- Interglobe Aviation Ltd operates India's largest domestic passenger airline 'Indigo' and plans to raise Rs. 30,182 million through an IPO.
- While the company has a large market share and robust business model as India's leading low-cost carrier, the IPO is recommended to be avoided due to overvaluation compared to peers and uncertainty around maintaining competitive advantage and future dividend policy.
- The Indian domestic air travel market is expected to grow significantly over the next 5 years, which is Indigo's primary focus, however the document cites concerns around sustaining Indigo's current dominant market share long-term.
A report on how Indigo airlines made their strategies and how they compete with such a huge market in airlines. This report is the detail description on their marketing mix, Brand value and Brand equity.
A report on how Indigo airlines made their strategies and how they compete with such a huge market in airlines. This report is the detail description on their marketing mix, Brand value and Brand equity.
Another area where Indigo can evaluate diversification is working out value addition for its passengers by offering bundled app driven taxi services for airport pick up and drop. Rather than starting its own app based taxi service, it should tie up with existing players like Uber and Ola. Working on a revenue sharing model rather than owning a subsidiary will enable roll out of highly value driven service for its passengers without any expenditure and also increase its bottom line.
Low-cost airline IndiGo's parent InterGlobe Aviation has fixed the price band for its initial share sale at Rs 700-765, through which it could raise up to Rs 3,268 crore.
IndiGo was set up in early 2006 by Rahul Bhatia and Rakesh S Gangwal.
IndiGo is an Indian Low-cost airline with only economy class seating.
It’s headquarter is at Gurgaon, India.
It is the largest airline in India in terms of passengers flown with market share of 36.5% as of September 2015.
This airline offers more than 647 daily flights connecting to 38 destinations.
It presently operates a fleet of 97 aircraft belonging to the Airbus A320 family.
In 2014, IndiGo carried 21.4 million passengers in the domestic sector alone.
India’s best on time performance and least flight cancellations.
It is also one of the fastest growing airlines in the world.
CASE STUDY ON THE SUCCESSFUL JOURNEY OF INDIGO AIRLINES VARUN KESAVAN
India is the 9th largest aviation market in the world with a size of around US$ 16 billion and is poised to be the 3rd biggest by 2020. India aviation industry promises huge growth potential due to large and growing middle class population, rapid economic growth, higher disposable incomes, rising aspirations of the middle class and overall low penetration levels.
Another area where Indigo can evaluate diversification is working out value addition for its passengers by offering bundled app driven taxi services for airport pick up and drop. Rather than starting its own app based taxi service, it should tie up with existing players like Uber and Ola. Working on a revenue sharing model rather than owning a subsidiary will enable roll out of highly value driven service for its passengers without any expenditure and also increase its bottom line.
Low-cost airline IndiGo's parent InterGlobe Aviation has fixed the price band for its initial share sale at Rs 700-765, through which it could raise up to Rs 3,268 crore.
IndiGo was set up in early 2006 by Rahul Bhatia and Rakesh S Gangwal.
IndiGo is an Indian Low-cost airline with only economy class seating.
It’s headquarter is at Gurgaon, India.
It is the largest airline in India in terms of passengers flown with market share of 36.5% as of September 2015.
This airline offers more than 647 daily flights connecting to 38 destinations.
It presently operates a fleet of 97 aircraft belonging to the Airbus A320 family.
In 2014, IndiGo carried 21.4 million passengers in the domestic sector alone.
India’s best on time performance and least flight cancellations.
It is also one of the fastest growing airlines in the world.
CASE STUDY ON THE SUCCESSFUL JOURNEY OF INDIGO AIRLINES VARUN KESAVAN
India is the 9th largest aviation market in the world with a size of around US$ 16 billion and is poised to be the 3rd biggest by 2020. India aviation industry promises huge growth potential due to large and growing middle class population, rapid economic growth, higher disposable incomes, rising aspirations of the middle class and overall low penetration levels.
LICHSGFIN- Buy in the range of 477-480 for the Target of 490 with the SL of 472 INDUSINDBK- Buy in the range of 928-933 for the Target of 952 with the SL of 918
A detailed report of the Aviation industry of INDIA with a comprehensive analysis of "Indigo Airline". How India is maturing itself in this industry and what new ways are being taken by government to revive the same.
An insight study of Aviation, Automobile, and Leather Industry of INDIA. Brief but precise information about INDIA as an economy in various defined sectors and how it is coming on the world platform and competing with global players.
