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SlideSlide 1
Copyright © 2007 Pearson
Education, Inc Publishing as
Pearson Addison-Wesley.
Created by Tom Wegleitner, Centreville, Virginia
Edited by Olga Pilipets, San Diego, California
Design of Experiments
SlideSlide 2
Copyright © 2007 Pearson
Education, Inc Publishing as
Pearson Addison-Wesley.
Key Concepts
 Sample data must be collected in
an appropriate way, such as
through a process of random
selection.
 If sample data are not collected in
an appropriate way, the data may
be so completely useless that no
amount of statistical torturing
can salvage them.
SlideSlide 3
observing and measuring specific
characteristics of objects without
modifying them in any way.
Example: Gallop poll ( observing
through interviews)
Copyright © 2007 Pearson
Education, Inc Publishing as
Pearson Addison-Wesley.
SlideSlide 4
 In 1855 John Snow discovered that cholera is a
waterborne infectious disease. Snow was a
physician in London.
 Some 20 years before Koch and Pasteur laid the
foundations of modern microbiology
 By observing the course of the disease, he
concluded that cholera was caused by a living
organism, which entered the body with water or
food, multiplied in the body, and made the body
expel water containing copies of the organism.
Copyright © 2007 Pearson
Education, Inc Publishing as
Pearson Addison-Wesley.
SlideSlide 5
 Snow explained the lag between infection and disease
—a matter of hours or days—as the time needed for
the infectious agent to multiply in the body of the
victim (poisons work instantly)
 cholera spread along the tracks of human commerce.
 Furthermore, when a ship entered a port where
cholera was prevalent, sailors contracted the disease
only when they came into contact with residents of the
port.
These facts were easily explained if cholera was an
infectious disease,
Copyright © 2007 Pearson
Education, Inc Publishing as
Pearson Addison-Wesley.
SlideSlide 6
apply some treatment and then
observe its effects on the subjects
Example: In the experiment designed to
test the Salk vaccine, 200,000 children
were given the actual Salk vaccine and
200,000 other children were given a
placebo.
Copyright © 2007 Pearson
Education, Inc Publishing as
Pearson Addison-Wesley.
SlideSlide 7
 Cross sectional study
data are observed, measured, and collected at
one point in time
 Retrospective (or case control) study
data are collected from the past by going back in
time
 Prospective (or longitudinal or cohort) study
data are collected in the future from groups (called
cohorts) sharing common factors
Copyright © 2007 Pearson
Education, Inc Publishing as
Pearson Addison-Wesley.
SlideSlide 8
Copyright © 2007 Pearson
Education, Inc Publishing as
Pearson Addison-Wesley.
obtain that sample using an appropriate
method, such as one based on randomness
Replication and Sample Size
 Sample Size
use a sample size that is large enough to see
the true nature of any effects
SlideSlide 9
Copyright © 2007 Pearson
Education, Inc Publishing as
Pearson Addison-Wesley.
 Random Sample
members of the population are selected in
such a way that each individual member has
an equal chance of being selected
Definitions
Simple Random Sample (of size n)
subjects selected in such a way that every
possible sample of the same size n has the
same chance of being chosen
SlideSlide 10
Copyright © 2007 Pearson
Education, Inc Publishing as
Pearson Addison-Wesley.
Random Sampling
selection so that each
individual member has an
equal chance of being selected
SlideSlide 11
Copyright © 2007 Pearson
Education, Inc Publishing as
Pearson Addison-Wesley.
Systematic Sampling
Select some starting point and then
select every k th element in the population
SlideSlide 12
Copyright © 2007 Pearson
Education, Inc Publishing as
Pearson Addison-Wesley.
Convenience Sampling
use results that are easy to get
SlideSlide 13
Copyright © 2007 Pearson
Education, Inc Publishing as
Pearson Addison-Wesley.
Stratified Sampling
subdivide the population into at
least two different subgroups that share the same
characteristics, then draw a sample from each
subgroup (or stratum)
SlideSlide 14
Copyright © 2007 Pearson
Education, Inc Publishing as
Pearson Addison-Wesley.
Cluster Sampling
divide the population into sections
(or clusters); randomly select some of those clusters;
choose all members from selected clusters
SlideSlide 15
 Random
 Systematic
 Convenience
 Stratified
 Cluster
Copyright © 2007 Pearson
Education, Inc Publishing as
Pearson Addison-Wesley.
