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E-commerce & SMEs
Uncovering Thailand’s Hidden Assets
By Sea Insights
October 2019
2
Authors
About Us
Sea is the leading internet company in Southeast
Asia and Taiwan. Sea’s businesses include Shopee,
the region’s largest and most popular e-commerce
platform, Garena, a global leader in games
publishing and development, and AirPay, one of the
pioneers of Southeast Asia’s digital financial services
sector.
Shopee is the leading e-commerce platform in
Southeast Asia and Taiwan. It is a platform tailored
for the region, providing customers with an easy,
secure and fast online shopping experience through
strong payment and logistical support. Shopee aims
to continually enhance its platform and become the
region’s e-commerce destination of choice.
Sea Insights is Sea’s research and public policy
unit. Its mission is to develop a deeper
understanding of the rapidly evolving digital
economy in Southeast Asia and Taiwan. Its research
aims to inform leaders, from both the private and
public sectors, on critical policy and strategy matters
facing the digital ecosystem in the region.
Santitarn Sathirathai, PhD
Group Chief Economist
santis@seagroup.com
Michael Wan
Senior Economist
wanm@seagroup.com
Nathan Chaniago
Research Analyst
chaniagon@seagroup.com
The authors would like to thank Dr. Voraprapa
Nakavachara for her contributions to the design
and analysis of the survey.
Source
This report primarily relies on Shopee’s proprietary
data based on a survey of Shopee sellers
About the Company
For More Insights
https://www.seagroup.com/home
https://medium.com/seainsights
Executive Summary
Executive Summary
4
E-commerce: A Pathway to Inclusive Growth
Explosive Revenue
Growth for SMEs
Boost to SME
Productivity
Increase in
Employment
Improved Household
Income Streams
Connecting Buyers &
Sellers Across Thailand
Upcountry Regions
Benefit More
130%
in online and
offline sales
370%
Upto
In total sales
for fully digital
SMEs
Sellers are able to lift sales
without large sales force
Potential for
350%
in efficiency
In number employed
per seller
For those who reinvest profits
into hiring labor:
17%
46%
It also provides flexible working
arrangements for those with
full-time responsibilities
Sellers can access distant markets,
while buyers can discover a
broader range of products
Buyers and sellers are now no
longer geographically limited to
markets in their area
North, Northeast, & South
Thailand saw greatest increase
in market discovery
These regions had the highest
share reporting an increase in
household income
Report higher
household income
due to e-commerce82%
In number employed
per seller
Executive Summary
5
E-commerce: Uncovering Thailand’s Hidden Assets
Reimagining inclusive growth
In an era of slower global trade growth, it has become more important than ever before to identify new sources of
demand, while also ensuring that the benefits of growth filters down to those who need it most.
E-commerce - a pathway to inclusion for Thailand’s hidden assets
Our research shows that e-commerce can be one way to contribute to inclusive growth, by uncovering the untapped
potential of groups such as the small and medium enterprises, merchants outside Bangkok, and also hidden
entrepreneurs (e.g. homemakers and students).
We surveyed close to 7,000 merchants on Shopee Thailand – conducting one of the largest surveys of e-commerce
sellers in Thailand – and analyzed how household income, sales, employment and customer locations changed post e-
commerce adoption.
Explosion in revenue and lift to productivity
We found that e-commerce adoption raises revenue by 133% on average for SMEs. This upside can be as much as
369% for those who fully embrace digital integration1 (i.e. online sales account for more than 80% of total sales).
They also attained higher sales without having to hire a large sales force, with a productivity boost of more than 350%
for those fully embrace e-commerce.
Increase in productivity is especially important in Thailand given prevalent talent shortages among SMEs.
Boost to employment
In addition to an increase in productivity, SMEs also saw 17% increase in employment on average for the full sample,
with merchants who re-invest profits into labor seeing up to 46% increase in headcount after going online.
1Digital integration refers to how much of a seller’s total revenue are derived from online sales
Executive Summary
6
E-commerce: Uncovering Thailand’s Hidden Assets
Significant improvement in household incomes
82% of SMEs reported an increase in household incomes after adopting e-commerce, with >90% of highly digitalized
SMEs witnessing an increase, a reflection of how e-commerce was able to lift sales and productivity of these small
merchants with traditional offline businesses.
“Death of Distance”: E-commerce removes geographical boundaries
One channel through which e-commerce improves incomes is by reducing distance constraints. Through e-commerce,
merchants are able to discover new markets, while buyers can find new products from faraway provinces more easily.
Our research shows that more than 80% of sellers now sell outside their own region, versus just 45% before e-
commerce.
Sellers outside Bangkok saw the greatest increase in incomes and access to markets
More importantly, the lift to household incomes and access to markets was most pronounced outside of Bangkok, and
in particular in regions with lower incomes such as the North, Northeast and South.
For instance, 86% of merchants in North Thailand reported an increase in incomes post e-commerce adoption, and
92% of them now sell outside their own region.
Rise of the “hidden entrepreneurs”
E-commerce also helps groups with full-time responsibilities such as homemakers, students, and employees generate
alternative sources of income, greatly improving their livelihoods in the process.
These hidden entrepreneurs benefit from zero to little overhead costs from e-commerce, allowing them to experiment
and try new business models, while at the same time fulfilling their duties such as caring for their families and paying
for their education.
Introduction
SMEs, Outside Bangkok and the Hidden Entrepreneurs
Introduction
Source: Office of SMEs Promotion (OSMEP), Department of Business Development of Thailand, Office of the National Economic and Social Development
Council (NESDB), National Statistical Office of Thailand, Sea & WEF
8
The Three Hidden Assets in Thailand
Traditional SMEs Outside Bangkok
Hidden
Entrepreneurs
SMEs make up 99% of
enterprises
However, productivity of
SMEs remain low. They
contribute just 43% of
Thailand’s GDP
87% of Thailand’s population
live outside of Bangkok
Regions outside of Bangkok
have relatively lower incomes.
