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How does Foreign Direct
Investment Affect Economic
Growth
E. Borensztein,
J. De Gregorio,
J-W. Lee
Journal of International Economics 45 (1998) 115–135
Introduction
 Model of technology diffusion: the rate of economic
growth of a backward country depends on the extent
of adoption and implementation of new technologies.
 FDI is considered to be a major channel for the
access to advanced technologies
 Findly (1978): FDI increase the rate of technical
progress in the host country through a ‘contagion’
effect from the more advanced technology,
management practices, etc. used by foreign firms.
 Wang (1990) incorporate this idea into a model more
in line with the neoclassical growth framework, by
assuming the increase in “knowledge” applied to
production is determined as a function of FDI.
Objectives
 The purpose of this paper is to examine empirically
the role of FDI in the process of technology diffusion
and economic growth in developing countries
 We examine whether FDI interacts with the stock of
human capital to affect growth rates.
 We also test whether the level of FDI has an effect
on the overall level of investment in the country and
on the efficiency of investment.
Theoretical Framework
 Technical progress is the result of ‘capital deepening’
in the form of an increase in the number of varieties
of capital goods available, as in Romer (1990),
Grossman and Helpman (1991) and Barro and Sala-
i-Martin (1995)
A: exogenous state of technology
H is a given endowment of human capital
K: physical capital  capital accumulation takes place
through the expansion of the number of varieties
𝑌𝑡 = 𝐴𝐻𝑡
∝
𝐾𝑡
1∝
 The model highlights the roles of both the
introduction of more advanced technology
and the requirement of absorptive capability
in the host country as determinants of
economic growth, and suggests the empirical
investigation of the complementarity between
FDI and human capital in the process of
productivity growth
Model Specification
• FDI is measured as a ratio to GDP
• H is the stock of human capital
• The initial GDP variable (Y0) captures the
role of the ‘catch-up’ effect (N/N*)
• A is a set of other variables that affect
economic growth
Data
Variable Description Sources
GDP Growth Average annual rate of per capita real GDP over
each decades, 1970-79, 1980-89
Summers and Heston (1993)
Foreign Direct
Investment (FDI)
Gross FDI originated in OECD member
countries into developing countries
OECD Publication
Schooling (H) The initial-year level of average years of the
male secondary schooling
Barro and Lee (1993)
Government
Consumption
Average share of real government consumption
in real GDP
Summers and Heston (1993)
Investment Rate Domestic investment rate Barro and Lee (1994)
Black Market
Premium
Measure distortions in the trade regime
Assassinations and
Wars
A measure of political instability (political
assassinations and wars)
Financial Depth The ratio of the liquid liabilities of the financial
system to GDP, equal to M2/GDP
Inflation rate
Political Rights Index for freedom of speech and the press,
freedom to run for office, and vote in the country
(1 best, 7 worst)
Gastil (1987)
Institutions Quality of political institutions (1 worst, 10 best) Knack and Keefer (1995)
Panel data of 69 developing countries (1970-89)
Result
Strong
complementary
effects between
FDI and human
capital on the
growth rate of
income
1
Result
Result
The figure shows that,
for a given level of human
capital, an increase in FDI
raises the growth rates of
per capita income, except
for the economies with the
lowest level of schooling
Result
FDI stimulate or
“crowds in”,
domestic
investment
2
Result
Interaction
between human
capital and
investment is a
particular
characteristic of
FDI
3
Conclusion
 FDI is in fact an important vehicle for the
transfer of technology
 There is a strong complementary effect between
FDI and human capital
 FDI is complementary (crowds in) to domestic
investment
 FDI is more productive than domestic
investment only when the host country has a
minimum threshold stock of human capital
Important notes
 FDI data used here from BOP statistic, which is
only part of the resources invested through
another instrument (debt or equity).
 Thus, our measure of FDI underestimates the
total value of fixed investment made by a
multinational firm and the coefficients on FDI may
be proportionally overestimated.
For further research
 The results suggest that the beneficial effects on
growth of FDI come through higher efficiency
rather than simply from higher capital
accumulation.
