This document summarizes statistics from Jamaica presented by the Director General of the Statistical Institute of Jamaica. It discusses world population trends showing declining fertility and mortality rates. Census data from Jamaica in 2011 is presented, showing an aging population with a median age of 27 and declining birth rates. Population projections estimate Jamaica's population will reach 2.752 million by 2030. Labour force statistics are shown by occupation, industry, education level and age. The changing structure of Jamaica's economy is discussed with sectors like wholesale/retail and public services contributing more to GDP.

1. STATISTICAL INSTITUTE OF JAMAICA 1
How do we see & use
statistics?
Government Communicators’ Meeting
Sonia M. Jackson
Director General
Statistical Institute of Jamaica

2. STATISTICAL INSTITUTE OF JAMAICA 2
Structure of Presentation
 World population trends
 Findings from Census 2011
 Population projections to 2030
 Components of the Labour Force Survey
July 2012
 The changing structure of the economy
 Impact of the population change
 Conclusion

3. STATISTICAL INSTITUTE OF JAMAICA 3
World Population Trends 2012
 Fertility rate worldwide 2.4 children per woman
 Infant mortality rate 41 infant deaths per 1000
population
 Life expectancy at birth - 70 years
 Death rate 8 deaths per 1000 population
 In Latin America & Caribbean (LAC)
 Fertility rate 2.2 children per woman
 Infant mortality rate 20 infant deaths per 1000
population
 Death rate 6 deaths per 1000 population

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Findings Census 2011
 Jamaica, like the rest of Caribbean, has
been similar to the rest of the world –
 Reduced fertility rates
 Declining from 5.8 children per woman in 1970 to
2.3 children per woman in 2011
 Slight increase in death rate
 From 6.4 per 1000 in 2001 to 7.1 per 1000 in 2011
 Population aging
 Median age was 17 in 1970 and 27 in 2011
 %age increase in Population over age 65 increased
from 4.3% in 1960 to 8.1% in 2011

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Population changes
Census
Year Population Births Deaths
Net
Migration
Annual
%age
growth rate
1911 831,400
1921 858,100 370,200 216,400 77,100 0.31
1943 1,246,200 765,300 412,200 25,800 1.67
1960 1,624,400 855,500 287,500 195,200 1.56
1970 1,848,500 676,500 141,300 296,500 1.39
1982 2,190,400 747,788 188,993 216,959 1.40
1991 2,380,700 505,844 133,973 181,601 0.95
2001 2,607,632 603,090 159,733 216,392 0.87
2011 2,697,983 438,318 179,253 168,714 0.36

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Components of Population Change:1921–2011
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
1921 1943 1960 1970 1982 1991 2001 2011
Census Years
Rate
Crude Birth Rate
Crude Death Rate
Net Migration Rate

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Findings Census 2011
 Other Features -
 Migration rates - though declining – still
relatively high
 Urbanization - 54 % of population living in
urban centres
 Use of technology –
 Telephone access within households increased from
59.36% in 2001 to 94.04% in 2011
 Households with Computers and Internet
Connection increased form 11.86% in 2001 to
26.69% in 2011

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Urbanization
Urban/
Rural
2011 2001
Change
%age
Change
%age Share of
Total
Population
2001-2011
2011 2001
Total 2,697,983 2,607,632 90,351 3.5 100 100
Urban 1,453,438 1,355,334 98,104 7.2 54 52
Rural 1,244,545 1,252,299 -7,754 -0.6 46 48

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Percentage Distribution of the Population by Urban and Rural Census 2011
42
44
46
48
50
52
54
56
Urban Rural
Percentage
2001 2011

11. Population Change in the Five Fastest Growing
Parish Capitals: 2001 - 2011
CAPITAL PARISH POPULATION % CHANGE
2001-
2011
% SHARE
OF PARISH
TOTAL
2011
2011 2001
Black
River
St Elizabeth 5,352 4,095 31 4
Lucea Hanover 7,131 6,062 14 10
Spanish
Town
St. Catherine 147,152 131,51
5
12 29
Montego
Bay
St. James 110,115 96,477 14 60
Sav-la- Westmoreland 22,633 19,893 14 16

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Availability and Access to Use of
technology
Telephone access within
households increased from
59.36% in 2001 to 94.04% in
2011
Households with Computers
and Internet Connection
increased from 11.86% in
2001 to 26.69% in 2011

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Number of Households with Computers
2001 and 2011
0
100000
200000
300000
400000
500000
600000
700000
NumberofHouseholds
2001 88738 638376 21215
2011 246042 612706 22330
With Computer No Computer Not Reported

