www.transportenvironment.org
Nusa Urbancic,T&E
How to fix the ILUC
problem once and for
all?
www.transportenvironment.org
The problem
www.transportenvironment.org
Policy in the EU
• 10% binding target for renewables in
transport (RED) and 20% overall target
• 6% carbon reduction target for transport
fuels (FQD)
• ‘Sustainability criteria’ still do not include
indirect effects (ILUC)
www.transportenvironment.org
Use of biofuels until 2020Development of renewable energy in transport in EU 27
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
ktoe
2nd generation
Hydrogen
Other Biofuels
Electricity in transport
Bioethanol
Biodiesel
Biodiesel
Bioethanol
www.transportenvironment.org
Proposed reform
• Limit contribution of biofuels from food
crops to 5%
• Include ILUC factors, but only for
reporting 
• Introduce 2 and 4-times accounting for
advanced biofuels
Currently under discussion in the EU!
www.transportenvironment.org
Biofuels direct emissions
www.transportenvironment.org
Indirect land use change
www.transportenvironment.org
ILUC is real
• Six studies for the Commission and
numerous other scientific reports
“We urge you to align the EU biofuels policy
with the best scientific knowledge and take
into account emissions from indirect
changes in land use.”
Union of Concerned Scientists letter to Barroso
Signed by 210 scientists and researchers
www.transportenvironment.org
Imports of vegetable oils
www.transportenvironment.org
www.transportenvironment.org
EU biofuels policy driving deforestation
Speculators clear land in hopes of selling
to palm companies operating in their area;
often, palm companies don’t buy and land
is abandoned and degraded
Source: UCS 2011, Elson 2011
Palm production by country
www.transportenvironment.org
And costing a lot of money
• Without any action on ILUC CO2 savings
maybe 5%
• Abatement cost = €2500 /tonne CO2
• Price of carbon in the ETS = 4.5
EUR/tonne CO2
• Public subsidies to biofuels industry in the
EU 11 billion USD (IEA 2011)
Source: ICCT
www.transportenvironment.org
Biofuels in Spain
• Mostly biodiesel – no GHG savings
• Capacity utilization for biodiesel only 23%
(the lowest in the EU)
• Imports of biodiesel amount to 89%
• Spanish government opposed to the EU
reform to limit biofuels to 5%
• Wants to protect existing investment
www.transportenvironment.org
What to do with existing
investments?
www.transportenvironment.org
Our proposal
• Science-based, feedstock-specific ILUC factors
• Grandfathering caps biofuels at 5% and
gradually phase out high-ILUC biofuels post
2017
• Ensures that only low ILUC biofuels are
supported
Combines environmental effectiveness and a clear
framework for new low-carbon investment with fair
treatment of past investment
www.transportenvironment.org
How to meet 10% target?
• Reduce energy demand (15%)
• Encourage renewable electricity in rail and
road transport
• Biofuels from true wastes and residues, i.e.
municipal waste
www.transportenvironment.org
How to meet the target?
www.transportenvironment.org
Additional slides
www.transportenvironment.org
EU palm oil trade
www.transportenvironment.org
EU rapeseed oil trade
www.transportenvironment.org
Cost efficiency of ILUC options

Environment and trasnport_nusa_urbancic_22_marzo

Editor's Notes

  • #3 ILUC. Four meaningless letters. This is what ILUC looks like.It’s a picture of deforestation in Indonesia caused by ever-increasing demand for palm oil. As Europe switches food crops to produce fuel, we are importing Palm Oil to fill the gap. Some biofuels cause this problem to a far greater extent than others. We have to push the market towards the best biofuels. Doing nothing is not an option.We believe that there is a solution to the political stalemate around ILUC. That’s what we want to share with you today.
  • #8 Here’s what happens when you include ILUC. Changes the picture entirely.
  • #12 Union of Concerned Scientists and Climate Advisers. “Recipes for Success: Solutions for Deforestation-free Vegetable Oils.” 2011. Elson, Dominic. “An economic case for tenure reform in Indonesia’s forests.” Rights and Resources Initiative, 2011 and Casson et al. “Strategies to Reduce Carbon Emissions from the Oil Palm Sector in Indonesia” UNFCCC.
  • #15 BUT…we are facing a political stalemate…The Renewable energy directive contains a grandfathering clause.All installations in place at the end of 2013 would be exempted or ‘gradfathered’ until the end of 2017 as long as they meet an overall 45% GHG saving (iluc excluded)2 problems.Environmental:Because there is so much excess capacity in the sector, effectively all the biofuel production needed to meet the 10% target would be grandfathered. That would be environmentally disastrous, causing an additional area of land the size of Ireland to be cleared.Political:European biodiesel likely to be severely hit when grandfathering clause ends.Though, on principal, we don’t like any measure that allows environmental damage to continue, we recognise that some form of grandfathering will take place. We commissioned the research from Ecofys to try and move the debate forward and find the smartest ways of doing it.