60000

50000
                                                                                     Total Exports
                                                                                     Dairy
40000                                                                                Tourism
30000

20000

10000

   0
        1999
               2000
                      2001
                             2002
                                    2003
                                           2004
                                                  2005
                                                         2006
                                                                2007
                                                                       2008
                                                                              2009
NZ Economy
Summary Stats – 2007!
• GDP = $165 billion

• EXPORTS = $48 billion 0r 29% of GDP

• TOURISM = $8.8 billion or 18% of exports
  followed by Dairy $6.4 b, Meat $4.4 b, Wood
  $2.1 b and Machinery $1.5 b.

• IMPORTS = $50 billion
So why international trade?

• Access goods and services not available in
  New Zealand e.g. Oil in sufficient quantities –
  exports earn overseas currency which allows us to purchase overseas
  goods

• NZ can specialise in what we are best at and
  buy everything else from others
Trends in Trade
Friday Five
Questions 3 and 4 are based on the following hypothetical figures for a country’s
balance of payments in the year 2000
Current Account $ billion
Merchandise exports          95.5
Merchandise imports          92.0
Net services                 -6.8
Net income                   -31.5
Net unrequited transfers       4.8
3 The balance of merchandise trade is
(a)      -$7.5 b                  (c)             $7.5 b
(b)      -$3.5 b                  (d)             $3.5 b

4        The balance on goods and services is equal to
(a)      - $ 10.3 b               (c)      - $ 6.8 b
(b)      - $ 3.3 b                (d)      - $ 2.3 b
In an open economy, when national income rises, other things being equal
(a) total exports tend to fall
(b) total imports tend to rise
(c) total imports tend to fall
(d) imports and exports remain largely unchanged

A reduction in the current account deficit is most likely to occur when
(a) there is an increase in borrowings from overseas
(b) interest rates throughout the world are rising
(c) higher tariffs are imposed by other countries on New Zealand’s goods
(d) the domestic rate of inflation is falling

The largest and most stable component of aggregate demand is
(a)       saving
(b)       consumption
(c)       exports
(d)       income
LEVEL 2 ECONOMICS
AS2.2 Describe international trade and its causes and effects using economic models

Basis of Trade - PPC
See resources

                         The definition of absolute and
                         comparative advantage

                                                                                              DO
    KNOW                                                                                  Whakamahi
   Matauranga
                                                                                      o Board work
                           How to identify a country with                             o Note taking
                           comparative advantage                                      oWorkbook Page

 UNDERSTAND
                                                                                      oP153
   Whakamarama




THINKING – MANAGING SELF – PARTICIPATING AND CONTRIBUTING - RELATING TO OTHERS – USING LANGUAGE, SYMBOLS and TEXT
The Basis Of Trade
Why do Nations Trade?
TRADE ALLOWS nations to consume beyond their maximum
domestic production possibility curve.

There is an uneven distribution of natural, human and capital
resources among nations. Therefore different countries have
comparative advantages (NOT absolute) on different products.

Efficient production of various goods requires different technologies
and combinations of resources. Thus it may be more efficient if
countries specialize.


http://welkerswikinomics.wetpaint.com/page/Comparative+Advantage
The Basis Of Trade
                  Comparative Advantage


Total output will be greatest when each good is
produced by the nation that has the lowest
opportunity cost domestically for that good.



 It's beneficial for a country to specialize and trade even if
 that country is more productive than the possible trading
 partners in everything (absolute advantage).

 If there are relative cost differences in the production
 process, countries should specialize.
The Basis Of Trade
              Comparative Advantage


       Country A                    Country B
Wool                        Wool

 200
                              100



                   400                          500
                     Meat                   Meat

         TWO THEORETICAL COUNTRIES
       Each making the same two products
The Basis Of Trade
              Comparative Advantage


       Country A                         Country B
Wool                         Wool

 200
                                100



                   400                                500
                     Meat                            Meat

               Absolute Advantage
            Can make more with available resources
The Basis Of Trade
                      Comparative Advantage
           Country A                               Country B
Wool                                   Wool