Aviation as an industry is structurally extremely unattractive. It is very difficult to make profit in this industry. The industry is, weighed down by regulations, and influenced by several uncontrollable factors. The combined effect of these factors is historically the industry has never earned a rate of return above its investors’ capital; in fact, it has destroyed more money than it has created. The main objective of the paper is to highlight the major characteristics of the industry. Factors such as cost of oil or security have direct impact on operational effectiveness and risk management of an airline company. Factors such as natural disasters or health emergencies and socio-political culture of a country too affect the financial health of the industry. The paper deals with the Indian Civil Aviation Industry. This paper is a theoretical review. by providing some suggestions.
US Economic Outlook - Being Decided - M Capital Group August 2021.pdfpchutichetpong
The U.S. economy is continuing its impressive recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic and not slowing down despite re-occurring bumps. The U.S. savings rate reached its highest ever recorded level at 34% in April 2020 and Americans seem ready to spend. The sectors that had been hurt the most by the pandemic specifically reduced consumer spending, like retail, leisure, hospitality, and travel, are now experiencing massive growth in revenue and job openings.
Could this growth lead to a “Roaring Twenties”? As quickly as the U.S. economy contracted, experiencing a 9.1% drop in economic output relative to the business cycle in Q2 2020, the largest in recorded history, it has rebounded beyond expectations. This surprising growth seems to be fueled by the U.S. government’s aggressive fiscal and monetary policies, and an increase in consumer spending as mobility restrictions are lifted. Unemployment rates between June 2020 and June 2021 decreased by 5.2%, while the demand for labor is increasing, coupled with increasing wages to incentivize Americans to rejoin the labor force. Schools and businesses are expected to fully reopen soon. In parallel, vaccination rates across the country and the world continue to rise, with full vaccination rates of 50% and 14.8% respectively.
However, it is not completely smooth sailing from here. According to M Capital Group, the main risks that threaten the continued growth of the U.S. economy are inflation, unsettled trade relations, and another wave of Covid-19 mutations that could shut down the world again. Have we learned from the past year of COVID-19 and adapted our economy accordingly?
“In order for the U.S. economy to continue growing, whether there is another wave or not, the U.S. needs to focus on diversifying supply chains, supporting business investment, and maintaining consumer spending,” says Grace Feeley, a research analyst at M Capital Group.
While the economic indicators are positive, the risks are coming closer to manifesting and threatening such growth. The new variants spreading throughout the world, Delta, Lambda, and Gamma, are vaccine-resistant and muddy the predictions made about the economy and health of the country. These variants bring back the feeling of uncertainty that has wreaked havoc not only on the stock market but the mindset of people around the world. MCG provides unique insight on how to mitigate these risks to possibly ensure a bright economic future.
The European Unemployment Puzzle: implications from population agingGRAPE
We study the link between the evolving age structure of the working population and unemployment. We build a large new Keynesian OLG model with a realistic age structure, labor market frictions, sticky prices, and aggregate shocks. Once calibrated to the European economy, we quantify the extent to which demographic changes over the last three decades have contributed to the decline of the unemployment rate. Our findings yield important implications for the future evolution of unemployment given the anticipated further aging of the working population in Europe. We also quantify the implications for optimal monetary policy: lowering inflation volatility becomes less costly in terms of GDP and unemployment volatility, which hints that optimal monetary policy may be more hawkish in an aging society. Finally, our results also propose a partial reversal of the European-US unemployment puzzle due to the fact that the share of young workers is expected to remain robust in the US.
Introduction to Indian Financial System ()Avanish Goel
The financial system of a country is an important tool for economic development of the country, as it helps in creation of wealth by linking savings with investments.
It facilitates the flow of funds form the households (savers) to business firms (investors) to aid in wealth creation and development of both the parties
Turin Startup Ecosystem 2024 - Ricerca sulle Startup e il Sistema dell'Innov...Quotidiano Piemontese
Turin Startup Ecosystem 2024
Una ricerca de il Club degli Investitori, in collaborazione con ToTeM Torino Tech Map e con il supporto della ESCP Business School e di Growth Capital
BYD SWOT Analysis and In-Depth Insights 2024.pptxmikemetalprod
Indepth analysis of the BYD 2024
BYD (Build Your Dreams) is a Chinese automaker and battery manufacturer that has snowballed over the past two decades to become a significant player in electric vehicles and global clean energy technology.
This SWOT analysis examines BYD's strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats as it competes in the fast-changing automotive and energy storage industries.
Founded in 1995 and headquartered in Shenzhen, BYD started as a battery company before expanding into automobiles in the early 2000s.
Initially manufacturing gasoline-powered vehicles, BYD focused on plug-in hybrid and fully electric vehicles, leveraging its expertise in battery technology.
