Gympie Business Confidence Survey launch by Suncorp Bank Aug 2012
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Presentation given by Daryl Conroy, Financial Analyst with Suncorp Bank at the launch of the Gympie Business Confidence Survey breakfast meeting hosted by the Gympie Chamber of Commerce.
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Gympie Business Confidence Survey launch by Suncorp Bank Aug 2012
- 1. “Prepare for Battle” Darryl Conroy 1 Suncorp Bank
- 2. General Advice Warning This advice has been prepared without taking into account your particular objectives, financial situation or needs. For that reason, before acting on the advice you should consider the appropriateness of the advice having regard to your own objectives, financial situation and needs. • Where the advice relates to the acquisition, or possible acquisition, of a particular financial product, you should obtain a Product Disclosure Statement relating to the product and consider the Product Disclosure Statement before making any decision about whether to acquire the product. 2
- 3. The Game Has Changed Market norms have broken-down Think Differently ! Act Differently ! 3 Suncorp Bank
- 4. The Big Three Europe Sovereign Debt China US Economic Double Dip Slowdown Suncorp Bank
- 5. Unprecedented Stimulus 1. US $ 2.3 trillion 2. UK £ 325 billion 3. Japan ¥ 55 trillion 4. Europe € 1.02 trillion 5. China ¥ 4 trillion Suncorp Bank
- 6. Record Low Bond Yields Submerging (developed) Emerging (BRIIC’s) Australia (piggy-in-the-middle) 6 Suncorp Bank
- 7. Much Ado About Europe …solvency… Country Gross Net Debt/GDP Debt/GDP Greece 181% 225% Ireland 164% 1,255% Spain 72% 235% Italy 119% 165% France 86% 279% Germany 96% 209% Australia 39% 106% 7 Suncorp Bank
- 8. Uh Oh… 160 year high 8 Suncorp Bank
- 9. Structural Change 9 Suncorp Bank
- 10. Patchwork Economy • Bad News Cycle • Adaptability • Poor Confidence • Flexibility • Job Insecurity • Productivity • New Taxes • Innovation • Political Uncertainty • Technology 10 Suncorp Bank
- 11. Negative Tourism… 11 Suncorp Bank
- 12. Business Squeeze Costs rising, but sales falling... Volume driven business to struggle V Margin driven business to prosper 12 Suncorp Bank
- 13. Financial Markets Wealth Preservation Cash is King ― Fixed Interest – Stocks (Dividends) – Commodities mixed ? Real Estate 13 Suncorp Bank
- 14. Bank Funding Winners & Losers 14 Suncorp Bank
- 15. A Tale of Two Cities Port Headland Donga Parisian Chateau 15 Suncorp Bank
- 16. Interest Rates 16 Suncorp Bank
- 17. AUD Overvalued ! 17 Suncorp Bank
- 18. Aussie Dollar Commodity slide 18 Suncorp Bank
- 19. Stocks – on trend 19 Suncorp Bank
- 20. “Plans are nothing; planning is everything.” ~ Dwight D. Eisenhower Source: scrapetv.com
Editor's Notes
- Waiting it out, not an option
- Two out of three of the big risks looming over financial markets, have been quashed leaving the Greece question
- No discussion on the Aussie economy is complete without reference to commodity prices (coal and iron ore prices and let’s not forget LNG and coal seam gas).But not just the typical commodities, but coal, iron ore and gas!
- Economists forecast rate cuts, and financial markets are currently pricing a cash rate of 3.9% by June.
- Our currency tracks commodity prices and as we highlighted earlier commodity prices are sky high, especially those commodities important to us Iron ore, coal, gas and goldMay 2011 peak...
- 20 year view – on track !