Core deposit interest rate modeling change
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This research study aims to determine the best predictors of changes in core deposit interest rates. Specifically, it will examine whether federal funds futures rates and consumer confidence are good predictors. The study hypothesizes that both factors will significantly predict interest rate changes, and that a model using both will have the highest predictive power. A time series analysis using hierarchical linear modeling with repeated observations over time will be conducted to test these hypotheses.
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Introduction
QUALITATIVE AND JUDGMENTAL METHODS
Historical Analogy
The Delphi Method
Indicators and Indexes for Forecasting
STATISTICAL FORECASTING MODELS
FORECASTING MODELS FOR STATIONARY TIME SERIES
Moving Average Models
Error Metrics and Forecast Accuracy
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FORECASTING MODELS FOR TIME SERIES WITH TREND AND SEASONALITY
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CHOOSING AND OPTIMIZING FORECASTING MODELS USING CB PREDICTOR
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Regression Forecasting with Causal Variables
THE PRACTICE OF FORECASTING
BASIC CONCEPTS REVIEW QUESTIONS
SKILL-BUILDING EXERCISES
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APPENDIX: ADVANCED FORECASTING MODELS—THEORY AND COMPUTATION
Double Moving Average
Double Exponential Smoothing
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Multiplicative Seasonality
Holt–Winters Additive Model
Holt– –Winters Multiplicative Model
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Authors:
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Instructions and Advice:
· This assignment consists of six questions. They each have lots of parts but most of them are very short!
· Data for Questions 3 and 6 are in the companion Excel spreadsheet <Asst3_2013_Data.xlsx>.
· Present the parts of your answers in the same order as the questions are asked.
· Do not include any original data in your printed submission.
· Maintain all precision in your calculator or in Excel as you do your multi-step computations. Round off to fewer decimal places only when you write your work and the final answer down to hand in.
· When formatting numbers in Excel, display only as many decimal places as provide decision-making value to the reader.
Question 1 – Interpreting or Misinterpreting Correlation
a) Various factors are associated with the gross domestic product (GDP) of nations. State whether each of the following statements is reasonable or not. If not, explain the blunder.
(i) A correlation of –0.722 shows that there is almost no association between GDP and Infant Mortality Rate.
(ii) There is a correlation of 0.44 between GDP and Continent.
(iii) There is a very strong correlation of 1.22 between Life Expectancy and GDP.
(iv) The correlation between Literacy Rate and GDP was 0.83. This shows that countries wanting to increase their standard of living should invest heavily in education.
b) An article in a business magazine reported that Internet E-commerce has doubled nearly every three years. It then stated that there was a high correlation between sales made on the Internet and year. Do you think this is an appropriate summary? Explain in one sentence.
c) Simpson’s Paradox can occur in regression, when a relationship between variables within groups of observations is reversed if all the data are combined. Here is an example.
Group
X
Y
Group
X
Y
1
1
10.1
2
6
18.3
1
2
8.9
2
7
17.1
1
3
8.9
2
8
16.2
1
4
6.9
2
9
15.1
1
5
6.1
2
10
14.3
(i) Make a scatterplot of the data for Group 1 and add the least squares line. Describe the relationship between Y and X for Group 1. Find the correlation (using Excel).
(ii) Do the same for Group 2.
(iii) Make a scatterplot using all 10 observations and add the least squares line. Find the correlation (using Excel).
(iv) Summarize your findings in one or two sentences.
d) Since 1980, average mortgage interest rates in the U.S. have fluctuated from a low of under 6% to a high of over 14%. Is there a relationship between the amount of money people borrow and the interest rate that’s offered? Here is a scatterplot of Total Mortgages in the U.S. (in millions of 2005 dollars) vs. Interest Rates at various times over the past 26 years. The correlation is -0.84.
(i) Describe the relationship between Total Mortgages and Interest Rate.
(ii) If we standardized both variables, what would the correlation coefficient between the standardized variables be?
(iii) If we were to measure Total Mortgages in thousands of dollars instead of millions of dollars, how would the.
Assignments # 5, week 5Chapter 8 Question # 1, 2, 7, 8, and 9..docx
Assignments # 5, week 5
Chapter 8 Question # 1, 2, 7, 8, and 9.
1. Bond Investment Decision Based on your forecast of interest rates, would you recommend that investors purchase bonds today? Explain.
