COVID-19 Update (US Counties): August 22, 2020

1. US Counties
US Counties: 1

2. Change in New Cases per Day
Direction
Increasing > +2%
Increasing between +0.5% and +2%
No Change (-0.5% to +0.5%)
Decreasing between -0.5% and -2%
Decreasing > -2%
NA
Trends by county as of 2020-08-22
NA = Inadequate data
2020-08-22 US Counties: 2

3. Percent Change by Partisan Lean
-10
-5
0
5
10
0 25 50 75 100
Percent Republican
Percentchangeinnewcasesperday
25
50
75
Republican
Counties by 2016 presidential election results
Dark green line is a Friedman's supersmoother
2020-08-22 US Counties: 3

4. Percent Change by Population
-10
-5
0
5
10
1,000 10,000 100,000 1,000,000 10,000,000
Population
Percentchangeinnewcasesperday
25
50
75
Republican
Counties by Population
Dark green line is a Friedman's 'super smoother'
2020-08-22 US Counties: 4

5. Partisan Lean vs Population and Direction
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
0 25 50 75 100
Percent Republican
Population
Direction
Increasing > +2%
Increasing between +0.5% and +2%
No Change (-0.5% to +0.5%)
Decreasing between -0.5% and -2%
Decreasing > -2%
Partisan Lean vs Population and Direction
Dark green line is a Friedman's 'super smoother'
2020-08-22 US Counties: 5

6. Cases as a Percent of Population
0.001%
0.01%
0.1%
1%
10%
20%
1,000 10,000 100,000 1,000,000 10,000,000
County Population
Totalcases
Total Cases as a Percent of County Population
Slanted lines are counties with small integer numbers of cases, green line: Friedman's 'super smoother'
2020-08-22 US Counties: 6

7. Deaths as a Percent of Population
0.0001%
0.001%
0.01%
0.1%
1%
1,000 10,000 100,000 1,000,000 10,000,000
County Population
Totaldeaths
Total Deaths as a Percent of County Population
Slanted lines are counties with small integer numbers of cases, green line: Friedman's 'super smoother'
2020-08-22 US Counties: 7

8. Case Mortality vs. Population
0.1%
1%
10%
100%
1,000 10,000 100,000 1,000,000 10,000,000
County Population
Casemortality
Case Mortality vs. County Population
2020-08-22 US Counties: 8

9. New York City
234,590
23,718
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
New York City projection as of 2020-08-22
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
0
200
400
600
800
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 231,574 (286) -- Deaths: 23,643 (0) -- Case Mortality: 10.2% -- Daily Change: -0.6% Cases, -3.8% Deaths
2020-08-22 US Counties: 9

10. Westchester County, NY
36,937
1,450
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Westchester County, NY projection as of 2020-08-22
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
250
500
750
1,000
1,250
0
20
40
60
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 36,621 (35) -- Deaths: 1,449 (1) -- Case Mortality: 4.0% -- Daily Change: -1.0% Cases, +15.2% Deaths
2020-08-22 US Counties: 10

11. Bergen County, NJ
21,807
2,046
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Bergen County, NJ projection as of 2020-08-22
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
300
600
900
1,200
0
20
40
60
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 21,307 (0) -- Deaths: 2,046 (0) -- Case Mortality: 9.6% -- Daily Change: -3.6% Cases, +0.0% Deaths
2020-08-22 US Counties: 11

12. Hudson County, NJ
20,255
1,512
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Hudson County, NJ projection as of 2020-08-22
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
300
600
900
1,200
0
20
40
60
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 19,989 (19) -- Deaths: 1,510 (1) -- Case Mortality: 7.6% -- Daily Change: -2.3% Cases, +6.9% Deaths
2020-08-22 US Counties: 12

13. King County (Seattle)
20,000
741
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
King County (Seattle) projection as of 2020-08-22
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
100
200
300
400
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 18,334 (37) -- Deaths: 710 (3) -- Case Mortality: 3.9% -- Daily Change: -0.8% Cases, -0.2% Deaths
2020-08-22 US Counties: 13

14. Clark County, Washington
2,311
58
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Clark County, Washington projection as of 2020-08-22
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
30
60
90
0.0
2.0
4.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 2,028 (28) -- Deaths: 52 (1) -- Case Mortality: 2.6% -- Daily Change: -0.8% Cases, +5.2% Deaths
2020-08-22 US Counties: 14

15. Los Angeles
252,459
5,994
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Los Angeles projection as of 2020-08-22
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
0
50
100
150
200
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 229,054 (1,708) -- Deaths: 5,491 (45) -- Case Mortality: 2.4% -- Daily Change: -3.0% Cases, +1.6% Deaths
2020-08-22 US Counties: 15

