SlideShare a Scribd company logo
Who YOU Are On This Webinar:
1. Pensioners
2. 20-somethings
3. People who donā€™t want to miss out
4. Disappointed with your financial advisor
5. Fed up with funds ā€˜growthā€™
6. Fed up with high fees charged by boutique
wealth managers
7. Suspicious your IFA knows nothing
8. Fed up with UK companies not performing
9. Missing out on tech growth
10. Total beginners
The information transmitted is intended only for the person(s) or entity to
which it is addressed and may contain confidential and/or privileged
material. Any review, retransmission, dissemination or other use of, or
taking of any action in reliance upon, this information by persons or entities
other than the intended recipient is prohibited. If you receive this in error,
please contact the sender and delete the material from any computer.
This communication is for informational purposes only. It is not intended as
an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or
as an official confirmation of any transaction. All market prices, data and
other information are not warranted as to completeness or accuracy and
are subject to change without notice. Any comments or statements made
herein do not necessarily reflect those of PRAEFINIUM PARTNERS LTD, or
its affiliates. PRAEFINIUM PARTNERS LTD and its affiliates do not assume
any liability whatsoever for the content of this email or make any
representations or warranties as to the accuracy and completeness of any
information contained in this email.
NO CONFLICT OF INTEREST WITH YOU
Agenda
ā€¢What Should You Invest In for
Retirement, Pension? What If
There Is a Recession?
ā€¢Why? How Do You Know?
ā€¢ Destroyed your pension
by 25% in a year
ā€¢ You can see their
holdings anyway if
scared to DIY
ā€¢ Missed the energy
stocks in 2022 ā€“
everyone knew that
A biotechnology company, focuses on the discovery,
development, and commercialization of medicines that address
critical needs for people impacted by rare, autoimmune, and
severe inflammatory diseases.
The company develops and delivers diagnostic
information services, such as routine testing, non-routine
and advanced clinical testing, anatomic pathology testing,
and other diagnostic information services, through a
network of laboratories, patient service centers,
phlebotomists in physician offices, call centers and
mobile paramedics, nurses, and other health and wellness
professionals
A company whose wireless fabric includes intelligent
radios, smart antennas, radio frequency (RF) algorithms,
wireless-aware switches, and cloud-based network
management software. It serves medium-sized wireless
Internet service providers, mobile network operators,
enterprises, and government agencies in North America,
Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Caribbean and Latin
America, and the Asia Pacific.
ā€œ with a forecasted annual
earnings growth rate of
37% but undervalued by
60% based on discount
cash flowā€
ā€œgenerating 100% cash return on the
capital it invests and growing
revenues at 40% pa forecast to
increase to 50% next year but share
price is 45% below itā€™s fair value on
discount cash flowā€
A company which distributes agricultural equipment and
related replacement parts worldwide, combines for harvesting
grain crops, such as corn, wheat, soybeans, and rice; and
application equipment, such as self-propelled, three- and four-
wheeled vehicles, and related equipment for liquid and dry
fertilizers and crop protection chemicals, and for after crops
emerge from the ground, as well as produces diesel engines,
gears, and generating sets.
A company which manufactures and distributes components,
building products, and materials for the recreational vehicle,
marine, manufactured housing, and industrial markets in the
United States, China, and Canada.
A company which engages in the acquisition, leasing, re-
leasing, and sale of various types of intermodal containers
and chassis to shipping lines, and freight forwarding
companies and manufacturers.It operates in Asia, Europe,
the Americas, Bermuda, and internationally.
2023: All the
major bank
outlooks
(to be updated)
Campaignforamillion.com
What Caught My Eye
Alpesh Patel OBE
EVERYONE
ā€¢ GDP: Lower ā€“ shallow recession
ā€¢ Inflation: Come under control
ā€¢ Interest Rates: Rise then Pause
ā€¢ Politics: Uncertainty, China, Russia
ā€¢ Equities: go for profits over growth, quality companies
ā€¢ US Dollar: Will weaken later in the year
ā€¢ Commodities: Short term weakness due to growth but longer
term physical tightness remains
ā€¢ Housing UK/US: very few homes in negative equity
ā€¢ Bonds are back ie bond buying
ā€¢ Many equities undervalued
ā€¢ Scale Back in Mega Caps hold more Medium and Smaller Cap
ā€¢ Energy, Healthcare, Financials
ā€¢ Maket yet to bottom, but will this year
ā€¢ Expect shocks to the system eg cyberattack
ā€¢ Mix of lowly correlated assets
ā€¢ Fully invested, less to no cash
ā€¢ Overwieght US, underweight UK
ā€¢ The consensus view is that early in 2023, earnings will collapse,
bringing the stock market down with them.
ā€¢ Sectoral leadership in the market suggests otherwise.
Financials, industrials and materials have all outperformed in
October and November. As noted by market consultant John
Raphael: ā€œItā€™s puzzling to me why these brokers and investment
banks are acting so well. Would you buy these stocks if the SPX
had 10% downside?
ā€¢ The economy is proving too resilient, causing the ā€˜looming
collapseā€™ in earnings to remain elusive for yet another quarter.
ā€¢ Quality-assured healthcare companies
ā€¢ We believe now is a particularly good time to own compounders, since
their pricing power (the ability to pass on costs to consumers) and
recurring revenues (the propensity toward repeat purchases) can make
their earnings resilient in tough times.ʒ
High-quality compounder companies
that can grow their earnings steadily in real terms, across cycles, are likely
to outearn the market, just as they have done over the last few decades
Your
Questions
ā€¢ Energy, Housing, Pharma, Recession Proof?
UK: Office
Reits
(20%
undervalued)
More risk than I put in my SIPP
because often 1. Debt not well
covered by cash flow 2. Poor
dividend track record
US: Financials
>> Mortgage
Reits
(30% undervalued)
More Risk Than I Put in My SIPP
because often 1. Earnings forecast to
decline 2. Debt not well covered by cash
flow 3. Poor dividend track record
Your
Question:
Big Fallers
ā€“ Worth
Going Into?
Eg Asos ā€“ Not For Me
Question ā€“
Medium
fallers with
some
recovery?
Then & Now 1999 & 2019
When ā€“ How Decide? Fully Invested? Or Wait Month to Month?
Currently in the SIPP. More of These In 2023 Wanted
Best of 2022 Looking ā€˜Toppyā€™ ā€“ What Next?
COTERRA ENERGY INC [exited]
Disciplined Process: 40% Hurdle
US stock
ETF
Domestic stock
Value-Growth-
Income ā€“ Cash Flow
Approved List
12 months hold
and repeat
Alpesh
Weekly
Updates
15-40
stocks
Alpesh to
Help
Monitor
According to
Strategy
Buy
Hold
Sell
Media Articles
Social Media
Can Ask
Alpesh
Grow
Returns
Valuation
P/E
PEG
P/B
P/S
DCF
Growth
Sales
Earnings
Cash Flow
Income
Dividends
Earnings
Momentum
Trend
Stochastic
Chart Patterns
Media
Statistics
Distribution of Returns
Volatility
Correlation
Company Size
Insider Buying
Top Analyst
Correlation
Top Shareholder
Correlation
The Shortlist: 10,000 Companies to 37 (US
List)
UK Stocks (To Be Finalised)
Provides packaging and automation solutions to healthcare,
pharmaceutical, and food and beverage sectors worldwide.
Trading at 48.7% below our estimate of its fair value
Earnings are forecast to grow 58.51% per year.
-------------------------------------------------------
Another Company: The company provides its products in various
therapeutic areas, including anti-infective, cardiovascular, central
nervous system, diabetes, oncology, pain management, and respiratory.
It operates in the United Kingdom, the United States, the Middle East,
North Africa, Europe, and internationally.
Trading at 65.7% below our estimate of its fair value
Earnings are forecast to grow 7.88% per year
Pays a reliable dividend of 2.81%
Trading at good value compared to peers and industry
>>> HIKMA
ā€¢Assume you plan to invest over 10 years
ā€¢And you with my help make 20% pa (some years more, some maybe less) - nothing
extravagant and nothing pessimistic.
ā€¢Let's say you have 100k in a 401k/SIPP/ISA
ā€¢You also plan to add 1.5k each month to your portfolio
ā€¢Your will have over 1m by the end of 10 years
Let's assume you only have 10k to start with and plan to add 6k
a year (divided equally each month).
Then your return looks like this with my help:
Used By Global Banks
Who Am Iā€¦
MY COUNTRY TRUSTS ME
300M PEOPLE AND THE BBC TOO
When to sell
12 Monthsā€“
Re-evaluate
Drops 25% from
highest point
you bought
You can be better than
overpaid fund
managersā€¦
2017
2004
Solution: Ride Coat-Tails of Aggregate of the Worldā€™s Best
Are They Uncorrelated and Resilient ā€“ Weekly and Monthly Update
Catalyst Pharmaceutical
Partners Inc
AbbVie Inc
What Do
Goldman
Sachs Tell
Their
Wealthiest
Clients?
Would You
Like 30%pa?
Rich-Poor
Divide is about
Access
Perfected
my own
strategy
Oxford
Awards
55%
Ā£100k
70

