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WEEKLYAGRI COMMODITY REPORT
06 Apr 2015
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Weekly Wrap Up
2
MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL
DHANIYA
APR 8631 9288 8401 8740 +0.70 3837
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP.1
8331
SUPP. 2
7923
PIVOT
8810
Dhaniya short term
trend is down, further
more downside is
expected in comimg
days.
RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
9218
RES. 2
9697
CASTORSEED
APR 3691 3755 3669 3706 +0.62 1998
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
3665
SUPP. 2
3624
PIVOT
3710
Castorseed short term
trend is down, Prices
expected to go down in
coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
3751
RES. 2
3796
TURMERIC
APR 7574 7700 7396 7632 +0.98 2314
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
7452
SUPP. 2
7272
PIVOT
7576
Turmeric short term
trend is down and may
continue in coming
days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
7756
RES. 2
7880
GUARGUM
APR 8370 8750 8270 8740 +3.80 1388
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
8423
SUPP. 2
8107
PIVOT
8587
Guargum Short term
trend is Down,
Expecting price may go
Down in coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
8903
RES. 2
9067
Weekly Recommendations
3
BUY DHANIYA APRIL ABOVE 8180 TARGET 8280 8380 SL BELOW 8030
SELL DHANIYA APRIL BELOW 7250 TARGET 7150 7050 SL ABOVE 7400
BUY DHANIYA APRIL ABOVE 9040 TARGET 9140 9240 SL BELOW 8890
SELL DHANIYA APRIL BELOW 8340 TARGET 8240 8140 SL ABOVE 8365
Commodities In News
4
ECONOMIC NEWS
 World cotton area is forecast to decrease 7% to 31.3 million hectares
in 2015/16, and world production is projected down 9% to 24 million
tons, World production in 2014/15 is estimated at 26.4 million tons, up
1% from the previous season, while world average yield decreased 2% to
791 kg/ha. In India, area grew 5% to 12.3 million hectares in 2014/15,
which is the largest area planted with cotton on record. However, erratic
monsoon weather last summer caused India’s average yield to fall 5% to
551 kg/ha. As a result, production reached 6.7 million tons, about 20,000
tons fewer than in 203/14. Harvested area in the United States grew 29%
to 3.9 million hectares, and production increased 26% to 3.5 million tons.
In contrast, the area in China, Pakistan and Brazil decreased in 2014/15.
After reaching 5.5 million hectares in 2011/12, the area under cotton in
China has dropped in each of the subsequent seasons, despite high
domestic prices, and is estimated at 4.3 million hectares in 2014/15,
down 8% from 2013/14. Scarcity of labor, rising production costs, and
greater profitability from other crops are among the factors that have
discouraged farmers from planting cotton in China. China’s cotton
production is estimated at 6.4 million tons in 2014/15. Although planted
area in Pakistan increased slightly from 2013/14 to 2.9 million hectares,
flooding in the autumn caused a loss of around 86,000 hectares so that
harvested area decreased 3% to 2.8 million hectares ,greatly improved
yield is likely to push production to 2.3 million tons. Farmers in Brazil
were discouraged by the sudden drop in international prices in the
months before planting, and area in Brazil fell 13% to 976,000 hectares.
Production is projected down 11% to just over 1.5 million tons.After
falling 1% in 2013/14, world consumption is projected to expand 3% to
24.1 million tons in 2014/15 with growth in Asia dominating. China’s
consumption is expected to recover 5% to 7.9 million tons after several
seasons of decline. India, the world’s second largest consumer is
projected to increase consumption by 4% to 5.2 million tons while
consumption in Pakistan is forecast to grow 2% to 2.3 million tons,
making it the third largest consumer in the world. In 2015/16,
consumption is expected to grow modestly by 2% to 24.6 million tons.
 Chana rose today amid steady arrivals as traders eyed the weather scenario.
Overall sentiments in Pulses markets remain rather mixed though. Mild rains
have been noted in Rajasthan. Some part of interior Maharashtra has also
witnessed untimely rains. Traders are also eying a pickup in Masur arrivals
from MP. However, there is a buzz in pulses market that going ahead the rates
would rise. Chana edged up Rs 20 to trade at Rs 3580 per quintal in Delhi.
Reports are stating that crop which was sown early is likely to have endured
some losses following the recent burst of rains. In Delhi markets, the arrivals
came in at 40 trucks as compared to 60 trucks yesterday.
 Turmeric futures surged lead by short covering ahead of the holidays.
