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Debre Tabor University
College of Business and Economics
Department of Economics
Course: Institution and Development
(EconDev5051)
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
August 04, 2022
1
e-mail: andnethilnew@gmail.com
course outline
 Chapter One: Introduction
 What are institutions?
 Do institutions matter in development?
 Chapter Two: Empirical evidence on the role of institutions
 Colonization
 Corruption
 Patronage politics
 Chapter Three: Informal institutions vs. Development
 Traditional institutions
 Chapter Four: Property rights institutions vs. Development
 Property titles
 Empowerment and efficiency
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Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
Assessment Method Weight
Assignment -1 (Individual)
(Critical review of an
article)
10 %
Assignment-2 (Individual) (Critical
review of an article)
20 %
Assignment-3 (Group) (Article
review with presentation)
20 %
Final Exam
50 %
3
4
1.1. The concept of development
Trends Development
 Growth in income
 Life expectancy
 HDI
 Welfare
 As freedom (Amartya
Sen: Nobel laureate in
economics)
 The process of improving
the quality of all human
lives and capabilities by
raising people’s levels of
living, self-esteem, and
freedom.
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Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 Every nation strives after
development. Economic
progress is an essential
component, but it is not
the only component.
 Development is not
purely an economic
phenomenon.
 In an ultimate sense, it
must encompass more
than the material and
financial side of people’s
lives, to expand human
freedoms. Development
should therefore be
perceived as a
multidimensional process
involving the
reorganization and
reorientation of entire
economic and social
systems. 6
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 In addition to improvements in incomes and output,
it typically involves radical changes in
institutional, social, and administrative
structures as well as in popular attitudes and even
customs and beliefs.
 Although development is usually defined in a
national context, its more widespread realization
may necessitate modification of the international
economic and social system as well.
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Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 Four Classic economic growth and development
Theories ----- all initiated after World War II
1) the linear-stages-of-growth model (e.g. Rostow and
H-D models)
2) theories and patterns of structural change (e.g. Lewis
and Chenery),
3) the international-dependence revolution,
4) the neoclassical, free-market counterrevolution (e.g.
Solow).
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Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
1. Linear stages of growth models
 Theorists of the 1950s and 1960s viewed the process of
development as a series of successive stages of
economic growth through which all countries must
pass. It was primarily an economic theory of
development in which the right quantity and mixture
of saving, investment, and foreign aid were all that was
necessary to enable developing nations to proceed
along an economic growth path that had historically
been followed by the more developed countries. 9
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 Development, thus, became synonymous with rapid,
aggregate economic growth.
2. structural change models
 which focused on theories and patterns of structural
change, used modern economic theory and statistical
analysis in an attempt to portray the internal process of
structural change that a “typical” developing country must
undergo if it is to succeed in generating and sustaining
rapid economic growth.
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Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
3. the international-dependence revolution
 It was more radical and more political. It viewed
underdevelopment in terms of international and
domestic power relationships, institutional and
structural economic rigidities, and the resulting
proliferation of dual economies and dual societies
both within and among the nations of the world.
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Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 Dependence theories tended to emphasize external
and internal institutional and political constraints on
economic development. Emphasis was placed on the
need for major new policies to eradicate poverty, to
provide more diversified employment opportunities,
and to reduce income inequalities.
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Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 These and other egalitarian objectives were to be
achieved within the context of a growing economy,
but economic growth per se was not given the exalted
status accorded to it by the linear stages and
structural-change models
13
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
4. This neoclassical (neoliberal) counterrevolution
 It emphasized the beneficial role of free markets, open
economies, and the privatization of inefficient public
enterprises. Failure to develop, according to this theory, is
not due to exploitive external and internal forces as
expounded by dependence theorists. Rather, it is primarily
the result of too much government intervention and
regulation of the economy.
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Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 Endogenous growth models (Romer 1986,
Lucas 1988), take into consideration elements
(such as increasing return to scale, human
capital, externalities) whose origins it is not
difficult to make to go back to the economic
relations that are settled down between the
agents, and therefore to the institutions.
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Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
Introduction:
1. Stylised Facts about Global Income Inequality
Country
Per capita GDP in
Population
(millions)
Manufacturing
share of GDP
1981 2021 1981 2021 1981 2021
Ethiopia 303.45 852.00 36 118 4.4 4.6
Kenya 1242.33 1643.57 17.06 54.99 10.58 7.24
Rwanda 439.19 902.62 5.33 13.28 15.74 9.18
India 401.48
1961.42
715.38 1.39
(Billion) 16.77
13.1
Country Per capita GDP in Population
(millions)
Manufacturing
share of GDP (%)
1981 2021 1981 2020 1981 2020
South Korea
4282.34 32644 38.72 51.74 21.83 25.39
Malaysia 3159.54 10827 14.13 32.78 21.30 23.49
Indonesia 1130.19 3855.8
150.94 276.36
13.43
(1983) 19.25
China 447.12 11188.3 993.885 1.41 billion
31.98
(2004) 27.44
Japan
20011 35278 117.66 125.68
23.47
(1994)
19.75
(2020)
Country Per capita GDP Population
(millions)
Manufacturing %
of GDP
1981 2021 1981 2021 1981 2021
Israel
25179.97
(1995) 39913.1
3.88 9.36 15.5
(1995)
11.32
(2020)
DRC
1019.47 517.93
27.04 92.4 8.84
(1996)
17.43
Botswana
1946.31 6887.75
0.93 2.4
6.06
5.67
(2020)
Country Per capita GDP Population
(millions)
Manufacturing
% of GDP
1981 2021 1981 2021 1981 2021
New Zealand 24,397 4,0778
3.12 5.12
26.04
9.83
(2019)
Netherlands
25,980 48,424 14.25 17.53 15.85 10.85
Ghana
904 2084
11.35 31.7
5.97 10.7
Singapore 14,737 66,176 2.53 5.45 25.76 20.54
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD) 19
 The basic question to be addressed is that why
poor countries are poor
 Potential Causes of per capita income variation
across nations
 Variation in Natural resource endowment???????? Natural
resource abundant economies tend to grow slower than
economies without substantial resources.
 For e.g., growth losers, such as Nigeria, Zambia, Sierra
Leone, Angola, Saudi Arabia and Venezuela,
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Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
are all resource-rich, while the Asian tigers:
Korea, Taiwan, Hong Kong and Singapore, are
all resource-poor.
 BUT many growth winners such as Botswana,
Canada, Australia, and Norway are rich in
resources.
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Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 Sachs and Warner (1995) rent-seeking
hypothesis: resource abundance leads to a fall
in institutional quality in turn lowering
growth. Found that this mechanism was
empirically unimportant.
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Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 Botswana, with 40% of GDP stemming from
diamonds, has had the worlds highest growth rate
since 1965. Acemoglu et al. (2002) attribute this
remarkable performance to the good institutions
of Botswana. Another example is Norway.
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Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 On the other hand, in countries with weak
states, resource abundance stimulate
violence, theft and looting, by financing
rebel groups, warlord competition
(Skaperdas, 2002), or civil wars. Collier and
Hoeffler (2000) find that `the extent of primary
commodity exports is the largest single
influence on the risk of conflict'.
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 Variation in Capital accumulation
??????????????? Discuss with examples of
theoretical explanation. Compare H-D and
Solow with endogenous growth models

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 Cultural and geographical differences.????????
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 Differences in institutional set up????????????
Review using empirical
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1.2. Definitions of Institutions
 the rules of society that provide a framework of
incentives that shape economic, political, and
social organization and behaviour.
 Traditional economics considers institutions as
mere details rather than critical drivers of
economic growth and development. Do you agree?
Why and why not?
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 Three important features of institutions are apparent
in this definition:
a. a. They are “ humanly devised, which contrasts with
other potential fundamental causes, like geographic
factors, which are outside human control;
b. They are “the rules of the game” setting
“constraints” on human behaviour;
c. Their major effect will be through incentives (see
also North, 1981).
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So, institutions are:
 Arrangements that coordinate the behaviour of
individuals in society.
 Institutions are sets of regulatory norms.
 An institution is a stable, valued, recurring
pattern of behaviour.
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Example of category of economic institutions
 Trust
 Information
 Property rights and Privatizations
 Rent-seeking, Groups of pressure and lobbies
 Bribe/corruption
 Reputation and Values
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 Mechanisms of selection,
 Competition and cooperation
Intermediary
Bureaucracy
Organizations
Laws and constitutions
Industrial relations
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD) 32
Markets require non-market institutions to work well
33
a. Markets are not self-creating
i. Property rights
ii. Contract enforcement
b. Markets are not self-regulating
i. Regulatory authorities
ii. Correction of market and coordination
failures
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
34
c. Markets are not self-stabilizing
i. Monetary, fiscal and currency
arrangements
d. Markets are not self-legitimating
i. Political democracy
ii. Social insurance
iii. Redistribution
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 The school of thought that discourse the
relevance of institution is called institutional
economics
 Do you think that institutional economics
different from neoclassical theory?
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Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 Why do you think the structural adjustment program and
other programs enhanced by WB and IMF failed in Africa?
 It is because they were designed as institution-free
technocratic reforms
 Institutional differences across countries were ignored,
thereby recommending identikit policies, in what has
come to be known as the ‘one size-fits-all’ approach
to economic policy
36
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 Today, it is widely accepted even by many orthodox
economists that policies directly derived from the
experiences of the developed countries – or, even
worse, from economic textbooks – are likely to fail in
developing countries, where certain institutions
whose existence these policies take for granted (e.g.,
well-defined private property rights, a developed
government bond market) simply do not exist.
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Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 countries escape poverty only when they have
appropriate economic institutions, especially private
property and competition.
 How countries can establish the right
institutions?
 when they have an open pluralistic political system
with competition for political office, a widespread
electorate, and openness to new political leaders.
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Conclusion
 Institutions matter in enhancing development of poor
countries.
 Countries with better "institutions" (more secure
property rights and less distortionary policies):
 will invest more in physical and human capital
 will use the factors (physical and human capital)
more efficiently to achieve a greater level of
income.