More Related Content

What's hot

Fatima
Fatima Fatima
Fatima
wafa786
Ā 
Best Swing Trading Indicators and Oscillators
Best Swing Trading Indicators and OscillatorsBest Swing Trading Indicators and Oscillators
Best Swing Trading Indicators and Oscillators
SwingTradingBootCamp
Ā 
Purity Of Hearts Dr. Bilal Philips || Australian Islamic Library || www.austr...
Purity Of Hearts Dr. Bilal Philips || Australian Islamic Library || www.austr...Purity Of Hearts Dr. Bilal Philips || Australian Islamic Library || www.austr...
Purity Of Hearts Dr. Bilal Philips || Australian Islamic Library || www.austr...
Muhammad Nabeel Musharraf
Ā 
Stock Chart (CCI indicator)
Stock Chart (CCI indicator)Stock Chart (CCI indicator)
Stock Chart (CCI indicator)
24Trader
Ā 
Trading plan
Trading planTrading plan
Trading plan
pipsumo traderfx
Ā 
Ch downloads sitemap 4
Ch downloads sitemap 4Ch downloads sitemap 4
Ch downloads sitemap 4
SabaAli74
Ā 
Love of the Prophet Mohammad (SAW)
Love of the Prophet Mohammad (SAW)Love of the Prophet Mohammad (SAW)
Love of the Prophet Mohammad (SAW)
Mohammad Yunus, MD, FACP
Ā 

What's hot (7)

Fatima
Fatima Fatima
Fatima
Ā 
Best Swing Trading Indicators and Oscillators
Best Swing Trading Indicators and OscillatorsBest Swing Trading Indicators and Oscillators
Best Swing Trading Indicators and Oscillators
Ā 
Purity Of Hearts Dr. Bilal Philips || Australian Islamic Library || www.austr...
Purity Of Hearts Dr. Bilal Philips || Australian Islamic Library || www.austr...Purity Of Hearts Dr. Bilal Philips || Australian Islamic Library || www.austr...
Purity Of Hearts Dr. Bilal Philips || Australian Islamic Library || www.austr...
Ā 
Stock Chart (CCI indicator)
Stock Chart (CCI indicator)Stock Chart (CCI indicator)
Stock Chart (CCI indicator)
Ā 
Trading plan
Trading planTrading plan
Trading plan
Ā 
Ch downloads sitemap 4
Ch downloads sitemap 4Ch downloads sitemap 4
Ch downloads sitemap 4
Ā 
Love of the Prophet Mohammad (SAW)
Love of the Prophet Mohammad (SAW)Love of the Prophet Mohammad (SAW)
Love of the Prophet Mohammad (SAW)
Ā 

