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Lecture 10
Economic Development
Growth Models
Factors
Stuff
Productivity
How you use your stuff
Growth Models
2.2% 10%
32 years 7 years
Growth
Catching Up
Cutting Edge
Catching Up
adopt
imitate
Cutting Edge
new ideas
new inventions
new innovations
Model
Simplify
Assumptions
Capital
$100
Income
$10
Rate
$10
÷
$100
=10%
Simple Model
Income
Y
Capital K
Income = 10% of Capital
Y = 0.1K
$100 $200 $300
$10
$20
$30
Simple Model
Income
Y
Capital K
Income = √Capital
Y = √K
$100 $200 $300
$10
$20
$30
Simple Model
Income
Y
Capital K$100 $200 $300
$10
$20
$30 Depreciation
D = dK
D = 0.05K
Income = √Capital
Y = √K
Simple Model
Income
Y
Capital K$100 $200 $300
$10
$20
$30
Y = √K
D = 0.05K
K =$200
Y =
D =
C =
$14.14
$10.00
$4.14
Robert
Solow
Nobel
Prize
1987
Solow Model
Output is a function of
ideas, capital, education and
labor.
Y = Output
A = Ideas
K = Capital
e = education
L = Labor
Y = F(A, K, eL)
Solow Model
Y = F(A, K, eL)
Simplify to analyze
Assume A , e and L don’t change
don’t change = hold constant
Y = F(K)
Solow Model
Y = F(K)
Output is a function of Capital
Assume that the function increases at a
decreasing rate
Diminishing Returns
Solow Model
Rates of Return
Constant
Diminishing
Increasing
Rates of Return
Constant
Increasing
Decreasing
Y = F(K)
function is not linear
diminishing
Y = √K
Solow Model
Solow Growth Model
Capital K
Y
Output
Y = √K
How much output do you
get out of the next
addition of capital?
Diminishing
Marginal Product of Capital
Can poor catch up?
Capital Per Worker
Output
Per
Worker
Big
Gain
Little
Gain
Maybe?
Solow Growth Model
Capital K
Y
Output
Y = √K
S = I = s√K
K
Y =F(K)
Saving
=
Investment
S = I
S = s√K
Consumption
Investment
Solow Growth Model
Capital K
Y
Output
Depreciation
D
Function of K
d = rate
D = dK
Stuff wears out
D = dk
Solow Growth Model
Capital K
Y
Output
Depreciation
D
Function of K
d = rate
D = dK
2%
5%
Slope is the rate
Solow Growth Model
Y = √K
S = I = s√K
D = dk
Capital K
Y
Output Steady State
D = S = I
Consumption
K = 100
s = .30 or 30%
d = .025 or 2.5%
Y = ?
S = ?
D = ?
Consumption = ?
Quiz
Solow Growth Model
Y = √K
S = I = s√K
D = dk
Capital K
Y
Output
100
10
3
2.5
Solow Growth Model
Y = √K
S = I = s√K
D = dk
Capital K
Y
Output
144
12
3.60
Consumption
8.40
Increase Savings
Increase Productivity
Two Ways to Grow
Solow Growth Model
Raise
Savings
Rate
30%
40%
Capital K
Y
Output
Solow Growth Model
income is a function of K
add a productivity factor to
K
A = technology
Y = √K
Y = A√K
Solow Growth Model
Y = A1√K
Y = A2√K
Capital K
Y
Output
Increase Savings Rate
Increase Technology
Solow Growth Model
Yabut….
Diminishing?
Ideas
Increasing Returns
Romer
Growth Model
Ideas
Paul Romer
Every generation has
underestimated the potential for
finding new ideas…Possibilities do
not add up.They multiply
A + B
A x B
AB
Economics of Ideas
Ideas
Inventions
Innovations
Increasing Returns
A candle loses
nothing by
lighting another
candle
- John Heller
Rates of Return
Increasing
Romer
Decreasing
Solow

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