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US GDP Outline
                                     Yoshio TSUJI
                                     August 2, 2011



• U.S. Department of Commerce
  Bureau of Economic Analysis; BEA

• Release schedule (8:30)  – Quarterly
  Advance estimates: 翌月 25 ~末日  
  Preliminary:        翌々月 25 ~末日  
  Final:             翌々々月 25 ~末日
 
 毎年7月に annual revision
Still below pre-recession level




                  1) Advance: 2Q: 1.4% ⇔ consensus 1.9%
                    Personal consumption: 0.1%
                  2) Preliminary: 2Q: 1.0% ⇔ consensus 1.1%
                    Personal consumption: 0.4%

                  <Annual revision>
                  1Q: 0.4% ← 1.9%
                  CY2009: -3.5% ← -2.6%
                  CY2008: -0.3% ← 0.0%
Stagnation of consumer spending
Stagnation of consumer spending

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GDP (Aug 2011)

  • 1. US GDP Outline Yoshio TSUJI August 2, 2011 • U.S. Department of Commerce Bureau of Economic Analysis; BEA • Release schedule (8:30)  – Quarterly Advance estimates: 翌月 25 ~末日   Preliminary: 翌々月 25 ~末日   Final: 翌々々月 25 ~末日    毎年7月に annual revision
  • 2. Still below pre-recession level 1) Advance: 2Q: 1.4% ⇔ consensus 1.9% Personal consumption: 0.1% 2) Preliminary: 2Q: 1.0% ⇔ consensus 1.1% Personal consumption: 0.4% <Annual revision> 1Q: 0.4% ← 1.9% CY2009: -3.5% ← -2.6% CY2008: -0.3% ← 0.0%