Insights from Discussions Building on an Initial Perspective by An initial perspective on the future of energy by Jeremy Bentham, VP Global Business Environment at Shell. This includes insights from an event with The Climate Group and builds on the starting point for the global future agenda discussions taking place through 2015 as part of the the futureagenda2.0 programme. www.futureagenda.org
After multiple discussions around the world, this is an emerging view on the future of energy that is being shared for further comment and feedback. Events in London, Dubai, Shanghai, Delhi and New York have explored key drivers of change. Other events elsewhere have added in additional perspectives.
Future of energy - An initial perspective - Jeremy Bentham, VP Global Busine...Future Agenda
An initial perspective on the future of energy by Jeremy Bentham, VP Global Business Environment at Shell. This is the starting point for the global future agenda discussions taking place through 2015 as part of the the futureagenda2.0 programme. www.futureagenda.org
In this keynote speech to the Global Green Leaders Summit I explore the need for a robust conversation on how the growing global population and the rise of the middle class in developing countries will have a huge impact on climate change. It is little discussed in terms of what is happening on the ground from an increase in consumer demand, the connection with energy and, dare i say it, food supply. In the speech i call for a more innovative approach to supporting business and industry to innovate, invest, invent and create
Kateri Callahan joined Israeli mayors and senior representatives from local Tel Aviv authorities and agencies to discuss the challenges and potential for Israeli cities in deploying energy efficiency at scale. Showcasing success stories and case studies from the U.S. and around the world, Callahan demonstrated the economic, environmental, and security benefits of advancing programs, technologies, funding and infrastructure that promote efficient energy use.
Sustainability is a key driver of many developments world-wide,
and quite notably for power systems, t, thanks to the December
2015 Paris Agreement on climate protection with its actionable
worldwide consensus and the Sustainable Development Goals
(SDGs) adopted by the United Nations in September 2015.
CIGRE, as the ‘global expert community for electric power
systems’, must and wants to support is engaged in supporting
the SDGs, the Paris Agreement, and sustainability in general, and
pursues sustainable electricity for all.
This Reference Paper describes how CIGRE contributes
to global sustainability and the SDGs, partly by adhering
to sustainable organizational practices itself, but even more
importantly by supporting many SDGs through its global work
related to energy, emissions, and climate change. This paper thus
lays the foundation to focus CIGRE’s work more systematically
on sustainability; and for the Technical Council to include
further aspects of sustainability in the next strategic plan on
which CIGRE’s work should focus.
After multiple discussions around the world, this is an emerging view on the future of energy that is being shared for further comment and feedback. Events in London, Dubai, Shanghai, Delhi and New York have explored key drivers of change. Other events elsewhere have added in additional perspectives.
Future of energy - An initial perspective - Jeremy Bentham, VP Global Busine...Future Agenda
An initial perspective on the future of energy by Jeremy Bentham, VP Global Business Environment at Shell. This is the starting point for the global future agenda discussions taking place through 2015 as part of the the futureagenda2.0 programme. www.futureagenda.org
In this keynote speech to the Global Green Leaders Summit I explore the need for a robust conversation on how the growing global population and the rise of the middle class in developing countries will have a huge impact on climate change. It is little discussed in terms of what is happening on the ground from an increase in consumer demand, the connection with energy and, dare i say it, food supply. In the speech i call for a more innovative approach to supporting business and industry to innovate, invest, invent and create
Kateri Callahan joined Israeli mayors and senior representatives from local Tel Aviv authorities and agencies to discuss the challenges and potential for Israeli cities in deploying energy efficiency at scale. Showcasing success stories and case studies from the U.S. and around the world, Callahan demonstrated the economic, environmental, and security benefits of advancing programs, technologies, funding and infrastructure that promote efficient energy use.
Sustainability is a key driver of many developments world-wide,
and quite notably for power systems, t, thanks to the December
2015 Paris Agreement on climate protection with its actionable
worldwide consensus and the Sustainable Development Goals
(SDGs) adopted by the United Nations in September 2015.
CIGRE, as the ‘global expert community for electric power
systems’, must and wants to support is engaged in supporting
the SDGs, the Paris Agreement, and sustainability in general, and
pursues sustainable electricity for all.
This Reference Paper describes how CIGRE contributes
to global sustainability and the SDGs, partly by adhering
to sustainable organizational practices itself, but even more
importantly by supporting many SDGs through its global work
related to energy, emissions, and climate change. This paper thus
lays the foundation to focus CIGRE’s work more systematically
on sustainability; and for the Technical Council to include
further aspects of sustainability in the next strategic plan on
which CIGRE’s work should focus.
A.T. Kearney Energy Transition Institute - 10 Facts, An Introduction to Energ...Kearney
The A.T. Kearney Energy Transition Institute is a nonprofit organization. It provides leading insights on globaltrends in energy transition, technologies, and strategic implications for private sector businesses and publicsector institutions. The Institute is dedicated to combining objective technological insights with economicalperspectives to define the consequences and opportunities for decision makers in a rapidly changing energylandscape. The independence of the Institute fosters unbiased primary insights and the ability to co-createnew ideas with interested sponsors and relevant stakeholders.
Green ICT: More Efficiently Unsustainable?Joss Winn
My slides for the Digital 2020 GreenICT mini-conference: http://www.digital2020.org.uk/skills/events/green
There are quite extensive notes which can be read from slide 21 onwards.
World Energy Council: Tracking Energy Transition Innovation- 2017Energy for One World
World Energy Council report- on innovation, year 2017
Views are by the Council, and not necessarily the views of the EFOW practice: how to drive change - and what deserves our time, organisation and investments.
The future of energy - global insights - 3 april 2018Future Agenda
A UK filter from our global insights on the future of energy - used to provoke discussion on some of the key challenges and opportunities in energy supply and demand for the next decade or so
Emmanuel osei final project sustainable energyEmmanuel Osei
This document presents a current and persistent challenging issue in the Ghanaian society. It focuses on ways to help achieve the Sustainable development Goal (SDG) 7 in Ghana. It takes a look at power (energy/ electricity) shortage or crisis and its effects in the developing country.