Outside of Bangkok, GDP per
capita is US$5,400 versus
US$17,500 within Bangkok
32% of Thai youths aspire to
be entrepreneurs – by far the
most popular future job choice
17% of the population are
outside the labor force but
have the potential to
contribute to the economy
as entrepreneurs
SMEs, Outside Bangkok and the Hidden Entrepreneurs
Introduction
9
How E-commerce Can Reveal the Three Hidden Assets
Lowering Barriers “Death of Distance” Alternative Income
Streams
• Lowers barriers to
entrepreneurship
• Eliminates the need for
physical stores
• Requires little to zero
overhead costs
• Greater economies of
scale
• E-commerce helps to
minimize search costs
• Sellers are able to find
new markets
• Buyers are able to
discover a wider
assortment of products,
including those that are
novel, niche or from
faraway provinces
• Ability to work on your
own schedule
• Helps to supplement
existing streams of
income
• Beneficial for those who
are not able to take on
full-time jobs (e.g.
homemakers, students,
etc.)
E-commerce can be a pathway to inclusive growth for
Traditional SMEs, those Outside Bangkok, and the Hidden Entrepreneurs
Introduction
Source: Google & Temasek, eMarketer, Google Consumer Barometer, International Monetary Fund, Newzoo, World Bank, Goldman Sachs 10
Thailand E-commerce – Fast Growing But Still in Early
Days
High Growth in GMV
E-commerce is Still Underpenetrated
Strong Foundationfor E-commerce
0.9
5.0
18.0
2015 2019 2025E
(Thailand E-commerce GMV in Billions, 2015-2025)
54%
24%
(E-commerce as % of Total Retail, 2018)
2% 3%
10%
30%
Thailand ASEAN6 US China
Total
Population
56%
Online
Population
68M 38M
Digital Natives
Smartphone
Centric
Smartphone
Penetration
Social Media Savvy
51% of consumers buy
goods using social media
Banked Population
Thailand: 78%
vs
ASEAN6: 41%
71%
Let’s ask 6,900 Thai Sellers on Shopee
Introduction
1Traditional SMEs refer to sellers in our sample who had a pre-existing offline business before beginning to sell online
2Brand new entrepreneurs refers to sellers who did not have any pre-existing businesses before beginning to sell online. 11
A Unique & Novel Data Set Focusing on Thai Sellers
Q: Demographics Q: Economic Impact
of E-commerce
Q: Others
• Revenue
• Profit Growth
• Employment
• Change in Household
Income
• Customer Location
• Motivation for Going Online
• Use of Profits
• Most Important Function or
Characteristic of E-commerce
Platforms (e.g. ease of use,
logistical support, etc.)
• Business Needs
• Age & Gender
• Location
• Education
• Employment Status
• Household (HH) Size
• Primary Earner for HH
• Etc.
One of the largest
survey datasets on
Thai e-commerce
sellers
2,100
Traditional
SMEs1
4,800
Brand New
Entrepreneurs2
Traditional SMEs
Note: Traditional SMEs refer to retail SMEs who had an existing offline business prior to using e-commerce
The higher the level of digital integration the bigger the jump
Traditional SMEs
13
E-commerce Led to a Surge in Total Revenue
On average, e-commerce adoption lifts both online and offline revenue by 133% for SMEs with an offline business,
which is roughly an average annual increase of 51%
This increase ranges from a 93% boost for merchants with online sales below 20% of total sales, to as high as 369%
for sellers who fully embrace digital integration (i.e. online sales for more than 80% of sales).
Total Revenue Increase After Adopting E-commerce
93% 100%
135%
194%
369%
0% to 20% 21% to 40% 41% to 60% 61% to 80% 81% to 100%
Online Sales as % of Total Sales
(% Change in Revenue from Just Before Adopting E-commerce to Currently)
Average
Years
Online
Note: These findings are based on the data of ~2,100 traditional SMEs, those with pre-existing offline businesses, surveyed through Shopee
The higher the level of digital integration the bigger the jump
14
Sellers Benefited from a Sharp Improvement in
Efficiency
+89% +98%
+127%
+187%
+356%
0% to 20% 21% to 40% 41% to 60% 61% to 80% 81% to 100%
Online Sales as % of Total Sales
Total Efficiency Increase After Adopting E-commerce
(% Change in Revenue Per Employee from Just Before Adopting E-commerce to Currently)
Merchants also attained higher revenue through an increase in efficiency rather than having to hire a large sales force. In
our report we define efficiency as revenue per employee. On average, sellers underwent a 128% increase in efficiency.
This equates to an average increase of 49% annually.
This is especially important in the context of Thai economy where there are severe labor shortages (unemployment rate
is below 1%) especially among the SMEs, and hints at e-commerce being an important tool to ease SME constraints.
Additionally, sellers saw improvement ranging from 89% to 356% depending on their degree of digital integration.
Average
Years
Online
Note: These findings are based on the data of ~2,100 traditional SMEs, those with pre-existing offline businesses, surveyed through Shopee
Traditional SMEs
Traditional SMEs
15
E-commerce Boosts Employment
17%
46%
Total Change in Employment
Full Sample Sellers Who Invest in Labour
In addition to the prominent increase in efficiency, Thai sellers also employed more people on average.
On average, merchants across our sample saw an increase of 17% in employment after selling online on e-commerce
platforms.
