Federal spending impacts the DC region's economy and commercial real estate market. While cuts are proposed for FY2011 and FY2012, key agencies for the region like HHS saw increases in 2011. Long term trends still point to overall growth in federal budgets. The region has historically fared well even when federal spending slows as the private sector picks up. Defense remains important for Northern Virginia but the region has diversified. Federal employment declines may slow absorption temporarily but the office market typically performs well as private sector demand recovers.
The Congressional Budget Office estimates the budgetary effects of the Budget Control Act of 2011. It finds that imposing discretionary spending caps and establishing a Congressional committee to find further savings would reduce deficits by at least $2.1 trillion from 2012-2021 compared to current law. The caps would cut spending relative to CBO's baseline projections. The act aims to reduce improper payments through new "program integrity" initiatives.
The document discusses the growing federal budget deficit and debt in the United States. It notes that the fiscal year 2008 deficit of $455 billion was the largest ever for a single year, and that the total federal debt exceeded $10 trillion for the first time. It argues that while current deficits and debt levels alone may not be problematic, the underlying structural imbalance indicated by long-term deficits signals a need for entitlement reform given the unsustainable obligations of programs like Social Security.
The document summarizes Washington state's financial outlook and implications for K-12 funding. It states that the state is facing a $6.1 billion budget deficit for 2009-2011 that may increase to $8.5-9 billion. K-12 education accounts for 41% of the state budget but the Governor's proposed reductions would cut it by 16%. The Governor proposes eliminating COLA for K-12, reducing programs like I-728 and levy equalization, and cutting other funding. Federal stimulus funds may help but will not solve the entire deficit issue. Budget cuts for schools are very likely but may not be as deep as proposed.
3.8 What’s at Stake: Federal Policy Decisions in 2012 and Beyond
Speaker: Liz Schott
The deficit reduction deal and further decisions made by Congress to reduce the federal deficit have made, and will continue to make, a tremendous impact on low-income housing and homeless assistance programs for many years to come. This workshop will cover the important funding decisions of the past months with an outlook on select programs for the upcoming year and beyond. Presenters will discuss ways in which advocates can make an impact at this incredibly important time to preserve and increase funding for key programs.
Funding Public Infrastructure Stephen Labson slEconomicsStephen Labson
The purpose of this document is to provide an overview to broad options at hand in funding public infrastructure. In developing this overview we have had regard to a number of funding approaches found in practice, and have provided a small set of case studies so as to illustrate key aspects of various approaches and options.
Modernizing the Military Retirement SystemBrian Lucke
The document discusses modernizing the U.S. military retirement system. It finds that the current system was designed in an era with shorter lifespans and less competitive civilian pay. While retirement benefits are generous, they are also expensive for the Department of Defense. The task group interviewed current and former defense officials to review reform proposals. It concludes that the retirement system is inflexible and not optimized for recruitment or retention in the current environment. Recommendations will aim to make the system sustainable while meeting personnel needs.
The document provides information about Chicago's plans to use funding from the Neighborhood Stabilization Program (NSP) to address the foreclosure crisis. For NSP-1, Chicago targeted 25 community areas and planned to acquire and redevelop 585 vacant, foreclosed homes. For competitive NSP-2 funding, Chicago proposed investing $98 million in 12 targeted community areas to stabilize neighborhoods. The plans focused on acquiring and redeveloping REO properties, demolishing blighted homes, and ensuring affordability for rehabilitated homes.
Center for retirement research funding report 110525KernTax
The document summarizes the funding status of state and local pension plans in 2010. Key points:
- The funded ratio for 126 plans declined slightly from 79% in 2009 to 77% in 2010 when using the expected long-term yield to discount liabilities, but dropped from 53% to 51% when using a risk-free rate of 5% instead.
- The decline occurred because growth in liabilities outpaced growth in actuarial assets, which smooth market gains and losses over 5 years, so plans did not fully benefit from the stock market recovery in 2010.
- Funded levels varied significantly among individual plans, with some large plans like those in Illinois and Connecticut having ratios below 60%.
The Congressional Budget Office estimates the budgetary effects of the Budget Control Act of 2011. It finds that imposing discretionary spending caps and establishing a Congressional committee to find further savings would reduce deficits by at least $2.1 trillion from 2012-2021 compared to current law. The caps would cut spending relative to CBO's baseline projections. The act aims to reduce improper payments through new "program integrity" initiatives.