Il World Energy Focus, nuovo mensile online della WEC's community, una e-publication gratuita per essere sempre aggiornato sugli sviluppi del settore energetico. Il World Energy Focus contiene news, interviste esclusive e uno spazio dedicato agli eventi promossi dai singoli Comitati Nazionali.
A.T. Kearney Energy Transition Institute - 10 Facts, An Introduction to Energ...Kearney
The A.T. Kearney Energy Transition Institute is a nonprofit organization. It provides leading insights on globaltrends in energy transition, technologies, and strategic implications for private sector businesses and publicsector institutions. The Institute is dedicated to combining objective technological insights with economicalperspectives to define the consequences and opportunities for decision makers in a rapidly changing energylandscape. The independence of the Institute fosters unbiased primary insights and the ability to co-createnew ideas with interested sponsors and relevant stakeholders.
Green ICT: More Efficiently Unsustainable?Joss Winn
My slides for the Digital 2020 GreenICT mini-conference: http://www.digital2020.org.uk/skills/events/green
There are quite extensive notes which can be read from slide 21 onwards.
World Energy Council: Tracking Energy Transition Innovation- 2017Energy for One World
World Energy Council report- on innovation, year 2017
Views are by the Council, and not necessarily the views of the EFOW practice: how to drive change - and what deserves our time, organisation and investments.
The future of energy - global insights - 3 april 2018Future Agenda
A UK filter from our global insights on the future of energy - used to provoke discussion on some of the key challenges and opportunities in energy supply and demand for the next decade or so
Emmanuel osei final project sustainable energyEmmanuel Osei
This document presents a current and persistent challenging issue in the Ghanaian society. It focuses on ways to help achieve the Sustainable development Goal (SDG) 7 in Ghana. It takes a look at power (energy/ electricity) shortage or crisis and its effects in the developing country.
Il World Energy Focus, nuovo mensile online della WEC's community, una e-publication gratuita per essere sempre aggiornato sugli sviluppi del settore energetico. Il World Energy Focus contiene news, interviste esclusive e uno spazio dedicato agli eventi promossi dai singoli Comitati Nazionali.
As society struggles to find clean, affordable, and reliable energy alternatives to meet the energy challenge and mitigate global climate change, it is important that scientists and policy-makers around the world work together to explore solutions.
To present the Swiss perspective on sustainable energy alternatives for the future, professor Konstantinos Boulouchos of the Swiss Federal Institute of Technology in Zurich (ETHZ) will share the complex interaction between the energy and climate change challenges and provide insight into the ongoing debate surrounding long-term strategic targets like the 2,000-watt versus the one-ton CO2 society.
Oracle Report Reveals the Need for an Energy Revolution to meet 2050 Vision of a Low Carbon Economy. The Research, conducted by The Future Laboratory and involving a global panel of experts, highlights the electricity issues that must be addressed and the trends that will combine to make the smart grid and smart energy a reality.
18/03/2010 - FTS seminar series @ Cardiff Univesity, Computer Science. Pete Woznowski and Rich Coombs one hour presentation on Arduino. Some info on Arduino and the talk: Arduino is a hardware and software platform for developing electronic devices and applications, aimed at being fun and accessible to everyone. Think Lego Mindstorms, but aimed intentionally at adults (rather than aimed at children and incidentally used by adults :)). The scope and potential for Arduino is huge. It has been used to develop simple applications like pedometers and networked environmental sensors, to art exhibits and remote controlled vehicles. The talk aims to give an overview of the Arduino platform and a brief introduction to designing and programming Arduino applications, along with some demonstrations.
Autonomous vehicles: becoming economically feasible through improvements in l...Jeffrey Funk
These slides use concepts from my (Jeff Funk) course entitled analyzing hi-tech opportunities to analyze how autonomous vehicles are becoming economically feasible throug through improvements in lasers, microelectronic mechanical systems (MEMS), integrated circuits (ICs), and other components. Although the cost of the Google Car is currently about 150,000 USD, 30% annual improvements in lasers, MEMS, and ICs will make these economically feasible for a broad number of users in the next ten years. A key issue is when certain lanes, roads or even entire highway systems are restricted to automated vehicles. This would enable collision avoidance to rely more on between-vehicle communications. This would further reduce the cost of automated vehicles, stimulate diffusion, and also reduce transportation time and increase fuel efficiency.
Autonomous Vehicles: Technologies, Economics, and OpportunitiesJeffrey Funk
These slides use concepts from my (Jeff Funk) course entitled analyzing hi-tech opportunities to show how the cost and performance of autonomous vehicles are improving rapidly. LIDAR, other sensors, ICs, and wireless are experiencing rapid improvements that are enabling the overall cost of AVs to fall. For example, the latency of wireless systems is improving rapidly thus enabling vehicles to be controlled with wireless systems. This is also creating many new opportunities in the vehicle industry in the Internet of Things, data analytics, and logistics. The slides include a detailed discussion of AVs in Singapore, a likely early adopter.
Luxury home automation wasn’t a face of everyday life. Today it is, though gradually! Directly controlling and seamlessly staying connected with the home systems you use every day via a mobile device would significantly enhance your quality of life. It is not only about remotely controlling the lights, AC, fan, audio systems, curtains, television, kitchen appliances, garage doors, sprinklers from your smartphone from anywhere. Again it is not merely about regularly monitoring the security of your home and your kids from your workplace miles away. It is all about convenience and safety. It is about exploiting the latest of what technology has on offer. It is about saving energy significantly and contributing to the creation of a greener earth through use of energy efficient systems. A smart home offers all of these – comfort, convenience, monetary savings, and safety. Smart Automation has emerged as a reliable and leading service provider in this segment.
The past decade has seen significant advancement in the field of consumer electronics. Various ‘intelligent’ appliances such as cellular phones, air-conditioners, home security devices, home theatres, etc. are set to realize the concept of a smart home. They have given rise to a Personal Area Network in home environment, where all these appliances can be interconnected and monitored using a single controller.
Busy families and individuals with physical limitation represent an attractive market for home automation and networking. A wireless home network that does not incur additional costs of wiring would be desirable. Bluetooth technology, which has emerged in late 1990s, is an ideal solution for this purpose.
Home automation involves introducing a degree of computerized or automatic control to
Certain electrical and electronic systems in a building. These include lighting, temperature
Control etc.