When asked what merchants primarily do with their profits from e-commerce (e.g. save, reinvest in business, pay for
education, etc.), those that decided to use their profits to invest in labor saw an improvement in employment of up
to 46%.
Employment Increase After Adoption of E-commerce
(Average % Change in Employment by Use of Profit)
Traditional SMEs
1Highly digitalized traditional SMEs refer to those with e-commerce sales contributing to more than 50% of total sales 16
Household Income and Potential For Economic
Inclusion
How Has E-commerce Impacted Your Monthly
Household Income?
of SMEs report an increase in
household income
of highly digitalized1 traditional SMEs
report an increase in household income
82% 93%
Increase No Increase
Meet Khun Laksana Viriyaphan, owner of BaanBokBok
Traditional SMEs
Sources: https://shopee.co.th/baanbokbok 17
Case Study: Pets, Passion, and Profitability
Soon after she discovered
Shopee and decided to join
in January 2017
At the beginning she only sold 1-4
orders/month, and began expanding her
products by popular request
With features like Shopee Campaigns
she now sells over 300 orders/month
on Shopee and accounts for 60% of
her total revenue.
Thanks to her love of animals, Kuhn Laksana
began selling pet products in March 2000
directly from her house in Bangkok
Initially she only sold her
bestselling cat and dog
products online
After adopting e-commerce her
annual profits have increased by up
to 30% and have significantly
increased her household income
Meet Khun Phossakorn Tanratsuwan, owner of iMUKi Auto Boutique
Traditional SMEs
Sources: https://shopee.co.th/imuki_auto_boutique 18
Case Study: Scaling Existing Operations
He started his online business
with selling leather car seat
covers under the iMUKI brand
Joined Shopee in May 2018, due to its seamless seller
onboarding process and online business management
E-commerce quickly became a prominent
part of his business accounting for 60% of
iMUKI’s customers
He then expanded his products into
car accessories (e.g. car cameras,
organizers, jump starters, etc.)
Initially, iMUKI consisted of 6 offline
stores and 1 factory in Thailand and an
1 additional store in Myanmar
x7
Outside Bangkok
Outside Bangkok
Note: Line thickness represents magnitude of trade relative to the sub sample represented in the panel. Dot size represents magnitude of trade to own province, also relative. 20
“Death of Distance” – E-commerce Increases Trade
Connections
E-commerce allows merchants to discover new markets by reducing distance constraints.
It also helps buyers find new products from faraway provinces more easily by reducing search costs.
Before E-commerce
WholeofThailand
Currently
WholeofThailand
Before E-commerce
45% of SMEs sold outside of
their own region
After E-commerce
81% of SMEs now sell outside their
own region
The number of trade connections
roughly doubled after adopting e-
commerce
Outside Bangkok
21
Outside of Bangkok Saw Greatest Increase in Market
Discovery
This improvement in trade connectivity was most pronounced among the regions with the lowest incomes in
Thailand, such as North and Northeast Thailand.
Before E-commerce Currently
Note: Line thickness represents magnitude of trade relative to the sub sample represented in the panel. Dot size represents magnitude of trade to own province, also relative.
Outside Bangkok
22
E-commerce: A Pathway to Economic Inclusion for
Poorer Regions
E-commerce allows for instantaneous reach across the country, with the lower income regions such as the North,
Northeast and South seeing the greatest increase in share of merchants selling outside their own regions
E.g. The proportion of sellers in the North of Thailand who sell to customers outside the region they live in rose by
49 percentage points, from 43% of all sellers to 92%
Change in Proportion of Merchants Selling to Outside of Their Own Region
(Share of Sellers By Region Before and After Joining E-commerce)
Note: These estimates for revenue increase by share of online sales are based on our regression analysis and control for various factorssuch as education, age, gender,
and number of years in operation. Please see Appendix for more details
43% 38% 41%
48% 50% 45%
38%
58%
92%
85% 86% 87% 87%
81%
72%
87%
+49% +47% +45% +39% +37% +36% +34% +29%
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
North South Northeast West East Whole of
Thailand
Bangkok Central
Before E-commerce Currently Change (p.p)
Outside Bangkok
23
Upcountry Regions See Greatest Improvement in
Household Income
How Has E-commerce Impacted Your Monthly
Household Income?
Household Increase from E-commerce
(Share of Sellers Reporting an Increase in
Household Income from E-commerce)
Highest share of positive impact found in the
North, Northeast and South, the three regions
with the lowest income
84%
86% 84% 83% 83% 82% 80% 78% 76%
Household Increase from E-commerce in the
North, Northeast and South of Thailand
Increase No Increase
Meet Kru Na, owner of Charoenphahomnuam
Outside Bangkok
Sources: https://shopee.co.th/charoenuansook 24
Case Study: Transitioning From Offline to Online
Due to geographical constraint, she could
only sell seasonally. At peak tourist season
she would sell only 2-5 orders/month
Joining Shopee allowed her to broaden her
market by overcoming distance and time
limitations, resulting in much higher sales
To better herself even more she joined
Shopee Bootcamp, a 3-month intensive
course on e-commerce and online marketing
Equipped with digital skills and access
to broader markets she now receives
orders for 70 pieces/month
Kru Na lives in Loei in Northeastern
Thailand. She has an offline business
selling hand-made quilted bed linens
To overcome this she
decided to open a shop
in Shopee in June 2018
NE
Meet Khun Kronrakarn Tungkanitanon (Biw), owner of Kronrakarntungkanitanon
Outside Bangkok
Sources: https://shopee.co.th/kronrakarntungkanitanon 25
Case Study: Made Locally, Sold Nationally
After trying many products she found
a few products made locally within
the region that became her favorites
Unhappy with her results she
decided to join Shopee in
October 2016
Shopee provided access to all of
Thailand, and now 70% of all her sales
come from outside Northern Thailand
After joining Shopee, her profits have
increased by 20% and now Shopee has
become her main revenue stream
Khun Biw, from Khonkaen in Northern
Thailand has had a passion for self-care and
beauty products since she was a teenager
She started selling these favorites
door-to-door in 2014, and sold
only 1-3 orders/month
N
The Hidden Entrepreneurs
27
Traditional SMEs
From Offline to Online
Hidden Entrepreneurs
Straight to Online
are more likely to be…
The
Primary Earner
are the primary
earners
52%
Not the
Primary Earner
are not the primary
earners
58%
Self-Employed
are self
employed
59%
Full-Time
Responsibilities
are homemakers,
employed, or
students
63%
The Hidden Entrepreneurs
E-commerce Helps to Generate Alternative Sources
of Income
Entrepreneurs come in many forms, and are not limited to those who own offline businesses. These “hidden entrepreneurs”,
as we like to call them, are like seeds of economic opportunity waiting to grow. And like seeds, they each have unique
contexts, nuances and environments that they require to properly flourish.
