SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 72
Download to read offline
Kwanini	
  Carrying	
  Capacity	
  Assessment	
  
	
   June	
  -­‐	
  September	
  2014	
   	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
Prepared	
  for	
  	
  
Ministry	
  of	
  Information,	
  Culture,	
  Tourism	
  and	
  Sports	
  
Hon.	
  Said	
  Ali	
  Mbarouk	
  
	
  
By	
  
Denise	
  Bretlaender	
  
&	
  
Pavol	
  Toth	
   	
  
	
  
Investors
	
  
Government
	
  
Guests
	
  
Workforce
	
  
People
	
  
Kwanini
  2	
  
	
  
Table	
  of	
  Contents	
  
KWANINI	
  CARRYING	
  CAPACITY	
  ASSESSMENT	
  .................................................................................................................	
  1	
  
1.	
  INTRODUCTION	
  ...............................................................................................................................................	
  3	
  
2.	
  LITERATURE	
  REVIEW	
  .......................................................................................................................................	
  3	
  
2.1	
  SUSTAINABLE	
  TOURISM	
  .......................................................................................................................................	
  3	
  
2.2	
  MANAGEMENT	
  TOOLS	
  FOR	
  SUSTAINABLE	
  TOURISM	
  ..................................................................................................	
  4	
  
3.	
  CARRYING	
  CAPACITY	
  EXERCISE	
  ........................................................................................................................	
  5	
  
4.	
  METHODOLOGY	
  ..............................................................................................................................................	
  8	
  
5.	
  ANALYSES	
  ......................................................................................................................................................	
  10	
  
5.	
  1	
  CURRENT	
  STATE	
  OF	
  TOURISM	
  .............................................................................................................................	
  11	
  
5.2	
  ZONING	
  .........................................................................................................................................................	
  13	
  
6.	
  CASE	
  STUDY	
  ..................................................................................................................................................	
  15	
  
6.1	
  CASE	
  STUDY	
  1:	
  SEYCHELLES	
  ................................................................................................................................	
  15	
  
6.2	
  CASE	
  STUDY	
  2:	
  MAURITIUS	
  ................................................................................................................................	
  19	
  
6.3	
  CASE	
  STUDY	
  3:	
  MALDIVES	
  .................................................................................................................................	
  20	
  
7.	
  INDICATOR	
  ANALYSES	
  ...................................................................................................................................	
  22	
  
8.	
  	
  SURVEYS	
  .......................................................................................................................................................	
  24	
  
8.1	
  VISITOR	
  EXIT	
  SURVEY	
  ........................................................................................................................................	
  24	
  
8.2	
  HOTEL	
  MANAGEMENT	
  SURVEY	
  ............................................................................................................................	
  28	
  
8.3	
  HOTEL	
  STAFF	
  SURVEY	
  ........................................................................................................................................	
  30	
  
8.4	
  LOCAL	
  COMMUNITY	
  LEADER	
  SURVEY	
  ....................................................................................................................	
  32	
  
9.	
  DISCUSSION	
  ..................................................................................................................................................	
  35	
  
10.	
  RECOMMENDATIONS	
  FOR	
  FURTHER	
  RESEARCH	
  ..........................................................................................	
  37	
  
11.	
  CONCLUSION	
  ...............................................................................................................................................	
  38	
  
APPENDIX	
  I:	
  LITERATURE	
  REVIEW	
  .....................................................................................................................	
  44	
  
1.1.	
   JAFARI’S	
  FOUR	
  PLATFORMS	
  ...........................................................................................................................	
  44	
  
1.2.	
   MICRO-­‐	
  AND	
  MACRO-­‐	
  LEVEL	
  MANAGEMENT	
  TOOL	
  DESCRIPTION	
  ..........................................................................	
  44	
  
	
  
  3	
  
1.	
  Introduction	
  
Pemba’s	
  attractiveness	
  as	
  a	
  tourism	
  location	
  is	
  mainly	
  due	
  to	
  its	
  natural	
  resources	
  such	
  as	
  world-­‐
class	
  diving	
  and	
  beautiful	
  beaches.	
  The	
  tourism	
  industry	
  on	
  the	
  island	
  has	
  an	
  interest	
  in	
  developing	
  
a	
  sustainable	
  and	
  economically	
  profitable	
  business	
  without	
  damaging	
  neither	
  the	
  environment	
  nor	
  
the	
  local	
  population.	
  
Based	
   on	
   the	
   structured	
   interviews	
   with	
   stakeholders,	
   an	
   indicator	
   analyses,	
   three	
   case	
   studies,	
  
literature	
   review	
   and	
   four	
   surveys	
   as	
   well	
   as	
   the	
   framework	
   developed	
   by	
   Kurhade	
   (2013)	
   a	
  
tourism	
   strategy	
   for	
   Pemba	
   was	
   recommended	
   in	
   this	
   paper	
   and	
   presented	
   to	
   the	
   Ministry	
   for	
  
Information,	
  Culture,	
  Tourism	
  and	
  Sports	
  of	
  the	
  Revolutionary	
  Government	
  of	
  Zanzibar.	
  
The	
  variety	
  of	
  characteristics	
  that	
  should	
  be	
  managed	
  sustainably	
  makes	
  it	
  difficult	
  to	
  choose	
  one	
  
specific	
  form	
  of	
  protection.	
  Management	
  must	
  take	
  into	
  consideration	
  the	
  traditional	
  way	
  of	
  life	
  of	
  
its	
  indigenous	
  citizens,	
  the	
  wildlife,	
  the	
  recreational	
  areas	
  (e.g.	
  coral	
  reefs	
  as	
  dive	
  sites)	
  and	
  different	
  
forms	
  of	
  landscape.	
  All	
  these	
  aspects	
  must	
  be	
  considered	
  when	
  developing	
  a	
  strategy	
  on	
  how	
  to	
  
handle	
  future	
  tourism	
  on	
  Pemba	
  without	
  sacrificing	
  the	
  island’s	
  character	
  through	
  overcrowding.	
  
This	
  paper	
  commences	
  with	
  a	
  literature	
  review	
  concerning	
  Tourism	
  Carrying	
  Capacity	
  Assessment	
  
(TCCA),	
  which	
  includes	
  changes	
  in	
  expert	
  mindset	
  and	
  limitations	
  of	
  	
  TCCAs.	
  	
  
2.	
  Literature	
  Review	
  
Tourism	
  constitutes	
  a	
  valuable	
  source	
  of	
  revenue	
  especially	
  for	
  resource-­‐poor	
  countries	
  (Brown	
  et	
  
al.,	
  1997).	
  However,	
  there	
  exists	
  a	
  crucial	
  trade-­‐off	
  between	
  generated	
  benefits	
  and	
  economic	
  costs	
  
in	
  the	
  tourism	
  sector	
  (Brown	
  et	
  al.,	
  1997).	
  	
  
2.1	
  Sustainable	
  Tourism	
  
This	
  paper	
  will	
  use	
  MacIntosh	
  and	
  Goeldner’s	
  (1986)	
  definition	
  of	
  tourism	
  as	
  a	
  foundation.	
  They	
  
define	
   tourism	
   as	
   “the	
   sum	
   of	
   the	
   phenomena	
   and	
   relationships	
   arising	
   from	
   the	
   interaction	
   of	
  
tourists,	
  business	
  suppliers,	
  host	
  governments	
  and	
  host	
  communities	
  in	
  the	
  process	
  of	
  attracting	
  
and	
   hosting	
   these	
   tourists	
   and	
   other	
   visitors”	
   (p.18).	
   Mathieson	
   and	
   Walls	
   established	
   the	
   most	
  
commonly	
  used	
  definition	
  in	
  1982.	
  According	
  to	
  the	
  authors,	
  tourism	
  is	
  explained	
  as	
  a	
  “temporary	
  
movement	
   of	
   people	
   to	
   destinations	
   outside	
   their	
   normal	
   places	
   of	
   work	
   and	
   residence,	
   the	
  
activities	
  undertaken	
  during	
  their	
  stay	
  in	
  those	
  destinations,	
  and	
  the	
  facilities	
  created	
  to	
  cater	
  to	
  
their	
   needs”	
   (p.	
   29).	
   This	
   paper	
   uses	
   the	
   first	
   definition	
   as	
   it	
   includes	
   the	
   importance	
   of	
  
relationships	
  between	
  different	
  stakeholders.	
  Moreover,	
  it	
  also	
  allows	
  for	
  different	
  non-­‐locals	
  being	
  
present	
   on	
   Pemba	
   (i.e.	
   visitors	
   and	
   tourists).	
   More	
   importantly	
   it	
   includes	
   marketing	
   activities,	
  
which	
  have	
  a	
  tremendous	
  impact	
  concerning	
  destination	
  decision-­‐making	
  process	
  and	
  expectation	
  
management.	
  
  4	
  
The	
   discussion	
   of	
   different	
   tourism	
   definitions	
   is	
   important	
   as	
   it	
   showcases	
   that	
   experts	
   and	
  
academic	
  literature	
  have	
  not	
  come	
  to	
  a	
  consensus	
  on	
  the	
  extent	
  tourism	
  has	
  in	
  the	
  context	
  of	
  the	
  
community.	
  
Many	
  models	
  have	
  been	
  published	
  in	
  regards	
  to	
  the	
  evolution	
  of	
  tourism.	
  Jafari’s	
  (2001)	
  influential	
  
platform	
  stage	
  model	
  identified	
  a	
  gradual	
  change	
  from	
  tourism	
  as	
  a	
  platform	
  for	
  advocacy	
  (1950’s-­‐
1960’s)	
  to	
  cautionary	
  (1970’s)	
  to	
  ada	
  ptancy	
  and	
  finally	
  knowledge-­‐based	
  (1990’s).1	
  This	
  model	
  was	
  
expanded	
  upon	
  to	
  include	
  the	
  ethics	
  and	
  finally	
  sustainability	
  stage	
  (McBeth,	
  2005).	
  He	
  defines	
  the	
  
latter	
   as	
   a	
   limited	
   growth	
   concept	
   based	
   on	
   political	
   considerations.	
   Pemba	
   Island	
   is	
   an	
   African	
  
tourism	
   destination	
   and	
   as	
   of	
   2013	
   relatively	
   unknown	
   as	
   a	
   travel	
   location.	
   As	
   such	
   it	
   has	
   not	
  
experienced	
  the	
  different	
  mentalities	
  of	
  tourists	
  and	
  leapfrogged	
  all	
  this	
  stages.	
  As	
  such	
  the	
  only	
  
negative	
   association	
   the	
   local	
   population	
   has	
   is	
   the	
   example	
   of	
   Unguja.	
   The	
   lack	
   of	
   the	
   first	
   four	
  
stages	
   in	
   Pemba’s	
   development	
   as	
   a	
   tourist	
   location	
   increases	
   measurement	
   difficulties	
   but	
   also	
  
explains	
   the	
   current	
   pristine	
   stages	
   of	
   the	
   natural	
   landscape.	
   The	
   government	
   has	
   the	
   unique	
  
opportunity	
   to	
   leapfrog	
   certain	
   tourism	
   management	
   stages	
   and	
   develop	
   a	
   sustainable	
   tourism	
  
environment	
  that	
  aims	
  to	
  avoid	
  the	
  negative	
  impacts,	
  that	
  have	
  occurred	
  in	
  other	
  locations	
  due	
  to	
  
mass	
  market	
  tourism	
  (especially	
  on	
  Unguja).	
  	
