The document provides an agenda and summaries for a conference of the Council of State Governments Eastern Regional Conference being held in Quebec City, Canada on August 9. It includes a schedule of events like breakfast meetings, plenary sessions, field excursions and receptions. It also summarizes comments from keynote speakers Charlie Cook and Daniel Altman on the tight 2016 US presidential race and economic opportunities within North America. Other speakers addressed tools for revitalizing blighted communities and the importance of international trade.
Federal Minimum Wage: The Case for Geographic IndexingChief Innovation
Back in mid-July, I wrote this out of frustration and then sent it to about a dozen 2016 Presidential candidates. I do not have any concerns or benefits, just wonder why such an obvious solution seems to be absent from both parties. And want to thank Ben Carson for finally saying the 'I' word at the 9/16 debate. My personal goal was to see if I could get ANY candidate of either party to actually mention Indexing. Not sure that he did it because of what I sent him, but really don't care how the conversation gets started. Thanks Dr. Carson.
Redistricting, Democracy and New York: A Practical SolutionWagner College
Dr. Abraham Unger, a political scientist at Wagner College's Hugh L. Carey Institute for Government Reform, proposes a relatively simple, eminently practical way to reform New York State's highly partisan, notoriously unfair decennial redistricting process.
This monograph by Adam Simms, subtitled "Public Authorities are Out of Control and Threatening the State's Fiscal Health," was published in November 2008 by Wagner College's Hugh L. Carey Institute for Government Reform, where Simms is a senior research fellow.
Federal Minimum Wage: The Case for Geographic IndexingChief Innovation
Back in mid-July, I wrote this out of frustration and then sent it to about a dozen 2016 Presidential candidates. I do not have any concerns or benefits, just wonder why such an obvious solution seems to be absent from both parties. And want to thank Ben Carson for finally saying the 'I' word at the 9/16 debate. My personal goal was to see if I could get ANY candidate of either party to actually mention Indexing. Not sure that he did it because of what I sent him, but really don't care how the conversation gets started. Thanks Dr. Carson.
Redistricting, Democracy and New York: A Practical SolutionWagner College
Dr. Abraham Unger, a political scientist at Wagner College's Hugh L. Carey Institute for Government Reform, proposes a relatively simple, eminently practical way to reform New York State's highly partisan, notoriously unfair decennial redistricting process.
This monograph by Adam Simms, subtitled "Public Authorities are Out of Control and Threatening the State's Fiscal Health," was published in November 2008 by Wagner College's Hugh L. Carey Institute for Government Reform, where Simms is a senior research fellow.
Subtitled "New York Should Separately Elect Lieutenant Governors," this February 2010 monograph was written by Joshua Spivak, research fellow at Wagner College's Hugh L. Carey Institute for Government Reform.
Making Divided Government Work (Manfred Ohrenstein)Wagner College
On Wednesday, March 21, 2012, Wagner College’s Hugh L. Carey Institute for Government Reform welcomed MANFRED OHRENSTEIN, former minority leader of the New York state senate, for a lecture entitled, “Making Divided Government Work.” The senator described the bipartisan collaboration between Democratic Governor Hugh L. Carey and a politically divided Legislature that successfully engineered the fiscal rescue of New York City in 1975-76. Ohrenstein also discussed how Albany’s example from that era could be applied today in Washington, where a kind of paralysis has been produced by hyperpolitical gridlock.
The introduction to Solutions for America highlights several key components of the document and discusses the role and necessity for change in America.
Blair Horner, of the New York Public Interest Research Group (NYPIRG), delivered this monologue as a lecture for Wagner College's Hugh L. Carey Institute for Government Reform on Oct. 1, 2007.
Four Trillion Dollar plus solutions to our Economic Problems, tried and proven.
- Sovereign Money
- Georgism
- Public Banking
- Ending Government Financial Asset Hoarding (GFAH)
Based on my new book: America is Not Broke! Available on Amazon: http://amzn.to/1Ihcc54
AMERICA IS NOT BROKE! Four Multi-Trillion Dollar Paths to A Thriving America The unsustainability of the American economy is as familiar as the newscycle. There is no money for social programs, no money to run the government, no money to cut taxes, and above all, we have to cut, cut, cut. But, what if it's not true? Instead of familiar complaints about the national debt, leading to just slicing a shrinking economic pie differently, or worse, to Austerity Economics, the reality is that we already have all the wealth we could ever need. The tried and proven proposals in America Is Not Broke would guarantee America's prosperity, fairness, democracy, and economic and ecological sustainability. Four multi-trillion dollar reforms: Sovereign Money, Georgism, Public Banking, and Ending Government Financial Asset Hoarding, plus a few other major reforms, show how we can have it all, if we only learn where to look.