Similar to Great Stocks 2023 Shortlist

ZOM Investor Presentations Oct 2023
ZOM Investor Presentations Oct 2023ZOM Investor Presentations Oct 2023
ZOM Investor Presentations Oct 2023
RedChip Companies, Inc.
Ā 
ZOM Presentation
ZOM PresentationZOM Presentation
ZOM Presentation
RedChip Companies, Inc.
Ā 
KeyHouse Analytics opening in March 2018
KeyHouse Analytics opening in March 2018KeyHouse Analytics opening in March 2018
KeyHouse Analytics opening in March 2018
Kip Schoonover
Ā 
ASX Sectors in Focus: Technology & Retail - June 2017
ASX Sectors in Focus: Technology & Retail - June 2017ASX Sectors in Focus: Technology & Retail - June 2017
ASX Sectors in Focus: Technology & Retail - June 2017
Simon Herrmann
Ā 
MaRS Best practices: Valuations in the biotech industry - Wayne Schnarr
MaRS Best practices: Valuations in the biotech industry - Wayne SchnarrMaRS Best practices: Valuations in the biotech industry - Wayne Schnarr
MaRS Best practices: Valuations in the biotech industry - Wayne Schnarr
MaRS Discovery District
Ā 
MaRS Best practices: Valuations in the biotech industry - wayne schnarr
MaRS Best practices: Valuations in the biotech industry - wayne schnarrMaRS Best practices: Valuations in the biotech industry - wayne schnarr
MaRS Best practices: Valuations in the biotech industry - wayne schnarr
MaRS Discovery District
Ā 
BTTR Investor Presentation - August 2020
BTTR Investor Presentation - August 2020BTTR Investor Presentation - August 2020
BTTR Investor Presentation - August 2020
RedChip Companies, Inc.
Ā 
Alcidion investor presentation (March 2016)
Alcidion investor presentation (March 2016)Alcidion investor presentation (March 2016)
Alcidion investor presentation (March 2016)
Alcidion Corporation
Ā 
Walmart Inc (WMT) Stock Analysis
Walmart Inc (WMT) Stock AnalysisWalmart Inc (WMT) Stock Analysis
Walmart Inc (WMT) Stock Analysis
Stock Target Advisor
Ā 
Internet Retailer Conference + Exhibition (IRCE) 2013 - Coastal.com
Internet Retailer Conference + Exhibition (IRCE) 2013 - Coastal.comInternet Retailer Conference + Exhibition (IRCE) 2013 - Coastal.com
Internet Retailer Conference + Exhibition (IRCE) 2013 - Coastal.com
Aaron Magness
Ā 
Anumara capital (eng) 18.05
Anumara capital (eng) 18.05Anumara capital (eng) 18.05
Anumara capital (eng) 18.05
AndrƩ Iaconelli
Ā 
VF-RecruitingBrochure-v2.0
VF-RecruitingBrochure-v2.0VF-RecruitingBrochure-v2.0
VF-RecruitingBrochure-v2.0David B Gonzalez
Ā 
Virtual Financial ! Powerful Business Finance
Virtual Financial ! Powerful Business FinanceVirtual Financial ! Powerful Business Finance
Virtual Financial ! Powerful Business Finance
Virtual Financial Group
Ā 
Virtual-Financial-Recruiting-Brochure
Virtual-Financial-Recruiting-BrochureVirtual-Financial-Recruiting-Brochure
Virtual-Financial-Recruiting-BrochureWest Kasper
Ā 
Virtual Financial - Your Guide to Your Future
Virtual Financial - Your Guide to Your FutureVirtual Financial - Your Guide to Your Future
Virtual Financial - Your Guide to Your Future
Betty Goodwin
Ā 
I Bytes Healthcare industry
I Bytes Healthcare industryI Bytes Healthcare industry
I Bytes Healthcare industry
EGBG Services
Ā 
I-Bytes Healthcare Industry
I-Bytes Healthcare IndustryI-Bytes Healthcare Industry
I-Bytes Healthcare Industry
EGBG Services
Ā 
Top 10 Stocks To Picks in 2021 From Century Financial
Top 10 Stocks To Picks in 2021 From Century FinancialTop 10 Stocks To Picks in 2021 From Century Financial
Top 10 Stocks To Picks in 2021 From Century Financial
rayanwarner
Ā 
Milwaukee Growth Fund-February Client Meeting Materials
Milwaukee Growth Fund-February Client Meeting MaterialsMilwaukee Growth Fund-February Client Meeting Materials
Milwaukee Growth Fund-February Client Meeting MaterialsAlexander D. Sagal
Ā 

Similar to Great Stocks 2023 Shortlist (20)

ZOM Investor Presentations Oct 2023
ZOM Investor Presentations Oct 2023ZOM Investor Presentations Oct 2023
ZOM Investor Presentations Oct 2023
Ā 
ZOM Presentation
ZOM PresentationZOM Presentation
ZOM Presentation
Ā 
KeyHouse Analytics opening in March 2018
KeyHouse Analytics opening in March 2018KeyHouse Analytics opening in March 2018
KeyHouse Analytics opening in March 2018
Ā 
ASX Sectors in Focus: Technology & Retail - June 2017
ASX Sectors in Focus: Technology & Retail - June 2017ASX Sectors in Focus: Technology & Retail - June 2017
ASX Sectors in Focus: Technology & Retail - June 2017
Ā 
MaRS Best practices: Valuations in the biotech industry - Wayne Schnarr
MaRS Best practices: Valuations in the biotech industry - Wayne SchnarrMaRS Best practices: Valuations in the biotech industry - Wayne Schnarr
MaRS Best practices: Valuations in the biotech industry - Wayne Schnarr
Ā 
MaRS Best practices: Valuations in the biotech industry - wayne schnarr
MaRS Best practices: Valuations in the biotech industry - wayne schnarrMaRS Best practices: Valuations in the biotech industry - wayne schnarr
MaRS Best practices: Valuations in the biotech industry - wayne schnarr
Ā 
BTTR Investor Presentation - August 2020
BTTR Investor Presentation - August 2020BTTR Investor Presentation - August 2020
BTTR Investor Presentation - August 2020
Ā 
Alcidion investor presentation (March 2016)
Alcidion investor presentation (March 2016)Alcidion investor presentation (March 2016)
Alcidion investor presentation (March 2016)
Ā 
Walmart Inc (WMT) Stock Analysis
Walmart Inc (WMT) Stock AnalysisWalmart Inc (WMT) Stock Analysis
Walmart Inc (WMT) Stock Analysis
Ā 
Internet Retailer Conference + Exhibition (IRCE) 2013 - Coastal.com
Internet Retailer Conference + Exhibition (IRCE) 2013 - Coastal.comInternet Retailer Conference + Exhibition (IRCE) 2013 - Coastal.com
Internet Retailer Conference + Exhibition (IRCE) 2013 - Coastal.com
Ā 
Anumara capital (eng) 18.05
Anumara capital (eng) 18.05Anumara capital (eng) 18.05
Anumara capital (eng) 18.05
Ā 
Stock Report
Stock ReportStock Report
Stock Report
Ā 
VF-RecruitingBrochure-v2.0
VF-RecruitingBrochure-v2.0VF-RecruitingBrochure-v2.0
VF-RecruitingBrochure-v2.0
Ā 
Virtual Financial ! Powerful Business Finance
Virtual Financial ! Powerful Business FinanceVirtual Financial ! Powerful Business Finance
Virtual Financial ! Powerful Business Finance
Ā 
Virtual-Financial-Recruiting-Brochure
Virtual-Financial-Recruiting-BrochureVirtual-Financial-Recruiting-Brochure
Virtual-Financial-Recruiting-Brochure
Ā 
Virtual Financial - Your Guide to Your Future
Virtual Financial - Your Guide to Your FutureVirtual Financial - Your Guide to Your Future
Virtual Financial - Your Guide to Your Future
Ā 
I Bytes Healthcare industry
I Bytes Healthcare industryI Bytes Healthcare industry
I Bytes Healthcare industry
Ā 
I-Bytes Healthcare Industry
I-Bytes Healthcare IndustryI-Bytes Healthcare Industry
I-Bytes Healthcare Industry
Ā 
Top 10 Stocks To Picks in 2021 From Century Financial
Top 10 Stocks To Picks in 2021 From Century FinancialTop 10 Stocks To Picks in 2021 From Century Financial
Top 10 Stocks To Picks in 2021 From Century Financial
Ā 
Milwaukee Growth Fund-February Client Meeting Materials
Milwaukee Growth Fund-February Client Meeting MaterialsMilwaukee Growth Fund-February Client Meeting Materials
Milwaukee Growth Fund-February Client Meeting Materials
Ā 