  
Saarinen	
  (2006)	
  states	
  three	
  alternative	
  perspectives	
  on	
  how	
  to	
  view	
  sustainability	
  limits.	
  The	
  first	
  
perspective	
  is	
  resource	
  based	
  and	
  founded	
  upon	
  a	
  positivist	
  ecological	
  point-­‐of-­‐view.	
  According	
  to	
  
this	
   tradition	
   limits	
   to	
   growth	
   are	
   imposed	
   to	
   protect	
   the	
   resources	
   in	
   the	
   holiday	
   location.	
   The	
  
second	
  perspective	
  is	
  activity	
  based	
  and	
  defines	
  limits	
  as	
  flexible	
  and	
  adaptive	
  to	
  new	
  situations.	
  
Butler’s	
   (2006)	
   tourism	
   area	
   life	
   cycle	
   is	
   deeply	
   interwoven	
   with	
   this	
   line	
   of	
   argumentation.	
  
According	
  to	
  Butler’s	
  theory	
  once	
  a	
  tourism	
  area	
  enters	
  the	
  stagnation	
  stage	
  the	
  management	
  can	
  
use	
  activities	
  such	
  as	
  marketing	
  to	
  revive	
  growth	
  and	
  avoid	
  the	
  normally	
  occurring	
  decline	
  stage	
  
due	
   saturation.	
   This	
   developmental	
   approach	
   has	
   strong	
   support	
   amongst	
   international	
  
organizations,	
   including	
   World	
   Tourism	
   Organization.	
   The	
   last	
   perspective	
   is	
   based	
   on	
   the	
  
stakeholder	
   community	
   empowerment.	
   If	
   local	
   communities	
   contribute	
   through	
   information	
   or	
  
knowledge	
  sharing	
  relationships	
  are	
  build.	
  On	
  the	
  basis	
  of	
  these	
  valuable	
  social	
  networks	
  limits	
  can	
  
be	
   negotiated	
   and	
   often	
   upwardly	
   adjusted.	
   Thus,	
   this	
   theory	
   sees	
   growth	
   boundaries	
   as	
  
management	
  concepts	
  to	
  be	
  handled.	
  The	
  discussion	
  of	
  different	
  perspectives	
  highlight	
  that	
  limit	
  
setting	
   is	
   not	
   a	
   static	
   activity	
   and	
   can	
   be	
   approached	
   differently	
   and	
   with	
   different	
   degrees	
   of	
  
stakeholder	
  participation.	
  	
  
2.2	
  Management	
  Tools	
  for	
  Sustainable	
  Tourism	
  
Tools	
  that	
  can	
  be	
  utilized	
  in	
  sustainable	
  tourism	
  activities	
  are	
  manifold	
  and	
  can	
  be	
  separated	
  into	
  
micro-­‐	
  and	
  macro	
  management	
  level	
  tools.	
  Management	
  tools	
  on	
  the	
  micro-­‐level	
  include,	
  but	
  are	
  not	
  
limited	
   to:	
   area	
   protection,	
   visitor	
   management	
   techniques	
   (e.g.	
   zoning,	
   honeypots,	
   visitor	
  
dispersion,	
   channeled	
   visitor	
   flow,	
   restricted	
   entry,	
   vehicle	
   restriction),	
   differential	
   pricing	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  
1
	
  See	
  Apendix	
  1.1	
  for	
  a	
  deeper	
  explanation	
  of	
  Jafari’s	
  four	
  platforms.	
  
  5	
  
strategies,	
   usage	
   of	
   sustainability	
   indicators	
   and	
   finally	
   carrying	
   capacity	
   assessment.	
   Industry	
  
regulation,	
  environmental	
  foot-­‐printing,	
  auditing	
  and	
  indicators,	
  Codes	
  of	
  Conduct	
  and	
  eco-­‐labels	
  
(including	
   certification	
   schemes)	
   count	
   as	
   macro-­‐level	
   management	
   tools2	
   (Mowforth	
   &	
  
Munt,1997).	
  	
  
The	
  carrying	
  capacity	
  study	
  results	
  can	
  be	
  used	
  to	
  commence	
  with	
  other	
  tools	
  as	
  well.	
  As	
  described	
  
above	
   it	
   could	
   lead	
   to	
   important	
   industry	
   regulations	
   (including	
   government	
   legislation,	
  
professional	
  association	
  and	
  voluntary	
  self-­‐regulation).Moreover	
  as	
  the	
  Carrying	
  Capacity	
  is	
  based	
  
on	
  dialogue	
  and	
  research	
  it	
  can	
  also	
  give	
  insights	
  into	
  various	
  topics	
  that	
  are	
  currently	
  to	
  costly	
  or	
  
complicated	
   such	
   as	
   extensive	
   environmental	
   foot-­‐printing.	
   It	
   can	
   also	
   show	
   the	
   importance	
   of	
  
increased	
  governmental	
  participation	
  or	
  need	
  for	
  lack	
  thereof.	
  As	
  such	
  carrying	
  capacity	
  is	
  at	
  the	
  
center	
   of	
   many	
   management	
   tools,	
   which	
   indicates	
   this	
   study	
   is	
   a	
   necessary	
   foundation	
   to	
   base	
  
other	
  management	
  tools	
  upon	
  or	
  which	
  to	
  not	
  use.	
  
3.	
  Carrying	
  Capacity	
  Exercise	
  
Managers	
   in	
   the	
   tourism	
   sector	
   need	
   to	
   know	
   how	
   much	
   tourism	
   a	
   certain	
   location	
   can	
   sustain	
  
without	
   jeopardizing	
   the	
   long-­‐term	
   quality.	
   A	
   Carrying	
   Capacity	
   Exercise	
   (CCE),	
   also	
   known	
   a	
  
Carrying	
  Capacity	
  Study,	
  Carrying	
  Capacity	
  Assessment	
  or	
  Carrying	
  Capacity	
  Calculations,	
  is	
  used	
  to	
  
balance	
  maintenance	
  of	
  the	
  physical	
  environment	
  and	
  the	
  quality	
  of	
  how	
  the	
  visitor	
  experienced	
  
their	
  chosen	
  vacation	
  (O'Reilly,	
  1986).	
  This	
  chapter	
  will	
  give	
  explain	
  CCEs	
  and	
  examine	
  the	
  benefits	
  
and	
  criticism	
  associated	
  with	
  the	
  usage	
  of	
  this	
  tool.	
  	
  
Three	
   different	
   ways	
   of	
   thinking	
   must	
   be	
   differentiated	
   when	
   talking	
   about	
   Tourism	
   Carrying	
  
Capacity	
  (TCC)	
  the	
  most	
  general	
  description	
  of	
  CCE	
  in	
  the	
  tourism	
  sector	
  (a	
  description	
  of	
  different	
  
forms	
  of	
  TCC	
  will	
  follow	
  later	
  in	
  this	
  subsection)	
  and	
  was	
  first	
  developed	
  in	
  the	
  1960s.	
  The	
  first	
  
school	
   of	
   thought	
   defines	
   tourism	
   capacity	
   by	
   how	
   much	
   tourists	
   can	
   be	
   accommodates	
   before	
  
negative	
   impacts	
   start	
   to	
   become	
   observable.	
   The	
   second	
   school	
   of	
   thought	
   however	
   defined	
  
capacity	
  as	
  reached	
  when	
  the	
  tourists	
  themselves	
  see	
  the	
  negative	
  impacts	
  and	
  start	
  to	
  withdraw	
  
from	
  an	
  area	
  as	
  it	
  no	
  longer	
  satisfies	
  their	
  requirements.	
  Subsequently	
  they	
  will	
  seek	
  alternative	
  
destinations.	
  (O'Reilly,	
  1986)	
  A	
  different	
  approach	
  is	
  to	
  disregard	
  absolute	
  numbers	
  and	
  measure	
  
maximum	
   growth	
   rates,	
   however	
   as	
   growth	
   does	
   not	
   define	
   an	
   upper	
   limit,	
   either	
   the	
   company	
  
must	
  do	
  that	
  or	
  use	
  continuous	
  revaluation	
  to	
  ensure	
  overcapacity	
  is	
  not	
  reached	
  accidentally	
  (De	
  
Kadt,	
  1976).	
  
This	
  paper	
  ascribes	
  to	
  the	
  first	
  observation	
  based	
  on	
  two	
  considerations.	
  Firstly,	
  according	
  to	
  Plog’s	
  
“Psychographic	
  Positions	
  of	
  Destinations”	
  model	
  (1974)	
  the	
  homogenous	
  treatment	
  of	
  tourists	
  is	
  
not	
   realistic.	
   According	
   to	
   him	
   tourists	
   must	
   be	
   separated	
   into	
   psycho-­‐centric	
   and	
   allo-­‐centric	
  
groups.	
  The	
  first	
  group	
  consists	
  of	
  non-­‐adventurous	
  travelers	
  and	
  the	
  latter	
  is	
  their	
  opposite	
  and	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  
2
	
  For	
  a	
  description	
  of	
  the	
  different	
  tools	
  please	
  see	
  Appendix	
  1.2.	
  
  6	
  
characterized	
  by	
  curiosity	
  and	
  adventurousness.	
  Tourism	
  carrying	
  capacity	
  (TCC)	
  assumed	
  that	
  all	
  
tourists	
  leave	
  a	
  location	
  after	
  the	
  same	
  amount	
  of	
  time	
  which	
  is	
  not	
  a	
  real-­‐life	
  observation.	
  Plog	
  
argues	
   that	
   allo-­‐centric	
   travelers	
   grow	
   impatient	
   with	
   commercialization	
   much	
   quicker	
   than	
  
psycho-­‐centric	
  and	
  will	
  leave	
  a	
  destination	
  sooner	
  to	
  seek	
  more	
  authentic	
  sites.	
  This	
  further	
  implies	
  
that	
   locations	
   that	
   are	
   avoided	
   by	
   allo-­‐centric	
   persons	
   might	
   still	
   be	
   visited	
   by	
   less-­‐adventurous	
  
people	
   and	
   as	
   such	
   TCC	
   should	
   not	
   be	
   defined	
   as	
   capacity	
   is	
   reached	
   when	
   tourists	
   leave	
   the	
  
destination	
   of	
   their	
   own	
   free	
   will.	
   Secondly,	
   the	
   first	
   school	
   of	
   thought	
   is	
   more	
   conservative	
   to	
  
maintain	
  the	
  quality	
  of	
  the	
  current	
  island.	
  	
  
There	
   are	
   six	
   different	
   forms	
   of	
   CCE,	
   which	
   differ	
   in	
   the	
   underlying	
   measurement:	
   Physical,	
  
ecological,	
  economic,	
  social	
  and	
  environmental	
  carrying	
  capacity	
  (see	
  Graphic	
  1	
  below).	
  The	
  seventh	
  
form	
  of	
  CCE	
  concerns	
  itself	
  with	
  the	
  limits	
  of	
  acceptable	
  change.	
  (Mowforth	
  &	
  Munt,1997)	
  
	
  
Graph	
  1:	
  6	
  Key	
  Types	
  of	
  TCC	
  based	
  on	
  Mowforth	
  &	
  Munt	
  (1997)	
  and	
  O'Reilly	
  (1986).	
  
