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1
Climate Adapted Plant Materials Project
Preparing for an Uncertain Future
2
Tualatin River Watershed
• In NW Oregon,
east of Coast Range,
west of Portland
• Mediterranean climate with
winter rains and summer
drought
• 39% Forestry
35% Ag
26% Urban
• Urban + Ag ~20x20 mile area
3
Resilient native plant communities are key
to achieving basin priorities
• Water Quality – Shade, streambank erosion, filtration
• Soil Health – Carbon sequestration
• Wildlife Habitat – Oak, Wetland, Pollinator
• Forest Health – Resilient low elevation forest
Annually Planting
>500,000 Bareroot trees and shrubs
@ $0.70 each = $350,000 a year
In addition, native grass and forb seed, and
herbaceous bareroot and containers
Source: SOLVE. solveoregon.org
4
Resilient native plant communities are key to Clean
Water Services water quality trading program
5
Ecosystem Services Model –
Multiple benefits from 1 priority
• Plantings generate
shade credit to meet
regulatory
requirements
• Maintain function to
maintain credit
• Trees and shrubs are
Green Infrastructure
Tualatin Basin Story
6
Riparian Revegetation Methods
• Historical reference communities
• 1-2 year site prep
• Bareroot trees and shrubs
• No irrigation, tubes, mulch
• Monitor for results not survival
Guillozet, Peter, Kendra Smith, and Kathleen Guillozet.
"The rapid riparian revegetation approach." Ecological
Restoration 32.2 (2014): 113-124.
7
Expanding
Seed Zones
• 3 year grow out contracts
• Reliable access to plant materials
• Until 2017, seed zone was Tualatin basin
• 2017 Widened to entire Willamette Valley
– 120 miles south
• 2024 - Evaluating climate analog regions
up to 450 miles south
8
Climate Change Locally
Impacts for Riparian Restoration
• Decline in iconic PNW species like
Douglas-fir and Western redcedar
• Increased drought mortality of planted
seedlings
• Land managers altering species selections
without guidance
Western redcedar dieback Photo by Joey Hulbert
Climate Change – Felt and Forecast
• Annual temps increasing, extreme heat
events more frequent
• Annual precip roughly the same, but
decrease during summer
9
Photo by Evan Dennis
Native Plants are Key, Climate Change is Here and Complex,
What could a path forward look like…
Focus on Trees and Shrubs
• Primary need for shade
• Time to reproduction = Lag time to
answers
• Hopefully evaluating maladaptation
during seedling stage by 2027
Seedlot Selection Tool
• Shelf ready and logical output
• Bridging science and
application
10
Native Plants are Key, Climate Change is Here and Complex,
What could a path forward look like…
Phase Name Year Status
1 Scope Development 2020 Complete
2 Analog Surveys 2021 Complete
3 Synthesize Analog Survey Data 2022 Complete
4
Experimental Design and
Developing Guidance 2022-2024 In Progress
5 Seed Collection 2023 - 2025 In Progress
6 Plant Material Grow Out 2023 - 2026 In Progress
7 Establish Common Garden 2024 - 2027 Not started
8 Monitor and Refine Guidance 2025 - ? Not started
11
Phase 1 – Scope
Development (SST)
Completed in 2020
Key Variables
• Mean Coldest Month
Temperature (MCMT)
• Summer Heat-Moisture Index
(SHM)
Tom Kaye, 2020. Report to TSWCD.
