BATTLAX RF

Safe and Fuel-Efficient Run-Flat Motorcycle Tyres




                   Bridgestone




                   Prepared for

           PROFESSOR KAPIL R. TULI




                Proposal Submitted

                       by

          Chan Chun Yin Glen (S8851261H)

                     Group 1




                 29 February 2012
Executive Summary

Bridgestone is the world’s largest tyre and rubber company with a global reach. It can

leverage on its reputation of being a reliable leader in the tyre industry, and its existing

research and technology to launch Battlax RF in Thailand. Battlax RF caters to street

motorcycles. It has the desirable attributes of comfort, fuel efficiency and safety. In the event

of a tyre pressure loss, these tyres can enable the rider to travel to the nearest service centre to

seek assistance; eliminating occurrences of riders being stranded by the roadside.

In Thailand, the increasing span of treacherous unpaved roads is coupled with the rise in

motorcycle numbers. This brings about potential prospects for Bridgestone. Income

projections are promising, with the 5-year NPV at $57,834,989 and 10-year NPV at

$125,531,521. More importantly, costs are lowered due to existing tyre production platforms

present in the company. This project holds future prospects of expanding into neighboring

markets such as China, where high motorcycle death rates and bad road conditions are

prevalent. To sum it up, Battlax RF is a lucrative venture that is in line with Bridgestone’s

mission of providing quality products to consumers.

Introduction

Bridgestone has the vision of being the top tyre and rubber company worldwide. To stay

ahead amongst stiff competition in the tyre industry, Bridgestone needs to move beyond

serving its existing markets and cater its products to fulfill further needs.

Thailand’s Treacherous Roads

Recent statistics from the World Health Organization (WHO) has shown an alarmingly large

number of road fatalities globally.1 In Thailand, 70% of road fatalities are motorcyclists

(Exhibit A1). The main cause for fatal accidents is the loss of control of the motorcycles.

This stems from tyre blowouts and traction-loss. The occurrence of such incidents increases


1
    http://www.who.int/gho/road_safety/en/index.html
drastically when road conditions are bad.2 Thailand’s roads have failed to keep up with rising

vehicle ownership, thus leading to rapid road deterioration. As a result, motorcyclists are

more vulnerable to accidents. Regrettably, the span of such roads has increased over the

years (Exhibit A2).

Solution for a Safer Ride

Bridgestone now has the best ever opportunity to take the elements of safety and convenience

to the next level by introducing Battlax RF- motorcycle tyres which are safe, efficient and

provide users with added convenience, in the event of a motorcycle breakdown. The

successful launch of this innovative product will allow the company to present itself as being

passionate about bringing quality products to their consumers and ensuring their safety.

Therefore, Bridgestone needs to seize this opportunity to benefit from the first-mover

advantage and this can be achieved by launching Battlax RF in Thailand.

Body

Product- Motorcycle Run-Flat Tyres

Battlax RF is Bridgestone’s new generation of motorcycle tyres which provide safety and

convenience to motorcyclists. This will be the first-of-its-kind sold commercially and it will

cater to street motorcycles. Previously, motorcycle run-flat tyres were only manufactured for

security forces, such as the United States of America police department’s motorcycle fleet.

These tyres boast of the ability to prevent blowouts and can enable the rider to maintain

control in the event of a tyre pressure loss. Stability is of utmost importance to motorcyclists

when navigating roads which are not well-maintained. Moreover, the tough sidewalls of the

tyre increases the tyres’ rolling capability. In turn, it increases fuel efficiency. Bearing in

mind that fuel prices are forecasted to increase in the future, we can foresee motorcyclists

seeking fuel-efficient products.


2
    http://motoring.asiaone.com/Motoring/News/Story/A1Story20101231-255764.html
Product- Support Network

At present, Thailand has an excellent run-flat tyre network for its car tyres, situated in 63

locations around the country. Bridgestone can utilize these networks to provide support for its

motorcycle run-flat tyres. In the event of a tyre pressure loss, these existing support networks3

will be within range for motorcyclists to seek assistance.

Place

Battlax RF will be available at all 142 Bridgestone distributors in Thailand. 4 These

distributors are spread throughout the entire country, and are mostly located along major

transport networks. Hence, it facilitates availability and visibility for Bridgestone’s new

product.

Promotion

Advertising channels include the use of social media, traditional mass media and billboards to

create awareness. Free trials of Battlax RF can be given to brand champions to generate hype

and word-of-mouth. This can be coupled with the promotion of allowing motorcyclists to

exchange their existing tyres with a brand new set of Battlax RF tyres, at a discounted price

of $200 (Annex B).

Battlax RF will also be promoted to motorcycle manufacturers such as Honda. The adoption

of these tyres will add value to their motorcycles. They can be seen as offering motorcycles

which are equipped with the latest tyre technology.

Price

Battlax RF is compatible with all street motorcycle models available in Thailand.5 The

average price for a standard set of tyres (both front and rear) is $350. In order to encourage

motorcycle manufacturers to adopt this new product, a 15% discount is given. They are able

to procure the tyre sets at an average pricing of $300.

3
  http://www.bridgestone.co.th/th/service_network/service_network_result_rft.aspx
4
  http://www.bridgestone.co.th/th/service_network/service_network_result_cockpit.aspx
5
  http://www.motorcycle.in.th/wiki/doku.php/motorcycle/motorcycle_brands_available_in_thailand
Financial Analysis

The following analysis is based on a conservative outlook. Thailand’s market indicates

potential annual sales of 132,240 tyre sets, in the first year (Annex C). This translates into

$43.9 million worth of sales. With the launch of its next generation tyre series, Bridgestone is

expected to have a breakeven on its investment within two years (Exhibit D1). Moreover, this

project has an astounding five year NPV of above $57 million (Annex D). Bridgestone’s

prevailing brand power and technological advantage will drive demand for its tyres, with end-

user demand forecasted to grow by 0.5% yearly. Consequently, a 194% return on investment

can be anticipated in year 5.

