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Highlights and Insights
      August 2009




                          © Christine Moorman
About the CMO Survey
         Mission
             - The CMO Survey collects and disseminates the opinions of top marketers in order to
               predict the future of markets, track marketing excellence, and improve the value of
               marketing in firms and society.

         Survey Operation
             - Founded in August 2008, The CMO Survey is administered twice a year via an Internet
               survey. Questions repeat over time so trends can be discerned.
             - This is the 3rd administration.

         Sponsoring Organizations


         Lead Researcher
                                                 Professor Christine Moorman
                                                 T. Austin Finch, Sr. Professor of Business Administration


© Christine Moorman                                                                                          2
Survey Methodology
         • Survey Sample
             - 3,363 Top Marketers at Fortune 1000, Forbes Top 200, CMO Club companies, and
               Top Marketers who are AMA Members or Duke University Alumni and Friends
             - 511 responded for a 15.2% response rate
             - 78.7% of respondents hold a rank of VP, CMO, or higher

         • Survey Administration
             - Email contact with three follow-up reminders
             - Survey in field from July 14 - 24, 2009

         • Results Interpretation
             - Some results are presented over time. When this occurs, August 2009 results are
               placed on top (or to the left) in the charts and the February 2009 results are on the
               bottom (or to the right).
             - M = sample mean; SD = sample standard deviation
             - B2B = Business-to-business firms; B2C = Business-to-consumer firms
© Christine Moorman                                                                                    3
Overview of Results

        Topic 1: Marketplace Dynamics                    5 - 11

        Topic 2: Firm Growth Strategies                  12 - 16

        Topic 3: Marketing Spending                      17 - 21

        Topic 4: Marketing Performance                   22- 24

        Topic 5: Marketing Excellence                    25 - 26

        Topic 6: Marketing Organization and Leadership   27 -29

        Topic 7: Marketing and Social Media              30 - 33

        What’s on Marketers’ Minds?                      34 - 35

© Christine Moorman                                                4
Topic 1:
Marketplace Dynamics




                       55
Marketer optimism reverses
  course and improves dramatically
  Marketplace         Growth        Spending        Performance        Excellence         Organization          Social Media


  How optimistic are you about the overall U.S. economy,    Are you more or less optimistic about the overall U.S.
  on a 0-100 scale with 0 being the least optimistic and    economy compared to last quarter?
  100 the most optimistic?                                             August 2009        February 2009


                                                                                                                             59
                                                           More Optimistic
                                                                                          17.3




                                                                                                 26
                                                               No Change
                                                                                                      32




                                                                                        15
                                                           Less Optimistic
                                                                                                                     50.7



                                                                             0   10      20      30        40   50          60    70

                                                                                      Percentage of Respondents (%)

© Christine Moorman                                                                                                               6
Marketer optimism in customers and
  partners rebounds
  Marketplace           Growth        Spending        Performance       Excellence           Organization           Social Media


   How optimistic are you about revenue growth on a 0-100     Table 1.1. Customer and Partner Optimism
  scale with 0 being the least optimistic and 100 the most                                   More            No           Less
  optimistic?                                                                              optimistic      change       optimistic

                  August 2009    February 2009                Focusing on end-
                                                              customers, prospects for       47.2%          23.2%         29.5%
     62
                                                              growth in largest revenue
                  60
                                                              market compared to 12          (25%)          (16%)         (59%)
     60
                                                              months ago
     58                               57.5

     56
                                                              Focusing on channel
                                                              partnerships, prospects        38.6%          38.6%         22.9%
     54                 53                                    for growth in largest
                                                              revenue market compared        (26%)          (33%)         (41%)
     52                                                       to 12 months ago
                                             50.29
     50                                                      * August 2009 figures on top and February 2009 figures on the bottom.
     48

     46

     44
                  Customers            Channel
                                       Partners
© Christine Moorman                                                                                                                  7
Despite emerging recovery, customer
  priorities remain focused on price
  Marketplace         Growth        Spending    Performance           Excellence            Organization         Social Media


                                                Table 1.2. Customer Priorities in the Next 12 Months
     • Price continues to dominate as the #1                           1st           2nd             3rd
                                                                                                                   Total
                                                                    priority       priority        priority
       priority
                                                                      34%            15%             13%            62%
     • This emphasis has increased over            Low Price
                                                                     (30%)          (14%)           (11%)          (55%)
       February 2009 level (from 30% to 34%)       Superior
                                                                      19%            24%            19%             62%
                                                   Product
     • Innovation loses ground and drops from       Quality
                                                                     (19%)          (20%)          (21%)           (60%)
       11% to 7%                                   Superior            7%             7%            11%             25%
                                                  Innovation         (11%)           (8%)           (8%)           (27%)

                                                   Excellent          15%            30%            25%             71%
                                                    Service          (16%)          (30%)          (24%)           (70%)

                                                    Trusting          20%            18%            22%             59%
                                                  relationship       (20%)          (19%)          (26%)           (65%)

                                                                      5%              7%            10%             22%
                                                     Brand
                                                                     (6%)            (9%)          (10%)           (25%)

                                                * August 2009 figures on top and February 2009 figures on the bottom.



