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GROUPTHINK
Groupthink
• Irving Janis (1971, 1982) – analyzed the decision-making procedures
that led to several major fiascos.
PEARL HARBOR
In the weeks preceding the December 1941 Pearl Harbor attack that
put the US into WW II, military commanders in Hawaii received a
steady stream of information about Japan’s preparation for an attack
on the US somewhere in the Pacific.
Then military intelligence lost radio contact with Japanese aircraft
carriers, which had begun moving straight for Hawaii: Air
reconnaissance could have spotted the carriers or at least provided a
few minutes’ warning
But complacent commanders decided against such precautions
Result – No alert was sounded until the attack on virtually defenseless
base was underway. The loss: 18 ships, 170 planes and 2400 lives.
THE BAY OF PIGS INVASION
• In 1961 President John Kennedy and his advisers tried to overthrow
Fidel Castro by invading Cuba with 1400 CIA-trained Cuban exiles.
Nearly all invaders wer soon killed or captured, the US was
humiliated and Cuba allied itself more closely with

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  • 2. Groupthink • Irving Janis (1971, 1982) – analyzed the decision-making procedures that led to several major fiascos.
  • 3. PEARL HARBOR In the weeks preceding the December 1941 Pearl Harbor attack that put the US into WW II, military commanders in Hawaii received a steady stream of information about Japan’s preparation for an attack on the US somewhere in the Pacific. Then military intelligence lost radio contact with Japanese aircraft carriers, which had begun moving straight for Hawaii: Air reconnaissance could have spotted the carriers or at least provided a few minutes’ warning But complacent commanders decided against such precautions Result – No alert was sounded until the attack on virtually defenseless base was underway. The loss: 18 ships, 170 planes and 2400 lives.
  • 4. THE BAY OF PIGS INVASION • In 1961 President John Kennedy and his advisers tried to overthrow Fidel Castro by invading Cuba with 1400 CIA-trained Cuban exiles. Nearly all invaders wer soon killed or captured, the US was humiliated and Cuba allied itself more closely with