Slideshow presented November 22, 2013 & February 5, 2014, at the Henry George School. Shows the effect of under-taxing land and over-taxing buildings and improvements. Based on the Henry George Single Tax theorem.
We argue that the tilt towards donor interests over recipient needs in aid allocation and practices may be particularly strong in new partnerships. Using the natural experiment of Eastern transition we find that commercial and strategic concerns influenced both aid flows and entry in the first half of the 1990s, but much less so later on. We also find that fractionalization increased and that early aid to the region was particularly volatile, unpredictable and tied. Our results may explain why aid to Iraq and Afghanistan has had little development impact and serve as warning for Burma and Arab Spring regimes.
In this paper we argue that aid effectiveness may suffer when partnerships with new regimes need to be established. We test this argument using the natural experiment of the break-up of communism in the former Eastern Bloc. We find that commercial and strategic concerns influenced both aid flows and the urgency of entry into new partnerships in the first half of the 1990s, while developmental objectives became more important only over time. These results hold up to a thorough sensitivity analysis, including using a gravity model to instrument for bilateral trade flows. We also find that aid fractionalization increased substantially, and that aid to the region was more likely to be tied, more volatile and less predictable than to aid to other recipients at the time. Overall, these results suggest that the guidelines for aid effectiveness agreed upon in the Paris Declaration are likely to be challenged by the current political transition in parts of the Arab world. Hopefully being aware of these challenges can help donors avoid making the same mistakes.
9 megatrends that will shape the World in 2030 Ranju Mohan
9 MEGATRENDS THAT WILL SHAPE THE WORLD IN 2030:
1. We all will live longer
2. Two-thirds of us will live in cities.
3. The world will become even more open — and less private.
4. The world will be prone to extreme climate changes
5. The world will be faced with increasing resource constraints.
6. Increase use of Clean Tech
7. Shift in use of Technology
8. The Global Policies and Organizations
9. The rise of nationalism and regionalism
Organisations will need to plan & develop strategies to manage this.
1 Excerpt from the Testimony before the Joint EconoVannaJoy20
1
Excerpt from the Testimony before the
Joint Economic Committee, U.S. Congress
"The Economic Report of the President"
By N. Gregory Mankiw, Kristin J. Forbes, and Harvey S. Rosen
February 10th, 2004
New types of trade deliver new benefits to consumers and firms in open economies.
Growing international demand for goods such as movies, pharmaceuticals, and
recordings offers new opportunities for U.S. exporters. A burgeoning trade in services
provides an important outlet for U.S. expertise in sectors such as banking, engineering,
and higher education. The ability to buy less expensive goods and services from new
producers has made household budgets go further, while the ability of firms to
distribute their production around the world has cut costs and thus prices to consumers.
The benefits from new forms of trade, such as in services, are no different from the
benefits from traditional trade in goods. Outsourcing of professional services is a
prominent example of a new type of trade. The gains from trade that take place over the
Internet or telephone lines are no different than the gains from trade in physical goods
transported by ship or plane. When a good or service is produced at lower cost in
another country, it makes sense to import it rather than to produce it domestically. This
allows the United States to devote its resources to more productive purposes.
Although openness to trade provides substantial benefits to nations as a whole, foreign
competition can require adjustment on the part of some individuals, businesses, and
industries. To help workers adversely affected by trade develop the skills needed for new
jobs, the Administration has worked hard to build upon and develop programs to assist
workers and communities that are negatively affected by trade.
The Administration has also worked to strengthen and extend the global trading system.
International cooperation is essential to realizing the potential gains from trade. Trade
agreements have reduced barriers to international commerce, and contributed to the
gains from trade. A system through which countries can resolve disputes can play an
important role in realizing these gains.
From the Council of Economic Advisors
https://georgewbush-whitehouse.archives.gov/cea/economic_report_20040210.html
2
Democrats Criticize Bush Over Job
Exports
By Edmund L. Andrews
February 11th, 2004
Democrats in Congress and on the campaign trail, citing remarks by a top White House
economic adviser, accused President Bush on Tuesday of encouraging companies to
export jobs overseas.
''The Bush administration said that sending American jobs overseas is a good thing for
America and good for the economy,'' Senator John Kerry of Massachusetts, the front-
runner for the Democratic presidential nomination, said in a statement released by his
campaign.
''They've delivered a double blow to America's workers -- three million ...
Subtitled "New York Should Separately Elect Lieutenant Governors," this February 2010 monograph was written by Joshua Spivak, research fellow at Wagner College's Hugh L. Carey Institute for Government Reform.