Today, BYD is the world’s largest electric vehicle manufacturer, delivering over 1.2 million electric cars globally. The company also produces electric buses, trucks, forklifts, and rail transit.
On the energy side, BYD is a major supplier of rechargeable batteries for cell phones, laptops, electric vehicles, and energy storage systems.
What price will pi network be listed on exchangesDOT TECH
The rate at which pi will be listed is practically unknown. But due to speculations surrounding it the predicted rate is tends to be from 30$ — 50$.
So if you are interested in selling your pi network coins at a high rate tho. Or you can't wait till the mainnet launch in 2026. You can easily trade your pi coins with a merchant.
A merchant is someone who buys pi coins from miners and resell them to Investors looking forward to hold massive quantities till mainnet launch.
I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi vendor to trade with.
@Pi_vendor_247
If you are looking for a pi coin investor. Then look no further because I have the right one he is a pi vendor (he buy and resell to whales in China). I met him on a crypto conference and ever since I and my friends have sold more than 10k pi coins to him And he bought all and still want more. I will drop his telegram handle below just send him a message.
@Pi_vendor_247
how can i use my minded pi coins I need some funds.DOT TECH
If you are interested in selling your pi coins, i have a verified pi merchant, who buys pi coins and resell them to exchanges looking forward to hold till mainnet launch.
Because the core team has announced that pi network will not be doing any pre-sale. The only way exchanges like huobi, bitmart and hotbit can get pi is by buying from miners.
Now a merchant stands in between these exchanges and the miners. As a link to make transactions smooth. Because right now in the enclosed mainnet you can't sell pi coins your self. You need the help of a merchant,
i will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant below. 👇 I and my friends has traded more than 3000pi coins with him successfully.
@Pi_vendor_247
how to sell pi coins in all Africa Countries.DOT TECH
Yes. You can sell your pi network for other cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, usdt , Ethereum and other currencies And this is done easily with the help from a pi merchant.
What is a pi merchant ?
Since pi is not launched yet in any exchange. The only way you can sell right now is through merchants.
A verified Pi merchant is someone who buys pi network coins from miners and resell them to investors looking forward to hold massive quantities of pi coins before mainnet launch in 2026.
I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant to trade with.
@Pi_vendor_247
how to sell pi coins at high rate quickly.DOT TECH
Where can I sell my pi coins at a high rate.
Pi is not launched yet on any exchange. But one can easily sell his or her pi coins to investors who want to hold pi till mainnet launch.
This means crypto whales want to hold pi. And you can get a good rate for selling pi to them. I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi vendor below.
A vendor is someone who buys from a miner and resell it to a holder or crypto whale.
Here is the telegram contact of my vendor:
@Pi_vendor_247
how to sell pi coins effectively (from 50 - 100k pi)DOT TECH
Anywhere in the world, including Africa, America, and Europe, you can sell Pi Network Coins online and receive cash through online payment options.
Pi has not yet been launched on any exchange because we are currently using the confined Mainnet. The planned launch date for Pi is June 28, 2026.
Reselling to investors who want to hold until the mainnet launch in 2026 is currently the sole way to sell.
Consequently, right now. All you need to do is select the right pi network provider.
Who is a pi merchant?
An individual who buys coins from miners on the pi network and resells them to investors hoping to hang onto them until the mainnet is launched is known as a pi merchant.
debuts.
I'll provide you the Telegram username
@Pi_vendor_247
Currently pi network is not tradable on binance or any other exchange because we are still in the enclosed mainnet.
Right now the only way to sell pi coins is by trading with a verified merchant.
What is a pi merchant?
A pi merchant is someone verified by pi network team and allowed to barter pi coins for goods and services.
Since pi network is not doing any pre-sale The only way exchanges like binance/huobi or crypto whales can get pi is by buying from miners. And a merchant stands in between the exchanges and the miners.
I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant. I and my friends has traded more than 6000pi coins successfully
Tele-gram
@Pi_vendor_247
Poonawalla Fincorp and IndusInd Bank Introduce New Co-Branded Credit Cardnickysharmasucks
The unveiling of the IndusInd Bank Poonawalla Fincorp eLITE RuPay Platinum Credit Card marks a notable milestone in the Indian financial landscape, showcasing a successful partnership between two leading institutions, Poonawalla Fincorp and IndusInd Bank. This co-branded credit card not only offers users a plethora of benefits but also reflects a commitment to innovation and adaptation. With a focus on providing value-driven and customer-centric solutions, this launch represents more than just a new product—it signifies a step towards redefining the banking experience for millions. Promising convenience, rewards, and a touch of luxury in everyday financial transactions, this collaboration aims to cater to the evolving needs of customers and set new standards in the industry.
