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1
Changing Profile of Household Sector Credit
and Deposits in Indian Banking System
-Deepak Mathur
November 30, 2010
2
Indian Banking System
• Commercial & Co-operative banks
• Commercial – 90 % of system’s assets
• 170 commercial banks (166 scheduled)
• 85, 000 branches, 45,000 ATMs
• 35,000 centres out of 675,000 habitats
• 660 mn deposit and 110 mn credit accounts
• Deposits: Rs. 48 trillion
• Credit : Rs. 35 trillion
• Employment :1 million
3
Basic Statistical Returns
• Statutory and non-statutory returns
• Basic Statistical Return (BSR) system
• Deposits, Credit, Employment, Investments
• BSR-1: Credit (annual, branch level)
– Two parts
– Large accounts: Account level data on several
characteristics
– Small accounts-Branch level purpose-wise data
– Survey of small loan accounts
4
Basic Statistical Returns
• BSR-2 Deposits (annual, branch level)
– Broad ownership, Type of deposits
– Term deposits- maturity, Interest rate
• BSR-4 (sample survey, annual, branch level)-
Composition and ownership pattern of deposits
– Economic sectors- Government, Private Corporate, Financial,
Household and Foreign Sectors, Detailed sub sectors
– Type of deposits-Current/Savings/Term
• Other returns: Investments, Debits to Deposit and Credit
accounts, etc.
5
Basic Statistical Returns
• BSR-4 : Survey of ownership pf deposits
– Annual, Sample survey, Branch level data
– Stratified sampling-State/UT, Population
group, Bank group; Size (deposits)
– Ratio Estimator
– Type of Deposit account
– Economic Sectors
• Household sector saving estimation
6
Basic Statistical Returns
• Household sector data
– Credit and Deposits
– Individuals accounts
• Males, Females
• Singly or jointly with other individuals
and
– Unincorporated bodies
• Partnerships, Proprietary concerns
• Trusts, associations, clubs, etc.
7
Household sector-Credit and Deposits
1991-2009
– Deposits-High growth rates
• 16.2 % (1991-2009), 17.3 % 2001-09
• Though lower than overall deposit growth
• Largest constituent of depositor base
• Share 80.5 % in 1991, 67.2 % in 2001
About 58 % in recent years
• Individuals 90 % in 1991 and 80 % in 2009
8
Household sector-Credit and Deposits
1991-2009
– Credit-High growth rates
• 16.6 % (1991-2009), 21.5 % 2001-09
• Though lower than overall credit growth
• A major constituent of borrower base
• Share 56.3 % in 1991, 47 % in 2006-07,
44 % in 2008 and 39 % in 2009
• Number of accounts
1991: 59 mn (62 mn total)
2009: 104 mn (110 mn total)
9
Household sector-Credit and Deposits
1991-2009
– Credit-Deposit Ratio
– Household sector-consistently lower
– Household sector
• 1991: 43 %, 2006-07: 57-59 %, 2009: 47 %
– Total credit
• 1991: 62 %, 2006-07: 70-72% %, 2009: 71 %
– Differential 13 -20 percentage points
10
Household sector-Credit- Purpose
• Personal loans (Housing, Consumer durables,
vehicles, others)
• All other loans- productive sectors
• Share of Personal loans in total credit
Number of accounts : 1991-27 %, 2009- 65 %
Amount outstanding : 1991-13 %, 2009- 43 %
• Personal loans Growth
1991-2009 : 25.5 %, 2001-09: 39.5 %
11
Household sector-Credit- Purpose
• Large accounts (1996-2009)
– Agriculture : 10 %
– Industry : 1996-2001: 35 %, 2006-09: 20 %
– Trade : 10 %, Professionals : 10%
– Housing: 1996: 6 %,2006-09: 25 %
• Small accounts (2001-06)
– Agriculture : 30 %
– Industry : 4 %
– Personal loans : 40 %
12
Household sector-Credit-Cost, Size
• Weighted average interest rate
• Large accounts (1996-2009)
– In alignment with overall rate for all sectors
– No direct relationship
– 60 to 80 bps difference
• Small accounts (2004-06)
– Housing loans and Agriculture loans at lower rates
• Average size of loan amount
Household sector loans average about 34 % of
all loan accounts average amount
13
Household sector-Credit- Type of account
• Short term accounts: Cash credits, overdrafts
and demand loans
• Long term loans : Medium term loans and long
term loans
• Increase in Long term accounts
– Number : 1996 : 69 % 2009 : 77 %
– Amount : 1996 : 42 % 2009 : 67 %
• Personal loans – term loans
14
Household sector-Deposits-Type of account
Type of account
• Demand deposits: Current and savings
deposits, Term deposits: Fixed maturity
• Term deposits : major share, though declining
– 1991: 61 %, 2006 : 51 %, 2009: 58%
– Individuals sub-sector similar trend
• Household sector: recent years higher
proportion in CASA deposits
15
Household sector-Term deposits-Maturity
Maturity of term deposits
• Data for individuals sub-sector
• Original maturity. Maturity brackets:
<1 year, 1-3 years and > 3 years.