  200
                                         100



                           400                                     500
                             Meat                                Meat
200 Wool = 400 Meat therefore              100 Wool = 500 Meat therefore
1 Wool = 2 Meat (opportunity cost)         1 Wool = 5 Meat (opportunity cost)

400 Meat = 200 Wool therefore              500 Meat = 100 Wool therefore
1 Meat = 0.5 Wool (opportunity cost)       1 Meat = 0.2 Wool (opportunity cost)
The Basis Of Trade
                     Comparative Advantage
          Country A                          Country B
Wool                                Wool

 200
                                      100



                           400                              500
                             Meat                         Meat
       1 Wool = 2 Meat                      1 Wool = 5 Meat
       1 Meat = 0.5 Wool                    1 Meat = 0.2 Wool

   Should specialise                        Should specialise
                                 Should
   in Wool because                trade     in Meat because
      better at it                             better at it!
The Basis Of Trade
                  Comparative Advantage
         Country A           Wool    Country B
Wool


   200

                               100
   100
                                50


            200        400                250    500

                         Meat                          Meat
The Basis Of Trade
                        Comparative Advantage
             Country A                Wool          Country B
Wool

                 Export 100                      Import 100
                 Still consume 100               consume 50 more
   200

                                        100                    Export 250
   100                                                         Still consume 250
                                            50


                  200          400                       250        500

                                     Meat                                 Meat

         Import 250
         consume 50 more
The Basis Of Trade
               Comparative Advantage

        Country A                      Country B
Wool                         Wool



  200
                              100
  100
                               50

         200        400                 250         500
                      Meat                         Meat
Trade

Review the idea of
Comparative Advantage

Explain Gains from trade using
the PPC model
What do you remember?


    Without trade, what is each
    country able to consume?
What do you remember?



  Explain opportunity cost with reference
  to these diagrams
Opportunity Cost is the cost of the next best opportunity
forgone when a choice is made. In this example the choice
to produce fish means milk must be sacrificed.

In NZ, milk units cost 0.67 fish units while in Scotland milk
units cost 2 fish units. NZ sacrifices the least (has the
lowest opportunity cost and therefore is more efficient
(has comparative advantage in milk production).

In NZ fish units cost 1.5 milk units while in Scotland fish
units cost 0.5 milk units. Scotland sacrifices fewer milk
units to make fish and therefore is more efficient.
What do you remember?


    Explain absolute advantage with
    reference to these diagrams
What do you remember?


Explain comparative advantage with
reference to these diagrams
Comparative Advantage



A country should specialise in the
production of those goods that it
is relatively more efficient at
producing (in terms of costs and
resources used)
Comparative Advantage
Comparative Advantage

Current Output by sharing resources between milk and fish
COUNTRY        MILK     FISH      Ratio of  Ratio of fish
               (units) (units) milk         output to milk
                                  output to output
                                  fish
                                  output
NEW              15        10
ZEALAND
SCOTLAND          4         8
The possible gains from
         trade


Current output/consumption by sharing
resources between milk and fish
COUNTRY           MILK          FISH
NEW                15            10
ZEALAND
SCOTLAND            4             8
The possible gains from trade

      Assume a $ for $ trade we can see how both
      countries are better off by specialising and
      trading
The possible gains from trade

        NZ can export
        8 units of milk
        To Scotland

                          Scotland can export
                          8 units of fish
                          To NZ
The possible gains from trade


      NZ consumes more
      milk and less fish but
      eats beyond its own
      PPC                      Scotland consumes
                               twice the milk and
                               the same quantity of
                               fish and eats beyond
                               its own PPC
Exam
Question
Exam Question 2007
Exam Question 2007
   Model answer
Exam Question 2007
Exam Question 2007
   Model answer
Exam Question 2007
Exam Question 2007
   Model answer
Demand and Supply Model
• Explain the basis of trade using Supply and
  Demand model

• Explain the two country model

• Explain a horizontal world supply curve.
Basis of Trade - Coverage
• Determining quantities imported and
  exported – what are the influencing factors?
• How technology and factor endowments
  affect the cost of production
• What are the influences on demand and
  supply?
• How trade policy affects the model
Assumptions
• Demand and Supply Theory applies
• Use two country, single good model
• Relative prices are compared in in NZ dollars
Demand and Supply Model
            The New Zealand                                        The American
            beef market                                            beef market