Operational Risks

The integrity of Battlax RF tyres must be of utmost importance. As the product will be

marketed to ensure the riders’ safety on treacherous roads, care must be taken to ascertain

that they fulfill the value proposition. Otherwise, Bridgestone will lose the trust of its

consumers and suffer a loss of credibility. In the recent years, there have been lawsuit cases

against tyre companies. These cases stem from incidents of defective tyres causing fatal

accidents or serious injuries to motorcyclists.6

Therefore, intensive product testing is necessary. Battlelax RF will be put through

internationally recognized testing procedures to verify the capabilities and safety of the tyres.

This will be carried out in laboratories under controlled conditions and adhering to the strict

guidelines of ISO 10230:20037.

The product will also be accompanied with guidelines for proper usage to ensure that

consumers are aware of the product’s thresholds (Annex E). Distributors will also be

educated to install the appropriate tyres onto motorcycles and to provide advice to end-users




6
    http://www.unsafemotorcycles.com/motorcycle_crash_news.html
7
    http://www.iso.org/iso/iso_catalogue/catalogue_tc/catalogue_detail.htm?csnumber=37790
regarding usage. This warrants optimal performance of the tyres. Consequently, it also

protects the company from any legal action, should the product fail due to misuse.

Lastly, Bridgestone can maintain an open channel to receive feedback and handle complains

for its product. This way, the company can show that it is proactively connecting with its

customers, resulting in high brand resonance. Studies have shown that this instills customer

loyalty.

Competition

At present, Bridgestone does not face any competition in terms of street motorcycle run-flat

tyres. Dunlop has tried developing run-flats (Dunlop Special D402 PT) for Harley Davidson

police motorcycles in United States of America. However, their tyres compromised

efficiency and comfort for safety. Hence, it was not sold to the mass market.

Bridgestone’s competition in Thailand will mainly originate from the normal street

motorcycle tyres which are being sold by popular brands such as Dunlop, Pirelli, Michelin

and Continental. Thus, it is important to aggressively market Battlax RF to encourage trial.

Customers will then be convinced of the benefits which Battlax RF provides. An analysis of

Bridgestone’s competitors (Annex F) revealed that the average USD$350 price tag for a set

of tyres is very competitive, considering the benefits and quality which customers are getting

from their purchase.

Conclusion

With the introduction of Battlax RF, Bridgestone’s next generation of motorcycle tyres, the

company can show the world that Bridgestone is fulfilling its mission of serving society with

superior quality products. Bridgestone will generate returns beyond the tangible amounts of

above $57 million and it has the potential to break into the China market thereafter. With the

use of creative pioneering, Bridgestone will also be one step ahead of all its competitors in

terms of providing convenience to users and ensuring their safety.
Annex A

Road conditions in Thailand




                              Exhibit A1




                              Exhibit A2
Annex B

Product Trial & Awareness Campaign

Advertising channels which create awareness will revolve around two themes.

1) Superior tyre quality and efficiency


Advertisements will portray Battlax RF as the choice of professional Thai motorcycle racers

due to attributes such as riding comfort, safety, road grip and rolling capability.

2) Safety


Shock advertising will be used to great effect. They will show realistic scenes of crashes due

to tyre blowouts. These graphic scenes depict loss-of-control resulting in serious injuries.

According to psychological studies, such advertising ought to be accompanied by a solution,

so as to avoid viewers going into the state of issue avoidance. Bridgestone’s Battlax RF tyres

will be shown as the solution. In addition, the advertisement will also feature the attribute of

convenience.

Product trial will be carried out in two stages.

The first stage begins five weeks before product launch. A selection for brand champions will

be publicly announced and interested parties are invited to apply Applications are to be

accompanied with reasons explaining why they should be selected for the trial. Bridgestone

will then select 500 people, who have wide social networks, vast digital footprints or

influence, for the trial. This way, there is a higher probability that word-of-mouth regarding

the product, is spread to an extensive audience. Word-of-mouth is expected to spread through

friends and via social media (blogs, Facebook, forums).

The next stage begins after the product is officially launched in Thailand. The first 5000

motorcyclists will be able to exchange their existing tyres for a brand new set of Battlax RF

tyres at a price of $200. This promotion creates awareness and reduces consumers’ costs of

trial.
Annex C

A-T-A-R Model

Market Size                                    13,000,000
Awareness                                      60%
Availability                                   60%
Affordability                                  9%
Trial                                          20%


Assumptions and ATAR Derivation
i) Market Size: 13,000,000

  -     Number of motorcycles registered in Thailand: 16,581,174 (refer to Exhibit C1)




                                            Exhibit C1

   -     Since there are 18,822,000 households (refer to Exhibit C2) and 16,581,174 registered

   motorcycles. We assume that one household has an average of one motorcycle, for

   households with annual disposable incomes of USD$2500 and above.

* In order to account for the households who do not wish to equip their motorcycles with

tyres that account for more than 40% the overall vehicle cost, the estimate was conservatively

multiplied by a factor of 0.8 and rounded down (to the nearest million).




                                              Exhibit C2
ii) Awareness: 60%

    -   Thailand’s has effective advertising channels. Television alone has 93% consumer

        penetration daily and cable television has 30 million viewers.

