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1
THE COLLISION OF DIGITAL HEALTH,
THE CONSUMER, AND WEARABLES
Deborah Weinswig
Executive Director – Head Global Retail & Technology
Fung Business Intelligence Centre
August 24, 2015
2
DEBORAH
WEINSWIG
• Executive Director and Head of Global Retail & Technology
for the Fung Business Intelligence Centre
• Award-winning global retail analyst and a specialist in retail
innovation and technology
• 12 Years at Citi Research where she served as Head of the
Global Staples & Consumer Discretionary Team
• #1 ranking analyst by Institutional Investor for ten years
• Mentor to Silicon Valley accelerators including Alchemist
Accelerator and Plug & Play
• Certified Public Accountant, with a Masters of Business
Administration degree from the University of Chicago
4
ABOUT FUNG
BUSINESS
INTELLIGENCE
CENTRE (FBIC)
• Established in 2000 and headquartered in
Hong Kong
• FBIC (formerly known as the Li & Fung
Research Centre) has served as the
knowledge bank and think tank for the Fung
Group
• New York–based Global Retail & Technology
research team follows broader retail and
technology trends
6
TODAY’S
TOPICS
1. Digital Health
2. Medication Adherence
3. Specialty Pharmacy—Biosimilars
4. Docs-in-a-box and Telemedicine
5. Silver Generation Spending Trends
6. Technical Beauty
7. Wearable Tech
8. Cool Startups
9. Impact of Chinese Tourists
10. Mobile Commerce
7
1. DIGITAL HEALTH
8
INDUSTRY DRIVERS • Clinical applications
• Compliance requirements
• Future enabling technologies for cloud computing,
Big Data, mobile computing and social media
Source: IDC, EMC Digital Universe Healthcare Brief
153
2,314
2013 2020E
Healthcare Data (Exabytes)
48% CAGR
Healthcare data is
expected to grow at a
48% CAGR through 2020
9
HEALTHCARE BIG
DATA ARCHITECTURE
Future Design
Storage, Processing
and Application
Services
• Ingest—Capture data from a range of sources
• Store—Store everything in a standardized environment
• Analyze—Use Big Data analytics to discover predictive
patterns—clinical/business opportunities
• Surface—Share across the enterprise—clinicians,
executives and patients
• Act—Project future opportunities: accountable care
organization (ACO), patient engagements, growth and
population health preparedness
Source: EMC
10
MACHINE
LEARNING AND
ARTIFICIAL
INTELLIGENCE
• Machine learning its finding its way through
startups into applications like marketing, security,
and operations
• Deep learning includes computer vision, speech
recognition, natural language processing, and
bioinformatics
• Companies today are using neural networks to
identify objects for use in driverless cars
11
HEALTHCARE
PROVIDER
SPENDING IN
FUTURECARE TECH
INCREASING IN
2015
How do you expect your 2015 IT spending to change
for each of the following areas?
Source: FutureCare: Cloud, Big Data, Mobile and Social Optimize the EMR,”
12
2. MEDICATION ADHERENCE
13
MEDICATION
ADHERENCE
“Drugs don’t work in patients who don’t take
them.”
–C. Everett Koop, MD (former U.S. Surgeon General)
• 20%–30% of prescriptions are never filled
• Only 1 in 2 patients take their prescribed
medications correctly and on time
• Nearly 3 out of 4 Americans admit that they do
not always take their medication as directed
• Medication Adherence:
– Timing
– Dosage
– Frequency
The problem:
Only 1 in 2 patients take
their prescribed
medications correctly and
on time
14
MEDICATION
ADHERENCE
Apps can tell patients
when to take their
medicine and how much
to take
Pillboxie RxmindMe Txt4health
15
MEDICATION
ADHERENCE
Smart Wireless Pill Bottles
• Currently being used by patients in
pharmaceutical and research engagements
• Collect and send all adherence data in real time
• Automatically analyzes this information and
populates data on secure dashboard
• If doses are missed, patients can receive
customizable alerts and interventions—using
automated phone calls, text messages, and other
means
Second-Generation Pill Bottle
Wireless pill bottles can
monitor time, usage and
collect other data
16
MEDICATION
ADHERENCE Propeller
• For Asthma and COPD (chronic obstructive
pulmonary disease)
• Sensor is a small device that attaches to the top of
the inhaler
• Tracks medication use, with a record of the time
and place inhaler use
• Wirelessly syncs with smartphone via
Bluetooth
• Mobile app enables view of data plus personalized
feedback/suggestions
The propeller can
monitor inhaler usage
17
MEDICATION
ADHERENCE
Klaptic
• An ambient medication alert system that is
designed to maintain the health and
independence of the target audience
• Used haptic feedback modules (vibrations)
and other indicators to alert a user of when
to take a medical drug and which one to take
• Modules can be fitted onto reading glasses
or existing pieces of clothing
Klaptic is a clever
eyeglass-mounted
wearable for monitoring
the use of medication
18
MEDICATION
ADHERENCE
miWatch
• Smartwatch app for
– Reminding about appointments
– Rx-refill requests
– Lab/test results
• Reminders for:
– Medication adherence
– Appointments with doctors
– Alerts and notifications from a patient portals
Smartwatches can also
provide reminders for taking
medication and deliver
necessary information
19
MEDICATION
ADHERENCE
Proteus Discover system
• Pill—Sensor-enabled pills send a signal to the
patch and measure what medication has been
taken
• Patch—Records time a sensor pill has been taken
as well as rest and activity
• App—The Discover App tracks medications,
steps, activity, rest, heart rate, blood pressure,
and weight
• Portal—Allows health-care professionals to drill
down into an individual patient’s data
The Proteus Discover system
us a patch that monitors
medication use that can
collect other data
20
3. SPECIALTY PHARMACY
21
EXPANDING
OPPORTUNITIES IN
A FAST-GROWING
MARKET
Source: NHE, Artemetrx, CVS Health
Note: Includes infused oncology
$86
$118
$153
2014E 2016E 2018E
Addressable Specialty Market ($ Bil.)
Medical Pharmacy
16% CAGR
22
PREPARING FOR
TOMORROW
• Enterprise vision to create a
“Connected” Health Experience
• First-in-class tools to help
patients seamlessly manage
retail, mail, and specialty
prescriptions
• Enhanced front store
personalization tools drive value
for customers
Integrated
Digital
Offerings
23
SPECIALTY IS
GROWING IN
ABSOLUTE
DOLLARS AND
PERCENT OF TOTAL
SPEND
Source: NHE, CVS/caremark
24
THREE KEY
DRIVERS OF
UTILIZATION
Source: CVS/caremark
25
DRUG PRICES
DRIVEN BY
ANNUAL PRICE
INFLATION AND
HIGHER
LAUNCH PRICES
Source: CVS/caremark
Note: Annual drug costs based on average wholesale price (AWP) accessed summer
2013.
26
COST
MANAGEMENT
OPPORTUNITIES
IN SPECIALTY
PHARMACY:
BIOSIMILARS