The document discusses the growing federal budget deficit and debt in the United States. It notes that the fiscal year 2008 deficit of $455 billion was the largest ever for a single year, and that the total federal debt exceeded $10 trillion for the first time. It argues that while current deficits and debt levels alone may not be problematic, the underlying structural imbalance indicated by long-term deficits signals a need for entitlement reform given the unsustainable obligations of programs like Social Security.
The document summarizes Washington state's financial outlook and implications for K-12 funding. It states that the state is facing a $6.1 billion budget deficit for 2009-2011 that may increase to $8.5-9 billion. K-12 education accounts for 41% of the state budget but the Governor's proposed reductions would cut it by 16%. The Governor proposes eliminating COLA for K-12, reducing programs like I-728 and levy equalization, and cutting other funding. Federal stimulus funds may help but will not solve the entire deficit issue. Budget cuts for schools are very likely but may not be as deep as proposed.
3.8 What’s at Stake: Federal Policy Decisions in 2012 and Beyond
Speaker: Liz Schott
The deficit reduction deal and further decisions made by Congress to reduce the federal deficit have made, and will continue to make, a tremendous impact on low-income housing and homeless assistance programs for many years to come. This workshop will cover the important funding decisions of the past months with an outlook on select programs for the upcoming year and beyond. Presenters will discuss ways in which advocates can make an impact at this incredibly important time to preserve and increase funding for key programs.
Funding Public Infrastructure Stephen Labson slEconomicsStephen Labson
The purpose of this document is to provide an overview to broad options at hand in funding public infrastructure. In developing this overview we have had regard to a number of funding approaches found in practice, and have provided a small set of case studies so as to illustrate key aspects of various approaches and options.
Modernizing the Military Retirement SystemBrian Lucke
The document discusses modernizing the U.S. military retirement system. It finds that the current system was designed in an era with shorter lifespans and less competitive civilian pay. While retirement benefits are generous, they are also expensive for the Department of Defense. The task group interviewed current and former defense officials to review reform proposals. It concludes that the retirement system is inflexible and not optimized for recruitment or retention in the current environment. Recommendations will aim to make the system sustainable while meeting personnel needs.
The document provides information about Chicago's plans to use funding from the Neighborhood Stabilization Program (NSP) to address the foreclosure crisis. For NSP-1, Chicago targeted 25 community areas and planned to acquire and redevelop 585 vacant, foreclosed homes. For competitive NSP-2 funding, Chicago proposed investing $98 million in 12 targeted community areas to stabilize neighborhoods. The plans focused on acquiring and redeveloping REO properties, demolishing blighted homes, and ensuring affordability for rehabilitated homes.
Center for retirement research funding report 110525KernTax
The document summarizes the funding status of state and local pension plans in 2010. Key points:
- The funded ratio for 126 plans declined slightly from 79% in 2009 to 77% in 2010 when using the expected long-term yield to discount liabilities, but dropped from 53% to 51% when using a risk-free rate of 5% instead.
- The decline occurred because growth in liabilities outpaced growth in actuarial assets, which smooth market gains and losses over 5 years, so plans did not fully benefit from the stock market recovery in 2010.
- Funded levels varied significantly among individual plans, with some large plans like those in Illinois and Connecticut having ratios below 60%.
The document summarizes Illinois' fiscal crisis and budget challenges. It notes that Illinois faces a $13.7 billion operating deficit for FY2011, equal to 52.2% of its general revenue fund appropriations. To address this, Illinois relies heavily on one-time revenues like debt issuance, fund sweeps, and federal stimulus funds. Over the long term, Illinois has seen the loss of high-paying manufacturing jobs replaced with lower paying service jobs without benefits. This has contributed to economic problems and budget deficits that Illinois has struggled to adequately address through recurring revenues and spending priorities.
The Budget Control Act of 2011 will force significant budget reductions at NASA through automatic spending cuts (sequestration) beginning in 2013. If the cuts are around 9% as expected, NASA could lose $1.6 billion in funding for fiscal year 2013. Congress and the appropriations committees have expressed concerns about NASA's cost overruns and poor project management. For NASA to protect its funding in the future, it will need to improve its management and accountability to demonstrate that it is a good steward of taxpayer money.
Energy efficiency finance_options_for_utilities_oct_2011-1HarcourtBrownEF
This document discusses options for utilities to finance energy efficiency programs and achieve ambitious efficiency goals. It notes that financing can leverage private capital, make efficiency investments cash flow positive for customers, and help utilities meet challenging cost-effectiveness tests. The document reviews objectives for successful finance programs like integration with other program elements, simplicity, fast origination, and attractive rates. It then provides case studies of various utility financing programs in California, Connecticut, Georgia, Hawaii, Kansas, Kentucky, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Oregon, South Carolina, and Arizona.
The document discusses using funds from the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act (ARRA) to support energy efficiency and clean energy financing programs. It outlines how ARRA funding is being used to expand existing revolving loan funds, create loan loss reserves, and issue Qualified Energy Conservation Bonds and New Clean Renewable Energy Bonds to finance energy projects. The development of secondary markets for loans is also discussed as critical to attracting private capital and driving down interest rates for consumers.
This presentation provides an overview of the major federal student aid programs (including federal direct student loans, Pell grants, and campus-based aid) provided through the Department of Education. It also briefly discusses basic budgetary issues related to those programs, including how procedures established in the Federal Credit Reform Act are used to estimate the cost of federal student loans and how the Pell grant program is supported by both discretionary and mandatory funding.
Presentation by Justin Humphrey, an analyst in CBO’s Budget Analysis Division, at the Committee for Education Funding.
GT Industry Intelligence Unit - Real Estate & Constructions 2012 AustraliaGrant Thornton
The document provides an overview of the residential property market in Australia, including:
- Housing prices have declined 4.5% since March 2011, a greater decline than during the GFC, with Brisbane experiencing the largest decrease.
- Key drivers of the market include low interest rates and population growth, while private debt levels, the Eurozone crisis, and bank lending policies act as restraints.
- The market is showing signs of stabilizing, with the first positive quarterly growth since 2010, though recovery is not expected until late 2012 or 2013.
- Building approvals have fallen 14.8% nationally since March 2011, close to 20-year lows, with all states experiencing declines except NSW
This presentation provides an overview of how CBO estimates the costs of federal student loans under the Federal Credit Reform Act of 1990.
Presentation by Justin Humphrey, an analyst in CBO’s Budget Analysis Division, at the Postsecondary National Policy Institute.
The document summarizes the 2012 legislative session of the North Carolina General Assembly. It discusses reforms made to education, unemployment insurance, infrastructure, energy production, and business regulations. It also outlines opportunities for 2013, including strengthening workforce development, modernizing taxes, reforming unemployment insurance, and continuing regulatory and education reforms.
The global meetings and events industry faces significant challenges in 2009 due to economic uncertainty and reduced budgets. Meeting planners anticipate a 9% decrease in meetings, 3% decrease in staffing, and 5% increase in meetings planned per planner. Suppliers expect a similar 9% decrease in supported meetings and 4% staffing decrease. Independent planners expect varying impacts by region. Organizations cancelled an average of 4.1 meetings in late 2008 and 3.4 already in 2009. Planners will focus on cost control and ROI. The industry will prioritize necessities, negotiate concessions, and build flexibility into contracts. Virtual meetings will grow in importance while face-to-face remains effective for building relationships and trust.
This document provides an agenda and instructions for an online webinar about FHA programs. The webinar will begin at 9:30 am and participants' phones will be muted. Questions can be typed into the chat window. The webinar will cover FHA programs including 203(k) rehabilitation loans, streamlined 203(k) loans, Energy Efficient Mortgages, other repairs programs, and solar and weatherization programs.
The document provides an overview of the key policy announcements and proposals in the Union Budget of India for 2012-13. Some of the major highlights include setting the fiscal deficit target at 5.1% of GDP, rationalization of subsidies, measures to boost infrastructure, agriculture and manufacturing. Direct tax proposals include no change in corporate tax rates but scope of alternate minimum tax extended. Indirect tax proposals lay the groundwork for nationwide implementation of GST.
This document summarizes a Congressional Budget Office (CBO) analysis of approaches the Department of Defense (DoD) could take to scale back its budget plans to comply with spending limits established by the Budget Control Act of 2011 (BCA). The CBO found that fully implementing DoD's plans would exceed allowed funding by large margins. It examined options for reducing costs through smaller military forces, less funding for operations and equipment, or both. The CBO outlined four options combining these approaches that would meet BCA limits, with larger cuts needed in later years due to rising costs.