Commodity futures markets are closed on Thursday and Friday on account of
Mahavir Jayanti and Good Friday and the market will resume business only on
Monday. The commodity has stayed supported after falling to seven week low
last week as upcountry demand is expected to support sentiments in near term.
However, over a medium term, traders are expecting further decline in the
coming days due to possibility of new supplies from other producing states,
primarily in Karnataka in near term. Turmeric futures find some support at Rs
7502 level last week and surged to the high of Rs 7700 level ended the day at
Rs 7632, up Rs 66 or 0.87% over last close. The open interest declined 740
tonnes to 12,250 tonnes.
 Jeera futures surged on short covering ahead of the holidays.Commodity
futures markets are closed on Thursday and Friday on account of Mahavir
Jayanti and Good Friday and the market will resume business only on Monday.
As per market sources, the daily Jeera arrivals in the Unjha Madi is in the range
25-42 thousand bags in March month, arrivals are still lower as compared to
same period last year 40-50 thousand bags last year. Market may see more
arrivals in first few days after market opens. The latest updates from the
agriculture ministry reported that 9,000 hectare of Jeera area damaged in
Gujarat and 2.41 lakh hectare Jeera area damaged in Rajasthan due to untimely
rain during Rabi crop season. As per the trader's first estimations, current year
crop size is estimated 40 lakh bags, down 40% from last year crop. Lower crop
due to crop damage and area diversification amid export demand will support
the upside in long term.
5
NEWS RECAP
COMMODITY HEADLINES
World Cotton area to fall 7% in 2015-16.
 Wheat harvesting in Punjab, Haryana may get delayed due to untimely rains.
Wheat output may fall by 2% this year due to unseasonal rains.
 India in biggest wheat import deals since 2010 as rains damage crop.
 FCI to sell wheat in open market to non-procuring states in FY16.
 Weather Woes: Quality standards for wheat procurement likely to be relaxed to help farmers.
 Unseasonal rains in March may hit mango output by 25-30%; price already 50% costlier than last year
 Area under India's rabi rice, summer crops moves to 52.20lakh hectare.
 Wheat output may fall by 2% this year due to unseasonal rains.
 Guar Exports Fell Down To 18 Months Low In March 2015.
 India Continue Zero Import Duty on Pulses Till Oct.1,2015.
SPOT QUOTES
6
COMMODITY NAME LOCATION PRICE
Guar Gum Jodhpur 8091.75
Guar Seed 10 MT Jodhpur 3700
GUAR SEED 2 MT Jodhpur 3700
Guarseed Bikaner 3685
Gur Muzaffar Nagar 905.15
Jeera Unjha 15280
Kapas Surendranagar 753
Maize - Feed/Industrial Grade Davengere 1312.5
Maize - Feed/Industrial Grade Karimnagar 1320
Maize - Feed/Industrial Grade Sangli 1378.75
Maize - Feed/Industrial Grade Delhi 1555
Maize - Feed/Industrial Grade Gulabbagh 1423.1
COMMODITY NAME LOCATION PRICE
Bajra Delhi 1192.5
Barley Jaipur 1387.85
Castor Seed Deesa 3642.65
Castor Seed 2 MT Deesa 3642.65
Chana Bikaner 3400
Chana Delhi 3586.4
Chana Indore 3480
Chana 2 MT Delhi 3586.4
Coriander Kota 7598.45
Cotton Kadi 14891.75
Cotton Seed (Industrial Grade) Akola 1886
Cotton Seed Oilcake Akola 1576.65
Cotton Seed Oilcake Kadi 1600
Crude Palm Oil Kandla 439
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up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility.