Poonawalla Fincorp and IndusInd Bank Introduce New Co-Branded Credit Card
Interglobe aviation ltd. ipo update
1. IPO Update
IPO UPDATE
Robust Business Model but Overpriced
Interglobe Aviation Ltd. (IAL) operates India’s largest passenger airline
under the brand “Indigo” and in terms of domestic passenger volume, it
had a market share of 36.5% Q2 FY16. The company operates under a
LCC business model with primary focus on the domestic Indian air travel
market.
IAL is coming with an initial public offering (IPO) of ~39.5mn shares in
offering to raise around Rs. 30,182mn, with subscription starting from
27th Oct. 2015. The issue will close on 29th Oct. 2015.
• Not more than 50% of the issue will be allocated to qualified
institutional buyers (QIBs). Further, not less than 15% of the issue
will be available for non-institutional bidders and the remaining 35%
for retail investors.
Net proceed from the issue will be used for following purpose:
• Retirement of outstanding debt related to the acquisition of aircrafts
(Rs. 11,656.6mn)
• Purchase of ground support equipment for airline operations (Rs.
342.6mn)
Valuation & Recommendation:
On profitability front, IAL’s EBITDA (13.4%) and PAT (9.3%) margins are
significantly lower than the peers average of 18.9% and 9%,
respectively. On valuation front, the company is available at significant
premium to its peers. The company is available at P/E, P/S and
EV/EBITDA of 21.3x, 2.1x and 15.3x, respectively, which are significantly
premium to its peers. Based on below parameters, we recommend
investors to “Avoid” the issue.
• Premium valuation
• Competitive advantage of the company, reflected in the issue price
• Hard to sustain a dominant market share
• Promoters already taken out around over Rs. 28bn as dividend in last
five years
• Uncertainty on future dividend policy
1
Oct. 27, 2015
Recommendation AVOID
Price Band Rs. 700 - Rs. 765
Total Issue Size Rs. 30,182.4mn
Fresh Issue Rs. 12,722mn
OFS Issue Rs. 17,460.4
Bidding Date 27th Oct. – 29th Oct. 2015
Book Running Lead
Manager
Citigroup Global Markets India Pvt.
Ltd., J.P. Morgan India Pvt. Ltd.,
Morgan Stanley India Company Pvt.
Ltd., Barclays Bank PLC, Kotak
Mahindra Capital Company Ltd. and
UBS Securities India Pvt. Ltd.
Registrar Karvy Computershare Pvt. Ltd.
Sector/Industry Airlines
Promoters
Mr. Rahul Bhatia, Mr. Rakesh
Gangwal, Acquire Services Pvt. Ltd.
and Interglobe Enterprises Ltd.
Shareholding Pattern
Pre-Issue Post-Issue
Promoters 94% 86.1%
Institutions 0% 0%%
Non-Institution 6% 13.9%
Total 100% 100%
Retail Application Money at Higher Cut-Off Price per Lot
Number of Shares per Lot 15
Application Money Rs. 11,475
Discount to Retail Investors 0%
Cheque Payable to “IGAL – Escrow – R”
Rajnath Yadav
Equity Research Analyst (022 - 6707 9999; Ext: 975)
Email: rajnath.yadav@choiceindia.com
Interglobe Aviation Ltd.