Source: CVS/caremark
27
RETAIL INFUSION
AS THE NEXT
INNOVATION
Source: Press Ganey
28
4. DOCS-IN-A-BOX AND TELEMEDICINE
29
URGENT CARE
CLINICS
Overview
• Pressure from lawmakers, employers and insurers on
hospitals to treat patients in less costly outpatient care
settings
• Number of insured expected to grow by 30 million over
next decade
• Open evenings and weekends
• Physician on staff
• Most operated by nonprofit health systems, such as
Aurora Health Care or Intermountain Healthcare
• Insurers such as Humana and WellPoint are also
purchasing chains of clinics
• Private equity firms $2 billion in health and medical
services in 2012
Source: CNBC
The number of urgent
care clinics is growing due
to government policies
and economic necessities
30
Key Statistics
• Approximately 9,000 urgent care centers in the US
– Growing 8–10% annually
– 40% expect to expand or add another site
– 94% have at least one full-time physician on staff
• 75% located in suburban areas, 15% in urban areas, 10%
in rural areas
• About 50% are freestanding. About 50% in shopping
centers
• 85% of clinics are open 7 days a week
• 95% close after 7 p.m.
Source: Companies
There are about 9,000
urgent care clinics in the US,
and the number is growing
by 8% to 10% a year
URGENT CARE
CLINICS
31
URGENT CARE
CLINICS
Source: physiciansimmediatecare.com
Broad Range of Services
Urgent care clinics perform a
wide variety of functions,
including diagnosing
illnesses, taking X-rays,
performing lab tests, and
giving immunizations
32
URGENT
CARE
CLINICS
Source: Companies
970
400
81
CVS/caremark Walgreens Walmart
Number of Clinics
Many drug stores and,
increasingly, retailers
offer urgent care clinics
33
TELEMEDICINE • Why Use Telemedicine?
• Shortage of physicians
• Distribution of expertise
• It works well
• Cost effective
• Patients like it
Source: HEALTHePRACTICES, Lewin Group
Telemedicine is necessary
due to the shortage of
physicians and provides
efficient care
34
TELEMEDICINE
Source: HEALTHePRACTICES, Lewin Group
Physician Shortage
Telemedicine is necessary
due to the shortage of
physicians and provides
efficient care
35
TELEMEDICINE
Source: HEALTHePRACTICES
Solutions Available Today
Today, telemedicine can
provide radiology, neurology,
psychiatry, dermatology,
ophthalmology, and
cardiology
36
TELEMEDICINE 10 Million Patients Served by Telemedicine
• Outsourced specialists
• Teleradiology
• Internet clinical consults
• Cardiac monitoring
• Remote monitoring
• Civilian network consults
Source: HEALTHePRACTICES
Today, 10 million patients
have been served by
various telemedicine
functions
37
SERVICES
AVAILABLE
TODAY
• Online services
• Consumer health apps
• Urgent care
• Patient generated health data (PGHD)
• Wearables
• Scannables (sensors)
Source: HEALTHePRACTICES
Many telemedicine
functions can be
performed online or
through wearables or
scannables
38
SERVICES
AVAILABLE
SOON
Source: HEALTHePRACTICES
There are many
connected healthcare
devices available today or
under development
39
TELEMEDICINE
• Teladoc, founded in 2002, is the first and largest
telehealth provider in the US
• The service provides consults via phone or online
24/7/365
• Doctors are U.S. board-certified family practitioners,
PCPs, pediatricians and internists
• Health providers use electronic health records to
diagnose, treat, and write prescriptions
• Patients control their electronic health records and can
take their records with them
• Members report that Teladoc physicians resolved their
medical issues 92% of the time
Teladoc provides consults
with board-certified
doctors via phone or
online 24/7/365
40
ADVANCED
TECHNOLOGIES
Source: HEALTHePRACTICES
Advanced uses of
telemedicine include robotics,
remote surgery, and live
monitoring via cellphone
41
ADVANCED
TECHNOLOGIES
Source: HEALTHePRACTICES
Other advanced application
include 3D modeling of organs
and tumors
42
5. SILVER GENERATION SPENDING TRENDS
43
SUMMARY • The “silver” generation represents over-50
Americans, who have high incomes and
different spending patterns than millennials
• This demographic category is expected to
expand markedly through 2060
• The silvers also have net worths well above
average
• Silvers tend to spend more on healthcare,
food at home, household furnishings, pet
supplies and personal care …
• … and less on transportation, education and
clothing than millennials
The silver generation is a
growing demographic group
with high net worths,
incomes, and different
purchasing preferences than
the upcoming millennials
44
MEDICARE
POPULATION
GROWING
AND UTILIZING
THREE TIMES AS
MANY SCRIPTS AS
PATIENTS UNDER 65
Source: CVS Health; Medicare Trustees Report, 2014; Avalere Medicaid Model,
Barclays, McKinsey MPACT 6.2, CBO Public Exchange Estimates, Oliver Wyman, 2014.
49
69
2013 2019E
Growth in Medicare Lives (Million Lives)
45
WHO IS THE
“SILVER”
GENERATION? Generation Age Income After Taxes
Gen Z / Millennials <25 $26,559
Gen Y 25–34 53,178
Gen X 35–44 69,152
Younger Boomers 45–54 68,048
Older Boomers 55–64 63,312
Golden Generation 65–74 48,742
Average $56,353
Americans in the age range of
45 to 54 have above-average
after-tax incomes
46
US
DEMOGRAPHICS
2010–2015
321
335
347 359 370 380 389 398 407 417
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
Projected US Population, 2015–2060
Under 18 years 18 to 24 years 25 to 44 years
45 to 64 years 65 years and over
Source: US Census Bureau
The over-45 population is
projected to increase
markedly during
2015-2060
47
ABOVE-AVERAGE
DISPOSABLE
INCOME
Source: US Bureau of Labor and FBIC Global Retail & Technology
Members of the “silver”
generation (55-74) have
above-average disposable
income
US Average Disposable Income
48
WHAT THE “SILVER”
GENERATION
WON’T SPEND
ON…
Members of the “silver”
generation spent below-
average levels on
transportation, education
and clothing
$8,860
$9,183
$9,004
Silvers Millennials
Transportation
All Consumers
$874
$1,019$1,138
Silvers Millennials
Education
All Consumers
$1,423
$1,832
$1,604
Silvers Millennials
Clothing
All Consumers
Source: US Bureau of Labor and FBIC Global Retail & Technology
49
6. TECHNICAL BEAUTY
50
ELEVATE BEAUTY:
BUILD ON OUR
STRONG
FOUNDATION
Source: CVS Health
Enhance the Beauty Shopping
Experience
Bring our Health Expertise
to Beauty
51
FACIAL MAPPING • Virtual Makeovers and Try-Ons
• ModiFace is a Toronto-based company with a
background in building 2-D and 3-D facial
simulations
• L’Oréal Makeup Genius
52
Try-it-on • TryItOn lets customers virtually try on makeup products
while in the store via an app for iOS and Android
smartphones
• The user uploads a photo, scans a barcode for the