© Christine Moorman                                                                                                        8
Customer purchases expected to
     accelerate
  Marketplace                                         Growth             Spending              Performance          Excellence            Organization         Social Media



                                           August 2009            Februrary 2009                   Table 1.3. Customer Behavior in the Next 12 Months
                                                                                                                                                             No
                                   60                                                                                                              More                Less
                                                                                                                                                           change

                                           48                                                                                                       48%      24%        28%
                                   50                                                              Customer purchase volume
   Percentage of Respondents (%)




                                                             44                                                                                    (30%)    (16%)      (54%)

                                   40
                                                                                                                                                    17%      45%        38%
                                                                                35                 Customer price per unit
                                                                    32                                                                             (14%)    (40%)      (46%)
                                                 30
                                   30                                                 27
                                                                                                   Customer will buy related products and           44%      45%        12%
                                                                                                   services from my firm                           (32%)    (47%)      (27%)
                                   20

                                                                                                                                                    39%      47%        14%
                                                                                                   My firm’s ability to retain current customers
                                   10                                                                                                              (37%)    (42%)      (21%)

                                                                                                                                                    35%      33%        32%
                                    0                                                              The entry of new customers into the market
                                                                                                                                                   (27%)    (27%)      (46%)
                                           Increased          Increased         Increased
                                            customer          customer         customers           * August 2009 figures on top and February 2009 figures on the bottom.
                                        purchase volume     purchase of      entering market
                                                          related products
                                                            and services


© Christine Moorman                                                                                                                                                            9
Channel partners also recover
  momentum
  Marketplace         Growth      Spending     Performance               Excellence            Organization     Social Media


                                               Table 1.4. Channel Partner Behavior in the Next 12 Months
   • Purchase volume and purchase of related
                                                                                                                No
     products and services expected to show                                                           More
                                                                                                              change
                                                                                                                       Less
     greatest improvement
                                                                                                      36%      42%      22%
                                                Partner purchase volume
                                                                                                     (25%)    (30%)    (45%)

                                                                                                      14%      57%      29%
                                                Partner price per unit
                                                                                                     (10%)    (48%)    (42%)

                                                Partner will buy related products and services        24%      65%      11%
                                                from my firm                                         (19%)    (56%)    (25%)

                                                My firm will deal directly with end customer, not     24%      65%      12%
                                                through channel partners                             (26%)    (64%)    (10%)

                                                                                                      20%      61%      19%
                                                Partner’s level of power in our relationship
                                                                                                     (18%)    (59%)    (22%)

                                               * August 2009 figures on top and February 2009 figures on the bottom.




© Christine Moorman                                                                                                       10
Competitive landscape shows minor
  shifts
  Marketplace         Growth   Spending   Performance           Excellence            Organization           Social Media


                                            Table 1.5. Competitor Behavior in the Next 12 Months
                                                                                                Expected Change

                                           More cooperation in non-price strategies                   3.8 (3.9)


                                           More intense rivalry for customers                         5.6 (5.5)


                                           Emergence of new domestic competitors                      3.0 (2.8)


                                           Emergence of new global competitors                        3.1 (3.0)


                                           More competitor innovation                                 4.5 (4.3)

                                           * 7-point scale, where 1 is “Not At All Likely” and 7 is “Very Likely”
                                           * August 2009 figures first and February 2009 second in parentheses.




© Christine Moorman                                                                                                   11
Topic 2:
Firm Growth Strategies




                         12
                          12
Growth spending to shift towards
     new products and services
  Marketplace         Growth         Spending         Performance         Excellence          Organization           Social Media


                                                          Table 2.1. Growth Spending in Next 12 Months
    • Emphasis on market penetration (current
                                                                                     Current                         New
      markets and current products/services) will                                Products/Services             Products/Services
      decrease from 48% to 46%
    • Investments will be diverted to developing new                             Market Penetration            Product/Service
                                                          Current Markets            Strategy                Development Strategy
      products and services for current markets                                     46% (48%)                     26% (24%)
      (from 24% to 26%)
    • Important sector differences (see next slide)
                                                                                Market Development               Diversification
                                                            New Markets              Strategy                       Strategy
                                                                                    18% (18%)                      10% (10%)


                                                          * % of spending across growth strategies
                                                          * August 2009 figures first and February 2009 second in parentheses.




© Christine Moorman                                                                                                                13
Risk in growth strategies varies by
     sector
  Marketplace            Growth            Spending          Performance          Excellence         Organization        Social Media

                                                                     Table 2.2. Sector Differences in Growth Spending
    • B2B – Service firms take the most risk:                                                  B2B - Product     44.1% (45.4%)

                                                                              Market           B2B - Services    44.8% (49.2%)
         - Biggest drop in market penetration strategies
                                                                            Penetration
           (from 49.2%% to 44.8%)                                            Strategy          B2C - Product     45.6% (46.8%)

         - More new markets for current products/services                                      B2C - Services    54.5% (55.2%)

           (from 17.2% to 20.6%)                                                               B2B - Product     18.0% (18.9%)
                                                                              Market                             20.6% (17.2%)
         - More new product/services for current markets                   Development
                                                                                               B2B - Services
           (from 21.1% to 23.1%)                                             Strategy          B2C - Product     14.2% (11.8%)

    • B2C – Service shift risk from new                                                        B2C - Services    13.5% (19.3%)

      products/services to new markets                                                         B2B - Product     27.1% (25.5%)
                                                                       Product/Service                           23.1% (21.1%)
         - Fewer new markets for current products/services                                     B2B - Services
                                                                        Development
           (from 19.3% to 13.5%)                                          Strategy             B2C - Product     31.1% (31.8%)

                                                                                               B2C - Services    24.2% (19.0%)
         - More new product/services for current markets
           (from 19.0% to 24.2%)                                                               B2B - Product    10.8% (10.1%)

                                                                           Diversification     B2B - Services    11.5% (12.5%)
                                                                              Strategy
                                                                                               B2C - Product        9.1% (9.6%)

                                                                                               B2C - Services       7.8% (6.5%)


© Christine Moorman                                                                                                               14
Growth via acquisition increases
  Marketplace         Growth        Spending        Performance         Excellence            Organization          Social Media


                                                         Table 2.3. How Firms will Grow in the Next 12 Months
    • Overall, little shift in how firms pursue growth                                            Percentage of spending
                                                                                                  across growth strategies
    • Small shift away from internal growth to
      acquisition                                          Growth from your firm internally            70.3% (70.9%)


                                                              Growth from acquisitions                   9.7% (8.8%)


                                                              Growth from partnerships                  13.4% (13.3%)


                                                                Growth from licensing                    6.6% (7.0%)

                                                         * August 2009 figures first and February 2009 second in parentheses.