Making Divided Government Work (Manfred Ohrenstein)Wagner College
On Wednesday, March 21, 2012, Wagner College’s Hugh L. Carey Institute for Government Reform welcomed MANFRED OHRENSTEIN, former minority leader of the New York state senate, for a lecture entitled, “Making Divided Government Work.” The senator described the bipartisan collaboration between Democratic Governor Hugh L. Carey and a politically divided Legislature that successfully engineered the fiscal rescue of New York City in 1975-76. Ohrenstein also discussed how Albany’s example from that era could be applied today in Washington, where a kind of paralysis has been produced by hyperpolitical gridlock.
The introduction to Solutions for America highlights several key components of the document and discusses the role and necessity for change in America.
Blair Horner, of the New York Public Interest Research Group (NYPIRG), delivered this monologue as a lecture for Wagner College's Hugh L. Carey Institute for Government Reform on Oct. 1, 2007.
Four Trillion Dollar plus solutions to our Economic Problems, tried and proven.
- Sovereign Money
- Georgism
- Public Banking
- Ending Government Financial Asset Hoarding (GFAH)
Based on my new book: America is Not Broke! Available on Amazon: http://amzn.to/1Ihcc54
AMERICA IS NOT BROKE! Four Multi-Trillion Dollar Paths to A Thriving America The unsustainability of the American economy is as familiar as the newscycle. There is no money for social programs, no money to run the government, no money to cut taxes, and above all, we have to cut, cut, cut. But, what if it's not true? Instead of familiar complaints about the national debt, leading to just slicing a shrinking economic pie differently, or worse, to Austerity Economics, the reality is that we already have all the wealth we could ever need. The tried and proven proposals in America Is Not Broke would guarantee America's prosperity, fairness, democracy, and economic and ecological sustainability. Four multi-trillion dollar reforms: Sovereign Money, Georgism, Public Banking, and Ending Government Financial Asset Hoarding, plus a few other major reforms, show how we can have it all, if we only learn where to look.
Slideshow presented November 22, 2013 & February 5, 2014, at the Henry George School. Shows the effect of under-taxing land and over-taxing buildings and improvements. Based on the Henry George Single Tax theorem.
We argue that the tilt towards donor interests over recipient needs in aid allocation and practices may be particularly strong in new partnerships. Using the natural experiment of Eastern transition we find that commercial and strategic concerns influenced both aid flows and entry in the first half of the 1990s, but much less so later on. We also find that fractionalization increased and that early aid to the region was particularly volatile, unpredictable and tied. Our results may explain why aid to Iraq and Afghanistan has had little development impact and serve as warning for Burma and Arab Spring regimes.
In this paper we argue that aid effectiveness may suffer when partnerships with new regimes need to be established. We test this argument using the natural experiment of the break-up of communism in the former Eastern Bloc. We find that commercial and strategic concerns influenced both aid flows and the urgency of entry into new partnerships in the first half of the 1990s, while developmental objectives became more important only over time. These results hold up to a thorough sensitivity analysis, including using a gravity model to instrument for bilateral trade flows. We also find that aid fractionalization increased substantially, and that aid to the region was more likely to be tied, more volatile and less predictable than to aid to other recipients at the time. Overall, these results suggest that the guidelines for aid effectiveness agreed upon in the Paris Declaration are likely to be challenged by the current political transition in parts of the Arab world. Hopefully being aware of these challenges can help donors avoid making the same mistakes.
9 megatrends that will shape the World in 2030 Ranju Mohan
9 MEGATRENDS THAT WILL SHAPE THE WORLD IN 2030:
1. We all will live longer
2. Two-thirds of us will live in cities.
3. The world will become even more open — and less private.
4. The world will be prone to extreme climate changes
5. The world will be faced with increasing resource constraints.
6. Increase use of Clean Tech
7. Shift in use of Technology
8. The Global Policies and Organizations
9. The rise of nationalism and regionalism
Organisations will need to plan & develop strategies to manage this.
1 Excerpt from the Testimony before the Joint EconoVannaJoy20
1
Excerpt from the Testimony before the
Joint Economic Committee, U.S. Congress
"The Economic Report of the President"
By N. Gregory Mankiw, Kristin J. Forbes, and Harvey S. Rosen
February 10th, 2004
New types of trade deliver new benefits to consumers and firms in open economies.
Growing international demand for goods such as movies, pharmaceuticals, and
recordings offers new opportunities for U.S. exporters. A burgeoning trade in services
provides an important outlet for U.S. expertise in sectors such as banking, engineering,
and higher education. The ability to buy less expensive goods and services from new
producers has made household budgets go further, while the ability of firms to
distribute their production around the world has cut costs and thus prices to consumers.
