From debate to action:
engaging government, business
and consumers in tackling the
causes and consequences of
climate change
             Jane Milne
             Association of British Insurers
Summer 2007
Anticipated insurance losses

             Climate change and UK weather damage

   18
   16
   14                                               Today Average year
   12
   10
    8                                               2040-2060s Average
    6                                               year
    4
£ billion p.a.
    2
    0                                               Today Extreme year

                                                    2040-2060s Extreme
                 Storm                              year
   Subsidence            Inland flood
                                    Coastal flood
Adaptation responses needed
     •Habitable housing
     •Flexible commercial
                     buildings
     •Risk based development
     •Reliable transportation
     •Secure energy supplies
     •Safe and secure water
                     supplies
     •Well educated workforce
     •Healthy people
     •Resilient trading
                     partners
Which of these events is most important?
(YouGov, August 2007, 2012 respondents)


Flooding                            85%   16%

Drought/water restrictions          57%   32%

Heatwaves                           40%   27%

Increased hay fever                 28%   21%

Subsidence                          26%   8%

Windstorms                          23%   14%
What are you prepared to do to manage
       your risk?
       (YouGov, August 2007, 2012 respondents)


Measures against: Average           Most ‘at     Most active
                  UK                risk’ region region
Flooding   (16%)      26% (12%)        23%          32%

Heatwaves    (27%)    43%   (21%)      53%          53%

Subsidence    (8%)      24%            20%          26%

Windstorms    (23%)   59%   (35%)      67%          67%
Who would you trust to give you advice on
  protecting your home from bad weather?
  (YouGov, August 2007, 2012 respondents)


Government                         33%      84%
Environment Agency                 61%
Local authorities                  39%      64%
Fire and Police Services           57%
Insurers                           22%      51%
Mortgage lenders                   8%
Water companies                    21%
Gas companies                      12 %
Customers’ needs –
        personal lines
• Two thirds of people
say preventing climate
change is their
responsibility
• Around 6 out of 10
people say protecting the
UK from climate change
is their responsibility
• Around 4 out of 10
customers say they want
climate-friendly products
Engaging with government
           • EU Adaptation Green paper
           and UK Adaptation
                       Framework
           • UK Climate Change Bill
           • UK Government Spending
                             Review
           • Thames and Humber
                             strategies
           • Housing Green Paper
           • Code for Sustainable
                             Homes
Customers’ needs -
       commercial
• Only one quarter of SMEs
think climate change will affect
their business…..
…..but two thirds of those which
have suffered a flood said their
insurers helped them deal with it

• 98 of the FTSE100 identify
climate change as a business
threat (80% of FTSE500)
New market opportunities
£450m-£1.3bn p.a. in industrial
renewables


        £33.5bn carbon trading
        market could give rise to
        a significant insurance
        market, including
        guarantees for CDM
        delivery


          Higher uptake of Household
          and SME insurance
Communicating climate risks
•   People identify with local, recent events that
    they can imagine happening to them
•   They deal with the ‘here and now’ and act if
    everyone else is acting
•   They look to sources of authority for advice,
    especially in a crisis
•   Politicians are nervous about getting too far
    ahead of their electorates – and business
    cannot ignore customers’ wishes
•   Journey together
An industry initiative
• Lead in risk analysis –   • Incorporate climate
and share our research      change into our
                            investment strategies
•Inform public policy
                            •Reduce the
making
                            environmental impact
                            of our business
•Support climate
awareness amongst our       •Report and be
customers                   accountable
www.abi.org.uk/climatechange

www.abi.org.uk/flooding

www.climatewise.org.uk

From debate to action SHIFT07 Oct 07

  • 1.
    From debate toaction: engaging government, business and consumers in tackling the causes and consequences of climate change Jane Milne Association of British Insurers
  • 2.
  • 3.
    Anticipated insurance losses Climate change and UK weather damage 18 16 14 Today Average year 12 10 8 2040-2060s Average 6 year 4 £ billion p.a. 2 0 Today Extreme year 2040-2060s Extreme Storm year Subsidence Inland flood Coastal flood
  • 4.
    Adaptation responses needed •Habitable housing •Flexible commercial buildings •Risk based development •Reliable transportation •Secure energy supplies •Safe and secure water supplies •Well educated workforce •Healthy people •Resilient trading partners
  • 5.
    Which of theseevents is most important? (YouGov, August 2007, 2012 respondents) Flooding 85% 16% Drought/water restrictions 57% 32% Heatwaves 40% 27% Increased hay fever 28% 21% Subsidence 26% 8% Windstorms 23% 14%
  • 6.
    What are youprepared to do to manage your risk? (YouGov, August 2007, 2012 respondents) Measures against: Average Most ‘at Most active UK risk’ region region Flooding (16%) 26% (12%) 23% 32% Heatwaves (27%) 43% (21%) 53% 53% Subsidence (8%) 24% 20% 26% Windstorms (23%) 59% (35%) 67% 67%
  • 7.
    Who would youtrust to give you advice on protecting your home from bad weather? (YouGov, August 2007, 2012 respondents) Government 33% 84% Environment Agency 61% Local authorities 39% 64% Fire and Police Services 57% Insurers 22% 51% Mortgage lenders 8% Water companies 21% Gas companies 12 %
  • 8.
    Customers’ needs – personal lines • Two thirds of people say preventing climate change is their responsibility • Around 6 out of 10 people say protecting the UK from climate change is their responsibility • Around 4 out of 10 customers say they want climate-friendly products
  • 9.
    Engaging with government • EU Adaptation Green paper and UK Adaptation Framework • UK Climate Change Bill • UK Government Spending Review • Thames and Humber strategies • Housing Green Paper • Code for Sustainable Homes
  • 10.
    Customers’ needs - commercial • Only one quarter of SMEs think climate change will affect their business….. …..but two thirds of those which have suffered a flood said their insurers helped them deal with it • 98 of the FTSE100 identify climate change as a business threat (80% of FTSE500)
  • 11.
    New market opportunities £450m-£1.3bnp.a. in industrial renewables £33.5bn carbon trading market could give rise to a significant insurance market, including guarantees for CDM delivery Higher uptake of Household and SME insurance
  • 12.
    Communicating climate risks • People identify with local, recent events that they can imagine happening to them • They deal with the ‘here and now’ and act if everyone else is acting • They look to sources of authority for advice, especially in a crisis • Politicians are nervous about getting too far ahead of their electorates – and business cannot ignore customers’ wishes • Journey together
  • 13.
    An industry initiative •Lead in risk analysis – • Incorporate climate and share our research change into our investment strategies •Inform public policy •Reduce the making environmental impact of our business •Support climate awareness amongst our •Report and be customers accountable
  • 14.