product, and can view an image of the makeup on her face
• Brands supported include L’Oréal, Maybelline and Revlon
• The app analyzes the user’s skin pigments to determine
which makeup suits the user’s skin tone
• Users can also share images with friends to solicit their
opinions
TryItOn uses augmented reality
to enable users to try on
makeup suitable for their skin
tone and also solicit their
friends’ opinions
53
MAGIC MIRRORS • Attracting customers with visual suggestions
and options
• Expediting the fitting-room process
• Theft protection
• Data collection
54
MAGIC DISPLAYS
FOR SHOPPER
ENGAGEMENT
• Immersive, interactive experiences
• Affordable price is making large panels and
custom displays more affordable
• 3D motion detection has moved into the
consumer sphere
55
COLOR
MATCHING GOES
HIGH-TECH
• Sephora + Pantone = Color IQ
• IMAN Cosmetics determines one’s “color
signature” after taking a headshot
• The apps offer a wide range of product and
look recommendations
56
SMARTPHONES
DOUBLES AS
PERSONAL BEAUTY
CONSULTANTS
• Smartphone apps are capable of:
– Conducting skin analysis
– Making product recommendations
– Performing virtual cosmetic testing
• Allure + SkinBetter = App that applies
dermatologist-grade scanning technology to
identify skin issues
• The apps offer a wide range of product and
look recommendations
57
SOCIAL SELLING
BEATS ONLINE ADS
FOR BEAUTY
PRODUCTS
• 50% of beauty shoppers rely on beauty videos on
YouTube when making a purchase (source:
Google)
• With YouTube’s help, beauty content creators
provide beauty products to website owners in
exchange for links to their website
• The site generated 40% of traffic from YouTube
links and conversion rates increased to 15%
Michelle Phan’s E-tailers
58
GENETIC TESTING
FOR CUSTOMZIED
TREATMENTS
• Technology has enabled consumers to obtain
tailored anti-aging products based on DNA
analysis
• Information transparency demands
hypercustomization from beauty brands –
products that are adjustable to the daily
changing needs of an individual’s skin and hair
Geneu skincare lab in
London offers
skin profiles based on a
DNA sample
from a simple mouth swab
59
BIOTECH INVADES
BEAUTY
• The line between medical research and
beauty is blurring
• For products and therapies, particularly for
anti-aging remedies:
– Biotech materials
– Genetic profiling
– Stem-cell-based
60
WEARABLE TECH IN
NAIL ART AND
MAKEUP
• Early areas of research include
– Nail decoration
– Tattoos and conductive makeup
– Combining beauty and technology to empower the
disabled
61
3D PRINTING OF
COSMETICS
• Desktop printer with a sub-$200 price tag that
can print makeup such as lipstick, lip gloss,
eye shadow, blush, nail polish and brow
powder
62
ON-DEMAND
BEAUTY SERVICES
• The app Beautified allows users to search
for nearby salons and book last-minute
appointments using geolocation-based
technology
63
7. WEARABLE TECH
64
THE INTERNET OF
THINGS
Cisco forecast: 50 billion
devices by 2020
Source: Cisco
• Cisco has forecasted that there will be 50
billion devices connected to the Internet by
2020
• There are already more connected devices
than people
65
WEARABLES
MARKETS
The wearables market is
estimated at about 60.6
million units and $6.6
billion this year
Source: ABI Research, HIS, MarketsandMarkets, FBIC Global Retail & Technology
35.7
46.5
60.6
79.0
103.0
134.3
$2.8
$5.1
$6.6
$8.8
$12.0
$16.8
$0
$2
$4
$6
$8
$10
$12
$14
$16
$18
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
2013 2014 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E
MarketValue($Billion)
Units(Million)
Size and Value of Wearables Market
Units Dollars
66
SMARTWATCH
MARKET
The global smartwatch
industry is estimated at
$2.5 billion in 2015—
about 5% the size of the
watch industry
Source: Generator Research
0
50
100
150
200
250
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Worldwide Smartwatch Market (Mil. Units)
Apple Other
67
STATE OF THE
WEARABLES
MARKET
• Technology still in its infancy
• Size, battery life, limited features, and lack of
performance are hindering innovation
• Engineering needs to connect with product
design
• Fashion and electronics supply chains need
to come together for products to be
successful
• Gadgets needs to become beautiful garments,
jewelry, watches and accessories
• No need to compromise aesthetics for
functionality
The wearables market is
still in its infancy, and
much remains to be done
to connect aesthetics
with tech
Source: Kloog
68
SMARTWATCHES Functions
• GPS tracking
• Analog/digital faces
• Heart rate monitoring
• Activity tracking
• Sleep quality tracking
• Fall detection
Smartwatches perform
much of the functionality
of fitness bands
Source: Kloog
69
SMART FOOTWEAR Functions
• GPS tracking
• Alerts
• Stride detection
• Balance detection
• Pace detection
Smart footwear offers many
functions developed
specifically for runners
Source: Kloog
70
BIOMETRIC
CLOTHING
Functions
• Pulse Rate
• Heart Rate
• EKG Functions
• Skin Temperature
• Muscle Contraction
• RespirationSensors in biometric
clothing can collect many
types of physiological
data
Source: Kloog
• UV sensors
• Activity tracking
• Fall detection
• Hydration level
• Electrolyte level
• Glucose level
71
FIRST RESPONDERS
AND UNIFORMS
Functions
• GPS Tracking
• Wi-Fi
• BTLE
• Camera
• Gas Sensors
First responders have specific
needs for sensors and
connectivity in order to
monitor their environment and
communicate with the base
Source: Kloog
• Independent Zone
• Flexible
• Waterproof
• Wearable Screens
• Heat Sensors
72
SMART GLASSES Functions
• Voice Command
• Search
• Biometrics
• BTLE
• Screen
Beyond the Google Glass,
smartglasses have many
applications in industry
and medicine
Source: Kloog
73
POSTURE
MANAGEMENT
Functions
• Correction
• Compression
• Tapings
• Harnesses
• Embedded sensors
Wearables can be used to
correct our posture and
to help reduce back pain
Source: Kloog
74
ENERGY
HARVESTING
Functions
• Bags
• Apparel
• Outerwear
• Gloves
• Sports Equipment
Wearables can collect energy
from our physical movement,
avoiding the need for external
power sources such as
batteries
Source: Kloog
• Bicycles
• Skateboards
• Fans
• Household Goods
• Recharging Solutions
75
GLUCOSE
MONITORING
Guardian Real-Time Continuous Glucose Monitoring
(CGM) system
• Offers protection day and night
• Provides continuous glucose readings and
customizable alerts with notification of oncoming
highs and lows
• Enables real-time corrections for better glucose
control
The Guardian is a
combination of a patch
and an external device for
glucose monitoring
76
NANOTECH • Nanoenabled products are a $1 trillion+
market
• What’s special about nano
– Size-dependent properties