2. How Interest Rates Affect Bond Prices Explain the impact of a decline in interest rates on:
a. An investor’s required rate of return.
b. The present value of existing bonds.
c. The prices of existing bonds.
7. Coupon Rates If a bond’s coupon rate were above its required rate of return, would its price be above or
below its par value? Explain.
8. Bond Price Sensitivity Is the price of a longterm bond more or less sensitive to a change in interest
rates than to the price of a short-term security? Why?
9. Required Return on Bonds Why does the required rate of return for a particular bond change
over time?
Assignment 6
Chapter 9 Question #s 2, 3, 4, 10, 11, 12, 16, 22.
2. Mortgage Rates and Risk What is the general relationship between mortgage rates and long-term
government security rates? Explain how mortgage lenders can be affected by interest rate movements.
Also explain how they can insulate against interest rate movements.
3. ARMs How does the initial rate on adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) differ from the rate on fixed-rate
mortgages? Why? Explain how caps on ARMs can affect a financial institution’s exposure to interest
rate risk.
4. Mortgage Maturities Why is the 15-year mortgage attractive to homeowners? Is the interest rate
risk to the financial institution higher for a 15-year or a 30-year mortgage? Why?
10. Exposure to Interest Rate Movements Mortgage lenders with fixed-rate mortgages should
benefit when interest rates decline, yet research has shown that this favorable impact is dampened.
By what?
11. Mortgage Valuation Describe the factors that affect mortgage prices.
12. Selling Mortgages Explain why some financial institutions prefer to sell the mortgages they originate.
16. Mortgage-Backed Securities Describe how mortgage-backed securities (MBS) are used.
22. Subprime versus Prime Mortgage Problems How did the repayment of subprime mortgages
compare to that of prime mortgages during the credit crisis?
dq board is not up
week 9 assingments
Chapter 13 #1, 2, 3, 4, 7, 12, 14,16,17, and 19
1. Futures Contracts Describe the general characteristics of a futures contract. How does a clearinghouse
facilitate the trading of financial futures contracts?
2. Futures Pricing How does the price of a financial futures contract change as the market price
of the security it represents changes? Why?
3. Hedging with Futures Explain why some futures contracts may be more suitable than others
for hedging exposure to interest rate risk.
4. Treasury Bond Futures Will speculators buy or sell Treasury bond futures contracts if they expect
interest rates to increase? Explain.
7. Hedging with Futures Assume a financial institution has more rate-sensitive assets than
rate-sensitive liabilities. Would it be more likely to be adversely affected by an incr ...
Credit-Implied Volatility
The pricing of corporate credit can be succinctly understood via the credit-implied volatility (CIV) surface.
The Impacts of CECL on Modeling and Risk Management
In this presentation I gave in the Financial Republic’s 2017 CECL Conference, I discussed the impacts of CECL on modeling and risk management with a focus on the reasonable and supportable forecast.
Stock Prices valuation of IT Companies in India: An Empirical Study
In this paper, we would like to answer the questions such as
Is it worthwhile investing in such software companies?
Will capital appreciation of software companies continue in the future?
It is important to analyze whether investors will be benefitted by investing in this software industry or whether software companies’ outperformance over other industries is just the temporary phase. Finally, we would like to suggest our recommendations over software industries whether investors should buy/sell/hold the stock of these companies based on our analysis.
Data returnsselectionoffunds elton_gruber
1) Using holdings data and security betas to estimate mutual fund alphas and betas leads to better selection of funds than estimating from fund returns alone. The funds selected using the holdings data approach have significantly higher future alphas.
2) Estimating alphas and betas more frequently, such as with monthly holdings data rather than quarterly, further improves selection. However, quarterly data captures most of the benefits and allows analysis of a much larger sample.
3) Neither conditional betas nor an alternative approach using holdings proposed by Grinblatt and Titman provided better rankings than the primary approach using holdings to estimate alphas and betas.
Forum On News Analytics
This document discusses incorporating news analysis into investment processes. It describes how news flows can be used to improve short-term risk assessments and condition risk estimates. Various data vendors that provide news analytics are also mentioned, as well as strategies for exploiting news signals, such as responding differently to "good" and "bad" news. Challenges with news-based strategies include defining events, assessing informational content, and managing holding periods.