However,	
  the	
  different	
  carrying	
  capacities	
  can	
  be	
  further	
  broken	
  down.	
  Capacity	
  levels	
  are	
  subject	
  
to	
  two	
  factor	
  groups:	
  tourist	
  attributes	
  and	
  destination	
  (including	
  area	
  and	
  population)	
  attributes.	
  
The	
  first	
  group	
  includes	
  socioeconomic,	
  ethnical	
  and	
  behavioral	
  characteristics.	
  The	
  second	
  group	
  is	
  
wider	
   and	
   includes	
   natural	
   environment,	
   features	
   and	
   processes,	
   economic	
   structure	
   and	
  
development,	
   social	
   structure	
   and	
   organization,	
   political	
   organization	
   and	
   level	
   of	
   tourist	
  
development.	
  It	
  is	
  important	
  to	
  note	
  that	
  tourist	
  development	
  could	
  be	
  positive	
  in	
  one	
  factor	
  while	
  
impacting	
   another	
   one	
   negatively.	
   Moreover,	
   each	
   factor	
   has	
   a	
   maximum	
   capacity	
   in	
   itself	
   and	
  
prioritizing	
   and	
   defining	
   individual	
   tolerance	
   limits	
   can	
   be	
   helpful	
   in	
   finding	
   a	
   balance	
   between	
  
trade-­‐offs	
  later	
  in	
  the	
  process.	
  (Mathieson	
  and	
  Wall,1982)	
  
Historical	
   data	
   on	
   vacation	
   locations	
   has	
   shown	
   that	
   most	
   crises	
   caused	
   by	
   destruction	
   or	
  
deterioration	
   has	
   only	
   occurred	
   once	
   the	
   maximum	
   capacity	
   has	
   been	
   exceeded.	
   Thus,	
   proper	
  
• Capacity	
  is	
  reached	
  when	
  the	
  exisQng	
  historical	
  sites	
  and/or	
  the	
  infrastructue	
  can	
  no	
  longer	
  
support	
  the	
  tourist	
  number.	
  
Physical	
  Carrying	
  
Capacity	
  
• Capacity	
  is	
  reached	
  naQve	
  wildlife	
  populaQon	
  is	
  endangered	
  due	
  to	
  tourist	
  aciQviQes.	
  
Ecological	
  
Carrying	
  Capacity	
  
• Capacity	
  is	
  reached	
  when	
  beneficial	
  local	
  acQviQes	
  can	
  no	
  longer	
  be	
  carried	
  out	
  as	
  these	
  are	
  
squeezed	
  out	
  by	
  tourist	
  funcQons.	
  
Economic	
  Carrying	
  
Capacity	
  
• Capacity	
  is	
  reached	
  when	
  the	
  tourists	
  can	
  no	
  longer	
  tolerate	
  the	
  behavior	
  of	
  other	
  tourists	
  or	
  
when	
  the	
  indigenous	
  populaQon	
  can	
  no	
  longer	
  tolerate	
  tourists.	
  
Social	
  carrying	
  
capacity	
  
• Capacity	
  is	
  reached	
  when	
  tourists	
  no	
  longer	
  enjoy	
  themselves	
  due	
  to	
  obervable	
  damage	
  caused	
  
by	
  previous	
  visitors.	
  
Perceptual	
  
carrying	
  capacity	
  
• Capacity	
  is	
  reached	
  when	
  environmental	
  problems	
  start	
  to	
  occur	
  due	
  to	
  the	
  tourist	
  interacQon	
  
with	
  the	
  environment.	
  
Environmental	
  
carrying	
  capacity	
  
  7	
  
capacity	
  management	
  can	
  be	
  used	
  as	
  crisis	
  prevention	
  and	
  could	
  lead	
  to	
  cost	
  savings	
  measures	
  in	
  
the	
  long-­‐term	
  perspective.	
  A	
  TCC	
  study	
  can	
  give	
  a	
  range	
  of	
  expected	
  visitors	
  and	
  with	
  this	
  number	
  a	
  
cost-­‐benefit	
   analyses	
   could	
   be	
   executed	
   before	
   opening	
   tourism	
   related	
   projects.	
   Thus	
   potential	
  
projects	
  with	
  financial	
  or	
  natural	
  losses	
  could	
  be	
  avoided	
  before	
  they	
  occur.	
  (O’Reilley,	
  1986)	
  
Most	
   importantly	
   sustaining	
   quality	
   in	
   the	
   long-­‐run	
   for	
   specific	
   categories	
   is	
   a	
   crucial	
   benefit.	
  
Ensuring	
   optimized	
   planning	
   for	
   all	
   stakeholders	
   on	
   the	
   island	
   is	
   necessary	
   so	
   they	
   can	
   use	
  
resources	
  responsibly	
  and	
  avoid	
  investing	
  into	
  projects	
  that	
  are	
  harmful	
  for	
  the	
  future.	
  Furthermore	
  
carrying	
   capacity	
   exercises	
   can	
   be	
   supplemented	
   with	
   pricing	
   differentiation	
   techniques	
   as	
  
described	
  in	
  Chapter	
  3.	
  This	
  would	
  allow	
  management	
  to	
  find	
  the	
  optimal	
  price	
  point	
  that	
  various	
  
tourists	
  segments	
  are	
  willing	
  to	
  pay	
  and	
  thus	
  allow	
  for	
  profit	
  optimization.	
  
One	
  key	
  reason	
  why	
  TCC	
  tools	
  are	
  not	
  as	
  commonly	
  used	
  are	
  measurement	
  and	
  quantifying	
  issues.	
  
These	
   can	
   have	
   three	
   causes.	
   Firstly,	
   different	
   societies	
   accept	
   different	
   visitor	
   levels	
   as	
  
overcapacity.	
   Secondly,	
   some	
   developments	
   make	
   a	
   higher	
   visitor	
   density	
   necessary.	
   Thirdly,	
  
management	
  greatly	
  affects	
  physical	
  and	
  environmental	
  carrying	
  capacities.	
  (O’Reilley,	
  1986)	
  This	
  
makes	
  it	
  difficult	
  name	
  an	
  exact	
  number	
  of	
  desired	
  tourists.	
  Furthermore,	
  companies	
  have	
  struggled	
  
to	
  identify	
  how	
  to	
  measure	
  tourist	
  numbers	
  in	
  an	
  optimal	
  manner.	
  
Capacity	
  mismanagement	
  is	
  especially	
  common	
  in	
  developing	
  countries	
  as	
  these	
  often	
  rely	
  on	
  the	
  
mass	
  tourism	
  sector	
  as	
  one	
  key	
  revenue	
  source.	
  The	
  short-­‐term	
  perspective	
  is	
  often	
  deemed	
  more	
  
relevant	
  than	
  overcapacity	
  consideration	
  on	
  future	
  income.	
  (O’Reilley,	
  1986)	
  These	
  two	
  statements	
  
combined	
  with	
  the	
  above	
  benefit	
  description	
  shows	
  that	
  capacity	
  management	
  should	
  be	
  a	
  part	
  of	
  
the	
  management	
  tool	
  kit	
  in	
  regards	
  to	
  sustainable	
  tourism	
  Pemba	
  and	
  Zanzibar	
  in	
  general.	
  
One	
  main	
  criticism	
  was	
  the	
  measurement	
  issues.	
  In	
  order	
  to	
  gain	
  an	
  understanding	
  of	
  which	
  visitor	
  
density	
  ratio	
  for	
  physical	
  carrying	
  capacity	
  is	
  classified	
  as	
  overcrowded	
  (for	
  the	
  entire	
  island	
  and	
  
specifically	
   for	
   the	
   resort)	
   expectations	
   of	
   target	
   audiences	
   need	
   to	
   be	
   analyzed.	
   Based	
   on	
   this	
  
specific	
  numbers	
  a	
  tourist	
  number	
  per	
  square	
  mile	
  in	
  that	
  region	
  or	
  the	
  entire	
  island	
  could	
  be	
  taken	
  
as	
  a	
  baseline	
  for	
  monitoring	
  capacity.	
  Another	
  measurement	
  could	
  be	
  the	
  number	
  of	
  tourists	
  per	
  
100	
  local	
  people	
  in	
  that	
  region.	
  A	
  combination	
  of	
  both	
  factors	
  might	
  further	
  optimize	
  the	
  number	
  for	
  
specific	
  carrying	
  capacities.(O’Reilley,	
  1986)	
  
The	
  six	
  main	
  carrying	
  capacities	
  in	
  Graphic	
  1	
  should	
  all	
  be	
  included	
  in	
  the	
  TCC	
  estimation	
  as	
  they	
  
showcase	
   different	
   aspects	
   of	
   resort	
   vacations.	
   However,	
   the	
   Tourism	
   Ministry	
   has	
   to	
   determine	
  
priorities	
  because	
  the	
  maximum	
  capacities	
  will	
  not	
  be	
  identical	
  in	
  each	
  capacity	
  and	
  choosing	
  the	
  
lowest	
  number	
  overall	
  can	
  also	
  lead	
  to	
  exempting	
  possible	
  visitors	
  that	
  would	
  enjoy	
  their	
  vacations.	
  
Another	
  way	
  to	
  use	
  low	
  capacity	
  numbers	
  in	
  one	
  category	
  is	
  as	
  a	
  critical	
  threshold.	
  For	
  example	
  
physical	
   carrying	
   capacity	
   includes	
   aspects	
   such	
   as	
   waste	
   removal	
   infrastructure,	
   which	
   is	
   not	
   a	
  
static	
  number	
  but	
  could	
  be	
  improved	
  to	
  allow	
  for	
  more	
  visitors.	
  More	
  importantly	
  the	
  biggest	
  issue	
  
will	
   be	
   combing	
   the	
   interest	
   of	
   the	
   island	
   as	
   a	
   whole	
   with	
   the	
   interests	
   of	
   the	
   individual	
  
  8	
  
stakeholders.	
   As	
   priorities	
   will	
   not	
   be	
   identical	
   a	
   discussion	
   point	
   (such	
   as	
   the	
   annual	
   Kwanini	
  
conference)	
  and	
  equal	
  commitment	
  is	
  crucial.	
  
TCC’s	
   underlying	
   statement	
   of	
   tourism’s	
   inability	
   to	
   continuously	
   grow	
   without	
   harming	
   the	
  
domestic	
   system	
   is	
   logical	
   (Coccossis	
   &	
   Mexa,	
   2004).	
   Thus,	
   knowing	
   the	
   limitations	
   can	
   help	
   to	
  
recognize	
  maturity	
  levels	
  in	
  locations	
  and	
  management	
  can	
  react	
  accordingly	
  instead	
  of	
  investing	
  
money	
  and	
  other	
  valuable	
  resources	
  into	
  an	
  expansion	
  attempt	
  that	
  will	
  do	
  more	
  harm	
  than	
  good.	
  
