This document describes an IT tool called DeCiDe that is meant to help political decision makers and experts visualize demographic scenarios and challenges in Asia and Eastern Europe. The tool allows users to: - View population data and projections over time - Assess 10 demographic challenges and 14 policy options - Develop strategies by interactively weighing challenges and options - Simulate the impact of strategies on future population growth The tool contains data on population trends for 6 sample countries and is intended to foster cooperation on addressing demographic issues.

1. IT-Tool DeCiDe
Demographic Challenges in Development
Demographic Megatrends in Asia and Eastern Europe –
Challenges and Opportunities for Health and Social Protection
November 13 – 14, 2013, Hanoi, Viet Nam
Dr. Thomas Ott
OAGIS

2. Objectives
 to visualize demographic scenarios,
 to illustrate the interrelationships between demography,
development and global challenges,
 to derive and prioritize objectives and strategies,
 to identify potential fields of cooperation,
 to develop “business” for GIZ.

3. Target Audience
 (political) decision makers in partner countries
 executives and consultants in governmental departments
 sectoral experts (in need to add a demographic aspect)
 journalists, students and other multipliers

4. Technical Background and User Interface
 Microsoft Excel™ 2007 and higher
 150+ Sheets
 multilingual (German, English, French, …)
 distinct color scheme for ease of orientation
 open access to all data allowing easy updates and modifications

5. Content and Structure
 10 demographic challenges with 57 indicators (time series)
 14 demographic options and policy fields
 spaces for user-defined challenges and options
 interactive assessment of challenges and options for mutual
development of strategies
 6 simulations of future population growth and change
 prototype with data for 6 countries from 3 continents
(each country with 2 reference countries)
Challenges
Options
Strategies

6. I Introduction
Introduction
Population Data/Capacities
Population Growth
Populations Structure
Population Distribution
Settings
II Challenges
CH 1
CH 2
Overview of Challenges
CH 3
CH 4
CH 5
CH 6
CH 7
Looking back
Looking ahead
Aggregation and Weighting of Challenges
III Options
IV Strategies
CH 8
CH 9
CH 10
CH 11

7. Challenges











Poverty
Scarcity of Resources
Health Risks
Climate Change
Ageing and Lack of Social Security
Lack of Prospects for Young People
Susceptibility to Conflicts, Missing Government and Security
Urbanization
Development of Rural Areas and Food Supply
Migration
User Defined Challenges

12. I Introduction
Introduction
Population Data/Capacities
Population Growth
Populations Structure
Population Distribution
Settings
II Challenges
CH 1
Overview of Challenges
CH 2
CH 3
CH 4
CH 5
CH 6
CH 7
CH 8
CH 9
CH 10
CH 11
Looking back
Looking ahead
Aggregation and Weighting of Challenges
III Options
OP 1
OP 2
Overview of Options and Policy Fields
OP 3
OP 4
OP 5
OP 6
OP 7
OP 8
OP 9
OP 10
Aggregation and Weighting of Options
IV Strategies
OP 11
OP 12
OP 13
OP 14
OP 15

13. Policy Fields and Options















Demographic Capacity Development
Rights and Self-Determination of Women
Security of Resources
Health Care, SRHR and Family Planning
Adaption to Climate Change
Establishing and Strengthening of Social Security Systems
Education
Promoting the Young Generation
Employment Policy and Economic Development
Supporting Generational Ties
Governance and Security
Urban Development and Urban Planning
Rural Development and Decentralization
Organizing Migration
User Defined Challenges

17. I Introduction
Introduction
Population Data/Capacities
Population Growth
Populations Structure
Population Distribution
Settings
II Challenges
CH 1
Overview of Challenges
CH 2
CH 3
CH 4
CH 5
CH 6
CH 7
CH 8
CH 9
CH 10
CH 11
Looking back
Looking ahead
Aggregation and Weighting of Challenges
III Options
OP 1
OP 2
Overview of Options and Policy Fields
OP 3
OP 4
OP 5
OP 6
OP 7
OP 8
OP 9
OP 10
Aggregation and Weighting of Options
IV Strategies
Final Assessment and Simulation Results
Joint Definition of Strategies
OP 11
OP 12
OP 13
OP 14
OP 15

18. Final Assessment and Simulation


“Traffic Lights”
Projection of demographic key indicators

22. Interactive Presentation of the Tool

23. Imprint