Price                                                                                          Sus
                                                      Price
(NZ$)                                                 (NZ$)
    10                                                        10



        8                                                     8

                                               Snz
        6                                                     6


        4                                                     4


        2                                                     2                                      Dnz

                                      Dnz
             100   200    300   400    500     600                   100   200   300   400    500     600

                                            Quantity                                         Quantity
                                            (000 tonnes)                                     (000 tonnes)
The New Zealand beef market                                  The American beef market

Price                                                        Price                                           Sus
(NZ$)                                                        (NZ$)

        10                                                           10


        8                                                            8

                                                       Snz
        6                                                            6


        4                                                            4


        2                                                            2                                             Dnz
                                                Dnz

                100    200    300       400      500   600                    100      200   300    400     500     600

                      Quantity (000 tonnes)                                         Quantity (000 tonnes)


             New Zealand            Surplus -                             American             Shortage -
             domestic               Exports                               domestic             Imports
             consumption                                                  production


             New Zealand production                                       American Consumption
•Review the basis of trade as illustrated in
the demand and supply model

•Analyse the impact on consumers and
producers of trade
Demand and Supply Model
•Answer questions on the basis of trade
REVIEW
using the D & S model
Exam Question
Exam Question
Exam Question




Plus hand outs from Economic Issues
On oyster market and rugby jerseys
Decrease in overseas demand
      The New Zealand beef market                    The American beef market
                                                                                  Sus




                                         Snz
Pw                                             Pw
Pwš                                            Pwš                                      Dus


                                   Dnz



               Quantity (000 tonnes)                      Quantity (000 tonnes)
                             X                                          M
                             Xš                                    Mš
Objectives
                31st Oct 2001
• Explain the impact of exchange rates on
  international trade

• Define Factor Endowment for a country

• Describe how a countries factor endowments
  affects its trade

• Preview Test on Thursday
Exchange Rates
• Demand for $NZ is created by the demand for
  our goods and services
• Higher the demand for NZ currency (ceteris
  parbus) the higher the price
• Supply of $NZ generated by our demand for
  imports.
Exchange Rates
The price of a unit of local currency
  expressed in terms of another
PAGE 190 - 193 Write on Notes

            Organise into 4 groups
          EXPERTS LEARN and TEACH



     Question 1
                                   Question 2

                   No. off 1 - 4
                   10 – 15 Mins


     Question 3                    Question 4
Factor Endowments
• Refers to scarcity or abundance of a countries
  resources
• Basis of trade largely related to differences in
  FE’s between countries.
• Abundant resources sees tendency towards
  utilisation of that resource in production –
  Why?                       Lower Costs
• Therefore NZ focus on agriculture
Factor Endowments
      Middle East oil market                          New Zealand oil market
                                                                               Snz
                                                                                           Snz1



                                          Sme

                                                Pw
Pw
                                                Pwš
Pwš
                                                                                     Dnz
                                          Dme


                      X        Quantity                                   Quantity
                                                                      M
                       Xš
                                                                             Mš
Free Trade and Protectionism

What is Free Trade?
  Trade between nations without government
  intervention (protection)

What is Protectionism?
    Government intervention in
    trade between nations
What protection?