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The Population Projections

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Population Projections to 2030
 Fertility rates – continue to decline
 Life expectancy not expected to change
significantly – 70 for men and 75 for women
 Mortality rates will change with aging
population
 Net migration rates should remain fairly flat
 Total population – 2.752 million being
1.355 million males and 1.397 females –
based on 2000 projections at the low level

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Components of Population Change 2015-2030
Census
Years
Births, Deaths and Migration in Inter-censal Period
Annual
Growth
Rate %
Population Births Deaths
Natural
Increase Migration
Census 2011 Results
2011 2,697,983 438,318 179,253 259,065 168,714 0.36
Projection Years (data per annum)
2015-2020 2,753,902 47,400 22,000 25,400 20,000 0.19
2020-2025 2,769,224 45,000 23,000 22,000 20,000 0.05
2025-2030 2,752,054 39,000 25,000 14,000 20,000 -0.10

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Changing Age Structure of Population
Age
Groups 1960 2001 2011 2030
0 -14 41.20 32.20 26.10 23.00
15 - 64 54.60 60.10 65.90 66.00
65+ 4.30 7.70 8.10 11.00
100 100 100 100.00

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Vision 2030 Jamaica
National Development Plan

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Vision 2030 Jamaica
– National Development Plan
NATIONAL GOAL
# 1
NATIONAL OUTCOMES
Jamaicans are
empowered to
achieve their
fullest potential
1. A Healthy & Stable
Population
2. World Class Education &
Training
3. Effective Social Protection
4. Authentic & Transformational
Culture

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Challenges to achieving
National Goal #1
a. Inadequate health personnel & infrastructure
b. Poor performance of learners, especially boys at
the various levels of education
c. Need for better trained education personnel
d. Inadequate parenting
e. Discrimination against persons with disabilities
f. Inadequate support for the vulnerable
population
g. Not enough attention being paid to positive
values such as truthfulness & respect for each
other
h. Inadequate resources for the development of
the creative industries including culture & sports

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The Labour Force July 2012

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Employed Labour Force by Occupation
Categories MALE FEMALE TOTAL
Occupation Groups
Professional 96,104 146,695 242,800
Clerks 22,303 73,209 95,511
Service Worker 84,666 129,718 214,384
Skilled Agri. Worker 160,758 34,844 195,602
Craft & Related Worker 135,271 12,071 147,343
Plant & Machine Operator 52,885 2,878 55,764
Elementary Operator 66,746 75,503 142,249
Not specified 666 374 1,041
Total 619,399 475,293 1,094,692

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STATISTICAL INSTITUTE OF JAMAICA
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Employed Labour Force By Industry
INDUSTRY Male Female Total
Agri. Forestry and Fishing. 157,231 39,241 196,472
Mining and Quarrying. 3,954 483 4,437
Manufacturing. 49,940 25,006 74,945
Elec. Gas & Water 5,919 2,128 8,047
Construction 81,783 3,470 85,253
Wholesale, Retail & Repairs 96,818 117,831 214,649
Hotels & Restaurant 33,597 48,071 81,668
Transport & Storage 57,917 17,185 75,102
Financial, Real Estate 40,655 41,426 82,082
Public Admin. & Education 48,518 78,618 127,136
Health , Social work & Personal Ser. 33,504 54,435 87,939
Private Household 8,887 45,524 54,411
Industries n/s & Extra Teri. (Embassy) 676 1,875 2,551
TOTAL 619,399 475,293 1,094,692

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Employed Labour Force by Education & Age
Educational
Levels
Age Groups
Total14 - 19 20 - 24 25 - 34 35 - 44 45 - 54 55 - 64 65 +
None 8,868 43,130 161,866 216,053 134,724 77,255 49,216 691,112
CXC basic, JSC 5 SSC, 3rd JL 169 2,017 7,039 4,417 4,664 1,613 365 20283
CXC Gen, GCE 'O' 1-2 721 6,412 6,978 4,328 2,192 266 0 20897
CXC Gen, GCE 'O' 3-4 1,866 10,902 18,533 10,944 4,100 807 0 47152
CXC Gen, GCE 'O' 5+ 1,496 14,968 23,036 8,351 3,824 823 0 52499
GCE 'A' 1-2/, CAPE 1-2 0 1,081 872 175 0 0 140 2268
CAPE/GCE 'A' 3+ 849 1,000 1,278 0 217 73 0 3417
Degree 0 5,489 50,438 45,259 25,729 11,160 4,254 142,329
Other 204 2,944 11,042 10,211 6,300 2,800 636 34,137
Not stated 90
Total 15,220 95,115 305,796 327,413 194,772 99,550 56,737 1,094,692

