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vTABLE OF CONTENTS│
PREFACE ................................................................................................IX
ABOUT THE AUTHOR .............................................................................XI
CHAPTER 1: GETTING READY FOR MODEL 3 ........................................ 13
Model 3 .......................................................................................................... 13
Some Background........................................................................................... 16
Elementary EV Concepts.........................................................17
The Battery ....................................................................18
Volt and amps.................................................................19
Kilowatts and Kilowatt-Hours ...............................................19
EVs..............................................................................20
Getting Ready ................................................................................................ 21
CHAPTER TWO: WHAT WE KNOW ABOUT MODEL 3 ............................ 23
The Overall Design ......................................................................................... 23
Profile. .........................................................................25
Nose............................................................................25
Glass roof......................................................................27
Door handles..................................................................28
Vehicle size. ...................................................................29
The Skateboard ...............................................................30
The Drive Train and Motors ......................................................30
The Interior........................................................................31
Volume .........................................................................32
Frunk and trunk ...............................................................33
Design .........................................................................33
HVAC...........................................................................34
Display Tech...................................................................34
Sensor Tech ...................................................................37
Seats ...........................................................................37
Battery.............................................................................38
Range..............................................................................40
Regen .............................................................................40
Performance ......................................................................43
Safety..............................................................................45
TABLE OF CONTENTS
vi │GETTING READY FOR MODEL 3
CHAPTER THREE: PROBABLE MODEL 3 VEHICLE CONFIGURATIONS.... 47
Configuring your Model 3 .............................................................................. 48
Color ..............................................................................49
Battery Size ..................................................................................................... 50
Supercharging Capability ........................................................51
Single or Dual Motor? .................................................................................... 52
Performance Options.............................................................53
Roof Options......................................................................54
Autonomous Driving Features ........................................................................ 54
Wheels and Tires. ................................................................55
Interior Appointments............................................................56
Upholstery and trim ..........................................................56
Seat types .....................................................................56
Sun Shades ....................................................................57
Front seat center area........................................................57
Sound system .................................................................57
Landscape Display .......................................................................................... 58
Winter Package ...................................................................58
Other Upgrades ..................................................................58
CHAPTER FOUR: RANGE AND RANGE ANXIETY ................................... 61
Range..............................................................................63
Vehicle Paramaters ...........................................................64
Speed and Acceleration .....................................................65
Drag ............................................................................67
The Battery ....................................................................69
Enviromental Factors ........................................................70
Other Suggestions ...........................................................71
Range Anxiety ................................................................................................ 71
CHAPTER FIVE: CHARGING YOUR MODEL 3 ......................................... 75
Public Charging Networks (PCNs) ...............................................76
Superchargers.................................................................76
Destination Chargers.........................................................77
Personal Charging Infastructure (PCI) ............................................................. 80
RV1: You own/rent/live-in a house/condo with a garage................81
RV2: You own/rent/live-in a condo without a garage ...................84
RV3: You rent in-the-small (i.e., in a 2 – 4 family house) ................84
viiTABLE OF CONTENTS│
RV4: Your rent in an apartment complex with multiple buildings .....85
RV5: You rent in a large apartment building .............................86
RV6: You rent in a building that has no provision for parking..........86
CHAPTER SIX: MODEL 3 PERFORMANCE.............................................. 89
BEV Architecture..................................................................90
The grid and battery charger ...............................................91
The battery ....................................................................91
The electric motor and torque ..............................................92
Control Electronics ......................................................................................... 94
Regenerative Braking.............................................................95
Vehicle Performance..............................................................95
Quickness .....................................................................96
Motor horsepower............................................................96
Handling ......................................................................................................... 97
CHAPTER SEVEN: MODEL 3 AS AN AUTONOMOUS VEHICLE ..............101
Autonomous Driving ............................................................102
Levels of Autonomous Driving .......................................................................103
Current Tech .....................................................................104
The Tesla Approach .............................................................105
Autosteer .....................................................................106
Auto lane changes...........................................................107
Emergency Steering and Side Collision Warning........................107
Autopark ......................................................................108
Summon ......................................................................108
CHAPTER EIGHT: WHEN CAN I EXPECT MY MODEL 3 TO
BE DELIVERED? ....................................................................................109
Tesla Time........................................................................109
Past Production History ..................................................................................111
Tesla’s Latest Production Projections ...........................................112
The Delivery Ramp ..............................................................113
The NUMMI plant ...........................................................115
Production rates from other manufacturers ..............................115
Estimating the ramp.........................................................116
Production Rate Projections.....................................................118
2017 deliveries...............................................................118
viii │GETTING READY FOR MODEL 3
2018 production rates ......................................................119
2019 production rates ......................................................120
2020 production rates ......................................................121
Reservation History ..............................................................121
Estimating Your Model 3 Delivery Date .........................................................122
A Few Delivery Scenarios .......................................................124
Delivering the News.............................................................127
The bad news ................................................................127
The good news ..............................................................127
CHAPTER NINE: THE COST OF OWNING A MODEL 3 ..........................129
BEV Economics ..................................................................129
Running the Numbers ....................................................................................130
The Real Cost of a Model 3 .....................................................131
Fuel costs .....................................................................132
Depreciation .................................................................132
Maintenance costs...........................................................133
Battery replacement.........................................................134
Cost of PCI ...................................................................134
Tax credit .....................................................................135
CHAPTER TEN: THE GIGAFACTORY......................................................137
CHAPTER ELEVEN: A 21ST
CENTURY CAR FOR ALMOST EVERYONE ...141
INDEX ..................................................................................................145