39
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
Chapter Two: Empirical evidence on the role
of institutions
2.1. The effect of Colonization on Institutional
development
 Do institutions matter in development?
 Illustration based on the article titled:
 The Colonial Origins of Comparative
Development: An Empirical Investigation
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Colonization continued
 Author(s): Daron Acemoglu, Simon Johnson,
James A. Robinson
 Source: The American Economic Review, Vol. 91,
No. 5 (Dec., 2001), pp. 1369-1401
 Published by: American Economic Association
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Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 Theories about the role of institutions in economic
development:
 Douglass C. North and Robert P. Thomas, 1973; Eric L. Jones,
1981; North, 1981:
 Countries with better "institutions" (more secure
property rights and less distortionary policies):
 will invest more in physical and human capital
 will use the factors (physical and human capital)
more efficiently to achieve a greater level of
income. 42
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 Macro level studies support cross-country
correlations between measures of property rights and
economic development (Stephen Knack and Philip
Keefer, 1995; Paulo Mauro, 1995; Robert E. Hall and
Charles I. Jones, 1999; Dani Rodrik, 1999).
 Micro studies also indicated +ve relationship between
property rights and investment or output (e.g.,
Timothy Besley, 1995; Christopher Mazingo, 1999;
Johnson et al., 1999).
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Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 More evidence:
 the divergent paths of North and South Korea.
 East and West Germany, where one part of the country
stagnated under central planning and collective
ownership, while the other prospered with private
property and a market economy.
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 Why this article?
 To estimate the impact of institutions on economic
performance and propose the exogenous
determinant of institutional difference among
countries colonized by European countries.
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Three premises:
i. European powers set up "extractives states” and
Neo-Europes.
 the main purpose of the extractive state was to
transfer as much of the resources of the colony to the
colonizer (example: Belgian colonization of Congo)
 No protection for private property
 No check and balance against government
expropriation.
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Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 Neo-Europes are European settlers in colonies.
 The Neo-Europes tried to replicate European
institutions with strong emphasis on private property
and checks against government power.
 Example: Neo-Europes in Australia, New Zealand,
Canada, and the United States.
ii. In places where the disease environment was not
favourable to European settlement, the formation
of the extractive state was more likely.
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iii. The colonial state and institutions persisted even
after independence.
 Given these premises, what is the instrument for
current institutions in the colonies?
 the instrument is mortality rates expected by the
first European settlers.
 Data used:
 mortality rates of soldiers, bishops, and sailors
stationed in the colonies (b/n 17th and 19th
century) 48
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FIGURE : RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN INCOME AND SETTLER MORTALITY
OF 70 SAMPLE NATIONS
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 The figure shows a strong negative relationship.
 This relationship reflects the effect of settler
mortality working through the institutions brought
by Europeans.
 To substantiate this, the authors regress current
performance (logGDP per capita income in 1995)
on current institutions (current institutions
instrumented by settler mortality rates).
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 Colonies where Europeans faced higher mortality rates
are today substantially poorer than colonies that were
healthy for Europeans.
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Mortality rate comparison:
 Annual mortality rate of local troops serving with
British army in India (Madras) was 13/1000.
 Annual mortality rate of British troops serving in
India (Madras) was 170/1000 due to lack of
immunity.
 Annual mortality rate of British troops serving in
British 15/1000.
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 Based on the previous premises the hypothesis to be
tested in the model is:
 Settler mortality affected settlements; settlements
affected early institutions; and early institutions
persisted and formed the basis of current institutions.
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OLS RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN EXPROPRIATION RISK AND
INCOME:
54
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OLS RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN SETTLER MORTALITY
AND EXPROPRIATION RISK :
55
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 Summery:
 Differences in colonial experience could be a
source of exogenous differences in institutions.
 Neo-Europes strategy adopted by Europeans set up
institutions that enforced the rule of law and
encouraged investment.
 Example: U.S.A, Australia and New Zealand
56
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 Extractive state strategy adopted by Europeans was
detrimental (harmful) to investment and economic
progress. Example: Congo
 The colonization strategy was in part determined by
the feasibility of European settlement.
 Early institutions persisted to the present.
 NB: The article does not imply that institutions today
are predetermined only by colonial policies and
cannot be changed.
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2.2. The effect of Corruption on dev’t
 Title: OBTAINING A DRIVER’S LICENSE IN INDIA: AN
EXPERIMENTAL APPROACH TO STUDYING
CORRUPTION
 Authors: MARIANNE BERTRAND, SIMEON DJANKOV,
REMA HANNA, SENDHIL MULLAINATHAN
 Journal: The Quarterly Journal of Economics,
November 2007
58
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Why this study?
 To clear thought about debatable ideas (arguments)
on corruption:
 Argument 1: Corruption merely “greases the
wheels” of the bureaucracy (efficiency
implications of corruption).
 Argument 2: Corruption harms the society
(distortions in how bureaucrats allocate services)
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Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 GETTING A DRIVER’S LICENSE IN DELHI, INDIA
Two paths to get a driving license in India:
 Agent path (costs applicants 2.5 times of the official
fee) extra legal payments.
 Official path
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Methodology
 International Finance Corporation (IFC) followed 822
driver’s license candidates, collecting data on whether
they obtained licenses as well as detailed micro data
on:
 the specific procedures
 time and
 expenditures involved
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 At the end of the process, the IFC administered an
independent surprise driving test (simulating the
test that is supposed to be given by the
bureaucrats) to determine whether individuals
who were granted a license could drive.
 How an accredited driving school administer surprise
practical driving test?
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 oral examination to judge whether a subject could
operate a car (unable to answer this exam let the subject
to be cancelled from taking practical driving exam)
 Ex: Basic knowledge questions like; “which pedal would
you use to speed up? “how would you start the car?”
 if the subject pass the oral exam, the test-giver administer
a road test.
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To understand whether and how corruption affects
allocation of license, candidates were randomly
assigned to one of the following three groups:
 Bonus group
 Lesson group
 Comparison group
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 The “bonus group” offered a large financial reward if
they were able to obtain a license in 32 days.
 The “lesson group” offered free driving lessons, to be
taken immediately after recruitment into the survey.
 The comparison group were simply tracked through
the process.
 Incentives provided by IFC for each group that could
motivate the subjects to share their experience to the
project team:
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 As an inducement to return, each subject was offered
Rs 800 upon completion of the final survey.
 However, to generate a stronger incentive for obtaining
a license, the IFC also offered a bonus of Rs 2,000 (on
top of Rs 800 for completing the surveys) for the bonus
group, if the individuals could obtain their permanent
licenses within 32 days.
 NB: Normally total official fee to obtain a license is Rs
450.
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Why additional reward?
 to ensure a large enough treatment effect.
 Why the three groups?
 The bonus treatment allows us to assess whether and
how the allocation of licenses responds to
willingness to pay. That is:
 Are a group that are willing to pay more for licenses more
likely to get licenses?
 But also, are there more unqualified drivers receiving
licenses in such a group? 67
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 The lesson treatment allows us to assess whether
allocation decisions by the bureaucracy are
responsive to the socially desirable component of
the regulatory process– one’s ability to drive.
 The comparison (control group) allows us to show how
the variables (performance indicators) in the
treatment group (bonus and lesson) statistically differ
from the untreated group (control group).
68
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Licensing status of participants
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Findings of the Experiment (OLS Result) 70
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The way to proceed:
 We will see the OLS result of the bonus group first and
that of the lesson group next.
 Impact of each independent variable (being in the
bonus and lesson group) on the dependent variables
(outcomes) is indicated relative to that of the
comparison group (control group).
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 Findings of being in the bonus group:
 Significance at the 10% level is represented by ∗, at the
5% level by ∗∗, and at the 1% level by ∗∗∗.
 All the dependent variables in the column headings
are dummy variables. (Ex: 1 if a given individual
obtained a permanent driver’s license and 0
otherwise).
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 The dependent variable in column 2 is different from
column 1 as the dependent variable “Obtained license”
(or the outcome) in column 2 exclude 65 subjects who
indicated their final licensing status to the project
team over the phone but refused to attend the final
session to take the survey and driving exam.
 However similar results are indicated in these two
samples. That is:
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Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 individuals in the bonus group are about 25 percentage
points more likely to obtain final licenses at 1% significant
level.
 Individuals in the bonus group are 42 percentage points
more likely to get their permanent licenses within 32 days
or less (see column 3).
 Hence, these first findings suggest that individuals who
have a greater need to get a license quickly are able to
achieve their objective.
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 Increased propensity to get a license comes at a social
cost: more bad drivers (see column 4).
 Individuals in the bonus group are 13 percentage
points more likely to get their permanent licenses
without taking the legally required RTO exam
(column 4).
 Columns (5)–(8) shows that the lack of testing is
accompanied by an increase in the number of licensed
drivers with poor driving skills.
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 Individuals in the bonus group are 29 percentage
points more likely to obtain licenses without
having anyone teach them how to drive (column
5) and are not more likely to have attended
driving schools (column 6).
 They are also much worse drivers than the
comparison group: they are 18 percentage points
more likely to be licensed drivers who
automatically fail the independent driving test
(column 7). 76
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 They are 22 percentage points more likely to be
licensed drivers who score below average (50%) on
the independent test (column 8).
 In this regard, it is useful to benchmark how bad the
marginal drivers actually are.
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 The failure rate on the independent exam is 0.60
(0.29/0.48) among the licensed drivers in the
comparison group (see column 2 and 7).
 However, the failure rate on the independent exam
is 0.75 (0.18/0.25) among the marginally new
licensed drivers in the bonus group (see column 2
and 7).
 Summery of findings of the bonus group:
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Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 The evidence reported suggests that a bureaucratic
system responsive to a higher willingness to pay
(captured by the bonus group) for a license translates
into:
 an increase in the number of license getters (a socially
efficient component of the bureaucratic response)
 an increase in the number of license getters who do
not know how to drive (a socially inefficient
component of the bureaucratic response).
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 Findings of being in the lesson group:
 Under an extreme view of a corrupt bureaucracy, one
might expect the allocation of licenses to be driven only
by willingness to pay.
 Thus, considering findings of the lesson group could help
us whether the bureaucracy is totally responsive to
willingness to pay or not.