Methods of Sampling - Summary
SlideSlide 16
 Sampling error
the difference between a sample result and the
true population result; such an error results from
chance sample fluctuations
 Nonsampling error
sample data incorrectly collected, recorded, or
analyzed (such as by selecting a biased sample,
using a defective instrument, or copying the data
incorrectly)
Copyright © 2007 Pearson
Education, Inc Publishing as
Pearson Addison-Wesley.
Definitions
SlideSlide 17
Copyright © 2007 Pearson
Education, Inc Publishing as
Pearson Addison-Wesley.
Recap
In this section we have looked at:
 Types of studies and experiments
 Randomization
 Types of sampling
 Sampling errors
SlideSlide 18
#8 p. 31
Cruise ship passengers are given magnetic
bracelets, which they agree to wear in an attempt
to eliminate or diminish the effects of motion
sickness.
Copyright © 2007 Pearson
Education, Inc Publishing as
Pearson Addison-Wesley.
SlideSlide 19
#10 p.31
A researcher from Johns Hopkins University obtains
data about the effects of alcohol on driving by
examining car crash reports from the past five
years.
retrospective
Copyright © 2007 Pearson
Education, Inc Publishing as
Pearson Addison-Wesley.
SlideSlide 20
#12 p.31
An economist collects income data by selecting and
interviewing subjects now, then going back in time
to see if they had the wisdom to take a statistics
course between the years of 1980 and 2008.
retrospective
Copyright © 2007 Pearson
Education, Inc Publishing as
Pearson Addison-Wesley.
SlideSlide 21
#22 p.32
A market researcher has partitioned all California
residents into categories of unemployed,
employed full time and employed part time. She
is surveying 50 people from each category.
Stratified
Copyright © 2007 Pearson
Education, Inc Publishing as
Pearson Addison-Wesley.
SlideSlide 22
#16 p.32
An engineering student measures the strength of
fingers used to push buttons by testing family
members.
Convenience
Copyright © 2007 Pearson
Education, Inc Publishing as
Pearson Addison-Wesley.
SlideSlide 23
#28 p.33
A researcher for the Orange County Department of Motor Vehicles
plans to test a new online driver registration system by using a
sample consisting of 20 randomly selected men and 20 randomly
selected women. (Orange County has an equal number of male and
female drivers). Does this sampling plan result in a random
sample? A simple random sample?
Yes, no. All drivers have the same chance of being selected, but
some samples (such as those with 21 men and 19 women) have no
chance of being chosen.
Copyright © 2007 Pearson
Education, Inc Publishing as
Pearson Addison-Wesley.

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Biological Screening of Herbal Drugs in detailed.Biological Screening of Herbal Drugs in detailed.
Biological Screening of Herbal Drugs in detailed.
 

Ch 1 5

  • 1. SlideSlide 1 Copyright © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc Publishing as Pearson Addison-Wesley. Created by Tom Wegleitner, Centreville, Virginia Edited by Olga Pilipets, San Diego, California Design of Experiments
  • 2. SlideSlide 2 Copyright © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc Publishing as Pearson Addison-Wesley. Key Concepts  Sample data must be collected in an appropriate way, such as through a process of random selection.  If sample data are not collected in an appropriate way, the data may be so completely useless that no amount of statistical torturing can salvage them.
  • 3. SlideSlide 3 observing and measuring specific characteristics of objects without modifying them in any way. Example: Gallop poll ( observing through interviews) Copyright © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc Publishing as Pearson Addison-Wesley.
  • 4. SlideSlide 4  In 1855 John Snow discovered that cholera is a waterborne infectious disease. Snow was a physician in London.  Some 20 years before Koch and Pasteur laid the foundations of modern microbiology  By observing the course of the disease, he concluded that cholera was caused by a living organism, which entered the body with water or food, multiplied in the body, and made the body expel water containing copies of the organism. Copyright © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc Publishing as Pearson Addison-Wesley.
  • 5. SlideSlide 5  Snow explained the lag between infection and disease —a matter of hours or days—as the time needed for the infectious agent to multiply in the body of the victim (poisons work instantly)  cholera spread along the tracks of human commerce.  Furthermore, when a ship entered a port where cholera was prevalent, sailors contracted the disease only when they came into contact with residents of the port. These facts were easily explained if cholera was an infectious disease, Copyright © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc Publishing as Pearson Addison-Wesley.