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Epic research weekly agri report 6th to 10th april 2015

  • 1. WEEKLYAGRI COMMODITY REPORT 06 Apr 2015 HNI & NRI Sales Contact Australia Mintara Road, Tarneit, Victoria. Post Code 3029 Phone.: +61 422 063855 HNI & NRI Sales Contact USA 2117 Arbor Vista Dr. Charlotte (NC) Cell: +1 704 249 2315 Toll Free Number 1-800-200-9454 All queries should be directed to Info@epicresearch.co 1 Epic Research India 411 Milinda Manor (Suites 409- 417) 2 RNT Marg. Opp Central Mall Indore (M.P.) Hotline: +91 731 664 2300 Alternate: +91 731 664 2320 Or give us a missed call at 026 5309 0639 Our Presence YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
  • 2. Weekly Wrap Up 2 MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL DHANIYA APR 8631 9288 8401 8740 +0.70 3837 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP.1 8331 SUPP. 2 7923 PIVOT 8810 Dhaniya short term trend is down, further more downside is expected in comimg days. RESISTAN CE RES. 1 9218 RES. 2 9697 CASTORSEED APR 3691 3755 3669 3706 +0.62 1998 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 3665 SUPP. 2 3624 PIVOT 3710 Castorseed short term trend is down, Prices expected to go down in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 3751 RES. 2 3796 TURMERIC APR 7574 7700 7396 7632 +0.98 2314 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 7452 SUPP. 2 7272 PIVOT 7576 Turmeric short term trend is down and may continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 7756 RES. 2 7880 GUARGUM APR 8370 8750 8270 8740 +3.80 1388 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 8423 SUPP. 2 8107 PIVOT 8587 Guargum Short term trend is Down, Expecting price may go Down in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 8903 RES. 2 9067
  • 3. Weekly Recommendations 3 BUY DHANIYA APRIL ABOVE 8180 TARGET 8280 8380 SL BELOW 8030 SELL DHANIYA APRIL BELOW 7250 TARGET 7150 7050 SL ABOVE 7400 BUY DHANIYA APRIL ABOVE 9040 TARGET 9140 9240 SL BELOW 8890 SELL DHANIYA APRIL BELOW 8340 TARGET 8240 8140 SL ABOVE 8365
  • 4. Commodities In News 4 ECONOMIC NEWS  World cotton area is forecast to decrease 7% to 31.3 million hectares in 2015/16, and world production is projected down 9% to 24 million tons, World production in 2014/15 is estimated at 26.4 million tons, up 1% from the previous season, while world average yield decreased 2% to 791 kg/ha. In India, area grew 5% to 12.3 million hectares in 2014/15, which is the largest area planted with cotton on record. However, erratic monsoon weather last summer caused India’s average yield to fall 5% to 551 kg/ha. As a result, production reached 6.7 million tons, about 20,000 tons fewer than in 203/14. Harvested area in the United States grew 29% to 3.9 million hectares, and production increased 26% to 3.5 million tons. In contrast, the area in China, Pakistan and Brazil decreased in 2014/15. After reaching 5.5 million hectares in 2011/12, the area under cotton in China has dropped in each of the subsequent seasons, despite high domestic prices, and is estimated at 4.3 million hectares in 2014/15, down 8% from 2013/14. Scarcity of labor, rising production costs, and greater profitability from other crops are among the factors that have discouraged farmers from planting cotton in China. China’s cotton production is estimated at 6.4 million tons in 2014/15. Although planted area in Pakistan increased slightly from 2013/14 to 2.9 million hectares, flooding in the autumn caused a loss of around 86,000 hectares so that harvested area decreased 3% to 2.8 million hectares ,greatly improved yield is likely to push production to 2.3 million tons. Farmers in Brazil were discouraged by the sudden drop in international prices in the months before planting, and area in Brazil fell 13% to 976,000 hectares. Production is projected down 11% to just over 1.5 million tons.After falling 1% in 2013/14, world consumption is projected to expand 3% to 24.1 million tons in 2014/15 with growth in Asia dominating. China’s consumption is expected to recover 5% to 7.9 million tons after several seasons of decline. India, the world’s second largest consumer is projected to increase consumption by 4% to 5.2 million tons while consumption in Pakistan is forecast to grow 2% to 2.3 million tons, making it the third largest consumer in the world. In 2015/16, consumption is expected to grow modestly by 2% to 24.6 million tons.  Chana rose today amid steady arrivals as traders eyed the weather scenario. Overall sentiments in Pulses markets remain rather mixed though. Mild rains have been noted in Rajasthan. Some part of interior Maharashtra has also witnessed untimely rains. Traders are also eying a pickup in Masur arrivals from MP. However, there is a buzz in pulses market that going ahead the rates would rise. Chana edged up Rs 20 to trade at Rs 3580 per quintal in Delhi. Reports are stating that crop which was sown early is likely to have endured some losses following the recent burst of rains. In Delhi markets, the arrivals came in at 40 trucks as compared to 60 trucks yesterday.  Turmeric futures surged lead by short covering ahead of the holidays. Commodity futures markets are closed on Thursday and Friday on account of Mahavir Jayanti and Good Friday and the market will resume business only on Monday. The commodity has stayed supported after falling to seven week low last week as upcountry demand is expected to support sentiments in near term. However, over a medium term, traders are expecting further decline in the coming days due to possibility of new supplies from other producing states, primarily in Karnataka in near term. Turmeric futures find some support at Rs 7502 level last week and surged to the high of Rs 7700 level ended the day at Rs 7632, up Rs 66 or 0.87% over last close. The open interest declined 740 tonnes to 12,250 tonnes.  Jeera futures surged on short covering ahead of the holidays.Commodity futures markets are closed on Thursday and Friday on account of Mahavir Jayanti and Good Friday and the market will resume business only on Monday. As per market sources, the daily Jeera arrivals in the Unjha Madi is in the range 25-42 thousand bags in March month, arrivals are still lower as compared to same period last year 40-50 thousand bags last year. Market may see more arrivals in first few days after market opens. The latest updates from the agriculture ministry reported that 9,000 hectare of Jeera area damaged in Gujarat and 2.41 lakh hectare Jeera area damaged in Rajasthan due to untimely rain during Rabi crop season. As per the trader's first estimations, current year crop size is estimated 40 lakh bags, down 40% from last year crop. Lower crop due to crop damage and area diversification amid export demand will support the upside in long term.