This project demonstrates a simple home automation system which contains a remote mobile host controller and several client modules (home appliances). The client modules communicate with the host controller through a wireless device such as a Bluetooth enabled mobile phone, in this case, an android based Smart phone.
Tapuwa Dangarembizi - Charting a Course for a Sustainable Future in a Changin...Tapuwa Dangarembizi
In the face of the pressing issue of climate change and the critical need to curtail greenhouse gas emissions, the world stands at a historic crossroads. The choices made today will reverberate through the ages, shaping the fate of our planet and the legacy we leave for generations to come. Sustainable energy emerges as an indisputable linchpin in our quest to address the looming climate crisis. In this discourse, we delve into Tapuwa Dangarembizi- How can the usage of sustainable energy be helpful for the future?
Tapuwa Dangarembizi – The Energy Butterfly Effect How Small Shifts Can Create...Tapuwa Dangarembizi
The Energy Butterfly Effect is an exceptional phenomenon that operates in sustainable energy, where the delicate balance of our planet’s well-being hangs in the air. This captivating concept reveals the astonishing power of small shifts capable of setting a grand work of transformation in motion.
The Green Paradigm Shifting to Sustainable Energy and Embracing Change.pptxTapuwa Dangarembizi
In a world that is preparing for an approaching energy crisis, it becomes abundantly clear how important it is to make the transition to sustainable energy sources. The current reliance on fossil fuels not only compromises the possibility of achieving sustainability but also has severe negative effects on the natural world around us. Encouragingly, a growing global push toward renewable energy represents a potential escape route.
For the global sustainability community,
the most effective catalyst of change
has long been seen as the informed
self-interest of the mainstream financial
community: if banks and investors
could be convinced of the proximity of
environmental risk or societal impacts,
then it has been assumed that capital
diverted from ‘unsustainable’ practices
would render all other interventions
unnecessary. In practice though, the
sustainability community has found
the financial sector a hard nut to crack.
Although recent years have seen a
substantial increase in the integration of
environmental, social and governance
(ESG) data forming part of investment
analysis, the continued emphasis on shortterm
results and incentives has pushed
longer-term environmental risks, such as
climate change, outside of the boundary
of risks contemplated by mainstream
analysts. That is, until recently.
The Economics of Transitioning to Renewable Energy SourcesChristo Ananth
Christo Ananth, Rajini K R Karduri, "The Economics of Transitioning to Renewable Energy Sources", International Journal of Advanced Research in Basic Engineering Sciences and Technology (IJARBEST), Volume 6,Issue 2,February 2020,pp:61-68
Renewable Riches A Deep Dive into Economic Gains for Industries.pptxTapuwa Dangarembizi
A remarkable transformation is taking place within the intricate network of connected global economics and the growing embrace of environmental awareness, which directs the course toward renewable energy. This evolution represents more than just environmental preservation. It’s an intricate walk with economic opportunities, navigating an opportunity across the solar, the wind, the ebb and flow of hydroelectric, and the earth’s geothermal power.
Tapuwa Dangarembizi Navigating Tomorrow A Handbook for Crafting an Eco-Friend...Tapuwa Dangarembizi
In an era where ecological considerations dominate worldwide conversations, the pursuit of enduring energy solutions assumes unprecedented significance. As we find ourselves at the crossroads of energy alternatives, it becomes crucial not only to comprehend the necessity for sustainable energy but also to grasp the methods for shaping the future. In this article, we will explore the concept of Powering the Future How Tapuwa Dangarembizi Shapes Energy Sustainability, delving into a variety of subtopics that illuminate the path ahead.
Tapuwa Dangarembizi Prospects for Sustainable Energy Shaping Tomorrow's World...Tapuwa Dangarembizi
The forthcoming landscape of energy is undeniably entrenched in sustainability, constituting an indispensable cornerstone for preparing an improved global future. Renewable energy, an instrumental asset in combatting the looming climate crisis, concurrently yields substantial economic advantages, prominently manifesting as the creation of employment opportunities and catalyzing economic expansion.
Secure Supply USA FIlls the GREEN H2 Energy Storage and Mw Class Energy Generation application which provide's a unique place within the Hydrogen Council's project's.
www.securesupplyusa.com
Tapuwa Dangarembizi — The Green Blueprint Paving the Way for Sustainable Ener...Tapuwa Dangarembizi
In an age where our planet is grappling with the existential threat of climate change, and energy consumption shows no sign of slowing down, the concept of universally accessible sustainable energy has gained paramount importance. The Green Paradigm: Shifting to Sustainable Energy and Embracing Change indicates a promising trajectory, offering an all-encompassing plan to restructure energy systems, making them sustainable, accessible, and fair for all.
Transitioning Rural Communities to Renewable Energy: Challenges and SuccessesChristo Ananth
Christo Ananth, Rajini K R Karduri, "Transitioning Rural Communities to Renewable
Energy: Challenges and Successes", International Journal of Advanced Research in Basic Engineering Sciences and Technology (IJARBEST), Volume 8,Issue 5,May 2022,pp 48-54
Ten Energy System Dynamics and the Implications for Communications part 3 -...Burson-Marsteller China
Burson-Marsteller's China Chaired Global Energy Practice's third installment in the series Ten Energy System Dynamics - And the Implications for Global Energy Company Communications
Unlocking New Value Streams With Renewable Hybrids in MENATAndrsIsaza
Renewable Hybrids unlock new revenue and value streams for all stakeholders in the energy ecosystem, from developers to EPCs, O&M Contractors to Suppliers, and TSOs to policy makers. Hybrid renewable energy is a highly local form of power generation, this requires that each opportunity needs a tailored approach and an analysis of the local electricity landscape and regulation maximize the value streams.
Similar to Future of energy - Insights from Discussions Building on an Initial Perspective by Jeremy Bentham, VP Global Business Environment at Shell (20)
Future of Off-Premise Dining - Emerging View.pdfFuture Agenda
From ‘dark kitchens’ to ubiquitous delivery brands and grocery on-demand, where, what and how we all eat is undergoing significant and rapid change.
In a collaborative project, put together in partnership with McCain, we have been looking out to 2030 to explore and define how Off-Premise Dining might further evolve, and which of the multiple current trends are likely to stick? The emerging view is a first step toward answering the question. It reflects the key insights gathered from interviews and in-depth workshops with key industry stakeholders in Europe, the Americas and Asia, as well as the Future Agenda database and synthesised desk research.