These hidden entrepreneurs include students, homemakers, and employees. They are more likely to be female, have full-time
responsibilities, and are not the primary income earner of their household, unlike sellers with pre-existing offline businesses.
For this group, the flexibility of e-commerce allows them access to alternative streams of income.
Male
male;
64% female
36%
Female
Female;
25% male
75%
x5
Meet Khun Aimy, owner of Chili Crunch
The Hidden Entrepreneurs
Sources: https://shopee.co.th/bubuubaby 28
Case Study: Recipe for Success
She was originally helping out in the family
restaurant. In her spare time she would dry
chilies as a hobby
With e-commerce she can run
the whole business by
herself, end-to-end
She started receiving orders on day one
and has gradually grown her shop, which
is now her primary source of income
Since joining she has added 5
more new flavors and a new
garlic based snack.
Khun Aimy is a 28 year old
mother of 2 kids living in
Nonthaburi
She found a new interest in selling her
dried chilies online and opened Chili
Crunch on Shopee in January 2018
The Hidden Entrepreneurs
Sources: https://shopee.co.th/best.shortnote 29
Case Study: Earning While Learning
She started her online only business
in Shopee in August 2018
She is now able to make
over 100,000 THB (3,030
USD) annually
The ease of managing a
business using e-commerce
allows her to earn and learn
Khun Kwan is a full-time Mahidol
University student
She sells beautifully decorated and organized study notes
for all education levels from primary to high school level.
Meet Khun Kwanporn Varasin (Kwan), owner of Best.Shortnote
Motivation for Adopting E-commerce
Different priorities for those in different forms of employment
The Hidden Entrepreneurs
30
Motivation for E-commerce Differs by Employment
Hidden entrepreneurs have different motivations for adopting e-commerce. For instance, full-time employees are
motivated most by the ease of setting up a business through e-commerce, and also the flexibility it affords them.
On the other hand, homemakers value the ability to have more household time through e-commerce. This could reflect
e-commerce’s ability to boost productivity, achieving higher sales with less resources and fixed costs.
For students, the two important motivations are the ease to set up a business and lower business cost. Students could
view e-commerce as a cost effective means to experiment and try out new business ideas.
Full-Time Employees Homemakers Students
(58%) (51%)
Ease of
Setting Up
Flexible
Times
(70%) (65%) (87%) (51%)
More Household
Time
Ease of
Setting Up
Ease of
Setting up
Lower
Business Cost
Different priorities for those in different forms of employment
The Hidden Entrepreneurs
31
Use of Profits from E-commerce Differs by
Employment
Hidden entrepreneurs also use profits from e-commerce differently depending on their needs and situation.
For example, students are most likely to utilize profits to pay for their education, and in doing so, achieve a higher
standard of living for themselves.
On the other hand, the top use of profits for homemakers is to care for their family.
Full-Time Employees Homemakers Students
(61%) (52%)
Save Profits Reinvest into
Business
(65%) (50%) (76%) (41%)
Care for Family Save Profits Save Profits Pay for
Education
Use Of Profits:
Putting It All Together
Putting It All Together
33
Putting It All Together
Thailand is a nation brimming with untapped potential, full of seeds of
opportunity. However, these seeds are far from homogenous and require specific
tools to properly let them thrive. As a tool, e-commerce has the potential to help
create a fertile environment for these seeds to flourish and grow.
We find that e-commerce can be an important economic leveler and that, with
proper utilization, SMEs, merchants outside Bangkok, and also hidden
entrepreneurs can use it to significantly improve their businesses.
Sellers saw a lift to household incomes, an explosion in revenue and productivity,
and also a boost to employment post e-commerce adoption. This increase in sales
and productivity is particularly important for Thailand given the tremendous labor
constraints that the SMEs and general economy face.
E-commerce also reduces distance constraints, increasing connections between
buyers and sellers from faraway provinces, while allowing groups with full-time
responsibilities generate alternative sources of incomes.
Putting It All Together
34
Putting It All Together
Although e-commerce can has the ability to be extremely powerful productivity
tool, our experience in Shopee shows us that unlocking this potential rests
crucially on closing the digital skills and education gap.
One of the ways Shopee does this is through offline training courses, which we call
Shopee University. We train sellers on the basics of e-commerce such as taking
photographs, marketing their products, and have trained more than 12,000
entrepreneurs all over Thailand.
Shopee pilots various different SME empowerment initiatives. “Shopee Bootcamp” is
the latest addition to these programs. Together with various government & private
sectors, Shopee Bootcamp aims to increase the sales of participating SMEs by 100%
within 3 months nationwide. Of all the SMEs upskilled by the program, 76% have
successfully met the target of increasing sales by at least 100%.