Tariffs/ Subsidies

Import licenses or quotas

Embargoes

Red tape
Tariffs – effect on the market model



                               Use notebook software
                  Sme          On the board




                  Dme



                    Quantity
Trade Agreements

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International trade lessons

  • 1. International Trade Achievement Standard 90795 4 Credits Externally Assessed
  • 2. 90795 - International Trade ECONOMICS 18 94% 100% Level Two 16 90% AS90795 80% An excellent rate of achievement at 14 75% 80% 94%. 73% Of the 16 students who attempted the 70% paper 3 gained E and 7 gained 12 M, representing a well above 50% rate No. papers attempted 60% of M/E. 10 Pass Rates Continuing improvement in 50% achievement trends reflects proactive classroom strategies and, in 2010, a 8 strong group of motivated and 40% interested students. 6 30% OVERALL 4 Review markers report when 20% available and analyse areas of weakness. Rectify. 2 10% TARGET maintain E/M percentage in 2011. Maintain pass at minimum of 80%. 0 0% 2007 2008 2009 2010 Continue with strategies around student lead lessons and on-line E M A N curriculum support Analysis of 2010 NCEA results - Source: NZQA
  • 3. AS Content The description of international trade will involve a selection from: • examples of international trade in goods and services • sources of imports and export markets • the balance of payments.
  • 4. AS Content The use of economic models to illustrate causes of international trade will involve a selection from: • basis of trade using production possibility frontier to show absolute and comparative advantage • supply and demand analysis to show how the prevailing world prices, the cost of production, and domestic demand determine the quantities exported and imported, using the two country model and the model of New Zealand as a price taker.
  • 5. AS Content The effects of international trade will involve a selection from: • the classification of transactions in New Zealand’s Balance of Payments and International Investment Position • links between fluctuations in trade and the growth and contraction of domestic industries • flow-on effects of these fluctuations in trade on growth and inflation.
  • 6. AS Content – Government Policy on Trade Government economic policy objectives will be selected from: • price stability • economic growth • a balance of payments.
  • 7. AS Content – Government Policy on Trade • trade agreements and organisations (eg Closer Economic Relations, World Trade Organisation, European Union) • trade regulations (eg tariffs, quotas) • government policies to promote trade • free trade versus protectionism • policy responses to unforeseen and external influences • impact of trade policies on growth and inflation.
  • 8. Unit Plan WEEK 1 2 3 4 Explain the business cycle Business cycle Introduction to Friday Five 1 Identify stages in the business continued International Trade Examples of successful cycle US resit opportunity How important is trade to export and import Explain the impact on the New Zealand companies economy at different stages Review statistics 2 Identify key import and export Illustrate a world map World trade statistics markets and products depicting News Review trade in services. Identify volumes/values and Zealand’s trade A closer look at NZ discuss Use statistics to tourism stats illustrate the change in trade 3 Explain Comparative Review concept Review Gains from Trade DO group work task on advantage and absolute Comparative Advantage and complete exercises PPC models. advantage Explain Gains from trade using PPC model Students to present Use PPC curves to explain the using a PPC model illustrations back work as a group. basis of trade See Trade 5 Page 154, W/o notes Explain the basis of trade Review concepts and Explain the impact of Review concepts and 4 using Supply and Demand complete exercises changes in COP on S and complete exercises model changes in D on the Explain the two country model model Explain a horizontal world supply curve.