The fight for future market share is already well underway, and significant bets are being placed on a wide range of future opportunities; from health-focused vending machines, through increasingly sophisticated mobile apps, to personalisation of food flavours. With so many significant shifts taking place simultaneously across the entire off-premise dining value chain, there will inevitably be winners and losers. We hope our insights can serve as a jumping off point for further discussion as to where the winners might emerge.
As with all Future Agenda projects, the aim is to challenge assumptions, identify emerging trends, and build an informed assessment of the changes ahead and their implications for strategy, policy, innovation and action.
If you’d like to be involved and add your views into the mix please do get in touch james.alexander@futureagenda.org
As companies and governments around the world grapple with accommodating changes in the workplace, the workforce and the nature of work itself, we are pleased to be continuing our Future of Work foresight programme. Building on previous global research undertaken over the past few years, we are now looking in depth at six pivotal issues that have been prioritised as areas of major potential change. These are digital skills, soft skills, reinventing roles, the blurring of work, green jobs and digital productivity. Initially taking a European focus, with the support of Amazon, over the next couple of months a series of expert digital workshops are exploring the core shifts ahead and their implications for organisations and wider policy.
This PDF sets the scene for the dialogue both within the workshops and more widely. If you would like to be involved or have comments on the potential changes ahead, do let us know and we can accommodate. As always all discussions are under the Chatham House Rule and so there is no attribution and, as we progress with each area, we will be sharing a synthesis of all new insights and recommendations over the rest of the year.
Future of asthma care a global expert view - summary - august 2021Future Agenda
Future of Asthma Care in 2030
Often hidden by many, asthma is a set of chronic conditions that will, some believe, impact around 1bn of us by the end of the decade. It will see new diagnostics, new treatments as well as gain new social and economic perspectives in many nations. As part of a global Open Foresight programme to bring together an informed outlook for all to use, this is a draft synthesis based on dialogue with 100 experts worldwide. At a time when lung health is front of mind for many, this is an important topic for our future health.
We are keen to understand your view on this. What do you agree with, what is missing and what may need an alternative perspective? Please do share any comments and feedback to douglas.jones@futureagenda.org and we will include everything in the final report that will made available later this year.
Future of work employability and digital skills march 2021Future Agenda
The Future of Work, Employability and Digital Skills
This interim summary identifies 50 key insights for the next decade on this critical topic. These open foresight findings are based on the results of 20 workshops and 150 interviews with over 400 informed experts from across academia, business and government conduced in the last 12 months. These were primarily across Europe, but also include views from US and SE Asia.
The varied discussions identified multiple key shifts that expected to have greatest impact over the next decade. The top 3 of these are seen as pivotal for society, for government, for employers and for future workers.
Building Digital Skills
Reinventing Roles
Developing Soft Skills
To build a richer, deeper view, we would very much welcome your feedback – especially on which shifts may deliver most benefit in the next ten years, and what is missing that ought to be included in the mix.
The UK in 2030 - An expert informed view on some key trendsFuture Agenda
At a time when there is much speculation on what the next twelve months may bring, some are also looking ahead to prepare for the longer term. What will the UK be like in 2030 when the nation is post-Covid, post-Brexit and post-Johnson? Now that vaccines are being rolled out and the initial outline hard Brexit deal has been done, how will the UK fair over the decade – economically, socially and demographically? What changes are already locked-in and what is open to future variation? Based on numerous discussions with a wide range of experts across the UK in late 2020, this document explores some of the key potential trends for the next decade and highlights where the UK may be heading.
Having a well-defined future view is never easy – particularly in times of uncertainty. However, if we can differentiate between the certain, the probable and the possible we can build a clearer picture of the future which may help to challenge assumptions. Since 2010, Future Agenda has been using open foresight to explore decade-long trends with a high degree of accuracy. The World in 2020, written in 2010 for example, accurately anticipated a range of developments such as a global pandemic, the challenges around data privacy, the scaling up of electric and autonomous vehicles, the widespread use of drones and the building impact of solar energy. All of these were anticipated through extensive expert dialogue across multiple disciplines to curate an integrated, informed perspectives which can be accessed by everyone.
We used a similar approach to explore the pivotal shifts ahead for the UK. Following multiple expert discussions including academics, regional and central government, social and business leaders, as well as the military, this document summarises eight areas of alignment about UK 2030 but also highlights three fields where there is substantial difference of opinion.
Our conversations identified eight core areas where we can have confidence that changes will take place. These trends are:
1. A Changing Demographic Mix
2. Accelerating to Zero Carbon
3. Improved Digital Connectivity
4. Declining Economic Influence
5. More Devolved Power
6. Rising Inequality
7. Emphasis on the Local
8. UK Leadership
Future of retail - Five key future trends - 9 Dec 2020Future Agenda
Future of Retail – Five Key Trends
The pandemic has accelerated change across many sectors – and especially retail. More online, less physical and empty malls have been evident globally. So what about the next ten years? What changes will continue to accelerate, which will rebalance, and which new ones will emerge?
Based on extensive dialogue with retail, tech and city leaders globally, this new point of view brings together the major shifts in the mix collated under five key trends – Reemphasis on the Local, Identity Insights, Automated Retail, Continuous Interaction and Informed Consumers.
Now being used to stimulate new thinking, innovation and strategy development in multiple projects around the world, this is being shared to continue dialogue on changes and impact.
We welcome your views @futureagenda
The third programme has taken place during 2020, engaging more experts on the pivotal shifts via virtual workshops and wider community debate.Here are ten issues that will provide future challenge and opportunity.
E7 Not G7
As global GDP rises, the seven largest emerging economies (E7) have increasing economic power. The relative influence of the old G7 Western powers declines.
Data Sovereignty
Large-population emerging economies see the protection of their data as a national priority. Wider data sharing is restricted to within national borders.
The Race to Net Zero
Cities, countries and companies compete to set the standards for the planet.Fully reducing emissions is central for energy, health and economic targets.
Electric Aviation
As the pressure to decarbonise aviation builds and technology challenges are addressed, using electric planes for short / medium-haul flights gathers support.