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 Columns (1) and (2) show that individuals in the
lesson group are between 12 and 15 percentage
points more likely than the comparison group to
obtain permanent licenses.
 Individuals in the lesson group are not more likely
than individuals in the comparison group to
obtain licenses within 32 days and without taking
the RTO`s exam (column 3&4).
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 The lesson group are also more likely to obtain their
licenses while having had someone teach them
how to drive (column 5) and especially having
attended a driving school (column 6).
 The lesson group are 12 percentage point less likely
to obtain their licenses had someone didn`t teach
them (column 5).
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Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 The lesson group are 35 percentage point more
likely to obtain their licenses had attended
driving school (column 6).
 The lesson group are 22 percentage point less likely
to fail the independent exam(column 7).
 The lesson group are 18 percentage point less likely
to score less than average (50%) of the
independent exam(column 7).
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 Summary of findings of the lesson group:
 Individuals access to driving lessons did raise their
driving skills and also increased the likelihood that
they obtained driver’s licenses.
 This finding is consistent with the view that
bureaucrats do not completely ignore driving
ability in the allocation of licenses.
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Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
2.3. Article on Patronage Politics
 Patronage Politics = political corruption = with
politically connected firms = Wilfully defaulting
 Title: DO LENDERS FAVOR POLITICALLY
CONNECTED FIRMS?
 Authors: Asim Ijaz Khwaja and Atif Mian (April 2005)
 Published: The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 120,
No. 4, pp. 1371-1411
85
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 The paper deals with how firms political
connections (networks) favour firms access to
loan and the overall economic cost of
preferential treatment.
 Why this study? Justification of the study
 Despite a rich theoretical literature that explain
economic costs of corruption and rent-seeking, there
is limited empirical work.
86
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 Cross country studies so far related corruption to poor
do not identify channels through which corruption
and rent provision occurs.
 Politics and Lending: The Institutional Environment in
Pakistan
i. Politicians and Corruption: Politics in Pakistan has
been closely linked to clientelism, rent-seeking and
corruption.
 Clientlism (patronage politics) is the exchange of g & s
for political support(often involving an implicit or explicit
quid-pro-quo).
87
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 Simply, reward for political supporters.
 it is an exchange system where voters trade
political support for various outputs of public
decision making process.
 Rent-seeking is an attempt to obtain economic
rent by manipulating (controlling) regulatory
agencies to gain monopolistic advantages while
imposing disadvantages on competitors.
88
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)

 Rent-seeking is an attempt to obtain economic rent
by manipulating the social and political
environment rather than by creating new wealth.
 Corruption is illegitimate use of public power to
benefit a private interest.
89
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
ii. A Mechanism for Political Rents:
 How does political corruption carried out?
 Based on National Accountability Bureau, lion`s
share of large scale corruption (in terms of the
amount of corrupt money changing hands)
happened by:
90
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 taxation departments
 state-owned banks and development finance
institutions
 power sector utilities and
 civil works departments
 Government Bank`s Act of Pakistan in 1974:
 The act explicitly states that:
91
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 the top hierarchy of government banks (i.e.,
chairman, president and board members) are to be
appointed by the government.
 the board determines the credit , personnel
policies of the bank (including appointment and
removal of officers and employees) and
guidelines for entering into any compromise
with borrowers and other customers of the bank.
92
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 Methodology
i. Data:
 two primary data sets:
 detailed loan level information for every corporate
loan made in Pakistan from 1996 to 2002 (from Credit
Information Bureau (CIB) in Pakistan)
 electoral outcomes for the two elections that overlap
the loan data period
93
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 CIB data base includes:
 loan outstanding by loan type (fixed, working
capital, etc.)
 default amounts and litigation (on judiciary
process)
 write-offs or recoveries against the loans
 information on the name, location and directorship of
the borrowing firms and lending banks
94
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
ii. Matching Politicians to Firms
 The CIB data includes names and addresses of all
directors of a borrowing firm.
 Since almost all firms are private firms directors are
typically one of the main owners of the firm.
 Who is politician?
 A politician is defined as any individual who stood in
the national or provincial elections.
95
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 A politician is matched to a firm director, if their full
(first, middle and last) names match exactly.
iii. Mechanism to check politically connected firms
obtain loan in the form of preferential lending
(preferential treatment) :
 Credit access (loan size)
 Default rate
96
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
iv. Model: OLS regression based on the cross section data
base.
 specification of the model:
 Model 1: Model to test measures of preferential treatment
 Where Yij= measures of preferential treatment
 Politicali = Measure of the firm is politically connected
or not ( is coefficient of interest).

97
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 captures the preferential treatment a politically
connected firm receives, and henceforth shall be
referred to as the political preference effect.
 Example: When default rate is the dependent
variable we can interpret as the additional
default by politicians per dollar of borrowed
amount.
98
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 Model 2: to test whether the same firm receives
(greater) preferential treatment if it is politically
connected when it borrows from a government
compared to a private bank.

 Where Govj = is an indicator variable for whether the
lender is a government bank or private bank.
99
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 Results/Findings:
 Result based on model 1( preferential treatment for
politically connected firms)
 (coefficient of interest) captures the extent to
which a politically connected firm receives
preferential lending from a government bank as
compared to the unconnected.
100
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
101
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 Column(1) presents evidence for political
preference in terms of credit usage.
 – Loans to politically connected firms are 37% as
large as those to unconnected firms .
 Politically connected firms default 6.2
percentage points more than unconnected ones.
 To sum up, politically connected firms receive
preferential treatment on two accounts: They are
able to borrow larger amounts and their default
rates are higher. 102
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
Result based on model 2(Political Rents and Government
Banks)

103
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 Since government banks are more susceptible to
political force (in Pakistan) due to their organizational
design we expect them to provide greater rents
(benefits) to politically connected firms.
 •Thus, we are going to examine whether this is the case
for the two measures of preferential treatment,
default rate and access to credit.
104
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
Preferential Treatment: Default Rate
 •Restricting the data to loans from government
banks only shows that loans to the politically
connected firms have 11 percentage points higher
default rates.
 • Restricting the data to loans from private banks
only there is hardly any difference in default rates
between the politically connected and
unconnected firms in private bank loans.
105
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 The coefficient of interest is the double interaction
term ( (Political*Government)) that shows
politically connected firms default 9.9
percentage points more than the unconnected in
loans from government banks relative to loans
from private banks (column 5).
106
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 Under column (5), what does the small negative
coefficient (-0.78) on the dummy for political firms
show?
 It might show that greater monitoring or better
selection for politically connected firms by
private banks.
107
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
108
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 Preferential Treatment: Accesses to Credit
 Here, we restrict to firms that borrow at least 1% of
their lending from each type of bank.
 That is firms that borrow from a single bank type are
not included as they do not directly affect our
coefficient of interest
 Moreover, comparing preferential treatment for loan
requires controlling the demand effect.
109
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 In other words, access to credit for the politically
connected firms might be larger simply because their
demand is higher which prevent us from generalizing
preferential treatment is given to the political firms.
 To avoid this demand effect, comparison was made
among firms with the same credit demand.
110
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 The OLS Result (credit access):
 Government banks provide 29 percent more loan
to politically connected firms than the
unconnected from government banks relative to
loans from private banks.
111
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 The Costs of Rents (Preferential Treatment)
 Cost of corrupt lending to the economy analyzed:
 Loss of taxation
 Cost of investment distortion
 Loss of taxation:
 This refers to costs due to the increased taxation
necessary to bail out bad government loans.
 Loans that default due to political corruption can be
considered as a transfer payment to politicians.
112
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 The transfer is ultimately from tax payers as the
government uses its revenues to bail out government
banks.
 To obtain the cost of taxation from such transfers we
need to estimate the size of this transfer (i.e. the extra
default or incremental loss due to corrupt
lending).
 To get the extra default we need to subtract the
natural default rate from the corrupt lending default
rate 113
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 Based on data of Pakistan:
 Natural default rate = 6%
 Corrupt lending to PCF= 30.8%
 Then, extra default = 30.8%-6%=24.8%
 Given total government banks lending of Rs 190
billion ($ 3.2 billion) in 2002, 38 % of which was given
to politically connected firms, the total
additional revenue lost from political corruption
is Rs 17.9 billion annually (190*0.38*0.248).
114
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 •However, even non-political loans have
substantial elements of rents because such loans
also face a high default rate (19.9 percent).
 • Subtracting the natural default rate from it, we could
have incremental loss of 13.9%.
 • Thus, if we count non-political loan default on
government banks the taxation revenue lost from
corruption is Rs 34.3 billion annually (17.9 +
190*0.62*0.139).
115
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 Conservative DWL estimates indicated that the
marginal costs of taxation is at around 40 cents for
every dollar raised [Ballard et al., 1985].
 • Accordingly, the DWL of revenue lost for Pakistan
was found to be Rs 13.7 billion each year or 0.3% of
GDP annually.
 Cost of investment distortion:
 refers to the foregone value when corrupt loans are
poorly invested.
116
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 • If influential like politicians get cheap money from
government banks, they are unlikely to invest
their loans efficiently. Why?
 rates of return to investment might be lower
 may not invest at all and simply consume it
 deposit it in offshore accounts
117
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 To estimate the cost of such investment distortion, one
needs to know the rate of return to corrupt lending.
 To calculate the rate of return what one need to know
is market and book value of the firm.
 Rate of return=MV/BV.
 Using this approach, a Market to Book ratio for
Pakistan estimated at 2.96.
118
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 Given MV/BV ratio of 2.96, annual costs of investment
distortion is found to be Rs 35 billion to Rs 67 billion
or 0.8% to 1.6% of GDP each year. That is:
 Inv`t distortion cost = (2.96-1) *(Inefficient Government
Lending)
 where the inefficient government lending is either corrupt
lending to PCF or corrupt lending to all firms (i.e., Rs17.9
billion or Rs 34.3 billion)
 2.96-1 gives the return rate had the corrupt loan invested.