  • 9. Unit Plan WEEK 1 2 3 4 Describe what can be traded. Balance of Payments Describe BOP Exercises and tasks 5 Define Visibles and Invisibles, Define BOP and its Define the financial Onshore and offshore services relevance in NZ Account and its Explain regional trade and Define the Current components present examples in NZ account and its components Define the Capital Account and its components 6 Explain the exchange rate Exercises and tasks Define the terms of trade using the D and S model and their relevance to the Explain appreciation and NZ economy depreciation of exchange rate Explain the trade weighted index 7 Define the trade cycle and Explain and evaluate the Explain and evaluate the Use Ratfink fluctuations in trade. economic effects of economic effects of Give examples of sunrise and changing trade patterns changing trade patterns Resources 13 sunset industries Possible case study or Explain the flow on effects of research task here? changing trade patterns
  • 10. Unit Plan WEEK 1 2 3 4 Evaluate concepts around free 8 trade and protectionism in NZ and around the world Explain the role of the WTO and the World Bank 9 Explain and evaluate the success or otherwise of Government policies related to international trade 10 Investigate the impacts and effects of Globalisation
  • 11. Resources • Link to Activities • Links to Statistics, NZ Trade and Enterprise, Extra tuition, • Links to other PowerPoint on trade, plus one on BOP and Exchange Rates
  • 12. LEVEL 2 ECONOMICS AS2.2 Describe international trade and its causes and effects using economic models The Importance of Trade to New Zealand Understanding Economic Issues (Pages 130-226) Monday See resources 28th Mar 2011 Why trade is important to the New Zealand Economy (the value of trade in relation to GDP) The major trade partners and DO KNOW Whakamahi Matauranga goods and services o Board work Why New Zealand must trade o Note taking in order to gain access to many oWorkbook Page of the goods and services we 137 UNDERSTAND consume. Whakamarama THINKING – MANAGING SELF – PARTICIPATING AND CONTRIBUTING - RELATING TO OTHERS – USING LANGUAGE, SYMBOLS and TEXT
  • 13. Why is Trade Important? http://www.treasury.govt.nz/economy/overview/2008/nzefo-08.pdf
  • 14. Why is Trade Important? http://www.treasury.govt.nz/economy/overview/2008/nzefo-08.pdf
  • 15. New Zealand's Leading export destinations Australia United States Peoples Republic of China Japan Other Australia 23% United States 10% Peoples Republic of China 9.10% Japan 7.10% Other 51%
  • 16. New Zealand's Major Import Locations Australia Peoples Republic of China United States Japan Other Australia 18.50% Peoples Republic of China 15.20% United States 10.80% Japan 7.30% Other 48.20%
  • 17. New Zealand’s highest exported goods by value Dairy Produce Meat and Edible Offal Wood and articles of wood Minerals Other Dairy Produce 20.20% Meat and Edible Offal 13.00% Wood and articles of wood 5.80% Minerals 4.80% Other 76.20%
  • 18. New Zealand’s highest imported goods by value Mineral fuels Mechanical Machinery Electrical machinery Vehicles Other Mineral fuels 14.40% Mechanical Machinery 12.70% Electrical machinery 10.10% Vehicles 7.90% Other 54.90%
  • 19. New Zealand’s top overall export categories (either goods or services) by dollar value. Dairy Produce Meat and edible meat offal Wood and arti cles of wood Mineral fuels (Dollar Amounts in Millions) Dairy Produce $8,016 Meat and edible meat offal $5,142 Wood and arti cles of wood $2,314 Mineral fuels $1,891
  • 20. NZ GDP 2008 Consumption Spending 19% M C 36% Gross Fixed Capital Formation (Investment) X Government 18% G I Change in Stocks 0% Exports 12% 15% Imports
  • 22. 2008 Top Export Markets - Goods 24% Australia United States Japan 53% 10% China All Other 8% 5%
  • 24. 2008 Major Export Goods 23% Dairy Meat Timber 52% Machinery 12% All Other 8% 5%
  • 26. 2008 Top Import Sources 19% Australia China 13% US 50% Japan All Other 9% 9%
  • 28. 2008 Top Imported Goods 18% 13% 50% Mineral Fuels Mechanical Machinery Vehicles 11% Electrical Machinery All Other 8%
  • 29. Task Annotate the world map with New Zealand’s major export and import destinations, including the major products to each location
  • 31. Major Exports of Goods and Servcies in New Zealand 2008 18% Tourism Dairy 44% Meat 18% Timber Machinery All Other 10% 4% 6%
  • 32. LEVEL 2 ECONOMICS AS2.2 Describe international trade and its causes and effects using economic models The Importance of Tourism to New Zealand Understanding Economic Issues (Pages 130-226) Monday See resources 4th April 2011 Why tourism is important to the New Zealand Economy (the value of tourism in relation to GDP) The major tourist markets DO KNOW Whakamahi Matauranga o Board work Why New Zealand must o Note taking develop tourism as an export oWorkbook Page UNDERSTAND Whakamarama THINKING – MANAGING SELF – PARTICIPATING AND CONTRIBUTING - RELATING TO OTHERS – USING LANGUAGE, SYMBOLS and TEXT