While this is certainly a good starting point there is still much that can be done to
facilitate the digital enablement of the nation. This includes efforts such as furthering
Thailand's progress of digitalization under the Thailand 4.0 initiative, and public-
private partnerships to help uncover and support the hidden assets of the nation.
Thank you!
Terima kasih
Cảm ơn bạn
Salamat
ขอบคุณ
謝謝
Sea Insights

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Ecommerce and SMEs: Uncovering Thailand's Hidden Assets Through E-commerce

  • 1. E-commerce & SMEs Uncovering Thailand’s Hidden Assets By Sea Insights October 2019
  • 2. 2 Authors About Us Sea is the leading internet company in Southeast Asia and Taiwan. Sea’s businesses include Shopee, the region’s largest and most popular e-commerce platform, Garena, a global leader in games publishing and development, and AirPay, one of the pioneers of Southeast Asia’s digital financial services sector. Shopee is the leading e-commerce platform in Southeast Asia and Taiwan. It is a platform tailored for the region, providing customers with an easy, secure and fast online shopping experience through strong payment and logistical support. Shopee aims to continually enhance its platform and become the region’s e-commerce destination of choice. Sea Insights is Sea’s research and public policy unit. Its mission is to develop a deeper understanding of the rapidly evolving digital economy in Southeast Asia and Taiwan. Its research aims to inform leaders, from both the private and public sectors, on critical policy and strategy matters facing the digital ecosystem in the region. Santitarn Sathirathai, PhD Group Chief Economist santis@seagroup.com Michael Wan Senior Economist wanm@seagroup.com Nathan Chaniago Research Analyst chaniagon@seagroup.com The authors would like to thank Dr. Voraprapa Nakavachara for her contributions to the design and analysis of the survey. Source This report primarily relies on Shopee’s proprietary data based on a survey of Shopee sellers About the Company For More Insights https://www.seagroup.com/home https://medium.com/seainsights
  • 4. Executive Summary 4 E-commerce: A Pathway to Inclusive Growth Explosive Revenue Growth for SMEs Boost to SME Productivity Increase in Employment Improved Household Income Streams Connecting Buyers & Sellers Across Thailand Upcountry Regions Benefit More 130% in online and offline sales 370% Upto In total sales for fully digital SMEs Sellers are able to lift sales without large sales force Potential for 350% in efficiency In number employed per seller For those who reinvest profits into hiring labor: 17% 46% It also provides flexible working arrangements for those with full-time responsibilities Sellers can access distant markets, while buyers can discover a broader range of products Buyers and sellers are now no longer geographically limited to markets in their area North, Northeast, & South Thailand saw greatest increase in market discovery These regions had the highest share reporting an increase in household income Report higher household income due to e-commerce82% In number employed per seller
  • 5. Executive Summary 5 E-commerce: Uncovering Thailand’s Hidden Assets Reimagining inclusive growth In an era of slower global trade growth, it has become more important than ever before to identify new sources of demand, while also ensuring that the benefits of growth filters down to those who need it most. E-commerce - a pathway to inclusion for Thailand’s hidden assets Our research shows that e-commerce can be one way to contribute to inclusive growth, by uncovering the untapped potential of groups such as the small and medium enterprises, merchants outside Bangkok, and also hidden entrepreneurs (e.g. homemakers and students). We surveyed close to 7,000 merchants on Shopee Thailand – conducting one of the largest surveys of e-commerce sellers in Thailand – and analyzed how household income, sales, employment and customer locations changed post e- commerce adoption. Explosion in revenue and lift to productivity We found that e-commerce adoption raises revenue by 133% on average for SMEs. This upside can be as much as 369% for those who fully embrace digital integration1 (i.e. online sales account for more than 80% of total sales). They also attained higher sales without having to hire a large sales force, with a productivity boost of more than 350% for those fully embrace e-commerce. Increase in productivity is especially important in Thailand given prevalent talent shortages among SMEs. Boost to employment In addition to an increase in productivity, SMEs also saw 17% increase in employment on average for the full sample, with merchants who re-invest profits into labor seeing up to 46% increase in headcount after going online. 1Digital integration refers to how much of a seller’s total revenue are derived from online sales
  • 6. Executive Summary 6 E-commerce: Uncovering Thailand’s Hidden Assets Significant improvement in household incomes 82% of SMEs reported an increase in household incomes after adopting e-commerce, with >90% of highly digitalized SMEs witnessing an increase, a reflection of how e-commerce was able to lift sales and productivity of these small merchants with traditional offline businesses. “Death of Distance”: E-commerce removes geographical boundaries One channel through which e-commerce improves incomes is by reducing distance constraints. Through e-commerce, merchants are able to discover new markets, while buyers can find new products from faraway provinces more easily. Our research shows that more than 80% of sellers now sell outside their own region, versus just 45% before e- commerce. Sellers outside Bangkok saw the greatest increase in incomes and access to markets More importantly, the lift to household incomes and access to markets was most pronounced outside of Bangkok, and in particular in regions with lower incomes such as the North, Northeast and South. For instance, 86% of merchants in North Thailand reported an increase in incomes post e-commerce adoption, and 92% of them now sell outside their own region. Rise of the “hidden entrepreneurs” E-commerce also helps groups with full-time responsibilities such as homemakers, students, and employees generate alternative sources of income, greatly improving their livelihoods in the process. These hidden entrepreneurs benefit from zero to little overhead costs from e-commerce, allowing them to experiment and try new business models, while at the same time fulfilling their duties such as caring for their families and paying for their education.
