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Prediction of sales team turnover
Tahmina Khatoon
ID: 10414
ACMP Phase-2, Batch 4
1
Objectives
● Effect of turnover
● Benefits of prediction of turnover
● Quantitative model for prediction
and it’s outcomes
● Implication of prediction model
2
Effect of
turnover
● Annual turnover - 27%
● Avg. tenure - less than 2 years
● Company faces a number of
direct & indirect costs
3
Of sales team
Direct & Indirect Cost for turnover
1. $15 billion for training
2. $800 billion for incentives
3. Reduces the Return On Investment
4. Empty position may hurts sales
5. Learning curve for new employees to rebuild client
relationships
4
Benefits of
prediction
“If I Know Before They Have an
Offer, That’s a Big Plus”
Jay Mincks,
Executive vice president, Insperity
5
Of turnover
Intervention
Appreciation
& motivation
Counter offer
Substantial
savings
Quantitative
model
For turnover prediction
6
1. Who’s Your Most
Valuable Salesperson?
2. Who is at high risk of
leaving & why?
● Performance Measurement
● Peer effect
Sales Person’s Performance Measurement
7
Past performance
according to revenue
Customer satisfaction Monthly target fulfilment
Expected vs Actual outcomes
8
Performance
TurnoverRisk
Expected result
Actual result
It is the
‘middling’
salespersons
who are likely to
turn over
Peer Effect
9
● Variation in performance among
coworkers
○ Less performance variation -> Less challenge -
> High turnover
○ High turnover -> Lass faith & strength -> More
turnover
● Voluntary and involuntary attrition
Implication of prediction model
● Identify turnover prediction variables using big data
● Pay careful attention to peer effects
10
11
Do you have any question?
12
Thank you for your patience!

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How to predict turnover of sales team

  • 1. Prediction of sales team turnover Tahmina Khatoon ID: 10414 ACMP Phase-2, Batch 4 1
  • 2. Objectives ● Effect of turnover ● Benefits of prediction of turnover ● Quantitative model for prediction and it’s outcomes ● Implication of prediction model 2
  • 3. Effect of turnover ● Annual turnover - 27% ● Avg. tenure - less than 2 years ● Company faces a number of direct & indirect costs 3 Of sales team
  • 4. Direct & Indirect Cost for turnover 1. $15 billion for training 2. $800 billion for incentives 3. Reduces the Return On Investment 4. Empty position may hurts sales 5. Learning curve for new employees to rebuild client relationships 4
  • 5. Benefits of prediction “If I Know Before They Have an Offer, That’s a Big Plus” Jay Mincks, Executive vice president, Insperity 5 Of turnover Intervention Appreciation & motivation Counter offer Substantial savings
  • 6. Quantitative model For turnover prediction 6 1. Who’s Your Most Valuable Salesperson? 2. Who is at high risk of leaving & why? ● Performance Measurement ● Peer effect
  • 7. Sales Person’s Performance Measurement 7 Past performance according to revenue Customer satisfaction Monthly target fulfilment
  • 8. Expected vs Actual outcomes 8 Performance TurnoverRisk Expected result Actual result It is the ‘middling’ salespersons who are likely to turn over
  • 9. Peer Effect 9 ● Variation in performance among coworkers ○ Less performance variation -> Less challenge - > High turnover ○ High turnover -> Lass faith & strength -> More turnover ● Voluntary and involuntary attrition
  • 10. Implication of prediction model ● Identify turnover prediction variables using big data ● Pay careful attention to peer effects 10
  • 11. 11 Do you have any question?
  • 12. 12 Thank you for your patience!