– High surface-to-volume ratio
• Types: buckyballs, nanotubes, graphene,
nanoparticles and quantum dots
• Key products: personal care, clothing,
cosmetics, sporting goods, filtration and
sunscreens
• VCs are actively investing in
nanotechstartups, driving further innovation
Nanotech is the next
small thing enabling new
products and wearables
Source: Kloog
77
8. COOL STARTUPS
78
INDOOR
MAPPING
TECHNOLOGY
• In-store shopping companion that provides
content that matters to the customer
• Customer can double-tap to save or swipe to
dismiss
• Double-tap proximity cards to save them
• As customer moves through the store, new
relevant cards pop up augmenting the
shopping experience
inMarket provides
contextual content for
shoppers on their
smartphones
79
INDOOR
MAPPING
TECHNOLOGY
• aisle411, Walgreens and Google’s Project Tango
Have Teamed Up to Change In-Store Shopping
Experience
• Project Tango can determine a shopper’s location
inside the store within centimeters
• Allows shoppers to search and map products inside
stores using tablets and 3D augmented reality
• Shoppers can be rewarded with loyalty points as
they navigate the store
• The platform overlays
– Navigation
– Rewards
– Personalized special offers
Location-based technology
is being combined with
augmented reality to offer
an enhanced in-store
experience
80
HEART
MONITORING Home Diagnosis
• The BioStamp is a temporary tattoo that can
take several measurements, including
– UV exposure
– Temperature
– Perspiration and biochemistry
– Blood pressure
MC10 is developing wearable
technology for consumer, digital
health, medical devices, and
industrial & defense
applications
81
BABY
MONITORING
There are many commercially
available products for
monitoring a baby’s
breathing and activity
82
UV
MONITORING
SunFriend
• Provides alerts based on exposure and skin
sensitivity
• Tracks UVA+UVB levels
• Computes UV index (UVI)
The SunFriend monitors
UV levels and alerts the
wearer when he or she
has had enough sun
based on the skin type
83
BLOOD
GLUCOSE
Glooko Type 1 & 2 Diabetes Monitoring Software
• Challenge—Tracking, recording and monitoring blood
glucose readings can be time-consuming and difficult
• Opportunity—Create a mobile app that minimizes the
possibility of human error from manual tracking.
• Solution—iOS app syncs with 19 meters to
automatically record readings. Users can email reports
to their physician. Other features include automatic
logging, food database integration, email integration,
Facebook integration, and note-taking.
84
9. IMPACT OF CHINESE TOURISTS ON RETAIL
85
SUMMARY • We estimate Chinese overseas spending will
nearly double to $422 billion by 2020
• Chinese travelers primarily stay within Asia,
however smaller numbers visit the US and UK
• Average spending was $1,678 in our survey,
however the greatest frequency was in approx.
$400–1200
• The most commonly purchased products were
apparel and accessories and beauty products
• More middle-income Chinese citizens will travel,
and travelers will travel more independently,
which has certain implications for retailers
86
Social Media
Savvy
• Wechat has 549 million active users, covers 200
countries
• WeChat mobile payment users reached 400 million
80% of Chinese high net-worth people use Wechat
87
A $422 BILLION
MARKET BY 2020
• Total outbound passenger journeys will double
between 2014 and 2020, to approximately 234 million
• Total overseas spending by Chinese tourists is
expected to jump 23% in 2015 to $229 billion
• By 2020, we estimate, total overseas spend will
reach $422 billion—a projected 13% CAGR
$229
$422
2015 2020
Chinese Overseas Spending ($ Bil.)
13% CAGR
Source: FBIC Global Retail & Technology
We estimate Chinese
overseas spending will
nearly double to $422
billion by 2020
88
UNDERSTANDING
THE OVERSEAS
SHOPPER
• FBIC Global Retail & Technology and China Luxury
Advisors survey of 1,019 Chinese Internes users
aged 18+
• Two-thirds of Chinese Internet users traveled
overseas during May 2014-May 2015 period
12.9%
10.3%
9.5%
7.3%
5.7%
3.2%
2.1% 2.0%
Hong
Kong
Thailand South
Korea
Japan Taiwan US Macau UK
Chinese Tourists’ Top Destinations
The top five destinations
for Chinese tourists were
in Asia. The percentage of
trips to the US and UK
was much lower
Source: FBIC Global Retail & Technology
89
HOW MUCH DO
OVERSEAS
SHOPPERS SPEND?
• Average spending was $1,678
• Most popular spending bands were $407–
$815 and $815–$1,222
• 3% spent more than $6,516
13%
20%
17%
13% 13%
8%
6%
3%
8%
Amount Spent on Retail Purchases
Average spending was
$1,678 and the most
common spending was in
the range of $407 to
$1,222
Source: FBIC Global Retail & Technology
90
WHAT DO
OVERSEAS
SHOPPERS BUY?
• Most popular overseas shopping categories:
clothing, footwear and accessories,
fragrances and beauty products, electronics
and other food or beverage
56%
52%
32% 31%
23%
20% 19% 18% 16%
10%
Apparel Beauty Electronics Other food Health
items
Watches Tobacco Jewelry Alcohol Other
products
Categories of Products Purchased
The most commonly
purchased products were
apparel and accessories
and beauty products
Source: FBIC Global Retail & Technology
91
HOW MUCH DO
OVERSEAS SPEND
BY COUNTRY?
• Chinese visitors to the US spend the most on
retail purchases; at $2,555, they spend 52% more
than the $1,678 global average, Followed by
Europe and Japan
$1,678
$2,555 $2,548
$2,270
$1,922
$1,696
$1,290 $1,256
Global
Average
US Europe Japan S. Korea Taiwan Thailand Hong
Kong
Estimated Per Capita Spending by Destination
Chinese visitors to the US
spend the most on retail
purchases; at $2,555,
they spend 52% more
than the $1,678 global
average, Followed by
Europe and Japan
Source: FBIC Global Retail & Technology
92
10. MOBILE COMMERCE
93
CHINA:
THE WORLD’S
LARGEST ONLINE
MARKET
China’s online population has
grown rapidly to 641 million,
including 127 million rural users
iResearch estimates the total
mobile transaction value will
exceed ¥3.2 trillion at the end of
2017, up from ¥274 billion in 2013
China Mobile Commerce Growth (US$ Bil)
$2 $11
$44
$132
$258
$401
$512
2011 2012 2013 2014 E 2015 E 2016 E 2017E
Source: iResearch
94
APPS ARE
DOMINATING
SMARTPHONES
16%
84%
58%
42%
Total Internet BuzzFeed
Share of Time Spent on Mobile
Mobile
Web
App
Source: comScore, March 2014
Apps are much easier to
navigate than mobile
apps and are therefore
more popular with users
95
INCREDIBLE
RETAIL
DIGITAL
OPPORTUNITY
93%
Sales will be Offline
70%
Sales will be digitally
influenced
Source: Google Analytics
In the future, 93% of sales
will be offline and 70%
will be digitally
influenced, according to
Google
94
THANK YOU!
Deborah	
  Weinswig,	
  CPA	
  