  • 8. SMEs, Outside Bangkok and the Hidden Entrepreneurs Introduction Source: Office of SMEs Promotion (OSMEP), Department of Business Development of Thailand, Office of the National Economic and Social Development Council (NESDB), National Statistical Office of Thailand, Sea & WEF 8 The Three Hidden Assets in Thailand Traditional SMEs Outside Bangkok Hidden Entrepreneurs SMEs make up 99% of enterprises However, productivity of SMEs remain low. They contribute just 43% of Thailand’s GDP 87% of Thailand’s population live outside of Bangkok Regions outside of Bangkok have relatively lower incomes. Outside of Bangkok, GDP per capita is US$5,400 versus US$17,500 within Bangkok 32% of Thai youths aspire to be entrepreneurs – by far the most popular future job choice 17% of the population are outside the labor force but have the potential to contribute to the economy as entrepreneurs
  • 9. SMEs, Outside Bangkok and the Hidden Entrepreneurs Introduction 9 How E-commerce Can Reveal the Three Hidden Assets Lowering Barriers “Death of Distance” Alternative Income Streams • Lowers barriers to entrepreneurship • Eliminates the need for physical stores • Requires little to zero overhead costs • Greater economies of scale • E-commerce helps to minimize search costs • Sellers are able to find new markets • Buyers are able to discover a wider assortment of products, including those that are novel, niche or from faraway provinces • Ability to work on your own schedule • Helps to supplement existing streams of income • Beneficial for those who are not able to take on full-time jobs (e.g. homemakers, students, etc.) E-commerce can be a pathway to inclusive growth for Traditional SMEs, those Outside Bangkok, and the Hidden Entrepreneurs
  • 10. Introduction Source: Google & Temasek, eMarketer, Google Consumer Barometer, International Monetary Fund, Newzoo, World Bank, Goldman Sachs 10 Thailand E-commerce – Fast Growing But Still in Early Days High Growth in GMV E-commerce is Still Underpenetrated Strong Foundationfor E-commerce 0.9 5.0 18.0 2015 2019 2025E (Thailand E-commerce GMV in Billions, 2015-2025) 54% 24% (E-commerce as % of Total Retail, 2018) 2% 3% 10% 30% Thailand ASEAN6 US China Total Population 56% Online Population 68M 38M Digital Natives Smartphone Centric Smartphone Penetration Social Media Savvy 51% of consumers buy goods using social media Banked Population Thailand: 78% vs ASEAN6: 41% 71%
  • 11. Let’s ask 6,900 Thai Sellers on Shopee Introduction 1Traditional SMEs refer to sellers in our sample who had a pre-existing offline business before beginning to sell online 2Brand new entrepreneurs refers to sellers who did not have any pre-existing businesses before beginning to sell online. 11 A Unique & Novel Data Set Focusing on Thai Sellers Q: Demographics Q: Economic Impact of E-commerce Q: Others • Revenue • Profit Growth • Employment • Change in Household Income • Customer Location • Motivation for Going Online • Use of Profits • Most Important Function or Characteristic of E-commerce Platforms (e.g. ease of use, logistical support, etc.) • Business Needs • Age & Gender • Location • Education • Employment Status • Household (HH) Size • Primary Earner for HH • Etc. One of the largest survey datasets on Thai e-commerce sellers 2,100 Traditional SMEs1 4,800 Brand New Entrepreneurs2
  • 12. Traditional SMEs Note: Traditional SMEs refer to retail SMEs who had an existing offline business prior to using e-commerce
  • 13. The higher the level of digital integration the bigger the jump Traditional SMEs 13 E-commerce Led to a Surge in Total Revenue On average, e-commerce adoption lifts both online and offline revenue by 133% for SMEs with an offline business, which is roughly an average annual increase of 51% This increase ranges from a 93% boost for merchants with online sales below 20% of total sales, to as high as 369% for sellers who fully embrace digital integration (i.e. online sales for more than 80% of sales). Total Revenue Increase After Adopting E-commerce 93% 100% 135% 194% 369% 0% to 20% 21% to 40% 41% to 60% 61% to 80% 81% to 100% Online Sales as % of Total Sales (% Change in Revenue from Just Before Adopting E-commerce to Currently) Average Years Online Note: These findings are based on the data of ~2,100 traditional SMEs, those with pre-existing offline businesses, surveyed through Shopee
  • 14. The higher the level of digital integration the bigger the jump 14 Sellers Benefited from a Sharp Improvement in Efficiency +89% +98% +127% +187% +356% 0% to 20% 21% to 40% 41% to 60% 61% to 80% 81% to 100% Online Sales as % of Total Sales Total Efficiency Increase After Adopting E-commerce (% Change in Revenue Per Employee from Just Before Adopting E-commerce to Currently) Merchants also attained higher revenue through an increase in efficiency rather than having to hire a large sales force. In our report we define efficiency as revenue per employee. On average, sellers underwent a 128% increase in efficiency. This equates to an average increase of 49% annually. This is especially important in the context of Thai economy where there are severe labor shortages (unemployment rate is below 1%) especially among the SMEs, and hints at e-commerce being an important tool to ease SME constraints. Additionally, sellers saw improvement ranging from 89% to 356% depending on their degree of digital integration. Average Years Online Note: These findings are based on the data of ~2,100 traditional SMEs, those with pre-existing offline businesses, surveyed through Shopee Traditional SMEs
  • 15. Traditional SMEs 15 E-commerce Boosts Employment 17% 46% Total Change in Employment Full Sample Sellers Who Invest in Labour In addition to the prominent increase in efficiency, Thai sellers also employed more people on average. On average, merchants across our sample saw an increase of 17% in employment after selling online on e-commerce platforms. When asked what merchants primarily do with their profits from e-commerce (e.g. save, reinvest in business, pay for education, etc.), those that decided to use their profits to invest in labor saw an improvement in employment of up to 46%. Employment Increase After Adoption of E-commerce (Average % Change in Employment by Use of Profit)
