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Best Suitable
Option
Going
forward
with the
existing
system
Improvising
the Local's
Hospital MIS
and SCS
Expansion of
Blood bank at
Local Hospital
Blood units were
made available
within 3 hrs.
Blood Units are made
available in 3 -6 hrs.
Sufficient
Blood Units
Available
90%
Casualty
Blood Unit made
available beyond 6 hrs.
Shortage of Blood
Units and Arranging
it from a nearby
hospital
10%
Decision Tree Skelton
Sufficient
Blood Units
Available
Shortage of Blood
Units and Arranging it
from a nearby
hospital
Sufficient
Blood Units
Available
93%
Shortage of
Blood Units and
Arranging it
from a nearby
7%hospital
Option 1 : Utilizing the Existing In Place System for Blood Unit Maintenance to be used for Transfusion
Going forward
with the existing
system
(456 Patients
Annually)
Sufficient
Blood Units
Available
90%
Shortage of Blood Units
and Arranging it from a
nearby hospital
10%
(46 Patients Annually)
Blood units were
made available within
3 hrs.
80% (37 Patients
Annually)
Blood Units are made
available in 3 -6 hrs.
11.25% ( 5 Patients
Annually)
Casualty
5% (2
Patients
Annually)
Blood Unit made available
beyond 6 hrs.
3.75% (2 Patients
Annually)
5000 Pounds X 37 Patients X 0.8 = 148,000 Pounds
(20000 + 5000 Pounds) X 5 Patients X 0.1125 = 14,620 Pounds
(100000 + 5000 Pounds) X 2 Patients X 0.0375 = 7,875 Pounds
(1,830,000 X 2 Patients) X 0.05 = 183,000 Pounds
148,000 + 14,620 + 7,875 + 183,000 = 353,495 Pounds
Operational Cost per Annum = (0.9 X 0) + (353,495 X 0.1) = 35,349.5 Pounds
1 Year 5 Years 10 Years
35,349.5 Pounds 176,747.5 Pounds 353,495 Pounds
Expected Values
Construction
expansion of
Medium Scale
Blood Bank
(456 Patients
Annually)
Blood units were made
available within 3 hrs.
80%
(18 Patients Annually)
Blood Units are made
available in 3 -6 hrs.
11.25% (3 Patients
Annually)
Casualty
5% (1 Patient
Annually)
Blood Unit made available
beyond 6 hrs.
3.75% (1 Patient Annually)
Shortage of Blood Units
and Arranging it from a
nearby hospital
5%
(23 Patients Annually)
Sufficient
Blood Units
Available
95%
Option 2A : Construction of Expansion of Medium Scale Blood Storage Unit Within Hospital
5000 Pounds X 18 Patients X 0.8 = 72,000 Pounds
(20000 + 5000 Pounds) X 3 Patients X 0.1125 = 8,438 Pounds
72,000 + 8,348 + 3,938 + 91,500 = 175,786 Pounds
(100000 + 5000 Pounds) X 1 Patients X 0.0375 = 3,938 Pounds
(1,830,000 X 1 Patients) X 0.05 = 91,500 Pounds
Operational Cost per Annum = (0.95 X 0) + (175,786 X 0.05) = 8,790 Pounds
Cost of Construction of Medium Scale Unit = 750,000 Pounds
Dividing the cost of it Per Annum considering depreciation year as 10 years
= 750,000 / 10 = 75,000 Per annum
Annual Maintenance Costs = 175,000 Pounds
Total Cost per Annum = 8,790 + 75,000 + 175,000 = 258,790 Pounds
1 Year 5 Years 10 Years
258,790 Pounds 1,293,950 Pounds 2,587,900 Pounds
Expected Values
Construction
expansion of
Medium Scale
Blood Bank
(456 Patients
Annually)
Blood units were made
available within 3 hrs.
80%
(10 Patients Annually)
Blood Units are made
available in 3 -6 hrs.
11.25% (2 Patients Annually)
Casualty
5% (1 Patient
Annually)
Blood Unit made available beyond
6 hrs.