The Congressional Budget Office estimates the budgetary effects of the Budget Control Act of 2011. It finds that imposing discretionary spending caps and establishing a Congressional committee to find further savings would reduce deficits by at least $2.1 trillion from 2012-2021 compared to current law. The caps would cut spending relative to CBO's baseline projections. The act aims to reduce improper payments through new "program integrity" initiatives.
The Congressional Budget Office estimates that the Budget Control Act of 2011 would reduce budget deficits by at least $2.1 trillion over 10 years. Key provisions include caps on discretionary spending, additional funding for programs to reduce improper payments, and changes to student loan programs. The legislation also establishes a committee to find $1.5 trillion in further deficit reduction.
The Congressional Budget Office estimates that the Budget Control Act of 2011 would reduce budget deficits by at least $2.1 trillion over 10 years. Key provisions include caps on discretionary spending, additional funding for programs to reduce improper payments, and changes to student loan programs. The legislation also establishes a committee to find $1.5 trillion in further deficit reduction.
The Congressional Budget Office estimates that the Budget Control Act of 2011 would reduce budget deficits by at least $2.1 trillion over the period of 2012 to 2021. It would do this by establishing caps on discretionary spending, allowing additional spending for initiatives to reduce improper payments, and establishing an automatic process to trigger spending reductions if other provisions do not achieve targeted savings. Compared to CBO's baseline estimates, the legislation would lower budget authority and outlays on discretionary spending by hundreds of billions of dollars over the next decade.
The Congressional Budget Office estimates that the Budget Control Act of 2011 would reduce budget deficits by at least $2.1 trillion over 10 years. Key provisions include caps on discretionary spending, adjustments for some programs, changes to education programs, and establishing a committee to find further savings. Additional automatic spending cuts could occur if the committee does not find $1.2 trillion in reductions.
The Congressional Budget Office estimates the budgetary effects of the Budget Control Act of 2011. It finds that imposing discretionary spending caps and establishing a Congressional committee to find further savings would reduce deficits by at least $2.1 trillion from 2012-2021 compared to current law. The caps would cut discretionary spending by $840 billion to $1.1 trillion over this period depending on the baseline. The joint committee would save at least an additional $1.2 trillion through 2022.
The Congressional Budget Office estimates that the Budget Control Act of 2011 would reduce budget deficits by at least $2.1 trillion over 10 years. Key provisions include caps on discretionary spending, adjustments for some programs, changes to education programs, and establishing a committee to find further savings. Additional automatic spending cuts would be triggered if the committee does not find $1.2 trillion in reductions.
The document summarizes Illinois' fiscal crisis and budget challenges. It notes that Illinois faces a $13.7 billion operating deficit for FY2011, equal to 52.2% of its general revenue fund appropriations. To address this, Illinois relies heavily on one-time revenues like debt issuance, fund sweeps, and federal stimulus funds. Over the long term, Illinois has seen the loss of high-paying manufacturing jobs replaced with lower paying service jobs without benefits. This has contributed to economic problems and budget deficits that Illinois has struggled to adequately address through recurring revenues and spending priorities.
The Budget Control Act of 2011 will force significant budget reductions at NASA through automatic spending cuts (sequestration) beginning in 2013. If the cuts are around 9% as expected, NASA could lose $1.6 billion in funding for fiscal year 2013. Congress and the appropriations committees have expressed concerns about NASA's cost overruns and poor project management. For NASA to protect its funding in the future, it will need to improve its management and accountability to demonstrate that it is a good steward of taxpayer money.
Energy efficiency finance_options_for_utilities_oct_2011-1HarcourtBrownEF
This document discusses options for utilities to finance energy efficiency programs and achieve ambitious efficiency goals. It notes that financing can leverage private capital, make efficiency investments cash flow positive for customers, and help utilities meet challenging cost-effectiveness tests. The document reviews objectives for successful finance programs like integration with other program elements, simplicity, fast origination, and attractive rates. It then provides case studies of various utility financing programs in California, Connecticut, Georgia, Hawaii, Kansas, Kentucky, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Oregon, South Carolina, and Arizona.
The document discusses using funds from the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act (ARRA) to support energy efficiency and clean energy financing programs. It outlines how ARRA funding is being used to expand existing revolving loan funds, create loan loss reserves, and issue Qualified Energy Conservation Bonds and New Clean Renewable Energy Bonds to finance energy projects. The development of secondary markets for loans is also discussed as critical to attracting private capital and driving down interest rates for consumers.
