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WEEKLY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT
18 JANUARY 2015
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Weekly Wrap Up
2
MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL
CORIANDER
APR 78300 7969 6855 7038 -10.84 27230
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP.1
6606
SUPP. 2
6173
PIVOT
7287
Coriander short term
trend is bullish and may
continue in coming
days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
7720
RES. 2
8471
CASTORSEED
FEB 3680 3680 3481 3530 -4.10 397670
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
3448
SUPP. 2
3365
PIVOT
3564
Castorseed short term
trend is bearish and
may continue in
coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
3646
RES. 2
3763
TURMERIC
APR 10160 10226 9610 9642 -5.15 42490
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
9426
SUPP. 2
9210
PIVOT
9826
Turmeric short term
trend is bearish and
may continue in coming
days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
10042
RES. 2
10422
GUARGUM
FEB 5910 6310 5850 5960 +0.51 83587
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
5770
SUPP. 2
5580
PIVOT
6040
Guargum Short term
trend is bullish and
may continue in
coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
6230
RES. 2
6500
Weekly Recommendations
3
BUY CORIANDER APRIL ABOVE 7380 TARGET 7580 7850 SL BELOW 7160
SELL CORIANDER APRIL BELOW 6850 TARGET 6650 6380 SL ABOVE 7000
BUY GUARGUM FEB ABOVE 6400 TARGET 6570 6770 SL BELOW 6200
SELL GUARGUM FEB BELOW 5810 TARGET 5640 5440 SL ABOVE 6010
Commodities In News
4
ECONOMIC NEWS
India needs an "effective, inclusive and universal" crop insurance
scheme to act as a safety net for farmers as frequency of extreme weather
events due to climate change is likely to increase in the future, a green
body said.Noting that the new crop insurance policy is a step in the right
direction but needs improvements, Centre for Science and Environment
(CSE) said that insurance unit is still not at individual farmer level which
is a major problem in compensating losses of the individual farmers.The
Union Cabinet chaired by Prime Minister Narendra Modi recently
approved the new crop insurance scheme -- Pradhan Mantri Fasal Bima
Yojna (PMFBY). CSE said that the new scheme will replace two schemes
-- National Agricultural Insurance Scheme (NAIS) and the modified NAIS
(MNAIS)."Frequency of extreme weather events and slow onset events
such as droughts are likely to increase in the future due to climate
change."India needs an effective, inclusive and universal insurance scheme
to act as a safety net for farmers. PMFBY is a step in the right direction,
but it requires some key changes to improve its effectiveness," said
Chandra Bhushan, Deputy Director General, CSE.The green body said the
insurance unit still is based on the administrative unit such as block,
mandal, nyay panchayat, and others."With such a large Insurance Unit
(IU), loss estimation at the individual farm levels is never accurate. This
means that some farmers will continue to get less money compared to their
losses and some more."This has been a major concern voiced by farmer
representatives and activists for a long time. As use of technology
improves, changes should be made to make one farm as one insurance unit
to make the scheme realistic in terms of gauging the losses and subsequent
payouts," CSE said.Holding that PMFBY remains silent about the direct
linkage between insurance companies and farmers, CSE said that this leads
to poor service delivery from the insurance companies and advocated for
direct linkages.CSE further said that the "monopolistic hold" of one
insurance company in an area will continue and farmers will still not have
a choice to pick one insurance company over another.
Turmeric settled down on slack buying from traders at the spot market.
Further, new arrivals on expectation of good output in the coming year too
fuelled the downtrend. Spot turmeric prices at Erode markets decreased on
slack buying. Only 5,000 bags arrived for sale and buyers procured 60 per
cent of the stock at a decreased price. Some stockists also procured few bags.
Sources also stated that around 27-28 lakh bags of total stocks have been
reported in local mandies. While the total production in the coming year is
expected to be around 68 lakh bags, up 20 lakh bags from the last year.
Deficient rainfall in during early part of sowing in major Turmeric growing
regions of Maharashtra and Karnataka may reduce the yield.As per dept of
commerce data, turmeric exports till September, 2015 pegged at 50,916
tonnes while the export for the 2014-15 is 90,738 tonnes compared to 78,360
tonnes in FY14. As on latest sowing data, turmeric sowing In AP, is
recorded at 15,864 hectares increase over last years’ acreage as well normal
sowing area progress however in Telangana, the sowing area is lower than
the normal sowing area at 40,823 hac compared to 43,470 hac last year.