ExecuHve	
  Director—	
  
Head	
  of	
  Global	
  Retail	
  &	
  Technology	
  
Fung	
  Business	
  Intelligence	
  Centre	
  
New	
  York:	
  917.655.6790	
  	
  
Hong	
  Kong:	
  +852	
  6119	
  1779	
  
deborahweinswig@fung1937.com	
  
	
  	
  
Filippo	
  BaEaini	
  
filippobaKaini@fung1937.com	
  
Sunny	
  Chan,	
  CFA	
  
sunnychan@fung1937.com	
  
Marie	
  Driscoll,	
  CFA	
  
mariedriscoll@fung1937.com	
  
John	
  Harmon,	
  CFA	
  
johnharmon@fung1937.com	
  
Aragorn	
  Ho	
  
aragornho@fung1937.com	
  
John	
  Mercer	
  
johnmercer@fung1937.com	
  
Shoshana	
  Pollack	
  
Shoshanapollack@fung1937.com	
  	
  
Kiril	
  Popov	
  
kirilpopov@fung1937.com	
  
Jing	
  Wang	
  	
  
jingwang@fung1937.com	
  
Steven	
  Winnick	
  
stevenwinnick@fung1937.com	
  
	
  	
  
	
  

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Deborah Weinswig's Digital Health Presentation for NACDS Aug. 24, 2015