This presentation provides an overview of the major federal student aid programs (including federal direct student loans, Pell grants, and campus-based aid) provided through the Department of Education. It also briefly discusses basic budgetary issues related to those programs, including how procedures established in the Federal Credit Reform Act are used to estimate the cost of federal student loans and how the Pell grant program is supported by both discretionary and mandatory funding.
Presentation by Justin Humphrey, an analyst in CBO’s Budget Analysis Division, at the Committee for Education Funding.
GT Industry Intelligence Unit - Real Estate & Constructions 2012 AustraliaGrant Thornton
The document provides an overview of the residential property market in Australia, including:
- Housing prices have declined 4.5% since March 2011, a greater decline than during the GFC, with Brisbane experiencing the largest decrease.
- Key drivers of the market include low interest rates and population growth, while private debt levels, the Eurozone crisis, and bank lending policies act as restraints.
- The market is showing signs of stabilizing, with the first positive quarterly growth since 2010, though recovery is not expected until late 2012 or 2013.
- Building approvals have fallen 14.8% nationally since March 2011, close to 20-year lows, with all states experiencing declines except NSW
This presentation provides an overview of how CBO estimates the costs of federal student loans under the Federal Credit Reform Act of 1990.
Presentation by Justin Humphrey, an analyst in CBO’s Budget Analysis Division, at the Postsecondary National Policy Institute.
The document summarizes the 2012 legislative session of the North Carolina General Assembly. It discusses reforms made to education, unemployment insurance, infrastructure, energy production, and business regulations. It also outlines opportunities for 2013, including strengthening workforce development, modernizing taxes, reforming unemployment insurance, and continuing regulatory and education reforms.
The global meetings and events industry faces significant challenges in 2009 due to economic uncertainty and reduced budgets. Meeting planners anticipate a 9% decrease in meetings, 3% decrease in staffing, and 5% increase in meetings planned per planner. Suppliers expect a similar 9% decrease in supported meetings and 4% staffing decrease. Independent planners expect varying impacts by region. Organizations cancelled an average of 4.1 meetings in late 2008 and 3.4 already in 2009. Planners will focus on cost control and ROI. The industry will prioritize necessities, negotiate concessions, and build flexibility into contracts. Virtual meetings will grow in importance while face-to-face remains effective for building relationships and trust.
This document provides an agenda and instructions for an online webinar about FHA programs. The webinar will begin at 9:30 am and participants' phones will be muted. Questions can be typed into the chat window. The webinar will cover FHA programs including 203(k) rehabilitation loans, streamlined 203(k) loans, Energy Efficient Mortgages, other repairs programs, and solar and weatherization programs.
The document provides an overview of the key policy announcements and proposals in the Union Budget of India for 2012-13. Some of the major highlights include setting the fiscal deficit target at 5.1% of GDP, rationalization of subsidies, measures to boost infrastructure, agriculture and manufacturing. Direct tax proposals include no change in corporate tax rates but scope of alternate minimum tax extended. Indirect tax proposals lay the groundwork for nationwide implementation of GST.
This document summarizes a Congressional Budget Office (CBO) analysis of approaches the Department of Defense (DoD) could take to scale back its budget plans to comply with spending limits established by the Budget Control Act of 2011 (BCA). The CBO found that fully implementing DoD's plans would exceed allowed funding by large margins. It examined options for reducing costs through smaller military forces, less funding for operations and equipment, or both. The CBO outlined four options combining these approaches that would meet BCA limits, with larger cuts needed in later years due to rising costs.
The Congressional Budget Office estimates the budgetary effects of the Budget Control Act of 2011. It finds that imposing discretionary spending caps and establishing a Congressional committee to find further savings would reduce deficits by at least $2.1 trillion from 2012-2021 compared to current law. The caps would cut spending relative to CBO's baseline projections. The act aims to reduce improper payments through new "program integrity" initiatives.
The Congressional Budget Office estimates that the Budget Control Act of 2011 would reduce budget deficits by at least $2.1 trillion over 10 years. Key provisions include caps on discretionary spending, additional funding for programs to reduce improper payments, and changes to student loan programs. The legislation also establishes a committee to find $1.5 trillion in further deficit reduction.
The Congressional Budget Office estimates that the Budget Control Act of 2011 would reduce budget deficits by at least $2.1 trillion over 10 years. Key provisions include caps on discretionary spending, additional funding for programs to reduce improper payments, and changes to student loan programs. The legislation also establishes a committee to find $1.5 trillion in further deficit reduction.