16. Bay Area
57,594
694
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Bay Area projection as of 2020-08-22
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
1,500
0
25
50
75
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 48,818 (573) -- Deaths: 633 (7) -- Case Mortality: 1.3% -- Daily Change: -0.3% Cases, +2.6% Deaths
2020-08-22 US Counties: 16

17. San Francisco
9,909
80
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
San Francisco projection as of 2020-08-22
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
50
100
150
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 8,702 (91) -- Deaths: 72 (0) -- Case Mortality: 0.8% -- Daily Change: -0.9% Cases, -3.0% Deaths
2020-08-22 US Counties: 17

18. Santa Clara and San Mateo
27,321
369
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Santa Clara and San Mateo projection as of 2020-08-22
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
0
20
40
60
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 22,968 (328) -- Deaths: 350 (6) -- Case Mortality: 1.5% -- Daily Change: -0.9% Cases, +2.4% Deaths
2020-08-22 US Counties: 18

19. Alameda County
19,463
263
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Alameda County projection as of 2020-08-22
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
200
400
600
800
0
10
20
30
40
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 16,469 (285) -- Deaths: 237 (6) -- Case Mortality: 1.4% -- Daily Change: +2.4% Cases, +4.0% Deaths
2020-08-22 US Counties: 19

20. San Luis Obispo, California
3,253
23
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
San Luis Obispo, California projection as of 2020-08-22
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
50
100
150
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 2,613 (34) -- Deaths: 20 (0) -- Case Mortality: 0.8% -- Daily Change: -6.1% Cases, +5.0% Deaths
2020-08-22 US Counties: 20

21. Fresno, California
26,591
292
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Fresno, California projection as of 2020-08-22
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
300
600
900
1,200
0
20
40
60
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 22,535 (368) -- Deaths: 208 (0) -- Case Mortality: 0.9% -- Daily Change: +5.4% Cases, -8.1% Deaths
2020-08-22 US Counties: 21

22. Santa Barbara County
8,463
102
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Santa Barbara County projection as of 2020-08-22
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
100
200
300
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 7,578 (70) -- Deaths: 84 (2) -- Case Mortality: 1.1% -- Daily Change: -2.6% Cases, +1.6% Deaths
2020-08-22 US Counties: 22

23. Merced County
9,747
162
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Merced County projection as of 2020-08-22
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
200
400
600
0
10
20
30
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 7,334 (105) -- Deaths: 99 (2) -- Case Mortality: 1.3% -- Daily Change: -5.2% Cases, -1.1% Deaths
2020-08-22 US Counties: 23

24. Yolo County
2,598
51
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Yolo County projection as of 2020-08-22
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
25
50
75
100
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 2,164 (17) -- Deaths: 47 (0) -- Case Mortality: 2.2% -- Daily Change: -2.3% Cases, -4.8% Deaths
2020-08-22 US Counties: 24

25. San Diego County
39,773
703
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
San Diego County projection as of 2020-08-22
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
250
500
750
0
10
20
30
40
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 35,912 (304) -- Deaths: 652 (8) -- Case Mortality: 1.8% -- Daily Change: -2.4% Cases, +2.3% Deaths
2020-08-22 US Counties: 25

26. Riverside County
57,079
1,124
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Riverside County projection as of 2020-08-22
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
0
25
50
75
100
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 49,482 (526) -- Deaths: 927 (5) -- Case Mortality: 1.9% -- Daily Change: +0.9% Cases, -2.9% Deaths
2020-08-22 US Counties: 26

27. Imperial County
10,863
303
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Imperial County projection as of 2020-08-22
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
50
100
150
200
0.0
3.0
6.0
9.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 10,366 (41) -- Deaths: 269 (3) -- Case Mortality: 2.6% -- Daily Change: -1.3% Cases, -1.1% Deaths
2020-08-22 US Counties: 27

28. Multnomah County (Portland)
6,276
117
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Multnomah County (Portland) projection as of 2020-08-22
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
50
100
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 5,543 (38) -- Deaths: 108 (0) -- Case Mortality: 1.9% -- Daily Change: -3.4% Cases, +3.2% Deaths
2020-08-22 US Counties: 28

29. Utah County
11,063
45
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Utah County projection as of 2020-08-22
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
50
100
150
0.0
2.5
5.0
7.5
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 9,949 (145) -- Deaths: 42 (0) -- Case Mortality: 0.4% -- Daily Change: +1.8% Cases, +12.3% Deaths
2020-08-22 US Counties: 29

