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Rodolfo Molina
October, 2015
2015 Update
Cisco Global Cloud Index
2014–2019
2© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential
Global Cloud Index Forecast Methodology
Projecting Data Center and Cloud Traffic Growth
The methodology begins with the installed base of workloads categorized by
workload type and implementation and then applies the volume of bytes per
workload per month to obtain the traffic for current and future years.
Detailed methodology description and specific analyst sources included in complete GCI report
Installed Base
of Workloads
Bytes of Traffic
per Workload
per Month
Percent Traffic
Within Data Center
and Data Center to
Data Center
Analyst Data Measured Data Measured Data
3© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential
Cisco VNI and Global Cloud Index
Visual Networking Index (VNI)
+ = 2.0 ZBs
Non-Data Center
Traffic
NOT included in GCI
Data Center-to-User
Traffic
This is the overlap
between VNI
and GCI
Data Center-to-User
Traffic (18%)
This is the overlap
between VNI and GCI
Data Center-to-Data
Center Traffic (9%)
+ = 10.4 ZBs+
Within Data
Center (73%)
Traffic that flows from
data center to data center
Traffic that remains
within the data center
Global Cloud Index (GCI)
A
0.1 ZBs
B
1.9 ZBs
C
0.9 ZBs
D
7.6 ZBs
A B
A
B
B C D
B
C
D
4© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential
Global Data Center and Cloud Drivers
By 2019, 55% of consumer
Internet population (>2B
users) will use cloud storage
By 2019, data generated by IoE apps
(507 ZB) will be 49X higher than
total data center traffic (10.4 ZB)
Today, 47% of cloud sensitive
data loss incidents involve
confidential data
In 2015, 119 countries met the
single advanced app criteria for
fixed networks (109 in 2014)
From 2014 –2019,
total data center workloads will grow
2.5X; cloud workloads will grow 3.3X
In 2015, 81 countries met the
single advanced app criteria for
mobile networks (21 in 2014)
By 2019, workload density for cloud data centers will grow to 8.4
workloads/server ; compared to 3.2 for traditional data centers
By 2019, there will be 24.4B global devices/connections
(3.2 devices/connections per capita)
Devices &
Connections
Data Center /
Cloud
Momentum
Virtualization
Mobile
Network
Capability
Fixed
Network
Capability
Storage
Workloads
Big Data
Security
5© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential
GCI Forecast Update, 2014–2019
Top 5 Data Center/ Cloud Trends
*New for 2014–2019 Forecast
Growth of Global Data Center
Relevance and Traffic1
2
3
4
5
•  Data center by traffic by destination
•  Data center and cloud IP traffic growth
•  SDN/ NFV architecture impact – wild card*
•  Traditional DC vs. Cloud DC virtualization
•  Public vs. private cloud workloads
•  Regional* Service delivery workload analysis for Total Cloud
•  Regional* Service delivery workload analysis for Private Cloud
•  Regional* Service delivery workload analysis for Public Cloud
•  M2M impact*
•  Potential impact of “Big Data” on global data centers
•  Data center and cloud storage analysis
•  Internet ubiquity
•  Network speeds and latency analysis
•  Security analysis*
Continued Global Data Center /
Cloud Virtualization
Cloud Service Delivery Models
(IaaS, PaaS, SaaS)
Global Digitization—
IoE and Big Data
Global Cloud Readiness
6© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential
3.4
4.4
5.6
7.0
8.6
10.4
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Global Data Center Traffic Growth
Data Center Traffic Triples from 2014 to 2019
Source: Cisco Global Cloud Index, 2014–2019
Zettabytes
per Year
25% CAGR
2014–2019
Back to Index
7© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential
Global Data Center Traffic by Region
North America to Have Highest Traffic Volume by 2019
MEA to Experience Highest Traffic Growth
North America
2014: 1.5 Zettabytes
2019: 4.5 Zettabytes
CAGR 25%
Latin America
2014: 163 Exabytes
2019: 460 Exabytes
CAGR 23%
Western Europe
2014: 648 Exabytes
2019: 1.9 Zettabytes
CAGR 23%
Middle East & Africa
2014: 82 Exabytes
2019: 328 Exabytes
CAGR 32%
Central & Eastern Europe
2014: 149 Exabytes
2019: 523 Exabytes
CAGR 29%
Asia Pacific
2014: 915 Exabytes
2019: 2.7 Zettabytes
CAGR 24%
Back to Index
Source: Cisco Global Cloud Index, 2014–2019
8© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential
Global Data Center Traffic by Destination, 2014
Most Data Center Events/Content Stays Within the Data Center
A
B
C
Data Center
to User
17.8%
Within Data Center
75.4%
Data Center
to
Data Center
6.8%
Storage, production and
development data,
authentication
Within Data Center (75.4%)
Data Center to Data Center (6.8%)
Data Center to User (17.8%)
Replication, CDN,
intercloud links
Web, email,
internal VoD,
WebEx…
Back to Index
9© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential
Global Data Center Traffic by Destination, 2019
Most Data Center Events/Content Stays Within the Data Center
A
B
C
Data Center
to User
18.2%
Within Data Center
73.1%
Data Center
to
Data Center
8.7%
Storage, production and
development data,
authentication
Within Data Center (73.1%)
Data Center to Data Center (8.7%)
Data Center to User (18.2%)
Replication, CDN,
intercloud links
Web, email,
internal VoD,
WebEx…
Back to Index
10© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential
Data Center Infrastructure and Data Volumes
—2019, Current Architecture
Core
Aggregation
Edge
Servers
10.4 ZB*
40.2 ZB**
* Currently forecasted as 2019 total data center traffic.
** Currently not captured in the forecast.
Source: Cisco Global Cloud Index, 2014–2019
Back to Index
11© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential
Data Center Infrastructure and Data Volumes
—2019, Evolving SDN / NFV Data Center Architecture
Core
Leaf-Spine
Servers
< 10 ZB
> 40 ZB
Source: Cisco Global Cloud Index, 2014–2019
Back to Index
Within two years, over 80% of companies expect to implement SDN, and 69% of those
plan to implement SDN in the data center, compared to 47% and 31% for WAN and LAN.
-- Current Analysis 2015 Global SDN Buyer Study
12© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential
Cloud Definition by NIST
On Demand/
Self Service
Broad
Network
Access
Resource
Pooling
Rapid
Elasticity
Measured
Service
Back to Index
Cloud
13© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential
Workload Definition
A server workload is defined as a virtual or physical set of
computer resources, including storage, assigned to run a specific
application or provide computing services for one or many users.
