The document discusses the declining trend growth in the United States and other economies that has made recessions more likely. It argues that the factors often cited for the "Great Moderation" period of milder business cycles - improved supply chain management, monetary policy skills, and luck in international economic synchronicity - have not resurrected. Export dependence has increased volatility rather than moderating it. The experience of sharp downturns in key exporting nations' production during the Great Recession shows that supply chain management does not smooth business cycles as expected. Monetary policy timing has also been inconsistent, with the Federal Reserve lagging behind changes in recession and inflation risks. The 1990s benefitted from a lack of synchronized international
Digital town hall draft - DMAW luncheonBarry Jackson
Drawing upon his fifteen years of experience, Barry Jackson, Communications Advisor, Public Outreach for AARP discusses the emergence of Digital Town Hall meetings in today’s marketplace. He will discuss how the concept of the townhall is evolving, some of the tools that people are using, and innovative and creative ways that people are using those tools in combination to listen to constituents, engage in new ways and build deeper relationships with members-constituents-customers. He will highlight an array of tools that are in the digital space or can be used in conjunction with the digital space and then talk about the principles to apply to the use of the technologies; how AARP promotes them and then he will discuss best practices. He will share what he thinks is the best example of integrating all aspects of a digital townhall – it’s when President Obama came to AARP during the health care debate for a digital townhall with their members.
Mesa redonda Barcelona Activa -Novedades en la comunicación interpersonal - c...Cèlia Hil
Presentación utilizada para las conferencias de Gina Aran sobre "Comunicación", Federico Romero García sobre "Comunicación No verbal", Beth Borés sobre "Qué comunica nuestra imagen personal" y yo, Cèlia Hil, sobre "Comunicación Digital".
Enfoque para mejorar nuestra competencia comunicativa a nivel 360º y con ello aumentar nuestras posibilidades de desarrollar nuestra carrera profesional o de encontrar un empleo.
SERI 2011 Korea Economic Forum
External risks continue to threaten the global economy but Korea’s economic growth will likely improve in the second half of 2011 and free trade agreements are poised to increase expansion substantially. Those were among the points made at the Korean Economic Forum, co-hosted by Samsung Economic Research Institute and the Korea JoongAng Daily at the Hotel Shilla on May 25. Among the many distinguished guests were ambassadors, CEOs and foreign correspondents.
External risks continue to threaten the global economy but Korea’s economic growth will likely improve in the second half of 2011 and free trade agreements are poised to increase expansion substantially. Those were among the points made at the Korean Economic Forum, co-hosted by Samsung Economic Research Institute and the Korea JoongAng Daily at the Hotel Shilla on May 25. Among the many distinguished guests were ambassadors, CEOs and foreign correspondents.
Economic update – Keith Wade’s presentation at the LBS Investing Strategy event London Business School
Keith Wade is Chief Economist and strategist at Schroders. He is responsible for the economics team and the house view of the world economy. Prior to joining Schroders he was a researcher at London Business School's Centre for Economic Forecasting. In the presentation he discusses the current economic cycle, the likely trajectory and investment options for pension schemes having long term outlooks but short term pressure to manage volatility.
The “Investment Strategy 2013: Peering into the Crystal Ball” event was organised by The Pensions Management Institute and London Business School’s Alumni Club. It took place on 8 October 2012.
Improved Business Performance: Exploring an Evolved FAO StrategyEverest Group
Industry experts from Price Waterhouse Coopers, Tata Consultancy Services and Everest Group will discuss practices best for evolved FAO outcomes, how metrics can improve performance as well as examples of engagements that have taken on an evolved FAO strategy.
Digital town hall draft - DMAW luncheonBarry Jackson
Drawing upon his fifteen years of experience, Barry Jackson, Communications Advisor, Public Outreach for AARP discusses the emergence of Digital Town Hall meetings in today’s marketplace. He will discuss how the concept of the townhall is evolving, some of the tools that people are using, and innovative and creative ways that people are using those tools in combination to listen to constituents, engage in new ways and build deeper relationships with members-constituents-customers. He will highlight an array of tools that are in the digital space or can be used in conjunction with the digital space and then talk about the principles to apply to the use of the technologies; how AARP promotes them and then he will discuss best practices. He will share what he thinks is the best example of integrating all aspects of a digital townhall – it’s when President Obama came to AARP during the health care debate for a digital townhall with their members.
Mesa redonda Barcelona Activa -Novedades en la comunicación interpersonal - c...Cèlia Hil
Presentación utilizada para las conferencias de Gina Aran sobre "Comunicación", Federico Romero García sobre "Comunicación No verbal", Beth Borés sobre "Qué comunica nuestra imagen personal" y yo, Cèlia Hil, sobre "Comunicación Digital".
Enfoque para mejorar nuestra competencia comunicativa a nivel 360º y con ello aumentar nuestras posibilidades de desarrollar nuestra carrera profesional o de encontrar un empleo.