3.75% (1 Patient Annually)
Shortage of Blood
Units and Arranging
it from a nearby
hospital
3%
(14 Patients
Annually)
Sufficient
Blood Units
Available
97%
Option 2B: Construction of Expansion of Large-Scale Blood Storage Unit Within Hospital
5000 Pounds X 10 Patients X 0.8 = 40,000 Pounds
(20000 + 5000 Pounds) X 2 Patients X 0.1125 = 5,625 Pounds
40,000 + 5,625 + 3,938 + 91,500 = 141,063 Pounds
(100000 + 5000 Pounds) X 1 Patients X 0.0375 = 3,938 Pounds
(1,830,000 X 1 Patients) X 0.05 = 91,500 Pounds
Operational Cost per Annum = (0.97 X 0) + (141,063 X 0.03) = 4,232 Pounds
Assuming Cost of Construction of Large-Scale Unit = 1,000,000 Pounds
Dividing the cost of it Per Annum considering depreciation year as 10 years
= 1,000,000 / 10 = 100,000 Per annum
Assuming Annual Maintenance Costs = 200,000 Pounds
Total Cost per Annum = 4,232 + 100,000 + 200,000 = 304,232 Pounds
1 Year 5 Years 10 Years
304,232 Pounds 1,521,160 Pounds 3,042,320 Pounds
Expected Values
Construction
expansion of
Medium Scale
Blood Bank
(456 Patients
Annually)
Blood units were made
available within 3 hrs.
80%
(30 Patients Annually)
Blood Units are made
available in 3 -6 hrs.
11.25% (4 Patients
Annually)
Casualty
5% (2 Patient
Annually)
Blood Unit made available
beyond 6 hrs.
3.75% (1 Patient Annually)
Shortage of Blood Units
and Arranging it from a
nearby hospital
8%
(37 Patients Annually)
Sufficient
Blood Units
Available
92%
Option 2C: Construction of Expansion of Small-Scale Blood Storage Unit Within Hospital
5000 Pounds X 30 Patients X 0.8 = 120,000 Pounds
(20000 + 5000 Pounds) X 4 Patients X 0.1125 = 11, 250 Pounds
120,000 + 11, 250 + 3,938 + 183,000 = 318,188 Pounds
(100000 + 5000 Pounds) X 1 Patients X 0.0375 = 3,938 Pounds
(1,830,000 X 2 Patients) X 0.05 = 183,000 Pounds
Operational Cost per Annum = (0.91 X 0) + (318,188 X 0.08) = 25,455 Pounds
Assuming Cost of Construction of Large-Scale Unit = 500,000 Pounds
Dividing the cost of it Per Annum considering depreciation year as 10 years
= 500,000 / 10 = 50,000 Per annum
Annual Maintenance Costs = 125,000 Pounds
Total Cost per Annum = 25,455 + 50,000 + 125,000 = 200,455 Pounds
1 Year 5 Years 10 Years
304,232 Pounds 1,521,160 Pounds 3,042,320 Pounds
Expected Values
Improvising the
Local's Hospital MIS
and SCS
(456 Patients
Annually)
Blood units made available
within 3 hrs.
80%
(26 Patients Annually)
Blood Units made
available in 3 -6 hrs.
11.25%
(4 Patients Annually)
Casualty
5%
(1Patients Annually)
Blood Unit made available
beyond 6 hrs.