  • 33. Which of the following characteristics are commonly associated with a cyclical downturn? (i) declining incomes and employment opportunities (ii) rising general level of prices (iii) a contraction in new investment (a) (i) & (ii) only (c) (ii) & (iii) only (b) (i) & (iii) only (d) all of the above An inflationary gap occurs when the level of (a) aggregate expenditure is greater than that required for full employment level of income and output (b) aggregate expenditure is greater than the supply of output at current levels of income (c) spending by households and firms causes output to contract (d) net investment causes a multiplier effect greater than expected by firms Which of these would not be evident in the peak of the business cycle? (a) a decreasing unemployment rate (b) spending on consumer durables (c) falling interest rates (d) rising investment expenditures
  • 34. Fiscal policy refers to the manipulation of government income and expenditure to (a) control the volume and price of money (b) limit the rate of increase in incomes (c) affect the value of $NZ on world financial markets (d) affect the level of total expenditure, output and employment If the New Zealand government wishes to reduce the level of economic activity in the economy, appropriate fiscal policy would be (a) bond sales by the central bank to the money market (b) decrease spending and/or increase the level of taxation (c) increase spending and/or decrease the level of taxation (d) decrease spending and/or decrease the level of taxation A loosening of monetary policy by the Reserve Bank will lead to (a) higher interest rates and an expansion in the money supply (b) higher interest rates and a contraction in the money supply (c) lower interest rates and an expansion in the money supply (d) lower interest rates and a contraction in the money supply
  • 35. The main purpose of monetary policy is to (a) regulate the behaviour of financial institutions (b) regulate the level of household saving (c) influence the level of economic activity (d) control the value of $NZ on world currency markets The effect of a contractionary monetary policy on aggregate demand can result in (a) a higher level of economic growth (b) a lower budget deficit (c) a lower value of $NZ (d) an increase in welfare payments The level of business investment is influenced mainly by (a) changes in savings levels (b) changes in income levels (c) changes in nominal interest rates (d) changes in real interest rates High rates of inflation in New Zealand tend to be associated with (a) high real interest rates (b) high nominal interest rates (c) low real interest rates (d) low nominal interest rates
  • 36. Tourism to New Zealand • Identify the importance of tourism to New Zealand’s total exports • Who are New Zealand’s major tourist sources? • Explain trends in New Zealand’s tourism export industry
  • 37.
  • 38. Where do our tourists come from 2008 Other Americas 3% 12% Oceania Europe 44% 21% Asia 20%
  • 39.
  • 40. Why are tourists coming 2% 6% Holiday/vacation 10% Visit friends/relatives 3% Conference/convention Business 48% Education/medical Other(5) 31%
  • 41. The Changing contribution of Tourism and Dairy to New Zealand total Exports 1999 - 2009 60000 50000 Total Exports Dairy 40000 Tourism 30000 20000 10000 0 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
  • 43. Summary Stats – 2007! • GDP = $165 billion • EXPORTS = $48 billion 0r 29% of GDP • TOURISM = $8.8 billion or 18% of exports followed by Dairy $6.4 b, Meat $4.4 b, Wood $2.1 b and Machinery $1.5 b. • IMPORTS = $50 billion
  • 44. So why international trade? • Access goods and services not available in New Zealand e.g. Oil in sufficient quantities – exports earn overseas currency which allows us to purchase overseas goods • NZ can specialise in what we are best at and buy everything else from others
  • 46. Friday Five Questions 3 and 4 are based on the following hypothetical figures for a country’s balance of payments in the year 2000 Current Account $ billion Merchandise exports 95.5 Merchandise imports 92.0 Net services -6.8 Net income -31.5 Net unrequited transfers 4.8 3 The balance of merchandise trade is (a) -$7.5 b (c) $7.5 b (b) -$3.5 b (d) $3.5 b 4 The balance on goods and services is equal to (a) - $ 10.3 b (c) - $ 6.8 b (b) - $ 3.3 b (d) - $ 2.3 b