No Virtualization Scenario Virtualization Scenario
1 Workload =
1 Physical Server
1 Workload =
Virtual Machine (VM) / Container
Physical Server
VM1 /
Container
VM2 /
Container
VM3 /
Container
Definition developed and applied for the purpose of the GCI forecast
Back to Index
14© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Traditional Data Center (-1% CAGR)
Cloud Data Center (27% CAGR)
Global Cloud Workloads Surpass
Traditional Workloads
86% of All Workloads Will Be in Cloud by 2019
Source: Cisco Global Cloud Index, 2014–2019
Installed
Workload
in Millions
20% CAGR
2014–2019
86%
14%
64%
36%
Back to Index
15© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential
North America
2014: 37.2 Million
2019: 106.2 Million
CAGR 23.3%
Latin America
2014: 3.0 Million
2019: 10.3 Million
CAGR 28.3%
Western Europe
2014: 18.0 Million
2019: 49.4 Million
CAGR 22.4%
Middle East & Africa
2014: 2.1 Million
2019: 7.3 Million
CAGR 28.2%
Central & Eastern Europe
2014: 2.4 Million
2019: 7.9 Million
CAGR 27.5%
Asia Pacific
2014: 20.9 Million
2019: 94 Million
CAGR 35.1%
Back to Index
Source: Cisco Global Cloud Index, 2014–2019
Global Cloud Workload Distribution
Asia Pacific Workloads Grow 4.5-Fold from 2014 to 2019
North America Will Maintain Largest Share of Cloud Workloads by 2019
16© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential
North America
2014: 22.0 Million
2019: 20.1 Million
CAGR -1.8%
Latin America
2014: 1.5 Million
2019: 1.2 Million
CAGR -4.1%
Western Europe
2014: 10.3 Million
2019: 9.0 Million
CAGR -2.5%
Middle East & Africa
2014: 1.1 Million
2019: 1.0 Million
CAGR -3.1%
Central & Eastern Europe
2014: 1.3 Million
2019: 1.1 Million
CAGR -4.3%
Asia Pacific
2014: 9.9 Million
2019: 12.2 Million
CAGR 4.3%
Back to Index
Source: Cisco Global Cloud Index, 2014–2019
Global Traditional Workload Distribution
Global Decline of Traditional Workloads
17© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential
Source: Cisco Global Cloud Index, 2014–2019
Average
Workload
Density
Workload Density
Cloud Will Outpace Traditional Data Center by More Than 2.5-Fold
2.0
3.2
5.1
8.4
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Traditional Data Center
Cloud Data Center
2.6X
2.5X
Workloads
per Server
Workloads
per Server
Back to Index
18© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential
2.1
3.0
4.0
5.3
6.9
8.6
0
2
4
6
8
10
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Global Cloud Traffic Growth
Cloud Traffic Will Quadruple from 2014 to 2019
Source: Cisco Global Cloud Index, 2014–2019
Zettabytes
per Year
33% CAGR
2014–2019
Back to Index
19© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential
Global Cloud Traffic by Region
North America to Have Highest Traffic Volume by 2019
MEA to Experience Highest Traffic Growth
North America
2014: 888 Exabytes
2019: 3.6 Zettabytes
CAGR 33%
Latin America
2014: 103 Exabytes
2019: 399 Exabytes
CAGR 31%
Western Europe
2014: 390 Exabytes
2019: 1.5 Zettabytes
CAGR 31%
Middle East & Africa
2014: 50 Exabytes
2019: 280 Exabytes
CAGR 41%
Central & Eastern Europe
2014: 90 Exabytes
2019: 447 Exabytes
CAGR 38%
Asia Pacific
2014: 588 Exabytes
2019: 2.3 Zettabytes
CAGR 32%
Back to Index
Source: Cisco Global Cloud Index, 2014–2019
20© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Traditional Data Center (5% CAGR)
Cloud Data Center (33% CAGR)
Global Data Center Traffic: Traditional vs. Cloud
Cloud Accounts for More Than 80% of Traffic by 2019
Source: Cisco Global Cloud Index, 2014–2019
Zettabytes
per Year
25% CAGR
2014–2019
39%
Back to Index
61%
17%
83%
21© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential
Private vs. Public Cloud
Hybrid Cloud is a Combination of Private and Public Clouds
Enterprise Network Service Provider Network
Private
Cloud
Public
Cloud
Hybrid
Cloud
Cisco Cloud owned and managed
by Cisco for its own employees,
customers and partners.
AT&T, Verizon, Amazon AWS,
Microsoft Azure, Salesforce, Google.
Back to Index
22© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018* 2019
Public Cloud Data Center (44% CAGR)
Private Cloud Data Center (16% CAGR)
Private Cloud vs. Public Cloud
By 2018 Public Cloud will Surpass Private Cloud
Source: Cisco Global Cloud Index, 2014–2019
Installed
Workloads
in Millions
27% CAGR
2014–2019
30%
Back to Index
70%
56%
44%
52%
48%
48%
52%
23© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential
Workload Density
Private Cloud Will Outpace Traditional Data Center by More Than 3-Fold
Source: Cisco Global Cloud Index, 2014–2019
Average
Workload
Density
Back to Index
2.0
3.2
3.2
7.5
6.9
10.1
Traditional Data Center
Public Cloud Data Center
Private Cloud Data Center
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
2014 2014 2015 2016 2017 2019
24© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential
Cloud Service Models
Software as a Service
(SaaS)
Platform as a Service
(PaaS)
Infrastructure as a
Service (IaaS)
Applications
Data
Middleware
Operating System
Virtualization
Servers
Storage
Networking
Cloud Provider ManagesCloud Customer Manages
Applications
Data
Middleware
Operating System
Virtualization
Servers
Storage
Networking
Applications
Data
Middleware
Operating System
Virtualization
Servers
Storage
Networking
Back to Index
25© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential
Back to Index
SaaS Example
Collaboration in the Cloud—An Internal Analysis
A Typical Business Day at Cisco using WebEx
~ 50K MEETINGS ~ 140K HOURS ~ 180K ATTENDEES
From August 2014 to August 2015
• 17% increase in monthly meetings
• 18% increase in monthly meeting minutes
• 17% increase in monthly attendees
Mobile attendees using WebEx are 5% and growing
26© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential
A Typical Business Day at New York
using WebEx
Data Center Traffic*:
1.4 TB
3.2 TB
0.4 TB
0.9 TB
0.6 TB
1.3 TB
1 TB
2.4 TB
Sources: Cisco Tahoe Call Detail Records and Netflow data,
Cisco Global Cloud Index 2014–2019
* Data includes US specific information on a per day basis
SaaS Example
Collaboration in the Cloud—An External Analysis
~ 50K Meetings
~ 111K Hours
~ 175K Attendees
End-User Traffic: 48 TB
Data Center Traffic: 111 TB
A Typical Business Day at Kansas City
using WebEx
~ 11K Meetings
~ 25K Hours
~ 40K Attendees
End-User Traffic: 11 TB
Data Center Traffic: 25 TB
Healthcare Engineering
End-User Traffic*:
Back to Index
Education Banking
27© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
SaaS (34% CAGR)
IaaS (19% CAGR)
PaaS (21% CAGR)
Global Cloud Workloads
SaaS Most Popular Cloud Service Model Through 2019