    -   Word-of-mouth regarding new motorcycle products is also likely as Thailand is known

        as a country which has a motorcycle culture. Moreover, there are multiple online

        forums in Thailand dedicated to motorcycles.

iii) Availability: 60%

    -   There are 142 Bridgestone distributers spread throughout the country.8

iv) Affordability: 9%

    -   Households with monthly disposable incomes of USD$2500 and above will consider

        this product affordable.

    -   The segment for households with monthly disposable incomes of USD$2500 and

        above form 10% of Thailand’s 2011 population.9

    -   On top of product costs, switching costs and commitment costs are taken into

        consideration. Hence, affordability is adjusted downwards by 1%, resulting in an

        estimate of 9%.

v) Trial: 20%

    -   A new set of tyres can last up to one year (depending on usage). Hence, it requires

        commitment to the product.

    -   The concept of run-flat tyres for motorcycles is relatively new. Consumers might defer

        trial to see reviews before committing to the change.

    -   Normal motorcycle tyres are cheaper.




8
  http://www.bridgestone.co.th/th/service_network/service_network_result_cockpit.aspx
9
 http://www.portal.euromonitor.com.libproxy.smu.edu.sg/Portal/Pages/Statistics/Statistics.aspx
Annex D

Financial Analysis

Revenue Summary
           Year
Revenue                             1            2            3               4
sources (USD)
End users                  29.484,000     29,926,050     30,075,500       30,225,650
Motorcycle
                           18,000,000     18,270,000     27,405,000       27,541,800
manufacturers
Total                      47,484,000     48,196,050     57,480,500       57,767,450

Revenue Breakdown
Year                            1             2                   3                 4
End-users demand
                          84,240           85,503             85,930              86,359
(ATAR estimates)
Growth Rate                     -           1.5%              0.5%                0.5%
Average price for 1
                            350              350               350                 350
set of tyres
Revenue                 29.484,000       29,926,050        30,075,500          30,225,650

Year                        1                2                    3                 4
Motorcycle
manufacturers            60,000            60,900             91,350              91,806
demand
Growth Rate                 -              1.5%                50%                0.5%
Average price for
                          300               300                300                 300
1 set of tyres
Revenue                18,000,000       18,270,000         27,405,000          27,541,800

Assumptions and Derivation (Revenue)

Revenue stream is derived from two sources: end-users and motorcycle manufacturers.

End-Users

- For year two, growth rate is based on the average growth rate of motorcycles in Thailand.

However, the original value (2.5%10) has been multiplied by a factor of 0.6 to conservatively

account for the growth in demand.




10
     See Exhibit D2
- The drop is growth rates for year three is due to the increase in motorcycle manufacturers

factory-fitting Battlax RF tyres onto their newly manufactured motorcycles. This reduces the

need to purchase a new set of Battlax RF tyres, for buyers of new motorcycles.

- Starting year three, growth rates are conservatively assumed to remain constant.

Motorcycle Manufacturers

- For year one, Honda Motor Company is conservatively assumed to adopt Battlax RF tyres

and factory-fit them onto 3% of its motorcycles. Honda’s forecasted output is set at 2.1

million units11 and tagged to the growth in demand by end-users.

- It is assumed that at least two other motorcycle manufacturers adopt Battlax RF tyres in

year three. Hence, growth rate for the year has been increased to 50% to account for the

increase in demand from motorcycle manufacturers.

- Starting year four, growth rates are conservatively assumed to remain constant.

- Battlax RF tyres are sold at a discounted price ($300) to manufacturers.




11
  http://www.thefreelibrary.com/-Honda+Motor+Company+aims+to+sell+1.5+million+motorcycles+in+2012.-
a0276792743
Cost Summary
Expenses (USD)
Start-up Costs                                           Recurring Costs
(Year 0)                                                 (Year 1 onwards)
Factory Expansion13                   5,000,000          Utilities & Machinery                1,000,000
                                                         Maintenance12
Machinery12                           9,000,000          Personnel                              336,600
Initial R&D13                         3,000,000          Ongoing R&D                            200,000
Initial Product Testing13             2,000,000          Product Testing                        400,000
Product Trial &                        700,000           Marketing Promotions                   100,000
Awareness Campaign
Total                                 19,700,000         Total                                2,036,600

Variable
Manufacture
                            Year 1                 Year 2                  Year 3                Year 4
Costs (1 set of
tyres)
Cost per unit14               190                    190                     190                   190
Quantity                   144,240                146,403                 177,280               178,165
Sub Total                 27,405,600             27,816,570              33,683,200            33,851,350
Recurring
                           2,036,600              2,036,600               2,036,600             2,036,600
Costs
Total                     29,442,200             29,853,170              35,719,800            35,887,950

Costs Breakdown
Personnel                    Managerial positions
                                 (Marketing
                             managers, product              Factory workers               Support staffs
                                 inspectors,
                                supervisors)
Average yearly
                                     10,200                        3,600                       5,000
wage15,16
Number of
                                         8                          50                           15
personnel
Sub Total                            81,600                      180,000                       75,000
Total                               336,600