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Employed L.F. by Industry & Education
INDUSTRY None
CXC
Basic,
JSC 5
SSC,
3rd JL
CXC
Gen,
GCE
"O"
GCE "A"
& CAPE Degree Other
Not
stated TOTAL
Agri. Forestry and Fishing. 181,572 2,090 4,995 73 1,532 1,706 4,412 196,381
Mining and Quarrying. 2,015 0 411 0 1,122 462 428 4,437
Manufacturing. 49,910 700 9,128 343 6,431 2,433 6,000 74,945
Elec. Gas & Water 1,587 186 2,133 0 2,749 504 888 8,047
Construction 71,739 1,212 4,059 665 2,365 832 4,382 85,253
Wholesale, Retail & Repairs 149,383 4,832 24,082 862 9,781 5,637 20,070 214,649
Hotels & Restaurant 50,765 2,224 15,009 378 3,471 2,022 7,800 81,668
Transport & Storage 43,366 2,082 7,948 753 9,659 1,284 10,009 75,102
Financial, Real Estate 23,867 1,006 17,867 969 28,365 2,687 7,322 82,082
Public Admin. & Education 26,956 2,530 22,178 1,123 57,244 7,883 9,221 127,136
Health , Socialwork & Per. Ser. 40,207 2,485 11,873 519 18,352 6,952 7,550 87,939
Private Household 49,214 937 734 0 100 1,736 1,691 54,411
Industries n/s & Extra Ter. 621 0 130 0 1,158 0 732 2,642
Total 691,203 20,283 120,548 5,685 142,329 34,137 80,506 1,094,692

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The Changing Economy

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The Changing Economic Structure -
%age Contribution at Current Price
INDUSTRIES 1970 1980 1990 2000 2011
1 Wholesale, Retail; Repairs; Install. 18.9 19.2 18.2 19.7 18.9
2 Producers of Government Service 7.9 14.0 7.4 11.7 14.2
3 Real Estate, Renting ,etc. 9.5 8.5 9.9 9.3 12.2
4 Financial & Insurance Services 3.5 4.8 6.8 9.0 10.2
5 Transport, Storage & Commun. 5.5 5.1 8.4 10.7 9.7
6 Manufacturing 15.8 16.6 16.9 10.5 9.2
7 Construction 13.3 5.8 7.2 7.6 7.3
8 Other Services 5.6 4.3 6.0 6.6 6.7
9 Agriculture Forestry & Fishing 6.4 8.2 6.8 7.0 6.5
10 Hotels & Restaurants 1.6 0.9 6.1 5.1 4.3
11 Electricity & Water Supply 1.0 1.6 2.2 3.2 3.6
12 Mining & Quarrying 12.7 14.2 7.8 4.2 1.5
13 Less: FISM 1.7 3.3 3.7 4.6 4.3
Total Value Added 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0

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%age Contribution at Current Price –
Comparative Contribution for Each Period
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
1970 1980 1990 2000 2011

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Impacts of the Change

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Impact of the Population Change on:
 HEALTH & WELL BEING
 Increasing demand for health facilities & services
 Affordability
 Nutrition
 Entertainment & Exercise
 Pension
 Specialists care givers
 HOUSING
 Design
 Assisted living/ retirement communities
 Recreation facilities/green spaces

34. STATISTICAL INSTITUTE OF JAMAICA 34
Impact of the Population Change on:
 EDUCATION & TRAINING
 The demand for school places at all levels
 The demand for new skill sets
 Work force will be more technology proficient
 Work force needs to be more innovative
 TRANSPORTATION
 Services to attend medical appointments, go
shopping, participate in social activities or
simply get out of the house.

35. Governmen
t
Transporta
tion
Utilities
Wholesale
& retail
Economy
Population
Age
Structure
Culture
Education
Labour
Force
Financial
Manufactur
e
Services Production
Constructio
n
Agriculture
&
Fisheries
Mining &
Quarrying
Health
Housing
etc
Conclusion
Tourism,
etc

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Thank you for having allowed us to
share with you!!!

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References
 Population Projections Jamaica 2000 – 2050 –
published by Statistical Institute of Jamaica –
April 2008
 Population & Housing Census 2011 – Jamaica –
General Report – Volume 1 - published by
Statistical Institute of Jamaica – October 2011
 Vision 2030 – National Development Plan
 The Labour Force Survey – July 2012
 World Population Data Sheet 2012 – Population
Reference Bureau