Source: Cisco Global Cloud Index, 2014–2019
Installed
Workloads
in Millions
27% CAGR
2014–2019
13%
Back to Index
45%
42%
11%
59%
28%
28© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
PaaS (3% CAGR)
IaaS (-6% CAGR)
SaaS (31% CAGR)
Global Private Cloud Workloads
SaaS Most Adopted Cloud Service Model by 2019; Grows the Fastest
Source: Cisco Global Cloud Index, 2014–2019
Installed
Workloads
in Millions
16% CAGR
2014–2019
Back to Index
15%
41%
45%
8%
76%
16%
29© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential
Global Public Cloud Workloads
SaaS Most Popular Cloud Service Model Through 2019; IaaS Grows Fastest
Source: Cisco Global Cloud Index, 2014–2019
Installed
Workloads
in Millions
44% CAGR
2014–2019
Back to Index
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
PaaS (49% CAGR)
IaaS (50% CAGR)
SaaS (39% CAGR)
11%
55%
34%
13%
46%
41%
30© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential
Applications/ Workload Diversity
Growth in M2M Connections Drive New Data Analytics Need
Average Traffic Per Connection
*Size of the bubble represents total M2M connections for each application
Hi
Lo
Lo Hi
Land
Agriculture
Telemedicine In-Vehicle Entertainment
& Internet Access
Emergency
Services
Environment & Public
Safety
Commercial
AppliancesFleet
Management
Retail Goods Monitoring
and Payment
Manufacturing &
Processing
Public Transport
Smart Metering
No Complex Analytics
Potential Analytics
Requirement
Complex Real Time
Analytics Required
Complex Analytics of
Aggregated Data
Back to Index
Source: Cisco Global Cloud Index, 2014–2019; Machina Research
Frequency of
Communications
31© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential
Back to Index
Source: Cisco Global Cloud Index, 2014–2019
Growth in Residential Internet Use Drives
Personal Cloud Storage
APAC
CEE
LATAM
MEA
NA
WE
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2 4 6 8 10 12 14
Consumer Devices Per Capita
* Size of the bubble represents region’s personal cloud storage penetration
as a % of its residential internet population
Residential
Internet
Users /
Population
32© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential
1,136
1,355
1,571
1,740
1,898
2,045
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Global Personal Cloud Storage
Majority, 55%, of Residential Internet Users Will Use Cloud Storage by 2019
Source: Cisco Global Cloud Index, 2014–2019; Juniper Research
Consumers
in Millions
12% CAGR
2014–2019
Back to Index
33© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential
14
17
21
26
33
39
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Global Personal Cloud Storage Traffic*
Source: Cisco Global Cloud Index, 2014–2019
Exabytes
per Year
23% CAGR
2014–2019
Back to Index
*Personal cloud storage traffic includes personal content lockers,
cloud back-up etc., and does not include cloud DVR
34© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential
The Universe of Data is High Volume,
High Velocity, and Distributed
Back to Index
Total business/personal data
stored in any location:
(projected snapshot for 2019)
3.5 Zettabytes (Less than 1%)
Total data generated by all
people, machines and things:
(projected snapshot for 2019)
43 Zettabytes per Month
507 Zettabytes per Year
35© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential
What Makes a Smart City?
Multiple Applications Create Big Data
Connected Factory
1 PB per day (0.2% transmitted)
Connected Plane
40 TB per day (0.1% transmitted)
Public Safety
50 PB per day (<0.1% transmitted)
Intelligent Building
250 GB per day (1% transmitted)
Smart Hospital
3 TB per day (0.1% transmitted)
Smart Car
50 GB per day (0.1% transmitted)
A city of
one million
will generate
180 million gigabytes
of data per day
by 2019
Smart Grid
5 GB per day (1% transmitted)
Weather Sensors
10 MB per day (5% transmitted)
Source: Cisco Global Cloud Index, 2014–2019
Back to Index
36© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential
Total Stored Data
Data Stored on Client Devices (PCs, Tablets, Phones, M2M…)
82% Client Devices or M2M 18% DC
Data Stored in Data Centers
2019
2014
PCs Smartphones Tablets M2M External Storage Other
88% Client Devices or M2M 12% DC
The volume of all data stored will more than double by 2019 from 1.4 ZB to 3.5 ZB.
Most data is stored on client devices, but more moves to the data center over time.
2014
2019
2019
Data at Rest (Stored)
Data in Motion (Traffic)
863
EB
per
mo.
1.4 ZB
3.5 ZB
49%
73%
8% 8% 9% 14%
621
EB
Stored data on M2M modules grows the fastest at 89% CAGR Traffic 39% higher than stored in 2019, 71% in 2014
Back to Index
37© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Smartphone Storage Capacity
(28% CAGR)
Smartphone Traffic (62% CAGR)
Storage Constraints Drive Cloud
Smartphone Traffic Exceeds Data Stored on Smartphones by 2016
Source: Cisco Global Cloud Index, 2014–2019
Exabytes
per Year
Back to Index
The Necessity
of the Cloud
38© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential
Cloud Readiness
Internet Ubiquity
Network Speeds and Latency Analysis
Security
Back to Index
39© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential
APAC
CEE
LATAM
MEA
NAWE
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
Back to Index
Source: Cisco Global Cloud Index, 2014–2019
Regional Internet Access Ubiquity (2014)
Mobile Internet Penetration
Fixed
Internet
Penetration
40© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential
APAC
CEE
LATAM
MEA
NA
WE
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Back to Index
Source: Cisco Global Cloud Index, 2014–2019
Regional Internet Access Ubiquity (2019)
Mobile Internet Penetration
Fixed
Internet
Penetration
41© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential
Global Cloud Readiness
Business and Consumer Apps/Network Requirements
Basic Cloud Apps Intermediate Cloud Apps Advanced Cloud Apps
Network Requirements:
Download Speed:
Up to 750 kbps
Upload Speed:
Up to 250 kbps
Latency: Above 160 ms
Network Requirements:
Download Speed:
751–2,500 kbps
Upload Speed:
251–1,000 kbps
Latency: 159–100 ms
Network Requirements:
Download Speed:
Higher than 2,500 kbps
Upload Speed:
Higher than 1,000 kbps
Latency: Less than 100 ms
Back to Index
42© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential
Regional End-User Cloud Readiness (2015)
Supporting Business and Consumer Applications on Fixed Networks*
In 2015, 119 countries
met the advanced single
application readiness
criteria for fixed networks,
compared to 109 countries
last year.