  • 1. 1 THE COLLISION OF DIGITAL HEALTH, THE CONSUMER, AND WEARABLES Deborah Weinswig Executive Director – Head Global Retail & Technology Fung Business Intelligence Centre August 24, 2015
  • 2. 2 DEBORAH WEINSWIG • Executive Director and Head of Global Retail & Technology for the Fung Business Intelligence Centre • Award-winning global retail analyst and a specialist in retail innovation and technology • 12 Years at Citi Research where she served as Head of the Global Staples & Consumer Discretionary Team • #1 ranking analyst by Institutional Investor for ten years • Mentor to Silicon Valley accelerators including Alchemist Accelerator and Plug & Play • Certified Public Accountant, with a Masters of Business Administration degree from the University of Chicago
  • 3. 4 ABOUT FUNG BUSINESS INTELLIGENCE CENTRE (FBIC) • Established in 2000 and headquartered in Hong Kong • FBIC (formerly known as the Li & Fung Research Centre) has served as the knowledge bank and think tank for the Fung Group • New York–based Global Retail & Technology research team follows broader retail and technology trends
  • 4. 6 TODAY’S TOPICS 1. Digital Health 2. Medication Adherence 3. Specialty Pharmacy—Biosimilars 4. Docs-in-a-box and Telemedicine 5. Silver Generation Spending Trends 6. Technical Beauty 7. Wearable Tech 8. Cool Startups 9. Impact of Chinese Tourists 10. Mobile Commerce
  • 6. 8 INDUSTRY DRIVERS • Clinical applications • Compliance requirements • Future enabling technologies for cloud computing, Big Data, mobile computing and social media Source: IDC, EMC Digital Universe Healthcare Brief 153 2,314 2013 2020E Healthcare Data (Exabytes) 48% CAGR Healthcare data is expected to grow at a 48% CAGR through 2020
  • 7. 9 HEALTHCARE BIG DATA ARCHITECTURE Future Design Storage, Processing and Application Services • Ingest—Capture data from a range of sources • Store—Store everything in a standardized environment • Analyze—Use Big Data analytics to discover predictive patterns—clinical/business opportunities • Surface—Share across the enterprise—clinicians, executives and patients • Act—Project future opportunities: accountable care organization (ACO), patient engagements, growth and population health preparedness Source: EMC
  • 8. 10 MACHINE LEARNING AND ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE • Machine learning its finding its way through startups into applications like marketing, security, and operations • Deep learning includes computer vision, speech recognition, natural language processing, and bioinformatics • Companies today are using neural networks to identify objects for use in driverless cars
  • 9. 11 HEALTHCARE PROVIDER SPENDING IN FUTURECARE TECH INCREASING IN 2015 How do you expect your 2015 IT spending to change for each of the following areas? Source: FutureCare: Cloud, Big Data, Mobile and Social Optimize the EMR,”
  • 11. 13 MEDICATION ADHERENCE “Drugs don’t work in patients who don’t take them.” –C. Everett Koop, MD (former U.S. Surgeon General) • 20%–30% of prescriptions are never filled • Only 1 in 2 patients take their prescribed medications correctly and on time • Nearly 3 out of 4 Americans admit that they do not always take their medication as directed • Medication Adherence: – Timing – Dosage – Frequency The problem: Only 1 in 2 patients take their prescribed medications correctly and on time
  • 12. 14 MEDICATION ADHERENCE Apps can tell patients when to take their medicine and how much to take Pillboxie RxmindMe Txt4health
  • 13. 15 MEDICATION ADHERENCE Smart Wireless Pill Bottles • Currently being used by patients in pharmaceutical and research engagements • Collect and send all adherence data in real time • Automatically analyzes this information and populates data on secure dashboard • If doses are missed, patients can receive customizable alerts and interventions—using automated phone calls, text messages, and other means Second-Generation Pill Bottle Wireless pill bottles can monitor time, usage and collect other data
  • 14. 16 MEDICATION ADHERENCE Propeller • For Asthma and COPD (chronic obstructive pulmonary disease) • Sensor is a small device that attaches to the top of the inhaler • Tracks medication use, with a record of the time and place inhaler use • Wirelessly syncs with smartphone via Bluetooth • Mobile app enables view of data plus personalized feedback/suggestions The propeller can monitor inhaler usage
  • 15. 17 MEDICATION ADHERENCE Klaptic • An ambient medication alert system that is designed to maintain the health and independence of the target audience • Used haptic feedback modules (vibrations) and other indicators to alert a user of when to take a medical drug and which one to take • Modules can be fitted onto reading glasses or existing pieces of clothing Klaptic is a clever eyeglass-mounted wearable for monitoring the use of medication
  • 16. 18 MEDICATION ADHERENCE miWatch • Smartwatch app for – Reminding about appointments – Rx-refill requests – Lab/test results • Reminders for: – Medication adherence – Appointments with doctors – Alerts and notifications from a patient portals Smartwatches can also provide reminders for taking medication and deliver necessary information
  • 17. 19 MEDICATION ADHERENCE Proteus Discover system • Pill—Sensor-enabled pills send a signal to the patch and measure what medication has been taken • Patch—Records time a sensor pill has been taken as well as rest and activity • App—The Discover App tracks medications, steps, activity, rest, heart rate, blood pressure, and weight • Portal—Allows health-care professionals to drill down into an individual patient’s data The Proteus Discover system us a patch that monitors medication use that can collect other data
  • 19. 21 EXPANDING OPPORTUNITIES IN A FAST-GROWING MARKET Source: NHE, Artemetrx, CVS Health Note: Includes infused oncology $86 $118 $153 2014E 2016E 2018E Addressable Specialty Market ($ Bil.) Medical Pharmacy 16% CAGR
  • 20. 22 PREPARING FOR TOMORROW • Enterprise vision to create a “Connected” Health Experience • First-in-class tools to help patients seamlessly manage retail, mail, and specialty prescriptions • Enhanced front store personalization tools drive value for customers Integrated Digital Offerings
  • 21. 23 SPECIALTY IS GROWING IN ABSOLUTE DOLLARS AND PERCENT OF TOTAL SPEND Source: NHE, CVS/caremark
  • 23. 25 DRUG PRICES DRIVEN BY ANNUAL PRICE INFLATION AND HIGHER LAUNCH PRICES Source: CVS/caremark Note: Annual drug costs based on average wholesale price (AWP) accessed summer 2013.
  • 25. 27 RETAIL INFUSION AS THE NEXT INNOVATION Source: Press Ganey
  • 26. 28 4. DOCS-IN-A-BOX AND TELEMEDICINE
  • 27. 29 URGENT CARE CLINICS Overview • Pressure from lawmakers, employers and insurers on hospitals to treat patients in less costly outpatient care settings • Number of insured expected to grow by 30 million over next decade • Open evenings and weekends • Physician on staff • Most operated by nonprofit health systems, such as Aurora Health Care or Intermountain Healthcare • Insurers such as Humana and WellPoint are also purchasing chains of clinics • Private equity firms $2 billion in health and medical services in 2012 Source: CNBC The number of urgent care clinics is growing due to government policies and economic necessities
  • 28. 30 Key Statistics • Approximately 9,000 urgent care centers in the US – Growing 8–10% annually – 40% expect to expand or add another site – 94% have at least one full-time physician on staff • 75% located in suburban areas, 15% in urban areas, 10% in rural areas • About 50% are freestanding. About 50% in shopping centers • 85% of clinics are open 7 days a week • 95% close after 7 p.m. Source: Companies There are about 9,000 urgent care clinics in the US, and the number is growing by 8% to 10% a year URGENT CARE CLINICS
  • 29. 31 URGENT CARE CLINICS Source: physiciansimmediatecare.com Broad Range of Services Urgent care clinics perform a wide variety of functions, including diagnosing illnesses, taking X-rays, performing lab tests, and giving immunizations
  • 30. 32 URGENT CARE CLINICS Source: Companies 970 400 81 CVS/caremark Walgreens Walmart Number of Clinics Many drug stores and, increasingly, retailers offer urgent care clinics
  • 31. 33 TELEMEDICINE • Why Use Telemedicine? • Shortage of physicians • Distribution of expertise • It works well • Cost effective • Patients like it Source: HEALTHePRACTICES, Lewin Group Telemedicine is necessary due to the shortage of physicians and provides efficient care
  • 32. 34 TELEMEDICINE Source: HEALTHePRACTICES, Lewin Group Physician Shortage Telemedicine is necessary due to the shortage of physicians and provides efficient care
  • 33. 35 TELEMEDICINE Source: HEALTHePRACTICES Solutions Available Today Today, telemedicine can provide radiology, neurology, psychiatry, dermatology, ophthalmology, and cardiology
  • 34. 36 TELEMEDICINE 10 Million Patients Served by Telemedicine • Outsourced specialists • Teleradiology • Internet clinical consults • Cardiac monitoring • Remote monitoring • Civilian network consults Source: HEALTHePRACTICES Today, 10 million patients have been served by various telemedicine functions