The benefits from new forms of trade, such as in services, are no different from the
benefits from traditional trade in goods. Outsourcing of professional services is a
prominent example of a new type of trade. The gains from trade that take place over the
Internet or telephone lines are no different than the gains from trade in physical goods
transported by ship or plane. When a good or service is produced at lower cost in
another country, it makes sense to import it rather than to produce it domestically. This
allows the United States to devote its resources to more productive purposes.
Although openness to trade provides substantial benefits to nations as a whole, foreign
competition can require adjustment on the part of some individuals, businesses, and
industries. To help workers adversely affected by trade develop the skills needed for new
jobs, the Administration has worked hard to build upon and develop programs to assist
workers and communities that are negatively affected by trade.
The Administration has also worked to strengthen and extend the global trading system.
International cooperation is essential to realizing the potential gains from trade. Trade
agreements have reduced barriers to international commerce, and contributed to the
gains from trade. A system through which countries can resolve disputes can play an
important role in realizing these gains.
From the Council of Economic Advisors
https://georgewbush-whitehouse.archives.gov/cea/economic_report_20040210.html
2
Democrats Criticize Bush Over Job
Exports
By Edmund L. Andrews
February 11th, 2004
Democrats in Congress and on the campaign trail, citing remarks by a top White House
economic adviser, accused President Bush on Tuesday of encouraging companies to
export jobs overseas.
''The Bush administration said that sending American jobs overseas is a good thing for
America and good for the economy,'' Senator John Kerry of Massachusetts, the front-
runner for the Democratic presidential nomination, said in a statement released by his
campaign.
''They've delivered a double blow to America's workers -- three million ...
Today’s economic and political upheavals reflect an ongoing misalignment between business and economies (on the one hand) and acceptable societal outcomes (on the other). There is still time to adjust, if we are willing to reexamine some long-held assumptions.
RUNNING HEADER: GLOBALIZATION
GLOBALIZATION
Globalization
Joylyn Case
Rasmussen College-Vision of Am. – Section 01
Globalization
Established in 2000, Byte Level Research was the first firm devoted only to the symbolization and exploration of web globalization. It's a webpage that has counseled with several multinationals and has realized what lives up to expectations and what doesn't work and, exactly as imperative, where their sites are going. This skill has continued into the strategy of the Report Card, the first report devoted to best practices in web globalization. The site does depict globalization as a methodology of association and coordination among the individuals, organizations, and legislatures of distinctive countries, a procedure determined by universal exchange and speculation and helped by data engineering.
Globalization, (davis 4) can likewise be depicted as a "movement to a more incorporated and reliant world economy" (Hill 7), has been the subject of numerous books and discourses for as far back as decade. Alongside the advancement of microchips, the Internet is maybe the most critical mechanical development of our time, assuming a significant part in the development of globalization. The Internet encouraged the development of the development to a worldwide town through the formation of less expensive, quicker and simpler method for correspondence, the procurement of an unlimited pool of data, and the extension of e-business.
The Internet gives a less expensive, speedier and simpler system for correspondence, an option that has made a "worldwide group of onlookers", as said by Renato Ruggiero, chief general of the World Trade Organization. In surveying the expense of long separation telephone calls versus that of online voice talk sessions, the Internet is substantially more moderate furthermore predominant in quality. Numerous web clients now have web Polaroid’s, receivers, and the entire product important to help this equipment. This permits clients to talk, see, and be seen by the individual they are having a discussion with. Individuals from Asia can convey discussions with Europeans, Americans or Africans in the meantime, at no additional cost on Msn Messenger, Yahoo Messenger, or MIRC. Correspondence is likewise quicker on the web. An email is sent and got by the other party in seconds, rather than customary mail, which may take months to achieve its end when sent over the sea. Hence, individuals everywhere throughout the world can stay in touch all the time, impart online regular and even impart documents. At the point when calculating in the usability of the Internet, it is not difficult to see why such a variety of people lean toward conveying thusly. In the site, they bring it out obviously that globalization gives both positive and negative impacts on social differing qualities which can have extensive effects.
The negative impact
Because of the phenomenal access to societies, a much more exte.
IF DETROIT IS DEAD, SOME THINGS NEED TO BE SAIDAT THE FUNERA.docxsheronlewthwaite
IF DETROIT IS DEAD, SOME THINGS NEED TO BE SAID
AT THE FUNERAL
WILLIAM K. TABB
Queens College
ABSTRACT: A growing literature has long proclaimed the city of Detroit to be “dead.” Of course
cities, unlike sentient beings, do not actually die even if they dramatically lose industry and population
and the local government its ability to meet basic needs. How their continuing crisis is addressed depends
on how competing interests are able to tell their story. This essay evaluates the most significant of these
competing and complementary stories and evaluates state-appointed Emergency Financial Manager
Kevyn Orr’s plan of adjustment that would cut the pensions of city workers and reduce payments to
some bondholders by large amounts. What would happen will be settled in the years to come as court
challenges are addressed. This essay evaluates explanations and who and what is to blame. It provides
an alternative focus to the “Detroit is dead” literature and raises concerns absent from the dominant
narratives of what is justified in a just settlement.
