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1. DAILY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT 13 NOVEMBER 2014
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2. Market Views
2
MONTH
OPEN
HIGH
LOW
CLOSE
% CHG
VOL
MONTH
OPEN
HIGH
LOW
CLOSE
% CHG
VOL
DHANIYA
DEC
12551
12740
12501
12635
+0.87
14530
INTRADAY LEVELS
SUPPORT
SUPP.1
12520
SUPP. 2
12405
PIVOT
12630
Dhaniya shortterm trend is up , further more upsideis expected in comimg days.
RESISTANCE
RES. 1
12745
RES. 2
12855
CASTORSEED
DEC
4873
4901
4853
4867
-0.29
95680
INTRADAY LEVELS
SUPPORT
SUPP. 1
4846
SUPP. 2
4826
PIVOT
4874
Castorseed short term trend is up,Prices expected to go up in coming days.
RESISTANCE
RES. 1
4894
RES. 2
4922
TURMERIC
DEC
6568
6684
6524
6582
+0.27
5765
INTRADAY LEVELS
SUPPORT
SUPP. 1
6509
SUPP. 2
6437
PIVOT
6597
Turmeric shortterm trend is up and may continue in coming days.
RESISTANCE
RES. 1
6669
RES. 2
6757
GUARGUM
DEC
14270
14680
14200
14570
+2.39
7718
INTRADAY LEVELS
SUPPORT
SUPP. 1
14287
SUPP. 2
14003
PIVOT
14483
Guargum Short term trend is downExpecting price may go downin coming days.
RESISTANCE
RES. 1
14767
RES. 2
14963

3. Most Active Contract
3
TOP GAINERS
SYMBOL
EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT PRICE
CHANGE
CHANGE %
SOYABEAN
20-11-2014
3284.00
70.00
2.18%
CORIANDER
20-11-2014
12206.00
173.00
1.44%
TURMERIC
20-11-2014
6402.00
68.00
1.07%
RAPESEED-MUSTARD SEED
20-11-2014
3853.00
28.00
0.73%
JEERA
20-11-2014
12095.00
75.00
0.62%
COTTON SEED OIL CAKE
19-12-2014
1348.00
6.00
0.45%
GUR
20-11-2014
962.50
4.00
0.42%
CASTOR SEED NEW
20-11-2014
4799.00
14.00
0.29%
CHANA
20-11-2014
3240.00
6.00
0.19%
SOYABEAN
20-11-2014
3284.00
70.00
2.18%
TOP LOSERS
SYMBOL
EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT PRICE
CHANGE
CHANGE %
BARLEY
20-11-2014
1624.50
-4.50
-0.28%
NCDEX INDICES
Index
Value
Pre. Close
% Change
CASTORSEED
4867
4881
-0.29
CHANA
3206
3221
-0.47
CORIANDER
12635
12526
0.87
GUARGUM
14570
14230
2.39
JEERA
12215
12170
0.37
MUSTARD SEED
3859
3836
0.6
SOYABEAN
3339
3283
1.71
TURMERIC
6582
6564
0.27