The Stakeholder Society
The shift from maximising shareholder value to a stakeholder focus accelerates. Organisations’ purpose, action and performance measurement realign.
Migrating Diseases
Health systems struggle to address the impact of climate change. The increased spread of ‘old’ vector-borne diseases challenge nations for whom they are ‘new’.
Peak Soil
After water and air quality, attention shifts to soil. It impacts everything from food and health to conflict and migration. Action follows deeper understanding.
True Personalisation
Ubiquitous facial recognition and digital identity combine with wider AI adoption to enable the creation and delivery of truly individualised experiences.
Resilience by Design
Global supply chains evolve to be more flexible, shared regional supply webs. Competitors access shared, not proprietary, networks and systems.
Proof of Immunity
Public concerns about health security override worries about privacy. Governments integrate immunity and health data with national identities.
More details on www.futureagenda.org
Future of work employability and digital skills nov 2020Future Agenda
Future of Work, Employability and Digital Skills
As the world of work changes, how will organisations, society and individuals adapt to ensure that the current and the next generation will be able to acquire the skills necessary for future jobs? Building on previous Future Agenda research that focussed on key policy areas primarily in the Asian market and, more recently, an updated outlook on the future of work and skills development developed in partnership with the University of Bristol, School of Management, we are very pleased to be starting a new phase of research. As well as an analysis of the future of work, this will specifically explore the shifting nature of employability and how and where digital skills will have impact.
Over the next few months, expert views from across Europe will be shared in order to develop a richer understanding of key issues and how they vary across different jurisdictions. As with all Future Agenda projects, the aim is to challenge assumptions, identify emerging trends and build an informed assessment of the changes ahead and their implications for policy and action.
If you would like to be involved and add your views into the mix, please get in touch.
Future of retail global trends summary nov 2020Future Agenda
This is an updated summary of 60 global trends that may impact the world of retail over the next decade. Multiple expert discussions across Asia, Europe, MENA and North America have developed and shared these insights that have been curated into ten key shifts.
As we finalise the future views before wider public sharing, we very much welcome your feedback on these and which may have greatest future impact.
douglas.jones@futureagenda.org
@futureagenda
The UK in 2030
In the midst of all the current uncertainty, many people are seeking greater clarity around how the future may unfold – both globally and locally. Therefore, as part of the World in 2030 project, we have curated a specific perspective on the UK in 2030.
As with all our Open Foresight projects, UK 2030 is built through dialogue with informed individuals holding alternative outlooks on how things may unfold. This PDF provides an initial collation of some of their views on what is certain, probable and possible. We will use it to initiate further period of consultation over the next month.
With this in mind we would very much welcome your thoughts – especially around the areas that you agree with, those you disagree with and your suggestions about what is missing. Your knowledge will add both richness and depth to this point of view. We will share an updated and more detailed summary before Christmas. The ambition is that this can then be used to both inform and challenge assumptions so we can all gain a clearer perspective on the future of the UK.
@futureagenda
london@futureagenda.org
The world's most innovative cities past present future - oct 2020Future Agenda
Cities are where innovation happens, where most ideas form and economic growth largely stems. For centuries, the world’s most innovative cities have been acting as global catalysts for change, and will continue to do so. As more cities seek to have impact over the next decades, we need to better understand what drives success and so identify those that may have greatest lasting impact.
APPROACH – Getting Clarity
Future Agenda has been conducting multiple discussions around the world on the future of cities (www.futureofcities.city). Our aim is to explore the range of views about what makes one city more successful, more influential and more innovative than other, and also consider key related issues such as the future of work, health, trade, trust, transport and data.
In addition, we have applied a similar modelling technique to those applied to Innovation Leaders which, for twenty years, has identified the companies that have been the best and most sustained innovators, in order to assess what potentially makes one city more innovative than another. Exploring multiple criteria, we have highlighted some core global catalysts for change.
To accompany a speech at the WRLDCTY event, this presentation shares some of the salient insights: It profiles some of most innovative cities of the past, identifying the key elements that contributed to their success, highlights some of the pivotal cities having greatest impact today, and, lastly, suggests ten cities for future global innovation leadership.
https://www.futureofcities.city
https://www.wrldcty.com
https://www.futureagenda.org/the-world-in-2030/
Data as an Asset – A Top Risk?
The concept of data being accounted for as an 'asset' is increasingly considered to be a top future risk. The fifth of our 2030 digital workshops in collaboration with The Conference Board explored varied potential data risks (Many thanks to Ellen Hexter and Sara Murray for organising).
Rated top by 50 business leaders for future impact, and second for likely change, was a foresight that “organisations will be obliged to account for what data they own or access. As such they will be required to regularly report on their full data portfolio.” (See attached PDF)
Particular concerns were raised on; how organisations will best assign value to their data; how it will be treated as an asset; who will audit this; whether ownership will be transferred with use and how, if valued, data will be taxed.
Some felt that by 2030 there will be guidelines, standards and frameworks in place – other were less convinced. Most however agreed that many business models will change.
To explore this topic more see section 4.6 in the global report on https://www.deliveringvaluethroughdata.org
Add your view via @futureagenda on twitter or via LinkedIn on https://www.linkedin.com/posts/innovationstrategy_future-data-risk-workshop-stimulus-activity-6714470359971700736-MunM
While some regions gain from better water management, much of the world’s population increasingly depend on water moved from one river basin to another. New options are explored to achieve this economically and with reduced socio-environmental damage.
As part of the World in 2030 global open foresight project, this point of view shares some perspective on changes ahead.
With climate change, increasing urbanisation, growing contamination, higher water consumption, more intensive farming and rising industrial use in many economies all having significant and combined impact, as the global population approaches 10 billion, but the net amount of water on the planet stays constant, concerns over water stress have been building. With 70% of water used for agriculture, a quarter of humanity is now facing a looming water crisis. A broadening range of urban areas need multiple innovations to provide water to cities throughout the year.
Although better water management and the decreasing cost of desalination are having impact in some regions, in many others, and especially for fast-growing inland cities, the task of ensuring continued water access is mounting. Simply moving water from one river basin to another is not straightforward. It is fraught with technological, environmental, economic and socio-political challenge. There are however several developments underway to enable more effective long-distance movement of water – some focused on building new infrastructure at scale and others looking to imaginatively repurpose existing assets to help meet the inevitable future demand.
