Short deck on Technology Disruption - for the Chesterfield County, VA Committee on the Future, August 12, 2019

1. Committee on the Future – August 10, 2019
Barry Condrey, CIO
Chesterfield County,VA

5. IST has demonstrated the ability to invest technology dollars well!

7. Samuel Morse 1844
What hath God Wrought?
TheVictorian Internet,Tom Standage

8. Western Union memo, 1876

9. 1899 – Charles H. Duell
Commissioner of U.S. Patents
urging President McKinley
to abolish his office.

10. Attributed to Thomas J. Watson
Chairman of the Board of
International Business Machines
1943

11. Popular Mechanics 1949

12. 1975

13. Bill Gates
1975

14. Ken Olsen (founder of DEC)
1977

16. Bill Gates 1981

18. To the
victor go
the spoils!
Predicting
innovation is
profitable!
http://www.nytimes.com/1992/07/19/business/the-executive-computer-mother-of-all-markets-or-a-pipe-dream-driven-by-greed.html

20. http://newatlas.com/dermal-abyss-smart-tattoo/51572/

21. http://newatlas.com/china-forest-city-pollution/50211/

22. https://www.autoblog.co
m/2017/06/21/workhorse-
surefly-drone-helicopter-
flying-car/

23. https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-hottest-phones-for-the-next-billion-users-arent-smartphones-11563879608

24. Ideas
Potential
Your approach to
emerging tech is
an asset or a
danger.

25. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moore%27s_law
Consider:
Bandwidth
Transportation
Camera Resolution
Video
Music Library
Gordon Moore, 2004

26. Cyber Security
2. Hire and Retain Competent IT Personnel
3. Mobility / Mobile Applications
4. Open Government/Transparency/ Open Data
5. Disaster Recovery/ Continuity of Operations
6. Budget and Cost Control
7.Virtualization: Server, Desktop, Storage, Applications
8. Shared Services
9. Portal/ E-government
10. Cloud Computing
Source: Survey of counties by Center for Digital Government, partnering with NACo. July, 2015

27. https://www.mckinsey.com/business-functions/digital-mckinsey/our-insights/disruptive-technologies
And …
 BlockchainTechnologies
 Virtual &
Augmented Reality
 Data, Data, Data
In 2016….

28. https://willrobotstakemyjob.com/
https://richtopia.com/emerging-technologies/11-disruptive-technology-examples

29. It is the mark of an educated mind to be able to entertain a thought without accepting it - Aristotle

30. http://www.bar-oriyan.com/Portals/0/mega%20trands%20exec%20summary%20v3%20(1).pdf
Technologies enable the megatrends
Rate of tech change = Rise of Megatrends

31. From Macro to Micro: Mega Trend Impact Analysis on
Your Industry, Your Products and Services
Sub Trend
A Sub Layer of Trends that Has
Wide Ranging Impact
Mega Trend
Selected Trends That
Impact Your Business
And Markets
Analysis of
Opportunities
and Unmet
Needs
Impact on
Future Product/
Technology
Impact to Your
Industry
Visualizing The Roadmap Of
These Critical Forces Through
Scenario Building and Macro
Economic Forecasts
Example: Urbanization,
Satellites
Example: Three concepts of
urbanization will emerge:
megacities, mega regions and
mega corridors. Smart Cities.
Civilian satellites means high
speed broadband, wireless and
4G and free wi-fi in public
places/cities
Example: New Product
Opportunity - New Mega City
Cars, Car sharing,
New Technology Opportunities –
Connected car , e.g. Internet
Radio
Example: Mega City
electric cars with small
turning radius,
autonomous parking in
busy cities, Facebook on
wheels, seamless
switching from home to car
Example: People in future will need “personal
mobility” not necessarily cars to commute to
work. This will lead to need for integrated
mobility combining all forms of transport
including cars
Macro Micro
3
1

34. CondreyBa@Chesterfield.gov
Barry@Condrey.org
https://cio-musings.blogspot.com/