Financial Risk Mgt - Lec 3 by Dr. Syed Muhammad Ali Tirmizi
These Lecture series are relating the use R language software, its interface and functions required to evaluate financial risk models. Furthermore, R software applications relating financial market data, measuring risk, modern portfolio theory, risk modeling relating returns generalized hyperbolic and lambda distributions, Value at Risk (VaR) modelling, extreme value methods and models, the class of ARCH models, GARCH risk models and portfolio optimization approaches.
FI 335 - Derivatives Project #1
This document analyzes various hedging strategies using futures contracts. It discusses using Eurodollar futures to hedge $70 million invested in equities, calculating that 6,667 contracts would be needed. It also examines a long/short portfolio hedging a $50 million investment in PRWCX using S&P 500 futures, determining a historical beta of 0.628. Leveraging this strategy at 150% with $100 million borrowed at 1% could yield a 4.54% return. However, future beta and market movements may differ from historical patterns. Additionally, the document proposes a spread trade betting on a rise in long-term vs. short-term interest rates using Eurodollar futures.
Lgd Model Jacobs 10 10 V2[1]
Structural model for loss-given-default, derive compound option formulae , and calibrate to moody\'s defaulted bonds and loans.
Week- 5 Interest Rates and Stock MarketMoney and Banking Econ .docx
Week- 5 Interest Rates and Stock Market
Money and Banking Econ 311
Thursday 7 - 9:45
Instructor: Thomas L. Thomas
Response over Time to an Increase in Money Supply Growth
2
Risk Structure of Interest Rates
Bonds with the same maturity have different interest rates due to:
Default risk
Liquidity
Tax considerations
Long-Term Bond Yields, 1919–2011
Sources: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Banking and Monetary Statistics, 1941–1970; Federal Reserve; www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/data.htm.
4
Risk Structure of Interest Rates (cont’d)
Default risk: probability that the issuer of the bond is unable or unwilling to make interest payments or pay off the face value
U.S. Treasury bonds are considered default free (government can raise taxes).
Risk premium: the spread between the interest rates on bonds with default risk and the interest rates on (same maturity) Treasury bonds
5
Bond Ratings by Moody’s, Standard and Poor’s, and Fitch
6
Risk Structure of Interest Rates (cont’d)
Liquidity: the relative ease with which an asset can be converted into cash
Cost of selling a bond
Number of buyers/sellers in a bond market
Income tax considerations
Interest payments on municipal bonds are exempt from federal income taxes.
Term Structure of Interest Rates
Bonds with identical risk, liquidity, and tax characteristics may have different interest rates because the time remaining to maturity is different
Yield curve: a plot of the yield on bonds with differing terms to maturity but the same risk, liquidity and tax considerations
Upward-sloping: long-term rates are above
short-term rates
Flat: short- and long-term rates are the same
Inverted: long-term rates are below short-term rates
Facts that the Theory of the Term Structure of Interest Rates Must Explain
Interest rates on bonds of different maturities move together over time
When short-term interest rates are low, yield curves are more likely to have an upward slope; when short-term rates are high, yield curves are more likely to slope downward and be inverted
Yield curves almost always slope upward
9
Three Theories to Explain the Three Facts
Expectations theory explains the first two facts but not the third
Segmented markets theory explains fact three but not the first two
Liquidity premium theory combines the two theories to explain all three facts
10
Expectations Theory
The interest rate on a long-term bond will equal an average of the short-term interest rates that people expect to occur over the life of the long-term bond
Buyers of bonds do not prefer bonds of one maturity over another; they will not hold
any quantity of a bond if its expected return
is less than that of another bond with a different maturity
Bond holders consider bonds with different maturities to be perfect substitutes
11
Expectations Theory: Example
Let the c.
Global supply chain case study team8_submit v2
The team selected design options and suppliers that balanced low production costs with flexibility. They split production between overseas and domestic suppliers. For forecasting, they averaged all forecasts rather than following the consensus. They set initial production slightly above forecasts and issued change orders when costs outweighed $2M adjustment fees. Investing in market research helped inform change orders. Overall, balancing costs and flexibility along with responsiveness to new data worked well.