To	
   conclude	
   doing	
   an	
   EEC	
   at	
   the	
   relative	
   beginning	
   of	
   tourism	
   development	
   has	
   the	
   benefit	
   of	
  
avoiding	
   quality	
   damages	
   before	
   they	
   occur.	
   Especially	
   in	
   the	
   context	
   of	
   the	
   current	
   mindset	
  
towards	
  sustainable	
  ecotourism	
  Pemba	
  is	
  in	
  a	
  situation	
  where	
  it	
  would	
  be	
  very	
  beneficial	
  to	
  define	
  
aims	
  and	
  limitations	
  from	
  the	
  start	
  and	
  develop	
  a	
  holistic	
  strategy	
  for	
  the	
  entire	
  island	
  with	
  the	
  
inclusion	
  of	
  all	
  stakeholders.	
  Thus	
  this	
  study	
  aims	
  at	
  doing	
  exactly	
  that.	
  
4.	
  Methodology	
  
Based	
  on	
  the	
  literature	
  review,	
  (see	
  Chapter	
  2),	
  this	
  Tourism	
  Carrying	
  Capacity	
  Study	
  (TCCS)	
  was	
  
based	
   on	
   qualitative	
   and	
   quantitative	
   data	
   research.	
   The	
   focus	
   was	
   not	
   to	
   determine	
   a	
   specific	
  
number	
  as	
  various	
  authors	
  have	
  noted	
  that	
  this	
  is	
  not	
  feasible	
  in	
  a	
  changing	
  regulatory	
  environment	
  
(see	
  Chapter	
  2),	
  but	
  instead	
  to	
  define	
  a	
  tourism	
  strategy	
  and	
  an	
  reevaluation	
  of	
  the	
  determined	
  goal	
  
number	
   of	
   2300	
   and	
   2605	
   beds	
   in	
   the	
   National	
   Land	
   Use	
   Plan	
   and	
   the	
   Tourism	
   Master	
   Plan	
  
respectively.	
   This	
   TCSS	
   is	
   designed	
   to	
   answer	
   three	
   guiding	
   questions,	
   that	
   were	
   modified	
   from	
  
Sharma’s	
  carrying	
  capacity	
  research	
  in	
  1995	
  :	
  
• Given	
  the	
  strategy	
  for	
  a	
  positive	
  contribution	
  to	
  the	
  people	
  of	
  Pemba	
  through	
  tourism	
  how	
  
can	
  opportunities	
  be	
  maximized	
  and	
  harm	
  to	
  the	
  culture	
  and	
  uniqueness	
  of	
  Pemba	
  Island	
  be	
  
prevented?	
  
• How	
  can	
  every	
  stakeholder	
  be	
  involved	
  in	
  the	
  tourism	
  planning	
  process?	
  
• Which	
  local	
  institutions	
  should	
  be	
  created	
  or	
  their	
  jurisdiction	
  modified	
  to	
  enable	
  an	
  holistic	
  
tourism	
  approach	
  that	
  monitors	
  and	
  manages	
  the	
  local	
  economy	
  efficiently	
  and	
  responsibly	
  
as	
   well	
   as	
   the	
   environmental	
   development	
   through	
   a	
   set	
   of	
   core	
   evaluation	
   criterias	
   and	
  
mandates	
  that	
  evaluates	
  projects	
  and	
  investments	
  in	
  the	
  tourism	
  industry	
  of	
  Pemba.	
  
A	
  framework	
  of	
  nine	
  steps	
  was	
  developed	
  based	
  on	
  Kurhade	
  (2013)	
  in	
  order	
  to	
  answer	
  the	
  three	
  
guiding	
  questions.	
  The	
  following	
  steps	
  were	
  identified	
  as	
  crucial	
  for	
  a	
  holistic	
  TCCS:	
  
1. Current	
  tourism	
  sector’s	
  characteristics	
  analyses	
  
2. Tourism	
  zones	
  identification	
  and	
  analyses	
  of	
  development	
  
3. Indicator	
  implications	
  definition	
  
4. Separation	
   into	
   status,	
   driving	
   force	
   and	
   response	
   to	
   analyze	
   trends	
   and	
   exploitation	
  
potentials	
  
5. Threats,	
  conflicts	
  and	
  issue	
  analyses	
  based	
  on	
  indicators	
  
  9	
  
6. Component	
  assessment	
  and	
  identification	
  of	
  bottlenecks	
  and	
  constrains	
  
7. Alternative	
  tourism	
  development	
  options	
  elaboration	
  
8. Optimal	
  recommended	
  tourism	
  strategy	
  for	
  Pemba	
  development	
  
9. Total	
  tourism	
  carrying	
  capacity	
  implementation	
  recommendations	
  
A	
  list	
  of	
  indicators	
  was	
  designed	
  to	
  measure	
  the	
  current	
  state	
  of	
  Pemba	
  island,	
  three	
  impact	
  areas	
  
were	
  identified	
  based	
  on	
  the	
  literature	
  review:	
  Socio-­‐demographic,	
  political-­‐economic	
  and	
  physical-­‐
ecological	
  impacts.	
  The	
  next	
  step	
  included	
  breaking	
  down	
  these	
  three	
  main	
  areas	
  of	
  interest	
  into	
  
smaller	
   topics	
   and	
   then	
   to	
   an	
   indicator	
   level.	
   The	
   indicators	
   were	
   selected	
   based	
   on	
   mutual	
  
exclusivity	
  but	
  collective	
  exhaustively.	
  Moreover	
  the	
  indicators	
  were	
  divided	
  into	
  Status,	
  Driving-­‐
Force	
  and	
  Response,	
  which	
  gives	
  a	
  clearer	
  overview	
  of	
  the	
  future	
  development	
  in	
  the	
  three	
  main	
  
areas.	
  Status	
  indicators	
  reflect	
  the	
  current	
  condition	
  of	
  the	
  system	
  (e.g.	
  size	
  of	
  forest),	
  while	
  Driving-­‐
Force	
   indicators	
   show	
   the	
   pressure	
   that	
   is	
   places	
   on	
   the	
   resource	
   in	
   question	
   (e.g.	
   deforestation	
  
rate).	
  Finally	
  Response	
  indicators	
  take	
  into	
  consideration	
  counter-­‐measures	
  against	
  these	
  driving	
  
forces	
  that	
  may	
  limit	
  exposure	
  and	
  damage	
  (e.g.	
  size	
  of	
  protected	
  areas).	
  Practical	
  examples	
  of	
  this	
  
type	
  of	
  indicator	
  assessment	
  can	
  be	
  found	
  in	
  Chapter	
  7.	
  
During	
  the	
  data	
  gathering	
  process	
  it	
  was	
  found	
  challenging	
  to	
  obtain	
  data	
  for	
  all	
  four	
  administrative	
  
districts	
   (Wete,	
   MIcheweni,	
   Chake	
   Chake	
   and	
   Mkoani)	
   on	
   Pemba	
   island.	
   As	
   such	
   three	
   solutions	
  
were	
  implemented	
  to	
  avoid	
  gaps	
  in	
  the	
  sustainability	
  indicators.	
  
1. Usage	
  of	
  proxy	
  indicators.	
  If	
  data	
  could	
  not	
  be	
  obtained	
  for	
  a	
  specific	
  indicator	
  it	
  was	
  decided	
  
to	
  utilize	
  available	
  data	
  that	
  could	
  be	
  used	
  as	
  a	
  comparative	
  indicator	
  with	
  similar	
  quality.	
  
2. Island	
  or	
  two	
  district	
  data.	
  Although	
  data	
  was	
  not	
  available	
  for	
  every	
  of	
  the	
  four	
  districts,	
  in	
  
most	
   cases	
   statistical	
   information	
   could	
   be	
   found	
   regarding	
   North	
   and	
   South	
   Pemba	
   or	
  
Pemba	
   as	
   a	
   whole.	
   As	
   such	
   the	
   scores	
   should	
   be	
   considered	
   to	
   have	
   a	
   lower	
   confidence	
  
interval	
  but	
  still	
  reflect	
  the	
  situation	
  on	
  Pemba.	
  
3. Vocal	
  scale.	
  In	
  rare	
  cases	
  when	
  neither	
  data	
  for	
  the	
  entire	
  island	
  nor	
  the	
  two	
  broader	
  regions	
  
(North	
   and	
   South	
   Pemba)	
   could	
   be	
   obtained	
   the	
   reliability	
   of	
   the	
   qualitative	
   data	
   from	
  
structured	
  interviews	
  was	
  analyzed.	
  Based	
  on	
  that	
  indicators	
  were	
  given	
  a	
  score	
  between	
  
zero	
   and	
   one	
   in	
   0.2	
   intervals	
   and	
   were	
   used	
   for	
   educated	
   judgment	
   based	
   on	
   expert	
  
knowledge.	
  Thus	
  the	
  following	
  five	
  vocal	
  scores	
  were	
  agreed	
  upon:	
  very	
  bad	
  (0	
  –	
  0.2),	
  bad	
  
(0.21-­‐0.4),	
  average	
  (0.41	
  –	
  0.6),	
  good	
  (0.61	
  –	
  0.8)	
  and	
  very	
  good	
  (0.81	
  –	
  1).	
  
Based	
   on	
   the	
   data	
   for	
   the	
   different	
   district	
   a	
   target	
   value	
   was	
   set	
   as	
   well	
   as	
   maximums	
   and	
  
minimums,	
  which	
  were	
  then	
  used	
  to	
  normalize	
  the	
  data	
  for	
  every	
  district	
  and	
  calculate	
  a	
  score	
  from	
  
a	
  scale	
  of	
  zero	
  to	
  one	
  (with	
  the	
  same	
  breakdown	
  as	
  in	
  the	
  precedent	
  paragraph).	
  This	
  normalization	
  
procedure	
   was	
   adopted	
   from	
   the	
   Fuzzy	
   Approach	
   Calculation	
   Method.	
   Finally	
   the	
   different	
  
indicators,	
  sub-­‐themes,	
  themes	
  and	
  areas	
  were	
  given	
  weights	
  to	
  reflect	
  the	
  importance	
  of	
  various	
  
significant	
   indicators	
   and	
   lower	
   the	
   statistical	
   impact	
   of	
   indicators	
   that	
   were	
   not	
   drivers	
   of	
  
sustainability	
   to	
   a	
   strong	
   degree.	
   This	
   process	
   also	
   helped	
   to	
   limit	
   the	
   impacts	
   caused	
   by	
   proxy	
  
  10	
  
indicators	
   that	
   may	
   have	
   been	
   not	
   as	
   mutually	
   exclusive	
   but	
   still	
   collectively	
   exhaustive.	
   This	
  
technique	
  led	
  to	
  an	
  overall	
  sustainability	
  score	
  and	
  thus	
  a	
  measurement	
  of	
  the	
  current	
  sustainability	
  
of	
   the	
   island.	
   The	
   current	
   sustainability	
   of	
   Pemba	
   needed	
   to	
   be	
   measured	
   to	
   facility	
   a	
   deeper	
  
understanding	
  of	
  current	
  resource	
  use	
  in	
  various	
  themes	
  and	
  areas	
  and	
  to	
  base	
  a	
  tourism	
  strategy	
  
on	
  the	
  correct	
  baseline	
  and	
  to	
  give	
  guidance	
  and	
  monitoring	
  baselines	
  for	
  future	
  governance	
  and	
  
research.	
  