3.75%
(1 Patients Annually)
Sufficient
Blood Units
Available
93%
Shortage of Blood Units and
Arranging it from a nearby
Hospital
7%
(32 Patients Annually)
Option 3 : Improve Local Hospital’s Management Information System (MIS) and Stock Control System (SCS)
5000 Pounds X 26 Patients X 0.8 = 104,000 Pounds
(20000 + 5000 Pounds) X 4 Patients X 0.1125 = 11, 250 Pounds
(100000 + 5000 Pounds) X 1 Patients X 0.0375 = 3,938 Pounds
(1,830,000 X 1 Patients) X 0.05 = 91,500 Pounds
104,000 + 11,250 + 3,938 + 91,500 = 210,688 Pounds
Operational Cost per Annum = (0.93 X 0) + (210,688 X 0.07) = 14,748 Pounds
Assuming Cost of Development of MIS and SCS System = 100,000 Pounds
Dividing the cost of it Per Annum considering depreciation year as 10 years
= 100,000 / 10 = 10,000 Per annum
Annual Maintenance Costs = 50,000 Pounds
Total Cost per Annum = 14,748 + 10,000 + 50,000 = 74,784 Pounds
1 Year 5 Years 10 Years
74,784 Pounds 373,920 Pounds 747,840 Pounds
Expected Values

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Decison Tree.pptx

  • 1. Best Suitable Option Going forward with the existing system Improvising the Local's Hospital MIS and SCS Expansion of Blood bank at Local Hospital Blood units were made available within 3 hrs. Blood Units are made available in 3 -6 hrs. Sufficient Blood Units Available 90% Casualty Blood Unit made available beyond 6 hrs. Shortage of Blood Units and Arranging it from a nearby hospital 10% Decision Tree Skelton Sufficient Blood Units Available Shortage of Blood Units and Arranging it from a nearby hospital Sufficient Blood Units Available 93% Shortage of Blood Units and Arranging it from a nearby 7%hospital
  • 2. Option 1 : Utilizing the Existing In Place System for Blood Unit Maintenance to be used for Transfusion Going forward with the existing system (456 Patients Annually) Sufficient Blood Units Available 90% Shortage of Blood Units and Arranging it from a nearby hospital 10% (46 Patients Annually) Blood units were made available within 3 hrs. 80% (37 Patients Annually) Blood Units are made available in 3 -6 hrs. 11.25% ( 5 Patients Annually) Casualty 5% (2 Patients Annually) Blood Unit made available beyond 6 hrs. 3.75% (2 Patients Annually) 5000 Pounds X 37 Patients X 0.8 = 148,000 Pounds (20000 + 5000 Pounds) X 5 Patients X 0.1125 = 14,620 Pounds (100000 + 5000 Pounds) X 2 Patients X 0.0375 = 7,875 Pounds (1,830,000 X 2 Patients) X 0.05 = 183,000 Pounds 148,000 + 14,620 + 7,875 + 183,000 = 353,495 Pounds Operational Cost per Annum = (0.9 X 0) + (353,495 X 0.1) = 35,349.5 Pounds 1 Year 5 Years 10 Years 35,349.5 Pounds 176,747.5 Pounds 353,495 Pounds Expected Values
  • 3. Construction expansion of Medium Scale Blood Bank (456 Patients Annually) Blood units were made available within 3 hrs. 80% (18 Patients Annually) Blood Units are made available in 3 -6 hrs. 11.25% (3 Patients Annually) Casualty 5% (1 Patient Annually) Blood Unit made available beyond 6 hrs. 3.75% (1 Patient Annually) Shortage of Blood Units and Arranging it from a nearby hospital 5% (23 Patients Annually) Sufficient Blood Units Available 95% Option 2A : Construction of Expansion of Medium Scale Blood Storage Unit Within Hospital 5000 Pounds X 18 Patients X 0.8 = 72,000 Pounds (20000 + 5000 Pounds) X 3 Patients X 0.1125 = 8,438 Pounds 72,000 + 8,348 + 3,938 + 91,500 = 175,786 Pounds (100000 + 5000 Pounds) X 1 Patients X 0.0375 = 3,938 Pounds (1,830,000 X 1 Patients) X 0.05 = 91,500 Pounds Operational Cost per Annum = (0.95 X 0) + (175,786 X 0.05) = 8,790 Pounds Cost of Construction of Medium Scale Unit = 750,000 Pounds Dividing the cost of it Per Annum considering depreciation year as 10 years = 750,000 / 10 = 75,000 Per annum Annual Maintenance Costs = 175,000 Pounds Total Cost per Annum = 8,790 + 75,000 + 175,000 = 258,790 Pounds 1 Year 5 Years 10 Years 258,790 Pounds 1,293,950 Pounds 2,587,900 Pounds Expected Values