Share your views @futureagenda
Future of hospital design initial perspective - sept 2020Future Agenda
Hospitals of the Future
In partnership with Mott MacDonald we are exploring how hospital design will change in the next decade. Building on insights gained from multiple healthcare expert workshops around the world, this is an initial perspective that share some key thoughts on how and where we may see most change. Starting with context on shifts in healthcare more generally, from slide 28 onwards it includes 22 proposals for future design focus. These range from hub and spoke ecosystems and post-Covid reconfiguration to more flexible spaces and the impact of digital theatres.
As part of a global Open Foresight programme, we are now sharing these views to gain feedback for inclusion in a more detailed point of view that will be published later in the year. If you would like to add in your opinions on which issues will be driving most change in hospitals of the future, we would welcome input either directly to us by email (tim.jones@futureagenda.rg) or via this short survey: https://www.surveymonkey.co.uk/r/J9S8SB6
Many thanks in advance for your collaboration on another key topic for future change.
Future Risk: 12 Key Issues for Insurance in the Next DecadeFuture Agenda
The insurance sector is facing major change - from both within and outside. What will be the major shifts over the next decade that have greatest impact? As part of the World in 2030 project, this is an initial view of 12 major trends that will influence insurance globally - looking across data shifts, market trends and in-sector innovations.
What do you think? Which will have greatest impact? Will it be automatic insurance? or N=1 personalisation?
Let us know your views and we can include them in an updated foresight in the next month or so.
Get in touch via douglas.jones@futureagenda.org
For more on The World in 2030 see: https://www.futureagenda.org/the-world-in-2030/
Porous Organisations
Here is our latest 2030 foresight.
This time we focus on the challenges for the future of work. Increasing competition for talent forces organisations to open their doors to a growing number of independent workers. This makes it difficult to maintain corporate knowledge and becomes a challenge for business big and small. In a highly volatile and increasingly complex landscape, many must learn how to manage a seamless flow of knowledge and ideas so they can adapt to changing customer demands, ensure capabilities are maintained and keep the doors to innovation open. Looking ahead, it seems that only the wealthiest and most attractive organisations (in the main technology companies) will be able to retain the loyalty of their employees. For everyone else, building and preserving corporate know-how within increasingly porous organisational boundaries will become a priority. As ever your thoughts and provocations are very welcome.
To access via website https://www.futureagenda.org/foresights/porous-organisations/
New solid-state batteries offer safer, higher performance than existing options and become viable options for use across multiple sectors. Competitive pricing and proactive policymaking accelerate global uptake.
This foresight is part of the World in 2030 project exploring the key global shifts for the next decade - https://www.futureagenda.org/the-world-in-2030/
Battery development has become a priority area for a broadening range of companies in recent years. Significant investment is underway as a number of new technologies compete for fast-growing markets. Five years ago, we identified that energy storage was the missing piece of the renewables jigsaw: “If solved, it can enable truly distributed solar energy as well as accelerate the electrification of the transport industry.” Today, as economies focus on faster decarbonisation and increasing electrification, particularly in transportation, the speed of new battery development has become a central issue for many researchers, policy makers, investors and companies.
Why is this? If we can get significantly more energy from a lighter, more compact, but affordable battery then the implications are enormous. Not only will this accelerate the adoption of electric vehicles by extending their range and providing a cheap way to store renewable, particularly low cost solar, energy, but it will also release a host of new developments in other areas from wearable electronics to electric planes, drones and scooters.
Given the demand for high performing batteries is building, it is hardly surprising that there is as much focus today on creating the batteries of tomorrow as there was when the first rechargeable battery was invented 160 years ago: according to a USPTO search in the past decade or so over 200,000 battery related patents have been issued. The rush to deliver the next generation technology is bringing together a host of new partnerships and foremost in many discussions is the potential impact of solid-state batteries. Within the next decade these could become the catalysts for substantial and lasting change across many sectors.
Soil is fundamental, fragile and finite. It impacts everything from food and health to conflict and migration. Deeper understanding of its degradation raises the significance of soil to equal that of climate change and biodiversity loss.
We know that the quality of our soil is the key to the food we grow, the clothes we wear and the water we drink. It recycles nutrients, sequesters carbon, is fundamental to biodiversity, helps keep our ecosystems in balance and is an essential part of our general wellbeing. But, although soil represents the difference between survival and extinction for most terrestrial life, human activities have caused it harm leading to compaction, loss of structure, nutrient degradation, increasing salinity and denuding landscapes. Furthermore, the urgent need to preserve soil receives relatively little attention from governments. An unsung hero of our planet, it is fragile, infinitely important and finite. Why do we treat it with such disregard?
As part of the World in 2030 programme, this foresight explores the future of soil and the stresses ahead https://www.futureagenda.org/foresights/peaksoil/
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Future of energy - Insights from Discussions Building on an Initial Perspective by Jeremy Bentham, VP Global Business Environment at Shell
1. The
Future
of
Energy
Insights
from
Discussions
Building
on
an
Ini4al
Perspec4ve
by:
Jeremy
Bentham
|
Vice
President
Global
Business
Environment
|
Shell
2. Context
The
ini4al
perspec4ve
on
the
Future
of
Energy
kicked
off
the
Future
Agenda
2.0
global
discussions
taking
place
through
2015.
This
summary
builds
on
the
ini4al
view
and
is
updated
as
we
progress.
Ini4al
Perspec4ves
Q4
2014
Global
Discussions
Q1/2
2015
Insight
Synthesis
Q3
2015
Sharing
Output
Q4
2015
3. Inevitable
Transi8on
The
energy
system
is
at
the
beginning
of
an
inevitable
transi4on,
with
increasing
contribu4ons
from
renewable
energy,
energy
efficiency
and
sustainable
development.
4. Popula8on
and
Climate
The
two
fundamental
and
strongest
influences
behind
the
energy
system
transi4on
is
an
increasingly
prosperous
and
growing
popula4on,
and
concerns
about
climate
change.
5. Transi8on
or
Delay?
The
debate
is
polarized
on
many
fronts,
for
example
between
the
governments
of
advanced
and
emerging
economies.
