Insights on Digital Disruption, Exponential change and Technology Strategy

1. Driving on the curve
(...while keeping a safe distance from the vehicle in
front…)

2. Ben Reid

3. “Digital Disruption”

5. Exponential Organizations

6. Exponential Organizations

7. Technology / Innovation Cycles

8. Innovator’s Dilemma

9. “Big Bang” Disruption

10. The Curve

11. The Curve

12. At the front of the curve

13. At the front of the curve

15. “Being too far ahead is the same thing as being wrong”.

16. Disruption = Evolution

17. Disruption = Evolution

18. Disruption = Evolution

19. Tech trends to watch

21. Machine* Intelligence

22. https://www.oreilly.com/ideas/the-current-state-of-machine-intelligence-2-0

23. Machine Intelligence

24. Virtual Reality / Augmented Reality

25. Synthetic Protein, Indoor Farming

26. Generic strategies to respond to [digital] disruption
1. Block
2. “Milk”
3. Invest in disruption
4. “Disrupt the current business”
5. Retreat into a strategic niche
6. Redefine the core
7. Exit
http://www.imd.org/research/challenges/TC033-15-strategies-digital-disruption-michael-wade.cfm

27. Wardley Value Chain Mapping
http://www.cio.co.uk/it-strategy/introduction-wardley-value-chain-mapping-3604565/

28. Surviving “Big Bang Disruption”
● See it coming
○ Engage with “Truth Tellers” - internal or external seers who can predict the future with insight
and clarity
● Slow it down long enough to better it
○ Ensure that disrupters can’t make money from their inventions until you’re ready to acquire
them or you can win with a product of your own
● Get closer to the exits, and be ready for a fast escape
○ Leverage the value of expertise, brands, patents, and other intangibles
● Try a new kind of diversification
https://hbr.org/2013/03/big-bang-disruption/

29. Technology Strategy In Corporate NZ
● Traditionally not something NZ has been great at*
● Focus is more on risk than opportunity, cost than profit
○ (Sensible - not a lot of capital, litany of failed / underwhelming projects…)
● Tech background isn’t well represented at board level in NZ, cascades down
* Except Air NZ!

30. Keep a safe distance from the vehicle in front
● NZ businesses need to develop a posture to [digital] disruption (other than
ignorance / indifference…)
○ invest more to better understand disruption risks, timescales and opportunities
○ incubate ideas to explore these themes without spending vast $$$
○ develop strategies to address disruption before it happens

31. Singularity University Summit - NZ Nov 14-16

32. Thank you
Questions…?