Due	
   to	
   the	
   various	
   impacts	
   different	
   tourism	
   strategies	
   may	
   have	
   on	
   the	
   above	
   three	
   main	
  
categories	
  and	
  the	
  island	
  as	
  a	
  whole	
  a	
  case	
  study	
  analyzes	
  was	
  initiated.	
  The	
  focus	
  lied	
  on	
  African	
  
island	
   tourism	
   destinations	
   that	
   managed	
   or	
   attempted	
   to	
   create	
   a	
   holistic	
   approach	
   to	
  
development.	
  After	
  an	
  initial	
  research	
  into	
  different	
  African	
  tourist	
  destination	
  three	
  target	
  cases	
  
were	
   identified:	
   the	
   Maldives,	
   the	
   Seychelles	
   and	
   Mauritius.	
   Especially,	
   the	
   socio-­‐demographic	
  
impacts	
  were	
  researched	
  in	
  these	
  case	
  studies	
  in	
  order	
  to	
  get	
  a	
  precise	
  idea	
  of	
  social	
  change	
  due	
  to	
  
tourism	
   and	
   how	
   it	
   can	
   be	
   guided	
   to	
   avoid	
   most	
   common	
   negative	
   effects	
   and	
   optimize	
   positive	
  
drivers.	
  
During	
  the	
  course	
  of	
  this	
  study	
  four	
  types	
  of	
  surveys	
  were	
  conducted;	
  hotel	
  management,	
  hotel	
  staff,	
  
local	
  community	
  leaders	
  and	
  visitor	
  exit	
  survey.	
  The	
  hotel	
  management	
  and	
  hotel	
  staff	
  survey	
  were	
  
conducted	
   in	
   all	
   tourism	
   establishments	
   on	
   Pemba.	
   While	
   In	
   local	
   communities	
   the	
   Shehias	
   (the	
  
local	
  community	
  leaders)	
  in	
  every	
  district	
  of	
  the	
  island	
  were	
  approached	
  to	
  conduct	
  the	
  survey.	
  For	
  
four	
  consecutive	
  days	
  survey	
  was	
  conducted	
  in	
  Pemba	
  Airport	
  with	
  every	
  tourist	
  leaving	
  Pemba	
  
Island.	
  All	
  surveys	
  were	
  created	
  in	
  English,	
  hotel	
  staff	
  survey	
  and	
  local	
  community	
  surveys	
  were	
  
later	
  translated	
  in	
  to	
  Swahili,	
  since	
  majority	
  of	
  respondents	
  did	
  not	
  speak	
  English.	
  
In	
  all	
  surveys	
  both	
  qualitative	
  and	
  quantitative	
  approach	
  was	
  used.	
  Some	
  questions	
  were	
  part	
  of	
  
more	
  than	
  one	
  survey.	
  As	
  example,	
  question	
  where	
  changes	
  in	
  last	
  three	
  years	
  in	
  different	
  aspects	
  of	
  
environment	
  are	
  questioned	
  can	
  serve.	
  On	
  scale	
  of	
  five	
  (from	
  much	
  worse	
  to	
  much	
  better,	
  no	
  change	
  
being	
  in	
  middle)	
  both	
  hotel	
  management	
  and	
  staff	
  as	
  well	
  as	
  in	
  local	
  community	
  leaders	
  answer	
  
how	
  do	
  they	
  perceive	
  changes	
  and	
  what	
  they	
  consider	
  to	
  be	
  reason	
  for	
  these	
  changes.	
  These	
  types	
  of	
  
questions	
  provide	
  insights	
  in	
  to	
  deeper	
  understanding	
  how	
  tourism	
  impacts	
  the	
  island.	
  
Based	
   on	
   the	
   structured	
   interviews	
   with	
   stakeholders,	
   the	
   indicators,	
   the	
   case	
   studies,	
   literature	
  
review	
  and	
  surveys	
  and	
  the	
  framework	
  developed	
  by	
  Kurhade	
  (2013)	
  a	
  tourism	
  strategy	
  for	
  Pemba	
  
was	
  developed	
  and	
  recommendations	
  for	
  urgent	
  critical	
  issues	
  were	
  given.	
  
5.	
  Analyses	
  
The	
  methodology	
  description	
  in	
  the	
  former	
  chapter	
  has	
  given	
  a	
  background	
  to	
  this	
  study	
  and	
  will	
  be	
  
elaborated	
  upon	
  and	
  explained	
  throughout	
  the	
  analyses	
  to	
  give	
  the	
  reader	
  a	
  clearer	
  understanding	
  
of	
   the	
   study.	
   This	
   chapter	
   is	
   divided	
   into	
   nine	
   subchapters	
   as	
   to	
   follow	
   the	
   framework	
   set	
   by	
  
Kurhade	
  (2013).	
  	
  
  11	
  
5.	
  1	
  Current	
  state	
  of	
  Tourism	
  
The	
  analyses	
  of	
  the	
  current	
  tourism’s	
  characteristics	
  was	
  taken	
  from	
  information	
  supplied	
  from	
  the	
  
Commission	
   of	
   tourism,	
   literature	
   reviews	
   and	
   the	
   visitors	
   exit	
   survey.	
   There	
   were	
   nine	
   overall	
  
characteristics	
   of	
   tourists	
   that	
   were	
   deemed	
   most	
   important	
   by	
   the	
   literature:	
   type	
   of	
   tourists,	
  
seasonality,	
  excursion	
  concentration,	
  concentration	
  of	
  tourists	
  across	
  space,	
  average	
  length	
  of	
  stay,	
  
activities	
   exercised,	
   socio-­‐economic	
   characteristics,	
   tourist	
   behavior	
   and	
   degree	
   of	
   tourist	
  
infrastructure	
  use.	
  
Pemba	
  island	
  has	
  a	
  multifaceted	
  landscape,	
  which	
  includes	
  forests,	
  swamps,	
  mangroves,	
  beaches,	
  
lagoons	
  and	
  a	
  pristine	
  marine	
  eco-­‐system,	
  including	
  coral	
  reefs.	
  It	
  is	
  a	
  fertile	
  island	
  with	
  farming	
  
being	
  a	
  major	
  source	
  of	
  income	
  for	
  the	
  local	
  population.	
  Mosques	
  and	
  tombs,	
  often	
  reclaimed	
  by	
  
nature,	
  are	
  a	
  testament	
  to	
  the	
  Omani	
  Sultan	
  of	
  Muscat	
  who	
  seized	
  Pemba	
  and	
  ruled	
  it	
  from	
  his	
  main	
  
court	
  on	
  Unguja	
  in	
  the	
  17th	
  century.	
  	
  
A	
  historical	
  tourist	
  arrival	
  review	
  has	
  shown	
  that	
  the	
  current	
  tourism	
  policy	
  on	
  Pemba	
  is	
  a	
  cause	
  of	
  
concern	
   not	
   only	
   in	
   terms	
   of	
   tourist	
   arrivals	
  
but	
  moreover	
  on	
  average	
  bed	
  occupancy.	
  	
  
The	
  most	
  apparent	
  fluctuations	
  are	
  due	
  to	
  the	
  
seasonal	
  changes	
  mainly	
  based	
  around	
  school	
  
holidays	
   in	
   Europe	
   and	
   North	
   America.	
  
However,	
  there	
  was	
  a	
  significant	
  dip	
  in	
  visitor	
  
numbers	
  in	
  2012	
  for	
  which	
  reasons	
  could	
  not	
  
yet	
   be	
   identified.	
   Although	
   the	
   numbers	
  
recovered	
   in	
   2013	
   they	
   show	
   a	
   need	
   for	
   a	
  
coherent	
   strategy	
   across	
   the	
   island	
   to	
   take	
  
advantage	
  of	
  seasonality	
  and	
  to	
  generate	
  a	
  consistent	
  and	
  sustainable	
  growth	
  for	
  future	
  years.	
  
As	
  of	
  winter	
  2014,	
  18	
  hotels	
  were	
  operating	
  on	
  
Pemba	
   with	
   a	
   room	
   capacity	
   of	
   220	
   and	
   398	
  
total	
   beds.	
   Although	
   the	
   average	
   room	
  
occupancy	
  has	
  risen	
  during	
  the	
  peak	
  season	
  of	
  
2013	
   when	
   compared	
   to	
   2011,	
   the	
   average	
  
occupancy	
  did	
  not	
  manage	
  to	
  rise	
  higher	
  than	
  
34%.	
  As	
  such	
  the	
  current	
  rooms	
  and	
  hotels	
  are	
  
not	
  fully	
  utilized	
  and	
  show	
  potential	
  for	
  higher	
  
visitor	
   numbers	
   without	
   new	
   hotel	
   facilities.	
  
Furthermore,	
  based	
  on	
  the	
  hotel	
  management	
  
survey	
  there	
  is	
  full	
  occupancy	
  in	
  the	
  high	
  end	
  
facilities	
   and	
   thus	
   conclusions	
   about	
   the	
  
Figure	
  1:	
  Tourist	
  arrivals	
  
Figure	
  2:	
  Bed	
  occupancy	
  
  12	
  
successful	
  tourism	
  strategies	
  on	
  Pemba	
  become	
  apparent.	
  	
  
The	
  four	
  key	
  segments	
  of	
  tourism	
  on	
  Pemba	
  
Currently	
   tourism	
   on	
   Pemba	
   is	
   based	
   on	
   four	
   segments:	
   Beach,	
   culture,	
   sea-­‐safaris	
   and	
   nature.	
  
Especially,	
  the	
  beach	
  segment	
  is	
  pursued	
  by	
  the	
  hotel	
  facilities	
  that	
  cater	
  mainly	
  to	
  international	
  
vacation	
  tourists.	
  However,	
  the	
  tourism	
  policy	
  on	
  Pemba	
  is	
  not	
  structured	
  cohesively	
  towards	
  these	
  
segments	
  but	
  through	
  analyses	
  they	
  do	
  become	
  apparent.	
  The	
  following	
  subchapter	
  describes	
  the	
  
positive	
   and	
   negative	
   impacts	
   of	
   each	
   segment	
   and	
   the	
   threats	
   and	
   opportunities	
   that	
   these	
  
segments	
  can	
  bring	
  to	
  the	
  people	
  of	
  Pemba.	
  	
  
Beach:	
  The	
  environment	
  of	
  Pemba	
  is	
  perfectly	
  situated	
  to	
  cater	
  to	
  beach	
  visitors	
  due	
  to	
  the	
  pristine,	
  
sandy	
  white	
  beaches	
  that	
  are	
  relatively	
  secluded	
  and	
  isolated	
  from	
  each	
  other	
  and	
  as	
  such	
  give	
  an	
  
impression	
   of	
   isolation	
   and	
   peacefulness	
   for	
   tourists.	
   This	
   segment	
   is	
   especially	
   favored	
   by	
  
honeymooners	
   and	
   by	
   safari	
   visitors	
   that	
   want	
   to	
   relax	
   after	
   their	
   adventure	
   on	
   the	
   Tanzanian	
  
mainland.	
  Furthermore,	
  the	
  clear	
  turquoise	
  waters,	
  coral	
  reefs,	
  sand	
  banks	
  and	
  small	
  islands	
  are	
  the	
  
perfect	
  background	
  for	
  tourists	
  looking	
  for	
  a	
  beach	
  vacation.	
  The	
  traditional	
  use	
  of	
  Dhows	
  gives	
  
another	
  unique	
  dimension	
  to	
  the	
  holidays.	
  Furthermore,	
  due	
  to	
  the	
  relative	
  small	
  tourism	
  on	
  Pemba	
  
there	
  is	
  no	
  hassle	
  from	
  beachboys.	
  
