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Contributions of Tarshis:
An Ontological Perspective
Fahd Rehman
Assistant Professor/Research Fellow
Suleman Dawood School of Business (SDSB), LUMS, Pakistan
Outline
 Introduction
 Intellectual Influences
 Theorizing and Ontology
 Policy Proposals
 Conclusion and Future Research
Introduction
 Harcourt presented the contributions in a chronological
order
 Economic analysis based on realism
Lorie was aware of historical process and factual
background
 Objectivity in analysis and wrote engaging and
appealing economics textbooks
 Modification of thoughts with historical events
 Uphold broader Keynesianism and infuse details with
his evolving thoughts
 Unified framework to integrate theories of value, income
determination, growth and distribution and finance
 Sources of strength as economist
Intellectual Influences
 Joan Robinson
Imperfect Competition revolution
Beggars thy neighbors: distribute poverty unfairly
 Richard Kahn
Inverted L shaped cost curve
Extension of short period determination of price and
output to the price level and aggregate output
 Marshall
Representative firm
Strength: Solve aggregation problem and consistent
with fallacy of composition
Weakness: Lack of precision (achieved through
mathematization of economics)
 Hall and Hitch
Mark up pricing-variable cost+
overheads+profit
Mark up pricing and marginal method gives
identical results
 Keynes
Broad outlines are the same, modify the fine
details
Made General Theory consistent with
national income accounts
Analyze factors associated with propensity to
consume and private investment
Demand for consumer goods decline, the
inducement to investment would decline showing
Keynes as intellectual chameleon
Advise Meltzer since Keynes, sometimes, alludes to
a day and other a long run
Rapid fluctuations in price level bring uncertainty of
expectations which in turn impact the interest rate
 Shaw
Money creation as a process of financial
intermediation (realistic)
Theorizing and Ontology
 Labor could not be considered as a statistical average
since this would mask certain characteristics. For
instance, the economic interests of wheat producers
differed from bread ones.
 Employers compete with other employers in certain
domains while they join hands to resist the rising
demand of wages
 Favored labor unions on the grounds they increase
the share of labor in the national income by affecting
the degree of monopoly of business firms
 Large corporation vs labor union brought a balance
 Good theory aided in determining the relations to be
investigated while bad theory yield false clues
 State of confidence of business community affects the
expected yield
Theorizing and Ontology
Economic realism
It is, of course, useful to understand how decisions would
be reached if businessmen worked with estimates made to
the nth decimal point-including allowance for the
uncertainty of the estimates. But if we carry this too far, if
we permit our thinking to be the prisoner of the analytical
scheme, we gain a spurious elegance and accuracy at
heavy cost- the loss of contact with reality and an
insensitivity to what really makes the wheels turn” (1966; p.
423)
Theorizing and Ontology
 Measurement with theory: Statistical data to illustrate
an economic phenomenon
 Integrate economic theory based on realistic
assumptions, facts and observations
 Analysis turned out to be different from Keynes
regarding money and real wage over the trade cycle:
Money and real wage were procyclical
 Notion of equilibrium to analyse the capitalist economy
i.e. equilibrium price and actual price were closed to
each other due to thoughtful experiment
 Short period from objective side i.e. size of plant and
number of firms
 Differentiate between short and long period by taking a
dynamic view of competition
Theorizing and Ontology
 Explain the dynamics of commodity production by
extending short period to long one
 Disguised unemployment in the agriculture sector
during depression since demand for agri products fall
and supply increase due to reverse migration
 Significant contribution of Aggregate Supply function
which led to stagflation and criticized the 45 degrees
 Public investment increased output and employment in
the short and long run and there was no end of worth-
while projects
 Public and private investment are complementary
 Inflation affects the personal distribution of income
since income transfer takes place from low to high
income classes. Powerful groups maintain their
relative position so hinted towards conflict inflation
Theorizing and Ontology
 Debt affects the personal distribution of income since
particular bondholder is different from a particular tax
payer
 He dismissed the ideology that high debt affects the
confidence of business firm and government becomes
director competitor of business firm
 Remained faithful to logical time since post Keynesian
scholars favour historical time to extend short period to
long one
 Novel approach of linking theory of price, theory of
income determination, theories of distribution and
growth provided a unified framework
 Price setting behavior of firm is the key
 Tarshis criticized the post Keynesian scholars on the
ground of realism of assumption i.e. assumptions were
Policy Proposals
 Proposals attacked monetarism and favor Keynesianism
To tackles stagflation, monetarists primary objective is to fight
inflation at the cost of unemployment
Monetary restraint slowed down the global trade which
aggravated the international debt problem
Progressive taxation on high income classes, cut sales and
value added taxes on business firm
World economy-a closed system
Coordinated expansion to break out of the problem of
inflation, unemployment and international debt
If all countries simultaneously try to reduce their debt, it
would increase the debt burden by hinting to fallacy of
composition
 High unemployment affects the psychology of society
People hold on to jobs and devise protectionist schemes
which in turn lead to uncompetitiveness in a society
Policy Proposals
Direct action of the people in the absence of collective action of the
government
 Favor general principles, common goals and fine details
left to the implementing countries
 Malfunctioning of international monetary system
Speculative capital flow grew before 1971 and
growth of Euro Dollar Market
 Debt Servicing/Export ratio is the key to gauge the
debt paying capacity
 Inflation has distributional consequences for personal
income
Conclusion
Ontology provides insights into an
economic phenomenon
Theorize and support his opinions
with facts
Delineate pattern out of data
Never uses econometrics and apply
mathematical modelling
Engage reader with real life
examples
Questions and Comments
Thank You

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Contributions of Tarshis: An Ontological Perspective