  • 5. 5 NEWS RECAP COMMODITY HEADLINES World Cotton area to fall 7% in 2015-16.  Wheat harvesting in Punjab, Haryana may get delayed due to untimely rains. Wheat output may fall by 2% this year due to unseasonal rains.  India in biggest wheat import deals since 2010 as rains damage crop.  FCI to sell wheat in open market to non-procuring states in FY16.  Weather Woes: Quality standards for wheat procurement likely to be relaxed to help farmers.  Unseasonal rains in March may hit mango output by 25-30%; price already 50% costlier than last year  Area under India's rabi rice, summer crops moves to 52.20lakh hectare.  Wheat output may fall by 2% this year due to unseasonal rains.  Guar Exports Fell Down To 18 Months Low In March 2015.  India Continue Zero Import Duty on Pulses Till Oct.1,2015.
  • 6. SPOT QUOTES 6 COMMODITY NAME LOCATION PRICE Guar Gum Jodhpur 8091.75 Guar Seed 10 MT Jodhpur 3700 GUAR SEED 2 MT Jodhpur 3700 Guarseed Bikaner 3685 Gur Muzaffar Nagar 905.15 Jeera Unjha 15280 Kapas Surendranagar 753 Maize - Feed/Industrial Grade Davengere 1312.5 Maize - Feed/Industrial Grade Karimnagar 1320 Maize - Feed/Industrial Grade Sangli 1378.75 Maize - Feed/Industrial Grade Delhi 1555 Maize - Feed/Industrial Grade Gulabbagh 1423.1 COMMODITY NAME LOCATION PRICE Bajra Delhi 1192.5 Barley Jaipur 1387.85 Castor Seed Deesa 3642.65 Castor Seed 2 MT Deesa 3642.65 Chana Bikaner 3400 Chana Delhi 3586.4 Chana Indore 3480 Chana 2 MT Delhi 3586.4 Coriander Kota 7598.45 Cotton Kadi 14891.75 Cotton Seed (Industrial Grade) Akola 1886 Cotton Seed Oilcake Akola 1576.65 Cotton Seed Oilcake Kadi 1600 Crude Palm Oil Kandla 439
  • 7. Disclaimer  The information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable, but we do not accept any responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the product/s that suits them the most.  Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility.  The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not provide individually tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any transaction conducted based on the information given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE.  The share price projections shown are not necessarily indicative of future price performance. The information herein, together with all estimates and forecasts, can change without notice. Analyst or any person related to epic research might be holding positions in the stocks recommended. It is understood that anyone who is browsing through the site has done so at his free will and does not read any views expressed as a recommendation for which either the site or its owners or anyone can be held responsible for. Any surfing and reading of the information is the acceptance of this disclaimer. All Rights Reserved.  Investment in equity & bullion market has its own risks.  We, however, do not vouch for the accuracy or the completeness thereof. we are not responsible for any loss incurred whatsoever for any financial profits or loss which may arise from the recommendations above epic research does not purport to be an invitation or an offer to buy or sell any financial instrument. Our Clients (Paid Or Unpaid), Any third party or anyone else have no rights to forward or share our calls or SMS or Report or Any Information Provided by us to/with anyone which is received directly or indirectly by them. If found so then Serious Legal Actions can be taken.