SlideShare a Scribd company logo





2020
2000
Total 2005 2010 2015
Coinbase
Adyen
nCino
Clover Health
Square
Metromile
•
•
•
•
•
•
’21A Op Margin + Retention
PagSeguro
Bill.com
StoneCo
%
Change
in
Market
Cap
(Mar
’20-Nov
’21)
Square
Adyen
Lightspeed
Coupa
Q2
’21A Rev Growth
%
Change
in
Market
Cap
(Mar
’20-Nov
’21)
Square
StoneCo
PagSeguro
Adyen
Bill.com
Coupa
Lightspeed
Q2
Insurance
Banking
Software NASDAQ S&P 500 Dow Jones
Marqeta
’22E Op Margin + Retention
%
Change
in
Market
Cap
(Mar
’22-Aug
’22)
Square
Toast
StoneCo
PagSeguro
Adyen
dlocal
Bill.com
Affirm
Lightspeed
Coupa
Duck Creek Technologies
nCino
Q2
Flywire
’22E Rev Growth
%
Change
in
Market
Cap
(Mar
’22-Aug
’22)
StoneCo
Square
dlocal
Toast
PagSeguro
Adyen
Bill.com
Affirm
Marqeta
Lightspeed
Coupa
Duck Creek Technologies
nCino
Q2
Flywire
$168B
$154B
Peak Today
$1,453B
$2,398B
-39%
$291B
Today
$38B
Peak
$6B
$1,002B
-71%
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
$6,306 29.6x 157% 48% 37% 52% 294%
$14,487 20.3x 131% 84% 2% 38% 255%
$3,825 14.6x 155% 65% (4%) 26% 242%
$13,705 4.5x 140% 44% 34% 18% 236%
$19,529 6.9x 125% 79% 12% 20% 236%
$13,675 7.1x 93% 79% 54% 9% 235%
$4,770 3.1x 115% 57% 33% 21% 227%
$4,018 7.5x 175% 44% (22%) 29% 225%
$2,607 17.1x 123% 67% 2% 31% 223%
$40,043 30.6x 155% 15% 9% 41% 219%
$3,295 2.7x 99% 60% 38% 19% 216%
$1,375 9.3x 120% 64% 21% 9% 214%
$4,605 9.6x 110% 73% 7% 19% 209%
$1,878 7.7x 119% 52% 4% 18% 193%
$1,403 10.9x 117% 58% (11%) 26% 190%
$810 6.2x 100% 51% 25% 11% 188%
$1,590 7.3x 108% 59% 5% 12% 183%
$8,580 15.0x 135% 19% (5%) 32% 181%
$96,451 14.2x 92% 42% 24% 7% 166%
$1,754 3.5x 90% 60% (13%) 28% 165%
$2,724 6.2x 100% 45% (22%) 34% 157%
$533 3.5x 145% 43% (60%) 1% 129%
$153 0.6x 70% 56% (50%) 26% 102%
$5,495 41.2x 100% 18% (52%) 30% 96%
$1,529 29.4x 93% 23% (141%) 60% 35%
$370 1.3x 87% 31% (217%) 96% (3%)
▪ Enterprise
Payments and
Payments
Infrastructure
▪ Banking Software
▪ B2B Payments
▪ Asset Management
& Brokerage
▪ SMB Payments
37.9x 9.3x 200%+
▪ Consumer Finance
▪ InsurTech
▪ SMB Payments
27.4 7.3x <200%
Jan-21
Oct-20 Jul-21
Apr-21 Oct-21
20.0x
Jul-22
40.0x
Apr-22
Jan-22
11x
11x
15x
$317 $126 4% 26% 9.0x
$250 $94 5% 28% 8.9x
$158 $73 (7%) 21% 8.5x
$82 $75 5% 19% 6.3x
$62 $24 7% 26% 9.0x
$1,795 $207 12% 34% 23.6x
$170 $46 11% 29% 12.4x
$148 $31 17% 15% 28.3x
$110 $60 4% 14% 12.4x
$97 $30 (6%) 19% 16.1x
Financial Services
Semis Healthcare
eCommerce Software
Market Cap
Gross Profit
•
•
•
•
•
•
Gross Profit
High
Book Value
Low
Funding
Costs (Debt
Investor)
Gross
Revenue
Processing
Costs
15bps
Net Revenue
Losses
10bps
15bps
Gross
Revenue
Funding
Costs (Fed
Funds Rate)
Processing
Costs (At
Cost)
Net Revenue
Losses
Gross Profit Multiples
High
Book Value Multiples
Low
2020
2017
2014 2023
$2.0B
$1.0B
2023
2014 2017 2020
$0.0B
$0.5B
$1.5B
$2.5B
$3.0B
•
•
•
•
•
•
Jul-17
Jan-17 Jan-18 Jul-18 Jan-19 Jul-19 Jan-22
Jan-20 Jul-20 Jan-21 Jul-21 Jul-22
•
100%
150%
200%
•
•
•
•
•
•
Mar-22
Nov-20 Mar-21 Jun-21 Dec-21 Jun-22
Sep-21 Aug-22
+3,179%
2018
2016 2019
2017 2020 2021
Internet Penetration Smartphone Penetration
Brazil Colombia
Argentina
Chile Peru Mexico
2017 2021
$206B
$1B
$196B
2015