Chana settled down on hopes of rise in arrival of new crop in the coming
days coupled with pressure of imported crop. Reports subdued demand at
higher prices as the standing chana crop is developing well in Rajasthan and
MP also weighed. As per data release by Agriculture Ministry, Chana
planted 81.08 lakh tonnes (lt) so far, compared with 79.95 lt last
year.Recently, Government has offloaded over 1.12 lakh tonnes of pulses,
seized from hoarders, in the retail market to improve availability and tame
prices Income tax department raided traders dealing in pulses, especially
chana (chickpea), in Delhi and Mumbai to check the irregularities in
importing. The acreage under chana reported higher in Maharashtra (12.72
lh Vs 9.6 lh), Andhra Pradesh (3.32 lh Vs 2.67 lh) and Karnataka compared
to last year’s acreage but slightly lower in Rajasthan (12.35 lh Vs 12.56 lh)
and MP as per data released by respective state agriculture department.India
has imported 3.07 lt of Chana until September in the current financial year.
5
NEWS RECAP
COMMODITY HEADLINES
Crop insurance needed because of climate change: CSE.
 Rains wash away worry for crops like wheat, mustard and gram in North.
Cane arrears for 2014-15 sugar season down to Rs 2,700 crore from peak of Rs 21,000 crore.
 Sikkim becomes India's first organic state.
 Nabard pegs priority sector lending for Andhra Pradesh at Rs 1.22 lakh crore.
 New crop insurance scheme will transform farmers' lives: PM Narendra Modi.
 Andhra Pradesh aims to train 1.5 lakh farmers in organic farming.
 Government releases record Rs 1.07 lakh crore to FCI.
 Paddy procurement till Jan 12 this kharif season up to 20.81 million tonnes from 15.74 million tonnes
a year ago.
 Sugar cess ceiling hiked to Rs 200 per quintal after President nod to bill.
 Maharashtra cancels crushing licence of 12 sugar mills for FRP arrears of last year.
SPOT QUOTES
6
COMMODITY NAME LOCATION PRICE
Ref Soya Oil Mumbai 605
Soy Bean Kota 3512.5
Soy Bean Indore 3763
Soy Bean Nagpur 3843.75
Soybean 2 MT Indore 3763
Soymeal Indore 33000
Sugar M Grade Delhi 3240
Sugar M Grade Kolkatta 3339.4
Sugar M Grade Muzaffar Nagar 3225
Sugar M Grade Erode 3298
Sugar S Erode 3198
Sugar S Vashi 3134.2
COMMODITY NAME LOCATION PRICE
Barley Jaipur 1494.4
Castor Seed Deesa 3486.35
Chana Bikaner 4825
Chana Delhi 4850
Chana Indore 4669.4
Coriander Kota 8197.7
Cotton Kadi 16134.7
Guar Gum Jodhpur 6103.35
Guarseed Bikaner 3274.4
Jeera Unjha 14705
Mustardseed Jaipur 4423.55
Mustardseed Alwar 4369.5
Ref Soya Oil Indore 606.7
Disclaimer
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responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the product/s that suits them the most.
 Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and
up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility.