© Christine Moorman                                                                                                             15
International growth opportunities shift
to Russia and Eastern Europe
  Marketplace               Growth                Spending            Performance   Excellence      Organization     Social Media


   Countries/regions predicted to experience                                   Countries/regions predicted to experience
   biggest gains:                                                              biggest losses:
         Russia: from 0.4% revenue growth to 2.0%                                   Canada: from 56.3% to 30%
         Eastern Europe: from 4.9% to 7.5%                                          Mexico: from 18.6% to 6.5%
                                                                                    Western Europe: from 44.9% to 33.4%




  * February 2009 figures are first and August 2009 figures second.
© Christine Moorman                                                                                                           16
Topic 3:
Marketing Spending




                     17
                      17
Marketers place bets on Internet
   marketing, new product introductions
  Marketplace          Growth         Spending          Performance         Excellence          Organization           Social Media

                                                             Table 3.1. Marketing Spending
   • Marketing spending continues to shift from                                                          Next 12 Months
                                                                         Marketing                    Year-to-Year Expected
     traditional advertising to the Internet                             Spending                       Percentage Change
   • Equally large increase in spending for new                       Overall marketing
                                                                                                            1.1% (0.5%)
     product introductions                                               Spending
                                                                   Traditional advertising
           • Consistent with growth strategy                                                               - 7.9% (- 7.3%)
                                                                          spending
           • However, new products may be met with                    Internet marketing
             customer resistance given focus on price                                                      9.5% (10.2%)
                                                                           spending
             and quality, not innovation                                New product
                                                                                                           9.3% (10.5%)
   • Brand building reflects the biggest spending                       introductions
     increase ... from 1.8% to 4.5%                                      New service
                                                                                                                6.7%
                                                                        introductions*
   • Large industry sector differences in spending
                                                                   Customer relationship
     (see next slide)                                                   management*
                                                                                                                6.4%

                                                                       Brand building                       4.5% (1.8%)

                                                              * Question not asked in February 2009
                                                              August 2009 figures first and February 2009 second in parentheses.

© Christine Moorman                                                                                                                18
Marketing spending priorities vary
   across sectors
  Marketplace               Growth              Spending                Performance      Excellence        Organization      Social Media


   Table 3.2. % Change in Marketing Spending by Sector                         Other Sector Differences:
   in Next 12 months
                                                        -0.7% (+0.7%)
                                                                               • Traditional advertising: B2B-Product (-12.1%) and B2B-
                             B2B - Product
                                                                                 Service (-2.3%) firms vs. -7.9% average across sectors
      Overall                B2B - Services             +3.7% (+3.0%)
                                                                               • Brand building: B2B-Service firms (+6.6%) vs. +4.5%
     marketing                                                                   average across sectors
     spending                B2C - Product              +4.5% (-6.6%)

                                                        -3.4% (+0.7%)
                                                                               • Customer relationship management: B2C-Product firms
                             B2C - Services                                      (+10.3%) vs. 6.4% average across sectors
   * August 2009 figures first and February 2009 second in parentheses.
                                                                               • New service introductions: B2B-Service (+9.3%) vs. B2C-
                                                                                 Service firms (+3.2%)
                                                                               • New product introductions: B2C-Product (+13.0%) vs.
                                                                                 B2B-Product firms (+10.8%)




© Christine Moorman                                                                                                                       19
Spending on marketing services rebounds
  in financial crises
  Marketplace          Growth          Spending        Performance         Excellence             Organization        Social Media



   • Firm increasing spending on marketing                 Table 3.3. Firm Spending on Marketing Knowledge
     intelligence and consulting:
                                                            Marketing research and intelligence                        3.2% (1.8%)
          • Firms to increase marketing research and
            intelligence from 1.8% to 3.2%                  Marketing consulting services                             1.3% (-4.5%)

          • Firms to increase spending on marketing         Developing knowledge about how to do marketing             3.0% (3.4%)
            consulting services from -4.5% to +1.3%
   • Emphasis on knowledge development and                  Integrating what we know about marketing                   4.1% (5.1%)
     integration remains
                                                            Marketing (non-sales) hires                               0.6% (0.9%)
          • Biggest push in this area is from B2C-
            Services firms (+8.6%)
                                                            Marketing training                                        -0.7% (1.2%)
   • Marketing hiring remains flat
                                                           * August 2009 figures first and February 2009 second in parentheses.
   • Training expected to decrease



© Christine Moorman                                                                                                                  20
Sectors seek unique sources of marketing
  knowledge
  Marketplace            Growth       Spending           Performance         Excellence         Organization   Social Media

                                                              Table 3.4. How Sectors Spend on Marketing Knowledge
   • Marketing hiring:                                                                    B2B - Product        -2.1%

          • B2B-Services up (+3.5%), B2B-Product               Marketing (non-sales)      B2B - Services       3.5%
                                                               hires
            down (-2.1%)                                                                  B2C - Product        1.6%
                                                                                          B2C - Services       0.5%
   • Marketing research and intelligence:
                                                                                          B2B - Product        3.0%
          • All sectors expected to be up (B2B-Service         Marketing research
                                                                                          B2B - Services       6.4%
            +6.4%), except B2C-Product (-3.1%)                 and intelligence           B2C - Product        -3.1%