* Non-Concurrent Apps
Back to Index
43© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential
Regional End-User Cloud Readiness (2015)
Supporting Business and Consumer Applications on Mobile Networks*
Back to Index
In 2015, 81 countries
met the advanced single
application readiness
criteria for mobile networks,
compared to 21 countries
last year.
* Non-Concurrent Apps
44© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential
Global Cloud Readiness
Business and Consumer Network Requirements for Concurrent Apps
Basic Cloud Apps
Concurrent Support
Intermediate Cloud Apps
Concurrent Support
Advanced Cloud Apps
Concurrent Support
Network Requirements:
Download Speed:
1900 kbps
Upload Speed:
600 kbps
Latency: Above 160 ms
Network Requirements:
Download Speed:
1901–20,999 kbps
Upload Speed:
601–8,999 kbps
Latency: 159–100 ms
Network Requirements:
Download Speed:
21,000 kbps
Upload Speed:
9,000 kbps
Latency: Less than 100 ms
+ •  SD Video conferencing
•  Personal content locker
•  HD Video streaming
•  Electronic health records
•  ERP/CRM
•  VoLTE
•  Virtual office
•  Connected medicine
•  HD Video conferencing
•  Stream ultra HD video
•  High frequency stock trading
•  Connected car safety
applications
•  Stream basic video/music
•  Text communications
•  VOIP
•  Web browsing
•  Web conferencing
•  Cloud based learning
management system
+
Back to Index
45© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential
Regional End-User Cloud Readiness (2015)
Supporting Business and Consumer Applications on Fixed Networks (Concurrent Apps)
Basic Cloud
Application Ready
Intermediate Cloud
Application Ready
Advanced Cloud
Application Ready
Average
Broadband
Speed
High
Low
Back to Index
High Low
Latency
APAC
WE
CEE
NA
LATAM
MEA
	
  USA	
  
	
  
Finlan
d	
  
Swed
en	
  
Norw
ay	
  
46© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential
Regional End-User Cloud Readiness (2015)
Supporting Business and Consumer Applications on Mobile Networks (Concurrent Apps)
Basic Cloud
Application Ready
Intermediate Cloud
Application Ready
Advanced Cloud
Application Ready
Average
Broadband
Speed
High
Low
Back to Index
High Low
Latency
Singap
ore	
  
	
  Japan	
  
South	
  
Korea	
  
Nether
lands	
  NA
WE
CEE
APAC
LATAMMEA
47© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential
Latency Key for Cloud Applications:
Asynchronous vs Synchronous Storage
Asynchronous
100 ms
Personal Content Locker
Standard Backup
Asynchronous Storage Latency
Synchronous
5 ms
Disaster Recovery Systems
Data and Transaction Replication
Synchronous Storage Latency
Back to Index
48© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential
Fixed Overall Network Characteristics (2015)
Back to Index
3rd
Mean
DL
25.4
Mbps
2nd
Median
DL
17.3
Mbps
3rd
Mean
UL
8.8
Mbps
3rd
Median
UL
4,8
Mbps
5th
Mean
DL
7.6
Mbps
5th
Median
DL
4.8
Mbps
5th
Mean
UL
2.4
Mbps
6th
Median
UL
0.9
Mbps
4th
Mean
DL
22.8
Mbps
4th
Median
DL
14.4
Mbps
4th
Mean
UL
7.4
Mbps
4th
Median
UL
3.0
Mbps
6th
Mean
DL
7.0
Mbps
6th
Median
DL
4.5
Mbps
6th
Mean
UL
2.2
Mbps
5th
Median
UL
0.9
Mbps
1st
Mean
DL
28.3
Mbps
3rd
Median
DL
17.3
Mbps
1st
Mean
UL
20.9
Mbps
1st
Median
UL
13.5
Mbps
2nd
Mean
DL
28.1
Mbps
1st
Median
DL
19.2
Mbps
2nd
Mean
UL
16.0
Mbps
2nd
Median
UL
9.3
Mbps
North America Western Europe Central and Eastern Europe
Latin America Middle East and Africa Asia Pacific
49© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential
Mobile Overall Network Characteristics (2015)
Back to Index
1st
Mean
DL
16.3
Mbps
1st
Median
DL
12.3
Mbps
2nd
Mean
UL
6.5
Mbps
1st
Median
UL
4.4
Mbps
2nd
Mean
DL
13.8
Mbps
2nd
Median
DL
9.8
Mbps
4th
Mean
UL
4.8
Mbps
4th
Median
UL
2.4
Mbps
4th
Mean
DL
10.9
Mbps
4th
Median
DL
7.7
Mbps
1st
Mean
UL
7.7
Mbps
2nd
Median
UL
3.5
Mbps
North America Western Europe Central and Eastern Europe
5th
Mean
DL
5.7
Mbps
5th
Median
DL
3.6
Mbps
6th
Mean
UL
2.0
Mbps
6th
Median
UL
1.0
Mbps
6th
Mean
DL
4.5
Mbps
6th
Median
DL
2.9
Mbps
5th
Mean
UL
2.3
Mbps
5th
Median
UL
1.1
Mbps
3rd
Mean
DL
12.1
Mbps
3rd
Median
DL
8.2
Mbps
3rd
Mean
UL
6.0
Mbps
3rd
Median
UL
3.3
Mbps
Latin America Middle East and Africa Asia Pacific
50© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential
Cloud Data Security
IaaS PaaS SaaS
Back to Index
Role of Cloud Provider:
•  Managing access to applications,
data, middleware, storage, networking
Security action:
•  Focus on establishing controls
regarding users access to application
•  Protect API keys
•  Avoid single sign on, use strong
passwords, certificates
Role of Cloud Provider:
•  Protecting data
•  Ensure fail over services
•  Regulatory compliance
•  Provide secure development tools
Security action:
•  Data transfer and encryption of user
managed data
•  Managing application keys
•  Additional requirements for handling
of sensitive information
Role of Cloud Provider:
•  Manage virtual machines
•  Ensure fail over services
•  Regulatory compliance
•  Manage multiple copies of software
platforms on single piece of hardware
Security action:
•  Governance framework on how VMs
are used
•  Trusting the virtual machine image
•  Hardening hosts
•  Securing inter-host communication
•  Managing application keys
•  Audit trail of VMs and management
51© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential
14%
28%
11%
47%
Payment Data
Personally identifiable
information
Protected health information
Confidential data
Profiling Cloud Security Breaches
47% of cloud sensitive data loss incidents involve confidential data
Source: SkyHigh Cloud Adoption & Risk Report (Q3 2015)
52© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential
Enabling Authentication and Secure Internet
Percentage of Secure Internet Servers to All Web Facing Servers
Back to Index
Western Europe
50%
Asia Pacific
23%
Central and
Eastern Europe
29%
Latin
America
13%
Middle
East and
Africa
10%
North America
27%
53© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential
Cisco Global Cloud Index
Where to Find More Information / Direct Questions
•  Media Release
•  GCI White Paper
•  Cloud Readiness Report
•  GCI Q&A
•  GCI Highlights Tool
•  Cloud Readiness Tool
Back to Index
www.cisco.com/go/cloudindex
Please direct GCI questions to:
traffic-inquiries@cisco.com
Cisco Global Cloud Index (2014-2019)

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Cisco Global Cloud Index (2014-2019)

  • 1. Rodolfo Molina October, 2015 2015 Update Cisco Global Cloud Index 2014–2019