However	
  threats	
  to	
  these	
  segments	
  is	
  the	
  weather	
  especially	
  during	
  Monsoon	
  season.	
  Moreover,	
  
seaweed	
  farming	
  can	
  destroy	
  the	
  visual	
  sereneness	
  of	
  the	
  beaches	
  as	
  well	
  as	
  development	
  close	
  to	
  
shore	
   land.	
   Beach	
   erosion	
   that	
   is	
   currently	
   apparent	
   also	
   on	
   Pemba	
   can	
   further	
   lead	
   to	
   a	
  
deterioration	
   of	
   the	
   attractiveness	
   of	
   the	
   beaches.	
   This	
   is	
   further	
   driven	
   by	
   overdevelopment	
   of	
  
beach	
   areas.	
   Other	
   factors	
   that	
   can	
   make	
   beaches	
   less	
   attractive	
   to	
   tourists	
   are	
   overfishing,	
  
inadequate	
  safety,	
  litter	
  on	
  beach	
  and	
  surrounding	
  areas	
  as	
  well	
  as	
  dangerous	
  animals,	
  which	
  are	
  
not	
  common	
  on	
  Pemba.	
  However,	
  there	
  are	
  jellyfish	
  that	
  could	
  prevent	
  tourists	
  from	
  swimming	
  and	
  
thus	
  enjoying	
  their	
  beach	
  holiday.	
  There	
  are	
  many	
  competitors	
  around	
  the	
  world	
  that	
  cater	
  to	
  the	
  
same	
  segment	
  and	
  as	
  such	
  beach	
  preservation	
  must	
  be	
  a	
  bigger	
  focus	
  of	
  the	
  efforts	
  made	
  by	
  the	
  
public	
  and	
  private	
  sector.	
  	
  
Culture:	
   Pemba’s	
   history	
   as	
   a	
   spice	
   island	
   with	
   various	
   clove	
   manufacturing	
   facilities	
   and	
   spice	
  
products	
  is	
  the	
  basis	
  for	
  the	
  cultural	
  visitor	
  segment.	
  Moreover,	
  the	
  fish	
  and	
  village	
  markets	
  give	
  the	
  
cultural	
  integration	
  another	
  dimension	
  for	
  tourists.	
  Cultural	
  possibilities	
  also	
  include	
  local	
  school	
  
trips,	
  local	
  products	
  (soaps,	
  honey,	
  baskets	
  and	
  spices).	
  The	
  most	
  important	
  aspect	
  for	
  this	
  segment,	
  
however,	
  is	
  the	
  open,	
  engaging	
  and	
  alive	
  Swahili	
  culture	
  on	
  Pemba.	
  Especially,	
  the	
  friendliness	
  and	
  
open	
  interaction	
  between	
  locals	
  and	
  tourists	
  makes	
  the	
  vacation	
  more	
  unique	
  for	
  visitors	
  looking	
  
for	
  a	
  cultural	
  experience.	
  Although	
  the	
  historical	
  ruins	
  and	
  the	
  museum	
  are	
  not	
  yet	
  a	
  big	
  attraction	
  
they	
  have	
  initial	
  attraction	
  for	
  tourists.	
  
However,	
  there	
  is	
  a	
  strong	
  deterioration	
  of	
  historical	
  sites	
  and	
  many	
  are	
  reclaimed	
  by	
  nature.	
  The	
  
sites	
   are	
   also	
   insufficient	
   in	
   their	
   current	
   status	
   as	
   they	
   are	
   badly	
   accessible	
   or	
   not	
   marketed	
  
strongly	
  or	
  are	
  too	
  small	
  to	
  justify	
  a	
  trip.	
  Littering	
  and	
  lack	
  of	
  signposting	
  and	
  information	
  points	
  
  13	
  
further	
  lessen	
  the	
  enjoyment	
  potential.	
  There	
  is	
  a	
  decline	
  in	
  safety	
  that	
  comes	
  with	
  mass	
  tourism	
  as	
  
tourists	
  explore	
  more	
  areas	
  by	
  themselves	
  and	
  without	
  guidance	
  as	
  well	
  as	
  search	
  adventure	
  by	
  
exploring	
  unsafe	
  areas.	
  
Sea	
  Safaris:	
  Sea-­‐Safaris	
  are	
  another	
  major	
  attraction	
  for	
  tourists	
  especially	
  due	
  to	
  the	
  available	
  and	
  
diverse	
   wildlife	
   such	
   as	
   whale	
   sharks,	
   dolphins	
   and	
   rays.	
   The	
   high	
   water	
   visibility	
   heightens	
   the	
  
chances	
  of	
  animal	
  viewings	
  for	
  in	
  and	
  out	
  of	
  water	
  activities.	
  Pemba	
  is	
  also	
  recognized	
  as	
  one	
  of	
  the	
  
world’s	
  best	
  dive	
  spots.	
  There	
  are	
  a	
  variety	
  of	
  sports	
  that	
  attract	
  tourists	
  such	
  as	
  snorkeling,	
  diving,	
  
swimming	
  and	
  fishing.	
  Dolphin	
  and	
  whale	
  watching	
  are	
  a	
  common	
  activity	
  offered	
  by	
  most	
  hotels	
  
located	
  close	
  to	
  the	
  beaches.	
  The	
  protected	
  coral	
  reefs	
  on	
  the	
  western	
  site	
  of	
  the	
  island	
  also	
  add	
  to	
  
the	
  regeneration	
  of	
  the	
  reefs	
  and	
  a	
  future	
  healthy	
  sea	
  environment.	
  As	
  with	
  the	
  beach	
  segments	
  
tourists	
  in	
  this	
  segment	
  are	
  attracted	
  by	
  the	
  traditional	
  usage	
  of	
  Dhows.	
  
The	
  unpredictability	
  of	
  wildlife	
  viewing	
  is	
  the	
  biggest	
  limitation	
  in	
  this	
  segment.	
  Increased	
  tourism	
  
can	
   also	
   lead	
   to	
   a	
   possible	
   crowding	
   of	
   dive	
   sites,	
   which	
   decreases	
   the	
   enjoyment	
   of	
   tourists.	
  
Furthermore,	
  because	
  the	
  protection	
  of	
  reef	
  and	
  shore	
  areas	
  does	
  not	
  extend	
  to	
  the	
  entire	
  island	
  it	
  
cannot	
   be	
   guaranteed	
   that	
   all	
   sites	
   can	
   be	
   used	
   for	
   the	
   water	
   activities	
   in	
   the	
   future.	
   Another	
  
drawback	
  due	
  to	
  the	
  protected	
  areas	
  is	
  that	
  tourists	
  may	
  not	
  be	
  able	
  to	
  engage	
  in	
  shore	
  fishing	
  and	
  
may	
  find	
  this	
  disappointing.	
  
Nature:	
   Pemba	
   has	
   much	
   to	
   offer	
   for	
   the	
   type	
   of	
   tourists	
   looking	
   for	
   nature	
   and	
   environmental	
  
attractions.	
  The	
  most	
  common	
  attractions	
  are	
  unique	
  animal	
  species	
  on	
  Pemba,	
  such	
  as	
  the	
  Pemba	
  
Flying	
   Fox.	
   Especially,	
   birdwatchers	
   can	
   be	
   attracted	
   through	
   the	
   unique	
   bird	
   species	
   living	
   on	
  
Pemba.	
   There	
   are	
   many	
   available	
   guided	
   tours	
   with	
   low	
   environmental	
   and	
   cultural	
   impact	
   for	
  
tourists	
  interested	
  in	
  learning	
  about	
  and	
  exploring	
  the	
  nature	
  on	
  Pemba.	
  This	
  segment	
  is	
  especially	
  
important	
  as	
  a	
  source	
  of	
  sustainable	
  revenue	
  for	
  parks	
  such	
  as	
  the	
  Ngezi	
  Forest.	
  This	
  park	
  practices	
  
a	
  profitable	
  strategy	
  of	
  price	
  discrimination	
  in	
  order	
  to	
  profit	
  from	
  tourists	
  while	
  allowing	
  cheap	
  
access	
  for	
  locals.	
  The	
  current	
  protection	
  of	
  flora	
  and	
  fauna	
  also	
  makes	
  efforts	
  to	
  guarantee	
  future	
  
enjoyment	
  for	
  visitors	
  of	
  this	
  segment.	
  Due	
  to	
  the	
  difficult	
  accessibility	
  most	
  tourists	
  are	
  guided	
  and	
  
as	
  such	
  have	
  a	
  higher	
  educational	
  experience	
  and	
  lower	
  the	
  impact	
  through	
  bad	
  behavior.	
  
Limitations	
  on	
  this	
  segment	
  are	
  the	
  few	
  choices	
  of	
  natural	
  sites	
  with	
  the	
  exception	
  of	
  beaches	
  that	
  
are	
  scattered	
  around	
  the	
  island.	
  
5.2	
  Zoning	
  
The	
  literature	
  shows	
  three	
  different	
  approaches	
  to	
  determining	
  zones;	
  these	
  can	
  be	
  allocated	
  based	
  
on	
  main	
  environmental	
  issues,	
  resource	
  use	
  conflict	
  or	
  protection	
  /	
  conservation	
  needs	
  (Sharma	
  
1995).	
  The	
  National	
  Land	
  use	
  plan	
  and	
  Tourism	
  Master	
  Plan	
  have	
  specified	
  6	
  and	
  7	
  tourism	
  zones	
  
respectively	
  as	
  such	
  the	
  analyses	
  of	
  current	
  tourists	
  was	
  focused	
  on	
  these	
  zones.	
  Moreover	
  Pemba’s	
  
administration	
  is	
  divided	
  into	
  four	
  regions:	
  Micheweni	
  and	
  Wete	
  in	
  North	
  Pemba	
  as	
  well	
  as	
  Mkoani	
  
and	
  Chake-­‐Chake	
  in	
  South	
  Pemba.	
  Thus	
  these	
  four	
  districts	
  have	
  been	
  the	
  base	
  for	
  the	
  indicator	
  
  14	
  
analyses	
  but	
  due	
  to	
  information	
  limitations	
  proxies	
  for	
  North	
  and	
  South	
  Pemba	
  as	
  well	
  as	
  the	
  entire	
  
island	
  have	
  been	
  used	
  in	
  extreme	
  cases.	
  	