Product Trial &
                               Free tyre trial by            Tyre-exchange
Awareness                                                                                Advertisements
                               brand champions                 promotion
Campaign
Per unit costs                        20017                        5018                           -
12
   http://globalbb.onesource.com.libproxy.smu.edu.sg/web/reports/ReportMain.aspx?KeyID=90647&Process=CP&Report=C
ASHFLOWS
13
   http://globalbb.onesource.com.libproxy.smu.edu.sg/web/reports/ReportMain.aspx?KeyID=90647&Process=CP&Report=A
NNUALIS&Sections=
14
    Based on fair outlook projections
15
    www.gemini.com.hk/assets/doc/survey_thailand.pdf
16
    http://www.channelnewsasia.com/stories/southeastasia/view/1149120/1/.html
17
    Includes logistical costs of participant selection and costs one set of tyres for the trial
18
    Logistical costs and disposal costs of exchanged tyres ($60)
    Cost of one set of Battlax RF($190)
Number of units                         500                       5,000             -
Sub Total                             100,000                    250,000         350,000
Total                                 700,000

Marketing Promotions                            Advertisements               Coupons
Average unit costs/month                             6,000                     5,600
Duration (months)                                      12                        5
Sub Total                                           72,000                    28,000
Total                                              100,000

Assumptions and Derivation (Costs)

- Bridgestone has a manufacturing plant in Thailand with space for expansion. Expansion on

the present site will be cheaper and more cost-effective, as the new factory can harness on the

existing networks and infrastructure. Similarly, machinery investment costs are also lowered.

- Variable cost to produce Battlax RF is estimated to be $190 (30% more costly than the

average Bridgestone tyre).

- Due to the existing platforms for tyre production and existing research by Bridgestone,

Research & Development (R&D) costs have been lowered. Costs are estimated to amount to

30% of the total R&D costs in Bridgestone Thailand.

- Initial product-testing is essential to safeguard against product failure. Hence, a substantial

amount is spent in this area. Subsequently, product-testing is still needed to ensure that tyre

quality is maintained.




 Amount to be paid per participant under promotion ($200)
 Costs incurred- $200-$190-$60=-$50
Cost - Revenue Projection
Year                  0                  1            2               3               4
Revenue               0             47,484,000   48,196,050      57,480,500      57,767,450
Expense          19,700,000         29,442,200   29,853,170      35,719,800      35,887,950
Net Income      -19,700,000         18,041,800   18,342,880      21,760,700      21,879,500
Cumulative
                -19,700,000         -1,658,200   16,684,680      38,445,380      60,324,880
Net Income
NPV (5 year
                 66,155,085
projection
NPV (10 year
               153,130,503
projection)

Assumptions and Derivation (Cost - Revenue Projection)

- Risk-free interest rate is set at 5%.

- 10 year NPV is provided given the long-term nature of the production plant and project.

- Figures based on revenue and expense derivation models.

- Year 0 expense based on start-up cost derived in Expense Summary.
Sensitivity Analysis

Optimistic Outlook: Initial demand from manufacturers increases by 20% and demand

growth rates19 for end-users and manufacturers are further increased by 0.5% for each year.

* Increase in tyre output above 180,000 sets, reduces tyre variable manufacture costs by 10%.

Year                        0            1            2               3               4
Revenue                     0       51,084,000   52,105,680      63,532,577      64,167,903
Expense                19,700,000   31,722,200   32,315,912      35,776,823      36,114,226
Net Income            -19,700,000   19,361,800   19,789,768      27,755,754      28,053,677
Cumulative
                      -19,700,000    -338,200    19,451,568      47,207,322      75,260,999
Net Income
NPV (5 year
                      85,962,560
projection)
NPV (10 year
                      185,179,991
projection)

Pessimistic Outlook: Initial demand from manufacturers decrease by 20% and demand

growth rates for end-users and manufacturers are further decreased by 0.5% for each year.

* Fall in tyre output below 140,000 sets, increases tyre variable manufacture costs by 5%.

Year                        0            1            2               3               4
Revenue                     0       43,884,000   44,322,840      51,671,014      51,820,653
Expense                19,700,000   28,418,480   28,682,299      32,053,828      32,135,061
Net Income            -19,700,000   15,465,520   15,640,541      19,617,186      19,685,592
Cumulative
                      -19,700,000   -4,234,480   11,406,061      31,023,247      50,708,839
Net Income
NPV (5 year
                      57,834,989
projection)
NPV (10 year
                      125,531,521
projection)




19
     See Exhibit D3
$300,000,000

                 $250,000,000

                 $200,000,000

                 $150,000,000
Cumulative Net




                                                                                     Optimistic Outlook
                 $100,000,000
                                                                                     Fair Outlook
Income




                  $50,000,000
                                                                                     Pessimistic Outlook
                          $0
                                0   1   2   3      4       5    6   7   8   9   10
                 -$50,000,000
                                                Duration (years)


                                                       Exhibit D1




                                                       Exhibit D2




                                                       Exhibit D3
Annex E

Guidelines for Proper Tyre Usage

1) Tyres should be fitted appropriately onto motorcycles, in accordance to the guidelines

      provided by Bridgestone.

2) Tyres should be properly inflated, in accordance to the guidelines provided by

      Bridgestone.

3) In the event of a tyre pressure loss, motorcyclists should approach the nearest Run-Flat

      tyre servicing station20 immediately. Travelling speed should not exceed 65km/h.

      Motorcyclists are reminded that Battlax RF tyres have a range of up to 150 miles, in the

      event of tyre pressure loss.

4) Motorcyclists should not exceed the recommended loading weight of the motorcycle.

5) Battlax RF tyres should not be fitted for extreme sports (i.e. drifting, motocross).

6) Additional lubricants or sealants should not be used on tyres.

7) Battleax RF tyres should not be retreaded by unauthorized tyre workshops.




20
     http://www.bridgestone.co.th/th/service_network/service_network_result_rft.aspx
Annex F

Bridgestone and Competitors21

Prices stated are based on purchasing a set of tyres for a street motorcycle in Thailand.22 All

prices have been converted to US dollars.