 This suggests the possibility of testing the effect of
FDI on the rate of total factor productivity growth in
recipient countries
thank you

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FDI and growth in Indonesia

  • 1. How does Foreign Direct Investment Affect Economic Growth E. Borensztein, J. De Gregorio, J-W. Lee Journal of International Economics 45 (1998) 115–135
  • 2. Introduction  Model of technology diffusion: the rate of economic growth of a backward country depends on the extent of adoption and implementation of new technologies.  FDI is considered to be a major channel for the access to advanced technologies  Findly (1978): FDI increase the rate of technical progress in the host country through a ‘contagion’ effect from the more advanced technology, management practices, etc. used by foreign firms.  Wang (1990) incorporate this idea into a model more in line with the neoclassical growth framework, by assuming the increase in “knowledge” applied to production is determined as a function of FDI.
  • 3. Objectives  The purpose of this paper is to examine empirically the role of FDI in the process of technology diffusion and economic growth in developing countries  We examine whether FDI interacts with the stock of human capital to affect growth rates.  We also test whether the level of FDI has an effect on the overall level of investment in the country and on the efficiency of investment.
  • 4. Theoretical Framework  Technical progress is the result of ‘capital deepening’ in the form of an increase in the number of varieties of capital goods available, as in Romer (1990), Grossman and Helpman (1991) and Barro and Sala- i-Martin (1995) A: exogenous state of technology H is a given endowment of human capital K: physical capital  capital accumulation takes place through the expansion of the number of varieties 𝑌𝑡 = 𝐴𝐻𝑡 ∝ 𝐾𝑡 1∝
  • 5.  The model highlights the roles of both the introduction of more advanced technology and the requirement of absorptive capability in the host country as determinants of economic growth, and suggests the empirical investigation of the complementarity between FDI and human capital in the process of productivity growth
  • 6. Model Specification • FDI is measured as a ratio to GDP • H is the stock of human capital • The initial GDP variable (Y0) captures the role of the ‘catch-up’ effect (N/N*) • A is a set of other variables that affect economic growth
  • 7. Data Variable Description Sources GDP Growth Average annual rate of per capita real GDP over each decades, 1970-79, 1980-89 Summers and Heston (1993) Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) Gross FDI originated in OECD member countries into developing countries OECD Publication Schooling (H) The initial-year level of average years of the male secondary schooling Barro and Lee (1993) Government Consumption Average share of real government consumption in real GDP Summers and Heston (1993) Investment Rate Domestic investment rate Barro and Lee (1994) Black Market Premium Measure distortions in the trade regime Assassinations and Wars A measure of political instability (political assassinations and wars) Financial Depth The ratio of the liquid liabilities of the financial system to GDP, equal to M2/GDP Inflation rate Political Rights Index for freedom of speech and the press, freedom to run for office, and vote in the country (1 best, 7 worst) Gastil (1987) Institutions Quality of political institutions (1 worst, 10 best) Knack and Keefer (1995) Panel data of 69 developing countries (1970-89)
  • 8. Result Strong complementary effects between FDI and human capital on the growth rate of income 1
  • 10. Result The figure shows that, for a given level of human capital, an increase in FDI raises the growth rates of per capita income, except for the economies with the lowest level of schooling
  • 11. Result FDI stimulate or “crowds in”, domestic investment 2
  • 12. Result Interaction between human capital and investment is a particular characteristic of FDI 3
  • 13. Conclusion  FDI is in fact an important vehicle for the transfer of technology  There is a strong complementary effect between FDI and human capital  FDI is complementary (crowds in) to domestic investment  FDI is more productive than domestic investment only when the host country has a minimum threshold stock of human capital
  • 14. Important notes  FDI data used here from BOP statistic, which is only part of the resources invested through another instrument (debt or equity).  Thus, our measure of FDI underestimates the total value of fixed investment made by a multinational firm and the coefficients on FDI may be proportionally overestimated.
  • 15. For further research  The results suggest that the beneficial effects on growth of FDI come through higher efficiency rather than simply from higher capital accumulation.  This suggests the possibility of testing the effect of FDI on the rate of total factor productivity growth in recipient countries