• Two-thirds of deposits below 3 years maturity.
• Share of maturity below 1 year declined.
• Average maturity: about 2.4 years (1996-2009)
(for all sectors: Higher 1.9 years in 2009)
16
Summary observations
Household sector 1991-2009
• Consistently high growth in deposits and
credit, though lower than overall
• Major share in banking system
– Deposits : 58 % (79 % of which individuals)
– Credit : 39 %
– Credit-Deposit Ratio : 47 %
• Net saver-provider of funds
17
Summary observations
• Personal Loans-High and rising share
– 65 % accounts, 43 % amount
– Housing loans : 56 % of personal loans
• Industry-declining share : 20 %,
• Agriculture : 10 %, Other services: 10 %
• Cost of credit: Similar to all loans
• Size per account : one-third of total credit
• Long term loans-Increasing share
18
Summary observations
• Deposits
– 44 % of current deposits with banks, 85 %
of savings deposits, 52 % of term deposits
– Decline in share of term deposits in total
deposits. Higher proportion of current and
savings deposits.
– Term deposits average maturity higher
compared to all sectors.
19
Thank you !
dmathur@rbi.org.in

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IBS

  • 1. 1 Changing Profile of Household Sector Credit and Deposits in Indian Banking System -Deepak Mathur November 30, 2010
  • 2. 2 Indian Banking System • Commercial & Co-operative banks • Commercial – 90 % of system’s assets • 170 commercial banks (166 scheduled) • 85, 000 branches, 45,000 ATMs • 35,000 centres out of 675,000 habitats • 660 mn deposit and 110 mn credit accounts • Deposits: Rs. 48 trillion • Credit : Rs. 35 trillion • Employment :1 million
  • 3. 3 Basic Statistical Returns • Statutory and non-statutory returns • Basic Statistical Return (BSR) system • Deposits, Credit, Employment, Investments • BSR-1: Credit (annual, branch level) – Two parts – Large accounts: Account level data on several characteristics – Small accounts-Branch level purpose-wise data – Survey of small loan accounts
  • 4. 4 Basic Statistical Returns • BSR-2 Deposits (annual, branch level) – Broad ownership, Type of deposits – Term deposits- maturity, Interest rate • BSR-4 (sample survey, annual, branch level)- Composition and ownership pattern of deposits – Economic sectors- Government, Private Corporate, Financial, Household and Foreign Sectors, Detailed sub sectors – Type of deposits-Current/Savings/Term • Other returns: Investments, Debits to Deposit and Credit accounts, etc.
  • 5. 5 Basic Statistical Returns • BSR-4 : Survey of ownership pf deposits – Annual, Sample survey, Branch level data – Stratified sampling-State/UT, Population group, Bank group; Size (deposits) – Ratio Estimator – Type of Deposit account – Economic Sectors • Household sector saving estimation
  • 6. 6 Basic Statistical Returns • Household sector data – Credit and Deposits – Individuals accounts • Males, Females • Singly or jointly with other individuals and – Unincorporated bodies • Partnerships, Proprietary concerns • Trusts, associations, clubs, etc.