119
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
Chapter Three:
Traditional Institution and Development
Traditional institutions
 Institutions are the rules of behaviour in a society,
or more formally speaking, the restrictions on which
man has figured out how to shape human interaction
 informal institutions— unwritten rules of
behaviour, social norms, networks.
 e.g. In the Ethiopia context.
120
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 Besides formal institutions, i.e. constitutions, laws,
property rights,
 informal institutions encompass customs,
traditions and codes of conduct.
121
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 Economic institutions significantly affect economic
incentives in society and the achievement of certain
economic outcomes, that may be formed through
formal or informal institutions.
122
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 By increasing human and social capital certain
communities reach a more efficient use of the
institutional framework
 However, the observation of the institutional
framework is most frequently focused exclusively on
formal institutions.
123
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 In addition, to formal institutions, a significant
impact is achievable through informal institutions as
well.
 Thus, legal or formal institutions that do not
have strong “informal” supports are unsupported
legislative declarations rather than real
institutions.
124
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
Within the framework of the definition, informal
institutions refer to:
 extension, argumentation and
 codification of formal rules that go beyond the official
limits,
 socially punishable norms of behaviour,
 including behaviour, customs, adopted rules of
behaviour and tradition.
125
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 A stronger influence of informal institutions in
relation to the rule of law commonly occurs in certain
periods of crisis, such as war.
 the institutions are formed according to the official
rules, informal constraints and their enforcement
characteristics.
126
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 Informal rules of behaviour are much more complex
and they include the way in which certain things are
done, whereby the norms as part of an informal
institutional framework become almost more
important than formal rules of behaviour
127
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 To reduce risk and transaction costs humans create
institutions, writing and enforcing constitutions,
laws, contracts and regulations—so-called formal
institutions—and
 structuring and inculcating norms of conduct,
beliefs and habits of thought and behaviour—or
informal institutions.
128
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 the performance of a market economy depends upon
the formal and informal institutions and modes of
organization that facilitate private transactions and
cooperative behaviour.
 Norms, beliefs and similar informal institutions seem
to be deeply engrained and the product of intractable
factors, such as a society’s history or its ethnic,
religious, or linguistic heterogeneity. What can a
society do if its culture is inhospitable?
129
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 If the relationship between formal and informal
institutions is critical to economic performance, if
that relationship is poorly understood, and, worst of
all,
 If our basic ability to alter slow-moving institutions is
limited, we may not be capable of providing the policy
advice that statesmen and bureaucrats regularly seek”
130
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
Empirical Evidence:
Role of traditional institutions
 Title: Traditional Institutions Meet the Modern
World: Caste, Gender and Schooling Choice in a
Globalizing Economy
 Authors: Kaivan Munshi and Mark Rosenzweig (2006)
Publication: American Economic Review, Vol. 96, N. 4.
131
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 The paper addresses the question of:
 how traditional institutions interact with the
forces of globalization? Or
 how old institutions clash with the forces of
globalization in shaping responses of
individuals in the new economy.
132
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 It is crucial to deal with this issue as the interaction or
the clash shape the economic activity and welfare
of particular groups of individuals in the new
economy.
 Thus, the authors explored the role of traditional
institution (or the caste system) in shaping career
choices by gender in Bombay Dadar area in India.
133
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 What is caste system?
 Caste system (in India) is a system of social
stratification which historically separated
communities into thousands of endogamous
hereditary groups called jatis.
 Jatis are translated into English as castes.
 Endogamy is the practice of marrying within a specific
ethnic group, class or social group rejecting others for
marriage or any kind of close relationship.
134
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 Castes could be divided as:
 The upper caste (this grant administrative job and
senior appointments)
 The Lower caste
 Our concern here is that the interaction of lower
castes with the forces of globalization.
135
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 Classification of job in India:
 working class job (traditional hourly works or manual
industrial works that labourers do on wage basis)
 White collar job (non-traditional works that are
usually salaried)
Medium of instruction:
 Marathi
 English
136
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
The Institutional Setting:
 i. Bombay’s Labor Market
 ii. The schools in Dadar
 Bombay’s Labor Market
 This frequent job turnover gave rise to labor market
networks.
137
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 The labor market networks are crucial in case:
 the quality of a freshly hired worker is difficult to
assess and
 performance-contingent wage contracts cannot be
implemented.
 This information asymmetry give rise to:
 jobbers to lean on social connections outside his
workplace such as his kinship and neighbour
hood connections.
138
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 The endogamous sub-caste or jati served as a natural
social unit from which to recruit labor.
 Why this?
 because marriage ties strengthen information flows
and improve enforcement.
 This widespread use of caste-based networks thus
led to a fragmentation of the Bombay labor
market along social lines.
139
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 Caste-based networks in Bombay were restricted to
working class jobs.
 –because the information and enforcement problems
that give rise to such networks tend to be more acute
(sensitive) in working class jobs.
 Women were conspicuously absent from Bombay’s labor
force, particularly in the working class jobs.
 This patterns of labor force participation by gender will
help us explain the schooling choice dynamics (for
boys and girls). 140
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 The Schools in Dadar
 Here, we will highlight the medium of instruction as
the salient feature of schooling choice in Dadar.
 The choice of the language of instruction proxies for
school quality.
 Justification?
Based on school based survey conducted:
 school quality indicators (such as student-teacher
ratio, class size, number of students per desk,
141
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 computers per student, and the proportion of teachers
with B.Ed. degrees and postgraduate degrees) are each
very similar.
 English schools are relatively expensive. In contrast,
school fees in the Marathi schools are subsidized
by the state government.
 Performance of English school students on
standardized secondary school certificate is
better.
142
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
Students in the English schools perform much better in
terms of: percentage that pass
 percentage that receive a first class and
 Percentage that receive a distinction.
 The better performance of English schools students
could be explained as differential in selection
ability into English and Marathi schools
(differential in pre-school ability or human
capital).
143
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 The survey also indicated that parents who worry
for their children`s role in the society dominate
those parents worry for school quality in their
schooling choice.
144
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 Conclusions
 •Male working class networks significantly affect
schooling choice of male students which could
contribute to persistence of the traditional
occupation.
 However, the cohort effect indicates gradual
decline of the role the working class network due
to the relatively higher return in the non-
traditional occupation (white-collar).
145
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 Girls appear to be taking full advantage of the
opportunities that have become available in the new
economy.
 Individuals schooled in English no longer needs the
traditional caste network; indeed, the English
educated form a caste by themselves.
 • Remark:
 –Bad institutions retard nations & vice versa.
146
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
Chapter Four:
Property Right and Development
 Property :
Tangible: Housing, land
Land as property requires tenure
Intangible : intellectual ======== copy right vs
patent right
Right: control over assets and the “return to the
assets that are produced and improved”
147
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 Copyright, which includes literary and artistic works
such as novels, poems and plays, films, musical works,
artistic works such as drawings, paintings,
photographs and sculptures, and architectural
designs.
 Industry property right is a term referring to
creation of the intellect for which a monopoly is
assigned to designated owners by law, i.e., inventions
(patents), trademarks, industrial designs, and
geographic indications of source 148
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 Property right is secure when the right holder
perceives it to be stable and predictable over a
reasonable period of time and
 protected from expropriation or arbitrary
change, with claims that are backed up by some type
of authority.
 Security typically implies the ability to appropriate
benefits arising from a particular property right.
149
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 The economic case for secure property rights is that
growth depends on investment;
 however, investors do not invest if there is a risk of
government or private expropriation
 property owners can legally exclude others from using
a good or asset.
150
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 Four main channels through which secure property
rights influence economic activity and resource
allocation
1. Security channel whereby investment is expected to
lead to a flow of income, which needs to be
protected against expropriation through secure, well-
defined property rights.
151
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 Such protection provides incentive to invest; by
implication, insecure property rights could mean
that firms or individuals may fail to realise the fruits
of their investment and efforts.
2. Efficiency channel, enhancing the mobility of
assets through transactions such that assets are
transferred to those who can use them most
productively.
152
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
3. Reduced protection costs – secure property rights
mean that individuals can devote fewer resources to
protecting their property and these resources can go
to productive uses.
4. Transactions facilitation – property rights allow for
the use of property in supporting other transactions
by using it as collateral to raise resources on the
financial market. This may increase productivity.
153
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
154
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 Thus, property right is one of the non- market
institution
 The standard model of traditional economics
assumes a well-defined set of property rights.
 It also assumes that contracts are signed with no fear
that they will be revoked when it suits one of the
parties.
155
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 So, in the background there exists institutions that
establish and protect property rights and enforce
contracts.
 a system of laws and courts to make even
"perfect" markets function are required.
 the market economy is necessarily "embedded" in a
set of non-market institutions
156
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 The establishment of secure and stable property
rights have been a key element in the rise of the West
and the onset of modern economic growth.
 It stands to reason that an entrepreneur would not
have the incentive
 to accumulate and innovate unless s/he has adequate
control over the return to the assets that are thereby
produced or improved.
157
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 Note that the key word is "control" rather than
"ownership."
 Formal property rights do not count for much if they
do not confer control rights.
 By the same token, sufficiently strong control rights
may do the trick even in the absence of formal
property rights.
158
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 Russia today represents a case where shareholders
have property rights but often lack effective control
over enterprises.
 Town and village enterprises (TVEs) in China are an
example where control rights have spurred
entrepreneurial activity despite the absence of clearly
defined property rights.
159
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 Establishing "property rights" is not a matter of just
passing a piece of legislation.
 Legislation in itself is neither necessary nor sufficient
for the provision of the secure control rights.
 In practice, control rights are upheld by a combination
of legislation, private enforcement, and custom and
tradition.
160
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 They may be distributed more narrowly or more
diffusely than property rights.
 Stakeholders can matter as much as shareholders.
161
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
Empirical Evidence
 Title: Effects of property rights on agricultural
production: The Nigerian experience
 Authors: A. A. Akinola* and R. Adeyemo (2013)
 Published on: Journal of Development and Agricultural
Economics. Vol. 5 No. 10, pp. 382-389
162
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 The study was conducted to examine the effects of
property rights and other factors on the outputs of
maize, yam and cassava in three zones of Osun State
in Nigeria.