  • 6. SlideSlide 6 apply some treatment and then observe its effects on the subjects Example: In the experiment designed to test the Salk vaccine, 200,000 children were given the actual Salk vaccine and 200,000 other children were given a placebo. Copyright © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc Publishing as Pearson Addison-Wesley.
  • 7. SlideSlide 7  Cross sectional study data are observed, measured, and collected at one point in time  Retrospective (or case control) study data are collected from the past by going back in time  Prospective (or longitudinal or cohort) study data are collected in the future from groups (called cohorts) sharing common factors Copyright © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc Publishing as Pearson Addison-Wesley.
  • 8. SlideSlide 8 Copyright © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc Publishing as Pearson Addison-Wesley. obtain that sample using an appropriate method, such as one based on randomness Replication and Sample Size  Sample Size use a sample size that is large enough to see the true nature of any effects
  • 9. SlideSlide 9 Copyright © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc Publishing as Pearson Addison-Wesley.  Random Sample members of the population are selected in such a way that each individual member has an equal chance of being selected Definitions Simple Random Sample (of size n) subjects selected in such a way that every possible sample of the same size n has the same chance of being chosen
  • 10. SlideSlide 10 Copyright © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc Publishing as Pearson Addison-Wesley. Random Sampling selection so that each individual member has an equal chance of being selected
  • 11. SlideSlide 11 Copyright © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc Publishing as Pearson Addison-Wesley. Systematic Sampling Select some starting point and then select every k th element in the population
  • 12. SlideSlide 12 Copyright © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc Publishing as Pearson Addison-Wesley. Convenience Sampling use results that are easy to get
  • 13. SlideSlide 13 Copyright © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc Publishing as Pearson Addison-Wesley. Stratified Sampling subdivide the population into at least two different subgroups that share the same characteristics, then draw a sample from each subgroup (or stratum)
  • 14. SlideSlide 14 Copyright © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc Publishing as Pearson Addison-Wesley. Cluster Sampling divide the population into sections (or clusters); randomly select some of those clusters; choose all members from selected clusters
  • 15. SlideSlide 15  Random  Systematic  Convenience  Stratified  Cluster Copyright © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc Publishing as Pearson Addison-Wesley. Methods of Sampling - Summary
  • 16. SlideSlide 16  Sampling error the difference between a sample result and the true population result; such an error results from chance sample fluctuations  Nonsampling error sample data incorrectly collected, recorded, or analyzed (such as by selecting a biased sample, using a defective instrument, or copying the data incorrectly) Copyright © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc Publishing as Pearson Addison-Wesley. Definitions
  • 17. SlideSlide 17 Copyright © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc Publishing as Pearson Addison-Wesley. Recap In this section we have looked at:  Types of studies and experiments  Randomization  Types of sampling  Sampling errors
  • 18. SlideSlide 18 #8 p. 31 Cruise ship passengers are given magnetic bracelets, which they agree to wear in an attempt to eliminate or diminish the effects of motion sickness. Copyright © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc Publishing as Pearson Addison-Wesley.
  • 19. SlideSlide 19 #10 p.31 A researcher from Johns Hopkins University obtains data about the effects of alcohol on driving by examining car crash reports from the past five years. retrospective Copyright © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc Publishing as Pearson Addison-Wesley.
  • 20. SlideSlide 20 #12 p.31 An economist collects income data by selecting and interviewing subjects now, then going back in time to see if they had the wisdom to take a statistics course between the years of 1980 and 2008. retrospective Copyright © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc Publishing as Pearson Addison-Wesley.
  • 21. SlideSlide 21 #22 p.32 A market researcher has partitioned all California residents into categories of unemployed, employed full time and employed part time. She is surveying 50 people from each category. Stratified Copyright © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc Publishing as Pearson Addison-Wesley.
  • 22. SlideSlide 22 #16 p.32 An engineering student measures the strength of fingers used to push buttons by testing family members. Convenience Copyright © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc Publishing as Pearson Addison-Wesley.
  • 23. SlideSlide 23 #28 p.33 A researcher for the Orange County Department of Motor Vehicles plans to test a new online driver registration system by using a sample consisting of 20 randomly selected men and 20 randomly selected women. (Orange County has an equal number of male and female drivers). Does this sampling plan result in a random sample? A simple random sample? Yes, no. All drivers have the same chance of being selected, but some samples (such as those with 21 men and 19 women) have no chance of being chosen. Copyright © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc Publishing as Pearson Addison-Wesley.