The Comparative Advantages in the Services Sector of the Developing Economies
Nuno Cunha. (MEGI, Faculdade de Economia, Universidade do Porto)
Supervisor: Rosa Forte
Motivation
Growing presence of the Developing Economies in Global trade (both merchandise and services);
Strong service trade growth since last century; more resilience to the 2007 financial turmoil;
Tertiarization process of the developed economies → expected behavior of the developing economies;
A well-established service sector provides competitiveness of the economies.
Research question
• How have the comparative advantages in the services categories evolved in the developing countries?
Methodology
Quantitative analysis:
- Secondary data retrieved from the
UNCTAD statistics Database
- Top 10 developing economies
service exporters
- 2000 to 2013 (14 years of analysis)
- 10 categories of services
- Normalized Revealed Comparative
Advantage Index (NRCA) and Trade
Balance Index (TBI)
Conclusions
- Countries present an export
specialization (NRCA>0 and TBI>0);
- Strong comparative advantage in
one service;
- Similar conclusions with other
studies, even though the index used
was different.
Index Author (year) Equation Main Features
Balassa Index (BI) Balassa (1965) 𝐵𝐼𝑖
𝑗
=
𝑋𝑖
𝑗
𝑖 𝑋𝑖
𝑗
𝑋𝑖
𝑤
𝑖 𝑋𝑖
𝑤
The most widely used index
Hillman Condition Hillman (1980) 1 −
𝑋𝑖
𝑗
𝑋𝑖
𝑤 >
𝑋𝑖
𝑗
𝑖 𝑋𝑖
𝑗
(1 −
𝑖 𝑋𝑖
𝑗
𝑖 𝑋𝑖
𝑤)
Guarantees a concordance between
the BI and pre-trade prices.
Symmetrical
RCA (SRCA)
Laursen (1998) 𝑆𝑅𝐶𝐴𝑖
𝑗
=
𝐵𝐼𝑖
𝑗
− 1
𝐵𝐼𝑖
𝑗
+ 1
Corrects the asymmetry of the BI
Additive RCA (ARCA)
Hoen and Oosterhaven
(2006)
𝐴𝑅𝐶𝐴𝑖
𝑗
=
𝑋𝑖
𝑗
𝑖 𝑋𝑖
𝑗
−
𝑋𝑖
𝑤
𝑖 𝑋𝑖
𝑤
Corrects the asymmetry of the BI;
allows comparing different
commodities
Normalized RCA
(NRCA)
Yu,
Cai, and
Leung (2009)
𝑁𝑅𝐶𝐴𝑖
𝑗
=
𝑋𝑖
𝑗
𝑖 𝑋𝑖
𝑤 −
𝑋𝑖
𝑤
∗ 𝑖 𝑋𝑖
𝑗
𝑖 𝑋𝑖
𝑤 2
A new measure that corrects several
problems of the BI
Literature Review
Legend: X represents the exports; j, i and w represent, respectively, the country analyzed, the commodity/sector analyzed and the selected region of reference.
Table 1: Synthesis of the main comparative advantages measures
Some Results
Figure 1: Comparing the NRCA values in the different service categories:

Dissertation Poster

  • 1.
    The Comparative Advantagesin the Services Sector of the Developing Economies Nuno Cunha. (MEGI, Faculdade de Economia, Universidade do Porto) Supervisor: Rosa Forte Motivation Growing presence of the Developing Economies in Global trade (both merchandise and services); Strong service trade growth since last century; more resilience to the 2007 financial turmoil; Tertiarization process of the developed economies → expected behavior of the developing economies; A well-established service sector provides competitiveness of the economies. Research question • How have the comparative advantages in the services categories evolved in the developing countries? Methodology Quantitative analysis: - Secondary data retrieved from the UNCTAD statistics Database - Top 10 developing economies service exporters - 2000 to 2013 (14 years of analysis) - 10 categories of services - Normalized Revealed Comparative Advantage Index (NRCA) and Trade Balance Index (TBI) Conclusions - Countries present an export specialization (NRCA>0 and TBI>0); - Strong comparative advantage in one service; - Similar conclusions with other studies, even though the index used was different. Index Author (year) Equation Main Features Balassa Index (BI) Balassa (1965) 𝐵𝐼𝑖 𝑗 = 𝑋𝑖 𝑗 𝑖 𝑋𝑖 𝑗 𝑋𝑖 𝑤 𝑖 𝑋𝑖 𝑤 The most widely used index Hillman Condition Hillman (1980) 1 − 𝑋𝑖 𝑗 𝑋𝑖 𝑤 > 𝑋𝑖 𝑗 𝑖 𝑋𝑖 𝑗 (1 − 𝑖 𝑋𝑖 𝑗 𝑖 𝑋𝑖 𝑤) Guarantees a concordance between the BI and pre-trade prices. Symmetrical RCA (SRCA) Laursen (1998) 𝑆𝑅𝐶𝐴𝑖 𝑗 = 𝐵𝐼𝑖 𝑗 − 1 𝐵𝐼𝑖 𝑗 + 1 Corrects the asymmetry of the BI Additive RCA (ARCA) Hoen and Oosterhaven (2006) 𝐴𝑅𝐶𝐴𝑖 𝑗 = 𝑋𝑖 𝑗 𝑖 𝑋𝑖 𝑗 − 𝑋𝑖 𝑤 𝑖 𝑋𝑖 𝑤 Corrects the asymmetry of the BI; allows comparing different commodities Normalized RCA (NRCA) Yu, Cai, and Leung (2009) 𝑁𝑅𝐶𝐴𝑖 𝑗 = 𝑋𝑖 𝑗 𝑖 𝑋𝑖 𝑤 − 𝑋𝑖 𝑤 ∗ 𝑖 𝑋𝑖 𝑗 𝑖 𝑋𝑖 𝑤 2 A new measure that corrects several problems of the BI Literature Review Legend: X represents the exports; j, i and w represent, respectively, the country analyzed, the commodity/sector analyzed and the selected region of reference. Table 1: Synthesis of the main comparative advantages measures Some Results Figure 1: Comparing the NRCA values in the different service categories: