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by
Strada IQ
July 2016
CANADIAN SALES
FIRST HALF 2016
Record Half
Words are not enough.
The auto business in Canada
is reshaping reality.
By now moving a ton of iron
is “normal”.
Yes…trucks are mainstream.
Is it a Challenge?
April: + 8%
May: - 2%
June: + 7+
YTD: + 6%
A bit if a roller coaster in the
2nd quarter.
But still appreciably ahead for
the year.
Incentives
Where would the auto
business be without tactical
monthly incentives?
Programs powered by
money.
It’s the perfect storm.
What else can you say.
Elephant
Negative equity is the
elephant.
Managing and “rolling over”
negative equity is crucial to
conduct business and close
deals.
Consumers love it.
Trucks
Who wants a truck?
More and more and more.
Who wants a sedan?
Less and less.
At the end of the first half the
split is 65% trucks and 35%
cars.
Who Is Ahead
Land Rover: + 39%
Volvo: + 34%
Audi: + 16%
Ford: + 12%
Honda: + 12%
Nissan: + 10%
Who Is Behind
VW: - 14%
Acura: - 7%
Mazda: - 2%
For the year the market is up
by 6%.
Free Flowing Money
Not to be repetitive, but free
flowing money is a great
enabler for the auto
business.
Especially when it comes to
used vehicle sales which are
an intrinsic component of the
business.
Longer Loan Terms
The length of the loan terms
is inexorably creeping up.
Obvious that everyone is
pushing the envelope in
dealing with negative equity.
While the terms get longer.
Chart from JD Power
Too Much Car
How often do you hear that
“Canadians are buying too
much car with too many
features”
Who trades down?
Easier to roll over when
trading up. Same monthly,
newer, with more features.
Is it a good thing?
• Jetta…………..……10,749
• Toyota Camry……....9,350
• Ford Fusion…….…..7,263
• Honda Accord..........7,230
• Chevy Malibu………6,417
• Nissan Altima……….4,912
• Hyundai Sonata….…4,502
• Chrysler 200………..4,087
Jetta persists…Wow
• Honda Civic….…..33,193
• Hyundai Elantra…..25,511
• Toyota Corolla……24,370
• Mazda 3………......14,156
• Chev Cruze……….11,368
The effect of the new Civic, Elantra and
Corolla are trading paint.
All Figures from Automotive News
SOME NUMBERS
FIRST HALF 2016
Compact Mid Size Sedans
• Ford F Series…..…..72,233
• Ram…………….……49,087
• GMC Sierra…..……..25,831
• Chevy Silverado……22,652
Surprising what a good supply of F Series
can do. Notice that the RAM and GM
pick ups are “scraping paint”.
• Toyota RAV4……….24,465
• Ford Escape……….20,554
• Honda CR-V……….19,906
• Nissan Rogue………18,433
• Hyundai Santa Fe…16,882
• Jeep Cherokee….…16,750
• Chevy Equinox….....9,482
• Chrysler Journey…..7,980
RAV4 still ahead with Escape clawing its
way back, CRV and Rogue trading
paint.
SOME NUMBERS – 1
FIRST HALF 2016
CUV/SUV Pick Up
• M-B M Class………….…..4,031
• Audi Q5……………………4,029
• Lexus RX…………………3,809
• Acura RDX………..…..….3,511
• BMW X5…………………..3,352
• BMW X3………....…….…2,850
• Acura MDX…….……....…2,446
• Cadillac SRX & XT5.....…2,367
• BMW X1……………..……2,268
• Infiniti QX60………......…2,035
• M-B GLK…………....……1,983
• Buick Enclave……………1,916
• Lincoln MKX……………..1,732
• Range Rover Sport…..…1,573
It’s a street fight!
• M-B C Class……..…4,592
• BMW 3 Series………3,271
• Audi A4……….....…2,736
• Acura TLX.……….…2,082
• Lexus IS…….…..…..1,435
• Infiniti Q50………..…1,365
• Cadillac ATS……..…1,191
• Lincoln MKZ……....….442
• Cadillac CTS……….…362
A ton of market pressure and
competition on entry level luxury
sedans.
SOME NUMBERS – 2
FIRST HALF 2016
Entry Luxury Luxury SUV/CUV
• Lamborghini…...………..85
• Maserati………….….….268
• Ferrari…………...….…..108
• Panamera…..…….…….129
• GT-R…………………..…53
• R8……….….…….…..…..59
• Rolls-Royce……………..42
• Bentley……….….…..….41
• Tesla Model S…….…1,080
• Volt……………..……..1,292
• Leaf…………..….….….617
• Lexus NX…………….2,825
• M-B GLA…………….2,476
• Audi Q3……….……..2,068
• Volvo XC90……….…1,462
• Lincoln MKC…………1,326
• Porsche Macan……..1,168
• BMW X4………….….…600
• Chrysler Pacifica……..248
The NX persists. Yes the XC90 is the best
selling Volvo. Let’s watch the Pacifica.
SOME NUMBERS – 3
FIRST HALF 2016
New Entrants Did You Know
OUR THOUGHTS
FIRST HALF 2016
• Record shattering first half what else can you say.
• Mobility is the model…forget ownership.
• Migration from sedans to trucks continues.
• Entry level luxury sedan segment under increasing pressure.
• Luxury utility segment continues to expand.
• F 150 is almost through the roof with improved availability.
• Power of money endures + longer term loans.
• Is it competitive? Absolutely…what do you think?
• Will it continue? We believe it will, just imagine if Alberta was all good.
Thank You

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Canadian Sales First Half 2016

  • 1. by Strada IQ July 2016 CANADIAN SALES FIRST HALF 2016
  • 2. Record Half Words are not enough. The auto business in Canada is reshaping reality. By now moving a ton of iron is “normal”. Yes…trucks are mainstream.
  • 3. Is it a Challenge? April: + 8% May: - 2% June: + 7+ YTD: + 6% A bit if a roller coaster in the 2nd quarter. But still appreciably ahead for the year.
  • 4. Incentives Where would the auto business be without tactical monthly incentives? Programs powered by money. It’s the perfect storm. What else can you say.
  • 5. Elephant Negative equity is the elephant. Managing and “rolling over” negative equity is crucial to conduct business and close deals. Consumers love it.
  • 6. Trucks Who wants a truck? More and more and more. Who wants a sedan? Less and less. At the end of the first half the split is 65% trucks and 35% cars.
  • 7. Who Is Ahead Land Rover: + 39% Volvo: + 34% Audi: + 16% Ford: + 12% Honda: + 12% Nissan: + 10%
  • 8. Who Is Behind VW: - 14% Acura: - 7% Mazda: - 2% For the year the market is up by 6%.
  • 9. Free Flowing Money Not to be repetitive, but free flowing money is a great enabler for the auto business. Especially when it comes to used vehicle sales which are an intrinsic component of the business.
  • 10. Longer Loan Terms The length of the loan terms is inexorably creeping up. Obvious that everyone is pushing the envelope in dealing with negative equity. While the terms get longer. Chart from JD Power
  • 11. Too Much Car How often do you hear that “Canadians are buying too much car with too many features” Who trades down? Easier to roll over when trading up. Same monthly, newer, with more features. Is it a good thing?
  • 12. • Jetta…………..……10,749 • Toyota Camry……....9,350 • Ford Fusion…….…..7,263 • Honda Accord..........7,230 • Chevy Malibu………6,417 • Nissan Altima……….4,912 • Hyundai Sonata….…4,502 • Chrysler 200………..4,087 Jetta persists…Wow • Honda Civic….…..33,193 • Hyundai Elantra…..25,511 • Toyota Corolla……24,370 • Mazda 3………......14,156 • Chev Cruze……….11,368 The effect of the new Civic, Elantra and Corolla are trading paint. All Figures from Automotive News SOME NUMBERS FIRST HALF 2016 Compact Mid Size Sedans
  • 13. • Ford F Series…..…..72,233 • Ram…………….……49,087 • GMC Sierra…..……..25,831 • Chevy Silverado……22,652 Surprising what a good supply of F Series can do. Notice that the RAM and GM pick ups are “scraping paint”. • Toyota RAV4……….24,465 • Ford Escape……….20,554 • Honda CR-V……….19,906 • Nissan Rogue………18,433 • Hyundai Santa Fe…16,882 • Jeep Cherokee….…16,750 • Chevy Equinox….....9,482 • Chrysler Journey…..7,980 RAV4 still ahead with Escape clawing its way back, CRV and Rogue trading paint. SOME NUMBERS – 1 FIRST HALF 2016 CUV/SUV Pick Up
  • 14. • M-B M Class………….…..4,031 • Audi Q5……………………4,029 • Lexus RX…………………3,809 • Acura RDX………..…..….3,511 • BMW X5…………………..3,352 • BMW X3………....…….…2,850 • Acura MDX…….……....…2,446 • Cadillac SRX & XT5.....…2,367 • BMW X1……………..……2,268 • Infiniti QX60………......…2,035 • M-B GLK…………....……1,983 • Buick Enclave……………1,916 • Lincoln MKX……………..1,732 • Range Rover Sport…..…1,573 It’s a street fight! • M-B C Class……..…4,592 • BMW 3 Series………3,271 • Audi A4……….....…2,736 • Acura TLX.……….…2,082 • Lexus IS…….…..…..1,435 • Infiniti Q50………..…1,365 • Cadillac ATS……..…1,191 • Lincoln MKZ……....….442 • Cadillac CTS……….…362 A ton of market pressure and competition on entry level luxury sedans. SOME NUMBERS – 2 FIRST HALF 2016 Entry Luxury Luxury SUV/CUV
  • 15. • Lamborghini…...………..85 • Maserati………….….….268 • Ferrari…………...….…..108 • Panamera…..…….…….129 • GT-R…………………..…53 • R8……….….…….…..…..59 • Rolls-Royce……………..42 • Bentley……….….…..….41 • Tesla Model S…….…1,080 • Volt……………..……..1,292 • Leaf…………..….….….617 • Lexus NX…………….2,825 • M-B GLA…………….2,476 • Audi Q3……….……..2,068 • Volvo XC90……….…1,462 • Lincoln MKC…………1,326 • Porsche Macan……..1,168 • BMW X4………….….…600 • Chrysler Pacifica……..248 The NX persists. Yes the XC90 is the best selling Volvo. Let’s watch the Pacifica. SOME NUMBERS – 3 FIRST HALF 2016 New Entrants Did You Know
  • 16. OUR THOUGHTS FIRST HALF 2016 • Record shattering first half what else can you say. • Mobility is the model…forget ownership. • Migration from sedans to trucks continues. • Entry level luxury sedan segment under increasing pressure. • Luxury utility segment continues to expand. • F 150 is almost through the roof with improved availability. • Power of money endures + longer term loans. • Is it competitive? Absolutely…what do you think? • Will it continue? We believe it will, just imagine if Alberta was all good. Thank You