  • 2. 2© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Global Cloud Index Forecast Methodology Projecting Data Center and Cloud Traffic Growth The methodology begins with the installed base of workloads categorized by workload type and implementation and then applies the volume of bytes per workload per month to obtain the traffic for current and future years. Detailed methodology description and specific analyst sources included in complete GCI report Installed Base of Workloads Bytes of Traffic per Workload per Month Percent Traffic Within Data Center and Data Center to Data Center Analyst Data Measured Data Measured Data
  • 3. 3© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Cisco VNI and Global Cloud Index Visual Networking Index (VNI) + = 2.0 ZBs Non-Data Center Traffic NOT included in GCI Data Center-to-User Traffic This is the overlap between VNI and GCI Data Center-to-User Traffic (18%) This is the overlap between VNI and GCI Data Center-to-Data Center Traffic (9%) + = 10.4 ZBs+ Within Data Center (73%) Traffic that flows from data center to data center Traffic that remains within the data center Global Cloud Index (GCI) A 0.1 ZBs B 1.9 ZBs C 0.9 ZBs D 7.6 ZBs A B A B B C D B C D
  • 4. 4© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Global Data Center and Cloud Drivers By 2019, 55% of consumer Internet population (>2B users) will use cloud storage By 2019, data generated by IoE apps (507 ZB) will be 49X higher than total data center traffic (10.4 ZB) Today, 47% of cloud sensitive data loss incidents involve confidential data In 2015, 119 countries met the single advanced app criteria for fixed networks (109 in 2014) From 2014 –2019, total data center workloads will grow 2.5X; cloud workloads will grow 3.3X In 2015, 81 countries met the single advanced app criteria for mobile networks (21 in 2014) By 2019, workload density for cloud data centers will grow to 8.4 workloads/server ; compared to 3.2 for traditional data centers By 2019, there will be 24.4B global devices/connections (3.2 devices/connections per capita) Devices & Connections Data Center / Cloud Momentum Virtualization Mobile Network Capability Fixed Network Capability Storage Workloads Big Data Security
  • 5. 5© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential GCI Forecast Update, 2014–2019 Top 5 Data Center/ Cloud Trends *New for 2014–2019 Forecast Growth of Global Data Center Relevance and Traffic1 2 3 4 5 •  Data center by traffic by destination •  Data center and cloud IP traffic growth •  SDN/ NFV architecture impact – wild card* •  Traditional DC vs. Cloud DC virtualization •  Public vs. private cloud workloads •  Regional* Service delivery workload analysis for Total Cloud •  Regional* Service delivery workload analysis for Private Cloud •  Regional* Service delivery workload analysis for Public Cloud •  M2M impact* •  Potential impact of “Big Data” on global data centers •  Data center and cloud storage analysis •  Internet ubiquity •  Network speeds and latency analysis •  Security analysis* Continued Global Data Center / Cloud Virtualization Cloud Service Delivery Models (IaaS, PaaS, SaaS) Global Digitization— IoE and Big Data Global Cloud Readiness
  • 6. 6© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 3.4 4.4 5.6 7.0 8.6 10.4 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Global Data Center Traffic Growth Data Center Traffic Triples from 2014 to 2019 Source: Cisco Global Cloud Index, 2014–2019 Zettabytes per Year 25% CAGR 2014–2019 Back to Index
  • 7. 7© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Global Data Center Traffic by Region North America to Have Highest Traffic Volume by 2019 MEA to Experience Highest Traffic Growth North America 2014: 1.5 Zettabytes 2019: 4.5 Zettabytes CAGR 25% Latin America 2014: 163 Exabytes 2019: 460 Exabytes CAGR 23% Western Europe 2014: 648 Exabytes 2019: 1.9 Zettabytes CAGR 23% Middle East & Africa 2014: 82 Exabytes 2019: 328 Exabytes CAGR 32% Central & Eastern Europe 2014: 149 Exabytes 2019: 523 Exabytes CAGR 29% Asia Pacific 2014: 915 Exabytes 2019: 2.7 Zettabytes CAGR 24% Back to Index Source: Cisco Global Cloud Index, 2014–2019
  • 8. 8© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Global Data Center Traffic by Destination, 2014 Most Data Center Events/Content Stays Within the Data Center A B C Data Center to User 17.8% Within Data Center 75.4% Data Center to Data Center 6.8% Storage, production and development data, authentication Within Data Center (75.4%) Data Center to Data Center (6.8%) Data Center to User (17.8%) Replication, CDN, intercloud links Web, email, internal VoD, WebEx… Back to Index
  • 9. 9© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Global Data Center Traffic by Destination, 2019 Most Data Center Events/Content Stays Within the Data Center A B C Data Center to User 18.2% Within Data Center 73.1% Data Center to Data Center 8.7% Storage, production and development data, authentication Within Data Center (73.1%) Data Center to Data Center (8.7%) Data Center to User (18.2%) Replication, CDN, intercloud links Web, email, internal VoD, WebEx… Back to Index
  • 10. 10© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Data Center Infrastructure and Data Volumes —2019, Current Architecture Core Aggregation Edge Servers 10.4 ZB* 40.2 ZB** * Currently forecasted as 2019 total data center traffic. ** Currently not captured in the forecast. Source: Cisco Global Cloud Index, 2014–2019 Back to Index
  • 11. 11© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Data Center Infrastructure and Data Volumes —2019, Evolving SDN / NFV Data Center Architecture Core Leaf-Spine Servers < 10 ZB > 40 ZB Source: Cisco Global Cloud Index, 2014–2019 Back to Index Within two years, over 80% of companies expect to implement SDN, and 69% of those plan to implement SDN in the data center, compared to 47% and 31% for WAN and LAN. -- Current Analysis 2015 Global SDN Buyer Study
  • 12. 12© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Cloud Definition by NIST On Demand/ Self Service Broad Network Access Resource Pooling Rapid Elasticity Measured Service Back to Index Cloud
  • 13. 13© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Workload Definition A server workload is defined as a virtual or physical set of computer resources, including storage, assigned to run a specific application or provide computing services for one or many users. No Virtualization Scenario Virtualization Scenario 1 Workload = 1 Physical Server 1 Workload = Virtual Machine (VM) / Container Physical Server VM1 / Container VM2 / Container VM3 / Container Definition developed and applied for the purpose of the GCI forecast Back to Index