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Getting Ready for Model 3 by Roger Pressman - Table of Contents

  • 1. vTABLE OF CONTENTS│ PREFACE ................................................................................................IX ABOUT THE AUTHOR .............................................................................XI CHAPTER 1: GETTING READY FOR MODEL 3 ........................................ 13 Model 3 .......................................................................................................... 13 Some Background........................................................................................... 16 Elementary EV Concepts.........................................................17 The Battery ....................................................................18 Volt and amps.................................................................19 Kilowatts and Kilowatt-Hours ...............................................19 EVs..............................................................................20 Getting Ready ................................................................................................ 21 CHAPTER TWO: WHAT WE KNOW ABOUT MODEL 3 ............................ 23 The Overall Design ......................................................................................... 23 Profile. .........................................................................25 Nose............................................................................25 Glass roof......................................................................27 Door handles..................................................................28 Vehicle size. ...................................................................29 The Skateboard ...............................................................30 The Drive Train and Motors ......................................................30 The Interior........................................................................31 Volume .........................................................................32 Frunk and trunk ...............................................................33 Design .........................................................................33 HVAC...........................................................................34 Display Tech...................................................................34 Sensor Tech ...................................................................37 Seats ...........................................................................37 Battery.............................................................................38 Range..............................................................................40 Regen .............................................................................40 Performance ......................................................................43 Safety..............................................................................45 TABLE OF CONTENTS
  • 2. vi │GETTING READY FOR MODEL 3 CHAPTER THREE: PROBABLE MODEL 3 VEHICLE CONFIGURATIONS.... 47 Configuring your Model 3 .............................................................................. 48 Color ..............................................................................49 Battery Size ..................................................................................................... 50 Supercharging Capability ........................................................51 Single or Dual Motor? .................................................................................... 52 Performance Options.............................................................53 Roof Options......................................................................54 Autonomous Driving Features ........................................................................ 54 Wheels and Tires. ................................................................55 Interior Appointments............................................................56 Upholstery and trim ..........................................................56 Seat types .....................................................................56 Sun Shades ....................................................................57 Front seat center area........................................................57 Sound system .................................................................57 Landscape Display .......................................................................................... 58 Winter Package ...................................................................58 Other Upgrades ..................................................................58 CHAPTER FOUR: RANGE AND RANGE ANXIETY ................................... 61 Range..............................................................................63 Vehicle Paramaters ...........................................................64 Speed and Acceleration .....................................................65 Drag ............................................................................67 The Battery ....................................................................69 Enviromental Factors ........................................................70 Other Suggestions ...........................................................71 Range Anxiety ................................................................................................ 71 CHAPTER FIVE: CHARGING YOUR MODEL 3 ......................................... 75 Public Charging Networks (PCNs) ...............................................76 Superchargers.................................................................76 Destination Chargers.........................................................77 Personal Charging Infastructure (PCI) ............................................................. 80 RV1: You own/rent/live-in a house/condo with a garage................81 RV2: You own/rent/live-in a condo without a garage ...................84 RV3: You rent in-the-small (i.e., in a 2 – 4 family house) ................84
  • 3. viiTABLE OF CONTENTS│ RV4: Your rent in an apartment complex with multiple buildings .....85 RV5: You rent in a large apartment building .............................86 RV6: You rent in a building that has no provision for parking..........86 CHAPTER SIX: MODEL 3 PERFORMANCE.............................................. 89 BEV Architecture..................................................................90 The grid and battery charger ...............................................91 The battery ....................................................................91 The electric motor and torque ..............................................92 Control Electronics ......................................................................................... 94 Regenerative Braking.............................................................95 Vehicle Performance..............................................................95 Quickness .....................................................................96 Motor horsepower............................................................96 Handling ......................................................................................................... 97 CHAPTER SEVEN: MODEL 3 AS AN AUTONOMOUS VEHICLE ..............101 Autonomous Driving ............................................................102 Levels of Autonomous Driving .......................................................................103 Current Tech .....................................................................104 The Tesla Approach .............................................................105 Autosteer .....................................................................106 Auto lane changes...........................................................107 Emergency Steering and Side Collision Warning........................107 Autopark ......................................................................108 Summon ......................................................................108 CHAPTER EIGHT: WHEN CAN I EXPECT MY MODEL 3 TO BE DELIVERED? ....................................................................................109 Tesla Time........................................................................109 Past Production History ..................................................................................111 Tesla’s Latest Production Projections ...........................................112 The Delivery Ramp ..............................................................113 The NUMMI plant ...........................................................115 Production rates from other manufacturers ..............................115 Estimating the ramp.........................................................116 Production Rate Projections.....................................................118 2017 deliveries...............................................................118
  • 4. viii │GETTING READY FOR MODEL 3 2018 production rates ......................................................119 2019 production rates ......................................................120 2020 production rates ......................................................121 Reservation History ..............................................................121 Estimating Your Model 3 Delivery Date .........................................................122 A Few Delivery Scenarios .......................................................124 Delivering the News.............................................................127 The bad news ................................................................127 The good news ..............................................................127 CHAPTER NINE: THE COST OF OWNING A MODEL 3 ..........................129 BEV Economics ..................................................................129 Running the Numbers ....................................................................................130 The Real Cost of a Model 3 .....................................................131 Fuel costs .....................................................................132 Depreciation .................................................................132 Maintenance costs...........................................................133 Battery replacement.........................................................134 Cost of PCI ...................................................................134 Tax credit .....................................................................135 CHAPTER TEN: THE GIGAFACTORY......................................................137 CHAPTER ELEVEN: A 21ST CENTURY CAR FOR ALMOST EVERYONE ...141 INDEX ..................................................................................................145