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Spending Reviews
9th Annual Meeting of MENA Senior Budget Officials
Kuwait, 12 October 2016
Jón Ragnar Blöndal
Head, Budgeting and Public Expenditures
Agenda
2
1. Definition and Rationale
2. Implementation Issues
3. Country Examples
Spending Reviews – What?
A critical re-assessment of existing expenditures,
and of the policies they are based upon, in light of
the principles of efficiency, effectiveness, economy
and/or affordability
Spending Reviews – Why?
• Baseline expenditure is usually largely
fixed: 80-90%
• Harder for governments to identify “fiscal
space”
• Requirement to live within fiscal limits
• Are previous decisions still the best
decisions? New priorities
• Scope for efficiency, modernisation, reform
and innovation
• Move from “incremental” to a more “zero-
based” approach
Growth in Spending Reviews
• Before the global economic crisis
– The Netherlands, Denmark; few others
• After the crisis
– Over half of OECD member countries report that
they have conducted, or are planning, spending
reviews
• Becoming a standard tool for fiscal
consolidation and creating fiscal space
Containing Public Expenditure –
Where to Start?
Public pay
Social welfare
Other
FUNCTIONAL
BREAKDOWN 1
Health
Education
Other
FUNCTIONAL
BREAKDOWN 2
Containing Public Expenditure –
Where to Start?
Defence
Agriculture
Other
FUNCTIONAL
BREAKDOWN 3
Containing Public Expenditure –
Where to Start?
“FIXED” VERSUS
“FLEXIBLE” AREAS
Containing Public Expenditure –
Where to Start?
Constitutional
Legal - fixed
Legal - annual
Contractual commitments
Administrative commitments
Political commitment
Sensitive
Discretionary
Spending Reviews as a Decision Tool
• No technocratic substitute for hard
decisions
• But hard decisions need to be well-
informed
• What is needed:
– solid, evidential basis for assessing and prioritising
public expenditure in each area
– standardised analytical approach
– principles to guide and focus the analysis - IMPACTS
– clear recommendations
– political buy-in for the process
– direct linkage to the budget process
Designing a Spending Review –
Basic Choices
Who?
• Outsiders OR
In-house experts
• Central
AND/OR line
ministry
• Steering
committee
• Balance between
political and
administrative
viewpoints
What?
• All spending OR
Sector focus OR
Specific areas
• Efficiency
AND/OR
strategic
priorities
• Programmes OR
Ministries
• Streamlining of
agencies
How?
• Expenditure
baseline analysis
• Savings targets
AND/OR
ceilings
• Public / civic
engagement
• Performance-
focused analysis
• Policy options
OR prescriptions
Focusing a Spending Review –
Strategic Choices
Impacts on people?
• Income
distribution
• Access to
healthcare
• Access to housing
• Access to
education
• Gender impacts
• Ethnic impacts
• Environmental
Impacts on
growth?
• Public investment
• Prioritising
education
• Structural
economic reforms
• Labour market
reforms
• “Red tape”
reduction
• Liberalisation of
professions
Impacts on
public sector?
• Staff numbers
• Staff efficiency
and work
practices
• Outsourcing
• Shared services
• E-Government
• Budgetary reform
OECD Country Example: CANADA
• Programme Review (mid-1990s) aimed at fiscal
consolidation/reining in high debt and deficits
– Agency reviews
– Tough agency specific targets set by MoF
– “War of Attrition” – not a sustainable model?
• Strategic Review (2007- )
– Encourages “churn” – delving into the baseline of expenditure
– Create additional fiscal space for new spending priorities
– Permitted “reinvestment proposals”
• Strategic and Operating Review (2011-2012)
– Comprehensive
– Additional focus on operating efficiencies
OECD Country Example: NETHERLANDS
• Context:
– Coalition Agreements
– Fixed four year expenditure ceilings
• Specific sectors (except 2010 Comprehensive Review)
• Processes set by MoF; agreed by Cabinet
• Joint review process: taskforces within spending
ministry + MoF staff
– required to develop options capable of delivering at least a 20 percent
reduction over four years
• Options are presented to political leadership for
decision
– Cross-party agreement for system of spending reviews
– Central to election debate on budgetary savings measures and
subsequent Coalition Agreement on expenditure ceilings
OECD Country Example: IRELAND
• Context:
– Major fiscal shock from 2008 – huge consolidation requirements
– End of long “boom”: high public expectations of budgets
• 2008: Expert-led exercise
– Comprehensive: programmes, staff numbers, reform agenda
– Not binding on government
– Very useful in stimulating public debate and attitudes
• 2011: Civil service-led exercise
– New priorities for a new government
– Built on institutional learning from previous exercise
– Designed into overall review / evaluation architecture
• 2014: Civil service exercise – “low key”
– generating policy options for ministers
– linked with multi-year spending ceilings
Some Lessons from International
Experience
• Each spending review is different – even within
countries
– linked to political, economic, social factors
• Often starts as ad hoc response to shocks, stresses
• Maintaining the impetus of spending review
– role of fiscal rules, fiscal framework
– demands of “fiscal space” for national development goals
– integrate into multi-annual budgetary framework
• Improving performance information
– Limited use of formal performance indicators or evaluation
– Much available evaluation not very useful (Management/policy
improvement focus)
– Quality not always good
– Requirement is more relevant information; not more evaluation
17
OECD Journal on Budgeting
www.oecd.org/gov/budgeting
jon.blondal@oecd.org

