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Inflation
Akash Balram
What is Inflation ?
Increase in the prices of goods and services over time.
What is Inflation Rate ?
The percent increase or decrease in prices during a specified period
Causes of Inflation
Demand Pull Inflation Cost Push Inflation
When demand outpaces supply
for goods or services
When supply is restricted but
demand is not
How Inflation is calculated in India ?
Wholesale Price Index Consumer Price Index
A wholesale price index (WPI) is an index
that measures and tracks the changes in
the price of goods in the stages before the
retail level – that is, goods that are sold in
bulk and traded between entities or
businesses instead of consumers
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a
measure that examines the weighted
average of prices of a basket of consumer
goods and services, such as
transportation, food, and medical care
CPI - R CPI - U
Effects of Inflation
Effects Distribution of Income and
Wealth
Effects Production
Effects Income and Employment Effects Business and Trade
Effects Government Finance Effects Growth
How can Inflation be controlled ?
Fiscal Policy Monetary Policy
The government can increase taxes (such
as income tax and VAT) and cut spending.
This improves the government’s budget
situation and helps to reduce demand in
the economy
The Central bank could increase interest
rates. Higher rates make borrowing more
expensive and saving more attractive.
Reasons for Inflation in India
Rise in Crude Oil Prices Rise in Food Prices
Black Money GDP
Wage Rate Sub Prime Crisis
Market-Power Theory of Inflation
Conventional Demand-Pull Inflation
Structural Theories of Inflation
Theories of Inflation
Structural Theories of Inflation
• Mark-up Theory: Inflation cannot occur alone by demand and cost
factors, but it is the cumulative effect of demand-pull and cost-push
activities.
• Bottle-Neck Inflation: The direct relationship between wages and
prices of products is the main cause of inflation
10
What is the healthy inflation rate ?
• 2 to 6 % is generally considered as health
inflation rate
-11.3%
Recorded the lowest
inflation rate in India
May , 1976
34.7%
India witnessed the highest
inflation rate.
October , 1974
4.62%
Current Inflation rate in
India
October , 2019
Inflation Trends in India
It is forecasted that the Inflation rate will be
varying till 2020 due to various government policies.
11
Inflation Trends in India
General inflation based on different price indices (in per cent)
12
Inflation Trends in India
13
Inflation Trends in India

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Understanding Inflation in India

  • 2. What is Inflation ? Increase in the prices of goods and services over time. What is Inflation Rate ? The percent increase or decrease in prices during a specified period
  • 3. Causes of Inflation Demand Pull Inflation Cost Push Inflation When demand outpaces supply for goods or services When supply is restricted but demand is not
  • 4. How Inflation is calculated in India ? Wholesale Price Index Consumer Price Index A wholesale price index (WPI) is an index that measures and tracks the changes in the price of goods in the stages before the retail level – that is, goods that are sold in bulk and traded between entities or businesses instead of consumers The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure that examines the weighted average of prices of a basket of consumer goods and services, such as transportation, food, and medical care CPI - R CPI - U
  • 5. Effects of Inflation Effects Distribution of Income and Wealth Effects Production Effects Income and Employment Effects Business and Trade Effects Government Finance Effects Growth
  • 6. How can Inflation be controlled ? Fiscal Policy Monetary Policy The government can increase taxes (such as income tax and VAT) and cut spending. This improves the government’s budget situation and helps to reduce demand in the economy The Central bank could increase interest rates. Higher rates make borrowing more expensive and saving more attractive.
  • 7. Reasons for Inflation in India Rise in Crude Oil Prices Rise in Food Prices Black Money GDP Wage Rate Sub Prime Crisis
  • 8. Market-Power Theory of Inflation Conventional Demand-Pull Inflation Structural Theories of Inflation Theories of Inflation
  • 9. Structural Theories of Inflation • Mark-up Theory: Inflation cannot occur alone by demand and cost factors, but it is the cumulative effect of demand-pull and cost-push activities. • Bottle-Neck Inflation: The direct relationship between wages and prices of products is the main cause of inflation
  • 10. 10 What is the healthy inflation rate ? • 2 to 6 % is generally considered as health inflation rate -11.3% Recorded the lowest inflation rate in India May , 1976 34.7% India witnessed the highest inflation rate. October , 1974 4.62% Current Inflation rate in India October , 2019 Inflation Trends in India It is forecasted that the Inflation rate will be varying till 2020 due to various government policies.
  • 11. 11 Inflation Trends in India General inflation based on different price indices (in per cent)