  • 16. Traditional SMEs 1Highly digitalized traditional SMEs refer to those with e-commerce sales contributing to more than 50% of total sales 16 Household Income and Potential For Economic Inclusion How Has E-commerce Impacted Your Monthly Household Income? of SMEs report an increase in household income of highly digitalized1 traditional SMEs report an increase in household income 82% 93% Increase No Increase
  • 17. Meet Khun Laksana Viriyaphan, owner of BaanBokBok Traditional SMEs Sources: https://shopee.co.th/baanbokbok 17 Case Study: Pets, Passion, and Profitability Soon after she discovered Shopee and decided to join in January 2017 At the beginning she only sold 1-4 orders/month, and began expanding her products by popular request With features like Shopee Campaigns she now sells over 300 orders/month on Shopee and accounts for 60% of her total revenue. Thanks to her love of animals, Kuhn Laksana began selling pet products in March 2000 directly from her house in Bangkok Initially she only sold her bestselling cat and dog products online After adopting e-commerce her annual profits have increased by up to 30% and have significantly increased her household income
  • 18. Meet Khun Phossakorn Tanratsuwan, owner of iMUKi Auto Boutique Traditional SMEs Sources: https://shopee.co.th/imuki_auto_boutique 18 Case Study: Scaling Existing Operations He started his online business with selling leather car seat covers under the iMUKI brand Joined Shopee in May 2018, due to its seamless seller onboarding process and online business management E-commerce quickly became a prominent part of his business accounting for 60% of iMUKI’s customers He then expanded his products into car accessories (e.g. car cameras, organizers, jump starters, etc.) Initially, iMUKI consisted of 6 offline stores and 1 factory in Thailand and an 1 additional store in Myanmar x7
  • 20. Outside Bangkok Note: Line thickness represents magnitude of trade relative to the sub sample represented in the panel. Dot size represents magnitude of trade to own province, also relative. 20 “Death of Distance” – E-commerce Increases Trade Connections E-commerce allows merchants to discover new markets by reducing distance constraints. It also helps buyers find new products from faraway provinces more easily by reducing search costs. Before E-commerce WholeofThailand Currently WholeofThailand Before E-commerce 45% of SMEs sold outside of their own region After E-commerce 81% of SMEs now sell outside their own region The number of trade connections roughly doubled after adopting e- commerce
  • 21. Outside Bangkok 21 Outside of Bangkok Saw Greatest Increase in Market Discovery This improvement in trade connectivity was most pronounced among the regions with the lowest incomes in Thailand, such as North and Northeast Thailand. Before E-commerce Currently Note: Line thickness represents magnitude of trade relative to the sub sample represented in the panel. Dot size represents magnitude of trade to own province, also relative.
  • 22. Outside Bangkok 22 E-commerce: A Pathway to Economic Inclusion for Poorer Regions E-commerce allows for instantaneous reach across the country, with the lower income regions such as the North, Northeast and South seeing the greatest increase in share of merchants selling outside their own regions E.g. The proportion of sellers in the North of Thailand who sell to customers outside the region they live in rose by 49 percentage points, from 43% of all sellers to 92% Change in Proportion of Merchants Selling to Outside of Their Own Region (Share of Sellers By Region Before and After Joining E-commerce) Note: These estimates for revenue increase by share of online sales are based on our regression analysis and control for various factorssuch as education, age, gender, and number of years in operation. Please see Appendix for more details 43% 38% 41% 48% 50% 45% 38% 58% 92% 85% 86% 87% 87% 81% 72% 87% +49% +47% +45% +39% +37% +36% +34% +29% -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% North South Northeast West East Whole of Thailand Bangkok Central Before E-commerce Currently Change (p.p)
  • 23. Outside Bangkok 23 Upcountry Regions See Greatest Improvement in Household Income How Has E-commerce Impacted Your Monthly Household Income? Household Increase from E-commerce (Share of Sellers Reporting an Increase in Household Income from E-commerce) Highest share of positive impact found in the North, Northeast and South, the three regions with the lowest income 84% 86% 84% 83% 83% 82% 80% 78% 76% Household Increase from E-commerce in the North, Northeast and South of Thailand Increase No Increase
  • 24. Meet Kru Na, owner of Charoenphahomnuam Outside Bangkok Sources: https://shopee.co.th/charoenuansook 24 Case Study: Transitioning From Offline to Online Due to geographical constraint, she could only sell seasonally. At peak tourist season she would sell only 2-5 orders/month Joining Shopee allowed her to broaden her market by overcoming distance and time limitations, resulting in much higher sales To better herself even more she joined Shopee Bootcamp, a 3-month intensive course on e-commerce and online marketing Equipped with digital skills and access to broader markets she now receives orders for 70 pieces/month Kru Na lives in Loei in Northeastern Thailand. She has an offline business selling hand-made quilted bed linens To overcome this she decided to open a shop in Shopee in June 2018 NE
  • 25. Meet Khun Kronrakarn Tungkanitanon (Biw), owner of Kronrakarntungkanitanon Outside Bangkok Sources: https://shopee.co.th/kronrakarntungkanitanon 25 Case Study: Made Locally, Sold Nationally After trying many products she found a few products made locally within the region that became her favorites Unhappy with her results she decided to join Shopee in October 2016 Shopee provided access to all of Thailand, and now 70% of all her sales come from outside Northern Thailand After joining Shopee, her profits have increased by 20% and now Shopee has become her main revenue stream Khun Biw, from Khonkaen in Northern Thailand has had a passion for self-care and beauty products since she was a teenager She started selling these favorites door-to-door in 2014, and sold only 1-3 orders/month N