Financial management
The BRIC thesis posits that China and India will become dominant suppliers of manufactured goods and services respectively, while Brazil and Russia will become dominant suppliers of raw materials. It's important to note that BRIC is an economic term referring to these four emerging economies and not a political or trade alliance. Many companies also cite BRIC as a source of foreign expansion opportunity due to lower costs.
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Assignments # 5, week 5Chapter 8 Question # 1, 2, 7, 8, and 9..docx
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Stock Prices valuation of IT Companies in India: An Empirical Study
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South Dakota State University degree offer diploma Transcript
办理美国SDSU毕业证书制作南达科他州立大学假文凭定制Q微168899991做SDSU留信网教留服认证海牙认证改SDSU成绩单GPA做SDSU假学位证假文凭高仿毕业证GRE代考如何申请南达科他州立大学South Dakota State University degree offer diploma Transcript
快速办理(RWTH毕业证书)德国亚琛工业大学毕业证录取通知书一模一样
原件一模一样【微信：bwp0011】《(RWTH毕业证书)德国亚琛工业大学毕业证》【微信：bwp0011】学位证，留信认证（真实可查，永久存档）原件一模一样纸张工艺/offer、雅思、外壳等材料/诚信可靠,可直接看成品样本，帮您解决无法毕业带来的各种难题！外壳，原版制作，诚信可靠，可直接看成品样本。行业标杆！精益求精，诚心合作，真诚制作！多年品质 ,按需精细制作，24小时接单,全套进口原装设备。十五年致力于帮助留学生解决难题，包您满意。
本公司拥有海外各大学样板无数，能完美还原。
1:1完美还原海外各大学毕业材料上的工艺：水印，阴影底纹，钢印LOGO烫金烫银，LOGO烫金烫银复合重叠。文字图案浮雕、激光镭射、紫外荧光、温感、复印防伪等防伪工艺。材料咨询办理、认证咨询办理请加学历顾问微bwp0011
【主营项目】
一.毕业证【微bwp0011】成绩单、使馆认证、教育部认证、雅思托福成绩单、学生卡等！
二.真实使馆公证(即留学回国人员证明,不成功不收费)
三.真实教育部学历学位认证（教育部存档！教育部留服网站永久可查）
四.办理各国各大学文凭(一对一专业服务,可全程监控跟踪进度)
如果您处于以下几种情况：
◇在校期间，因各种原因未能顺利毕业……拿不到官方毕业证【微bwp0011】
◇面对父母的压力，希望尽快拿到；
◇不清楚认证流程以及材料该如何准备；
◇回国时间很长，忘记办理；
◇回国马上就要找工作，办给用人单位看；
◇企事业单位必须要求办理的
◇需要报考公务员、购买免税车、落转户口
◇申请留学生创业基金
留信网认证的作用:
1:该专业认证可证明留学生真实身份
2:同时对留学生所学专业登记给予评定
3:国家专业人才认证中心颁发入库证书
4:这个认证书并且可以归档倒地方
5:凡事获得留信网入网的信息将会逐步更新到个人身份内，将在公安局网内查询个人身份证信息后，同步读取人才网入库信息
6:个人职称评审加20分
7:个人信誉贷款加10分
8:在国家人才网主办的国家网络招聘大会中纳入资料，供国家高端企业选择人才
Independent Study - College of Wooster Research (2023-2024) FDI, Culture, Glo...
Independent Study - College of Wooster Research (2023-2024) FDI, Culture, Glo...AntoniaOwensDetwiler
"Does Foreign Direct Investment Negatively Affect Preservation of Culture in the Global South? Case Studies in Thailand and Cambodia."
Do elements of globalization, such as Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), negatively affect the ability of countries in the Global South to preserve their culture? This research aims to answer this question by employing a cross-sectional comparative case study analysis utilizing methods of difference. Thailand and Cambodia are compared as they are in the same region and have a similar culture. The metric of difference between Thailand and Cambodia is their ability to preserve their culture. This ability is operationalized by their respective attitudes towards FDI; Thailand imposes stringent regulations and limitations on FDI while Cambodia does not hesitate to accept most FDI and imposes fewer limitations. The evidence from this study suggests that FDI from globally influential countries with high gross domestic products (GDPs) (e.g. China, U.S.) challenges the ability of countries with lower GDPs (e.g. Cambodia) to protect their culture. Furthermore, the ability, or lack thereof, of the receiving countries to protect their culture is amplified by the existence and implementation of restrictive FDI policies imposed by their governments.