SERI 2011 Korea Economic Forum
External risks continue to threaten the global economy but Korea’s economic growth will likely improve in the second half of 2011 and free trade agreements are poised to increase expansion substantially. Those were among the points made at the Korean Economic Forum, co-hosted by Samsung Economic Research Institute and the Korea JoongAng Daily at the Hotel Shilla on May 25. Among the many distinguished guests were ambassadors, CEOs and foreign correspondents.
External risks continue to threaten the global economy but Korea’s economic growth will likely improve in the second half of 2011 and free trade agreements are poised to increase expansion substantially. Those were among the points made at the Korean Economic Forum, co-hosted by Samsung Economic Research Institute and the Korea JoongAng Daily at the Hotel Shilla on May 25. Among the many distinguished guests were ambassadors, CEOs and foreign correspondents.
Economic update – Keith Wade’s presentation at the LBS Investing Strategy event London Business School
Keith Wade is Chief Economist and strategist at Schroders. He is responsible for the economics team and the house view of the world economy. Prior to joining Schroders he was a researcher at London Business School's Centre for Economic Forecasting. In the presentation he discusses the current economic cycle, the likely trajectory and investment options for pension schemes having long term outlooks but short term pressure to manage volatility.
The “Investment Strategy 2013: Peering into the Crystal Ball” event was organised by The Pensions Management Institute and London Business School’s Alumni Club. It took place on 8 October 2012.
Improved Business Performance: Exploring an Evolved FAO StrategyEverest Group
Industry experts from Price Waterhouse Coopers, Tata Consultancy Services and Everest Group will discuss practices best for evolved FAO outcomes, how metrics can improve performance as well as examples of engagements that have taken on an evolved FAO strategy.
Some thoughts about how digital marketing agencies can provide great data insights for clients without killing themselves (and their margins) in the process.
Similar to Ecri get ready for more recessions (20)
The Art of the Pitch: WordPress Relationships and SalesLaura Byrne
Clients don’t know what they don’t know. What web solutions are right for them? How does WordPress come into the picture? How do you make sure you understand scope and timeline? What do you do if sometime changes?
All these questions and more will be explored as we talk about matching clients’ needs with what your agency offers without pulling teeth or pulling your hair out. Practical tips, and strategies for successful relationship building that leads to closing the deal.
Kubernetes & AI - Beauty and the Beast !?! @KCD Istanbul 2024Tobias Schneck
As AI technology is pushing into IT I was wondering myself, as an “infrastructure container kubernetes guy”, how get this fancy AI technology get managed from an infrastructure operational view? Is it possible to apply our lovely cloud native principals as well? What benefit’s both technologies could bring to each other?
Let me take this questions and provide you a short journey through existing deployment models and use cases for AI software. On practical examples, we discuss what cloud/on-premise strategy we may need for applying it to our own infrastructure to get it to work from an enterprise perspective. I want to give an overview about infrastructure requirements and technologies, what could be beneficial or limiting your AI use cases in an enterprise environment. An interactive Demo will give you some insides, what approaches I got already working for real.
State of ICS and IoT Cyber Threat Landscape Report 2024 previewPrayukth K V
The IoT and OT threat landscape report has been prepared by the Threat Research Team at Sectrio using data from Sectrio, cyber threat intelligence farming facilities spread across over 85 cities around the world. In addition, Sectrio also runs AI-based advanced threat and payload engagement facilities that serve as sinks to attract and engage sophisticated threat actors, and newer malware including new variants and latent threats that are at an earlier stage of development.
The latest edition of the OT/ICS and IoT security Threat Landscape Report 2024 also covers:
State of global ICS asset and network exposure
Sectoral targets and attacks as well as the cost of ransom
Global APT activity, AI usage, actor and tactic profiles, and implications
Rise in volumes of AI-powered cyberattacks
Major cyber events in 2024
Malware and malicious payload trends
Cyberattack types and targets
Vulnerability exploit attempts on CVEs
Attacks on counties – USA
Expansion of bot farms – how, where, and why
In-depth analysis of the cyber threat landscape across North America, South America, Europe, APAC, and the Middle East
Why are attacks on smart factories rising?
Cyber risk predictions
Axis of attacks – Europe
Systemic attacks in the Middle East
Download the full report from here:
https://sectrio.com/resources/ot-threat-landscape-reports/sectrio-releases-ot-ics-and-iot-security-threat-landscape-report-2024/
Let's dive deeper into the world of ODC! Ricardo Alves (OutSystems) will join us to tell all about the new Data Fabric. After that, Sezen de Bruijn (OutSystems) will get into the details on how to best design a sturdy architecture within ODC.