  • 14. 14© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Traditional Data Center (-1% CAGR) Cloud Data Center (27% CAGR) Global Cloud Workloads Surpass Traditional Workloads 86% of All Workloads Will Be in Cloud by 2019 Source: Cisco Global Cloud Index, 2014–2019 Installed Workload in Millions 20% CAGR 2014–2019 86% 14% 64% 36% Back to Index
  • 15. 15© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential North America 2014: 37.2 Million 2019: 106.2 Million CAGR 23.3% Latin America 2014: 3.0 Million 2019: 10.3 Million CAGR 28.3% Western Europe 2014: 18.0 Million 2019: 49.4 Million CAGR 22.4% Middle East & Africa 2014: 2.1 Million 2019: 7.3 Million CAGR 28.2% Central & Eastern Europe 2014: 2.4 Million 2019: 7.9 Million CAGR 27.5% Asia Pacific 2014: 20.9 Million 2019: 94 Million CAGR 35.1% Back to Index Source: Cisco Global Cloud Index, 2014–2019 Global Cloud Workload Distribution Asia Pacific Workloads Grow 4.5-Fold from 2014 to 2019 North America Will Maintain Largest Share of Cloud Workloads by 2019
  • 16. 16© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential North America 2014: 22.0 Million 2019: 20.1 Million CAGR -1.8% Latin America 2014: 1.5 Million 2019: 1.2 Million CAGR -4.1% Western Europe 2014: 10.3 Million 2019: 9.0 Million CAGR -2.5% Middle East & Africa 2014: 1.1 Million 2019: 1.0 Million CAGR -3.1% Central & Eastern Europe 2014: 1.3 Million 2019: 1.1 Million CAGR -4.3% Asia Pacific 2014: 9.9 Million 2019: 12.2 Million CAGR 4.3% Back to Index Source: Cisco Global Cloud Index, 2014–2019 Global Traditional Workload Distribution Global Decline of Traditional Workloads
  • 17. 17© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Source: Cisco Global Cloud Index, 2014–2019 Average Workload Density Workload Density Cloud Will Outpace Traditional Data Center by More Than 2.5-Fold 2.0 3.2 5.1 8.4 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Traditional Data Center Cloud Data Center 2.6X 2.5X Workloads per Server Workloads per Server Back to Index
  • 18. 18© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 2.1 3.0 4.0 5.3 6.9 8.6 0 2 4 6 8 10 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Global Cloud Traffic Growth Cloud Traffic Will Quadruple from 2014 to 2019 Source: Cisco Global Cloud Index, 2014–2019 Zettabytes per Year 33% CAGR 2014–2019 Back to Index
  • 19. 19© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Global Cloud Traffic by Region North America to Have Highest Traffic Volume by 2019 MEA to Experience Highest Traffic Growth North America 2014: 888 Exabytes 2019: 3.6 Zettabytes CAGR 33% Latin America 2014: 103 Exabytes 2019: 399 Exabytes CAGR 31% Western Europe 2014: 390 Exabytes 2019: 1.5 Zettabytes CAGR 31% Middle East & Africa 2014: 50 Exabytes 2019: 280 Exabytes CAGR 41% Central & Eastern Europe 2014: 90 Exabytes 2019: 447 Exabytes CAGR 38% Asia Pacific 2014: 588 Exabytes 2019: 2.3 Zettabytes CAGR 32% Back to Index Source: Cisco Global Cloud Index, 2014–2019
  • 20. 20© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Traditional Data Center (5% CAGR) Cloud Data Center (33% CAGR) Global Data Center Traffic: Traditional vs. Cloud Cloud Accounts for More Than 80% of Traffic by 2019 Source: Cisco Global Cloud Index, 2014–2019 Zettabytes per Year 25% CAGR 2014–2019 39% Back to Index 61% 17% 83%
  • 21. 21© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Private vs. Public Cloud Hybrid Cloud is a Combination of Private and Public Clouds Enterprise Network Service Provider Network Private Cloud Public Cloud Hybrid Cloud Cisco Cloud owned and managed by Cisco for its own employees, customers and partners. AT&T, Verizon, Amazon AWS, Microsoft Azure, Salesforce, Google. Back to Index
  • 22. 22© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018* 2019 Public Cloud Data Center (44% CAGR) Private Cloud Data Center (16% CAGR) Private Cloud vs. Public Cloud By 2018 Public Cloud will Surpass Private Cloud Source: Cisco Global Cloud Index, 2014–2019 Installed Workloads in Millions 27% CAGR 2014–2019 30% Back to Index 70% 56% 44% 52% 48% 48% 52%
  • 23. 23© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Workload Density Private Cloud Will Outpace Traditional Data Center by More Than 3-Fold Source: Cisco Global Cloud Index, 2014–2019 Average Workload Density Back to Index 2.0 3.2 3.2 7.5 6.9 10.1 Traditional Data Center Public Cloud Data Center Private Cloud Data Center 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 2014 2014 2015 2016 2017 2019
  • 24. 24© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Cloud Service Models Software as a Service (SaaS) Platform as a Service (PaaS) Infrastructure as a Service (IaaS) Applications Data Middleware Operating System Virtualization Servers Storage Networking Cloud Provider ManagesCloud Customer Manages Applications Data Middleware Operating System Virtualization Servers Storage Networking Applications Data Middleware Operating System Virtualization Servers Storage Networking Back to Index
  • 25. 25© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Back to Index SaaS Example Collaboration in the Cloud—An Internal Analysis A Typical Business Day at Cisco using WebEx ~ 50K MEETINGS ~ 140K HOURS ~ 180K ATTENDEES From August 2014 to August 2015 • 17% increase in monthly meetings • 18% increase in monthly meeting minutes • 17% increase in monthly attendees Mobile attendees using WebEx are 5% and growing
  • 26. 26© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential A Typical Business Day at New York using WebEx Data Center Traffic*: 1.4 TB 3.2 TB 0.4 TB 0.9 TB 0.6 TB 1.3 TB 1 TB 2.4 TB Sources: Cisco Tahoe Call Detail Records and Netflow data, Cisco Global Cloud Index 2014–2019 * Data includes US specific information on a per day basis SaaS Example Collaboration in the Cloud—An External Analysis ~ 50K Meetings ~ 111K Hours ~ 175K Attendees End-User Traffic: 48 TB Data Center Traffic: 111 TB A Typical Business Day at Kansas City using WebEx ~ 11K Meetings ~ 25K Hours ~ 40K Attendees End-User Traffic: 11 TB Data Center Traffic: 25 TB Healthcare Engineering End-User Traffic*: Back to Index Education Banking