* Represents per share calculation based on number of shares o/s post issue; Source: Choice Broking Research, Company DRHP
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 Q1 FY16
Total Operating Revenue 38,334.2 55,646.6 92,031.3 111,165.8 139,253.4 42,115.4
Total Operating Expenditure (31,215.5) (55,157.7) (83,095.0) (106,099.5) (120,556.5) (32,391.3)
EBITDA 7,118.7 488.9 8,936.3 5,066.3 18,696.9 9,724.1
Depreciation Charge (628.7) (665.2) (856.2) (2,260.1) (3,022.1) (1,199.7)
Finance Cost (449.9) (514.3) (578.0) (1,225.8) (1,155.3) (328.4)
Finance Income 727.1 1,207.0 2,006.4 2,863.5 3,739.7 1,029.6
Other Income 380.3 232.6 364.7 291.8 98.4 26.9
Reported PAT 5,794.7 1,405.9 7,833.6 4,744.4 12,955.9 6,404.4
Restated EPS (Rs.) 16.1 3.9 21.7 13.2 36.0 17.8
Restated BVPS (Rs.) 2.9 6.8 10.8 11.7 11.8 (3.9)
EBITDA margin (%) 18.6% 0.9% 9.7% 4.6% 13.4% 23.1%
Reported PAT Margin (%) 15.1% 2.5% 8.5% 4.3% 9.3% 15.2%
RoE (%) 564.0% 81.3% 247.7% 117.0% 305.6% 446.6%
RoCE (%) 42.0% -0.9% 25.2% 5.4% 22.3% 11.3%
2. IPO Update
IPO UPDATE 2
Indian Air Travel Market Overview:
According to a report from Center for Asia Pacific Aviation India Pvt. Ltd. (CAPA), India is one of the world’s largest and
fastest-growing air travel markets. Historically, the Indian air travel market was comprised of individuals in relatively high
income brackets as well as corporate travellers. But since the liberalization in the air travel market, a number of low cost
carriers (LCC) have entered the market and stimulated prices through their low-cost business models. In the decade that
followed, Indian air travel entered a period of considerable growth registering a growth of 19.4% CAGR over FY04-10. By
CY14, India’s air travel market had become the sixth largest in the world as measured by total domestic seats (97.3mn) and
ninth largest in the world by total domestic and international seats (155.9mn). Going forward, the Indian air travel market is
expected to enter a period of accelerated growth and between FY15 and FY20, domestic available seat kilometer (ASK) are
forecast to grow at a CAGR of 12.7%, while domestic passenger volume is forecast to grow at a CAGR of 12.8% (Source:
Company DRHP).
According to the CAPA report, the period of accelerated growth is expected to be driven by numerous factors, which
includes:
• Strong economic growth
• Continued population growth
• Expansion of the middle class
• Strong growth in tourism
• Rail travel substitution
• Increasing aircraft penetration from currently low penetration levels
• Expansion in aviation infrastructure and
• An increasingly favorable regulatory environment
Source: Choice Broking Research, Company DRHP Source: Choice Broking Research, Company DRHP
Domestic Available Seat Kilometers Forecast (bn) Domestic Passengers Forecast (mn)
84.9
92.8
103.4
119.7
138.0
154.4
80
100
120
140
160
FY15 FY16E FY17E FY18E FY19E FY20E
70.0
81.0
92.0
103.0
115.0
128.0
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
FY15 FY16E FY17E FY18E FY19E FY20E
Oct. 27, 2015
Interglobe Aviation Ltd.
3. IPO Update
IPO UPDATE 3
Company Introduction:
Interglobe Aviation Ltd. (IAL) operates India’s largest passenger airline under the brand “Indigo” and in terms of domestic
passenger volume, it had a market share of 39.8% and 36.5% in Q1 FY16 and Q2 FY16, respectively. The company operates
under a LCC business model with primary focus on the domestic Indian air travel market. IAL aims to maintain its cost
advantage and high frequency of flights while striving to fulfil its simple brand message of providing “low fares, on-time
flights and a hassle-free experience” to its passengers. The company enjoyed the position of being the 7th largest LCC
globally in terms of seat capacity for FY15 as per CAPA.
IAL began its operations in August 2006 with a single aircraft and over the period till 31 Aug. 2015, it has expanded to 97
aircrafts all of which are Airbus A320’s. The company currently has an order book of 430 A320neo aircrafts, of which it
expects to take delivery of 9 of these by the end of FY16. As on 31 Aug. 2015, the average age of its fleet was 3.7 years,
which according to CAPA is the second youngest average fleet age in India and one of the youngest LCC fleet globally. As on
31 Aug. 2015, IAL operated its scheduled services from 33 airports in India, with a maximum of 603 domestic flights per day.
The company enjoyed the highest market share in each of the top five domestic routes in India by traffic in FY15 as well as
operated the most passenger flights during the FY15 winter season in India according to CAPA. With prime focus on Indian
domestic air market, IAL reported a domestic passenger volume of 23.7mn in FY15 as against 9.5mn in FY11, representing a
growth of 25.8% CAGR over FY11-15. During the same period, the domestic passenger volume market share also increased
from 17.6% in FY11 to 33.9% in FY15. As per the Directorate General of Civil Aviation (DGCA), the company had the second
highest load factor on domestic scheduled services and also received the second lowest level of complaints per 10000
passengers in FY15.
Source: Choice Broking Research, Company DRHP Source: Choice Broking Research, Company DRHP
IAL's Domestic Passenger Volume (mn) IAL's Domestic Passenger Volume Market Share (%)
9.5
12.3
15.7
18.1
23.7
7.8
6
9
12
15
18
21
24
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 Q1 FY16
17.6%
20.3%
27.3%
29.8%
33.9%
39.8%
36.5%
17%
23%
29%
35%
41%
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 Q1
FY16
Q2
FY16
Oct. 27, 2015
Interglobe Aviation Ltd.