The Congressional Budget Office estimates that the Budget Control Act of 2011 would reduce budget deficits by at least $2.1 trillion over the period of 2012 to 2021. It would do this by establishing caps on discretionary spending, allowing additional spending for initiatives to reduce improper payments, and establishing an automatic process to trigger spending reductions if other provisions do not achieve targeted savings. Compared to CBO's baseline estimates, the legislation would lower budget authority and outlays on discretionary spending by hundreds of billions of dollars over the next decade.
The Congressional Budget Office estimates that the Budget Control Act of 2011 would reduce budget deficits by at least $2.1 trillion over 10 years. Key provisions include caps on discretionary spending, adjustments for some programs, changes to education programs, and establishing a committee to find further savings. Additional automatic spending cuts could occur if the committee does not find $1.2 trillion in reductions.
The Congressional Budget Office estimates the budgetary effects of the Budget Control Act of 2011. It finds that imposing discretionary spending caps and establishing a Congressional committee to find further savings would reduce deficits by at least $2.1 trillion from 2012-2021 compared to current law. The caps would cut discretionary spending by $840 billion to $1.1 trillion over this period depending on the baseline. The joint committee would save at least an additional $1.2 trillion through 2022.
The Congressional Budget Office estimates that the Budget Control Act of 2011 would reduce budget deficits by at least $2.1 trillion over 10 years. Key provisions include caps on discretionary spending, adjustments for some programs, changes to education programs, and establishing a committee to find further savings. Additional automatic spending cuts would be triggered if the committee does not find $1.2 trillion in reductions.
Living Longer, Living Better: Reform Report #2 - GT review AustraliaGrant Thornton
This is our second report in response to the Government's Living Longer, Living Better package.
In this document, we discuss the implications of, and industry reaction to, the initiatives recently announced by the Government as more detail of their response to the Productivity Commission's report emerges.
Douglas Elmendorf, director of the Congressional Budget Office, presented on choices for federal spending and taxes. The US faces large budget deficits and rising debt levels. To stabilize debt, policy changes of around $750 billion will be needed by 2022, which could include cutting Social Security and health programs by 25% or raising taxes by 16%. Without changes, debt will continue rising much faster than GDP.
Since 2001, the Department of Defense (DoD) has regularly requested large appropriations to supplement its base-budget funding. Most of that nonbase funding has been designated for overseas contingency operations (OCO) that began after 9/11. CBO examined how DoD’s use of OCO funding has affected its spending.
Growth of Funding. Between 1970 and 2000, nonbase funding accounted for about 2 percent of DoD’s total spending. Since 2001, such funding has accounted for a much larger and persistent share of annual defense appropriations.
Amounts of Funding. Nonbase funding peaked at 28 percent of DoD’s budget in 2007 and 2008. From 2001 to 2018, it has averaged about $116 billion per year (in 2019 dollars), totaling about 20 percent of DoD’s total funding.
Funding for Enduring Activities. In CBO’s estimation, from 2006 to 2018, more than $50 billion in OCO funding per year (in 2019 dollars), on average, has gone toward the costs of enduring activities rather than the temporary costs of overseas operations. DoD’s most recent budget request indicates that, beginning in 2019, the department plans to increase the base budget to include most of that enduring funding in future years.
Presentation by F. Matthew Woodward, an analyst in CBO’s National Security Division, at a joint seminar by the Congressional Research Service, the Congressional Budget Office, and the Government Accountability Office.
The Congressional Budget Office director Douglas Elmendorf presented on the budget outlook and consequences of high federal debt. He showed projections of growing deficits, spending, and debt as a percentage of GDP through 2023 if current laws remain. High and rising debt reduces flexibility, increases risk of crisis, and means future debt would be larger. It also crowds out investment and imposes long term healthcare and retirement spending pressures. Evaluating policy changes requires considering how much debt is reduced, the speed of reduction, resource allocation, long term growth effects, and distributional burdens across incomes and generations.