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Getting more from Public Services - Jon BLÖNDAL, OECD (English)

  • 1. Spending Reviews 9th Annual Meeting of MENA Senior Budget Officials Kuwait, 12 October 2016 Jón Ragnar Blöndal Head, Budgeting and Public Expenditures
  • 2. Agenda 2 1. Definition and Rationale 2. Implementation Issues 3. Country Examples
  • 3. Spending Reviews – What? A critical re-assessment of existing expenditures, and of the policies they are based upon, in light of the principles of efficiency, effectiveness, economy and/or affordability
  • 4. Spending Reviews – Why? • Baseline expenditure is usually largely fixed: 80-90% • Harder for governments to identify “fiscal space” • Requirement to live within fiscal limits • Are previous decisions still the best decisions? New priorities • Scope for efficiency, modernisation, reform and innovation • Move from “incremental” to a more “zero- based” approach
  • 5. Growth in Spending Reviews • Before the global economic crisis – The Netherlands, Denmark; few others • After the crisis – Over half of OECD member countries report that they have conducted, or are planning, spending reviews • Becoming a standard tool for fiscal consolidation and creating fiscal space
  • 6. Containing Public Expenditure – Where to Start? Public pay Social welfare Other FUNCTIONAL BREAKDOWN 1
  • 9. “FIXED” VERSUS “FLEXIBLE” AREAS Containing Public Expenditure – Where to Start? Constitutional Legal - fixed Legal - annual Contractual commitments Administrative commitments Political commitment Sensitive Discretionary
  • 10. Spending Reviews as a Decision Tool • No technocratic substitute for hard decisions • But hard decisions need to be well- informed • What is needed: – solid, evidential basis for assessing and prioritising public expenditure in each area – standardised analytical approach – principles to guide and focus the analysis - IMPACTS – clear recommendations – political buy-in for the process – direct linkage to the budget process
  • 11. Designing a Spending Review – Basic Choices Who? • Outsiders OR In-house experts • Central AND/OR line ministry • Steering committee • Balance between political and administrative viewpoints What? • All spending OR Sector focus OR Specific areas • Efficiency AND/OR strategic priorities • Programmes OR Ministries • Streamlining of agencies How? • Expenditure baseline analysis • Savings targets AND/OR ceilings • Public / civic engagement • Performance- focused analysis • Policy options OR prescriptions
  • 12. Focusing a Spending Review – Strategic Choices Impacts on people? • Income distribution • Access to healthcare • Access to housing • Access to education • Gender impacts • Ethnic impacts • Environmental Impacts on growth? • Public investment • Prioritising education • Structural economic reforms • Labour market reforms • “Red tape” reduction • Liberalisation of professions Impacts on public sector? • Staff numbers • Staff efficiency and work practices • Outsourcing • Shared services • E-Government • Budgetary reform
  • 13. OECD Country Example: CANADA • Programme Review (mid-1990s) aimed at fiscal consolidation/reining in high debt and deficits – Agency reviews – Tough agency specific targets set by MoF – “War of Attrition” – not a sustainable model? • Strategic Review (2007- ) – Encourages “churn” – delving into the baseline of expenditure – Create additional fiscal space for new spending priorities – Permitted “reinvestment proposals” • Strategic and Operating Review (2011-2012) – Comprehensive – Additional focus on operating efficiencies
  • 14. OECD Country Example: NETHERLANDS • Context: – Coalition Agreements – Fixed four year expenditure ceilings • Specific sectors (except 2010 Comprehensive Review) • Processes set by MoF; agreed by Cabinet • Joint review process: taskforces within spending ministry + MoF staff – required to develop options capable of delivering at least a 20 percent reduction over four years • Options are presented to political leadership for decision – Cross-party agreement for system of spending reviews – Central to election debate on budgetary savings measures and subsequent Coalition Agreement on expenditure ceilings
  • 15. OECD Country Example: IRELAND • Context: – Major fiscal shock from 2008 – huge consolidation requirements – End of long “boom”: high public expectations of budgets • 2008: Expert-led exercise – Comprehensive: programmes, staff numbers, reform agenda – Not binding on government – Very useful in stimulating public debate and attitudes • 2011: Civil service-led exercise – New priorities for a new government – Built on institutional learning from previous exercise – Designed into overall review / evaluation architecture • 2014: Civil service exercise – “low key” – generating policy options for ministers – linked with multi-year spending ceilings
  • 16. Some Lessons from International Experience • Each spending review is different – even within countries – linked to political, economic, social factors • Often starts as ad hoc response to shocks, stresses • Maintaining the impetus of spending review – role of fiscal rules, fiscal framework – demands of “fiscal space” for national development goals – integrate into multi-annual budgetary framework • Improving performance information – Limited use of formal performance indicators or evaluation – Much available evaluation not very useful (Management/policy improvement focus) – Quality not always good – Requirement is more relevant information; not more evaluation
  • 17. 17 OECD Journal on Budgeting www.oecd.org/gov/budgeting jon.blondal@oecd.org