  • 27. 27© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 SaaS (34% CAGR) IaaS (19% CAGR) PaaS (21% CAGR) Global Cloud Workloads SaaS Most Popular Cloud Service Model Through 2019 Source: Cisco Global Cloud Index, 2014–2019 Installed Workloads in Millions 27% CAGR 2014–2019 13% Back to Index 45% 42% 11% 59% 28%
  • 28. 28© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PaaS (3% CAGR) IaaS (-6% CAGR) SaaS (31% CAGR) Global Private Cloud Workloads SaaS Most Adopted Cloud Service Model by 2019; Grows the Fastest Source: Cisco Global Cloud Index, 2014–2019 Installed Workloads in Millions 16% CAGR 2014–2019 Back to Index 15% 41% 45% 8% 76% 16%
  • 29. 29© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Global Public Cloud Workloads SaaS Most Popular Cloud Service Model Through 2019; IaaS Grows Fastest Source: Cisco Global Cloud Index, 2014–2019 Installed Workloads in Millions 44% CAGR 2014–2019 Back to Index 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PaaS (49% CAGR) IaaS (50% CAGR) SaaS (39% CAGR) 11% 55% 34% 13% 46% 41%
  • 30. 30© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Applications/ Workload Diversity Growth in M2M Connections Drive New Data Analytics Need Average Traffic Per Connection *Size of the bubble represents total M2M connections for each application Hi Lo Lo Hi Land Agriculture Telemedicine In-Vehicle Entertainment & Internet Access Emergency Services Environment & Public Safety Commercial AppliancesFleet Management Retail Goods Monitoring and Payment Manufacturing & Processing Public Transport Smart Metering No Complex Analytics Potential Analytics Requirement Complex Real Time Analytics Required Complex Analytics of Aggregated Data Back to Index Source: Cisco Global Cloud Index, 2014–2019; Machina Research Frequency of Communications
  • 31. 31© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Back to Index Source: Cisco Global Cloud Index, 2014–2019 Growth in Residential Internet Use Drives Personal Cloud Storage APAC CEE LATAM MEA NA WE 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 Consumer Devices Per Capita * Size of the bubble represents region’s personal cloud storage penetration as a % of its residential internet population Residential Internet Users / Population
  • 32. 32© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 1,136 1,355 1,571 1,740 1,898 2,045 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Global Personal Cloud Storage Majority, 55%, of Residential Internet Users Will Use Cloud Storage by 2019 Source: Cisco Global Cloud Index, 2014–2019; Juniper Research Consumers in Millions 12% CAGR 2014–2019 Back to Index
  • 33. 33© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 14 17 21 26 33 39 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Global Personal Cloud Storage Traffic* Source: Cisco Global Cloud Index, 2014–2019 Exabytes per Year 23% CAGR 2014–2019 Back to Index *Personal cloud storage traffic includes personal content lockers, cloud back-up etc., and does not include cloud DVR
  • 34. 34© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential The Universe of Data is High Volume, High Velocity, and Distributed Back to Index Total business/personal data stored in any location: (projected snapshot for 2019) 3.5 Zettabytes (Less than 1%) Total data generated by all people, machines and things: (projected snapshot for 2019) 43 Zettabytes per Month 507 Zettabytes per Year
  • 35. 35© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential What Makes a Smart City? Multiple Applications Create Big Data Connected Factory 1 PB per day (0.2% transmitted) Connected Plane 40 TB per day (0.1% transmitted) Public Safety 50 PB per day (<0.1% transmitted) Intelligent Building 250 GB per day (1% transmitted) Smart Hospital 3 TB per day (0.1% transmitted) Smart Car 50 GB per day (0.1% transmitted) A city of one million will generate 180 million gigabytes of data per day by 2019 Smart Grid 5 GB per day (1% transmitted) Weather Sensors 10 MB per day (5% transmitted) Source: Cisco Global Cloud Index, 2014–2019 Back to Index
  • 36. 36© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Total Stored Data Data Stored on Client Devices (PCs, Tablets, Phones, M2M…) 82% Client Devices or M2M 18% DC Data Stored in Data Centers 2019 2014 PCs Smartphones Tablets M2M External Storage Other 88% Client Devices or M2M 12% DC The volume of all data stored will more than double by 2019 from 1.4 ZB to 3.5 ZB. Most data is stored on client devices, but more moves to the data center over time. 2014 2019 2019 Data at Rest (Stored) Data in Motion (Traffic) 863 EB per mo. 1.4 ZB 3.5 ZB 49% 73% 8% 8% 9% 14% 621 EB Stored data on M2M modules grows the fastest at 89% CAGR Traffic 39% higher than stored in 2019, 71% in 2014 Back to Index
  • 37. 37© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Smartphone Storage Capacity (28% CAGR) Smartphone Traffic (62% CAGR) Storage Constraints Drive Cloud Smartphone Traffic Exceeds Data Stored on Smartphones by 2016 Source: Cisco Global Cloud Index, 2014–2019 Exabytes per Year Back to Index The Necessity of the Cloud
  • 38. 38© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Cloud Readiness Internet Ubiquity Network Speeds and Latency Analysis Security Back to Index
  • 39. 39© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential APAC CEE LATAM MEA NAWE 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% Back to Index Source: Cisco Global Cloud Index, 2014–2019 Regional Internet Access Ubiquity (2014) Mobile Internet Penetration Fixed Internet Penetration
  • 40. 40© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential APAC CEE LATAM MEA NA WE 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Back to Index Source: Cisco Global Cloud Index, 2014–2019 Regional Internet Access Ubiquity (2019) Mobile Internet Penetration Fixed Internet Penetration
  • 41. 41© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Global Cloud Readiness Business and Consumer Apps/Network Requirements Basic Cloud Apps Intermediate Cloud Apps Advanced Cloud Apps Network Requirements: Download Speed: Up to 750 kbps Upload Speed: Up to 250 kbps Latency: Above 160 ms Network Requirements: Download Speed: 751–2,500 kbps Upload Speed: 251–1,000 kbps Latency: 159–100 ms Network Requirements: Download Speed: Higher than 2,500 kbps Upload Speed: Higher than 1,000 kbps Latency: Less than 100 ms Back to Index