163
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
 This study employed a multi-stage sampling
technique to select 105 farmers involving growers of
maize, yam and cassava in the study area.
 Data were analyzed with the aid of descriptive
statistics, budgetary techniques and a multiple linear
regression model.
164
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
Findings
 Land rights type (having either use right/use and
transfer right) and security of land defined by
duration of land use affected maize output while
duration and ownership type affected yam output,
whereas, duration only affect cassava output.
165
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
166
Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)

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Chapter 1 and 2 Institution and Development.pptx

  • 1. Debre Tabor University College of Business and Economics Department of Economics Course: Institution and Development (EconDev5051) Yismaw Ayelign (PhD) August 04, 2022 1 e-mail: andnethilnew@gmail.com
  • 2. course outline  Chapter One: Introduction  What are institutions?  Do institutions matter in development?  Chapter Two: Empirical evidence on the role of institutions  Colonization  Corruption  Patronage politics  Chapter Three: Informal institutions vs. Development  Traditional institutions  Chapter Four: Property rights institutions vs. Development  Property titles  Empowerment and efficiency 2 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 3. Assessment Method Weight Assignment -1 (Individual) (Critical review of an article) 10 % Assignment-2 (Individual) (Critical review of an article) 20 % Assignment-3 (Group) (Article review with presentation) 20 % Final Exam 50 % 3
  • 4. 4
  • 5. 1.1. The concept of development Trends Development  Growth in income  Life expectancy  HDI  Welfare  As freedom (Amartya Sen: Nobel laureate in economics)  The process of improving the quality of all human lives and capabilities by raising people’s levels of living, self-esteem, and freedom. 5 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 6.  Every nation strives after development. Economic progress is an essential component, but it is not the only component.  Development is not purely an economic phenomenon.  In an ultimate sense, it must encompass more than the material and financial side of people’s lives, to expand human freedoms. Development should therefore be perceived as a multidimensional process involving the reorganization and reorientation of entire economic and social systems. 6 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 7.  In addition to improvements in incomes and output, it typically involves radical changes in institutional, social, and administrative structures as well as in popular attitudes and even customs and beliefs.  Although development is usually defined in a national context, its more widespread realization may necessitate modification of the international economic and social system as well. 7 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 8.  Four Classic economic growth and development Theories ----- all initiated after World War II 1) the linear-stages-of-growth model (e.g. Rostow and H-D models) 2) theories and patterns of structural change (e.g. Lewis and Chenery), 3) the international-dependence revolution, 4) the neoclassical, free-market counterrevolution (e.g. Solow). 8 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 9. 1. Linear stages of growth models  Theorists of the 1950s and 1960s viewed the process of development as a series of successive stages of economic growth through which all countries must pass. It was primarily an economic theory of development in which the right quantity and mixture of saving, investment, and foreign aid were all that was necessary to enable developing nations to proceed along an economic growth path that had historically been followed by the more developed countries. 9 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 10.  Development, thus, became synonymous with rapid, aggregate economic growth. 2. structural change models  which focused on theories and patterns of structural change, used modern economic theory and statistical analysis in an attempt to portray the internal process of structural change that a “typical” developing country must undergo if it is to succeed in generating and sustaining rapid economic growth. 10 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 11. 3. the international-dependence revolution  It was more radical and more political. It viewed underdevelopment in terms of international and domestic power relationships, institutional and structural economic rigidities, and the resulting proliferation of dual economies and dual societies both within and among the nations of the world. 11 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 12.  Dependence theories tended to emphasize external and internal institutional and political constraints on economic development. Emphasis was placed on the need for major new policies to eradicate poverty, to provide more diversified employment opportunities, and to reduce income inequalities. 12 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 13.  These and other egalitarian objectives were to be achieved within the context of a growing economy, but economic growth per se was not given the exalted status accorded to it by the linear stages and structural-change models 13 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 14. 4. This neoclassical (neoliberal) counterrevolution  It emphasized the beneficial role of free markets, open economies, and the privatization of inefficient public enterprises. Failure to develop, according to this theory, is not due to exploitive external and internal forces as expounded by dependence theorists. Rather, it is primarily the result of too much government intervention and regulation of the economy. 14 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 15.  Endogenous growth models (Romer 1986, Lucas 1988), take into consideration elements (such as increasing return to scale, human capital, externalities) whose origins it is not difficult to make to go back to the economic relations that are settled down between the agents, and therefore to the institutions. 15 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 16. Introduction: 1. Stylised Facts about Global Income Inequality Country Per capita GDP in Population (millions) Manufacturing share of GDP 1981 2021 1981 2021 1981 2021 Ethiopia 303.45 852.00 36 118 4.4 4.6 Kenya 1242.33 1643.57 17.06 54.99 10.58 7.24 Rwanda 439.19 902.62 5.33 13.28 15.74 9.18 India 401.48 1961.42 715.38 1.39 (Billion) 16.77 13.1
  • 17. Country Per capita GDP in Population (millions) Manufacturing share of GDP (%) 1981 2021 1981 2020 1981 2020 South Korea 4282.34 32644 38.72 51.74 21.83 25.39 Malaysia 3159.54 10827 14.13 32.78 21.30 23.49 Indonesia 1130.19 3855.8 150.94 276.36 13.43 (1983) 19.25 China 447.12 11188.3 993.885 1.41 billion 31.98 (2004) 27.44 Japan 20011 35278 117.66 125.68 23.47 (1994) 19.75 (2020)
  • 18. Country Per capita GDP Population (millions) Manufacturing % of GDP 1981 2021 1981 2021 1981 2021 Israel 25179.97 (1995) 39913.1 3.88 9.36 15.5 (1995) 11.32 (2020) DRC 1019.47 517.93 27.04 92.4 8.84 (1996) 17.43 Botswana 1946.31 6887.75 0.93 2.4 6.06 5.67 (2020)
  • 19. Country Per capita GDP Population (millions) Manufacturing % of GDP 1981 2021 1981 2021 1981 2021 New Zealand 24,397 4,0778 3.12 5.12 26.04 9.83 (2019) Netherlands 25,980 48,424 14.25 17.53 15.85 10.85 Ghana 904 2084 11.35 31.7 5.97 10.7 Singapore 14,737 66,176 2.53 5.45 25.76 20.54 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD) 19
  • 20.  The basic question to be addressed is that why poor countries are poor  Potential Causes of per capita income variation across nations  Variation in Natural resource endowment???????? Natural resource abundant economies tend to grow slower than economies without substantial resources.  For e.g., growth losers, such as Nigeria, Zambia, Sierra Leone, Angola, Saudi Arabia and Venezuela, 20 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 21. are all resource-rich, while the Asian tigers: Korea, Taiwan, Hong Kong and Singapore, are all resource-poor.  BUT many growth winners such as Botswana, Canada, Australia, and Norway are rich in resources. 21 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 22.  Sachs and Warner (1995) rent-seeking hypothesis: resource abundance leads to a fall in institutional quality in turn lowering growth. Found that this mechanism was empirically unimportant. 22 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 23.  Botswana, with 40% of GDP stemming from diamonds, has had the worlds highest growth rate since 1965. Acemoglu et al. (2002) attribute this remarkable performance to the good institutions of Botswana. Another example is Norway. 23 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 24.  On the other hand, in countries with weak states, resource abundance stimulate violence, theft and looting, by financing rebel groups, warlord competition (Skaperdas, 2002), or civil wars. Collier and Hoeffler (2000) find that `the extent of primary commodity exports is the largest single influence on the risk of conflict'. 24 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 25.  Variation in Capital accumulation ??????????????? Discuss with examples of theoretical explanation. Compare H-D and Solow with endogenous growth models  25 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 26.  Cultural and geographical differences.???????? 26 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 27.  Differences in institutional set up???????????? Review using empirical 27 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 28. 1.2. Definitions of Institutions  the rules of society that provide a framework of incentives that shape economic, political, and social organization and behaviour.  Traditional economics considers institutions as mere details rather than critical drivers of economic growth and development. Do you agree? Why and why not? 28 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 29.  Three important features of institutions are apparent in this definition: a. a. They are “ humanly devised, which contrasts with other potential fundamental causes, like geographic factors, which are outside human control; b. They are “the rules of the game” setting “constraints” on human behaviour; c. Their major effect will be through incentives (see also North, 1981). 29 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 30. So, institutions are:  Arrangements that coordinate the behaviour of individuals in society.  Institutions are sets of regulatory norms.  An institution is a stable, valued, recurring pattern of behaviour. 30 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 31. Example of category of economic institutions  Trust  Information  Property rights and Privatizations  Rent-seeking, Groups of pressure and lobbies  Bribe/corruption  Reputation and Values 31 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 32.  Mechanisms of selection,  Competition and cooperation Intermediary Bureaucracy Organizations Laws and constitutions Industrial relations Yismaw Ayelign (PhD) 32
  • 33. Markets require non-market institutions to work well 33 a. Markets are not self-creating i. Property rights ii. Contract enforcement b. Markets are not self-regulating i. Regulatory authorities ii. Correction of market and coordination failures Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 34. 34 c. Markets are not self-stabilizing i. Monetary, fiscal and currency arrangements d. Markets are not self-legitimating i. Political democracy ii. Social insurance iii. Redistribution Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 35.  The school of thought that discourse the relevance of institution is called institutional economics  Do you think that institutional economics different from neoclassical theory? 35 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 36.  Why do you think the structural adjustment program and other programs enhanced by WB and IMF failed in Africa?  It is because they were designed as institution-free technocratic reforms  Institutional differences across countries were ignored, thereby recommending identikit policies, in what has come to be known as the ‘one size-fits-all’ approach to economic policy 36 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 37.  Today, it is widely accepted even by many orthodox economists that policies directly derived from the experiences of the developed countries – or, even worse, from economic textbooks – are likely to fail in developing countries, where certain institutions whose existence these policies take for granted (e.g., well-defined private property rights, a developed government bond market) simply do not exist. 37 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 38.  countries escape poverty only when they have appropriate economic institutions, especially private property and competition.  How countries can establish the right institutions?  when they have an open pluralistic political system with competition for political office, a widespread electorate, and openness to new political leaders. 38 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 39. Conclusion  Institutions matter in enhancing development of poor countries.  Countries with better "institutions" (more secure property rights and less distortionary policies):  will invest more in physical and human capital  will use the factors (physical and human capital) more efficiently to achieve a greater level of income. 39 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 40. Chapter Two: Empirical evidence on the role of institutions 2.1. The effect of Colonization on Institutional development  Do institutions matter in development?  Illustration based on the article titled:  The Colonial Origins of Comparative Development: An Empirical Investigation 40 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 41. Colonization continued  Author(s): Daron Acemoglu, Simon Johnson, James A. Robinson  Source: The American Economic Review, Vol. 91, No. 5 (Dec., 2001), pp. 1369-1401  Published by: American Economic Association 41 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 42.  