My study abroad in Bali, Indonesia, inspired this research topic as I noticed how globalization is changing the culture of its people. I learned their language and way of life which helped me understand the beauty and importance of cultural preservation. I believe we could all benefit from learning new perspectives as they could help us ideate solutions to contemporary issues and empathize with others.Ending stagnation: How to boost prosperity across Scotland
A toxic combination of 15 years of low growth, and four decades of high inequality, has left Britain poorer and falling behind its peers. Productivity growth is weak and public investment is low, while wages today are no higher than they were before the financial crisis. Britain needs a new economic strategy to lift itself out of stagnation.
Scotland is in many ways a microcosm of this challenge. It has become a hub for creative industries, is home to several world-class universities and a thriving community of businesses – strengths that need to be harness and leveraged. But it also has high levels of deprivation, with homelessness reaching a record high and nearly half a million people living in very deep poverty last year. Scotland won’t be truly thriving unless it finds ways to ensure that all its inhabitants benefit from growth and investment. This is the central challenge facing policy makers both in Holyrood and Westminster.
What should a new national economic strategy for Scotland include? What would the pursuit of stronger economic growth mean for local, national and UK-wide policy makers? How will economic change affect the jobs we do, the places we live and the businesses we work for? And what are the prospects for cities like Glasgow, and nations like Scotland, in rising to these challenges?
一比一原版(cwu毕业证书)美国中央华盛顿大学毕业证如何办理
原版一模一样【微信：741003700 】【(cwu毕业证书)美国中央华盛顿大学毕业证成绩单】【微信：741003700 】学位证，留信认证（真实可查，永久存档）原件一模一样纸张工艺/offer、雅思、外壳等材料/诚信可靠,可直接看成品样本，帮您解决无法毕业带来的各种难题！外壳，原版制作，诚信可靠，可直接看成品样本。行业标杆！精益求精，诚心合作，真诚制作！多年品质 ,按需精细制作，24小时接单,全套进口原装设备。十五年致力于帮助留学生解决难题，包您满意。
本公司拥有海外各大学样板无数，能完美还原。
1:1完美还原海外各大学毕业材料上的工艺：水印，阴影底纹，钢印LOGO烫金烫银，LOGO烫金烫银复合重叠。文字图案浮雕、激光镭射、紫外荧光、温感、复印防伪等防伪工艺。材料咨询办理、认证咨询办理请加学历顾问Q/微741003700
【主营项目】
一.毕业证【q微741003700】成绩单、使馆认证、教育部认证、雅思托福成绩单、学生卡等！
二.真实使馆公证(即留学回国人员证明,不成功不收费)
三.真实教育部学历学位认证（教育部存档！教育部留服网站永久可查）
四.办理各国各大学文凭(一对一专业服务,可全程监控跟踪进度)
如果您处于以下几种情况：
◇在校期间，因各种原因未能顺利毕业……拿不到官方毕业证【q/微741003700】
◇面对父母的压力，希望尽快拿到；
◇不清楚认证流程以及材料该如何准备；
◇回国时间很长，忘记办理；
◇回国马上就要找工作，办给用人单位看；
◇企事业单位必须要求办理的
◇需要报考公务员、购买免税车、落转户口
◇申请留学生创业基金
留信网认证的作用:
1:该专业认证可证明留学生真实身份
2:同时对留学生所学专业登记给予评定
3:国家专业人才认证中心颁发入库证书
4:这个认证书并且可以归档倒地方
5:凡事获得留信网入网的信息将会逐步更新到个人身份内，将在公安局网内查询个人身份证信息后，同步读取人才网入库信息
6:个人职称评审加20分
7:个人信誉贷款加10分
8:在国家人才网主办的国家网络招聘大会中纳入资料，供国家高端企业选择人才
办理(cwu毕业证书)美国中央华盛顿大学毕业证【微信：741003700 】外观非常简单，由纸质材料制成，上面印有校徽、校名、毕业生姓名、专业等信息。
办理(cwu毕业证书)美国中央华盛顿大学毕业证【微信：741003700 】格式相对统一，各专业都有相应的模板。通常包括以下部分：
校徽：象征着学校的荣誉和传承。
校名:学校英文全称
授予学位：本部分将注明获得的具体学位名称。
毕业生姓名：这是最重要的信息之一，标志着该证书是由特定人员获得的。
颁发日期：这是毕业正式生效的时间，也代表着毕业生学业的结束。
其他信息：根据不同的专业和学位，可能会有一些特定的信息或章节。
办理(cwu毕业证书)美国中央华盛顿大学毕业证【微信：741003700 】价值很高，需要妥善保管。一般来说，应放置在安全、干燥、防潮的地方，避免长时间暴露在阳光下。如需使用，最好使用复印件而不是原件，以免丢失。
综上所述，办理(cwu毕业证书)美国中央华盛顿大学毕业证【微信：741003700 】是证明身份和学历的高价值文件。外观简单庄重，格式统一，包括重要的个人信息和发布日期。对持有人来说，妥善保管是非常重要的。
TechnoXander Confirmation of Payee Product Pack 1.pdf
Confirmation of Payee (CoP) is a vital security measure adopted by financial institutions and payment service providers. Its core purpose is to confirm that the recipient’s name matches the information provided by the sender during a banking transaction, ensuring that funds are transferred to the correct payment account.