4. IPO Update
IPO UPDATE 4
Competitive Strengths and Strategies:
• The largest domestic passenger airline in India and will continue to focus on enhancing its market position: IAL is the
domestic market leader in India, which is one of the largest and fastest growing aviation markets in the world, with a
market share of 36.5% as of 30 Sept. 2015. The company operated scheduled services to 33 airports in India with a
maximum of 603 domestic flights per day as of August 31, 2015. It has the highest market share in the top 5 domestic
routes in India and intends to continue to strengthen the density of its network by adding flights to existing key markets
and selectively adding routes and destination to enhance the breadth of its services in a sustainable and profitable
manner.
• Maintain disciplined execution of the low-cost carrier business model: IAL’s disciplined execution of low cost carrier
principles helps it to maintain low operating costs, this strategy helps it to maintain an advantage over other LCC
competitors in India who operate an hybrid business model between low-costs and full-service airlines. The company
employs a single aircraft type which helps it to reduce expenses related to maintenance, spare parts etc. IAL’s aircraft
utilization was among the highest of any airlines in FY15. The company operates a point to point route network with no
code-sharing with other airlines for passenger traffic, reducing turnaround time. Its operational reliability was 99.95% in
FY15 as well as the five months ended 31 Aug. 2015 (according to Airbus). IAL intends to reduce its distribution cost by
increasing direct sales via its websites, airports, call centre and mobile app and scaling down commissions to online and
traditional travel agents. As a percent of operating revenue, ancillary revenues of the company is substantially lower than
most international LCC’s. IAL plans to enhance its existing as well as introducing new streams of ancillary revenue upon
obtaining regulatory approvals.
• Structural cost advantage which is expected to be sustained: Magnitude of 2005, 2011 and 2015 aircraft orders helped
IAL to negotiate favourable terms with Airbus and other aircraft-related suppliers and service providers thereby reducing
the overall costs associated with the acquisition, maintenance and operation of its aircrafts. The company maintains a
young fleet by predominantly entering into short term sale-and-leaseback operating leases for the aircrafts purchased
from Airbus, ranging from 3-6 years. As of 31 Aug. 2015, the average age of its fleet is 3.7 years. The young fleet helps it
to achieve better reliability in terms of performance, lower maintenance costs, improved fuel-efficiency, higher flight
dispatch reliability and higher passenger appeal. The A320neo aircrafts which are expected to be delivered from 2015
onwards are expected to provide 15% fuel savings, thereby reducing the fuel consumption as these aircrafts enter the
fleet.
• Award winning service and Strong brand recognition: IAL has been awarded the “Best Low-cost Airline in Central Asia &
India” at the SkyTrax World Airline Awards for 6 consecutive years from 2010-15. It was also recognized as India’s
favourite airline for 2012, 2013 and 2014 by TripAdvisor’s Annual India Air Travel Survey. The company has achieved
recognition of its “Indigo” brand through its simple brand message of “providing low fares, on-time flights and a hassle-
free experience” to its passengers. Sales promotion and advertising expense accounted for less than 1% of its total
expenses for the three months ended June 30, 2015 and in FY15.
• Consistent Profitability and strong cash flow generation, balance sheet and liquidity position: According to CAPA, IAL is
the only Indian carrier to consistently remain profitable for the last seven fiscal years ending in FY15. A strong balance
sheet position, provides it a flexibility to fund future growth and not be constrained by reliance on non-aircraft financing
sources. Strong cash flows from operations for the seven fiscal years from 2009-15, has enabled to further invest in its
business and pay dividends to shareholders in four of the past five fiscals ending FY15. Strong liquidity position insulates
the company from sudden decline in Air demand or spikes in aircraft fuel prices. The liquidity position also enables the
purchase of imported fuel which requires advance payments and is cheaper than fuels purchased domestically and also
make payments to suppliers on time thereby benefiting from supplier discounts.
Oct. 27, 2015
Interglobe Aviation Ltd.
5. IPO Update
IPO UPDATE 5
Competitive Strengths and Strategies (Contd….):
• Attract and retain talented employees and management and leverage the strength of its promoters: IAL has been
ranked among the top companies to work for in India in 2015 for the eight consecutive year. They have been able to hire
sufficient pilots to facilitate its expansion, and currently have an average of 16 pilots per aircraft as of 31 Aug. 2015. The
management team has a strong background in leading global airlines, hospitality and travel-related business. They also
have the capability to expand business in accordance with the business model. The management team has successfully
guided the airline through industry down cycles and periods of fuel price and exchange rate volatility.