This
delays
meaningful
ac4on
at
scale,
and
in
the
mean4me
the
stresses
con4nue
to
mount.
6. Fuelling
Prosperity
The
benefits
of
energy
cannot
be
forgoXen.
It
is
one
of
the
enablers
of
our
prosperity
and
wellbeing,
and
you
cannot
have
a
func4oning,
produc4ve,
efficient,
modern
economy
without
reliable
energy.
7. Less
Carbon
-‐
More
Energy
The
climate
change
debate
is
serious
but
needs
to
be
broader,
focused
not
solely
on
reducing
CO2
emissions,
but
on
developing
a
low
carbon,
high-‐energy
future
to
ensure
prosperity
for
all.
8. Collabora8on
and
Trade-‐Offs
To
bring
about
a
shi[
and
to
broaden
the
frame
of
discussion,
pragma4c
collabora4on
is
needed,
between
government,
society
and
industry
at
an
unprecedented
scale.
9. Extended
Period
of
Transi8on
An
extended
period
of
co-‐evolu4on
and
co-‐existence
of
renewables
and
fossil
fuels
is
likely
as
new
energy
infrastructures
supplement
or
supplant
old.
10. Modera8ng
Expecta8ons
We
need
to
moderate
our
expecta4ons
of
a
wholly
renewable
energy
future
in
the
near
term
with
the
understanding
that
there
are
significant
technological
and
economic
obstacles.
11. Urbanisa8on
Urbanisa4on
can
bring
many
benefits,
but
if
managed
poorly
can
cause
greater
environmental
degrada4on
and
accelerate
global
warming.
12. Serious
Change
Required
Serious
aXen4on,
op4mism
and
swi[
collabora4ve
ac4on
is
needed
to
achieve
the
change
needed
to
happen
on
many
fronts,
from
the
energy
supply
mix
to
energy
demand
management
13. A
ShiJ
from
Unexpected
Players
Agreement
between
China
and
the
US
is
a
tes4mony
for
unexpected
ac4ons
by
powerful
players.
To
bring
about
the
4pping
point
for
a
low
carbon
future,
greater,
bold
collabora4on
at
scale
is
needed.
14. Transi8on
From
Natural
Gas
to
Renewables
Increasing
investment
on
renewables,
improving
technology,
falling
prices
and
growing
awareness
all
support
transi4on
to
a
low
carbon
future,
but
a
clear
exit
strategy
is
needed
for
natural
gas
as
a
transi4on
fuel
to
renewables.
15. Storage
is
Promising
and
Game-‐changing
There
is
a
lot
of
emphasis
on
the
development
of
storage
technologies.
Besides
solving
the
problem
of
power
intermiXency
from
renewables,
energy
storage
offers
poten4al
for
the
development
of
a
whole
new
mobile
energy
system.
16. Energy
Efficiency
–
The
Invisible
Fuel
The
cheapest
and
cleanest
form
of
energy
is
the
energy
we
don’t
use.
Adop4on
of
effec4ve
energy
efficiency
measures
and
careful
management
of
energy
demand
will
play
a
key
role
in
crea4ng
a
clean,
low
cost
energy
future.
17. Leapfrogging
to
a
Low
Carbon
Future
Driven
by
technological
improvements
in
the
low
carbon
energy
sector,
developing
countries
can
leapfrog
their
way
into
lower
carbon
economies
without
passing
through
an
intense
fossil
fuels
phase.
18. Rise
of
the
Micro-‐Actors
We
can
see
a
blurring
of
energy
consumers
and
producers
–
to
‘prosumers’
who
do
both.
Hence
a
move
to
mul4ple
micro-‐actors
working
individually
and
collec4vely
-‐
supported
by
new
technological
developments,
including
storage.
19. Hydro
Revival
In
response
to
rising
CO2
and
pollu4on
as
well
as
associated
health
concerns,
China
will
con4nue
to
influence
the
funding
and
willingness
to
build
large-‐scale
hydro
solu4ons,
especially
in
the
developing
world.
20. Demand-‐Driven
Energy
The
energy
system
will
become
more
demand-‐driven
than
supply-‐led
as
more
distributed
genera4on
and
renewables
are
included
onto
the
system.
End-‐user
behaviour
will
also
change
as
beXer
technology
becomes
available.
21. BeRer
Storage
Improvements
in
baXery
and
hydrogen
energy
storage
make
renewable
energy
more
reliable
and
so
accelerate
electric
vehicle
growth
and
support
greater
distributed
genera4on.
This
has
the
poten4al
to
enable
a
behaviour
change.
22. Solar
Houses
A
solar
cost
and
performance
revolu4on
will
reshape
residen4al
energy
provision
and,
coupled
with
beXer
baXeries,
storage
and
online
connec4vity,
will
thus
transform
the
wider
electricity
system.
23. Conscious
Users
Domes4c
energy
use
paXerns
change
as
a
result
of
rising
social
awareness
of
limited
resources
and
beXer
informa4on
-‐
enabled
by
technologies
such
as
smart
metering,
smart
household
appliances
and
new
monitoring
capabili4es.
24. Nuclear
Skills
Shortage
Many
countries
lack
the
skills
and
training
to
maintain
sufficient
numbers
of
qualified
nuclear
engineers
needed
for
renova4ng
and
building
plants
–
and
hence
they
can’t
take
advantage
of
the
opportuni4es
that
nuclear
offers.
25. Conscious
Stewards
We
are
more
aware
of
the
consequences
of
our
ac4ons:
There
is
a
sense
of
stewardship
of
the
world
-‐
not
only
in
how
we
manage
our
home,
but
also
in
how
we
live
in
our
ecosystem.
We
start
to
behave
as
conscious
stewards.
26. Smarter
Consump8on
Much
technology
for
energy
efficiency
is
proven
and
implementable
today.
In
the
future
governments
will
first
focus
on
gedng
the
basics
of
demand
side
right
-‐
by
reducing
consump4on
before
inves4ng
heavily
in
renewable
energy.
27. Millennial
Managers
As
more
digital-‐na4ve
Millennials
take
the
lead
they
bring
different
perspec4ves,
experiences
and
expecta4ons
about
societal
challenges
and
the
role
of
organisa4ons.
This
drives
a
shi[
towards
a
deeper
sense
of
purpose.