Confirmation of Payee was built to tackle the increasing numbers of APP Fraud and in the landscape of UK banking, the spectre of APP fraud looms large. In 2022, over £1.2 billion was stolen by fraudsters through authorised and unauthorised fraud, equivalent to more than £2,300 every minute. This statistic emphasises the urgent need for robust security measures like CoP. While over £1.2 billion was stolen through fraud in 2022, there was an eight per cent reduction compared to 2021 which highlights the positive outcomes obtained from the implementation of Confirmation of Payee. The number of fraud cases across the UK also decreased by four per cent to nearly three million cases during the same period; latest statistics from UK Finance.
In essence, Confirmation of Payee plays a pivotal role in digital banking, guaranteeing the flawless execution of banking transactions. It stands as a guardian against fraud and misallocation, demonstrating the commitment of financial institutions to safeguard their clients’ assets. The next time you engage in a banking transaction, remember the invaluable role of CoP in ensuring the security of your financial interests.
For more details, you can visit https://technoxander.com.
13 Jun 24 ILC Retirement Income Summit - slides.pptx
ILC's Retirement Income Summit was hosted by M&G and supported by Canada Life. The event brought together key policymakers, influencers and experts to help identify policy priorities for the next Government and ensure more of us have access to a decent income in retirement.
Contributors included:
Jo Blanden, Professor in Economics, University of Surrey
Clive Bolton, CEO, Life Insurance M&G Plc
Jim Boyd, CEO, Equity Release Council
Molly Broome, Economist, Resolution Foundation
Nida Broughton, Co-Director of Economic Policy, Behavioural Insights Team
Jonathan Cribb, Associate Director and Head of Retirement, Savings, and Ageing, Institute for Fiscal Studies
Joanna Elson CBE, Chief Executive Officer, Independent Age
Tom Evans, Managing Director of Retirement, Canada Life
Steve Groves, Chair, Key Retirement Group
Tish Hanifan, Founder and Joint Chair of the Society of Later life Advisers
Sue Lewis, ILC Trustee
Siobhan Lough, Senior Consultant, Hymans Robertson
Mick McAteer, Co-Director, The Financial Inclusion Centre
Stuart McDonald MBE, Head of Longevity and Democratic Insights, LCP
Anusha Mittal, Managing Director, Individual Life and Pensions, M&G Life
Shelley Morris, Senior Project Manager, Living Pension, Living Wage Foundation
Sarah O'Grady, Journalist
Will Sherlock, Head of External Relations, M&G Plc
Daniela Silcock, Head of Policy Research, Pensions Policy Institute
David Sinclair, Chief Executive, ILC
Jordi Skilbeck, Senior Policy Advisor, Pensions and Lifetime Savings Association
Rt Hon Sir Stephen Timms, former Chair, Work & Pensions Committee
Nigel Waterson, ILC Trustee
Jackie Wells, Strategy and Policy Consultant, ILC Strategic Advisory Board
真实可查(nwu毕业证书)美国西北大学毕业证学位证书范本原版一模一样
原版定制【微信:bwp0011】《(nwu毕业证书)美国西北大学毕业证学位证书》【微信:bwp0011】成绩单 、雅思、外壳、留信学历认证永久存档查询，采用学校原版纸张、特殊工艺完全按照原版一比一制作（包括：隐形水印，阴影底纹，钢印LOGO烫金烫银，LOGO烫金烫银复合重叠，文字图案浮雕，激光镭射，紫外荧光，温感，复印防伪）行业标杆！精益求精，诚心合作，真诚制作！多年品质 ,按需精细制作，24小时接单,全套进口原装设备，十五年致力于帮助留学生解决难题，业务范围有加拿大、英国、澳洲、韩国、美国、新加坡，新西兰等学历材料，包您满意。
【业务选择办理准则】