More from Alpesh Patel

Weekly Stock Market Update July 1st 2022
Weekly Stock Market Update July 1st 2022Weekly Stock Market Update July 1st 2022
Weekly Stock Market Update July 1st 2022
Alpesh Patel
Ā 
Energy Stocks or Tech Stocks for the Rest of the Year.pptx
Energy Stocks or Tech Stocks for the Rest of the Year.pptxEnergy Stocks or Tech Stocks for the Rest of the Year.pptx
Energy Stocks or Tech Stocks for the Rest of the Year.pptx
Alpesh Patel
Ā 
Weekly Shares Update
Weekly Shares Update Weekly Shares Update
Weekly Shares Update
Alpesh Patel
Ā 
Has the Stock Market Sell-Off Ended.pptx
Has the Stock Market Sell-Off Ended.pptxHas the Stock Market Sell-Off Ended.pptx
Has the Stock Market Sell-Off Ended.pptx
Alpesh Patel
Ā 
34 Stocks Poised To Thrive In A Stagflationary Environment - UBS.pptx
34 Stocks Poised To Thrive In A Stagflationary Environment - UBS.pptx34 Stocks Poised To Thrive In A Stagflationary Environment - UBS.pptx
34 Stocks Poised To Thrive In A Stagflationary Environment - UBS.pptx
Alpesh Patel
Ā 
17 Buyback Leaders & High Return Investment Goldman Sachs.pptx
17 Buyback Leaders & High Return Investment Goldman Sachs.pptx17 Buyback Leaders & High Return Investment Goldman Sachs.pptx
17 Buyback Leaders & High Return Investment Goldman Sachs.pptx
Alpesh Patel
Ā 
Stocks That Did Well The Last Time The Markets Fell.pptx
Stocks That Did Well The Last Time The Markets Fell.pptxStocks That Did Well The Last Time The Markets Fell.pptx
Stocks That Did Well The Last Time The Markets Fell.pptx
Alpesh Patel
Ā 
The Markets ā€“ Sectors for Trading and Investing.pdf
The Markets ā€“ Sectors for Trading and Investing.pdfThe Markets ā€“ Sectors for Trading and Investing.pdf
The Markets ā€“ Sectors for Trading and Investing.pdf
Alpesh Patel
Ā 
Options Trading Strategy For Earning Season Goldman.pptx
Options Trading Strategy For Earning Season Goldman.pptxOptions Trading Strategy For Earning Season Goldman.pptx
Options Trading Strategy For Earning Season Goldman.pptx
Alpesh Patel
Ā 
25 Beaten Down Tech Stocks With Strong Earnings Upside - Credit Suisse.pptx
25 Beaten Down Tech Stocks With Strong Earnings Upside - Credit Suisse.pptx25 Beaten Down Tech Stocks With Strong Earnings Upside - Credit Suisse.pptx
25 Beaten Down Tech Stocks With Strong Earnings Upside - Credit Suisse.pptx
Alpesh Patel
Ā 
Are there any serious people who believe in NFTs?
Are there any serious people who believe in NFTs?Are there any serious people who believe in NFTs?
Are there any serious people who believe in NFTs?
Alpesh Patel
Ā 
10 best undervalued stocks according to hedge funds
10 best undervalued stocks according to hedge funds10 best undervalued stocks according to hedge funds
10 best undervalued stocks according to hedge funds
Alpesh Patel
Ā 
Should we buy_stock_market_dips
Should we buy_stock_market_dipsShould we buy_stock_market_dips
Should we buy_stock_market_dips
Alpesh Patel
Ā 
Are stock market fears overblown. should we buy the dip
Are stock market fears overblown. should we buy the dipAre stock market fears overblown. should we buy the dip
Are stock market fears overblown. should we buy the dip
Alpesh Patel
Ā 
The importance of cash flow in stock picking
The importance of cash flow in stock pickingThe importance of cash flow in stock picking
The importance of cash flow in stock picking
Alpesh Patel
Ā 
11 mega cap picks to buy cheap, for the downturn - morningstar
11 mega cap picks to buy cheap,  for the downturn - morningstar11 mega cap picks to buy cheap,  for the downturn - morningstar
11 mega cap picks to buy cheap, for the downturn - morningstar
Alpesh Patel
Ā 
Latest smart money thinking on a stock market crash
Latest smart money thinking on a stock market crash Latest smart money thinking on a stock market crash
Latest smart money thinking on a stock market crash
Alpesh Patel
Ā 
31st january 2022 market update daily and weekly
31st january 2022 market update daily and weekly31st january 2022 market update daily and weekly
31st january 2022 market update daily and weekly
Alpesh Patel
Ā 
32 metaverse stocks
32 metaverse stocks32 metaverse stocks
32 metaverse stocks
Alpesh Patel
Ā 
Will it be a good or bad year for stocks
Will it be a good or bad year for stocksWill it be a good or bad year for stocks
Will it be a good or bad year for stocks
Alpesh Patel
Ā 