  • 1. Contributions of Tarshis: An Ontological Perspective Fahd Rehman Assistant Professor/Research Fellow Suleman Dawood School of Business (SDSB), LUMS, Pakistan
  • 2. Outline  Introduction  Intellectual Influences  Theorizing and Ontology  Policy Proposals  Conclusion and Future Research
  • 3. Introduction  Harcourt presented the contributions in a chronological order  Economic analysis based on realism Lorie was aware of historical process and factual background  Objectivity in analysis and wrote engaging and appealing economics textbooks  Modification of thoughts with historical events  Uphold broader Keynesianism and infuse details with his evolving thoughts  Unified framework to integrate theories of value, income determination, growth and distribution and finance  Sources of strength as economist
  • 4. Intellectual Influences  Joan Robinson Imperfect Competition revolution Beggars thy neighbors: distribute poverty unfairly  Richard Kahn Inverted L shaped cost curve Extension of short period determination of price and output to the price level and aggregate output  Marshall Representative firm Strength: Solve aggregation problem and consistent with fallacy of composition Weakness: Lack of precision (achieved through mathematization of economics)
  • 5.  Hall and Hitch Mark up pricing-variable cost+ overheads+profit Mark up pricing and marginal method gives identical results  Keynes Broad outlines are the same, modify the fine details Made General Theory consistent with national income accounts Analyze factors associated with propensity to consume and private investment Demand for consumer goods decline, the inducement to investment would decline showing
  • 6. Keynes as intellectual chameleon Advise Meltzer since Keynes, sometimes, alludes to a day and other a long run Rapid fluctuations in price level bring uncertainty of expectations which in turn impact the interest rate  Shaw Money creation as a process of financial intermediation (realistic)
  • 7. Theorizing and Ontology  Labor could not be considered as a statistical average since this would mask certain characteristics. For instance, the economic interests of wheat producers differed from bread ones.  Employers compete with other employers in certain domains while they join hands to resist the rising demand of wages  Favored labor unions on the grounds they increase the share of labor in the national income by affecting the degree of monopoly of business firms  Large corporation vs labor union brought a balance  Good theory aided in determining the relations to be investigated while bad theory yield false clues  State of confidence of business community affects the expected yield
  • 8. Theorizing and Ontology Economic realism It is, of course, useful to understand how decisions would be reached if businessmen worked with estimates made to the nth decimal point-including allowance for the uncertainty of the estimates. But if we carry this too far, if we permit our thinking to be the prisoner of the analytical scheme, we gain a spurious elegance and accuracy at heavy cost- the loss of contact with reality and an insensitivity to what really makes the wheels turn” (1966; p. 423)
  • 9. Theorizing and Ontology  Measurement with theory: Statistical data to illustrate an economic phenomenon  Integrate economic theory based on realistic assumptions, facts and observations  Analysis turned out to be different from Keynes regarding money and real wage over the trade cycle: Money and real wage were procyclical  Notion of equilibrium to analyse the capitalist economy i.e. equilibrium price and actual price were closed to each other due to thoughtful experiment  Short period from objective side i.e. size of plant and number of firms  Differentiate between short and long period by taking a dynamic view of competition
  • 10. Theorizing and Ontology  Explain the dynamics of commodity production by extending short period to long one  Disguised unemployment in the agriculture sector during depression since demand for agri products fall and supply increase due to reverse migration  Significant contribution of Aggregate Supply function which led to stagflation and criticized the 45 degrees  Public investment increased output and employment in the short and long run and there was no end of worth- while projects  Public and private investment are complementary  Inflation affects the personal distribution of income since income transfer takes place from low to high income classes. Powerful groups maintain their relative position so hinted towards conflict inflation
  • 11. Theorizing and Ontology  Debt affects the personal distribution of income since particular bondholder is different from a particular tax payer  He dismissed the ideology that high debt affects the confidence of business firm and government becomes director competitor of business firm  Remained faithful to logical time since post Keynesian scholars favour historical time to extend short period to long one  Novel approach of linking theory of price, theory of income determination, theories of distribution and growth provided a unified framework  Price setting behavior of firm is the key  Tarshis criticized the post Keynesian scholars on the ground of realism of assumption i.e. assumptions were
  • 12. Policy Proposals  Proposals attacked monetarism and favor Keynesianism To tackles stagflation, monetarists primary objective is to fight inflation at the cost of unemployment Monetary restraint slowed down the global trade which aggravated the international debt problem Progressive taxation on high income classes, cut sales and value added taxes on business firm World economy-a closed system Coordinated expansion to break out of the problem of inflation, unemployment and international debt If all countries simultaneously try to reduce their debt, it would increase the debt burden by hinting to fallacy of composition  High unemployment affects the psychology of society People hold on to jobs and devise protectionist schemes which in turn lead to uncompetitiveness in a society
  • 13. Policy Proposals Direct action of the people in the absence of collective action of the government  Favor general principles, common goals and fine details left to the implementing countries  Malfunctioning of international monetary system Speculative capital flow grew before 1971 and growth of Euro Dollar Market  Debt Servicing/Export ratio is the key to gauge the debt paying capacity  Inflation has distributional consequences for personal income
  • 14. Conclusion Ontology provides insights into an economic phenomenon Theorize and support his opinions with facts Delineate pattern out of data Never uses econometrics and apply mathematical modelling Engage reader with real life examples