• Robust financial performance: On the back of 24.6% and 29.7% CAGR increase in feet size and available seat kilometer
over FY11-15, IAL reported a top-line growth of 38.1% CAGR to Rs. 139,253.4mn. Total operating expenditure increased
by 40.2%, mainly due to higher fuel cost, which forms around 50% of the total operating cost. Consequently, during the
same period, EBITDA increased by 27.3% with over 5ppts contraction in margin. Depreciation and finance charge
increased with the increase in fleet size. Finance income increased by 50.6% CAGR over FY11-15, resulting into a 22.3%
CAGR rise in reported profit to Rs. 12,955.9mn. During the period, EBITDAR of the company increased by 34.8% CAGR to
Rs. 38,317.6mn. With significant profitability, IAL in last three out of five years have rewarded its shareholders with hefty
dividend, which stood in the range of Rs. 15-45 per share. During Q1 FY16, the company reported a bottom-line of Rs.
6,404.4mn on a top-line of Rs. 42,115.4mn. IAL paid an interim dividend of Rs. 11,026.5mn, however, due to insufficient
cash flow, the networth went negative. Taking into consideration, the future anticipated cash flow generation ability, we
expect the company will return to its positive networth position.
Source: Choice Broking Research, Company DRHP Source: Choice Broking Research, Company DRHP
Annual Financial Performance
38.3
55.6
92.0
111.2
139.3
42.1
30.3%
15.7%
24.8%
19.8%
27.5%
37.4%
15.1%
2.5%
8.5%
4.3%
9.3%
15.2%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
30
60
90
120
150
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 Q1 FY16
Total Operating Income (Rs. bn)
EBITDAR Margin (%)
Reported PAT Margin (%)
2.9
6.8
10.8 11.7 11.8
(3.9)
564.0%
81.3%
247.7%
117.0%
305.6%
446.6%
42.0%
-0.9%
25.2% 5.4% 22.3% 11.3%
-100%
0%
100%
200%
300%
400%
500%
600%
(5)
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 Q1 FY16
Restated EPS (Rs.) Restated BVPS (Rs.)
RoE (%) RoCE (%)
Oct. 27, 2015
Interglobe Aviation Ltd.
6. IPO Update
IPO UPDATE 6
Risk and Concerns:
• Highly competitive airline industry and competition from Indian railways: IAL faces competition from both low-cost
airlines as well as full service carriers that service the same routes. The principal competitors include AirAsia India, Air
India, Go Air, Jet Airways, SpiceJet and Vistara as well as potential new entrants. The intensity of competition varies from
route to route and a number of factors including the strength of the competing airlines. Indian railways, which offers a
cheaper alternate mode of transportation than airlines will be a stiff source of competition given the Indian Governments
initiatives to introduce high speed rails as they are likely to attract the Indian middle class who are the current and
targeted passengers of the company.
• Maintaining a profitable route portfolio: IAL considers a number of factors when selecting its route which include ability
to sustain high passenger load factors and high aircraft utilization rates. The company’s aircraft utilization rate was the
highest in FY15, according to CAPA. Selecting and flying good routes, competing effectively and handling aircraft and
passengers effectively are crucial for the successful performance of its airline operations and as a result its financial
condition.
• Uncertain fuel expense: Aircraft fuel is a major component of cost for airlines. The cost of IAL’s aircraft fuel as a
percentage of its total expenses was 47.1%, 51%, 51%, 50.3%, 46.1% and 39.7% for FY11, FY12, FY13, FY14, FY15 and Q1
FY16. The cost of aircraft fuel cannot be predicted with any degree of certainty. Any unfavourable spikes in the oil prices
can affect the financial position of the company substantially.
• Unfavorable leasing conditions would affect the working capital requirements: IAL as of 30 June, 2015 stated that it has
not borrowed any additional money for its working capital and all the working capital requirements have been funded
from the company’s strong cash flows and incentives received from the lessors. However, unfavorable leasing conditions
could put pressure on the operating cash flows which could lead to the company borrowing money for funding its
working capital requirements.
• No clarity on the future dividend policy: During FY11-15, IAL promoters have taken out Rs. 28,204.4mn as dividend on a
net profit of Rs. 32,734.4mn. This translates into a dividend per share of Rs. 15-45 per share. Moreover, during Q1 FY16,
the company has paid an interim dividend of Rs. 11,026.5mn. No clarity from IAL on the future dividend policy, will be
negative for the investors, who are investing in the IPO with the intention to benefit from the hefty dividend payments.