一、工作未确定，回国需先给父母、亲戚朋友看下文凭的情况，办理一份就读学校的毕业证【微信bwp0011】文凭即可
二、回国进私企、外企、自己做生意的情况，这些单位是不查询毕业证真伪的，而且国内没有渠道去查询国外文凭的真假，也不需要提供真实教育部认证。鉴于此，办理一份毕业证【微信bwp0011】即可
三、进国企，银行，事业单位，考公务员等等，这些单位是必需要提供真实教育部认证的，办理教育部认证所需资料众多且烦琐，所有材料您都必须提供原件，我们凭借丰富的经验，快捷的绿色通道帮您快速整合材料，让您少走弯路。
留信网认证的作用:
1:该专业认证可证明留学生真实身份
2:同时对留学生所学专业登记给予评定
3:国家专业人才认证中心颁发入库证书
4:这个认证书并且可以归档倒地方
5:凡事获得留信网入网的信息将会逐步更新到个人身份内，将在公安局网内查询个人身份证信息后，同步读取人才网入库信息
6:个人职称评审加20分
7:个人信誉贷款加10分
8:在国家人才网主办的国家网络招聘大会中纳入资料，供国家高端企业选择人才
【关于价格问题（保证一手价格）】
我们所定的价格是非常合理的，而且我们现在做得单子大多数都是代理和回头客户介绍的所以一般现在有新的单子 我给客户的都是第一手的代理价格，因为我想坦诚对待大家 不想跟大家在价格方面浪费时间
对于老客户或者被老客户介绍过来的朋友，我们都会适当给一些优惠。
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[4:55 p.m.] Bryan Oates
OJPs are becoming a critical resource for policy-makers and researchers who study the labour market. LMIC continues to work with Vicinity Jobs’ data on OJPs, which can be explored in our Canadian Job Trends Dashboard. Valuable insights have been gained through our analysis of OJP data, including LMIC research lead
Suzanne Spiteri’s recent report on improving the quality and accessibility of job postings to reduce employment barriers for neurodivergent people.
Decoding job postings: Improving accessibility for neurodivergent job seekers
Improving the quality and accessibility of job postings is one way to reduce employment barriers for neurodivergent people.Exploring-Madhya-Pradesh-Culture-Heritage-and-Land-Records.pptx
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Fabular Frames and the Four Ratio Problem
Digital, interactive art showing the struggle of a society in providing for its present population while also saving planetary resources for future generations. Spread across several frames, the art is actually the rendering of real and speculative data. The stereographic projections change shape in response to prompts and provocations. Visitors interact with the model through speculative statements about how to increase savings across communities, regions, ecosystems and environments. Their fabulations combined with random noise, i.e. factors beyond control, have a dramatic effect on the societal transition. Things get better. Things get worse. The aim is to give visitors a new grasp and feel of the ongoing struggles in democracies around the world.
Stunning art in the small multiples format brings out the spatiotemporal nature of societal transitions, against backdrop issues such as energy, housing, waste, farmland and forest. In each frame we see hopeful and frightful interplays between spending and saving. Problems emerge when one of the two parts of the existential anaglyph rapidly shrinks like Arctic ice, as factors cross thresholds. Ecological wealth and intergenerational equity areFour at stake. Not enough spending could mean economic stress, social unrest and political conflict. Not enough saving and there will be climate breakdown and ‘bankruptcy’. So where does speculative design start and the gambling and betting end? Behind each fabular frame is a four ratio problem. Each ratio reflects the level of sacrifice and self-restraint a society is willing to accept, against promises of prosperity and freedom. Some values seem to stabilise a frame while others cause collapse. Get the ratios right and we can have it all. Get them wrong and things get more desperate.