INTRODUCTION
When it comes to urban problems, “Detroit is consistently close to the bottom of the league
tables” (Reese, Sands, & Skidmore, 2014, p. 113). Two decades ago Ze’ev Chafets (1990, p. 119),
a self-described native son of “Murder Capital U.S.A,” called Detroit “America’s first Third World
city.” That year the 1990 Census, comparing the 77 U.S. cities with over 200,000 residents, ranked
Detroit first in poverty, or looked at from the bottom of the rankings, it was the bottom. The city
had the highest percentage of households receiving public assistance payments, the city with the
proportionately fewest able to support themselves, another indication of last place. It was at the
bottom in terms of the median value of owner-occupied homes. A generation later these statistics
persist; half the children in the city are still growing up in poverty and, according to the FBI Uniform
Crime Report database, Detroit still has the highest crime rate of any other large American city, the
bottom rank in pubic safety. It remains the poorest large city in America. (An exhaustive recitation
of the city’s difficulties from eroding tax base to non-functioning street lights, unemployment,
dysfunctional infrastructure, equipment available to police and fire fighters, and other particulars are
catalogued in “Declaration of Kevyn D. Orr” (2013).)
A powerful consensus, expressed by an ever-lengthening bookshelf bearing titles such as Detroit:
An American Autopsy, The End of Detroit, Lost Detroit, and The Ruins of Detroit, suggests that the
city is “dead.” In what can be read as a valentine of lament, George Galster (2012) tells us Detroit
has been “suicidal.” He portrays it as moving inevitably toward an end state of “mortropolis.” Peter
Eisinger offers a similar post-mortem: “There is no more compelling story today of the dark side of
America’s urban experience than the slow death of the city of Detroit” (2014, ...
AbstractTrump’s election together with Brexit has highlighted th.docxbartholomeocoombs
Abstract
Trump’s election together with Brexit has highlighted the resurgence of nationalism in the modern society as workers who are anxious about the effects of globalization on their employment chances turn on outsiders. The rise of nationalism is a consequence of the anxiety that people are experiencing in their interaction with others. The purpose of the study is to investigate the factors that have resulted in the resurgence of nationalism and its implications on the international community. The research methodology will include both methodological and the theoretical approaches because the concerns are mainly associated with the cultural research. The study will be carried out in two, with the first part will involving a review for the previous studies. The second part will include unsigned online interview that will be designed in such a way that it is able to gather and analyze the opinions for the participants including their perception on the resurgence of nationalism within the United States. Comment by Tom Kelly: Human participants requires IRB approval before conducting the research, so I need to see confirmation of that.
Table of Contents
CHAPTER ONE: INTRODUCTION………………………………………………………..5
Introduction5
Background of the Problem7
Purpose of the Study10
Research Hypothesis10
If the USA focuses on electing competent leaders, the resurgence of nationalism will be resolved.10
Significance of the Study10
The following section comprises of the definition of terms that used in the research, with elaborations.11
Assumptions, Limitations and Delimitations11
Conclusion12
CHAPTER TWO: LITERATURE REVIEW13
Introduction13
Search Description13
Theoretical Framework13
Review of the literature14
CHAPTER THREE: METHODOLOGY23
Introduction23
CHAPTERFOUR:FINDINGS…………………………………………………………………28
CHAPTER FIVE: CONCLUSION, DISCUSSION, AND SUGGESTIONS FOR FUTURE RESEARCH35
Introduction35
Summary of Findings35
Conclusions37
Discussion41
Suggestions for Future Research45
Conclusion47
References48
Appendices………………………………………………………………………………………50
CHAPTER ONE: INTRODUCTION
Introduction
The election of President Donald J Trump and Brexit have highlighted the resurgence of nationalism in the modern society as workers who are anxious about the effects of globalization on their employment chances turn on outsiders. In addition, the strong performance of Marine Le Pin in the presidential election in France and the resurgence of nationalist parties in Eastern Europe have increased the anxiety of stakeholders about the rise of nationalism and its implications for the society. Comment by Tom Kelly: sp
The definition of nationalist companies involves a commitment by right wing parties towards embracing isolation in a bid to insulate their countries from the economic disruption that has been caused by the glob al economic system.
The left behind thesis has been used by many o.