Oct. 27, 2015
Interglobe Aviation Ltd.
7. IPO Update
IPO UPDATE 7
Peer Comparison:
There are no profitable listed peers in the domestic market. We have compared IAL with global LCC players. On profitability
front, the company’s EBITDA (13.4%) and PAT (9.3%) margins are significantly lower than the peers average of 18.9% and
9%, respectively. However, RoE and RoCE of IAL is higher than the peers.
On valuation front, the company is available at significant premium to its peers. The company is available at P/E, P/S and
EV/EBITDA of 21.3x, 2.1x and 15.3x, respectively, which are significantly premium to its peers.
Based on below parameters, we recommend investors to “Avoid” the issue.
• Premium valuation
• Competitive advantage of the company, reflected in the issue price
• To hard to sustain a dominant market share
• Promoters already taken out around over Rs. 28bn as dividend in last five years
• Uncertainty on future dividend policy
Company Name Currency CMP (Rs.)
MCAP
(Rs. mn)
Total Operating
Revenue (Rs. mn)
EBITDA Margin
(%)
Reported PAT
Margin (%)
Interglobe Aviation Ltd. INR 765 275,665 139,253 13.4% 9.3%
Jet Airways (India) Ltd INR 399 45,298 209,656 -0.4% -10.0%
Spicejet Ltd. INR 42 25,059 46,224 -9.7% -10.6%
Air Arabia PJSC AED 1.41 6,580 3,733.30 24.0% 14.4%
AirAsia Berhad MYR 1.52 4,230 5,416.80 29.5% -0.6%
Cebu Pacific PHP 87.40 52,964 54,788.80 21.8% 5.3%
Gol Linhas Aereas Inteligentes S.A. USD 0.92 187 9,989.10 7.9% -20.4%
JetBlue Airways Corp USD 24.97 7,861 6,110.00 20.0% 7.7%
Pegasus Hava Tasimaciligi AS TRY 19.10 1,954 3,186.30 11.9% 3.8%
Southwest Airlines Co. USD 45.23 29,825 19,471.00 23.9% 11.1%
Spirit Airlines Inc. USD 39.79 2,901 2,041.00 23.4% 13.1%
Thai Airways International Public Co. Ltd. THB 10.50 22,919 188,646.10 6.9% 7.2%
WestJet Airlines Ltd. CAD 24.89 2,673 4,029.60 19.7% 9.4%
Company Name
BVPS
(Rs.)
DPS
(Rs.)
Debt Equity
Ratio
RoE (%) RoCE (%)
P / E
(x)
P / B
(x)
EV / Sales
(x)
EV / EBITDA
(x)
Interglobe Aviation Ltd. 11.8 0.1 8.4 305.6% 22.3% 21.3 64.7 2.1 15.3
Jet Airways (India) Ltd (556.8) (0.0) (1.9) 33.1% 211.0% (2.2) (0.7) 0.7 (171.4)
Spicejet Ltd. (21.1) 0.0 (1.1) 38.8% 282.7% (5.1) (2.0) 0.8 (8.7)
Air Arabia PJSC 1.09 0.09 0.61 10.6% 9.0% 12.27 1.30 2.17 9.04
AirAsia Berhad 1.64 0.04 2.79 -0.7% 8.1% (137.01) 0.93 2.99 10.12
Cebu Pacific 35.54 1.00 1.57 13.4% 13.0% 18.41 2.46 1.51 6.94
Gol Linhas Aereas Inteligentes S.A. (1.64) 0.00 (18.72) 612.8% 20.3% (0.09) (0.56) 0.42 5.34
JetBlue Airways Corp 8.03 0.00 0.72 18.5% 16.0% 16.82 3.11 1.47 7.36
Pegasus Hava Tasimaciligi AS 11.35 0.00 1.17 10.3% 8.2% 16.31 1.68 0.77 6.45
Southwest Airlines Co. 10.27 0.27 0.36 32.0% 29.3% 13.75 4.40 1.50 6.30
Spirit Airlines Inc. 13.76 0.00 0.14 26.7% 35.7% 10.82 2.89 1.18 5.03
Thai Airways International Public Co. Ltd. 18.92 0.00 4.40 32.8% -4.0% 1.69 0.56 0.96 13.93
WestJet Airlines Ltd. 16.55 0.61 0.58 21.3% 17.0% 7.06 1.50 0.58 2.95
Source: Choice Broking Research, Company DRHP
Source: Choice Broking Research, Company DRHP
Oct. 27, 2015
Interglobe Aviation Ltd.