This document provides calculations for the mandatory spending cuts resulting from Congress's failure to enact legislation to reduce the deficit by $1.2 trillion as required by the Budget Control Act of 2011. It finds that a total of $85 billion in cuts are required for fiscal year 2013, with $42.667 billion coming from defense programs and $42.667 billion from nondefense programs. Specifically, it calculates a 7.8% cut to nonexempt defense discretionary funding, a 5.0% cut to nonexempt nondefense discretionary funding, a 2.0% cut to Medicare, a 5.1% cut to other nonexempt nondefense mandatory programs, and a 7.9% cut to nonexe
The document is from the Congressional Budget Office and discusses the rising federal deficits and debt in the United States. It notes that under current policies, deficits are projected to increase significantly as a percentage of GDP due to factors like an aging population and rising healthcare costs. To put the budget on a sustainable path, lawmakers will need to adopt policies that increase taxes, reduce government benefits and services, or combine both. However, achieving the large amount of deficit reduction needed to stabilize rising debt levels will be very challenging.
Fiscal policy involves a government changing levels of taxation and spending to influence aggregate demand and economic activity. The government can enact expansionary fiscal policy by increasing spending and cutting taxes, or enact contractionary fiscal policy by cutting spending and raising taxes. Expansionary policy aims to increase aggregate demand but risks higher inflation, while contractionary policy aims to decrease aggregate demand and improve budget deficits but is difficult to achieve. Fiscal policy tools include public expenditure, government income from taxes, and public borrowing.
This document provides a quarterly update on the UK pension plan de-risking market in Q4 2012. It summarizes regulatory developments like changes to RPI/CPI calculations and reductions to the annual and lifetime pension allowances. It reviews recent de-risking transactions including bulk purchase annuities and longevity swaps. It also looks ahead to expected continued strong activity in buy-ins and potential growth in the longevity swap market in 2013 as more insurers enter.
The document summarizes the US Department of Defense's budget request for fiscal year 2014. It requests $526.6 billion to protect US security interests at home and abroad. It reflects difficult choices to balance priorities like supporting troops, readiness, modernization, and personnel care amid declining budgets. The budget seeks efficiencies, prioritizes key capabilities aligned with strategic guidance, and protects readiness to avoid repeating mistakes of past drawdowns.
To provide information about its plans beyond the coming year, the Department of Defense (DoD) generally provides a five-year plan, called the Future Years Defense Program (FYDP), that is associated with the budget it submits to the Congress. Because decisions made in the near term can have consequences for the defense budget in the longer term, CBO regularly examines DoD’s FYDP and projects its budgetary impact for roughly a decade beyond the period covered by the FYDP. For this analysis, CBO used the FYDP that was provided to the Congress in April 2014; it spans fiscal years 2015 to 2019, and CBO’s projections span the years 2015 to 2030.
For fiscal year 2015, DoD requested appropriations totaling $555 billion. Of that amount, $496 billion was for the base budget and $59 billion was for what are termed overseas contingency operations (OCO). The base budget covers programs that constitute the department’s normal activities, such as the development and procurement of weapon systems and the day-to-day operations of the military and civilian workforce. Funding for OCO pays for U.S. involvement in the war in Afghanistan and other nonroutine military activities elsewhere. The FYDP describes DoD’s plans for its normal activities and therefore generally corresponds to the base budget.
DoD’s 2015 plans differ from its 2014 plans in important ways. For example, in an effort to reduce costs, the current FYDP includes sizeable cuts in the number of military personnel, particularly in the Army.
The document is a presentation by the Director of the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) about key issues related to federal spending and taxes. It addresses five questions: 1) the size of projected deficits and debt, 2) factors putting pressure on the budget, 3) consequences of rising debt, 4) policy changes for a sustainable budget, and 5) criteria for evaluating policies. The CBO projects large deficits and rising debt without changes to current policies. Rising healthcare and retirement costs are key drivers. Reducing the debt requires significant cuts to benefits, spending, or revenue increases above historical averages.
Similar to Impacts of Federal Spending Changes on DC Commercial Real Estate (20)
National Press Club: DCBIA DC Office Leasing Outlookkottmeier
The document provides an economic update for the DC metro commercial real estate market. It notes that job growth has slowed significantly since early 2012. In the office market, vacancy is rising as demand for space has declined and rents are flat or falling. Confidence in the market is low due to uncertainty around fiscal policy issues like the upcoming "fiscal cliff." While federal spending is slowing, the DC metro remains an important economic center with strengths like highly educated workforce and population growth. The outlook calls for continued weak conditions over the next 18 months but a return to stronger growth starting in 2014 if fiscal issues are resolved.