  • 7. 7 Household sector-Credit and Deposits 1991-2009 – Deposits-High growth rates • 16.2 % (1991-2009), 17.3 % 2001-09 • Though lower than overall deposit growth • Largest constituent of depositor base • Share 80.5 % in 1991, 67.2 % in 2001 About 58 % in recent years • Individuals 90 % in 1991 and 80 % in 2009
  • 8. 8 Household sector-Credit and Deposits 1991-2009 – Credit-High growth rates • 16.6 % (1991-2009), 21.5 % 2001-09 • Though lower than overall credit growth • A major constituent of borrower base • Share 56.3 % in 1991, 47 % in 2006-07, 44 % in 2008 and 39 % in 2009 • Number of accounts 1991: 59 mn (62 mn total) 2009: 104 mn (110 mn total)
  • 9. 9 Household sector-Credit and Deposits 1991-2009 – Credit-Deposit Ratio – Household sector-consistently lower – Household sector • 1991: 43 %, 2006-07: 57-59 %, 2009: 47 % – Total credit • 1991: 62 %, 2006-07: 70-72% %, 2009: 71 % – Differential 13 -20 percentage points
  • 10. 10 Household sector-Credit- Purpose • Personal loans (Housing, Consumer durables, vehicles, others) • All other loans- productive sectors • Share of Personal loans in total credit Number of accounts : 1991-27 %, 2009- 65 % Amount outstanding : 1991-13 %, 2009- 43 % • Personal loans Growth 1991-2009 : 25.5 %, 2001-09: 39.5 %
  • 11. 11 Household sector-Credit- Purpose • Large accounts (1996-2009) – Agriculture : 10 % – Industry : 1996-2001: 35 %, 2006-09: 20 % – Trade : 10 %, Professionals : 10% – Housing: 1996: 6 %,2006-09: 25 % • Small accounts (2001-06) – Agriculture : 30 % – Industry : 4 % – Personal loans : 40 %
  • 12. 12 Household sector-Credit-Cost, Size • Weighted average interest rate • Large accounts (1996-2009) – In alignment with overall rate for all sectors – No direct relationship – 60 to 80 bps difference • Small accounts (2004-06) – Housing loans and Agriculture loans at lower rates • Average size of loan amount Household sector loans average about 34 % of all loan accounts average amount
  • 13. 13 Household sector-Credit- Type of account • Short term accounts: Cash credits, overdrafts and demand loans • Long term loans : Medium term loans and long term loans • Increase in Long term accounts – Number : 1996 : 69 % 2009 : 77 % – Amount : 1996 : 42 % 2009 : 67 % • Personal loans – term loans
  • 14. 14 Household sector-Deposits-Type of account Type of account • Demand deposits: Current and savings deposits, Term deposits: Fixed maturity • Term deposits : major share, though declining – 1991: 61 %, 2006 : 51 %, 2009: 58% – Individuals sub-sector similar trend • Household sector: recent years higher proportion in CASA deposits
  • 15. 15 Household sector-Term deposits-Maturity Maturity of term deposits • Data for individuals sub-sector • Original maturity. Maturity brackets: <1 year, 1-3 years and > 3 years. • Two-thirds of deposits below 3 years maturity. • Share of maturity below 1 year declined. • Average maturity: about 2.4 years (1996-2009) (for all sectors: Higher 1.9 years in 2009)
  • 16. 16 Summary observations Household sector 1991-2009 • Consistently high growth in deposits and credit, though lower than overall • Major share in banking system – Deposits : 58 % (79 % of which individuals) – Credit : 39 % – Credit-Deposit Ratio : 47 % • Net saver-provider of funds
  • 17. 17 Summary observations • Personal Loans-High and rising share – 65 % accounts, 43 % amount – Housing loans : 56 % of personal loans • Industry-declining share : 20 %, • Agriculture : 10 %, Other services: 10 % • Cost of credit: Similar to all loans • Size per account : one-third of total credit • Long term loans-Increasing share
  • 18. 18 Summary observations • Deposits – 44 % of current deposits with banks, 85 % of savings deposits, 52 % of term deposits – Decline in share of term deposits in total deposits. Higher proportion of current and savings deposits. – Term deposits average maturity higher compared to all sectors.