More from Alpesh Patel (20)

Weekly Stock Market Update July 1st 2022
Weekly Stock Market Update July 1st 2022Weekly Stock Market Update July 1st 2022
Weekly Stock Market Update July 1st 2022
Ā 
Energy Stocks or Tech Stocks for the Rest of the Year.pptx
Energy Stocks or Tech Stocks for the Rest of the Year.pptxEnergy Stocks or Tech Stocks for the Rest of the Year.pptx
Energy Stocks or Tech Stocks for the Rest of the Year.pptx
Ā 
Weekly Shares Update
Weekly Shares Update Weekly Shares Update
Weekly Shares Update
Ā 
Has the Stock Market Sell-Off Ended.pptx
Has the Stock Market Sell-Off Ended.pptxHas the Stock Market Sell-Off Ended.pptx
Has the Stock Market Sell-Off Ended.pptx
Ā 
34 Stocks Poised To Thrive In A Stagflationary Environment - UBS.pptx
34 Stocks Poised To Thrive In A Stagflationary Environment - UBS.pptx34 Stocks Poised To Thrive In A Stagflationary Environment - UBS.pptx
34 Stocks Poised To Thrive In A Stagflationary Environment - UBS.pptx
Ā 
17 Buyback Leaders & High Return Investment Goldman Sachs.pptx
17 Buyback Leaders & High Return Investment Goldman Sachs.pptx17 Buyback Leaders & High Return Investment Goldman Sachs.pptx
17 Buyback Leaders & High Return Investment Goldman Sachs.pptx
Ā 
Stocks That Did Well The Last Time The Markets Fell.pptx
Stocks That Did Well The Last Time The Markets Fell.pptxStocks That Did Well The Last Time The Markets Fell.pptx
Stocks That Did Well The Last Time The Markets Fell.pptx
Ā 
The Markets ā€“ Sectors for Trading and Investing.pdf
The Markets ā€“ Sectors for Trading and Investing.pdfThe Markets ā€“ Sectors for Trading and Investing.pdf
The Markets ā€“ Sectors for Trading and Investing.pdf
Ā 
Options Trading Strategy For Earning Season Goldman.pptx
Options Trading Strategy For Earning Season Goldman.pptxOptions Trading Strategy For Earning Season Goldman.pptx
Options Trading Strategy For Earning Season Goldman.pptx
Ā 
25 Beaten Down Tech Stocks With Strong Earnings Upside - Credit Suisse.pptx
25 Beaten Down Tech Stocks With Strong Earnings Upside - Credit Suisse.pptx25 Beaten Down Tech Stocks With Strong Earnings Upside - Credit Suisse.pptx
25 Beaten Down Tech Stocks With Strong Earnings Upside - Credit Suisse.pptx
Ā 
Are there any serious people who believe in NFTs?
Are there any serious people who believe in NFTs?Are there any serious people who believe in NFTs?
Are there any serious people who believe in NFTs?
Ā 
10 best undervalued stocks according to hedge funds
10 best undervalued stocks according to hedge funds10 best undervalued stocks according to hedge funds
10 best undervalued stocks according to hedge funds
Ā 
Should we buy_stock_market_dips
Should we buy_stock_market_dipsShould we buy_stock_market_dips
Should we buy_stock_market_dips
Ā 
Are stock market fears overblown. should we buy the dip
Are stock market fears overblown. should we buy the dipAre stock market fears overblown. should we buy the dip
Are stock market fears overblown. should we buy the dip
Ā 
The importance of cash flow in stock picking
The importance of cash flow in stock pickingThe importance of cash flow in stock picking
The importance of cash flow in stock picking
Ā 
11 mega cap picks to buy cheap, for the downturn - morningstar
11 mega cap picks to buy cheap,  for the downturn - morningstar11 mega cap picks to buy cheap,  for the downturn - morningstar
11 mega cap picks to buy cheap, for the downturn - morningstar
Ā 
Latest smart money thinking on a stock market crash
Latest smart money thinking on a stock market crash Latest smart money thinking on a stock market crash
Latest smart money thinking on a stock market crash
Ā 
31st january 2022 market update daily and weekly
31st january 2022 market update daily and weekly31st january 2022 market update daily and weekly
31st january 2022 market update daily and weekly
Ā 
32 metaverse stocks
32 metaverse stocks32 metaverse stocks
32 metaverse stocks
Ā 
Will it be a good or bad year for stocks
Will it be a good or bad year for stocksWill it be a good or bad year for stocks
Will it be a good or bad year for stocks
Ā 