  • 47. In an open economy, when national income rises, other things being equal (a) total exports tend to fall (b) total imports tend to rise (c) total imports tend to fall (d) imports and exports remain largely unchanged A reduction in the current account deficit is most likely to occur when (a) there is an increase in borrowings from overseas (b) interest rates throughout the world are rising (c) higher tariffs are imposed by other countries on New Zealand’s goods (d) the domestic rate of inflation is falling The largest and most stable component of aggregate demand is (a) saving (b) consumption (c) exports (d) income
  • 48. LEVEL 2 ECONOMICS AS2.2 Describe international trade and its causes and effects using economic models Basis of Trade - PPC See resources The definition of absolute and comparative advantage DO KNOW Whakamahi Matauranga o Board work How to identify a country with o Note taking comparative advantage oWorkbook Page UNDERSTAND oP153 Whakamarama THINKING – MANAGING SELF – PARTICIPATING AND CONTRIBUTING - RELATING TO OTHERS – USING LANGUAGE, SYMBOLS and TEXT
  • 49. The Basis Of Trade Why do Nations Trade? TRADE ALLOWS nations to consume beyond their maximum domestic production possibility curve. There is an uneven distribution of natural, human and capital resources among nations. Therefore different countries have comparative advantages (NOT absolute) on different products. Efficient production of various goods requires different technologies and combinations of resources. Thus it may be more efficient if countries specialize. http://welkerswikinomics.wetpaint.com/page/Comparative+Advantage
  • 50. The Basis Of Trade Comparative Advantage Total output will be greatest when each good is produced by the nation that has the lowest opportunity cost domestically for that good. It's beneficial for a country to specialize and trade even if that country is more productive than the possible trading partners in everything (absolute advantage). If there are relative cost differences in the production process, countries should specialize.
  • 51. The Basis Of Trade Comparative Advantage Country A Country B Wool Wool 200 100 400 500 Meat Meat TWO THEORETICAL COUNTRIES Each making the same two products
  • 52. The Basis Of Trade Comparative Advantage Country A Country B Wool Wool 200 100 400 500 Meat Meat Absolute Advantage Can make more with available resources
  • 53. The Basis Of Trade Comparative Advantage Country A Country B Wool Wool 200 100 400 500 Meat Meat 200 Wool = 400 Meat therefore 100 Wool = 500 Meat therefore 1 Wool = 2 Meat (opportunity cost) 1 Wool = 5 Meat (opportunity cost) 400 Meat = 200 Wool therefore 500 Meat = 100 Wool therefore 1 Meat = 0.5 Wool (opportunity cost) 1 Meat = 0.2 Wool (opportunity cost)
  • 54. The Basis Of Trade Comparative Advantage Country A Country B Wool Wool 200 100 400 500 Meat Meat 1 Wool = 2 Meat 1 Wool = 5 Meat 1 Meat = 0.5 Wool 1 Meat = 0.2 Wool Should specialise Should specialise Should in Wool because trade in Meat because better at it better at it!
  • 55. The Basis Of Trade Comparative Advantage Country A Wool Country B Wool 200 100 100 50 200 400 250 500 Meat Meat
  • 56. The Basis Of Trade Comparative Advantage Country A Wool Country B Wool Export 100 Import 100 Still consume 100 consume 50 more 200 100 Export 250 100 Still consume 250 50 200 400 250 500 Meat Meat Import 250 consume 50 more
  • 57. The Basis Of Trade Comparative Advantage Country A Country B Wool Wool 200 100 100 50 200 400 250 500 Meat Meat
  • 58. Trade Review the idea of Comparative Advantage Explain Gains from trade using the PPC model
  • 59. What do you remember? Without trade, what is each country able to consume?
  • 60. What do you remember? Explain opportunity cost with reference to these diagrams
  • 61. Opportunity Cost is the cost of the next best opportunity forgone when a choice is made. In this example the choice to produce fish means milk must be sacrificed. In NZ, milk units cost 0.67 fish units while in Scotland milk units cost 2 fish units. NZ sacrifices the least (has the lowest opportunity cost and therefore is more efficient (has comparative advantage in milk production). In NZ fish units cost 1.5 milk units while in Scotland fish units cost 0.5 milk units. Scotland sacrifices fewer milk units to make fish and therefore is more efficient.
  • 62. What do you remember? Explain absolute advantage with reference to these diagrams