30. Summit County, Utah
811
1
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Summit County, Utah projection as of 2020-08-22
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
0.00
0.30
0.60
0.90
1.20
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 792 (5) -- Deaths: 1 (0) -- Case Mortality: 0.1% -- Daily Change: +13.5% Cases, NaN% Deaths
2020-08-22 US Counties: 30

31. De Soto Parish, Louisiana
901
33
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
De Soto Parish, Louisiana projection as of 2020-08-22
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
10
20
30
40
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 802 (3) -- Deaths: 30 (0) -- Case Mortality: 3.7% -- Daily Change: -2.9% Cases, +8.8% Deaths
2020-08-22 US Counties: 31

32. St. Francois County, Missouri
975
5
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
St. Francois County, Missouri projection as of 2020-08-22
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
20
40
60
80
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 726 (52) -- Deaths: 4 (0) -- Case Mortality: 0.6% -- Daily Change: +8.7% Cases, +16.7% Deaths
2020-08-22 US Counties: 32

33. Dallas, Texas
75,147
997
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Dallas, Texas projection as of 2020-08-22
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
2,000
4,000
0
100
200
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 67,486 (714) -- Deaths: 868 (14) -- Case Mortality: 1.3% -- Daily Change: +4.6% Cases, -1.0% Deaths
2020-08-22 US Counties: 33

34. Collin Texas
14,082
134
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Collin Texas projection as of 2020-08-22
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
250
500
750
1,000
1,250
0
20
40
60
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 10,521 (70) -- Deaths: 107 (1) -- Case Mortality: 1.0% -- Daily Change: -5.0% Cases, -0.0% Deaths
2020-08-22 US Counties: 34

35. Harris County (Houston)
109,473
2,462
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Harris County (Houston) projection as of 2020-08-22
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
0
25
50
75
100
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 96,658 (1,027) -- Deaths: 1,978 (25) -- Case Mortality: 2.0% -- Daily Change: -1.9% Cases, -0.2% Deaths
2020-08-22 US Counties: 35

36. Tulsa County, Oklahoma
14,015
137
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tulsa County, Oklahoma projection as of 2020-08-22
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
100
200
300
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 12,095 (222) -- Deaths: 123 (0) -- Case Mortality: 1.0% -- Daily Change: -0.8% Cases, +4.1% Deaths
2020-08-22 US Counties: 36

37. McLean County, Illinois
1,120
16
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
McLean County, Illinois projection as of 2020-08-22
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
20
40
0.0
1.0
2.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 936 (40) -- Deaths: 16 (0) -- Case Mortality: 1.7% -- Daily Change: +8.9% Cases, +16.6% Deaths
2020-08-22 US Counties: 37

38. Cook County, Illinois
126,143
5,047
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Cook County, Illinois projection as of 2020-08-22
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
1,500
0
25
50
75
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 119,644 (887) -- Deaths: 4,997 (9) -- Case Mortality: 4.2% -- Daily Change: +1.4% Cases, +4.7% Deaths
2020-08-22 US Counties: 38

39. Suffolk County (Boston)
22,562
1,101
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Suffolk County (Boston) projection as of 2020-08-22
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
200
400
600
0
10
20
30
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 22,017 (0) -- Deaths: 1,092 (1) -- Case Mortality: 5.0% -- Daily Change: -24.3% Cases, +5.4% Deaths
2020-08-22 US Counties: 39

40. Polk County, Iowa
12,463
220
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Polk County, Iowa projection as of 2020-08-22
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
50
100
150
200
0.0
3.0
6.0
9.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 11,546 (110) -- Deaths: 214 (2) -- Case Mortality: 1.9% -- Daily Change: +3.7% Cases, +0.4% Deaths
2020-08-22 US Counties: 40

41. Johnson County, Iowa
2,548
32
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Johnson County, Iowa projection as of 2020-08-22
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
20
40
60
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 2,370 (59) -- Deaths: 24 (0) -- Case Mortality: 1.0% -- Daily Change: +7.0% Cases, -1.0% Deaths
2020-08-22 US Counties: 41

42. Meade County, South Dakota (Sturgis)
155
1
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Meade County, South Dakota (Sturgis) projection as of 2020-08-22
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0.0
3.0
6.0
9.0
12.0
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 138 (11) -- Deaths: 1 (0) -- Case Mortality: 0.7% -- Daily Change: +13.4% Cases, NaN% Deaths
2020-08-22 US Counties: 42

43. Erie County, New York
9,727
680
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Erie County, New York projection as of 2020-08-22
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
100
200
0.0
5.0
10.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 9,364 (81) -- Deaths: 676 (0) -- Case Mortality: 7.2% -- Daily Change: +2.3% Cases, +6.2% Deaths
2020-08-22 US Counties: 43