Recently uploaded

Mastering B2B Payments Webinar from BlueSnap
Mastering B2B Payments Webinar from BlueSnapMastering B2B Payments Webinar from BlueSnap
Mastering B2B Payments Webinar from BlueSnap
Norma Mushkat Gaffin
Ā 
Organizational Change Leadership Agile Tour Geneve 2024
Organizational Change Leadership Agile Tour Geneve 2024Organizational Change Leadership Agile Tour Geneve 2024
Organizational Change Leadership Agile Tour Geneve 2024
Kirill Klimov
Ā 
Cree_Rey_BrandIdentityKit.PDF_PersonalBd
Cree_Rey_BrandIdentityKit.PDF_PersonalBdCree_Rey_BrandIdentityKit.PDF_PersonalBd
Cree_Rey_BrandIdentityKit.PDF_PersonalBd
creerey
Ā 
amptalk_RecruitingDeck_english_2024.06.05
amptalk_RecruitingDeck_english_2024.06.05amptalk_RecruitingDeck_english_2024.06.05
amptalk_RecruitingDeck_english_2024.06.05
marketing317746
Ā 
Digital Transformation and IT Strategy Toolkit and Templates
Digital Transformation and IT Strategy Toolkit and TemplatesDigital Transformation and IT Strategy Toolkit and Templates
Digital Transformation and IT Strategy Toolkit and Templates
Aurelien Domont, MBA
Ā 
The Influence of Marketing Strategy and Market Competition on Business Perfor...
The Influence of Marketing Strategy and Market Competition on Business Perfor...The Influence of Marketing Strategy and Market Competition on Business Perfor...
The Influence of Marketing Strategy and Market Competition on Business Perfor...
Adam Smith
Ā 
Auditing study material for b.com final year students
Auditing study material for b.com final year  studentsAuditing study material for b.com final year  students
Auditing study material for b.com final year students
narasimhamurthyh4
Ā 
BeMetals Investor Presentation_June 1, 2024.pdf
BeMetals Investor Presentation_June 1, 2024.pdfBeMetals Investor Presentation_June 1, 2024.pdf
BeMetals Investor Presentation_June 1, 2024.pdf
DerekIwanaka1
Ā 
Authentically Social by Corey Perlman - EO Puerto Rico
Authentically Social by Corey Perlman - EO Puerto RicoAuthentically Social by Corey Perlman - EO Puerto Rico
Authentically Social by Corey Perlman - EO Puerto Rico
Corey Perlman, Social Media Speaker and Consultant
Ā 
3.0 Project 2_ Developing My Brand Identity Kit.pptx
3.0 Project 2_ Developing My Brand Identity Kit.pptx3.0 Project 2_ Developing My Brand Identity Kit.pptx
3.0 Project 2_ Developing My Brand Identity Kit.pptx
tanyjahb
Ā 
ModelingMarketingStrategiesMKS.CollumbiaUniversitypdf
ModelingMarketingStrategiesMKS.CollumbiaUniversitypdfModelingMarketingStrategiesMKS.CollumbiaUniversitypdf
ModelingMarketingStrategiesMKS.CollumbiaUniversitypdf
fisherameliaisabella
Ā 
In the Adani-Hindenburg case, what is SEBI investigating.pptx
In the Adani-Hindenburg case, what is SEBI investigating.pptxIn the Adani-Hindenburg case, what is SEBI investigating.pptx
In the Adani-Hindenburg case, what is SEBI investigating.pptx
Adani case
Ā 
Set off and carry forward of losses and assessment of individuals.pptx
Set off and carry forward of losses and assessment of individuals.pptxSet off and carry forward of losses and assessment of individuals.pptx
Set off and carry forward of losses and assessment of individuals.pptx
HARSHITHV26
Ā 
ikea_woodgreen_petscharity_cat-alogue_digital.pdf
ikea_woodgreen_petscharity_cat-alogue_digital.pdfikea_woodgreen_petscharity_cat-alogue_digital.pdf
ikea_woodgreen_petscharity_cat-alogue_digital.pdf
agatadrynko
Ā 
FINAL PRESENTATION.pptx12143241324134134
FINAL PRESENTATION.pptx12143241324134134FINAL PRESENTATION.pptx12143241324134134
FINAL PRESENTATION.pptx12143241324134134
LR1709MUSIC
Ā 
Discover the innovative and creative projects that highlight my journey throu...
Discover the innovative and creative projects that highlight my journey throu...Discover the innovative and creative projects that highlight my journey throu...
Discover the innovative and creative projects that highlight my journey throu...
dylandmeas
Ā 
Sustainability: Balancing the Environment, Equity & Economy
Sustainability: Balancing the Environment, Equity & EconomySustainability: Balancing the Environment, Equity & Economy
Sustainability: Balancing the Environment, Equity & Economy
Operational Excellence Consulting
Ā 
Company Valuation webinar series - Tuesday, 4 June 2024
Company Valuation webinar series - Tuesday, 4 June 2024Company Valuation webinar series - Tuesday, 4 June 2024
Company Valuation webinar series - Tuesday, 4 June 2024
FelixPerez547899
Ā 
Meas_Dylan_DMBS_PB1_2024-05XX_Revised.pdf
Meas_Dylan_DMBS_PB1_2024-05XX_Revised.pdfMeas_Dylan_DMBS_PB1_2024-05XX_Revised.pdf
Meas_Dylan_DMBS_PB1_2024-05XX_Revised.pdf
dylandmeas
Ā 
Authentically Social Presented by Corey Perlman
Authentically Social Presented by Corey PerlmanAuthentically Social Presented by Corey Perlman
Authentically Social Presented by Corey Perlman
Corey Perlman, Social Media Speaker and Consultant
Ā 

Recently uploaded (20)