 The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not provide
individually tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments
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Epic research weekly agri report 18 jan 2016

  • 1. WEEKLY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT 18 JANUARY 2015 HNI & NRI Sales Contact Australia Mintara Road, Tarneit, Victoria. Post Code 3029 Phone.: +61 422 063855 HNI & NRI Sales Contact USA 2117 Arbor Vista Dr. Charlotte (NC) Cell: +1 704 249 2315 Toll Free Number 1-800-200-9454 All queries should be directed to Info@epicresearch.co 1 Epic Research India 411 Milinda Manor (Suites 409- 417) 2 RNT Marg. Opp Central Mall Indore (M.P.) Hotline: +91 731 664 2300 Alternate: +91 731 664 2320 Or give us a missed call at 026 5309 0639 Our Presence YOURMINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
  • 2. Weekly Wrap Up 2 MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL CORIANDER APR 78300 7969 6855 7038 -10.84 27230 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP.1 6606 SUPP. 2 6173 PIVOT 7287 Coriander short term trend is bullish and may continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 7720 RES. 2 8471 CASTORSEED FEB 3680 3680 3481 3530 -4.10 397670 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 3448 SUPP. 2 3365 PIVOT 3564 Castorseed short term trend is bearish and may continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 3646 RES. 2 3763 TURMERIC APR 10160 10226 9610 9642 -5.15 42490 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 9426 SUPP. 2 9210 PIVOT 9826 Turmeric short term trend is bearish and may continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 10042 RES. 2 10422 GUARGUM FEB 5910 6310 5850 5960 +0.51 83587 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 5770 SUPP. 2 5580 PIVOT 6040 Guargum Short term trend is bullish and may continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 6230 RES. 2 6500
  • 3. Weekly Recommendations 3 BUY CORIANDER APRIL ABOVE 7380 TARGET 7580 7850 SL BELOW 7160 SELL CORIANDER APRIL BELOW 6850 TARGET 6650 6380 SL ABOVE 7000 BUY GUARGUM FEB ABOVE 6400 TARGET 6570 6770 SL BELOW 6200 SELL GUARGUM FEB BELOW 5810 TARGET 5640 5440 SL ABOVE 6010
  • 4. Commodities In News 4 ECONOMIC NEWS India needs an "effective, inclusive and universal" crop insurance scheme to act as a safety net for farmers as frequency of extreme weather events due to climate change is likely to increase in the future, a green body said.Noting that the new crop insurance policy is a step in the right direction but needs improvements, Centre for Science and Environment (CSE) said that insurance unit is still not at individual farmer level which is a major problem in compensating losses of the individual farmers.The Union Cabinet chaired by Prime Minister Narendra Modi recently approved the new crop insurance scheme -- Pradhan Mantri Fasal Bima Yojna (PMFBY). CSE said that the new scheme will replace two schemes -- National Agricultural Insurance Scheme (NAIS) and the modified NAIS (MNAIS)."Frequency of extreme weather events and slow onset events such as droughts are likely to increase in the future due to climate change."India needs an effective, inclusive and universal insurance scheme to act as a safety net for farmers. PMFBY is a step in the right direction, but it requires some key changes to improve its effectiveness," said Chandra Bhushan, Deputy Director General, CSE.The green body said the insurance unit still is based on the administrative unit such as block, mandal, nyay panchayat, and others."With such a large Insurance Unit (IU), loss estimation at the individual farm levels is never accurate. This means that some farmers will continue to get less money compared to their losses and some more."This has been a major concern voiced by farmer representatives and activists for a long time. As use of technology improves, changes should be made to make one farm as one insurance unit to make the scheme realistic in terms of gauging the losses and subsequent payouts," CSE said.Holding that PMFBY remains silent about the direct linkage between insurance companies and farmers, CSE said that this leads to poor service delivery from the insurance companies and advocated for direct linkages.CSE further said that the "monopolistic hold" of one insurance company in an area will continue and farmers will still not have a choice to pick one insurance company over another. Turmeric settled down on slack buying from traders at the spot market. Further, new arrivals on expectation of good output in the coming year too fuelled the downtrend. Spot turmeric prices at Erode markets decreased on slack buying. Only 5,000 bags arrived for sale and buyers procured 60 per cent of the stock at a decreased price. Some stockists also procured few bags. Sources also stated that around 27-28 lakh bags of total stocks have been reported in local mandies. While the total production in the coming year is expected to be around 68 lakh bags, up 20 lakh bags from the last year. Deficient rainfall in during early part of sowing in major Turmeric growing regions of Maharashtra and Karnataka may reduce the yield.As per dept of commerce data, turmeric exports till September, 2015 pegged at 50,916 tonnes while the export for the 2014-15 is 90,738 tonnes compared to 78,360 tonnes in FY14. As on latest sowing data, turmeric sowing In AP, is recorded at 15,864 hectares increase over last years’ acreage as well normal sowing area progress however in Telangana, the sowing area is lower than the normal sowing area at 40,823 hac compared to 43,470 hac last year. Chana settled down on hopes of rise in arrival of new crop in the coming days coupled with pressure of imported crop. Reports subdued demand at higher prices as the standing chana crop is developing well in Rajasthan and MP also weighed. As per data release by Agriculture Ministry, Chana planted 81.08 lakh tonnes (lt) so far, compared with 79.95 lt last year.Recently, Government has offloaded over 1.12 lakh tonnes of pulses, seized from hoarders, in the retail market to improve availability and tame prices Income tax department raided traders dealing in pulses, especially chana (chickpea), in Delhi and Mumbai to check the irregularities in importing. The acreage under chana reported higher in Maharashtra (12.72 lh Vs 9.6 lh), Andhra Pradesh (3.32 lh Vs 2.67 lh) and Karnataka compared to last year’s acreage but slightly lower in Rajasthan (12.35 lh Vs 12.56 lh) and MP as per data released by respective state agriculture department.India has imported 3.07 lt of Chana until September in the current financial year.