   • Marketing consulting services:                                                       B2C - Services       4.3%
                                                                                          B2B - Product        1.1%
          • Biggest gains expected from B2B-Service                                       B2B - Services       3.0%
                                                               Marketing consulting
            firms (+3.0%); B2C-Product down (-2.5%)            services                   B2C - Product        -2.5%
   • Marketing training:                                                                  B2C - Services       1.5%
                                                                                          B2B - Product        -0.2%
          • B2C-Services (+6.0%)                                                          B2B - Services       -3.7%
                                                               Marketing training
                                                                                          B2C - Product        -2.8%
                                                                                          B2C - Services       6.0%

© Christine Moorman                                                                                                     21
Topic 4:
Marketing Performance




                        22
                         22
Performance gains modest and fall
     from prior 12 months; goals up
  Marketplace          Growth          Spending          Performance         Excellence          Organization          Social Media


                                                             Table 4.1. Firm Performance on Financial Metrics
    • Firms consistently underperformed on all key
                                                                                                    Actual firm
      marketing and financial metrics over the past 12                                            performance in
                                                                                                                       Goal in the
                                                                                                                        next 12
      months                                                                                        the prior 12
                                                                                                                        months
                                                                                                      months
    • Firm goals remain ambitious. Biggest increases:         Firm sales*                             - 0.1%              5.2%
         - Customer acquisition (from 4.4% to 5.6%)
                                                              Market share                          2.2% (3.0%)        4.5% (4.8%)
         - Firm profits (from 3.8% to 5.3%)
                                                              Marketing return on investment        1.9% (2.6%)        4.8% (4.9%)

                                                              Firm profits                          0.5% (1.6%)        5.3% (3.8%)

                                                              Customer acquisition                  2.6% (3.3%)        5.6% (4.4%)

                                                              Customer retention                    1.4% (2.3%)        4.1% (4.3%)

                                                              Brand value                           3.2% (3.7%)        5.4% (5.1%)

                                                              * Question not asked in February 2009
                                                              August 2009 figures first and February 2009 second in parentheses.



© Christine Moorman                                                                                                                  23
Marketers focus on “going green”
    remains moderate and unchanged
  Marketplace                         Growth           Spending             Performance    Excellence        Organization   Social Media

                                      5

                                     4.5

                                      4

                                     3.5
                      Mean Values*




                                                           3.2
                                                 3.1                                        3.1
                                                                     2.98                             3        3
                                      3

                                     2.5

                                      2

                                     1.5

                                      1

                                     0.5

                                      0
                                               Aug-09    Feb-09    Aug-08                 Aug-09   Feb-09   Aug-08

                                               Marketing that is beneficial             Marketing that minimizes the
                                                       for society                   impact on the ecological environment

* 5-point scale where 1 is poor and 5 is excellent
© Christine Moorman                                                                                                                  24
Topic 5:
Marketing Excellence




                       25
                        25
Peers nominate firms for marketing
  excellence across sectors, industries
  Marketplace         Growth     Spending   Performance   Excellence   Organization   Social Media

    Winners of The CMO Survey Award for                         Honorable
     Marketing Excellence, August 2009                          Mentions




© Christine Moorman                                                                            26
Topic 6:
Marketing Organization and
Leadership




                             27
                              27
Power shift toward sales and away
   from marketing in firm organization
  Marketplace          Growth         Spending         Performance             Excellence        Organization   Social Media




                                           August 2009        February 2009

                                                                                                                       74
    Sales and Marketing work on an equal basis                                                                    69




                                                                    13.1
              Marketing is within the sales function              11




                                                              8.3
              Sales is within the marketing function                12



                                                       0     10           20       30       40       50    60    70         80

                                                                         Percentage of Respondents (%)

© Christine Moorman                                                                                                         28
Marketing leaders retained through
   economic crisis
  Marketplace                Growth             Spending         Performance   Excellence     Organization   Social Media


                         9
                                                                                              8.3
                                                                                   8
                         8

                         7

                         6

                         5
                 Years




                                          4.3          4.4

                         4

                         3

                         2

                         1

                         0
                                        Aug-09       Feb-09                      Aug-09     Feb-09

                                       Top Marketer time in                    Top Marketer time in
                                      current role in the firm                  any role in the firm

© Christine Moorman                                                                                                   29
Topic 7:
Marketing and Social Media




                              30
                             30
                              30
Social media usage patterns
  Marketplace           Growth              Spending            Performance            Excellence          Organization        Social Media


                       Table 7.1. Percentage of Firms Using Social Media
                               65.4%                Social networking (e.g., Facebook, LinkedIn)
                               52.3%                Video and photosharing (e.g., YouTube, Flickr)
                               50.9%                Blogging
                               44.4%                Microblogging (e.g., Twitter)
                               24.8%                Podcasts
                               23.4%                Forums (e.g., Google groups)
                               17.3%                Product reviews (e.g., Amazon)
                               15.9%                Social bookmarking (e.g., Digg)
                                6.5%                Product design or co-creation (e.g., NikeID)
                                3.7%                Virtual reality (e.g., Second life)
                      * Typology from: Hoffman, Donna L. and Marek Fodor (2009), “The ROI of Social Media,” UCR Sloan Center
                      Working Paper, July.