$8B $17B
$221B
2016 2017
$242B
$30B
2018
$271B
$46B
2019
$268B
$68B
2020
$308B
$100B
2021
Incumbents New Entrants
→
→
→
→
→
→
•
•
•
•
•
•
Apr-22 May-22 Jun-22 Jul-22 Aug-22 Sep-22
•
•
•
•
•
•
ACI Interactive Brokers
ADP Intuit
Jack Henry
AssetMark
LPL
C. Schwab MasterCard
Cantaloupe MeridianLink
MoneyGram
Paychex
Cielo Paycor
Euronet PayPal
Evertec PaySafe
EVO
FIS
Fiserv
FleetCor Visa
Global Payments
Green Dot Western Union
WEX
Coatue Analysis
 The information herein is provided for illustrative purposes only, reflects the opinions of Coatue or its
advisors, and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities.
 Unless otherwise indicated, all figures and calculations are for informational purposes only, computed by
Coatue or its advisors and not audited by any third party or approved by any governmental agency.
 Although Coatue believes that the data expressed in this presentation is accurate and reasonable,
actual results could differ materially from those projected or assumed, and such projections are
subject to change, and are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties. Neither Coatue nor its
affiliates or advisors guarantees the accuracy or completeness of the information. Accordingly,
neither Coatue nor any of its affiliates, advisors or employees shall be liable to you or anyone else
for any loss or damages from use of the information contained in this presentation.
 Unless otherwise indicated, companies referenced herein are for illustrative purposes only, and such
companies do not necessarily represent investments that any Coatue fund owns or may own in the future.
Coatue funds may or may not hold positions in certain of the companies mentioned in this whitepaper.
Forward-looking
Statements
 This presentation contains forecasts, projections and other forward-looking statements, including (but not
limited to) the occurrence or outcome of anticipated events, estimates, price targets, valuation, exposure
limits and performance returns
 There is no guarantee that such forecasts, projections or forward-looking statements will be realized and
therefore investors should not rely on such statements in making an investment decision
This presentation is confidential and not intended for public use or further distribution without the prior written consent of Coatue Management, L.L.C.

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Coatue on Fintech - October 2022.pdf

  • 1.
  • 2.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20. ’21A Op Margin + Retention PagSeguro Bill.com StoneCo % Change in Market Cap (Mar ’20-Nov ’21) Square Adyen Lightspeed Coupa Q2 ’21A Rev Growth % Change in Market Cap (Mar ’20-Nov ’21) Square StoneCo PagSeguro Adyen Bill.com Coupa Lightspeed Q2
  • 22. Marqeta ’22E Op Margin + Retention % Change in Market Cap (Mar ’22-Aug ’22) Square Toast StoneCo PagSeguro Adyen dlocal Bill.com Affirm Lightspeed Coupa Duck Creek Technologies nCino Q2 Flywire ’22E Rev Growth % Change in Market Cap (Mar ’22-Aug ’22) StoneCo Square dlocal Toast PagSeguro Adyen Bill.com Affirm Marqeta Lightspeed Coupa Duck Creek Technologies nCino Q2 Flywire
  • 23.