1. TUESDAY, AUGUST 9
Conference Registration
7:00 a.m.-5:00 p.m. | First Floor Foyer
General Breakfast | Breakfast Discussion
Consent-Based Siting for Nuclear Waste
7:30-8:30 a.m. | Porte Kent, First Floor
Concurrent Committee Breakfast Meetings
Agriculture & Rural Development
7:30-9:15 a.m. | Dufferin, Lobby Level
Health
7:30-9:15 a.m. | Beaumont, Belair, Second Floor
Education
7:30-9:15 a.m. | Beauport, Second Floor
CSG Justice Center
7:30-9:15 a.m. | Plaines, 23rd Floor
Nominations Committee Breakfast Meeting
8:00-8:30 a.m. | De Tourny, Lobby Level
Plenary Session
9:45-11:45 a.m. | Porte du Palais, First Floor
Luncheon Plenary
12:00-1:30 p.m. | Porte Kent & Porte St. Louis,
First Floor
Off-Site Policy Field Excursions
1:45-5:00 p.m. | Meet at Lobby Level
• Visit to Ile d’Oleans
• The Citadelle of Quebec
• National Optics Institute
• Quebec City Green Buildings Tour
Fiscal Roundtable | Budget & Tax Chairs
2:00-4:00 p.m. | De Tourny, Lobby Level
Roundtable | Criminal Justice Reform
2:00-4:00 p.m. | Beauport, Beaumont, Belair,
Second Floor
2017 Connecticut Reception
6:00-7:00 p.m. | Musee national des beaux-arts
du Quebec
2016 Quebec Dinner
7:30-10:00 p.m. | Musee national des beaux-arts
du Quebec
DAILY MEETING
NEWS
The Council of State Governments
Eastern Regional Conference
Charlie Cook Sees Tight Race
in 2016 Swinging Clinton’s Way
Entrepreneurship is still alive and well in North America,
regardless of the political climate, veteran political
observer and prognosticator Charlie Cook said Monday.
“I was in Charleston,” said the writer and editor of The Cook
Political Report, “and I saw a billboard with a picture of Hillary
(Clinton) and Donald (Trump) with an advertisement for Canadian
real estate.”
While the line drew laughs, the U.S. presidential campaign is serious
business with ramifications on both sides of the border.
Clinton currently holds a commanding lead over Trump in most polls,
something Cook attributes to a combination of a post-political convention boost
for Clinton along with a fairly disastrous political week for Trump. But barring an
unforeseen event, Cook predicted the race will end up with Clinton claiming the
White House by a narrow margin of 4 percent or less.
Part of that is reflected in polling data that show concerns about Trump’s qualifications and
fitness for office. Cook also bases his
prediction on Clinton’s superior campaign
organization, which was built to run a
national campaign, while Trump has a
different model.
“You’ve got the people in Trump Tower,
then, there are the people on the
airplane with Trump. Then there are the
people who go out, scout the location
for his rally, set up the stage, then
move on to the next town,” Cook said.
“It’s a Ringling Brothers’ model.”
Cook believes Democrats will pick up
seats in the House of Representatives
and might swing the Senate, partly because Republicans have more seats to defend this
year. If the GOP senses looming disaster in Senate races, he said, they may call on voters to
support their down ballot candidates to avoid giving Clinton a blank check for running the
country.
But whether Congress is split or remains in Republican hands, Cook predicted Clinton may
enjoy greater success on Capitol Hill than President Obama because, unlike the president, she
has demonstrated as a former senator the ability to work with colleagues on policy issues.
Cook said Trump has left GOP diehards with a big unanswered question regarding whether
the American people believe conservativism is the best way to run the country.
“For the people who thought (U.S. Sen. John) McCain and (former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt)
Romney weren’t conservative enough,” he said, “Trump’s nomination’s kicked that can
down the sidewalk for another four years.”
– Patrick Jackson
Veteran political observer Charlie Cook believes
the 2016 election will swing Hillary Clinton’s way.
Photo by Sebastian Marquez
2. The North American Opportunity
An Island of Calm in an Unsettled Global Economy
Despite a slow economic recovery and
national security concerns, North America
remains well positioned to lead the global
economy.
That was the message of economist and
author Daniel Altman, who delivered
Monday’s keynote on the North American
trading bloc’s opportunity to excel as other
global economic powers face uncertainty.
The European Union’s fiscal crisis, China’s
slowdown, continued weakness in Japan,
and corruption in Brazil and Russia all put
North America—despite its challenges—
in a position to set the pace on trade.
The amount of new wealth created in the
Canada, Mexico and the U.S. over the last
four years rivals the amount created in the
four years preceding the Great Recession.