© Christine Moorman                                                                                                                     31
Social media spending expected to
     grow by 300% in next 5 years
  Marketplace         Growth      Spending         Performance      Excellence       Organization     Social Media



    • Current marketing budget spending on                 Table 7.2. Sector Differences in % Change in
                                                           Social Media Spending Over Time
      social media: 3.5%
                                                                             B2B - Product          2.5%
                                                                            B2B - Services          3.9%
                                                               Current
    • Marketing budget spending on social                    Social Media    B2C - Product          5.3%
      media in the next 12 months 6.1%                        Spending      B2C - Services          2.9%
                                                                                 Overall            3.5%
    • Current marketing budget spending on                                   B2B - Product          4.5%
                                                             Social Media
      social media in the next five years: 13.7%             Spending in
                                                                            B2B - Services          6.5%
                                                             the next 12     B2C - Product          7.5%
                                                               months       B2C - Services          8.8%
    • Biggest growth expected to come from
                                                                                 Overall            6.1%
      B2C-Service Sector: 2.9% (current) 8.8%
                                                                             B2B - Product          12.6%
      (next year) 15.4% (5 years)                            Social Media
                                                                            B2B - Services          13.5%
                                                             Spending in
                                                              the next 5     B2C - Product          15.0%
                                                                years       B2C - Services          15.4%
                                                                                 Overall            13.7%


© Christine Moorman                                                                                            32
How firms use social media
  Marketplace           Growth        Spending       Performance      Excellence      Organization   Social Media


              Table 7.3. Percentage of Firms Using Social Media for Marketing Activities
                      81.1%       Brand awareness and brand-building
                      55.8%       Acquiring new customers
                      51.9%       Introducing new products and services
                      47.6%       Retaining current customers
                      46.1%       Marketing research
                      42.2%       Brand promotions, such as contests, coupons
                      32.0%       Identifying new customer groups we currently don’t target
                      29.1%       Improving current products or services
                      29.1%       Identifying new product and service opportunities

© Christine Moorman                                                                                           33
What’s on Marketers’ Minds?




                              34
                               34
When asked what question they would
     like to ask other CMOs, ROI concerns
     dominated
      Key Question: Marketing and ROI
      • What marketing activities and strategies improve                      Look to the
        ROI?                                                            February 2010 survey
                                                                        for a bonus section on
      • What metrics are used for ROI? How do these
                                                                            Marketing ROI
        vary by industry?
      • What metrics are used to measure ROI for social
        media?
      • How do you measure ROI on customer insights?
      • What ROI metrics are top management most           Other Topics Raised:
        focused on in your firm?
                                                           • The effect of changing public policy on marketing
                                                           • Managing partnerships and collaborations
                                                           • Marketing in B2B firms: What can and cannot be
                                                             learned from B2C firms.
                                                           • Managing marketing talent


© Christine Moorman                                                                                         35
Next Steps
         Future Surveys
             - The CMO Survey will be administered again in February 2010.
             - It will be rolled out to Europe (Y3) and Asia (Y4)

         To Get Involved
             - If you are not a current participant, sign up at
               http://faculty.fuqua.duke.edu/cmosurvey/participate/

         Media
             - Media follow ups related to this data will be posted to
               http://faculty.fuqua.duke.edu/cmosurvey/media/

         Feedback
             - Send your thoughts to me at moorman@duke.edu




© Christine Moorman                                                          36

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Cmo Survey Highlights And Insights, August 2009