  • 5. 5 NEWS RECAP COMMODITY HEADLINES Crop insurance needed because of climate change: CSE.  Rains wash away worry for crops like wheat, mustard and gram in North. Cane arrears for 2014-15 sugar season down to Rs 2,700 crore from peak of Rs 21,000 crore.  Sikkim becomes India's first organic state.  Nabard pegs priority sector lending for Andhra Pradesh at Rs 1.22 lakh crore.  New crop insurance scheme will transform farmers' lives: PM Narendra Modi.  Andhra Pradesh aims to train 1.5 lakh farmers in organic farming.  Government releases record Rs 1.07 lakh crore to FCI.  Paddy procurement till Jan 12 this kharif season up to 20.81 million tonnes from 15.74 million tonnes a year ago.  Sugar cess ceiling hiked to Rs 200 per quintal after President nod to bill.  Maharashtra cancels crushing licence of 12 sugar mills for FRP arrears of last year.
  • 6. SPOT QUOTES 6 COMMODITY NAME LOCATION PRICE Ref Soya Oil Mumbai 605 Soy Bean Kota 3512.5 Soy Bean Indore 3763 Soy Bean Nagpur 3843.75 Soybean 2 MT Indore 3763 Soymeal Indore 33000 Sugar M Grade Delhi 3240 Sugar M Grade Kolkatta 3339.4 Sugar M Grade Muzaffar Nagar 3225 Sugar M Grade Erode 3298 Sugar S Erode 3198 Sugar S Vashi 3134.2 COMMODITY NAME LOCATION PRICE Barley Jaipur 1494.4 Castor Seed Deesa 3486.35 Chana Bikaner 4825 Chana Delhi 4850 Chana Indore 4669.4 Coriander Kota 8197.7 Cotton Kadi 16134.7 Guar Gum Jodhpur 6103.35 Guarseed Bikaner 3274.4 Jeera Unjha 14705 Mustardseed Jaipur 4423.55 Mustardseed Alwar 4369.5 Ref Soya Oil Indore 606.7
  • 7. Disclaimer  The information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable, but we do not accept any responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the product/s that suits them the most.  Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility.  The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not provide individually tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any transaction conducted based on the information given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE.  The share price projections shown are not necessarily indicative of future price performance. The information herein, together with all estimates and forecasts, can change without notice. Analyst or any person related to epic research might be holding positions in the stocks recommended. It is understood that anyone who is browsing through the site has done so at his free will and does not read any views expressed as a recommendation for which either the site or its owners or anyone can be held responsible for. Any surfing and reading of the information is the acceptance of this disclaimer. All Rights Reserved.  Investment in equity & bullion market has its own risks.  We, however, do not vouch for the accuracy or the completeness thereof. we are not responsible for any loss incurred whatsoever for any financial profits or loss which may arise from the recommendations above epic research does not purport to be an invitation or an offer to buy or sell any financial instrument. Our Clients (Paid Or Unpaid), Any third party or anyone else have no rights to forward or share our calls or SMS or Report or Any Information Provided by us to/with anyone which is received directly or indirectly by them. If found so then Serious Legal Actions can be taken.