  • 35. 37 SERVICES AVAILABLE TODAY • Online services • Consumer health apps • Urgent care • Patient generated health data (PGHD) • Wearables • Scannables (sensors) Source: HEALTHePRACTICES Many telemedicine functions can be performed online or through wearables or scannables
  • 36. 38 SERVICES AVAILABLE SOON Source: HEALTHePRACTICES There are many connected healthcare devices available today or under development
  • 37. 39 TELEMEDICINE • Teladoc, founded in 2002, is the first and largest telehealth provider in the US • The service provides consults via phone or online 24/7/365 • Doctors are U.S. board-certified family practitioners, PCPs, pediatricians and internists • Health providers use electronic health records to diagnose, treat, and write prescriptions • Patients control their electronic health records and can take their records with them • Members report that Teladoc physicians resolved their medical issues 92% of the time Teladoc provides consults with board-certified doctors via phone or online 24/7/365
  • 38. 40 ADVANCED TECHNOLOGIES Source: HEALTHePRACTICES Advanced uses of telemedicine include robotics, remote surgery, and live monitoring via cellphone
  • 39. 41 ADVANCED TECHNOLOGIES Source: HEALTHePRACTICES Other advanced application include 3D modeling of organs and tumors
  • 40. 42 5. SILVER GENERATION SPENDING TRENDS
  • 41. 43 SUMMARY • The “silver” generation represents over-50 Americans, who have high incomes and different spending patterns than millennials • This demographic category is expected to expand markedly through 2060 • The silvers also have net worths well above average • Silvers tend to spend more on healthcare, food at home, household furnishings, pet supplies and personal care … • … and less on transportation, education and clothing than millennials The silver generation is a growing demographic group with high net worths, incomes, and different purchasing preferences than the upcoming millennials
  • 42. 44 MEDICARE POPULATION GROWING AND UTILIZING THREE TIMES AS MANY SCRIPTS AS PATIENTS UNDER 65 Source: CVS Health; Medicare Trustees Report, 2014; Avalere Medicaid Model, Barclays, McKinsey MPACT 6.2, CBO Public Exchange Estimates, Oliver Wyman, 2014. 49 69 2013 2019E Growth in Medicare Lives (Million Lives)
  • 43. 45 WHO IS THE “SILVER” GENERATION? Generation Age Income After Taxes Gen Z / Millennials <25 $26,559 Gen Y 25–34 53,178 Gen X 35–44 69,152 Younger Boomers 45–54 68,048 Older Boomers 55–64 63,312 Golden Generation 65–74 48,742 Average $56,353 Americans in the age range of 45 to 54 have above-average after-tax incomes
  • 44. 46 US DEMOGRAPHICS 2010–2015 321 335 347 359 370 380 389 398 407 417 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 2060 Projected US Population, 2015–2060 Under 18 years 18 to 24 years 25 to 44 years 45 to 64 years 65 years and over Source: US Census Bureau The over-45 population is projected to increase markedly during 2015-2060
  • 45. 47 ABOVE-AVERAGE DISPOSABLE INCOME Source: US Bureau of Labor and FBIC Global Retail & Technology Members of the “silver” generation (55-74) have above-average disposable income US Average Disposable Income
  • 46. 48 WHAT THE “SILVER” GENERATION WON’T SPEND ON… Members of the “silver” generation spent below- average levels on transportation, education and clothing $8,860 $9,183 $9,004 Silvers Millennials Transportation All Consumers $874 $1,019$1,138 Silvers Millennials Education All Consumers $1,423 $1,832 $1,604 Silvers Millennials Clothing All Consumers Source: US Bureau of Labor and FBIC Global Retail & Technology
  • 48. 50 ELEVATE BEAUTY: BUILD ON OUR STRONG FOUNDATION Source: CVS Health Enhance the Beauty Shopping Experience Bring our Health Expertise to Beauty
  • 49. 51 FACIAL MAPPING • Virtual Makeovers and Try-Ons • ModiFace is a Toronto-based company with a background in building 2-D and 3-D facial simulations • L’Oréal Makeup Genius
  • 50. 52 Try-it-on • TryItOn lets customers virtually try on makeup products while in the store via an app for iOS and Android smartphones • The user uploads a photo, scans a barcode for the product, and can view an image of the makeup on her face • Brands supported include L’Oréal, Maybelline and Revlon • The app analyzes the user’s skin pigments to determine which makeup suits the user’s skin tone • Users can also share images with friends to solicit their opinions TryItOn uses augmented reality to enable users to try on makeup suitable for their skin tone and also solicit their friends’ opinions
  • 51. 53 MAGIC MIRRORS • Attracting customers with visual suggestions and options • Expediting the fitting-room process • Theft protection • Data collection
  • 52. 54 MAGIC DISPLAYS FOR SHOPPER ENGAGEMENT • Immersive, interactive experiences • Affordable price is making large panels and custom displays more affordable • 3D motion detection has moved into the consumer sphere
  • 53. 55 COLOR MATCHING GOES HIGH-TECH • Sephora + Pantone = Color IQ • IMAN Cosmetics determines one’s “color signature” after taking a headshot • The apps offer a wide range of product and look recommendations
  • 54. 56 SMARTPHONES DOUBLES AS PERSONAL BEAUTY CONSULTANTS • Smartphone apps are capable of: – Conducting skin analysis – Making product recommendations – Performing virtual cosmetic testing • Allure + SkinBetter = App that applies dermatologist-grade scanning technology to identify skin issues • The apps offer a wide range of product and look recommendations
  • 55. 57 SOCIAL SELLING BEATS ONLINE ADS FOR BEAUTY PRODUCTS • 50% of beauty shoppers rely on beauty videos on YouTube when making a purchase (source: Google) • With YouTube’s help, beauty content creators provide beauty products to website owners in exchange for links to their website • The site generated 40% of traffic from YouTube links and conversion rates increased to 15% Michelle Phan’s E-tailers
  • 56. 58 GENETIC TESTING FOR CUSTOMZIED TREATMENTS • Technology has enabled consumers to obtain tailored anti-aging products based on DNA analysis • Information transparency demands hypercustomization from beauty brands – products that are adjustable to the daily changing needs of an individual’s skin and hair Geneu skincare lab in London offers skin profiles based on a DNA sample from a simple mouth swab
  • 57. 59 BIOTECH INVADES BEAUTY • The line between medical research and beauty is blurring • For products and therapies, particularly for anti-aging remedies: – Biotech materials – Genetic profiling – Stem-cell-based
  • 58. 60 WEARABLE TECH IN NAIL ART AND MAKEUP • Early areas of research include – Nail decoration – Tattoos and conductive makeup – Combining beauty and technology to empower the disabled
  • 59. 61 3D PRINTING OF COSMETICS • Desktop printer with a sub-$200 price tag that can print makeup such as lipstick, lip gloss, eye shadow, blush, nail polish and brow powder
  • 60. 62 ON-DEMAND BEAUTY SERVICES • The app Beautified allows users to search for nearby salons and book last-minute appointments using geolocation-based technology
  • 62. 64 THE INTERNET OF THINGS Cisco forecast: 50 billion devices by 2020 Source: Cisco • Cisco has forecasted that there will be 50 billion devices connected to the Internet by 2020 • There are already more connected devices than people
  • 63. 65 WEARABLES MARKETS The wearables market is estimated at about 60.6 million units and $6.6 billion this year Source: ABI Research, HIS, MarketsandMarkets, FBIC Global Retail & Technology 35.7 46.5 60.6 79.0 103.0 134.3 $2.8 $5.1 $6.6 $8.8 $12.0 $16.8 $0 $2 $4 $6 $8 $10 $12 $14 $16 $18 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 2013 2014 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E MarketValue($Billion) Units(Million) Size and Value of Wearables Market Units Dollars
  • 64. 66 SMARTWATCH MARKET The global smartwatch industry is estimated at $2.5 billion in 2015— about 5% the size of the watch industry Source: Generator Research 0 50 100 150 200 250 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Worldwide Smartwatch Market (Mil. Units) Apple Other
  • 65. 67 STATE OF THE WEARABLES MARKET • Technology still in its infancy • Size, battery life, limited features, and lack of performance are hindering innovation • Engineering needs to connect with product design • Fashion and electronics supply chains need to come together for products to be successful • Gadgets needs to become beautiful garments, jewelry, watches and accessories • No need to compromise aesthetics for functionality The wearables market is still in its infancy, and much remains to be done to connect aesthetics with tech Source: Kloog
  • 66. 68 SMARTWATCHES Functions • GPS tracking • Analog/digital faces • Heart rate monitoring • Activity tracking • Sleep quality tracking • Fall detection Smartwatches perform much of the functionality of fitness bands Source: Kloog
  • 67. 69 SMART FOOTWEAR Functions • GPS tracking • Alerts • Stride detection • Balance detection • Pace detection Smart footwear offers many functions developed specifically for runners Source: Kloog