The Washington DC office market saw limited growth in the third quarter of 2012, with net absorption of only 12,000 square feet. Vacancy rates fell slightly to 10.3% despite uncertainty around elections and government spending keeping demand cautious. Average asking rents rose modestly by 1.2% over the quarter. Small to mid-size private sector tenants such as law firms and non-profits drove the limited demand while the public sector remained stalled awaiting policy decisions. No new supply was delivered in the quarter and vacancy is expected to remain flat with modest rental growth over the next 18 months due to a lack of significant demand drivers.
The suburban Maryland office market saw continued negative absorption during the third quarter of 2012, with net demand registering at -39,000 square feet. The vacancy rate remained at 15.5% despite the negative absorption. Notable lease renewals by the GSA helped boost Montgomery County absorption numbers. While overall market conditions were sluggish, some areas like Bethesda saw continued leasing activity and positive absorption. Landlords have increased concessions to attract tenants in a slow leasing environment.
IT and the Federal Government - Doing More with Lesskottmeier
The federal government spends around $78.9 billion annually on information technology (IT), accounting for over 6% of discretionary spending. However, the IT budget has remained flat in recent years due to budget cuts and efforts to optimize spending through data center consolidation and increased adoption of cloud computing. Nearly half of all federal IT spending goes to the Department of Defense. Cybersecurity is also a priority and the Department of Homeland Security's cybersecurity budget is increasing. The shift to more mobile and virtual work environments could decrease demand for physical office space.
The U.S. economy created 227,000 seasonally adjusted, non-farm jobs in February, according to the latest employment report from the BLS. This is the third consecutive month of net job gains over 200,000. After flirting with a retrenchment in payroll growth this past summer, the U.S. economy has added 201,000 monthly payrolls, on average, since September. The latest metropolitan area employment figures show that the DC region added 13,400 office-using jobs on an annual basis in 2011.
2012 State Of The Capital Markets: DC Metrokottmeier
The document discusses the state of the capital markets in Washington DC in 2011 and 2012. It notes that while 2011 saw job growth and economic recovery, political uncertainty led to average or guarded levels of real estate activity. The DC metro remained one of the top performing markets, adding jobs and seeing high office investment sales volumes and prices, though federal spending growth is expected to slow in the coming years.
Why has multifamily investment been so hot, especially in D.C.? What are some of the underlying economic and demographic fundamentals driving the multifamily market?
Implications of Tax Cuts on Commercial Real Estatekottmeier
The document discusses the implications of various tax cut scenarios on the commercial real estate industry. Extending current income tax cuts for two years is the most likely outcome and would cost between $200-500 billion. This could shift some commercial real estate transactions to 2010 due to potentially higher capital gains taxes in 2011. Limiting itemized deductions and changes to estate tax laws could also impact commercial real estate markets and property values. Both short-term and long-term tax cuts carry economic and public debt implications.
Mid Term Elections & Commercial Real Estatekottmeier
The 2010 mid-term elections resulted in Republican control of the House while Democrats retained the presidency, dividing government. This document discusses several implications for commercial real estate, including that a divided government may delay decisions around fiscal stimulus and employment, prolonging recovery in real estate markets. Additionally, debates around tax cuts, federal spending, healthcare reform, and financial reform could impact demand for office and medical space. While employment is slowly improving, decisions made by Congress will influence future projections and commercial real estate demand over the next 5 years is estimated at 550-925 million square feet of office space.
The document discusses the impacts of the 2005 Base Realignment and Closure (BRAC) Commission recommendations. Key points:
- BRAC will result in the relocation of tens of thousands of jobs and federal agencies from the Washington D.C. area to military bases in Virginia and Maryland.
- Arlington County, Virginia will be most significantly affected, with over 5 million square feet of office space and 17% of its total office inventory impacted.
- Fort Belvoir in Fairfax County, Virginia will gain nearly 20,000 new jobs and 6 million square feet of new office space from relocated agencies like the National Geospatial Intelligence Agency.
- Other areas that will see impacts are Alexandria, Virginia
This report examines the market for energy efficient products and services in the residential sector. It analyzes demand drivers like green certification programs, legislation, incentives and financing programs. It also assesses new home/remodeling industries, products/appliances, energy audits and utility services. Key topics covered include the American Recovery Act, ENERGY STAR appliances, green building techniques, tax credits and auditing/verification. Market forecasts are provided for areas like home improvement spending and smart meter installations through 2014. The report concludes the market is still developing but will grow as homes age, utility prices rise and smart grid builds out, creating opportunities for energy efficiency.