Dev Dives: Train smarter, not harder – active learning and UiPath LLMs for do...UiPathCommunity
💥 Speed, accuracy, and scaling – discover the superpowers of GenAI in action with UiPath Document Understanding and Communications Mining™:
See how to accelerate model training and optimize model performance with active learning
Learn about the latest enhancements to out-of-the-box document processing – with little to no training required
Get an exclusive demo of the new family of UiPath LLMs – GenAI models specialized for processing different types of documents and messages
This is a hands-on session specifically designed for automation developers and AI enthusiasts seeking to enhance their knowledge in leveraging the latest intelligent document processing capabilities offered by UiPath.
Speakers:
👨🏫 Andras Palfi, Senior Product Manager, UiPath
👩🏫 Lenka Dulovicova, Product Program Manager, UiPath
"Impact of front-end architecture on development cost", Viktor TurskyiFwdays
I have heard many times that architecture is not important for the front-end. Also, many times I have seen how developers implement features on the front-end just following the standard rules for a framework and think that this is enough to successfully launch the project, and then the project fails. How to prevent this and what approach to choose? I have launched dozens of complex projects and during the talk we will analyze which approaches have worked for me and which have not.
Search and Society: Reimagining Information Access for Radical FuturesBhaskar Mitra
The field of Information retrieval (IR) is currently undergoing a transformative shift, at least partly due to the emerging applications of generative AI to information access. In this talk, we will deliberate on the sociotechnical implications of generative AI for information access. We will argue that there is both a critical necessity and an exciting opportunity for the IR community to re-center our research agendas on societal needs while dismantling the artificial separation between the work on fairness, accountability, transparency, and ethics in IR and the rest of IR research. Instead of adopting a reactionary strategy of trying to mitigate potential social harms from emerging technologies, the community should aim to proactively set the research agenda for the kinds of systems we should build inspired by diverse explicitly stated sociotechnical imaginaries. The sociotechnical imaginaries that underpin the design and development of information access technologies needs to be explicitly articulated, and we need to develop theories of change in context of these diverse perspectives. Our guiding future imaginaries must be informed by other academic fields, such as democratic theory and critical theory, and should be co-developed with social science scholars, legal scholars, civil rights and social justice activists, and artists, among others.
Software Delivery At the Speed of AI: Inflectra Invests In AI-Powered QualityInflectra
In this insightful webinar, Inflectra explores how artificial intelligence (AI) is transforming software development and testing. Discover how AI-powered tools are revolutionizing every stage of the software development lifecycle (SDLC), from design and prototyping to testing, deployment, and monitoring.
Learn about:
• The Future of Testing: How AI is shifting testing towards verification, analysis, and higher-level skills, while reducing repetitive tasks.
• Test Automation: How AI-powered test case generation, optimization, and self-healing tests are making testing more efficient and effective.
• Visual Testing: Explore the emerging capabilities of AI in visual testing and how it's set to revolutionize UI verification.
• Inflectra's AI Solutions: See demonstrations of Inflectra's cutting-edge AI tools like the ChatGPT plugin and Azure Open AI platform, designed to streamline your testing process.
Whether you're a developer, tester, or QA professional, this webinar will give you valuable insights into how AI is shaping the future of software delivery.
GraphRAG is All You need? LLM & Knowledge GraphGuy Korland
Guy Korland, CEO and Co-founder of FalkorDB, will review two articles on the integration of language models with knowledge graphs.
1. Unifying Large Language Models and Knowledge Graphs: A Roadmap.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2306.08302
2. Microsoft Research's GraphRAG paper and a review paper on various uses of knowledge graphs:
https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/research/blog/graphrag-unlocking-llm-discovery-on-narrative-private-data/
Transcript: Selling digital books in 2024: Insights from industry leaders - T...BookNet Canada
The publishing industry has been selling digital audiobooks and ebooks for over a decade and has found its groove. What’s changed? What has stayed the same? Where do we go from here? Join a group of leading sales peers from across the industry for a conversation about the lessons learned since the popularization of digital books, best practices, digital book supply chain management, and more.
Link to video recording: https://bnctechforum.ca/sessions/selling-digital-books-in-2024-insights-from-industry-leaders/
Presented by BookNet Canada on May 28, 2024, with support from the Department of Canadian Heritage.
Transcript: Selling digital books in 2024: Insights from industry leaders - T...
Ecri get ready for more recessions
1. Get Ready for
More Recessions
June 2010
Today I’d like to share with you what I think is an unusual perspective, rooted in
our group’s longtime focus on business cycle research.
As you know. most analysts are working from pretty much the same toolkit –
using some variation of econometric modeling as the foundation of their
thinking.
But at ECRI we’re not economists. We are, and have been for generations,
students of the business cycle.
To be clear, our analysis is not model-driven.
Rather, it is based on insights into the dynamics of the business cycle.
>>> Let’s begin with a simple question about business cycle basics…
How do you get a recession?
1