Theories about the role of institutions in economic development:  Douglass C. North and Robert P. Thomas, 1973; Eric L. Jones, 1981; North, 1981:  Countries with better "institutions" (more secure property rights and less distortionary policies):  will invest more in physical and human capital  will use the factors (physical and human capital) more efficiently to achieve a greater level of income. 42 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 43.  Macro level studies support cross-country correlations between measures of property rights and economic development (Stephen Knack and Philip Keefer, 1995; Paulo Mauro, 1995; Robert E. Hall and Charles I. Jones, 1999; Dani Rodrik, 1999).  Micro studies also indicated +ve relationship between property rights and investment or output (e.g., Timothy Besley, 1995; Christopher Mazingo, 1999; Johnson et al., 1999). 43 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 44.  More evidence:  the divergent paths of North and South Korea.  East and West Germany, where one part of the country stagnated under central planning and collective ownership, while the other prospered with private property and a market economy. 44 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 45.  Why this article?  To estimate the impact of institutions on economic performance and propose the exogenous determinant of institutional difference among countries colonized by European countries. 45 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 46. Three premises: i. European powers set up "extractives states” and Neo-Europes.  the main purpose of the extractive state was to transfer as much of the resources of the colony to the colonizer (example: Belgian colonization of Congo)  No protection for private property  No check and balance against government expropriation. 46 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 47.  Neo-Europes are European settlers in colonies.  The Neo-Europes tried to replicate European institutions with strong emphasis on private property and checks against government power.  Example: Neo-Europes in Australia, New Zealand, Canada, and the United States. ii. In places where the disease environment was not favourable to European settlement, the formation of the extractive state was more likely. 47 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 48. iii. The colonial state and institutions persisted even after independence.  Given these premises, what is the instrument for current institutions in the colonies?  the instrument is mortality rates expected by the first European settlers.  Data used:  mortality rates of soldiers, bishops, and sailors stationed in the colonies (b/n 17th and 19th century) 48 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 49. FIGURE : RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN INCOME AND SETTLER MORTALITY OF 70 SAMPLE NATIONS 49 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 50.  The figure shows a strong negative relationship.  This relationship reflects the effect of settler mortality working through the institutions brought by Europeans.  To substantiate this, the authors regress current performance (logGDP per capita income in 1995) on current institutions (current institutions instrumented by settler mortality rates). 50 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 51.  Colonies where Europeans faced higher mortality rates are today substantially poorer than colonies that were healthy for Europeans. 51 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 52. Mortality rate comparison:  Annual mortality rate of local troops serving with British army in India (Madras) was 13/1000.  Annual mortality rate of British troops serving in India (Madras) was 170/1000 due to lack of immunity.  Annual mortality rate of British troops serving in British 15/1000. 52 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 53.  Based on the previous premises the hypothesis to be tested in the model is:  Settler mortality affected settlements; settlements affected early institutions; and early institutions persisted and formed the basis of current institutions. 53 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 54. OLS RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN EXPROPRIATION RISK AND INCOME: 54 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 55. OLS RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN SETTLER MORTALITY AND EXPROPRIATION RISK : 55 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 56.  Summery:  Differences in colonial experience could be a source of exogenous differences in institutions.  Neo-Europes strategy adopted by Europeans set up institutions that enforced the rule of law and encouraged investment.  Example: U.S.A, Australia and New Zealand 56 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 57.  Extractive state strategy adopted by Europeans was detrimental (harmful) to investment and economic progress. Example: Congo  The colonization strategy was in part determined by the feasibility of European settlement.  Early institutions persisted to the present.  NB: The article does not imply that institutions today are predetermined only by colonial policies and cannot be changed. 57 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 58. 2.2. The effect of Corruption on dev’t  Title: OBTAINING A DRIVER’S LICENSE IN INDIA: AN EXPERIMENTAL APPROACH TO STUDYING CORRUPTION  Authors: MARIANNE BERTRAND, SIMEON DJANKOV, REMA HANNA, SENDHIL MULLAINATHAN  Journal: The Quarterly Journal of Economics, November 2007 58 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 59. Why this study?  To clear thought about debatable ideas (arguments) on corruption:  Argument 1: Corruption merely “greases the wheels” of the bureaucracy (efficiency implications of corruption).  Argument 2: Corruption harms the society (distortions in how bureaucrats allocate services) 59 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 60.  GETTING A DRIVER’S LICENSE IN DELHI, INDIA Two paths to get a driving license in India:  Agent path (costs applicants 2.5 times of the official fee) extra legal payments.  Official path 60 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 61. Methodology  International Finance Corporation (IFC) followed 822 driver’s license candidates, collecting data on whether they obtained licenses as well as detailed micro data on:  the specific procedures  time and  expenditures involved 61 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 62.  At the end of the process, the IFC administered an independent surprise driving test (simulating the test that is supposed to be given by the bureaucrats) to determine whether individuals who were granted a license could drive.  How an accredited driving school administer surprise practical driving test? 62 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 63.  oral examination to judge whether a subject could operate a car (unable to answer this exam let the subject to be cancelled from taking practical driving exam)  Ex: Basic knowledge questions like; “which pedal would you use to speed up? “how would you start the car?”  if the subject pass the oral exam, the test-giver administer a road test. 63 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 64. To understand whether and how corruption affects allocation of license, candidates were randomly assigned to one of the following three groups:  Bonus group  Lesson group  Comparison group 64 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 65.  The “bonus group” offered a large financial reward if they were able to obtain a license in 32 days.  The “lesson group” offered free driving lessons, to be taken immediately after recruitment into the survey.  The comparison group were simply tracked through the process.  Incentives provided by IFC for each group that could motivate the subjects to share their experience to the project team: 65 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 66.  As an inducement to return, each subject was offered Rs 800 upon completion of the final survey.  However, to generate a stronger incentive for obtaining a license, the IFC also offered a bonus of Rs 2,000 (on top of Rs 800 for completing the surveys) for the bonus group, if the individuals could obtain their permanent licenses within 32 days.  NB: Normally total official fee to obtain a license is Rs 450. 66 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 67. Why additional reward?  to ensure a large enough treatment effect.  Why the three groups?  The bonus treatment allows us to assess whether and how the allocation of licenses responds to willingness to pay. That is:  Are a group that are willing to pay more for licenses more likely to get licenses?  But also, are there more unqualified drivers receiving licenses in such a group? 67 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 68.  The lesson treatment allows us to assess whether allocation decisions by the bureaucracy are responsive to the socially desirable component of the regulatory process– one’s ability to drive.  The comparison (control group) allows us to show how the variables (performance indicators) in the treatment group (bonus and lesson) statistically differ from the untreated group (control group). 68 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 69. Licensing status of participants 69 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 70. Findings of the Experiment (OLS Result) 70 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 71. The way to proceed:  We will see the OLS result of the bonus group first and that of the lesson group next.  Impact of each independent variable (being in the bonus and lesson group) on the dependent variables (outcomes) is indicated relative to that of the comparison group (control group). 71 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 72.  Findings of being in the bonus group:  Significance at the 10% level is represented by ∗, at the 5% level by ∗∗, and at the 1% level by ∗∗∗.  All the dependent variables in the column headings are dummy variables. (Ex: 1 if a given individual obtained a permanent driver’s license and 0 otherwise). 72 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 73.  The dependent variable in column 2 is different from column 1 as the dependent variable “Obtained license” (or the outcome) in column 2 exclude 65 subjects who indicated their final licensing status to the project team over the phone but refused to attend the final session to take the survey and driving exam.  However similar results are indicated in these two samples. That is: 73 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 74.  individuals in the bonus group are about 25 percentage points more likely to obtain final licenses at 1% significant level.  Individuals in the bonus group are 42 percentage points more likely to get their permanent licenses within 32 days or less (see column 3).  Hence, these first findings suggest that individuals who have a greater need to get a license quickly are able to achieve their objective. 74 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 75.  Increased propensity to get a license comes at a social cost: more bad drivers (see column 4).  Individuals in the bonus group are 13 percentage points more likely to get their permanent licenses without taking the legally required RTO exam (column 4).  Columns (5)–(8) shows that the lack of testing is accompanied by an increase in the number of licensed drivers with poor driving skills. 75 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 76.  Individuals in the bonus group are 29 percentage points more likely to obtain licenses without having anyone teach them how to drive (column 5) and are not more likely to have attended driving schools (column 6).  They are also much worse drivers than the comparison group: they are 18 percentage points more likely to be licensed drivers who automatically fail the independent driving test (column 7). 76 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 77.  They are 22 percentage points more likely to be licensed drivers who score below average (50%) on the independent test (column 8).  In this regard, it is useful to benchmark how bad the marginal drivers actually are. 77 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 78.  The failure rate on the independent exam is 0.60 (0.29/0.48) among the licensed drivers in the comparison group (see column 2 and 7).  However, the failure rate on the independent exam is 0.75 (0.18/0.25) among the marginally new licensed drivers in the bonus group (see column 2 and 7).  Summery of findings of the bonus group: 78 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 79.  The evidence reported suggests that a bureaucratic system responsive to a higher willingness to pay (captured by the bonus group) for a license translates into:  an increase in the number of license getters (a socially efficient component of the bureaucratic response)  an increase in the number of license getters who do not know how to drive (a socially inefficient component of the bureaucratic response). 79 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 80.  Findings of being in the lesson group:  Under an extreme view of a corrupt bureaucracy, one might expect the allocation of licenses to be driven only by willingness to pay.  Thus, considering findings of the lesson group could help us whether the bureaucracy is totally responsive to willingness to pay or not. 80 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 81.  Columns (1) and (2) show that individuals in the lesson group are between 12 and 15 percentage points more likely than the comparison group to obtain permanent licenses.  Individuals in the lesson group are not more likely than individuals in the comparison group to obtain licenses within 32 days and without taking the RTO`s exam (column 3&4). 81 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 82.  The lesson group are also more likely to obtain their licenses while having had someone teach them how to drive (column 5) and especially having attended a driving school (column 6).  The lesson group are 12 percentage point less likely to obtain their licenses had someone didn`t teach them (column 5). 