Meanwhile, U.S. markets continue to yield
strong returns, while Canada and Mexico
are seeing significant upticks in direct
foreign investment, according to Altman.
Taking advantage of this opportunity will
require critical coordination among NAFTA
nations, Altman said. While the flow of
capital, goods and services between the
three nations is generally strong and the
logistical infrastructure to manage
cross-border trade largely in place, the
federal governments must work more closely
on economic policy and
should take steps to increase
the free flow of labor across
borders, Altman said.
That comes with
challenges.
“There has been a backlash
to international trade
because there are winners
and losers,” Altman said.
He said opponents miss the
point that trade “helps the
winners more than it hurts the losers,”
making government-levied redistribution not
only possible, but also intrinsic in terms of
making trade agreements work for everyone.
During a panel discussion that followed,
Christopher Sands, director of the Center for
Canadian Studies at Johns Hopkins University,
said opposition to free trade deals center on
governments not doing enough to help those
who have struggled as a result of NAFTA.
America did not do enough through Trade
Adjustment Assistance to help people and
a lot of Americans were left worse off, he
said. But younger Americans who are
beginning to grab the political power don’t
have the same history with the economy
as their parents.
Speakers: Communities Need Tools to Battle Blight
Alan Mallach looks at issues of crumbling
infrastructure and urban blight from 50,000
feet while East Orange, N.J., Mayor Lester
E. Taylor III looks at them from street level.
But the two agree that state governments
need to empower cities to deal with the
issue and that cities need to aggressively
use the tools their statehouses give them
to breathe life into communities.
Mallach, senior fellow at the Center for
Community Progress, said state
governments need to provide cities options,
such as land banking vacant properties for
redevelopment, graduated penalties for
landlords and residents who neglect their
properties, and programs to convert some
vacant lots into green space. Local
governments could be proactive, rather
than complaint-driven, in code enforcement
programs, he said. He pointed to New
Jersey as a state that has provided its
communities with many of those tools.
In some cities, those tools are working in
some parts of town, while other areas
languish. Mallach said that message is often
misunderstood and can lead to resentment.
“Most cities don’t have money,” he said.
“They might be able to get private
investment in areas where the investors
can see a return. But those investors won’t
come to areas where they don’t think
they’ll get their money back.”
While blight-fighting tools are vital, Taylor
said cities also need to resist the
increasingly popular notion of turning
public assets over to private interests. In
his case, that was the city’s water utility.
When he took office, the utility, which is
operated by a separate commission, was
facing a $3 million deficit, $20 million in
unmet repair and maintenance needs, and
commission leadership that was under
indictment for falsifying reports to the EPA.
Gov. Chris Christie’s administration didn’t
want to extend credit to the utility and
pushed hard to have the city give it up, but
Taylor’s administration pushed back.
Taylor ultimately got the credit he needed
and began taking steps, including a dramatic,
temporary 2015 rate hike that was partially
rolled back this year. The city also hired an
outside consultant to help improve
operations, and the utility is again solvent.
– Patrick Jackson
“They don’t debate globalization as
something the can turn on or off,” he
underscored. “It’s about coping with it, not
reversing it.”
That shift could help drive the politics
behind enhancing the intra-continental
economy, Sands said. The global economy
is here to stay, and trade deals that
strengthen geographical blocs are a
critical part of that.
“International trade is critical to increasing
competition and fostering innovation,” said
former Quebec Premier M. Pierre-Marc
Johnson. “There’s a new economy out there
and new challenges—like the environment—
that are common to (all of us).”
– Jesse Chadderdon
ERC Co-Chair MNA Guy Ouellette of Québec, Noel Lateef
of the Foreign Policy Association, former Quebec Premier
Pierre-Marc Johnson, Christopher Sands of Johns Hopkins
University, economist and author Daniel Altman and ERC
Co-Chair MNA Guy Leclair of Québec before the keynote
address. Photo by Sebastian Marquez
Alan Mallach, senior fellow at the Center
for Community Progress, and East Orange,
N.J., Mayor Lester E.Taylor, said state and
provincial governments must empower cities
to deal with crumbling infrastructure and
urban blight. Photo by Sebastian Marquez
3. Clockwise from top left: Delaware Rep. Deborah Hudson, pictured with her family, received the W. Paul White Award during
the luncheon plenary Monday. Pennsylvania Rep. Chris Ross was presented a clock for his many years of service to CSG
and ERC, including as chair of the Energy and Environment Commission, where he received the award. Ross is retiring from
the House of Representatives. Connecticut General Assembly staff members Beverly Henry, Olivia Puckett andTeri Gavigan
shared information about the location for the ERC 57th Annual Meeting and Regional Policy Forum Aug. 13-16, 2017. Nebraska
Sen. Beau McCoy, CSG chair, and Jacques Chagnon, president of the Québec National Assembly, chatted during the Opening
Event at the Parliament Building Sunday night. Sabrina Ferland sang the national anthems of the United States and Canada
during the Opening Ceremony Monday. Delaware Senate Minority Leader Gary Simpson moderated the discussion during the
Agriculture and Rural Development Committee meeting Monday. Photos by Sebastian Marquez
GLOBAL CHALLENGES, REGIONAL SOLUTIONS
4. Building an Even More ‘Special Relationship’ Between U.S., Canada
Panel OKs Resolution Supporting U.S. Preclearance Measure
U.S. presidential candidates Hillary Clinton
and Donald Trump have come out against
the proposed multi-national Trans Pacific
Partnership trade deal and have called for
revisiting the landmark North American
Free Trade Agreement during stops along
the campaign trail.