                           Brand                                         Average Retail Price (USD)
                  Bridgestone (Battlax RF)                                         $350
                           Avon                                                    $295


                          Continental                                                  $278

                             Dunlop                                                    $364

                            Michelin                                                   $330
                            Metzeler                                                   $320
                             Pirelli                                                   $280




21
     http://www.gt-rider.com/thailand-motorcycle-forum/showthread.php/34283-Tyres-makes-available-in-Thailand
22
     http://www.tiresunlimited.com/motorcycle_tires.htm
Annex G

Miscellaneous Information

Due diligence (email exchanges)

Bridgestone
Dunlop

New Product Development Report

  • 1.
    BATTLAX RF Safe andFuel-Efficient Run-Flat Motorcycle Tyres Bridgestone Prepared for PROFESSOR KAPIL R. TULI Proposal Submitted by Chan Chun Yin Glen (S8851261H) Group 1 29 February 2012
  • 2.
    Executive Summary Bridgestone isthe world’s largest tyre and rubber company with a global reach. It can leverage on its reputation of being a reliable leader in the tyre industry, and its existing research and technology to launch Battlax RF in Thailand. Battlax RF caters to street motorcycles. It has the desirable attributes of comfort, fuel efficiency and safety. In the event of a tyre pressure loss, these tyres can enable the rider to travel to the nearest service centre to seek assistance; eliminating occurrences of riders being stranded by the roadside. In Thailand, the increasing span of treacherous unpaved roads is coupled with the rise in motorcycle numbers. This brings about potential prospects for Bridgestone. Income projections are promising, with the 5-year NPV at $57,834,989 and 10-year NPV at $125,531,521. More importantly, costs are lowered due to existing tyre production platforms present in the company. This project holds future prospects of expanding into neighboring markets such as China, where high motorcycle death rates and bad road conditions are prevalent. To sum it up, Battlax RF is a lucrative venture that is in line with Bridgestone’s mission of providing quality products to consumers. Introduction Bridgestone has the vision of being the top tyre and rubber company worldwide. To stay ahead amongst stiff competition in the tyre industry, Bridgestone needs to move beyond serving its existing markets and cater its products to fulfill further needs. Thailand’s Treacherous Roads Recent statistics from the World Health Organization (WHO) has shown an alarmingly large number of road fatalities globally.1 In Thailand, 70% of road fatalities are motorcyclists (Exhibit A1). The main cause for fatal accidents is the loss of control of the motorcycles. This stems from tyre blowouts and traction-loss. The occurrence of such incidents increases 1 http://www.who.int/gho/road_safety/en/index.html
  • 3.
    drastically when roadconditions are bad.2 Thailand’s roads have failed to keep up with rising vehicle ownership, thus leading to rapid road deterioration. As a result, motorcyclists are more vulnerable to accidents. Regrettably, the span of such roads has increased over the years (Exhibit A2). Solution for a Safer Ride Bridgestone now has the best ever opportunity to take the elements of safety and convenience to the next level by introducing Battlax RF- motorcycle tyres which are safe, efficient and provide users with added convenience, in the event of a motorcycle breakdown. The successful launch of this innovative product will allow the company to present itself as being passionate about bringing quality products to their consumers and ensuring their safety. Therefore, Bridgestone needs to seize this opportunity to benefit from the first-mover advantage and this can be achieved by launching Battlax RF in Thailand. Body Product- Motorcycle Run-Flat Tyres Battlax RF is Bridgestone’s new generation of motorcycle tyres which provide safety and convenience to motorcyclists. This will be the first-of-its-kind sold commercially and it will cater to street motorcycles. Previously, motorcycle run-flat tyres were only manufactured for security forces, such as the United States of America police department’s motorcycle fleet. These tyres boast of the ability to prevent blowouts and can enable the rider to maintain control in the event of a tyre pressure loss. Stability is of utmost importance to motorcyclists when navigating roads which are not well-maintained. Moreover, the tough sidewalls of the tyre increases the tyres’ rolling capability. In turn, it increases fuel efficiency. Bearing in mind that fuel prices are forecasted to increase in the future, we can foresee motorcyclists seeking fuel-efficient products. 2 http://motoring.asiaone.com/Motoring/News/Story/A1Story20101231-255764.html
  • 4.