2041-2070 2071-2100
Recommendations From
https://rb.gy/qdthat
12
Phase 1 – Scope Development (SST)
Shasta
Umpqua
Humboldt
Splitting the output of the SST in to 3 climate analog regions of distinct character
Maps by Ben Protzman, CWS
13
Phase 2 – Climate Analog Surveys
Completed in 2021
Limitations
• Public access, landscape position
• Scale 33 sites, 100 plots
• Fine grained soils elusive
• Northern California Fog Belt
Excluded
• Serpentine Soils
• Gravels and cobbles
• Human Disturbance
Surveyor on Klamath River – Stillwater Sciences
14
Phase 3 – Synthesize Analog Survey Data
Completed in 2022
Criteria used for ranking which
species to study
• Future Climate Analog Region
• Cover
• Frequency
• Tualatin Basin Reference Data
• Cover
• Frequency
• Qualitative
• Risk
• Value to Tualatin partners
• Ease of establishment
Yellow highlight
denotes species
with a range that
does not currently
extend into the
Tualatin Basin
Species
Propagule
Type
Acer circinatum Seed
Acer macrophyllum Seed
Alnus rhombifolia Seed
Alnus rubra Seed
Calocedrus decurrens Seed
Cornus sericea Cutting
Cornus sessilis Cutting
Fraxinus latifolia Seed
Mahonia aquifolium Seed
Oemleria cerasiformis Cutting
Physocarpus capitatus Cutting
Pinus ponderosa Seed
Pseudotsuga menziesii Seed
Quercus garryana Seed
Quercus kelloggii Seed
Rhamnus purshiana Seed
Rosa pisocarpa Seed
Rubus parviflorus Seed
Rubus spectabilis Seed
Salix hookeriana Cutting
Salix lasiandra Cutting
Spiraea douglasii Cutting
Symphoricarpos albus Cutting
Umbellularia californica Seed
15
Phase 4 – Common Garden Design and Interim Guidance
In Progress
16
Phase 4 – Common Garden Design and Interim Guidance
In Progress
17
49 Species-Community Units (SCU)
SPECIES (24) COMMUNITIES (1 to 3)
Riparian
Upland
Wetland
Alnus
rhombifolia
SPECIES
COMMUNITY UNIT
Alnus rhombifolia - Riparian
Alnus rhombifolia - Upland
Alnus rhombifolia - Wetland
18
Phase 5 – Seed Collection
Started February 2023, Finished by January of 2025
Survey 123
created to
track 4 phases
from scouting
through
shipping, in
addition to site
characteristics
Expecting over 3,000 accessions
19
Phase 6 – Plant Material Grow Out
In progress for 2024, finished in 2025
Sort Pot
Sanitize Rinse Root
hormone
20
Phase 8 – Monitor and
Refine Guidance
Phase 7 – Establish
Common Garden
Planned for 2025 and 2026
Planned to begin in 2026
21
Phase 8 – Monitor and Refine Guidance
Assisted Migration is one of several strategies for sourcing
seed for restoring resilient native plant communities
5% Local and Harsh Sites
5% Climate Adapted
• Assisted Population Migration
• Assisted Range Expansion
90% Local and Commercial
Native Seed Sourcing Strategies
22
Thank You
Mike Conroy, Habitat Conservation Specialist
mike.conroy@tualatinswcd.org
Moving Fast With Humility
For more information and project updates visit:
www.tualatinswcd.org/projects/
climate-adapted-plants-study

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Climate Adapted Native Plant Materials Project: Practical Innovation for an Uncertain Future

  • 1. 1 Climate Adapted Plant Materials Project Preparing for an Uncertain Future
  • 2. 2 Tualatin River Watershed • In NW Oregon, east of Coast Range, west of Portland • Mediterranean climate with winter rains and summer drought • 39% Forestry 35% Ag 26% Urban • Urban + Ag ~20x20 mile area
  • 3. 3 Resilient native plant communities are key to achieving basin priorities • Water Quality – Shade, streambank erosion, filtration • Soil Health – Carbon sequestration • Wildlife Habitat – Oak, Wetland, Pollinator • Forest Health – Resilient low elevation forest Annually Planting >500,000 Bareroot trees and shrubs @ $0.70 each = $350,000 a year In addition, native grass and forb seed, and herbaceous bareroot and containers Source: SOLVE. solveoregon.org
  • 4. 4 Resilient native plant communities are key to Clean Water Services water quality trading program
  • 5. 5 Ecosystem Services Model – Multiple benefits from 1 priority • Plantings generate shade credit to meet regulatory requirements • Maintain function to maintain credit • Trees and shrubs are Green Infrastructure Tualatin Basin Story
  • 6. 6 Riparian Revegetation Methods • Historical reference communities • 1-2 year site prep • Bareroot trees and shrubs • No irrigation, tubes, mulch • Monitor for results not survival Guillozet, Peter, Kendra Smith, and Kathleen Guillozet. "The rapid riparian revegetation approach." Ecological Restoration 32.2 (2014): 113-124.