  • 1. Highlights and Insights August 2009 © Christine Moorman
  • 2. About the CMO Survey Mission - The CMO Survey collects and disseminates the opinions of top marketers in order to predict the future of markets, track marketing excellence, and improve the value of marketing in firms and society. Survey Operation - Founded in August 2008, The CMO Survey is administered twice a year via an Internet survey. Questions repeat over time so trends can be discerned. - This is the 3rd administration. Sponsoring Organizations Lead Researcher Professor Christine Moorman T. Austin Finch, Sr. Professor of Business Administration © Christine Moorman 2
  • 3. Survey Methodology • Survey Sample - 3,363 Top Marketers at Fortune 1000, Forbes Top 200, CMO Club companies, and Top Marketers who are AMA Members or Duke University Alumni and Friends - 511 responded for a 15.2% response rate - 78.7% of respondents hold a rank of VP, CMO, or higher • Survey Administration - Email contact with three follow-up reminders - Survey in field from July 14 - 24, 2009 • Results Interpretation - Some results are presented over time. When this occurs, August 2009 results are placed on top (or to the left) in the charts and the February 2009 results are on the bottom (or to the right). - M = sample mean; SD = sample standard deviation - B2B = Business-to-business firms; B2C = Business-to-consumer firms © Christine Moorman 3
  • 4. Overview of Results Topic 1: Marketplace Dynamics 5 - 11 Topic 2: Firm Growth Strategies 12 - 16 Topic 3: Marketing Spending 17 - 21 Topic 4: Marketing Performance 22- 24 Topic 5: Marketing Excellence 25 - 26 Topic 6: Marketing Organization and Leadership 27 -29 Topic 7: Marketing and Social Media 30 - 33 What’s on Marketers’ Minds? 34 - 35 © Christine Moorman 4
  • 6. Marketer optimism reverses course and improves dramatically Marketplace Growth Spending Performance Excellence Organization Social Media How optimistic are you about the overall U.S. economy, Are you more or less optimistic about the overall U.S. on a 0-100 scale with 0 being the least optimistic and economy compared to last quarter? 100 the most optimistic? August 2009 February 2009 59 More Optimistic 17.3 26 No Change 32 15 Less Optimistic 50.7 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Percentage of Respondents (%) © Christine Moorman 6
  • 7. Marketer optimism in customers and partners rebounds Marketplace Growth Spending Performance Excellence Organization Social Media How optimistic are you about revenue growth on a 0-100 Table 1.1. Customer and Partner Optimism scale with 0 being the least optimistic and 100 the most More No Less optimistic? optimistic change optimistic August 2009 February 2009 Focusing on end- customers, prospects for 47.2% 23.2% 29.5% 62 growth in largest revenue 60 market compared to 12 (25%) (16%) (59%) 60 months ago 58 57.5 56 Focusing on channel partnerships, prospects 38.6% 38.6% 22.9% 54 53 for growth in largest revenue market compared (26%) (33%) (41%) 52 to 12 months ago 50.29 50 * August 2009 figures on top and February 2009 figures on the bottom. 48 46 44 Customers Channel Partners © Christine Moorman 7
  • 8. Despite emerging recovery, customer priorities remain focused on price Marketplace Growth Spending Performance Excellence Organization Social Media Table 1.2. Customer Priorities in the Next 12 Months • Price continues to dominate as the #1 1st 2nd 3rd Total priority priority priority priority 34% 15% 13% 62% • This emphasis has increased over Low Price (30%) (14%) (11%) (55%) February 2009 level (from 30% to 34%) Superior 19% 24% 19% 62% Product • Innovation loses ground and drops from Quality (19%) (20%) (21%) (60%) 11% to 7% Superior 7% 7% 11% 25% Innovation (11%) (8%) (8%) (27%) Excellent 15% 30% 25% 71% Service (16%) (30%) (24%) (70%) Trusting 20% 18% 22% 59% relationship (20%) (19%) (26%) (65%) 5% 7% 10% 22% Brand (6%) (9%) (10%) (25%) * August 2009 figures on top and February 2009 figures on the bottom. © Christine Moorman 8
  • 9. Customer purchases expected to accelerate Marketplace Growth Spending Performance Excellence Organization Social Media August 2009 Februrary 2009 Table 1.3. Customer Behavior in the Next 12 Months No 60 More Less change 48 48% 24% 28% 50 Customer purchase volume Percentage of Respondents (%) 44 (30%) (16%) (54%) 40 17% 45% 38% 35 Customer price per unit 32 (14%) (40%) (46%) 30 30 27 Customer will buy related products and 44% 45% 12% services from my firm (32%) (47%) (27%) 20 39% 47% 14% My firm’s ability to retain current customers 10 (37%) (42%) (21%) 35% 33% 32% 0 The entry of new customers into the market (27%) (27%) (46%) Increased Increased Increased customer customer customers * August 2009 figures on top and February 2009 figures on the bottom. purchase volume purchase of entering market related products and services © Christine Moorman 9
  • 10. Channel partners also recover momentum Marketplace Growth Spending Performance Excellence Organization Social Media Table 1.4. Channel Partner Behavior in the Next 12 Months • Purchase volume and purchase of related No products and services expected to show More change Less greatest improvement 36% 42% 22% Partner purchase volume (25%) (30%) (45%) 14% 57% 29% Partner price per unit (10%) (48%) (42%) Partner will buy related products and services 24% 65% 11% from my firm (19%) (56%) (25%) My firm will deal directly with end customer, not 24% 65% 12% through channel partners (26%) (64%) (10%) 20% 61% 19% Partner’s level of power in our relationship (18%) (59%) (22%) * August 2009 figures on top and February 2009 figures on the bottom. © Christine Moorman 10
  • 11. Competitive landscape shows minor shifts Marketplace Growth Spending Performance Excellence Organization Social Media Table 1.5. Competitor Behavior in the Next 12 Months Expected Change More cooperation in non-price strategies 3.8 (3.9) More intense rivalry for customers 5.6 (5.5) Emergence of new domestic competitors 3.0 (2.8) Emergence of new global competitors 3.1 (3.0) More competitor innovation 4.5 (4.3) * 7-point scale, where 1 is “Not At All Likely” and 7 is “Very Likely” * August 2009 figures first and February 2009 second in parentheses. © Christine Moorman 11
  • 12. Topic 2: Firm Growth Strategies 12 12