28. Business
Response
to
Resource
Risks
To
prevent
the
exploita4on
of
global
regulatory
arbitrage,
we
work
out
how
to
more
effec4vely
govern
the
global
footprint
to
create
a
level
playing
field:
Business
and
government
develop
new
models
to
manage
risk.
29. Incumbent
Blockers
Several
large,
well-‐established
organisa4ons
con4nue
to
seek
to
prevent
change
by
arguing
for
short-‐term
incremental
shi[s
rather
than
wider,
more
collabora4ve
system-‐based
change
that
may
benefit
society
in
the
long-‐term.
30. No
Nukes
to
Go
Nukes
More
see
nuclear
energy
as
a
significant
piece
of
the
future
energy
mix
-‐
driven
by
collec4ve
inac4on
on
the
need
to
transi4on
away
from
fossil
fuels.
But
many
are
unprepared
with
regard
to
skills,
policy
and
public
debate.
31. Infrastructure
for
the
Future?
We
will
see
a
transi4on
from
aged
to
new
infrastructures
designed
to
manage
and
distribute
energy
from
diverse
sources
of
power
genera4on.
A
ques4on
is
whether
this
will
leave
a
new
legacy
problem
for
the
next
genera4on.
32. Let
Them
Eat
Cake
The
short-‐term
impacts
of
climate
change
dispropor4onately
affect
the
world’s
poor.
This
delays
strong
ac4on
as,
collec4vely,
many
socie4es
simply
don't
(yet)
care
enough
about
them
to
drive
changes
in
the
global
energy
system.
33. New
Hazards,
New
Protocols
Regulatory
frameworks
and
standards
evolve
to
address
new
kinds
of
energy
hazard
that
are
emerging
from
the
adop4on
of
technologies
such
as
residen4al
baXeries
for
energy
storage
and
localised,
power
genera4on
schemes.
34. Planetary
Nexuses
More
eco-‐friendly
opportuni4es,
and
trade-‐offs,
on
energy
supply
and
use
emerge
from
considering
the
nexuses
of
core
resources
such
as
food,
water,
energy
and
land
with
a
growing
popula4on.
Water
Food
Land
Energy
35. People
Power
Public
demand
and
pressure
for
different
solu4ons
drive
a
more
technocra4c
energy
environment
resul4ng
in
more
holis4c
policies
that
integrate
the
needs
of
different
stakeholders
and
manage
resources
more
effec4vely.
36. Policy
Beats
Poli8cs
Increased
public
pressure
stems
from
greater
awareness
of
more
stringent
emission
reduc4on
targets
in
some
countries.
This
starts
to
influence
poli4cal
will
in
others
na4ons
and
so
helps
to
shi[
policy
globally.
37. Transi8on
or
Disrup8on
We
will
see
significant
change
in
the
energy
system
over
the
next
decade.
But,
we
are
unsure
if
it
will
be
navigated
in
ways
that
minimize
impact
on
society,
or
whether
we
will
experience
a
series
of
disrup4ons
to
respond
to.
38. Technology
Shaping
the
Market
The
cost
compe44veness
of
new
technologies
leads
to
the
development
of
new
policies
and
business
models
that
enable
the
accelera4on
of
renewables,
growth
in
distributed
genera4on
and
a
shi[
to
a
lower
carbon
energy
mix.
39. Changing
Energy
Risk
Profile
The
impact
of
natural
disasters,
wider
acceptance
of
the
need
to
avoid
a
warmer
world
and
increased
risk
of
cyber-‐crime
to
our
infrastructure
all
lead
to
a
deeper
understanding
of
the
risk
profile
of
different
energy
solu4ons.
40. Unclear
Analy8cal
Models
Current
analy4cal
models
may
not
handle
disrup4ve
elements
entering
the
energy
sector
-‐
and
so
may
provide
results
that
do
not
fully
reflect
poten4al
shi[s
in
the
speed
of
change
and
impacts
of
disrup4ons
and
discon4nui4es.
41. ShiJ
in
The
Investment
Landscape
As
renewable
/
storage
technologies
become
cost
compe44ve
we
may
see
a
shi[
in
investment
sen4ment
towards
cleaner
energy
solu4ons
based
more
on
poten4al
financial
returns
rather
than
on
the
carbon
vs.
climate
debate.
42. Integra8on
vs.
Fragmenta8on
While
the
EU
2030
framework
is
designed
to
lead
to
an
energy
system
that
is
more
compe44ve,
secure
and
sustainable,
there
are
also
driving
forces
that
might
lead
to
a
more
fragmented,
distributed
energy
system.
43. Closing
the
Narra8ve
Gap
We
focus
on
sharing
a
clear,
compelling
narra4ve
that
engages
different
audiences,
helps
to
improve
energy
literacy
and
builds
the
case
for
change.
This
may
lead
to
beXer
policy
decisions
and
shi[s
in
consumer
behaviour.
44. Air
Quality
As
more
experience
asthma
and
other
breathing
difficul4es,
urban
air
quality
becomes
a
visible
issue
and
a
major
catalyst
for
change
–
in
transport
policy,
in
energy
source
and
in
city
design.
45. Last
Mile
Grid
Connec8vity
Private
/
public
collabora4ons
give
another
100m
people
in
India
access
to
electricity
via
connec4on
to
the
grid
-‐
but
250m
people
con4nue
to
use
wood,
diesel
and
kerosene
to
cook
and
light
their
homes.
46. Mass
Engagement
As
the
pressures
of
higher
energy
costs,
the
impacts
of
climate
change
and
the
need
for
universal
access
combine,
shi[s
in
behaviour
and
investment
are
driven
by
wider
public
awareness
of
energy
issues.
47. Distributed
Energy
Supply
Key
developing
economies
invest
heavily
in
lower-‐carbon,
distributed
energy
with
integrated
storage
to
deliver
more
reliable
and
affordable
power.
This
is
supported
by
beXer
market
pricing
and
smarter
subsidies.
48. Declining
Energy
Intensity
As
major
growth
regions
invest
in
lower-‐carbon
supply
op4ons
and
priori4se
energy
efficiency,
we
see
an
associated
decline
in
energy
intensity
in
the
economy
–
achieving
reduc4ons
of
up
to
10%
over
the
next
decade.
49. Future
Agenda
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