  
Although	
  the	
  NLUP	
  and	
  the	
  tourism	
  zoning	
  plan	
  have	
  given	
  clear	
  guidance	
  as	
  to	
  specific	
  zones	
  that	
  
should	
   be	
   dedicated	
   to	
   tourism	
   development	
   they	
   have	
   not	
   been	
   followed.	
   As	
   of	
   2014	
   tourism	
  
establishments	
  are	
  scattered	
  and	
  only	
  one	
  hotel	
  has	
  been	
  developed	
  in	
  the	
  correct	
  tourism	
  zone.	
  
Figure	
  3	
  gives	
  an	
  overview	
  of	
  the	
  different	
  zones	
  and	
  the	
  bed	
  allocations	
  as	
  well	
  as	
  the	
  evolution	
  of	
  
the	
  planes.	
  	
  
Tourism	
   Zoning	
   Plan	
  
(1993)	
  
National	
   Land	
   Use	
   Plan	
  
(1995)	
  
Current	
  State	
  
Verani	
   590	
  beds	
   Verani	
   590	
  beds	
   	
   	
  
Vumawimbi	
   300	
  beds	
   Vumawimbi	
   300	
  beds	
   	
   	
  
Ufukweni	
   170	
  beds	
   Mivumoni	
   170	
  beds	
   	
   	
  
Mtangani	
   90	
  beds	
   Mtangani	
   90	
  beds	
   	
   	
  
Kwakaimu	
   250	
  beds	
   Kwakaimu	
   250	
  beds	
   	
   	
  
Wambaa	
   900	
  beds	
   Wambaa	
   905	
  beds	
   Wambaa	
   36	
  beds	
  
	
   	
   Tundaua	
   300	
  beds	
   	
   	
  
	
   	
   	
   	
   Others	
   370	
  beds	
  
6	
  zones	
   2300	
   7	
  zones	
   2605	
  beds	
   	
   406	
  beds	
  
Figure	
  3:	
  Planned	
  Tourism	
  Zones	
  
Both	
  tourism	
  plans	
  give	
  ideas	
  for	
  specific	
  zones	
  based	
  on	
  their	
  environmental	
  characteristics	
  and	
  to	
  
avoid	
   overcrowding.	
   In	
   itself	
   the	
   plans	
   do	
   make	
   a	
   very	
   good	
   and	
   conscious	
   effort	
   to	
   minimize	
  
negative	
  impacts	
  and	
  include	
  buffer	
  zones	
  to	
  local	
  communities	
  in	
  order	
  to	
  avoid	
  too	
  much	
  negative	
  
exposure	
  to	
  tourism	
  culture	
  for	
  the	
  local	
  population.	
  As	
  such	
  the	
  zoning	
  if	
  followed	
  correctly	
  would	
  
do	
  much	
  for	
  a	
  positive	
  future	
  of	
  Pemba.	
  
  15	
  
6.	
  Case	
  Study	
  
As	
  the	
  indicators	
  only	
  give	
  a	
  partial	
  insight	
  into	
  the	
  social	
  component	
  and	
  due	
  to	
  the	
  difficulty	
  of	
  
measuring	
   change	
   in	
   culture	
   per	
   tourist	
   a	
   case	
   study	
   analyses	
   was	
   administered	
   to	
   benchmark	
  
developments	
  across	
  different	
  locations	
  that	
  were	
  deemed	
  similar.	
  
Tourism	
  development	
  in	
  Small	
  Island	
  Developing	
  States	
  (SIDS)	
  has	
  become	
  a	
  prominent	
  issue	
  in	
  the	
  
academic	
   research	
   and	
   as	
   thus	
   has	
   established	
   situational	
   unique	
   developments,	
   issues	
   and	
  
opportunities.	
  Although	
  Pemba	
  is	
  not	
  a	
  separate	
  nation	
  its	
  characteristics	
  and	
  the	
  jurisdiction	
  of	
  the	
  
Revolutionary	
   Government	
   of	
   Zanzibar	
   do	
   make	
   the	
   comparison	
   feasible.	
   The	
   most	
   prominent	
  
characteristics	
   of	
   SIDS	
   are	
   their	
   limited,	
   small	
   size,	
   their	
   seclusion,	
   unique	
   flora	
   and	
   fauna,	
  
unhurried	
  pace	
  of	
  life,	
  distinctive	
  culture	
  as	
  well	
  as	
  relatively	
  untouched	
  environment	
  (Baum,	
  1997;	
  
Lockhart,	
  1997).	
  Their	
  target	
  visitors	
  are	
  people	
  in	
  search	
  for	
  locations	
  “off-­‐the-­‐beaten-­‐track”	
  and	
  
distinct	
  exotic	
  appeal	
  (Zubair	
  et	
  al.,	
  2010).	
  However,	
  according	
  to	
  UNEP	
  (1994)	
  there	
  are	
  various	
  
significant	
   issues	
   and	
   disadvantages	
   to	
   tourism	
   on	
   SIDS:	
   exploitation	
   and	
   early	
   depletion	
   of	
  
extremely	
  finite	
  natural	
  resources,	
  high	
  risk	
  of	
  natural	
  disasters,	
  trade	
  dependency,	
  high	
  population	
  
density,	
   drinking	
   water	
   scarceness	
   as	
   well	
   as	
   expensive	
   administration	
   and	
   infrastructure,	
  
especially	
  in	
  regards	
  to	
  transportation	
  and	
  communication.	
  The	
  below	
  analyses	
  of	
  indicators	
  (see	
  
Chapter	
  7)	
  has	
  shown	
  the	
  same	
  trends	
  towards	
  Pemba	
  facing	
  these	
  problems	
  already	
  in	
  2014	
  and	
  a	
  
continued	
  acceleration	
  speed	
  which	
  would	
  be	
  further	
  hastened,	
  albeit	
  in	
  different	
  degrees,	
  by	
  more	
  
tourist	
  arrivals.	
  
Due	
   to	
   the	
   early	
   tourism	
   development	
   stage	
   on	
   Pemba	
   homogenous	
   case	
   studies	
   were	
   early	
  
maturity	
  years	
  in	
  the	
  Seychelles,	
  Maldives	
  and	
  Mauritius.	
  An	
  advantage	
  with	
  these	
  locations	
  is	
  that	
  
they	
   have	
   since	
   then	
   (rapidly)	
   developed	
   tourism	
   and	
   as	
   such	
   can	
   give	
   examples	
   for	
   possible	
  
impacts	
   and	
   problem-­‐solving	
   strategies	
   based	
   on	
   different	
   government	
   policies	
   and	
   tourism	
  
strategies.	
  
6.1	
  Case	
  Study	
  1:	
  Seychelles	
  
The	
  Republic	
  of	
  Seychelles	
  is	
  a	
  small	
  country	
  located	
  1,500	
  km	
  east	
  of	
  Zanzibar.	
  As	
  of	
  June	
  2014	
  the	
  
island	
  has	
  91,359	
  inhabitants	
  (National	
  Bureau	
  of	
  Statistics,	
  2014)	
  mostly	
  descendants	
  of	
  French	
  
settlers,	
  African	
  plantation	
  workers,	
  British	
  sailors	
  and	
  traders	
  from	
  India,	
  China	
  and	
  Middle	
  East,	
  
giving	
  rise	
  to	
  a	
  multiethnic	
  society.	
  Most	
  of	
  the	
  population	
  is	
  concentrated	
  on	
  three	
  islands,	
  which	
  
also	
  host	
  most	
  economic	
  activities:	
  Mahe	
  (over	
  80%	
  of	
  the	
  population),	
  Praslin	
  and	
  La	
  Digue.	
  The	
  
main	
   language	
   is	
   Créole	
   with	
   English	
   and	
   French	
   being	
   the	
   other	
   two	
   official	
   languages.	
   (United	
  
Nations	
  Development	
  Program,	
  2010).	
  Most	
  Seychellois	
  are	
  Christians;	
  76.2%	
  are	
  Roman	
  Catholic,	
  
10.6%	
  are	
  Protestant	
  and	
  2.4%	
  are	
  of	
  other	
  Christian	
  denominations	
  (National	
  Bureau	
  of	
  Statistics,	
  
2010)	
  
  16	
  
Historical	
  Context	
  
French	
  colonists	
  first	
  settled	
  the	
  uninhabited	
  islands	
  in	
  1770,	
  which	
  came	
  with	
  their	
  slaves	
  from	
  
Mauritius.	
  However,	
  the	
  Seychelles	
  was	
  ceded	
  to	
  Britain	
  in	
  1813.	
  Originally	
  the	
  islands	
  grew	
  mainly	
  
sugar	
  cane	
  and	
  cotton,	
  but	
  grew	
  into	
  an	
  economy	
  dominated	
  by	
  coconut	
  palm	
  and	
  cinnamon.	
  
Creole	
  culture	
  is	
  the	
  product	
  of	
  a	
  legacy	
  of	
  French,	
  English,	
  and	
  non-­‐European	
  traditions	
  introduced	
  
by	
   various	
   settlers	
   but	
   some	
   aspect	
   of	
   it	
   evolved	
   with	
   set	
   of	
   values	
   different	
   from	
   those	
   of	
   the	
  
European-­‐oriented	
  elite.	
  These	
  include	
  tendency	
  towards	
  consensual	
  unions,	
  believes	
  in	
  efficiency	
  
of	
  “gris-­‐gris”	
  (the	
  local	
  system	
  of	
  magical	
  practices),	
  easygoing	
  attitude	
  towards	
  work	
  and	
  sexual	
  
relationships	
   and	
   tolerance	
   of	
   other	
   aspects	
   of	
   local	
   lifestyle	
   such	
   as	
   heavy	
   drinking	
   and	
   petty	
  
larceny.	
  Another	
  aspect	
  was	
  status	
  differentiation	
  based	
  on	
  color,	
  where	
  “dark”	
  was	
  the	
  mark	
  of	
  
social	
  inferiority	
  and	
  low	
  status.	
  
Beginning	
  of	
  tourism	
  on	
  Seychelles	
  
The	
  island’s	
  economy	
  is	
  dominated	
  by	
  agriculture	
  and	
  once	
  booming	
  population	
  began	
  to	
  stagnate.	
  
This	
  situation	
  prompted	
  British	
  Government	
  to	
  introduce	
  tourism	
  into	
  the	
  Seychelles	
  and	
  justified	
  
its	
  decision	
  to	
  opt	
  for	
  tourism	
  development	
  on	
  the	
  grounds	
  that	
  an	
  important	
  objective	
  is	
  to	
  enable	
  
the	
  Government	
  of	
  Seychelles	
  to	
  balance	
  its	
  budget	
  again…the	
  ultimate	
  purpose…	
  is	
  to	
  advance	
  the	
  
welfare	
  development	
  was	
  an	
  employment	
  boom	
  in	
  the	
  construction	
  industry	
  triggered	
  by	
  airport	
  
construction	
  started	
  in	
  1969.	
  This	
  was	
  followed	
  by	
  rapid	
  development	
  of	
  tourism	
  facilities,	
  a	
  marine	
  
port	
   and	
   road	
   infrastructure.	
   In	
   the	
   beginning,	
   there	
   was	
   an	
   abundance	
   of	
   cheap,	
   unskilled	
   local	
  
labor.	
  However	
  local	
  employees	
  for	
  more	
  skilled	
  positions	
  like	
  tradesman	
  and	
  artisan	
  were	
  scarce	
  
and	
  thus	
  the	
  Seychelles	
  experienced	
  a	
  significant	
  inflow	
  of	
  expatriates.	
  Later	
  on,	
  constantly	
  growing	
  
demand	
  for	
  labor	
  in	
  construction	
  sector,	
  that	
  was	
  offering	
  considerably	
  higher	
  wages	
  than	
  other	
  
sectors	
  created	
  problems	
  for	
  other,	
  more	
  traditional	
  industries.	
  People	
  from	
  remote	
  islands	
  moved	
  
to	
  the	
  main	
  islands	
  where	
  opportunities	
  in	
  construction	
  sectors	
  were	
  offered	
  as	
  well	
  as	
  traditional	
  
industries	
   like	
   agriculture	
   had	
   problem	
   to	
   find	
   workers	
   for	
   wages	
   they	
   could	
   afford	
   to	
   offer.	
  