  • 68. 70 BIOMETRIC CLOTHING Functions • Pulse Rate • Heart Rate • EKG Functions • Skin Temperature • Muscle Contraction • RespirationSensors in biometric clothing can collect many types of physiological data Source: Kloog • UV sensors • Activity tracking • Fall detection • Hydration level • Electrolyte level • Glucose level
  • 69. 71 FIRST RESPONDERS AND UNIFORMS Functions • GPS Tracking • Wi-Fi • BTLE • Camera • Gas Sensors First responders have specific needs for sensors and connectivity in order to monitor their environment and communicate with the base Source: Kloog • Independent Zone • Flexible • Waterproof • Wearable Screens • Heat Sensors
  • 70. 72 SMART GLASSES Functions • Voice Command • Search • Biometrics • BTLE • Screen Beyond the Google Glass, smartglasses have many applications in industry and medicine Source: Kloog
  • 71. 73 POSTURE MANAGEMENT Functions • Correction • Compression • Tapings • Harnesses • Embedded sensors Wearables can be used to correct our posture and to help reduce back pain Source: Kloog
  • 72. 74 ENERGY HARVESTING Functions • Bags • Apparel • Outerwear • Gloves • Sports Equipment Wearables can collect energy from our physical movement, avoiding the need for external power sources such as batteries Source: Kloog • Bicycles • Skateboards • Fans • Household Goods • Recharging Solutions
  • 73. 75 GLUCOSE MONITORING Guardian Real-Time Continuous Glucose Monitoring (CGM) system • Offers protection day and night • Provides continuous glucose readings and customizable alerts with notification of oncoming highs and lows • Enables real-time corrections for better glucose control The Guardian is a combination of a patch and an external device for glucose monitoring
  • 74. 76 NANOTECH • Nanoenabled products are a $1 trillion+ market • What’s special about nano – Size-dependent properties – High surface-to-volume ratio • Types: buckyballs, nanotubes, graphene, nanoparticles and quantum dots • Key products: personal care, clothing, cosmetics, sporting goods, filtration and sunscreens • VCs are actively investing in nanotechstartups, driving further innovation Nanotech is the next small thing enabling new products and wearables Source: Kloog
  • 76. 78 INDOOR MAPPING TECHNOLOGY • In-store shopping companion that provides content that matters to the customer • Customer can double-tap to save or swipe to dismiss • Double-tap proximity cards to save them • As customer moves through the store, new relevant cards pop up augmenting the shopping experience inMarket provides contextual content for shoppers on their smartphones
  • 77. 79 INDOOR MAPPING TECHNOLOGY • aisle411, Walgreens and Google’s Project Tango Have Teamed Up to Change In-Store Shopping Experience • Project Tango can determine a shopper’s location inside the store within centimeters • Allows shoppers to search and map products inside stores using tablets and 3D augmented reality • Shoppers can be rewarded with loyalty points as they navigate the store • The platform overlays – Navigation – Rewards – Personalized special offers Location-based technology is being combined with augmented reality to offer an enhanced in-store experience
  • 78. 80 HEART MONITORING Home Diagnosis • The BioStamp is a temporary tattoo that can take several measurements, including – UV exposure – Temperature – Perspiration and biochemistry – Blood pressure MC10 is developing wearable technology for consumer, digital health, medical devices, and industrial & defense applications
  • 79. 81 BABY MONITORING There are many commercially available products for monitoring a baby’s breathing and activity
  • 80. 82 UV MONITORING SunFriend • Provides alerts based on exposure and skin sensitivity • Tracks UVA+UVB levels • Computes UV index (UVI) The SunFriend monitors UV levels and alerts the wearer when he or she has had enough sun based on the skin type
  • 81. 83 BLOOD GLUCOSE Glooko Type 1 & 2 Diabetes Monitoring Software • Challenge—Tracking, recording and monitoring blood glucose readings can be time-consuming and difficult • Opportunity—Create a mobile app that minimizes the possibility of human error from manual tracking. • Solution—iOS app syncs with 19 meters to automatically record readings. Users can email reports to their physician. Other features include automatic logging, food database integration, email integration, Facebook integration, and note-taking.
  • 82. 84 9. IMPACT OF CHINESE TOURISTS ON RETAIL
  • 83. 85 SUMMARY • We estimate Chinese overseas spending will nearly double to $422 billion by 2020 • Chinese travelers primarily stay within Asia, however smaller numbers visit the US and UK • Average spending was $1,678 in our survey, however the greatest frequency was in approx. $400–1200 • The most commonly purchased products were apparel and accessories and beauty products • More middle-income Chinese citizens will travel, and travelers will travel more independently, which has certain implications for retailers
  • 84. 86 Social Media Savvy • Wechat has 549 million active users, covers 200 countries • WeChat mobile payment users reached 400 million 80% of Chinese high net-worth people use Wechat
  • 85. 87 A $422 BILLION MARKET BY 2020 • Total outbound passenger journeys will double between 2014 and 2020, to approximately 234 million • Total overseas spending by Chinese tourists is expected to jump 23% in 2015 to $229 billion • By 2020, we estimate, total overseas spend will reach $422 billion—a projected 13% CAGR $229 $422 2015 2020 Chinese Overseas Spending ($ Bil.) 13% CAGR Source: FBIC Global Retail & Technology We estimate Chinese overseas spending will nearly double to $422 billion by 2020
  • 86. 88 UNDERSTANDING THE OVERSEAS SHOPPER • FBIC Global Retail & Technology and China Luxury Advisors survey of 1,019 Chinese Internes users aged 18+ • Two-thirds of Chinese Internet users traveled overseas during May 2014-May 2015 period 12.9% 10.3% 9.5% 7.3% 5.7% 3.2% 2.1% 2.0% Hong Kong Thailand South Korea Japan Taiwan US Macau UK Chinese Tourists’ Top Destinations The top five destinations for Chinese tourists were in Asia. The percentage of trips to the US and UK was much lower Source: FBIC Global Retail & Technology
  • 87. 89 HOW MUCH DO OVERSEAS SHOPPERS SPEND? • Average spending was $1,678 • Most popular spending bands were $407– $815 and $815–$1,222 • 3% spent more than $6,516 13% 20% 17% 13% 13% 8% 6% 3% 8% Amount Spent on Retail Purchases Average spending was $1,678 and the most common spending was in the range of $407 to $1,222 Source: FBIC Global Retail & Technology
  • 88. 90 WHAT DO OVERSEAS SHOPPERS BUY? • Most popular overseas shopping categories: clothing, footwear and accessories, fragrances and beauty products, electronics and other food or beverage 56% 52% 32% 31% 23% 20% 19% 18% 16% 10% Apparel Beauty Electronics Other food Health items Watches Tobacco Jewelry Alcohol Other products Categories of Products Purchased The most commonly purchased products were apparel and accessories and beauty products Source: FBIC Global Retail & Technology
  • 89. 91 HOW MUCH DO OVERSEAS SPEND BY COUNTRY? • Chinese visitors to the US spend the most on retail purchases; at $2,555, they spend 52% more than the $1,678 global average, Followed by Europe and Japan $1,678 $2,555 $2,548 $2,270 $1,922 $1,696 $1,290 $1,256 Global Average US Europe Japan S. Korea Taiwan Thailand Hong Kong Estimated Per Capita Spending by Destination Chinese visitors to the US spend the most on retail purchases; at $2,555, they spend 52% more than the $1,678 global average, Followed by Europe and Japan Source: FBIC Global Retail & Technology
  • 91. 93 CHINA: THE WORLD’S LARGEST ONLINE MARKET China’s online population has grown rapidly to 641 million, including 127 million rural users iResearch estimates the total mobile transaction value will exceed ¥3.2 trillion at the end of 2017, up from ¥274 billion in 2013 China Mobile Commerce Growth (US$ Bil) $2 $11 $44 $132 $258 $401 $512 2011 2012 2013 2014 E 2015 E 2016 E 2017E Source: iResearch
  • 92. 94 APPS ARE DOMINATING SMARTPHONES 16% 84% 58% 42% Total Internet BuzzFeed Share of Time Spent on Mobile Mobile Web App Source: comScore, March 2014 Apps are much easier to navigate than mobile apps and are therefore more popular with users
  • 93. 95 INCREDIBLE RETAIL DIGITAL OPPORTUNITY 93% Sales will be Offline 70% Sales will be digitally influenced Source: Google Analytics In the future, 93% of sales will be offline and 70% will be digitally influenced, according to Google
  • 94. 94 THANK YOU! Deborah  Weinswig,  CPA   ExecuHve  Director—   Head  of  Global  Retail  &  Technology   Fung  Business  Intelligence  Centre   New  York:  917.655.6790     Hong  Kong:  +852  6119  1779   deborahweinswig@fung1937.com       Filippo  BaEaini   filippobaKaini@fung1937.com   Sunny  Chan,  CFA   sunnychan@fung1937.com   Marie  Driscoll,  CFA   mariedriscoll@fung1937.com   John  Harmon,  CFA   johnharmon@fung1937.com   Aragorn  Ho   aragornho@fung1937.com   John  Mercer   johnmercer@fung1937.com   Shoshana  Pollack   Shoshanapollack@fung1937.com     Kiril  Popov   kirilpopov@fung1937.com   Jing  Wang     jingwang@fung1937.com   Steven  Winnick   stevenwinnick@fung1937.com