    Product- Support Network Atpresent, Thailand has an excellent run-flat tyre network for its car tyres, situated in 63 locations around the country. Bridgestone can utilize these networks to provide support for its motorcycle run-flat tyres. In the event of a tyre pressure loss, these existing support networks3 will be within range for motorcyclists to seek assistance. Place Battlax RF will be available at all 142 Bridgestone distributors in Thailand. 4 These distributors are spread throughout the entire country, and are mostly located along major transport networks. Hence, it facilitates availability and visibility for Bridgestone’s new product. Promotion Advertising channels include the use of social media, traditional mass media and billboards to create awareness. Free trials of Battlax RF can be given to brand champions to generate hype and word-of-mouth. This can be coupled with the promotion of allowing motorcyclists to exchange their existing tyres with a brand new set of Battlax RF tyres, at a discounted price of $200 (Annex B). Battlax RF will also be promoted to motorcycle manufacturers such as Honda. The adoption of these tyres will add value to their motorcycles. They can be seen as offering motorcycles which are equipped with the latest tyre technology. Price Battlax RF is compatible with all street motorcycle models available in Thailand.5 The average price for a standard set of tyres (both front and rear) is $350. In order to encourage motorcycle manufacturers to adopt this new product, a 15% discount is given. They are able to procure the tyre sets at an average pricing of $300. 3 http://www.bridgestone.co.th/th/service_network/service_network_result_rft.aspx 4 http://www.bridgestone.co.th/th/service_network/service_network_result_cockpit.aspx 5 http://www.motorcycle.in.th/wiki/doku.php/motorcycle/motorcycle_brands_available_in_thailand
  • 5.
    Financial Analysis The followinganalysis is based on a conservative outlook. Thailand’s market indicates potential annual sales of 132,240 tyre sets, in the first year (Annex C). This translates into $43.9 million worth of sales. With the launch of its next generation tyre series, Bridgestone is expected to have a breakeven on its investment within two years (Exhibit D1). Moreover, this project has an astounding five year NPV of above $57 million (Annex D). Bridgestone’s prevailing brand power and technological advantage will drive demand for its tyres, with end- user demand forecasted to grow by 0.5% yearly. Consequently, a 194% return on investment can be anticipated in year 5. Operational Risks The integrity of Battlax RF tyres must be of utmost importance. As the product will be marketed to ensure the riders’ safety on treacherous roads, care must be taken to ascertain that they fulfill the value proposition. Otherwise, Bridgestone will lose the trust of its consumers and suffer a loss of credibility. In the recent years, there have been lawsuit cases against tyre companies. These cases stem from incidents of defective tyres causing fatal accidents or serious injuries to motorcyclists.6 Therefore, intensive product testing is necessary. Battlelax RF will be put through internationally recognized testing procedures to verify the capabilities and safety of the tyres. This will be carried out in laboratories under controlled conditions and adhering to the strict guidelines of ISO 10230:20037. The product will also be accompanied with guidelines for proper usage to ensure that consumers are aware of the product’s thresholds (Annex E). Distributors will also be educated to install the appropriate tyres onto motorcycles and to provide advice to end-users 6 http://www.unsafemotorcycles.com/motorcycle_crash_news.html 7 http://www.iso.org/iso/iso_catalogue/catalogue_tc/catalogue_detail.htm?csnumber=37790
  • 6.
    regarding usage. Thiswarrants optimal performance of the tyres. Consequently, it also protects the company from any legal action, should the product fail due to misuse. Lastly, Bridgestone can maintain an open channel to receive feedback and handle complains for its product. This way, the company can show that it is proactively connecting with its customers, resulting in high brand resonance. Studies have shown that this instills customer loyalty. Competition At present, Bridgestone does not face any competition in terms of street motorcycle run-flat tyres. Dunlop has tried developing run-flats (Dunlop Special D402 PT) for Harley Davidson police motorcycles in United States of America. However, their tyres compromised efficiency and comfort for safety. Hence, it was not sold to the mass market. Bridgestone’s competition in Thailand will mainly originate from the normal street motorcycle tyres which are being sold by popular brands such as Dunlop, Pirelli, Michelin and Continental. Thus, it is important to aggressively market Battlax RF to encourage trial. Customers will then be convinced of the benefits which Battlax RF provides. An analysis of Bridgestone’s competitors (Annex F) revealed that the average USD$350 price tag for a set of tyres is very competitive, considering the benefits and quality which customers are getting from their purchase. Conclusion With the introduction of Battlax RF, Bridgestone’s next generation of motorcycle tyres, the company can show the world that Bridgestone is fulfilling its mission of serving society with superior quality products. Bridgestone will generate returns beyond the tangible amounts of above $57 million and it has the potential to break into the China market thereafter. With the use of creative pioneering, Bridgestone will also be one step ahead of all its competitors in terms of providing convenience to users and ensuring their safety.
  • 7.
    Annex A Road conditionsin Thailand Exhibit A1 Exhibit A2
  • 8.
    Annex B Product Trial& Awareness Campaign Advertising channels which create awareness will revolve around two themes. 1) Superior tyre quality and efficiency Advertisements will portray Battlax RF as the choice of professional Thai motorcycle racers due to attributes such as riding comfort, safety, road grip and rolling capability. 2) Safety Shock advertising will be used to great effect. They will show realistic scenes of crashes due to tyre blowouts. These graphic scenes depict loss-of-control resulting in serious injuries. According to psychological studies, such advertising ought to be accompanied by a solution, so as to avoid viewers going into the state of issue avoidance. Bridgestone’s Battlax RF tyres will be shown as the solution. In addition, the advertisement will also feature the attribute of convenience. Product trial will be carried out in two stages. The first stage begins five weeks before product launch. A selection for brand champions will be publicly announced and interested parties are invited to apply Applications are to be accompanied with reasons explaining why they should be selected for the trial. Bridgestone will then select 500 people, who have wide social networks, vast digital footprints or influence, for the trial. This way, there is a higher probability that word-of-mouth regarding the product, is spread to an extensive audience. Word-of-mouth is expected to spread through friends and via social media (blogs, Facebook, forums). The next stage begins after the product is officially launched in Thailand. The first 5000 motorcyclists will be able to exchange their existing tyres for a brand new set of Battlax RF tyres at a price of $200. This promotion creates awareness and reduces consumers’ costs of trial.