  • 13. Growth spending to shift towards new products and services Marketplace Growth Spending Performance Excellence Organization Social Media Table 2.1. Growth Spending in Next 12 Months • Emphasis on market penetration (current Current New markets and current products/services) will Products/Services Products/Services decrease from 48% to 46% • Investments will be diverted to developing new Market Penetration Product/Service Current Markets Strategy Development Strategy products and services for current markets 46% (48%) 26% (24%) (from 24% to 26%) • Important sector differences (see next slide) Market Development Diversification New Markets Strategy Strategy 18% (18%) 10% (10%) * % of spending across growth strategies * August 2009 figures first and February 2009 second in parentheses. © Christine Moorman 13
  • 14. Risk in growth strategies varies by sector Marketplace Growth Spending Performance Excellence Organization Social Media Table 2.2. Sector Differences in Growth Spending • B2B – Service firms take the most risk: B2B - Product 44.1% (45.4%) Market B2B - Services 44.8% (49.2%) - Biggest drop in market penetration strategies Penetration (from 49.2%% to 44.8%) Strategy B2C - Product 45.6% (46.8%) - More new markets for current products/services B2C - Services 54.5% (55.2%) (from 17.2% to 20.6%) B2B - Product 18.0% (18.9%) Market 20.6% (17.2%) - More new product/services for current markets Development B2B - Services (from 21.1% to 23.1%) Strategy B2C - Product 14.2% (11.8%) • B2C – Service shift risk from new B2C - Services 13.5% (19.3%) products/services to new markets B2B - Product 27.1% (25.5%) Product/Service 23.1% (21.1%) - Fewer new markets for current products/services B2B - Services Development (from 19.3% to 13.5%) Strategy B2C - Product 31.1% (31.8%) B2C - Services 24.2% (19.0%) - More new product/services for current markets (from 19.0% to 24.2%) B2B - Product 10.8% (10.1%) Diversification B2B - Services 11.5% (12.5%) Strategy B2C - Product 9.1% (9.6%) B2C - Services 7.8% (6.5%) © Christine Moorman 14
  • 15. Growth via acquisition increases Marketplace Growth Spending Performance Excellence Organization Social Media Table 2.3. How Firms will Grow in the Next 12 Months • Overall, little shift in how firms pursue growth Percentage of spending across growth strategies • Small shift away from internal growth to acquisition Growth from your firm internally 70.3% (70.9%) Growth from acquisitions 9.7% (8.8%) Growth from partnerships 13.4% (13.3%) Growth from licensing 6.6% (7.0%) * August 2009 figures first and February 2009 second in parentheses. © Christine Moorman 15
  • 16. International growth opportunities shift to Russia and Eastern Europe Marketplace Growth Spending Performance Excellence Organization Social Media Countries/regions predicted to experience Countries/regions predicted to experience biggest gains: biggest losses: Russia: from 0.4% revenue growth to 2.0% Canada: from 56.3% to 30% Eastern Europe: from 4.9% to 7.5% Mexico: from 18.6% to 6.5% Western Europe: from 44.9% to 33.4% * February 2009 figures are first and August 2009 figures second. © Christine Moorman 16
  • 18. Marketers place bets on Internet marketing, new product introductions Marketplace Growth Spending Performance Excellence Organization Social Media Table 3.1. Marketing Spending • Marketing spending continues to shift from Next 12 Months Marketing Year-to-Year Expected traditional advertising to the Internet Spending Percentage Change • Equally large increase in spending for new Overall marketing 1.1% (0.5%) product introductions Spending Traditional advertising • Consistent with growth strategy - 7.9% (- 7.3%) spending • However, new products may be met with Internet marketing customer resistance given focus on price 9.5% (10.2%) spending and quality, not innovation New product 9.3% (10.5%) • Brand building reflects the biggest spending introductions increase ... from 1.8% to 4.5% New service 6.7% introductions* • Large industry sector differences in spending Customer relationship (see next slide) management* 6.4% Brand building 4.5% (1.8%) * Question not asked in February 2009 August 2009 figures first and February 2009 second in parentheses. © Christine Moorman 18
  • 19. Marketing spending priorities vary across sectors Marketplace Growth Spending Performance Excellence Organization Social Media Table 3.2. % Change in Marketing Spending by Sector Other Sector Differences: in Next 12 months -0.7% (+0.7%) • Traditional advertising: B2B-Product (-12.1%) and B2B- B2B - Product Service (-2.3%) firms vs. -7.9% average across sectors Overall B2B - Services +3.7% (+3.0%) • Brand building: B2B-Service firms (+6.6%) vs. +4.5% marketing average across sectors spending B2C - Product +4.5% (-6.6%) -3.4% (+0.7%) • Customer relationship management: B2C-Product firms B2C - Services (+10.3%) vs. 6.4% average across sectors * August 2009 figures first and February 2009 second in parentheses. • New service introductions: B2B-Service (+9.3%) vs. B2C- Service firms (+3.2%) • New product introductions: B2C-Product (+13.0%) vs. B2B-Product firms (+10.8%) © Christine Moorman 19
  • 20. Spending on marketing services rebounds in financial crises Marketplace Growth Spending Performance Excellence Organization Social Media • Firm increasing spending on marketing Table 3.3. Firm Spending on Marketing Knowledge intelligence and consulting: Marketing research and intelligence 3.2% (1.8%) • Firms to increase marketing research and intelligence from 1.8% to 3.2% Marketing consulting services 1.3% (-4.5%) • Firms to increase spending on marketing Developing knowledge about how to do marketing 3.0% (3.4%) consulting services from -4.5% to +1.3% • Emphasis on knowledge development and Integrating what we know about marketing 4.1% (5.1%) integration remains Marketing (non-sales) hires 0.6% (0.9%) • Biggest push in this area is from B2C- Services firms (+8.6%) Marketing training -0.7% (1.2%) • Marketing hiring remains flat * August 2009 figures first and February 2009 second in parentheses. • Training expected to decrease © Christine Moorman 20
  • 21. Sectors seek unique sources of marketing knowledge Marketplace Growth Spending Performance Excellence Organization Social Media Table 3.4. How Sectors Spend on Marketing Knowledge • Marketing hiring: B2B - Product -2.1% • B2B-Services up (+3.5%), B2B-Product Marketing (non-sales) B2B - Services 3.5% hires down (-2.1%) B2C - Product 1.6% B2C - Services 0.5% • Marketing research and intelligence: B2B - Product 3.0% • All sectors expected to be up (B2B-Service Marketing research B2B - Services 6.4% +6.4%), except B2C-Product (-3.1%) and intelligence B2C - Product -3.1% • Marketing consulting services: B2C - Services 4.3% B2B - Product 1.1% • Biggest gains expected from B2B-Service B2B - Services 3.0% Marketing consulting firms (+3.0%); B2C-Product down (-2.5%) services B2C - Product -2.5% • Marketing training: B2C - Services 1.5% B2B - Product -0.2% • B2C-Services (+6.0%) B2B - Services -3.7% Marketing training B2C - Product -2.8% B2C - Services 6.0% © Christine Moorman 21