  • 7. 7 Expanding Seed Zones • 3 year grow out contracts • Reliable access to plant materials • Until 2017, seed zone was Tualatin basin • 2017 Widened to entire Willamette Valley – 120 miles south • 2024 - Evaluating climate analog regions up to 450 miles south
  • 8. 8 Climate Change Locally Impacts for Riparian Restoration • Decline in iconic PNW species like Douglas-fir and Western redcedar • Increased drought mortality of planted seedlings • Land managers altering species selections without guidance Western redcedar dieback Photo by Joey Hulbert Climate Change – Felt and Forecast • Annual temps increasing, extreme heat events more frequent • Annual precip roughly the same, but decrease during summer
  • 9. 9 Photo by Evan Dennis Native Plants are Key, Climate Change is Here and Complex, What could a path forward look like… Focus on Trees and Shrubs • Primary need for shade • Time to reproduction = Lag time to answers • Hopefully evaluating maladaptation during seedling stage by 2027 Seedlot Selection Tool • Shelf ready and logical output • Bridging science and application
  • 10. 10 Native Plants are Key, Climate Change is Here and Complex, What could a path forward look like… Phase Name Year Status 1 Scope Development 2020 Complete 2 Analog Surveys 2021 Complete 3 Synthesize Analog Survey Data 2022 Complete 4 Experimental Design and Developing Guidance 2022-2024 In Progress 5 Seed Collection 2023 - 2025 In Progress 6 Plant Material Grow Out 2023 - 2026 In Progress 7 Establish Common Garden 2024 - 2027 Not started 8 Monitor and Refine Guidance 2025 - ? Not started
  • 11. 11 Phase 1 – Scope Development (SST) Completed in 2020 Key Variables • Mean Coldest Month Temperature (MCMT) • Summer Heat-Moisture Index (SHM) Tom Kaye, 2020. Report to TSWCD. 2041-2070 2071-2100 Recommendations From https://rb.gy/qdthat
  • 12. 12 Phase 1 – Scope Development (SST) Shasta Umpqua Humboldt Splitting the output of the SST in to 3 climate analog regions of distinct character Maps by Ben Protzman, CWS
  • 13. 13 Phase 2 – Climate Analog Surveys Completed in 2021 Limitations • Public access, landscape position • Scale 33 sites, 100 plots • Fine grained soils elusive • Northern California Fog Belt Excluded • Serpentine Soils • Gravels and cobbles • Human Disturbance Surveyor on Klamath River – Stillwater Sciences
  • 14. 14 Phase 3 – Synthesize Analog Survey Data Completed in 2022 Criteria used for ranking which species to study • Future Climate Analog Region • Cover • Frequency • Tualatin Basin Reference Data • Cover • Frequency • Qualitative • Risk • Value to Tualatin partners • Ease of establishment Yellow highlight denotes species with a range that does not currently extend into the Tualatin Basin Species Propagule Type Acer circinatum Seed Acer macrophyllum Seed Alnus rhombifolia Seed Alnus rubra Seed Calocedrus decurrens Seed Cornus sericea Cutting Cornus sessilis Cutting Fraxinus latifolia Seed Mahonia aquifolium Seed Oemleria cerasiformis Cutting Physocarpus capitatus Cutting Pinus ponderosa Seed Pseudotsuga menziesii Seed Quercus garryana Seed Quercus kelloggii Seed Rhamnus purshiana Seed Rosa pisocarpa Seed Rubus parviflorus Seed Rubus spectabilis Seed Salix hookeriana Cutting Salix lasiandra Cutting Spiraea douglasii Cutting Symphoricarpos albus Cutting Umbellularia californica Seed
  • 15. 15 Phase 4 – Common Garden Design and Interim Guidance In Progress
  • 16. 16 Phase 4 – Common Garden Design and Interim Guidance In Progress
  • 17. 17 49 Species-Community Units (SCU) SPECIES (24) COMMUNITIES (1 to 3) Riparian Upland Wetland Alnus rhombifolia SPECIES COMMUNITY UNIT Alnus rhombifolia - Riparian Alnus rhombifolia - Upland Alnus rhombifolia - Wetland
  • 18. 18 Phase 5 – Seed Collection Started February 2023, Finished by January of 2025 Survey 123 created to track 4 phases from scouting through shipping, in addition to site characteristics Expecting over 3,000 accessions
  • 19. 19 Phase 6 – Plant Material Grow Out In progress for 2024, finished in 2025 Sort Pot Sanitize Rinse Root hormone
  • 20. 20 Phase 8 – Monitor and Refine Guidance Phase 7 – Establish Common Garden Planned for 2025 and 2026 Planned to begin in 2026
  • 21. 21 Phase 8 – Monitor and Refine Guidance Assisted Migration is one of several strategies for sourcing seed for restoring resilient native plant communities 5% Local and Harsh Sites 5% Climate Adapted • Assisted Population Migration • Assisted Range Expansion 90% Local and Commercial Native Seed Sourcing Strategies
  • 22. 22 Thank You Mike Conroy, Habitat Conservation Specialist mike.conroy@tualatinswcd.org Moving Fast With Humility For more information and project updates visit: www.tualatinswcd.org/projects/ climate-adapted-plants-study

Editor's Notes

  1. I’ve been working in habitat restoration in the Tualatin basin for over ten years and I think this is the most important and necessary project I could be working on. The concept of this project started from conversation among staff at Tualatin SWCD and CWS back in 2019 and is now poised to take a big step forward.