While that’s a cause for concern among
the 39 states claiming Canada as their
biggest trading partner and the estimated
$3 billion in commerce that passes
between the U.S. and Canada every day –
Christopher Sands says it’s not time to hit
the panic button quite yet.
“Remember, in 2008 President Obama ran
as a NAFTA critic,” Sands, director of the
Center for Canadian Studies at Johns
Hopkins University, said Monday during
the Canada/U.S. Relations Committee
meeting. “But ... he has done a lot to
strengthen ties between the U.S. and
Canada.”
Sand said that’s typical because as
presidents take office and gain an
understanding of the relationship, they
tend to value and try to improve on the
U.S.-Canadian partnership in everything
from trade to national
security.
Sands noted Obama
changed course from
President George W. Bush
and developed separate
national policies for
relations along the
Canadian and Mexican
borders. For the U.S.-
Canadian relationship, that
strategy included actions
such as trying to expand
preclearance, which makes
border crossings easier
and more efficient, ending the process of
dual luggage screenings for international
flights and developing a system to better
track who’s coming and going from the two
countries.
In March, Prime Minster Justin Trudeau
and Obama announced an agreement in
principal expanding prescreening to
Toronto’s Billy Bishop City Airport,
Quebec’s Jean Lesage International
Airport and Montreal’s Central Station. The
Canadian Parliament and Congress still
have to approve the agreement.
Serge St. Laurent, vice president for
operations at Jean Lesage, said the airport
is building a prescreening facility that’s
scheduled to open in late 2018.
Expanding the prescreening process
remains a major focus of concern and
members of the ERC’s Canada-U.S.
Relations Committee approved forwarding
a resolution calling on Congress to
approve legislation doing just that.
– Patrick Jackson
Panel Examines Roles, Needs of Military Families
The family plays an important role in the
life of a military member, whether in the
United States or in Canada. In both
countries, the issues facing veterans are
similar, as attendees at the ERC Military
and Veterans Affairs Task Force learned
during a discussion Monday morning.
Officials on both sides of the border are
working to recognize the needs of military
families.
In the U.S., for instance, all 50 states have
adopted the Interstate Compact on
Educational Opportunity for Military
Children in an effort to ensure children in
military families receive the help they need
when transitioning with a move.
Dave Splitek, a director at the Military
Child Education Coalition and an ex-officio
member of the Military Interstate
Children’s Compact Commission, or MIC3,
said about 1.1 million school-age children
of military families face the difficult
transition when their parent is moved. The
member of the military, he said, have the
same uniform and often the same role
when they move from post
to post.
“When kids move, school
systems are vastly
different,” Splitek said.
More than three-quarters of
those students are enrolled
in public schools, making
the need for transition
assistance important. That’s
why the MIC3 is important.
So is identifying the students
so they can get the help they
need; 19 states have passed
laws to identify military children.
Chief Warrant Officer Guy Parent, veterans
ombudsman of Veterans Affairs Canada,
said Canada also is looking at issues
related to the military family. One issue, for
instance, is defining who is that family and
what benefits do they need.
“If an 18-year-old soldier goes to
Afghanistan and gets injured, who takes
care of him?” he said. “There need to be
programs in place for parents who are
looking after the injured soldier.”
The same is true for spouses. In Canada,
he said, spouses cannot access benefits in
their own right. Delaware Rep. Earl Jaques
Jr., Task Force chair, said military spouses
face similar challenges in the U.S.
Jaques said he hopes the task force
becomes a standing committee in ERC
because of these and other important
ongoing issues related to veterans.
– Mary Branham
NewYork Assemblyman Robin Schimminger makes a point
during the Canada/U.S. Relations Committee meeting
Monday. Photo by Sebastian Marquez
David Splitek, left, and Guy Parent discussed the needs
of military families in the U.S. and Canada. Photo by
Sebastian Marquez