  • 23. Performance gains modest and fall from prior 12 months; goals up Marketplace Growth Spending Performance Excellence Organization Social Media Table 4.1. Firm Performance on Financial Metrics • Firms consistently underperformed on all key Actual firm marketing and financial metrics over the past 12 performance in Goal in the next 12 months the prior 12 months months • Firm goals remain ambitious. Biggest increases: Firm sales* - 0.1% 5.2% - Customer acquisition (from 4.4% to 5.6%) Market share 2.2% (3.0%) 4.5% (4.8%) - Firm profits (from 3.8% to 5.3%) Marketing return on investment 1.9% (2.6%) 4.8% (4.9%) Firm profits 0.5% (1.6%) 5.3% (3.8%) Customer acquisition 2.6% (3.3%) 5.6% (4.4%) Customer retention 1.4% (2.3%) 4.1% (4.3%) Brand value 3.2% (3.7%) 5.4% (5.1%) * Question not asked in February 2009 August 2009 figures first and February 2009 second in parentheses. © Christine Moorman 23
  • 24. Marketers focus on “going green” remains moderate and unchanged Marketplace Growth Spending Performance Excellence Organization Social Media 5 4.5 4 3.5 Mean Values* 3.2 3.1 3.1 2.98 3 3 3 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 Aug-09 Feb-09 Aug-08 Aug-09 Feb-09 Aug-08 Marketing that is beneficial Marketing that minimizes the for society impact on the ecological environment * 5-point scale where 1 is poor and 5 is excellent © Christine Moorman 24
  • 26. Peers nominate firms for marketing excellence across sectors, industries Marketplace Growth Spending Performance Excellence Organization Social Media Winners of The CMO Survey Award for Honorable Marketing Excellence, August 2009 Mentions © Christine Moorman 26
  • 27. Topic 6: Marketing Organization and Leadership 27 27
  • 28. Power shift toward sales and away from marketing in firm organization Marketplace Growth Spending Performance Excellence Organization Social Media August 2009 February 2009 74 Sales and Marketing work on an equal basis 69 13.1 Marketing is within the sales function 11 8.3 Sales is within the marketing function 12 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Percentage of Respondents (%) © Christine Moorman 28
  • 29. Marketing leaders retained through economic crisis Marketplace Growth Spending Performance Excellence Organization Social Media 9 8.3 8 8 7 6 5 Years 4.3 4.4 4 3 2 1 0 Aug-09 Feb-09 Aug-09 Feb-09 Top Marketer time in Top Marketer time in current role in the firm any role in the firm © Christine Moorman 29
  • 30. Topic 7: Marketing and Social Media 30 30 30
  • 31. Social media usage patterns Marketplace Growth Spending Performance Excellence Organization Social Media Table 7.1. Percentage of Firms Using Social Media 65.4% Social networking (e.g., Facebook, LinkedIn) 52.3% Video and photosharing (e.g., YouTube, Flickr) 50.9% Blogging 44.4% Microblogging (e.g., Twitter) 24.8% Podcasts 23.4% Forums (e.g., Google groups) 17.3% Product reviews (e.g., Amazon) 15.9% Social bookmarking (e.g., Digg) 6.5% Product design or co-creation (e.g., NikeID) 3.7% Virtual reality (e.g., Second life) * Typology from: Hoffman, Donna L. and Marek Fodor (2009), “The ROI of Social Media,” UCR Sloan Center Working Paper, July. © Christine Moorman 31
  • 32. Social media spending expected to grow by 300% in next 5 years Marketplace Growth Spending Performance Excellence Organization Social Media • Current marketing budget spending on Table 7.2. Sector Differences in % Change in Social Media Spending Over Time social media: 3.5% B2B - Product 2.5% B2B - Services 3.9% Current • Marketing budget spending on social Social Media B2C - Product 5.3% media in the next 12 months 6.1% Spending B2C - Services 2.9% Overall 3.5% • Current marketing budget spending on B2B - Product 4.5% Social Media social media in the next five years: 13.7% Spending in B2B - Services 6.5% the next 12 B2C - Product 7.5% months B2C - Services 8.8% • Biggest growth expected to come from Overall 6.1% B2C-Service Sector: 2.9% (current) 8.8% B2B - Product 12.6% (next year) 15.4% (5 years) Social Media B2B - Services 13.5% Spending in the next 5 B2C - Product 15.0% years B2C - Services 15.4% Overall 13.7% © Christine Moorman 32
  • 33. How firms use social media Marketplace Growth Spending Performance Excellence Organization Social Media Table 7.3. Percentage of Firms Using Social Media for Marketing Activities 81.1% Brand awareness and brand-building 55.8% Acquiring new customers 51.9% Introducing new products and services 47.6% Retaining current customers 46.1% Marketing research 42.2% Brand promotions, such as contests, coupons 32.0% Identifying new customer groups we currently don’t target 29.1% Improving current products or services 29.1% Identifying new product and service opportunities © Christine Moorman 33
  • 34. What’s on Marketers’ Minds? 34 34
  • 35. When asked what question they would like to ask other CMOs, ROI concerns dominated Key Question: Marketing and ROI • What marketing activities and strategies improve Look to the ROI? February 2010 survey for a bonus section on • What metrics are used for ROI? How do these Marketing ROI vary by industry? • What metrics are used to measure ROI for social media? • How do you measure ROI on customer insights? • What ROI metrics are top management most Other Topics Raised: focused on in your firm? • The effect of changing public policy on marketing • Managing partnerships and collaborations • Marketing in B2B firms: What can and cannot be learned from B2C firms. • Managing marketing talent © Christine Moorman 35
  • 36. Next Steps Future Surveys - The CMO Survey will be administered again in February 2010. - It will be rolled out to Europe (Y3) and Asia (Y4) To Get Involved - If you are not a current participant, sign up at http://faculty.fuqua.duke.edu/cmosurvey/participate/ Media - Media follow ups related to this data will be posted to http://faculty.fuqua.duke.edu/cmosurvey/media/ Feedback - Send your thoughts to me at moorman@duke.edu © Christine Moorman 36