  • 27. $6,306 29.6x 157% 48% 37% 52% 294% $14,487 20.3x 131% 84% 2% 38% 255% $3,825 14.6x 155% 65% (4%) 26% 242% $13,705 4.5x 140% 44% 34% 18% 236% $19,529 6.9x 125% 79% 12% 20% 236% $13,675 7.1x 93% 79% 54% 9% 235% $4,770 3.1x 115% 57% 33% 21% 227% $4,018 7.5x 175% 44% (22%) 29% 225% $2,607 17.1x 123% 67% 2% 31% 223% $40,043 30.6x 155% 15% 9% 41% 219% $3,295 2.7x 99% 60% 38% 19% 216% $1,375 9.3x 120% 64% 21% 9% 214% $4,605 9.6x 110% 73% 7% 19% 209% $1,878 7.7x 119% 52% 4% 18% 193% $1,403 10.9x 117% 58% (11%) 26% 190% $810 6.2x 100% 51% 25% 11% 188% $1,590 7.3x 108% 59% 5% 12% 183% $8,580 15.0x 135% 19% (5%) 32% 181% $96,451 14.2x 92% 42% 24% 7% 166% $1,754 3.5x 90% 60% (13%) 28% 165% $2,724 6.2x 100% 45% (22%) 34% 157% $533 3.5x 145% 43% (60%) 1% 129% $153 0.6x 70% 56% (50%) 26% 102% $5,495 41.2x 100% 18% (52%) 30% 96% $1,529 29.4x 93% 23% (141%) 60% 35% $370 1.3x 87% 31% (217%) 96% (3%)
  • 28. ▪ Enterprise Payments and Payments Infrastructure ▪ Banking Software ▪ B2B Payments ▪ Asset Management & Brokerage ▪ SMB Payments 37.9x 9.3x 200%+ ▪ Consumer Finance ▪ InsurTech ▪ SMB Payments 27.4 7.3x <200%
  • 30.
  • 31. $317 $126 4% 26% 9.0x $250 $94 5% 28% 8.9x $158 $73 (7%) 21% 8.5x $82 $75 5% 19% 6.3x $62 $24 7% 26% 9.0x $1,795 $207 12% 34% 23.6x $170 $46 11% 29% 12.4x $148 $31 17% 15% 28.3x $110 $60 4% 14% 12.4x $97 $30 (6%) 19% 16.1x
  • 32. Financial Services Semis Healthcare eCommerce Software Market Cap Gross Profit
  • 34. Gross Profit High Book Value Low Funding Costs (Debt Investor) Gross Revenue Processing Costs 15bps Net Revenue Losses 10bps 15bps Gross Revenue Funding Costs (Fed Funds Rate) Processing Costs (At Cost) Net Revenue Losses
  • 35. Gross Profit Multiples High Book Value Multiples Low
  • 36. 2020 2017 2014 2023 $2.0B $1.0B 2023 2014 2017 2020 $0.0B $0.5B $1.5B $2.5B $3.0B
  • 38.
  • 39. Jul-17 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jul-18 Jan-19 Jul-19 Jan-22 Jan-20 Jul-20 Jan-21 Jul-21 Jul-22
  • 42.
  • 43. Mar-22 Nov-20 Mar-21 Jun-21 Dec-21 Jun-22 Sep-21 Aug-22 +3,179% 2018 2016 2019 2017 2020 2021 Internet Penetration Smartphone Penetration Brazil Colombia Argentina Chile Peru Mexico 2017 2021
  • 46.
  • 47.
  • 48.
  • 49.
  • 50.
  • 51. Apr-22 May-22 Jun-22 Jul-22 Aug-22 Sep-22
  • 53.
  • 54.
  • 55. ACI Interactive Brokers ADP Intuit Jack Henry AssetMark LPL C. Schwab MasterCard Cantaloupe MeridianLink MoneyGram Paychex Cielo Paycor Euronet PayPal Evertec PaySafe EVO FIS Fiserv FleetCor Visa Global Payments Green Dot Western Union WEX
  • 56. Coatue Analysis  The information herein is provided for illustrative purposes only, reflects the opinions of Coatue or its advisors, and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities.  Unless otherwise indicated, all figures and calculations are for informational purposes only, computed by Coatue or its advisors and not audited by any third party or approved by any governmental agency.  Although Coatue believes that the data expressed in this presentation is accurate and reasonable, actual results could differ materially from those projected or assumed, and such projections are subject to change, and are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties. Neither Coatue nor its affiliates or advisors guarantees the accuracy or completeness of the information. Accordingly, neither Coatue nor any of its affiliates, advisors or employees shall be liable to you or anyone else for any loss or damages from use of the information contained in this presentation.  Unless otherwise indicated, companies referenced herein are for illustrative purposes only, and such companies do not necessarily represent investments that any Coatue fund owns or may own in the future. Coatue funds may or may not hold positions in certain of the companies mentioned in this whitepaper. Forward-looking Statements  This presentation contains forecasts, projections and other forward-looking statements, including (but not limited to) the occurrence or outcome of anticipated events, estimates, price targets, valuation, exposure limits and performance returns  There is no guarantee that such forecasts, projections or forward-looking statements will be realized and therefore investors should not rely on such statements in making an investment decision This presentation is confidential and not intended for public use or further distribution without the prior written consent of Coatue Management, L.L.C.