  • 27. 27 Traditional SMEs From Offline to Online Hidden Entrepreneurs Straight to Online are more likely to be… The Primary Earner are the primary earners 52% Not the Primary Earner are not the primary earners 58% Self-Employed are self employed 59% Full-Time Responsibilities are homemakers, employed, or students 63% The Hidden Entrepreneurs E-commerce Helps to Generate Alternative Sources of Income Entrepreneurs come in many forms, and are not limited to those who own offline businesses. These “hidden entrepreneurs”, as we like to call them, are like seeds of economic opportunity waiting to grow. And like seeds, they each have unique contexts, nuances and environments that they require to properly flourish. These hidden entrepreneurs include students, homemakers, and employees. They are more likely to be female, have full-time responsibilities, and are not the primary income earner of their household, unlike sellers with pre-existing offline businesses. For this group, the flexibility of e-commerce allows them access to alternative streams of income. Male male; 64% female 36% Female Female; 25% male 75%
  • 28. x5 Meet Khun Aimy, owner of Chili Crunch The Hidden Entrepreneurs Sources: https://shopee.co.th/bubuubaby 28 Case Study: Recipe for Success She was originally helping out in the family restaurant. In her spare time she would dry chilies as a hobby With e-commerce she can run the whole business by herself, end-to-end She started receiving orders on day one and has gradually grown her shop, which is now her primary source of income Since joining she has added 5 more new flavors and a new garlic based snack. Khun Aimy is a 28 year old mother of 2 kids living in Nonthaburi She found a new interest in selling her dried chilies online and opened Chili Crunch on Shopee in January 2018
  • 29. The Hidden Entrepreneurs Sources: https://shopee.co.th/best.shortnote 29 Case Study: Earning While Learning She started her online only business in Shopee in August 2018 She is now able to make over 100,000 THB (3,030 USD) annually The ease of managing a business using e-commerce allows her to earn and learn Khun Kwan is a full-time Mahidol University student She sells beautifully decorated and organized study notes for all education levels from primary to high school level. Meet Khun Kwanporn Varasin (Kwan), owner of Best.Shortnote
  • 30. Motivation for Adopting E-commerce Different priorities for those in different forms of employment The Hidden Entrepreneurs 30 Motivation for E-commerce Differs by Employment Hidden entrepreneurs have different motivations for adopting e-commerce. For instance, full-time employees are motivated most by the ease of setting up a business through e-commerce, and also the flexibility it affords them. On the other hand, homemakers value the ability to have more household time through e-commerce. This could reflect e-commerce’s ability to boost productivity, achieving higher sales with less resources and fixed costs. For students, the two important motivations are the ease to set up a business and lower business cost. Students could view e-commerce as a cost effective means to experiment and try out new business ideas. Full-Time Employees Homemakers Students (58%) (51%) Ease of Setting Up Flexible Times (70%) (65%) (87%) (51%) More Household Time Ease of Setting Up Ease of Setting up Lower Business Cost
  • 31. Different priorities for those in different forms of employment The Hidden Entrepreneurs 31 Use of Profits from E-commerce Differs by Employment Hidden entrepreneurs also use profits from e-commerce differently depending on their needs and situation. For example, students are most likely to utilize profits to pay for their education, and in doing so, achieve a higher standard of living for themselves. On the other hand, the top use of profits for homemakers is to care for their family. Full-Time Employees Homemakers Students (61%) (52%) Save Profits Reinvest into Business (65%) (50%) (76%) (41%) Care for Family Save Profits Save Profits Pay for Education Use Of Profits:
  • 32. Putting It All Together
  • 33. Putting It All Together 33 Putting It All Together Thailand is a nation brimming with untapped potential, full of seeds of opportunity. However, these seeds are far from homogenous and require specific tools to properly let them thrive. As a tool, e-commerce has the potential to help create a fertile environment for these seeds to flourish and grow. We find that e-commerce can be an important economic leveler and that, with proper utilization, SMEs, merchants outside Bangkok, and also hidden entrepreneurs can use it to significantly improve their businesses. Sellers saw a lift to household incomes, an explosion in revenue and productivity, and also a boost to employment post e-commerce adoption. This increase in sales and productivity is particularly important for Thailand given the tremendous labor constraints that the SMEs and general economy face. E-commerce also reduces distance constraints, increasing connections between buyers and sellers from faraway provinces, while allowing groups with full-time responsibilities generate alternative sources of incomes.
  • 34. Putting It All Together 34 Putting It All Together Although e-commerce can has the ability to be extremely powerful productivity tool, our experience in Shopee shows us that unlocking this potential rests crucially on closing the digital skills and education gap. One of the ways Shopee does this is through offline training courses, which we call Shopee University. We train sellers on the basics of e-commerce such as taking photographs, marketing their products, and have trained more than 12,000 entrepreneurs all over Thailand. Shopee pilots various different SME empowerment initiatives. “Shopee Bootcamp” is the latest addition to these programs. Together with various government & private sectors, Shopee Bootcamp aims to increase the sales of participating SMEs by 100% within 3 months nationwide. Of all the SMEs upskilled by the program, 76% have successfully met the target of increasing sales by at least 100%. While this is certainly a good starting point there is still much that can be done to facilitate the digital enablement of the nation. This includes efforts such as furthering Thailand's progress of digitalization under the Thailand 4.0 initiative, and public- private partnerships to help uncover and support the hidden assets of the nation.
  • 35. Thank you! Terima kasih Cảm ơn bạn Salamat ขอบคุณ 謝謝 Sea Insights