  • 42. 42© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Regional End-User Cloud Readiness (2015) Supporting Business and Consumer Applications on Fixed Networks* In 2015, 119 countries met the advanced single application readiness criteria for fixed networks, compared to 109 countries last year. * Non-Concurrent Apps Back to Index
  • 43. 43© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Regional End-User Cloud Readiness (2015) Supporting Business and Consumer Applications on Mobile Networks* Back to Index In 2015, 81 countries met the advanced single application readiness criteria for mobile networks, compared to 21 countries last year. * Non-Concurrent Apps
  • 44. 44© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Global Cloud Readiness Business and Consumer Network Requirements for Concurrent Apps Basic Cloud Apps Concurrent Support Intermediate Cloud Apps Concurrent Support Advanced Cloud Apps Concurrent Support Network Requirements: Download Speed: 1900 kbps Upload Speed: 600 kbps Latency: Above 160 ms Network Requirements: Download Speed: 1901–20,999 kbps Upload Speed: 601–8,999 kbps Latency: 159–100 ms Network Requirements: Download Speed: 21,000 kbps Upload Speed: 9,000 kbps Latency: Less than 100 ms + •  SD Video conferencing •  Personal content locker •  HD Video streaming •  Electronic health records •  ERP/CRM •  VoLTE •  Virtual office •  Connected medicine •  HD Video conferencing •  Stream ultra HD video •  High frequency stock trading •  Connected car safety applications •  Stream basic video/music •  Text communications •  VOIP •  Web browsing •  Web conferencing •  Cloud based learning management system + Back to Index
  • 45. 45© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Regional End-User Cloud Readiness (2015) Supporting Business and Consumer Applications on Fixed Networks (Concurrent Apps) Basic Cloud Application Ready Intermediate Cloud Application Ready Advanced Cloud Application Ready Average Broadband Speed High Low Back to Index High Low Latency APAC WE CEE NA LATAM MEA  USA     Finlan d   Swed en   Norw ay  
  • 46. 46© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Regional End-User Cloud Readiness (2015) Supporting Business and Consumer Applications on Mobile Networks (Concurrent Apps) Basic Cloud Application Ready Intermediate Cloud Application Ready Advanced Cloud Application Ready Average Broadband Speed High Low Back to Index High Low Latency Singap ore    Japan   South   Korea   Nether lands  NA WE CEE APAC LATAMMEA
  • 47. 47© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Latency Key for Cloud Applications: Asynchronous vs Synchronous Storage Asynchronous 100 ms Personal Content Locker Standard Backup Asynchronous Storage Latency Synchronous 5 ms Disaster Recovery Systems Data and Transaction Replication Synchronous Storage Latency Back to Index
  • 48. 48© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Fixed Overall Network Characteristics (2015) Back to Index 3rd Mean DL 25.4 Mbps 2nd Median DL 17.3 Mbps 3rd Mean UL 8.8 Mbps 3rd Median UL 4,8 Mbps 5th Mean DL 7.6 Mbps 5th Median DL 4.8 Mbps 5th Mean UL 2.4 Mbps 6th Median UL 0.9 Mbps 4th Mean DL 22.8 Mbps 4th Median DL 14.4 Mbps 4th Mean UL 7.4 Mbps 4th Median UL 3.0 Mbps 6th Mean DL 7.0 Mbps 6th Median DL 4.5 Mbps 6th Mean UL 2.2 Mbps 5th Median UL 0.9 Mbps 1st Mean DL 28.3 Mbps 3rd Median DL 17.3 Mbps 1st Mean UL 20.9 Mbps 1st Median UL 13.5 Mbps 2nd Mean DL 28.1 Mbps 1st Median DL 19.2 Mbps 2nd Mean UL 16.0 Mbps 2nd Median UL 9.3 Mbps North America Western Europe Central and Eastern Europe Latin America Middle East and Africa Asia Pacific
  • 49. 49© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Mobile Overall Network Characteristics (2015) Back to Index 1st Mean DL 16.3 Mbps 1st Median DL 12.3 Mbps 2nd Mean UL 6.5 Mbps 1st Median UL 4.4 Mbps 2nd Mean DL 13.8 Mbps 2nd Median DL 9.8 Mbps 4th Mean UL 4.8 Mbps 4th Median UL 2.4 Mbps 4th Mean DL 10.9 Mbps 4th Median DL 7.7 Mbps 1st Mean UL 7.7 Mbps 2nd Median UL 3.5 Mbps North America Western Europe Central and Eastern Europe 5th Mean DL 5.7 Mbps 5th Median DL 3.6 Mbps 6th Mean UL 2.0 Mbps 6th Median UL 1.0 Mbps 6th Mean DL 4.5 Mbps 6th Median DL 2.9 Mbps 5th Mean UL 2.3 Mbps 5th Median UL 1.1 Mbps 3rd Mean DL 12.1 Mbps 3rd Median DL 8.2 Mbps 3rd Mean UL 6.0 Mbps 3rd Median UL 3.3 Mbps Latin America Middle East and Africa Asia Pacific
  • 50. 50© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Cloud Data Security IaaS PaaS SaaS Back to Index Role of Cloud Provider: •  Managing access to applications, data, middleware, storage, networking Security action: •  Focus on establishing controls regarding users access to application •  Protect API keys •  Avoid single sign on, use strong passwords, certificates Role of Cloud Provider: •  Protecting data •  Ensure fail over services •  Regulatory compliance •  Provide secure development tools Security action: •  Data transfer and encryption of user managed data •  Managing application keys •  Additional requirements for handling of sensitive information Role of Cloud Provider: •  Manage virtual machines •  Ensure fail over services •  Regulatory compliance •  Manage multiple copies of software platforms on single piece of hardware Security action: •  Governance framework on how VMs are used •  Trusting the virtual machine image •  Hardening hosts •  Securing inter-host communication •  Managing application keys •  Audit trail of VMs and management
  • 51. 51© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 14% 28% 11% 47% Payment Data Personally identifiable information Protected health information Confidential data Profiling Cloud Security Breaches 47% of cloud sensitive data loss incidents involve confidential data Source: SkyHigh Cloud Adoption & Risk Report (Q3 2015)
  • 52. 52© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Enabling Authentication and Secure Internet Percentage of Secure Internet Servers to All Web Facing Servers Back to Index Western Europe 50% Asia Pacific 23% Central and Eastern Europe 29% Latin America 13% Middle East and Africa 10% North America 27%
  • 53. 53© 2015 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Cisco Global Cloud Index Where to Find More Information / Direct Questions •  Media Release •  GCI White Paper •  Cloud Readiness Report •  GCI Q&A •  GCI Highlights Tool •  Cloud Readiness Tool Back to Index www.cisco.com/go/cloudindex Please direct GCI questions to: traffic-inquiries@cisco.com