4. Commodities In News
4
ECONOMIC NEWS
Concernedoverthecottonpricecrash,Indiaisgearingupforactionsthatmightoffesrsomehelptothefarmers.AgricultureMinisterRadhaMohanSingh,CommerceMinisterNirmalaSitharamanandTextilesMinisterSantoshGangwarareduetomeetonWednesdaytofindoutwaystohelpthefarmers.“TheCottonCorporationofIndia(CCI)hasalreadybegunprocuringinTelanganaandAndhraPradesh.Themeetingtomorrow(Wednesday)ismeanttoexpediteprocurementinotherstates, especiallyGujaratandMaharashtra.Althougharrivalshavejuststarted,wedon’twanttowaitforpricestofallbelowtheminimumsupportprice(MSP)forofficialprocurementtotakeoff”,RadhaMohanSinghtoldTheIndianExpress.CCIcomesunderTextileMinistrywhiletheCommerceMinistry’srolearisesasnearly30percentofIndia’scottoncropisexported.
ThevolumeofriceprocuredbygovernmentagenciesinIndiaisdownby8%inthecurrent2014-15marketingyear. Theagencieshaveprocured9.2milliontonnessofaragainst10milliontonnesduringthesameperiodlastyear.RicemarketingyearrunsfromOctobertoSeptember.Annualprocurementtargetforthisyearis30milliontonnes.Lastyear, kharifriceprocurementwas26.65milliontonnesagainstthetargetof32.06milliontonnes.State-runFoodCorporationofIndia(FCI)andstateagenciesundertakeprocurementofriceandwheattoensurefarmersgetaminimumsupportprice(MSP).InPunjab,riceprocurementhasreached7.23milliontonnessofarthisyear,marginallydownfrom7.49milliontonnesintheyear-agoperiod.
TheJeerafuturestradedhigheronWednesdayonstrongdemandamidsowingworries,althoughprofittakingemergedathigherlevels. TheNCDEXJeerafortheDecemberdeliverysettledthedayatRs12,215,upRs45or0.37%.HugedeclineisreportedinJeerasowinginthecurrentyear.Jeeracropentersintothelaststageofsowing.Thepricesarelikelytobesupportiveinthenearterm.Itisimportanttokeepawatchweatherandsowingandinmajorcumingrowingareasinthecomingmonthsassowingseasonapproaches.TheNCDEXJeeraDecemberdeliverytouchedcontracthighofRs12460andclosedthesessionatRs12,215,upRs45or0.37%.Theopeninterestdipped60tonnesto6,393tonnes,indicatingshortcovering.
Turmericfuturesremainedsupportedamidbargainbuyingandweakproductionestimationalthoughsomeprofittakingemergedathigherside.TheNCDEXTurmericfortheDecemberdeliverysettledthedayatRs6582,upRs18or0.27%.DemandhasincreasedfromNizamabadtoday.Turmerictradersareexpectingnewproductionthisseasontobearound45lakhbags,down25lakhbagsfromthelastyear.Thetotalstocksareprojectedat45lakhbagstill1stJanuary2015.Thepriceswillrisefurtheronlimitedrainfallinmajorgrowingstates.
WeaknessiscontinuinginGuarseedandGuargummarket.Thetotalarrivalsare1.3lakhbagstoday.Oldandnewstocksareatacomfortablelevel.Exportshavebeenslackinlastfewweeksonmassivecorrectionincrudeoilfuturesglobally.Gumdemandissteadybutwouldpickuponlyifthecrudepricesriseinnearterm.SpotpricesarelingeringaroundRs4960/70perquintalmarkinJodhpur-itslowestlevelinfivemonths.

5. 5
FundamentalWatch : Cotton
COTTON ARRIVALS AT KEY SPOT MARKET
CottonmarketnoticedmostlyweaktoneonWednesday.AgricultureMinisterRadhaMohanSinghhascalledameetingwithtextileandcommercecounterpartsinordertodiscussthemeasuretocontrolthecontinuouslyfallingcottonprices.CottonpriceinmanystatesincludingAndhraPradeshandTelanganaarerulingbelowtheminimumsupportprice(MSP).InAndhraPradeshandTelanganaCottonCorporationofIndiahasstartedtheprocurementprocessinordertocheckthefallofcottonpricebelowtheMSP.SharadPawar,PresidentofNationalistCongressParty(NCP)hasblamedthenewlyformedBJPgovernmentforignoringfarmersinthestate.Accordingtohim,farmersparticularlyofcottonandsugarcanearefacingtroublesomesituationastheyaregettinglowpricesoftheirproduceandBJPgovernmenthasalsostoppedprocuringcottonfromthisyear.FurthermorethesubsidyofRs.300perquintalwhichwasgiventothefarmersbythestategovernmenthasalsobeenterminated.KarnatakagovernmentisplanningtointroduceaKarnatakaCottonbill,2014inordertoregulatethecottonpricesinthestate.ThebillforeseestheconstitutionofanauthoritywhichwouldbeheadedbyDirectorateofAgricultureDepartmentforsettingofpricesofBtcottonseedeachyear.
USDAhasraisedtheworldcottonproductionestimatesfortheseason2014/15.Outputofcottonwouldbearound26.04milliontonnesinthecurrentseason(2014/15)whichwasprojected25.99milliontonneslastmonth.AccordingtoUSDA,globalcottonproductionstood26.90milliontonnesduringpreviousseason(2013/14).Brazilmonthlycottonexportstood148,500tonnesinOctober2014,thehighestmonthlyvolumerecordedinlasttwoyears.Thesamecouldlifttheestimatedexportvolumefortheyear2014,whichis660,000tonnesforecastedbyConab.
CENTER
12-Nov-14
11-Nov-14
%Change
AMRAVATI
275
350
-75
RAJKOT
3750
3975
-225
PATAN
27160
32000
-4840
DEESA
1350
1300
50
BHIWANI
5000
3000
2000
GONDAL
2679
3368
-689
RAICHUR
1612
3000
-1388

6. Technical Outlook
6
BUY DHANIYA DEC ABOVE 12700 TGTS 12730,12780 SL 12650
BUY GUARGUM DEC ABOVE 14640 TGTS 14690,14790 SL 14540
BUY CASTORSEED DEC ABOVE 4900 TGTS 4930,4980 SL 4850
BUY TMC DEC ABOVE 6630 TGTS 6680,6780 SL 6530

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