Mastering B2B Payments Webinar from BlueSnap
Mastering B2B Payments Webinar from BlueSnapMastering B2B Payments Webinar from BlueSnap
Mastering B2B Payments Webinar from BlueSnap
Ā 
Organizational Change Leadership Agile Tour Geneve 2024
Organizational Change Leadership Agile Tour Geneve 2024Organizational Change Leadership Agile Tour Geneve 2024
Organizational Change Leadership Agile Tour Geneve 2024
Ā 
Cree_Rey_BrandIdentityKit.PDF_PersonalBd
Cree_Rey_BrandIdentityKit.PDF_PersonalBdCree_Rey_BrandIdentityKit.PDF_PersonalBd
Cree_Rey_BrandIdentityKit.PDF_PersonalBd
Ā 
amptalk_RecruitingDeck_english_2024.06.05
amptalk_RecruitingDeck_english_2024.06.05amptalk_RecruitingDeck_english_2024.06.05
amptalk_RecruitingDeck_english_2024.06.05
Ā 
Digital Transformation and IT Strategy Toolkit and Templates
Digital Transformation and IT Strategy Toolkit and TemplatesDigital Transformation and IT Strategy Toolkit and Templates
Digital Transformation and IT Strategy Toolkit and Templates
Ā 
The Influence of Marketing Strategy and Market Competition on Business Perfor...
The Influence of Marketing Strategy and Market Competition on Business Perfor...The Influence of Marketing Strategy and Market Competition on Business Perfor...
The Influence of Marketing Strategy and Market Competition on Business Perfor...
Ā 
Auditing study material for b.com final year students
Auditing study material for b.com final year  studentsAuditing study material for b.com final year  students
Auditing study material for b.com final year students
Ā 
BeMetals Investor Presentation_June 1, 2024.pdf
BeMetals Investor Presentation_June 1, 2024.pdfBeMetals Investor Presentation_June 1, 2024.pdf
BeMetals Investor Presentation_June 1, 2024.pdf
Ā 
Authentically Social by Corey Perlman - EO Puerto Rico
Authentically Social by Corey Perlman - EO Puerto RicoAuthentically Social by Corey Perlman - EO Puerto Rico
Authentically Social by Corey Perlman - EO Puerto Rico
Ā 
3.0 Project 2_ Developing My Brand Identity Kit.pptx
3.0 Project 2_ Developing My Brand Identity Kit.pptx3.0 Project 2_ Developing My Brand Identity Kit.pptx
3.0 Project 2_ Developing My Brand Identity Kit.pptx
Ā 
ModelingMarketingStrategiesMKS.CollumbiaUniversitypdf
ModelingMarketingStrategiesMKS.CollumbiaUniversitypdfModelingMarketingStrategiesMKS.CollumbiaUniversitypdf
ModelingMarketingStrategiesMKS.CollumbiaUniversitypdf
Ā 
In the Adani-Hindenburg case, what is SEBI investigating.pptx
In the Adani-Hindenburg case, what is SEBI investigating.pptxIn the Adani-Hindenburg case, what is SEBI investigating.pptx
In the Adani-Hindenburg case, what is SEBI investigating.pptx
Ā 
Set off and carry forward of losses and assessment of individuals.pptx
Set off and carry forward of losses and assessment of individuals.pptxSet off and carry forward of losses and assessment of individuals.pptx
Set off and carry forward of losses and assessment of individuals.pptx
Ā 
ikea_woodgreen_petscharity_cat-alogue_digital.pdf
ikea_woodgreen_petscharity_cat-alogue_digital.pdfikea_woodgreen_petscharity_cat-alogue_digital.pdf
ikea_woodgreen_petscharity_cat-alogue_digital.pdf
Ā 
FINAL PRESENTATION.pptx12143241324134134
FINAL PRESENTATION.pptx12143241324134134FINAL PRESENTATION.pptx12143241324134134
FINAL PRESENTATION.pptx12143241324134134
Ā 
Discover the innovative and creative projects that highlight my journey throu...
Discover the innovative and creative projects that highlight my journey throu...Discover the innovative and creative projects that highlight my journey throu...
Discover the innovative and creative projects that highlight my journey throu...
Ā 
Sustainability: Balancing the Environment, Equity & Economy
Sustainability: Balancing the Environment, Equity & EconomySustainability: Balancing the Environment, Equity & Economy
Sustainability: Balancing the Environment, Equity & Economy
Ā 
Company Valuation webinar series - Tuesday, 4 June 2024
Company Valuation webinar series - Tuesday, 4 June 2024Company Valuation webinar series - Tuesday, 4 June 2024
Company Valuation webinar series - Tuesday, 4 June 2024
Ā 
Meas_Dylan_DMBS_PB1_2024-05XX_Revised.pdf
Meas_Dylan_DMBS_PB1_2024-05XX_Revised.pdfMeas_Dylan_DMBS_PB1_2024-05XX_Revised.pdf
Meas_Dylan_DMBS_PB1_2024-05XX_Revised.pdf
Ā 
Authentically Social Presented by Corey Perlman
Authentically Social Presented by Corey PerlmanAuthentically Social Presented by Corey Perlman
Authentically Social Presented by Corey Perlman
Ā 