82 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 83.  The lesson group are 35 percentage point more likely to obtain their licenses had attended driving school (column 6).  The lesson group are 22 percentage point less likely to fail the independent exam(column 7).  The lesson group are 18 percentage point less likely to score less than average (50%) of the independent exam(column 7). 83 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 84.  Summary of findings of the lesson group:  Individuals access to driving lessons did raise their driving skills and also increased the likelihood that they obtained driver’s licenses.  This finding is consistent with the view that bureaucrats do not completely ignore driving ability in the allocation of licenses. 84 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 85. 2.3. Article on Patronage Politics  Patronage Politics = political corruption = with politically connected firms = Wilfully defaulting  Title: DO LENDERS FAVOR POLITICALLY CONNECTED FIRMS?  Authors: Asim Ijaz Khwaja and Atif Mian (April 2005)  Published: The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 120, No. 4, pp. 1371-1411 85 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 86.  The paper deals with how firms political connections (networks) favour firms access to loan and the overall economic cost of preferential treatment.  Why this study? Justification of the study  Despite a rich theoretical literature that explain economic costs of corruption and rent-seeking, there is limited empirical work. 86 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 87.  Cross country studies so far related corruption to poor do not identify channels through which corruption and rent provision occurs.  Politics and Lending: The Institutional Environment in Pakistan i. Politicians and Corruption: Politics in Pakistan has been closely linked to clientelism, rent-seeking and corruption.  Clientlism (patronage politics) is the exchange of g & s for political support(often involving an implicit or explicit quid-pro-quo). 87 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 88.  Simply, reward for political supporters.  it is an exchange system where voters trade political support for various outputs of public decision making process.  Rent-seeking is an attempt to obtain economic rent by manipulating (controlling) regulatory agencies to gain monopolistic advantages while imposing disadvantages on competitors. 88 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 89.   Rent-seeking is an attempt to obtain economic rent by manipulating the social and political environment rather than by creating new wealth.  Corruption is illegitimate use of public power to benefit a private interest. 89 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 90. ii. A Mechanism for Political Rents:  How does political corruption carried out?  Based on National Accountability Bureau, lion`s share of large scale corruption (in terms of the amount of corrupt money changing hands) happened by: 90 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 91.  taxation departments  state-owned banks and development finance institutions  power sector utilities and  civil works departments  Government Bank`s Act of Pakistan in 1974:  The act explicitly states that: 91 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 92.  the top hierarchy of government banks (i.e., chairman, president and board members) are to be appointed by the government.  the board determines the credit , personnel policies of the bank (including appointment and removal of officers and employees) and guidelines for entering into any compromise with borrowers and other customers of the bank. 92 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 93.  Methodology i. Data:  two primary data sets:  detailed loan level information for every corporate loan made in Pakistan from 1996 to 2002 (from Credit Information Bureau (CIB) in Pakistan)  electoral outcomes for the two elections that overlap the loan data period 93 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 94.  CIB data base includes:  loan outstanding by loan type (fixed, working capital, etc.)  default amounts and litigation (on judiciary process)  write-offs or recoveries against the loans  information on the name, location and directorship of the borrowing firms and lending banks 94 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 95. ii. Matching Politicians to Firms  The CIB data includes names and addresses of all directors of a borrowing firm.  Since almost all firms are private firms directors are typically one of the main owners of the firm.  Who is politician?  A politician is defined as any individual who stood in the national or provincial elections. 95 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 96.  A politician is matched to a firm director, if their full (first, middle and last) names match exactly. iii. Mechanism to check politically connected firms obtain loan in the form of preferential lending (preferential treatment) :  Credit access (loan size)  Default rate 96 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 97. iv. Model: OLS regression based on the cross section data base.  specification of the model:  Model 1: Model to test measures of preferential treatment  Where Yij= measures of preferential treatment  Politicali = Measure of the firm is politically connected or not ( is coefficient of interest).  97 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 98.  captures the preferential treatment a politically connected firm receives, and henceforth shall be referred to as the political preference effect.  Example: When default rate is the dependent variable we can interpret as the additional default by politicians per dollar of borrowed amount. 98 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 99.  Model 2: to test whether the same firm receives (greater) preferential treatment if it is politically connected when it borrows from a government compared to a private bank.   Where Govj = is an indicator variable for whether the lender is a government bank or private bank. 99 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 100.  Results/Findings:  Result based on model 1( preferential treatment for politically connected firms)  (coefficient of interest) captures the extent to which a politically connected firm receives preferential lending from a government bank as compared to the unconnected. 100 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 102.  Column(1) presents evidence for political preference in terms of credit usage.  – Loans to politically connected firms are 37% as large as those to unconnected firms .  Politically connected firms default 6.2 percentage points more than unconnected ones.  To sum up, politically connected firms receive preferential treatment on two accounts: They are able to borrow larger amounts and their default rates are higher. 102 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 103. Result based on model 2(Political Rents and Government Banks)  103 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 104.  Since government banks are more susceptible to political force (in Pakistan) due to their organizational design we expect them to provide greater rents (benefits) to politically connected firms.  •Thus, we are going to examine whether this is the case for the two measures of preferential treatment, default rate and access to credit. 104 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 105. Preferential Treatment: Default Rate  •Restricting the data to loans from government banks only shows that loans to the politically connected firms have 11 percentage points higher default rates.  • Restricting the data to loans from private banks only there is hardly any difference in default rates between the politically connected and unconnected firms in private bank loans. 105 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 106.  The coefficient of interest is the double interaction term ( (Political*Government)) that shows politically connected firms default 9.9 percentage points more than the unconnected in loans from government banks relative to loans from private banks (column 5). 106 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 107.  Under column (5), what does the small negative coefficient (-0.78) on the dummy for political firms show?  It might show that greater monitoring or better selection for politically connected firms by private banks. 107 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 109.  Preferential Treatment: Accesses to Credit  Here, we restrict to firms that borrow at least 1% of their lending from each type of bank.  That is firms that borrow from a single bank type are not included as they do not directly affect our coefficient of interest  Moreover, comparing preferential treatment for loan requires controlling the demand effect. 109 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 110.  In other words, access to credit for the politically connected firms might be larger simply because their demand is higher which prevent us from generalizing preferential treatment is given to the political firms.  To avoid this demand effect, comparison was made among firms with the same credit demand. 110 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 111.  The OLS Result (credit access):  Government banks provide 29 percent more loan to politically connected firms than the unconnected from government banks relative to loans from private banks. 111 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 112.  The Costs of Rents (Preferential Treatment)  Cost of corrupt lending to the economy analyzed:  Loss of taxation  Cost of investment distortion  Loss of taxation:  This refers to costs due to the increased taxation necessary to bail out bad government loans.  Loans that default due to political corruption can be considered as a transfer payment to politicians. 112 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 113.  The transfer is ultimately from tax payers as the government uses its revenues to bail out government banks.  To obtain the cost of taxation from such transfers we need to estimate the size of this transfer (i.e. the extra default or incremental loss due to corrupt lending).  To get the extra default we need to subtract the natural default rate from the corrupt lending default rate 113 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 114.  Based on data of Pakistan:  Natural default rate = 6%  Corrupt lending to PCF= 30.8%  Then, extra default = 30.8%-6%=24.8%  Given total government banks lending of Rs 190 billion ($ 3.2 billion) in 2002, 38 % of which was given to politically connected firms, the total additional revenue lost from political corruption is Rs 17.9 billion annually (190*0.38*0.248). 114 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 115.  •However, even non-political loans have substantial elements of rents because such loans also face a high default rate (19.9 percent).  • Subtracting the natural default rate from it, we could have incremental loss of 13.9%.  • Thus, if we count non-political loan default on government banks the taxation revenue lost from corruption is Rs 34.3 billion annually (17.9 + 190*0.62*0.139). 115 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 116.  Conservative DWL estimates indicated that the marginal costs of taxation is at around 40 cents for every dollar raised [Ballard et al., 1985].  • Accordingly, the DWL of revenue lost for Pakistan was found to be Rs 13.7 billion each year or 0.3% of GDP annually.  Cost of investment distortion:  refers to the foregone value when corrupt loans are poorly invested. 116 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 117.  • If influential like politicians get cheap money from government banks, they are unlikely to invest their loans efficiently. Why?  rates of return to investment might be lower  may not invest at all and simply consume it  deposit it in offshore accounts 117 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 118.  To estimate the cost of such investment distortion, one needs to know the rate of return to corrupt lending.  To calculate the rate of return what one need to know is market and book value of the firm.  Rate of return=MV/BV.  Using this approach, a Market to Book ratio for Pakistan estimated at 2.96. 118 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 119.  Given MV/BV ratio of 2.96, annual costs of investment distortion is found to be Rs 35 billion to Rs 67 billion or 0.8% to 1.6% of GDP each year. That is:  Inv`t distortion cost = (2.96-1) *(Inefficient Government Lending)  where the inefficient government lending is either corrupt lending to PCF or corrupt lending to all firms (i.e., Rs17.9 billion or Rs 34.3 billion)  2.96-1 gives the return rate had the corrupt loan invested. 119 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 120. Chapter Three: Traditional Institution and Development Traditional institutions  Institutions are the rules of behaviour in a society, or more formally speaking, the restrictions on which man has figured out how to shape human interaction  informal institutions— unwritten rules of behaviour, social norms, networks.  e.g. In the Ethiopia context. 120 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 121.  Besides formal institutions, i.e. constitutions, laws, property rights,  informal institutions encompass customs, traditions and codes of conduct. 121 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 122.  Economic institutions significantly affect economic incentives in society and the achievement of certain economic outcomes, that may be formed through formal or informal institutions. 122 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 123.  By increasing human and social capital certain communities reach a more efficient use of the institutional framework  However, the observation of the institutional framework is most frequently focused exclusively on formal institutions. 123 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 124.  In addition, to formal institutions, a significant impact is achievable through informal institutions as well.  