falcon-invoice-discounting-a-premier-investment-platform-for-superior-returns...
falcon-invoice-discounting-a-premier-investment-platform-for-superior-returns...Falcon Invoice Discounting
Falcon stands out as a top-tier P2P Invoice Discounting platform in India, bridging esteemed blue-chip companies and eager investors. Our goal is to transform the investment landscape in India by establishing a comprehensive destination for borrowers and investors with diverse profiles and needs, all while minimizing risk. What sets Falcon apart is the elimination of intermediaries such as commercial banks and depository institutions, allowing investors to enjoy higher yields.Who Is Abhay Bhutada, MD of Poonawalla Fincorp
Abhay Bhutada, the Managing Director of Poonawalla Fincorp Limited, is an accomplished leader with over 15 years of experience in commercial and retail lending. A Qualified Chartered Accountant, he has been pivotal in leveraging technology to enhance financial services. Starting his career at Bank of India, he later founded TAB Capital Limited and co-founded Poonawalla Finance Private Limited, emphasizing digital lending. Under his leadership, Poonawalla Fincorp achieved a 'AAA' credit rating, integrating acquisitions and emphasizing corporate governance. Actively involved in industry forums and CSR initiatives, Abhay has been recognized with awards like "Young Entrepreneur of India 2017" and "40 under 40 Most Influential Leader for 2020-21." Personally, he values mindfulness, enjoys gardening, yoga, and sees every day as an opportunity for growth and improvement.
What's a worker’s market? Job quality and labour market tightness
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In a tight labour market, job-seekers gain bargaining power and leverage it into greater job quality—at least, that’s the conventional wisdom.
Michael, LMIC Economist, presented findings that reveal a weakened relationship between labour market tightness and job quality indicators following the pandemic. Labour market tightness coincided with growth in real wages for only a portion of workers: those in low-wage jobs requiring little education. Several factors—including labour market composition, worker and employer behaviour, and labour market practices—have contributed to the absence of worker benefits. These will be investigated further in future work.Seeman_Fiintouch_LLP_Newsletter_Jun_2024.pdf
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03. Inspiration investment story
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Core deposit interest rate modeling change
- 1. Research Design forResearch Design for a Study of Federala Study of Federal Funds Futures andFunds Futures and ConsumerConsumer Confidence asConfidence as Predictors of CorePredictors of Core Deposit InterestDeposit Interest RatesRates
- 2. What are research questions andWhat are research questions and hypotheses?hypotheses? 1. What is a good prediction model for change in core1. What is a good prediction model for change in core deposit interest rate (CDIR)?deposit interest rate (CDIR)? A. Are Fed Funds Futures (FFF) good indices to predictA. Are Fed Funds Futures (FFF) good indices to predict change in core deposit interest rate?change in core deposit interest rate? We predict FFF will be a significant predictor of CDIR and theWe predict FFF will be a significant predictor of CDIR and the effect size will be large.effect size will be large.
- 3. Questions and Hypotheses -Questions and Hypotheses - continuedcontinued B. Is consumer confidence (CC) a good index to predictB. Is consumer confidence (CC) a good index to predict change in core deposit interest rate?change in core deposit interest rate? We predict CC is a significant predictor of CDIR with a largeWe predict CC is a significant predictor of CDIR with a large effect size.effect size. C. Does a model containing both indicators (FFF and CC)C. Does a model containing both indicators (FFF and CC) predict change in core deposit interest rate better than eachpredict change in core deposit interest rate better than each one individually?one individually? We predict the model containing both FFF and CC will predictWe predict the model containing both FFF and CC will predict CDIR better (i.e. explain a larger proportion of variance) thanCDIR better (i.e. explain a larger proportion of variance) than either index individually.either index individually.
- 4. Describe Analysis PlanDescribe Analysis Plan Time seriesTime series Repeated measuresRepeated measures HLM with repeated observations on timeHLM with repeated observations on time Logistic regressionLogistic regression Survival analysis is recommended if the problem is posedSurvival analysis is recommended if the problem is posed as a whether and when question, i.e., does CDIR change,as a whether and when question, i.e., does CDIR change, and if yes, when does it change relative to threshold levelsand if yes, when does it change relative to threshold levels of FFF or CC.of FFF or CC.