Great Stocks 2023 Shortlist

  • 1. Who YOU Are On This Webinar: 1. Pensioners 2. 20-somethings 3. People who donā€™t want to miss out 4. Disappointed with your financial advisor 5. Fed up with funds ā€˜growthā€™ 6. Fed up with high fees charged by boutique wealth managers 7. Suspicious your IFA knows nothing 8. Fed up with UK companies not performing 9. Missing out on tech growth 10. Total beginners
  • 2. The information transmitted is intended only for the person(s) or entity to which it is addressed and may contain confidential and/or privileged material. Any review, retransmission, dissemination or other use of, or taking of any action in reliance upon, this information by persons or entities other than the intended recipient is prohibited. If you receive this in error, please contact the sender and delete the material from any computer. This communication is for informational purposes only. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. All market prices, data and other information are not warranted as to completeness or accuracy and are subject to change without notice. Any comments or statements made herein do not necessarily reflect those of PRAEFINIUM PARTNERS LTD, or its affiliates. PRAEFINIUM PARTNERS LTD and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the content of this email or make any representations or warranties as to the accuracy and completeness of any information contained in this email.
  • 3. NO CONFLICT OF INTEREST WITH YOU
  • 4. Agenda ā€¢What Should You Invest In for Retirement, Pension? What If There Is a Recession? ā€¢Why? How Do You Know?
  • 5. ā€¢ Destroyed your pension by 25% in a year ā€¢ You can see their holdings anyway if scared to DIY ā€¢ Missed the energy stocks in 2022 ā€“ everyone knew that
  • 6. A biotechnology company, focuses on the discovery, development, and commercialization of medicines that address critical needs for people impacted by rare, autoimmune, and severe inflammatory diseases. The company develops and delivers diagnostic information services, such as routine testing, non-routine and advanced clinical testing, anatomic pathology testing, and other diagnostic information services, through a network of laboratories, patient service centers, phlebotomists in physician offices, call centers and mobile paramedics, nurses, and other health and wellness professionals A company whose wireless fabric includes intelligent radios, smart antennas, radio frequency (RF) algorithms, wireless-aware switches, and cloud-based network management software. It serves medium-sized wireless Internet service providers, mobile network operators, enterprises, and government agencies in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Caribbean and Latin America, and the Asia Pacific. ā€œ with a forecasted annual earnings growth rate of 37% but undervalued by 60% based on discount cash flowā€ ā€œgenerating 100% cash return on the capital it invests and growing revenues at 40% pa forecast to increase to 50% next year but share price is 45% below itā€™s fair value on discount cash flowā€
  • 7. A company which distributes agricultural equipment and related replacement parts worldwide, combines for harvesting grain crops, such as corn, wheat, soybeans, and rice; and application equipment, such as self-propelled, three- and four- wheeled vehicles, and related equipment for liquid and dry fertilizers and crop protection chemicals, and for after crops emerge from the ground, as well as produces diesel engines, gears, and generating sets. A company which manufactures and distributes components, building products, and materials for the recreational vehicle, marine, manufactured housing, and industrial markets in the United States, China, and Canada. A company which engages in the acquisition, leasing, re- leasing, and sale of various types of intermodal containers and chassis to shipping lines, and freight forwarding companies and manufacturers.It operates in Asia, Europe, the Americas, Bermuda, and internationally.
  • 8. 2023: All the major bank outlooks (to be updated) Campaignforamillion.com What Caught My Eye Alpesh Patel OBE
  • 9. EVERYONE ā€¢ GDP: Lower ā€“ shallow recession ā€¢ Inflation: Come under control ā€¢ Interest Rates: Rise then Pause ā€¢ Politics: Uncertainty, China, Russia ā€¢ Equities: go for profits over growth, quality companies ā€¢ US Dollar: Will weaken later in the year ā€¢ Commodities: Short term weakness due to growth but longer term physical tightness remains ā€¢ Housing UK/US: very few homes in negative equity ā€¢ Bonds are back ie bond buying ā€¢ Many equities undervalued ā€¢ Scale Back in Mega Caps hold more Medium and Smaller Cap ā€¢ Energy, Healthcare, Financials ā€¢ Maket yet to bottom, but will this year ā€¢ Expect shocks to the system eg cyberattack ā€¢ Mix of lowly correlated assets ā€¢ Fully invested, less to no cash ā€¢ Overwieght US, underweight UK
  • 10. ā€¢ The consensus view is that early in 2023, earnings will collapse, bringing the stock market down with them. ā€¢ Sectoral leadership in the market suggests otherwise. Financials, industrials and materials have all outperformed in October and November. As noted by market consultant John Raphael: ā€œItā€™s puzzling to me why these brokers and investment banks are acting so well. Would you buy these stocks if the SPX had 10% downside? ā€¢ The economy is proving too resilient, causing the ā€˜looming collapseā€™ in earnings to remain elusive for yet another quarter. ā€¢ Quality-assured healthcare companies ā€¢ We believe now is a particularly good time to own compounders, since their pricing power (the ability to pass on costs to consumers) and recurring revenues (the propensity toward repeat purchases) can make their earnings resilient in tough times.ʒ High-quality compounder companies that can grow their earnings steadily in real terms, across cycles, are likely to outearn the market, just as they have done over the last few decades
  • 11. Your Questions ā€¢ Energy, Housing, Pharma, Recession Proof?
  • 12.
  • 13. UK: Office Reits (20% undervalued) More risk than I put in my SIPP because often 1. Debt not well covered by cash flow 2. Poor dividend track record
  • 14. US: Financials >> Mortgage Reits (30% undervalued) More Risk Than I Put in My SIPP because often 1. Earnings forecast to decline 2. Debt not well covered by cash flow 3. Poor dividend track record
  • 16. Eg Asos ā€“ Not For Me
  • 18.
  • 19. Then & Now 1999 & 2019
  • 20.
  • 21. When ā€“ How Decide? Fully Invested? Or Wait Month to Month?
  • 22. Currently in the SIPP. More of These In 2023 Wanted
  • 23. Best of 2022 Looking ā€˜Toppyā€™ ā€“ What Next?
  • 24. COTERRA ENERGY INC [exited]
  • 25. Disciplined Process: 40% Hurdle US stock ETF Domestic stock Value-Growth- Income ā€“ Cash Flow Approved List 12 months hold and repeat Alpesh Weekly Updates 15-40 stocks Alpesh to Help Monitor According to Strategy Buy Hold Sell Media Articles Social Media Can Ask Alpesh Grow Returns
  • 26. Valuation P/E PEG P/B P/S DCF Growth Sales Earnings Cash Flow Income Dividends Earnings Momentum Trend Stochastic Chart Patterns Media Statistics Distribution of Returns Volatility Correlation Company Size Insider Buying Top Analyst Correlation Top Shareholder Correlation
  • 27. The Shortlist: 10,000 Companies to 37 (US List)
  • 28.
  • 29. UK Stocks (To Be Finalised) Provides packaging and automation solutions to healthcare, pharmaceutical, and food and beverage sectors worldwide. Trading at 48.7% below our estimate of its fair value Earnings are forecast to grow 58.51% per year. ------------------------------------------------------- Another Company: The company provides its products in various therapeutic areas, including anti-infective, cardiovascular, central nervous system, diabetes, oncology, pain management, and respiratory. It operates in the United Kingdom, the United States, the Middle East, North Africa, Europe, and internationally. Trading at 65.7% below our estimate of its fair value Earnings are forecast to grow 7.88% per year Pays a reliable dividend of 2.81% Trading at good value compared to peers and industry >>> HIKMA
  • 30.
  • 31.
  • 32. ā€¢Assume you plan to invest over 10 years ā€¢And you with my help make 20% pa (some years more, some maybe less) - nothing extravagant and nothing pessimistic. ā€¢Let's say you have 100k in a 401k/SIPP/ISA ā€¢You also plan to add 1.5k each month to your portfolio ā€¢Your will have over 1m by the end of 10 years
  • 33.
  • 34. Let's assume you only have 10k to start with and plan to add 6k a year (divided equally each month). Then your return looks like this with my help:
  • 35.
  • 36.
  • 37. Used By Global Banks
  • 38.
  • 40. MY COUNTRY TRUSTS ME 300M PEOPLE AND THE BBC TOO
  • 41.
  • 42. When to sell 12 Monthsā€“ Re-evaluate Drops 25% from highest point you bought
  • 43. You can be better than overpaid fund managersā€¦
  • 45.
  • 46.
  • 47.
  • 48.
  • 49.
  • 50.
  • 51. Solution: Ride Coat-Tails of Aggregate of the Worldā€™s Best
  • 52. Are They Uncorrelated and Resilient ā€“ Weekly and Monthly Update
  • 53.
  • 55.
  • 57.
  • 58.
  • 59.
  • 60.
  • 61.
  • 62.
  • 63. What Do Goldman Sachs Tell Their Wealthiest Clients? Would You Like 30%pa? Rich-Poor Divide is about Access
  • 64.
  • 66.
  • 67.
  • 68.
  • 70. 70