  • 9.
    Annex C A-T-A-R Model MarketSize 13,000,000 Awareness 60% Availability 60% Affordability 9% Trial 20% Assumptions and ATAR Derivation i) Market Size: 13,000,000 - Number of motorcycles registered in Thailand: 16,581,174 (refer to Exhibit C1) Exhibit C1 - Since there are 18,822,000 households (refer to Exhibit C2) and 16,581,174 registered motorcycles. We assume that one household has an average of one motorcycle, for households with annual disposable incomes of USD$2500 and above. * In order to account for the households who do not wish to equip their motorcycles with tyres that account for more than 40% the overall vehicle cost, the estimate was conservatively multiplied by a factor of 0.8 and rounded down (to the nearest million). Exhibit C2
  • 10.
    ii) Awareness: 60% - Thailand’s has effective advertising channels. Television alone has 93% consumer penetration daily and cable television has 30 million viewers. - Word-of-mouth regarding new motorcycle products is also likely as Thailand is known as a country which has a motorcycle culture. Moreover, there are multiple online forums in Thailand dedicated to motorcycles. iii) Availability: 60% - There are 142 Bridgestone distributers spread throughout the country.8 iv) Affordability: 9% - Households with monthly disposable incomes of USD$2500 and above will consider this product affordable. - The segment for households with monthly disposable incomes of USD$2500 and above form 10% of Thailand’s 2011 population.9 - On top of product costs, switching costs and commitment costs are taken into consideration. Hence, affordability is adjusted downwards by 1%, resulting in an estimate of 9%. v) Trial: 20% - A new set of tyres can last up to one year (depending on usage). Hence, it requires commitment to the product. - The concept of run-flat tyres for motorcycles is relatively new. Consumers might defer trial to see reviews before committing to the change. - Normal motorcycle tyres are cheaper. 8 http://www.bridgestone.co.th/th/service_network/service_network_result_cockpit.aspx 9 http://www.portal.euromonitor.com.libproxy.smu.edu.sg/Portal/Pages/Statistics/Statistics.aspx
  • 11.
    Annex D Financial Analysis RevenueSummary Year Revenue 1 2 3 4 sources (USD) End users 29.484,000 29,926,050 30,075,500 30,225,650 Motorcycle 18,000,000 18,270,000 27,405,000 27,541,800 manufacturers Total 47,484,000 48,196,050 57,480,500 57,767,450 Revenue Breakdown Year 1 2 3 4 End-users demand 84,240 85,503 85,930 86,359 (ATAR estimates) Growth Rate - 1.5% 0.5% 0.5% Average price for 1 350 350 350 350 set of tyres Revenue 29.484,000 29,926,050 30,075,500 30,225,650 Year 1 2 3 4 Motorcycle manufacturers 60,000 60,900 91,350 91,806 demand Growth Rate - 1.5% 50% 0.5% Average price for 300 300 300 300 1 set of tyres Revenue 18,000,000 18,270,000 27,405,000 27,541,800 Assumptions and Derivation (Revenue) Revenue stream is derived from two sources: end-users and motorcycle manufacturers. End-Users - For year two, growth rate is based on the average growth rate of motorcycles in Thailand. However, the original value (2.5%10) has been multiplied by a factor of 0.6 to conservatively account for the growth in demand. 10 See Exhibit D2
  • 12.
    - The dropis growth rates for year three is due to the increase in motorcycle manufacturers factory-fitting Battlax RF tyres onto their newly manufactured motorcycles. This reduces the need to purchase a new set of Battlax RF tyres, for buyers of new motorcycles. - Starting year three, growth rates are conservatively assumed to remain constant. Motorcycle Manufacturers - For year one, Honda Motor Company is conservatively assumed to adopt Battlax RF tyres and factory-fit them onto 3% of its motorcycles. Honda’s forecasted output is set at 2.1 million units11 and tagged to the growth in demand by end-users. - It is assumed that at least two other motorcycle manufacturers adopt Battlax RF tyres in year three. Hence, growth rate for the year has been increased to 50% to account for the increase in demand from motorcycle manufacturers. - Starting year four, growth rates are conservatively assumed to remain constant. - Battlax RF tyres are sold at a discounted price ($300) to manufacturers. 11 http://www.thefreelibrary.com/-Honda+Motor+Company+aims+to+sell+1.5+million+motorcycles+in+2012.- a0276792743
  • 13.