  • 63. What do you remember? Explain comparative advantage with reference to these diagrams
  • 64. Comparative Advantage A country should specialise in the production of those goods that it is relatively more efficient at producing (in terms of costs and resources used)
  • 66. Comparative Advantage Current Output by sharing resources between milk and fish COUNTRY MILK FISH Ratio of Ratio of fish (units) (units) milk output to milk output to output fish output NEW 15 10 ZEALAND SCOTLAND 4 8
  • 67. The possible gains from trade Current output/consumption by sharing resources between milk and fish COUNTRY MILK FISH NEW 15 10 ZEALAND SCOTLAND 4 8
  • 68. The possible gains from trade Assume a $ for $ trade we can see how both countries are better off by specialising and trading
  • 69. The possible gains from trade NZ can export 8 units of milk To Scotland Scotland can export 8 units of fish To NZ
  • 70. The possible gains from trade NZ consumes more milk and less fish but eats beyond its own PPC Scotland consumes twice the milk and the same quantity of fish and eats beyond its own PPC
  • 73. Exam Question 2007 Model answer
  • 75. Exam Question 2007 Model answer
  • 77. Exam Question 2007 Model answer
  • 78. Demand and Supply Model • Explain the basis of trade using Supply and Demand model • Explain the two country model • Explain a horizontal world supply curve.
  • 79. Basis of Trade - Coverage • Determining quantities imported and exported – what are the influencing factors? • How technology and factor endowments affect the cost of production • What are the influences on demand and supply? • How trade policy affects the model
  • 80. Assumptions • Demand and Supply Theory applies • Use two country, single good model • Relative prices are compared in in NZ dollars
  • 81. Demand and Supply Model The New Zealand The American beef market beef market Price Sus Price (NZ$) (NZ$) 10 10 8 8 Snz 6 6 4 4 2 2 Dnz Dnz 100 200 300 400 500 600 100 200 300 400 500 600 Quantity Quantity (000 tonnes) (000 tonnes)
  • 82. The New Zealand beef market The American beef market Price Price Sus (NZ$) (NZ$) 10 10 8 8 Snz 6 6 4 4 2 2 Dnz Dnz 100 200 300 400 500 600 100 200 300 400 500 600 Quantity (000 tonnes) Quantity (000 tonnes) New Zealand Surplus - American Shortage - domestic Exports domestic Imports consumption production New Zealand production American Consumption
  • 83.
  • 84.
  • 85. •Review the basis of trade as illustrated in the demand and supply model •Analyse the impact on consumers and producers of trade Demand and Supply Model •Answer questions on the basis of trade REVIEW using the D & S model
  • 88. Exam Question Plus hand outs from Economic Issues On oyster market and rugby jerseys
  • 89. Decrease in overseas demand The New Zealand beef market The American beef market Sus Snz Pw Pw Pwš Pwš Dus Dnz Quantity (000 tonnes) Quantity (000 tonnes) X M Xš Mš
  • 90. Objectives 31st Oct 2001 • Explain the impact of exchange rates on international trade • Define Factor Endowment for a country • Describe how a countries factor endowments affects its trade • Preview Test on Thursday
  • 91. Exchange Rates • Demand for $NZ is created by the demand for our goods and services • Higher the demand for NZ currency (ceteris parbus) the higher the price • Supply of $NZ generated by our demand for imports.
  • 92. Exchange Rates The price of a unit of local currency expressed in terms of another
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  • 94.
  • 95. PAGE 190 - 193 Write on Notes Organise into 4 groups EXPERTS LEARN and TEACH Question 1 Question 2 No. off 1 - 4 10 – 15 Mins Question 3 Question 4
  • 96.
  • 97. Factor Endowments • Refers to scarcity or abundance of a countries resources • Basis of trade largely related to differences in FE’s between countries. • Abundant resources sees tendency towards utilisation of that resource in production – Why? Lower Costs • Therefore NZ focus on agriculture
  • 98. Factor Endowments Middle East oil market New Zealand oil market Snz Snz1 Sme Pw Pw Pwš Pwš Dnz Dme X Quantity Quantity M Xš Mš
  • 99. Free Trade and Protectionism What is Free Trade? Trade between nations without government intervention (protection) What is Protectionism? Government intervention in trade between nations
  • 100. What protection? Tariffs/ Subsidies Import licenses or quotas Embargoes Red tape
  • 101. Tariffs – effect on the market model Use notebook software Sme On the board Dme Quantity