  • 4. Construction expansion of Medium Scale Blood Bank (456 Patients Annually) Blood units were made available within 3 hrs. 80% (10 Patients Annually) Blood Units are made available in 3 -6 hrs. 11.25% (2 Patients Annually) Casualty 5% (1 Patient Annually) Blood Unit made available beyond 6 hrs. 3.75% (1 Patient Annually) Shortage of Blood Units and Arranging it from a nearby hospital 3% (14 Patients Annually) Sufficient Blood Units Available 97% Option 2B: Construction of Expansion of Large-Scale Blood Storage Unit Within Hospital 5000 Pounds X 10 Patients X 0.8 = 40,000 Pounds (20000 + 5000 Pounds) X 2 Patients X 0.1125 = 5,625 Pounds 40,000 + 5,625 + 3,938 + 91,500 = 141,063 Pounds (100000 + 5000 Pounds) X 1 Patients X 0.0375 = 3,938 Pounds (1,830,000 X 1 Patients) X 0.05 = 91,500 Pounds Operational Cost per Annum = (0.97 X 0) + (141,063 X 0.03) = 4,232 Pounds Assuming Cost of Construction of Large-Scale Unit = 1,000,000 Pounds Dividing the cost of it Per Annum considering depreciation year as 10 years = 1,000,000 / 10 = 100,000 Per annum Assuming Annual Maintenance Costs = 200,000 Pounds Total Cost per Annum = 4,232 + 100,000 + 200,000 = 304,232 Pounds 1 Year 5 Years 10 Years 304,232 Pounds 1,521,160 Pounds 3,042,320 Pounds Expected Values
  • 5. Construction expansion of Medium Scale Blood Bank (456 Patients Annually) Blood units were made available within 3 hrs. 80% (30 Patients Annually) Blood Units are made available in 3 -6 hrs. 11.25% (4 Patients Annually) Casualty 5% (2 Patient Annually) Blood Unit made available beyond 6 hrs. 3.75% (1 Patient Annually) Shortage of Blood Units and Arranging it from a nearby hospital 8% (37 Patients Annually) Sufficient Blood Units Available 92% Option 2C: Construction of Expansion of Small-Scale Blood Storage Unit Within Hospital 5000 Pounds X 30 Patients X 0.8 = 120,000 Pounds (20000 + 5000 Pounds) X 4 Patients X 0.1125 = 11, 250 Pounds 120,000 + 11, 250 + 3,938 + 183,000 = 318,188 Pounds (100000 + 5000 Pounds) X 1 Patients X 0.0375 = 3,938 Pounds (1,830,000 X 2 Patients) X 0.05 = 183,000 Pounds Operational Cost per Annum = (0.91 X 0) + (318,188 X 0.08) = 25,455 Pounds Assuming Cost of Construction of Large-Scale Unit = 500,000 Pounds Dividing the cost of it Per Annum considering depreciation year as 10 years = 500,000 / 10 = 50,000 Per annum Annual Maintenance Costs = 125,000 Pounds Total Cost per Annum = 25,455 + 50,000 + 125,000 = 200,455 Pounds 1 Year 5 Years 10 Years 304,232 Pounds 1,521,160 Pounds 3,042,320 Pounds Expected Values
  • 6. Improvising the Local's Hospital MIS and SCS (456 Patients Annually) Blood units made available within 3 hrs. 80% (26 Patients Annually) Blood Units made available in 3 -6 hrs. 11.25% (4 Patients Annually) Casualty 5% (1Patients Annually) Blood Unit made available beyond 6 hrs. 3.75% (1 Patients Annually) Sufficient Blood Units Available 93% Shortage of Blood Units and Arranging it from a nearby Hospital 7% (32 Patients Annually) Option 3 : Improve Local Hospital’s Management Information System (MIS) and Stock Control System (SCS) 5000 Pounds X 26 Patients X 0.8 = 104,000 Pounds (20000 + 5000 Pounds) X 4 Patients X 0.1125 = 11, 250 Pounds (100000 + 5000 Pounds) X 1 Patients X 0.0375 = 3,938 Pounds (1,830,000 X 1 Patients) X 0.05 = 91,500 Pounds 104,000 + 11,250 + 3,938 + 91,500 = 210,688 Pounds Operational Cost per Annum = (0.93 X 0) + (210,688 X 0.07) = 14,748 Pounds Assuming Cost of Development of MIS and SCS System = 100,000 Pounds Dividing the cost of it Per Annum considering depreciation year as 10 years = 100,000 / 10 = 10,000 Per annum Annual Maintenance Costs = 50,000 Pounds Total Cost per Annum = 14,748 + 10,000 + 50,000 = 74,784 Pounds 1 Year 5 Years 10 Years 74,784 Pounds 373,920 Pounds 747,840 Pounds Expected Values