    Cost Summary Expenses (USD) Start-upCosts Recurring Costs (Year 0) (Year 1 onwards) Factory Expansion13 5,000,000 Utilities & Machinery 1,000,000 Maintenance12 Machinery12 9,000,000 Personnel 336,600 Initial R&D13 3,000,000 Ongoing R&D 200,000 Initial Product Testing13 2,000,000 Product Testing 400,000 Product Trial & 700,000 Marketing Promotions 100,000 Awareness Campaign Total 19,700,000 Total 2,036,600 Variable Manufacture Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Costs (1 set of tyres) Cost per unit14 190 190 190 190 Quantity 144,240 146,403 177,280 178,165 Sub Total 27,405,600 27,816,570 33,683,200 33,851,350 Recurring 2,036,600 2,036,600 2,036,600 2,036,600 Costs Total 29,442,200 29,853,170 35,719,800 35,887,950 Costs Breakdown Personnel Managerial positions (Marketing managers, product Factory workers Support staffs inspectors, supervisors) Average yearly 10,200 3,600 5,000 wage15,16 Number of 8 50 15 personnel Sub Total 81,600 180,000 75,000 Total 336,600 Product Trial & Free tyre trial by Tyre-exchange Awareness Advertisements brand champions promotion Campaign Per unit costs 20017 5018 - 12 http://globalbb.onesource.com.libproxy.smu.edu.sg/web/reports/ReportMain.aspx?KeyID=90647&Process=CP&Report=C ASHFLOWS 13 http://globalbb.onesource.com.libproxy.smu.edu.sg/web/reports/ReportMain.aspx?KeyID=90647&Process=CP&Report=A NNUALIS&Sections= 14 Based on fair outlook projections 15 www.gemini.com.hk/assets/doc/survey_thailand.pdf 16 http://www.channelnewsasia.com/stories/southeastasia/view/1149120/1/.html 17 Includes logistical costs of participant selection and costs one set of tyres for the trial 18 Logistical costs and disposal costs of exchanged tyres ($60) Cost of one set of Battlax RF($190)
  • 14.
    Number of units 500 5,000 - Sub Total 100,000 250,000 350,000 Total 700,000 Marketing Promotions Advertisements Coupons Average unit costs/month 6,000 5,600 Duration (months) 12 5 Sub Total 72,000 28,000 Total 100,000 Assumptions and Derivation (Costs) - Bridgestone has a manufacturing plant in Thailand with space for expansion. Expansion on the present site will be cheaper and more cost-effective, as the new factory can harness on the existing networks and infrastructure. Similarly, machinery investment costs are also lowered. - Variable cost to produce Battlax RF is estimated to be $190 (30% more costly than the average Bridgestone tyre). - Due to the existing platforms for tyre production and existing research by Bridgestone, Research & Development (R&D) costs have been lowered. Costs are estimated to amount to 30% of the total R&D costs in Bridgestone Thailand. - Initial product-testing is essential to safeguard against product failure. Hence, a substantial amount is spent in this area. Subsequently, product-testing is still needed to ensure that tyre quality is maintained. Amount to be paid per participant under promotion ($200) Costs incurred- $200-$190-$60=-$50
  • 15.
    Cost - RevenueProjection Year 0 1 2 3 4 Revenue 0 47,484,000 48,196,050 57,480,500 57,767,450 Expense 19,700,000 29,442,200 29,853,170 35,719,800 35,887,950 Net Income -19,700,000 18,041,800 18,342,880 21,760,700 21,879,500 Cumulative -19,700,000 -1,658,200 16,684,680 38,445,380 60,324,880 Net Income NPV (5 year 66,155,085 projection NPV (10 year 153,130,503 projection) Assumptions and Derivation (Cost - Revenue Projection) - Risk-free interest rate is set at 5%. - 10 year NPV is provided given the long-term nature of the production plant and project. - Figures based on revenue and expense derivation models. - Year 0 expense based on start-up cost derived in Expense Summary.
  • 16.
    Sensitivity Analysis Optimistic Outlook:Initial demand from manufacturers increases by 20% and demand growth rates19 for end-users and manufacturers are further increased by 0.5% for each year. * Increase in tyre output above 180,000 sets, reduces tyre variable manufacture costs by 10%. Year 0 1 2 3 4 Revenue 0 51,084,000 52,105,680 63,532,577 64,167,903 Expense 19,700,000 31,722,200 32,315,912 35,776,823 36,114,226 Net Income -19,700,000 19,361,800 19,789,768 27,755,754 28,053,677 Cumulative -19,700,000 -338,200 19,451,568 47,207,322 75,260,999 Net Income NPV (5 year 85,962,560 projection) NPV (10 year 185,179,991 projection) Pessimistic Outlook: Initial demand from manufacturers decrease by 20% and demand growth rates for end-users and manufacturers are further decreased by 0.5% for each year. * Fall in tyre output below 140,000 sets, increases tyre variable manufacture costs by 5%. Year 0 1 2 3 4 Revenue 0 43,884,000 44,322,840 51,671,014 51,820,653 Expense 19,700,000 28,418,480 28,682,299 32,053,828 32,135,061 Net Income -19,700,000 15,465,520 15,640,541 19,617,186 19,685,592 Cumulative -19,700,000 -4,234,480 11,406,061 31,023,247 50,708,839 Net Income NPV (5 year 57,834,989 projection) NPV (10 year 125,531,521 projection) 19 See Exhibit D3
  • 17.
    $300,000,000 $250,000,000 $200,000,000 $150,000,000 Cumulative Net Optimistic Outlook $100,000,000 Fair Outlook Income $50,000,000 Pessimistic Outlook $0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 -$50,000,000 Duration (years) Exhibit D1 Exhibit D2 Exhibit D3
  • 18.
    Annex E Guidelines forProper Tyre Usage 1) Tyres should be fitted appropriately onto motorcycles, in accordance to the guidelines provided by Bridgestone. 2) Tyres should be properly inflated, in accordance to the guidelines provided by Bridgestone. 3) In the event of a tyre pressure loss, motorcyclists should approach the nearest Run-Flat tyre servicing station20 immediately. Travelling speed should not exceed 65km/h. Motorcyclists are reminded that Battlax RF tyres have a range of up to 150 miles, in the event of tyre pressure loss. 4) Motorcyclists should not exceed the recommended loading weight of the motorcycle. 5) Battlax RF tyres should not be fitted for extreme sports (i.e. drifting, motocross). 6) Additional lubricants or sealants should not be used on tyres. 7) Battleax RF tyres should not be retreaded by unauthorized tyre workshops. 20 http://www.bridgestone.co.th/th/service_network/service_network_result_rft.aspx
  • 19.
    Annex F Bridgestone andCompetitors21 Prices stated are based on purchasing a set of tyres for a street motorcycle in Thailand.22 All prices have been converted to US dollars. Brand Average Retail Price (USD) Bridgestone (Battlax RF) $350 Avon $295 Continental $278 Dunlop $364 Michelin $330 Metzeler $320 Pirelli $280 21 http://www.gt-rider.com/thailand-motorcycle-forum/showthread.php/34283-Tyres-makes-available-in-Thailand 22 http://www.tiresunlimited.com/motorcycle_tires.htm
  • 20.
    Annex G Miscellaneous Information Duediligence (email exchanges) Bridgestone
  • 21.