Thus, legal or formal institutions that do not have strong “informal” supports are unsupported legislative declarations rather than real institutions. 124 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 125. Within the framework of the definition, informal institutions refer to:  extension, argumentation and  codification of formal rules that go beyond the official limits,  socially punishable norms of behaviour,  including behaviour, customs, adopted rules of behaviour and tradition. 125 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 126.  A stronger influence of informal institutions in relation to the rule of law commonly occurs in certain periods of crisis, such as war.  the institutions are formed according to the official rules, informal constraints and their enforcement characteristics. 126 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 127.  Informal rules of behaviour are much more complex and they include the way in which certain things are done, whereby the norms as part of an informal institutional framework become almost more important than formal rules of behaviour 127 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 128.  To reduce risk and transaction costs humans create institutions, writing and enforcing constitutions, laws, contracts and regulations—so-called formal institutions—and  structuring and inculcating norms of conduct, beliefs and habits of thought and behaviour—or informal institutions. 128 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 129.  the performance of a market economy depends upon the formal and informal institutions and modes of organization that facilitate private transactions and cooperative behaviour.  Norms, beliefs and similar informal institutions seem to be deeply engrained and the product of intractable factors, such as a society’s history or its ethnic, religious, or linguistic heterogeneity. What can a society do if its culture is inhospitable? 129 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 130.  If the relationship between formal and informal institutions is critical to economic performance, if that relationship is poorly understood, and, worst of all,  If our basic ability to alter slow-moving institutions is limited, we may not be capable of providing the policy advice that statesmen and bureaucrats regularly seek” 130 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 131. Empirical Evidence: Role of traditional institutions  Title: Traditional Institutions Meet the Modern World: Caste, Gender and Schooling Choice in a Globalizing Economy  Authors: Kaivan Munshi and Mark Rosenzweig (2006) Publication: American Economic Review, Vol. 96, N. 4. 131 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 132.  The paper addresses the question of:  how traditional institutions interact with the forces of globalization? Or  how old institutions clash with the forces of globalization in shaping responses of individuals in the new economy. 132 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 133.  It is crucial to deal with this issue as the interaction or the clash shape the economic activity and welfare of particular groups of individuals in the new economy.  Thus, the authors explored the role of traditional institution (or the caste system) in shaping career choices by gender in Bombay Dadar area in India. 133 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 134.  What is caste system?  Caste system (in India) is a system of social stratification which historically separated communities into thousands of endogamous hereditary groups called jatis.  Jatis are translated into English as castes.  Endogamy is the practice of marrying within a specific ethnic group, class or social group rejecting others for marriage or any kind of close relationship. 134 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 135.  Castes could be divided as:  The upper caste (this grant administrative job and senior appointments)  The Lower caste  Our concern here is that the interaction of lower castes with the forces of globalization. 135 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 136.  Classification of job in India:  working class job (traditional hourly works or manual industrial works that labourers do on wage basis)  White collar job (non-traditional works that are usually salaried) Medium of instruction:  Marathi  English 136 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 137. The Institutional Setting:  i. Bombay’s Labor Market  ii. The schools in Dadar  Bombay’s Labor Market  This frequent job turnover gave rise to labor market networks. 137 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 138.  The labor market networks are crucial in case:  the quality of a freshly hired worker is difficult to assess and  performance-contingent wage contracts cannot be implemented.  This information asymmetry give rise to:  jobbers to lean on social connections outside his workplace such as his kinship and neighbour hood connections. 138 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 139.  The endogamous sub-caste or jati served as a natural social unit from which to recruit labor.  Why this?  because marriage ties strengthen information flows and improve enforcement.  This widespread use of caste-based networks thus led to a fragmentation of the Bombay labor market along social lines. 139 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 140.  Caste-based networks in Bombay were restricted to working class jobs.  –because the information and enforcement problems that give rise to such networks tend to be more acute (sensitive) in working class jobs.  Women were conspicuously absent from Bombay’s labor force, particularly in the working class jobs.  This patterns of labor force participation by gender will help us explain the schooling choice dynamics (for boys and girls). 140 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 141.  The Schools in Dadar  Here, we will highlight the medium of instruction as the salient feature of schooling choice in Dadar.  The choice of the language of instruction proxies for school quality.  Justification? Based on school based survey conducted:  school quality indicators (such as student-teacher ratio, class size, number of students per desk, 141 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 142.  computers per student, and the proportion of teachers with B.Ed. degrees and postgraduate degrees) are each very similar.  English schools are relatively expensive. In contrast, school fees in the Marathi schools are subsidized by the state government.  Performance of English school students on standardized secondary school certificate is better. 142 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 143. Students in the English schools perform much better in terms of: percentage that pass  percentage that receive a first class and  Percentage that receive a distinction.  The better performance of English schools students could be explained as differential in selection ability into English and Marathi schools (differential in pre-school ability or human capital). 143 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 144.  The survey also indicated that parents who worry for their children`s role in the society dominate those parents worry for school quality in their schooling choice. 144 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 145.  Conclusions  •Male working class networks significantly affect schooling choice of male students which could contribute to persistence of the traditional occupation.  However, the cohort effect indicates gradual decline of the role the working class network due to the relatively higher return in the non- traditional occupation (white-collar). 145 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 146.  Girls appear to be taking full advantage of the opportunities that have become available in the new economy.  Individuals schooled in English no longer needs the traditional caste network; indeed, the English educated form a caste by themselves.  • Remark:  –Bad institutions retard nations & vice versa. 146 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 147. Chapter Four: Property Right and Development  Property : Tangible: Housing, land Land as property requires tenure Intangible : intellectual ======== copy right vs patent right Right: control over assets and the “return to the assets that are produced and improved” 147 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 148.  Copyright, which includes literary and artistic works such as novels, poems and plays, films, musical works, artistic works such as drawings, paintings, photographs and sculptures, and architectural designs.  Industry property right is a term referring to creation of the intellect for which a monopoly is assigned to designated owners by law, i.e., inventions (patents), trademarks, industrial designs, and geographic indications of source 148 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 149.  Property right is secure when the right holder perceives it to be stable and predictable over a reasonable period of time and  protected from expropriation or arbitrary change, with claims that are backed up by some type of authority.  Security typically implies the ability to appropriate benefits arising from a particular property right. 149 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 150.  The economic case for secure property rights is that growth depends on investment;  however, investors do not invest if there is a risk of government or private expropriation  property owners can legally exclude others from using a good or asset. 150 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 151.  Four main channels through which secure property rights influence economic activity and resource allocation 1. Security channel whereby investment is expected to lead to a flow of income, which needs to be protected against expropriation through secure, well- defined property rights. 151 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 152.  Such protection provides incentive to invest; by implication, insecure property rights could mean that firms or individuals may fail to realise the fruits of their investment and efforts. 2. Efficiency channel, enhancing the mobility of assets through transactions such that assets are transferred to those who can use them most productively. 152 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 153. 3. Reduced protection costs – secure property rights mean that individuals can devote fewer resources to protecting their property and these resources can go to productive uses. 4. Transactions facilitation – property rights allow for the use of property in supporting other transactions by using it as collateral to raise resources on the financial market. This may increase productivity. 153 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 155.  Thus, property right is one of the non- market institution  The standard model of traditional economics assumes a well-defined set of property rights.  It also assumes that contracts are signed with no fear that they will be revoked when it suits one of the parties. 155 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 156.  So, in the background there exists institutions that establish and protect property rights and enforce contracts.  a system of laws and courts to make even "perfect" markets function are required.  the market economy is necessarily "embedded" in a set of non-market institutions 156 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 157.  The establishment of secure and stable property rights have been a key element in the rise of the West and the onset of modern economic growth.  It stands to reason that an entrepreneur would not have the incentive  to accumulate and innovate unless s/he has adequate control over the return to the assets that are thereby produced or improved. 157 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 158.  Note that the key word is "control" rather than "ownership."  Formal property rights do not count for much if they do not confer control rights.  By the same token, sufficiently strong control rights may do the trick even in the absence of formal property rights. 158 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 159.  Russia today represents a case where shareholders have property rights but often lack effective control over enterprises.  Town and village enterprises (TVEs) in China are an example where control rights have spurred entrepreneurial activity despite the absence of clearly defined property rights. 159 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 160.  Establishing "property rights" is not a matter of just passing a piece of legislation.  Legislation in itself is neither necessary nor sufficient for the provision of the secure control rights.  In practice, control rights are upheld by a combination of legislation, private enforcement, and custom and tradition. 160 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 161.  They may be distributed more narrowly or more diffusely than property rights.  Stakeholders can matter as much as shareholders. 161 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 162. Empirical Evidence  Title: Effects of property rights on agricultural production: The Nigerian experience  Authors: A. A. Akinola* and R. Adeyemo (2013)  Published on: Journal of Development and Agricultural Economics. Vol. 5 No. 10, pp. 382-389 162 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 163.  The study was conducted to examine the effects of property rights and other factors on the outputs of maize, yam and cassava in three zones of Osun State in Nigeria. 163 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 164.  This study employed a multi-stage sampling technique to select 105 farmers involving growers of maize, yam and cassava in the study area.  Data were analyzed with the aid of descriptive statistics, budgetary techniques and a multiple linear regression model. 164 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)
  • 165. Findings  Land rights type (having either use right/use and transfer right) and security of land defined by duration of land use affected maize output while duration and ownership type affected yam output, whereas, duration only affect cassava output. 165 Yismaw Ayelign (PhD)