  2. the watershed is unique in the sense it is almost exclusively in Washington County, which provides significant advantages to water quantity and thereby water quality management. There are two reservoirs in the watershed. Hagg Lake and Barney Reservoir. They play a very important role both in terms of water quantity and quality. With regards to land cover, Forestry makes up the 39%; agriculture about 35% and urban area about 26%.
  3. the watershed is unique in the sense it is almost exclusively in Washington County, which provides significant advantages to water quantity and thereby water quality management. There are two reservoirs in the watershed. Hagg Lake and Barney Reservoir. They play a very important role both in terms of water quantity and quality. With regards to land cover, Forestry makes up the 39%; agriculture about 35% and urban area about 26%.
  4. the watershed is unique in the sense it is almost exclusively in Washington County, which provides significant advantages to water quantity and thereby water quality management. There are two reservoirs in the watershed. Hagg Lake and Barney Reservoir. They play a very important role both in terms of water quantity and quality. With regards to land cover, Forestry makes up the 39%; agriculture about 35% and urban area about 26%.
  5. the watershed is unique in the sense it is almost exclusively in Washington County, which provides significant advantages to water quantity and thereby water quality management. There are two reservoirs in the watershed. Hagg Lake and Barney Reservoir. They play a very important role both in terms of water quantity and quality. With regards to land cover, Forestry makes up the 39%; agriculture about 35% and urban area about 26%.
  6. the watershed is unique in the sense it is almost exclusively in Washington County, which provides significant advantages to water quantity and thereby water quality management. There are two reservoirs in the watershed. Hagg Lake and Barney Reservoir. They play a very important role both in terms of water quantity and quality. With regards to land cover, Forestry makes up the 39%; agriculture about 35% and urban area about 26%.
  7. Why we care about native plants
  8. White Alder example for altering species without guidance, and doing so on a large scale
  9. Introduce phases of project
  10. Introduce phases of project
  11. Merged Seed Zones 251 and 261. 261 is the Northern Willamette Valley 0-500’, 251 is valley floor and east slope of Coast range for N. Willamette Valley
  12. In 2021 Stillwater sciences was hired to locate and survey native plant communities in regions identified by SST. They Map showing some of the sites surveyed by Stillwater Sciences. Coordinates and descriptions of sites are provided with the excel table.
  13. Species were included that came from CNPS and NVCS plant associations and alliances, even if not dominant in surveys. QUKE and UMCA are examples.
  14. This draft common garden design shows 10 populations, if we adapted this model 1 would be from Tualatin basin, and then 3 from each of the analog regions. Results from common garden will take years, CWS and TSWCD want to develop interim guidance that can be revisited over time as knowledge evolves and results of experiment are learned. This diagram presents a conceptual model for how to integrate non local genetics and species over time.
  15. Results from common garden will take years, CWS and TSWCD want to develop interim guidance that can be revisited over time as knowledge evolves and results of experiment are learned. This diagram presents a conceptual model for how to integrate non local genetics and species over time.
  16. Willamette Valley Species and Genotypes. Collect locally and grow out at scale. Business as usual and most cost effective. Targeted Resilience - Willamette Valley Species and Genotypes. Collect locally in harsh locations and/or harsh years. Minimize agronomic selection via employing techniques such as direct seeding, loosening nursery specs to not always favor fast growers etc. Introducing genotypes from future climate analogs that can tolerate local conditions and augment future genetic pool