44. Oakland County, Michigan
18,231
1,157
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Oakland County, Michigan projection as of 2020-08-22
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
200
400
0
10
20
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 16,885 (0) -- Deaths: 1,146 (0) -- Case Mortality: 6.8% -- Daily Change: -3.4% Cases, +2.2% Deaths
2020-08-22 US Counties: 44

45. Washtenaw County, Michigan (Ann Arbor)
2,929
117
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Washtenaw County, Michigan (Ann Arbor) projection as of 2020-08-22
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
20
40
60
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 2,722 (0) -- Deaths: 115 (0) -- Case Mortality: 4.2% -- Daily Change: -4.4% Cases, +0.8% Deaths
2020-08-22 US Counties: 45

46. Wayne County (Detroit)
31,008
2,880
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Wayne County (Detroit) projection as of 2020-08-22
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
1,500
0
20
40
60
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 29,622 (0) -- Deaths: 2,852 (0) -- Case Mortality: 9.6% -- Daily Change: -2.7% Cases, +0.6% Deaths
2020-08-22 US Counties: 46

47. St. Louis (City)
6,643
192
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
St. Louis (City) projection as of 2020-08-22
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
50
100
150
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 5,816 (43) -- Deaths: 182 (1) -- Case Mortality: 3.1% -- Daily Change: -4.4% Cases, -7.1% Deaths
2020-08-22 US Counties: 47

48. St. Louis (County)
21,218
767
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
St. Louis (County) projection as of 2020-08-22
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
100
200
300
400
500
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 18,242 (241) -- Deaths: 731 (0) -- Case Mortality: 4.0% -- Daily Change: -0.6% Cases, +4.3% Deaths
2020-08-22 US Counties: 48

49. Baltimore (City)
15,324
473
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Baltimore (City) projection as of 2020-08-22
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
50
100
150
200
0.0
3.0
6.0
9.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 13,804 (96) -- Deaths: 449 (4) -- Case Mortality: 3.3% -- Daily Change: -5.3% Cases, -2.3% Deaths
2020-08-22 US Counties: 49

50. Durham County
6,923
83
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Durham County projection as of 2020-08-22
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
20
40
60
80
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 6,535 (27) -- Deaths: 81 (0) -- Case Mortality: 1.2% -- Daily Change: -2.1% Cases, -0.5% Deaths
2020-08-22 US Counties: 50

51. Cuyahoga County (Cleveland)
16,091
598
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Cuyahoga County (Cleveland) projection as of 2020-08-22
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
50
100
150
200
250
0.0
5.0
10.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 14,774 (101) -- Deaths: 552 (8) -- Case Mortality: 3.7% -- Daily Change: -2.6% Cases, +2.3% Deaths
2020-08-22 US Counties: 51

52. Miami-Dade
166,433
2,611
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Miami-Dade projection as of 2020-08-22
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
0
50
100
150
200
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 150,305 (1,143) -- Deaths: 2,219 (34) -- Case Mortality: 1.5% -- Daily Change: -3.6% Cases, +2.1% Deaths
2020-08-22 US Counties: 52

53. Maricopa County
137,773
3,250
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Maricopa County projection as of 2020-08-22
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
1,000
2,000
0
50
100
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 131,166 (366) -- Deaths: 2,743 (4) -- Case Mortality: 2.1% -- Daily Change: -4.1% Cases, -1.3% Deaths
2020-08-22 US Counties: 53

54. Denver County
11,353
427
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Denver County projection as of 2020-08-22
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
50
100
150
200
0.0
2.5
5.0
7.5
10.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 10,732 (0) -- Deaths: 421 (0) -- Case Mortality: 3.9% -- Daily Change: -5.7% Cases, -3.7% Deaths
2020-08-22 US Counties: 54

55. Arapahoe County
8,155
365
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Arapahoe County projection as of 2020-08-22
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
50
100
150
200
250
0.0
2.5
5.0
7.5
10.0
12.5
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 7,706 (0) -- Deaths: 364 (0) -- Case Mortality: 4.7% -- Daily Change: -4.2% Cases, -25.3% Deaths
2020-08-22 US Counties: 55

56. Montrose County
365
13
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Montrose County projection as of 2020-08-22
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0.0
3.0
6.0
9.0
12.0
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 329 (0) -- Deaths: 13 (0) -- Case Mortality: 4.0% -- Daily Change: -8.8% Cases, NaN% Deaths
2020-08-22 US Counties: 56