Growing	
   business	
   opportunities	
   attracted	
   not	
   only	
   skilled	
   workforce	
   from	
   abroad	
   to	
   the	
  
construction	
   sector	
   but	
   also	
   entrepreneurs	
   who	
   started	
   local	
   agencies	
   and	
   services.	
   This	
   boom	
  
where	
  during	
  four	
  years	
  capacities	
  of	
  tourism	
  facilities	
  grew	
  by	
  86%	
  on	
  average	
  not	
  only	
  created	
  
huge	
  shock	
  in	
  employment	
  structure	
  where	
  thousands	
  of	
  people	
  left	
  traditional	
  agriculture	
  sector	
  
and	
   found	
   better	
   paid	
   positions	
   in	
   construction	
   and	
   hospitality	
   sector	
   but	
   also	
   rapidly	
   boosted	
  
imports	
  of	
  consumption	
  goods	
  in	
  to	
  the	
  economy.	
  After	
  the	
  initial	
  construction	
  boom	
  slowed,	
  many	
  
males	
  were	
  working	
  in	
  this	
  sector	
  could	
  not	
  find	
  jobs	
  with	
  similar	
  compensation.	
  The	
  positions	
  in	
  
hospitality	
   sector	
   required	
   different	
   set	
   of	
   skills	
   and	
   on	
   many	
   of	
   them	
   women	
   were	
   preferred.	
  
(Wilson,	
  D.,	
  1967)	
  
Consequences	
  of	
  rapid	
  tourism	
  development	
  
This	
  rapid	
  development	
  of	
  tourism	
  had	
  many	
  positive	
  but	
  also	
  negative	
  consequences.	
  
Positives	
  were	
  mainly	
  of	
  economic	
  character.	
  	
  
  17	
  
• Unemployment	
  on	
  the	
  islands	
  has	
  decreased	
  since	
  many	
  young	
  people	
  found	
  employment	
  in	
  
tourism	
   or	
   construction	
   sector,	
   which	
   offered	
   high	
   wages	
   compared	
   to	
   what	
   was	
   the	
  
standard	
  before.	
  
• The	
   booming	
   economy	
   diversified	
   into	
   previously	
   unknown	
   industries	
   and	
   provided	
  
opportunities	
   for	
   social	
   advancement	
   for	
   all	
   social	
   levels.	
   E.g.	
   productions	
   of	
   handcrafts,	
  
brewery	
  which	
  was	
  opened	
  to	
  substitute	
  imported	
  beer.	
  
• Tourism	
   promoted	
   financing	
   and	
   conservation	
   of	
   natural	
   areas	
   as	
   well	
   as	
   traditions	
   like	
  
music,	
  dances	
  and	
  production	
  of	
  traditional	
  souvenirs.	
  	
  
• Prospect	
  of	
  establishing	
  Seychelles	
  as	
  a	
  financial	
  center.	
  
Negative	
  consequences	
  of	
  rapid	
  tourism	
  development	
  were	
  mainly	
  of	
  economic	
  and	
  sociocultural	
  
character.	
  	
  
• The	
  economical	
  were:	
  	
  
o Soaring	
  land	
  prices	
  caused	
  by	
  land	
  speculations	
  because	
  people	
  were	
  buying	
  land	
  in	
  
order	
  to	
  resell	
  it	
  later	
  to	
  tourism	
  developers.	
  
o Rapid	
  inflation	
  and	
  sudden	
  shortages	
  of	
  staple	
  commodities,	
  because	
  island	
  was	
  not	
  
ready	
  for	
  sudden	
  increase	
  in	
  demand.	
  
o Growth	
   of	
   imports	
   to	
   satisfy	
   the	
   demand	
   from	
   construction	
   and	
   hospitality	
   sectors	
  
limited	
  local	
  production,	
  which	
  could	
  not	
  compete	
  with	
  foreign	
  imports.	
  
o Huge	
  inflow	
  of	
  expats,	
  who	
  took	
  better-­‐paid	
  jobs	
  and	
  opened	
  businesses,	
  limited	
  the	
  
employment	
  of	
  local	
  people	
  on	
  more	
  prestigious	
  positions.	
  
o Ownership	
  of	
  most	
  of	
  the	
  major	
  businesses	
  by	
  non-­‐nationals	
  who	
  came	
  to	
  the	
  country	
  
and	
  used	
  their	
  know-­‐how.	
  
• The	
  sociocultural	
  impacts	
  were:	
  
o Changes	
   in	
   consumption	
   patterns	
   caused	
   by	
   sudden	
   availability	
   of	
   imported	
   goods	
  
that	
  were	
  attractive	
  to	
  the	
  younger	
  population,	
  which	
  faced	
  increase	
  of	
  income	
  from	
  
new	
   industries	
   and	
   followed	
   example	
   of	
   foreigners	
   coming	
   to	
   country	
   created	
  
disruptions	
  in	
  traditional	
  way	
  of	
  life.	
  
o Traditional	
   industries	
   such	
   as	
   agriculture	
   were	
   neglected	
   and	
   not	
   considered	
  
unattractive	
  by	
  younger	
  generations.	
  
o Increased	
  criminality	
  aimed	
  at	
  expats	
  who	
  had	
  higher	
  incomes	
  and	
  owned	
  majority	
  of	
  
businesses.	
  
o Increase	
  in	
  prostitution,	
  local	
  girls	
  was	
  interested	
  in	
  foreign	
  man	
  who	
  could	
  afford	
  to	
  
buy	
  them	
  things	
  and	
  pay	
  for	
  their	
  company.	
  
o In	
  hospitality	
  majority	
  of	
  jobs	
  was	
  for	
  woman	
  not	
  man,	
  creating	
  social	
  problems	
  in	
  
families	
  where	
  in	
  traditional	
  way	
  of	
  life	
  woman	
  were	
  not	
  provider	
  for	
  the	
  families.	
  
Suddenly	
   girls	
   working	
   in	
   tourism	
   sector	
   earned	
   more	
   than	
   their	
   boyfriends	
   or	
  
fathers.	
  
  18	
  
o Man	
   previously	
   working	
   in	
   booming	
   construction	
   sector,	
   were	
   not	
   able	
   to	
   find	
  	
  
employment	
   offering	
   comparable	
   salary,	
   which	
   left	
   them	
   depressed	
   and	
   promoted	
  
alcoholism	
  or	
  found	
  way	
  of	
  living	
  where	
  they	
  were	
  selling	
  different,	
  often	
  illegal	
  items	
  
on	
  the	
  beach	
  to	
  tourist	
  who	
  wanted	
  to	
  have	
  fun.	
  	
  
(Wilson	
  1967;	
  Campling	
  &	
  Rosalie	
  2006;	
  Connell	
  1991;	
  Dogan	
  1989)	
  
Current	
  state	
  of	
  Seychelles	
  
Currently	
   Seychelles	
   are	
   one	
   of	
   the	
   most	
   developed	
   African	
   economies.	
   After	
   rapid	
   growth	
   of	
  
tourism	
  in	
  1970s	
  when	
  tourists	
  arrivals	
  were	
  annually	
  growing	
  on	
  average	
  72%,	
  tourists	
  arrivals	
  
was	
  growing	
  on	
  average	
  at	
  4%.	
  In	
  2001	
  –	
  2010	
  Seychelles	
  pursued	
  goal	
  of	
  promoting	
  eco-­‐tourism,	
  
smaller	
  scale	
  development	
  and	
  growth	
  of	
  2%-­‐7%	
  in	
  tourist	
  arrivals	
  (Rosalie,	
  M.,	
  2002).	
  
Currently,	
  the	
  main	
  contributors	
  to	
  GDP	
  are	
  tourism	
  (25%)	
  and	
  tuna	
  fishing	
  &	
  processing	
  (5%).	
  
Country	
  imports	
  90%	
  of	
  its	
  population	
  and	
  tourism	
  consumption	
  (CIA	
  Factbook).	
  
Over	
   the	
   years,	
   the	
   government	
   of	
   Seychelles	
   was	
   making	
   sure	
   that	
   everybody	
   benefits	
   from	
  
tourism	
   development.	
   Country	
   was	
   heavily	
   investing	
   in	
   to	
   the	
   infrastructure.	
   Indicators	
   like	
  
population	
  having	
  piped	
  water,	
  electricity	
  supply	
  or	
  flushed	
  toilets	
  have	
  been	
  gradually	
  increasing	
  
over	
  the	
  years	
  as	
  well	
  as	
  quality	
  of	
  health	
  sector	
  and	
  education	
  (Campling,	
  L.,	
  Rosalie,	
  M.,	
  2006).	
  
Structure	
   of	
   the	
   populations	
   has	
   also	
   rapidly	
   changed.	
   In	
   order	
   to	
   protect	
   environment,	
   In	
   1999	
  
Seychelles	
  introduced	
  a	
  US$	
  90	
  tax	
  on	
  travelers	
  entering	
  the	
  Seychelles.	
  Revenue	
  is	
  used	
  to	
  preserve	
  
the	
  environment	
  and	
  improve	
  tourism	
  facilities	
  (UNEP).	
  
Forty	
  years	
  of	
  development	
  under	
  influence	
  of	
  tourism	
  have	
  changed	
  the	
  culture	
  of	
  the	
  country.	
  In	
  
1998	
  survey	
  was	
  conducted	
  on	
  social	
  impacts	
  of	
  tourism.	
  Majority	
  of	
  respondents	
  (58%)	
  consider	
  
tourism	
  to	
  have	
  impact	
  on	
  culture.	
  On	
  question	
  whether	
  tourism	
  has	
  impact	
  on	
  moral	
  values,	
  24%	
  
of	
   respondents	
   consider	
   it	
   to	
   have	
   little	
   impact,	
   22%	
   to	
   have	
   some	
   impact	
   and	
   14%	
   to	
   have	
  
considerable	
  impact.	
  In	
  terms	
  of	
  who	
  benefits	
  from	
  the	
  tourism,	
  majority	
  of	
  respondents	
  consider	
  
that	
  most	
  of	
  the	
  people	
  (31%)	
  or	
  everyone	
  (53%)(awareness	
  program	
  from	
  1993	
  which	
  goal	
  was	
  to	
  
increase	
   awareness	
   of	
   importance	
   of	
   tourism	
   can	
   be	
   considered	
   success)(Rosalie,	
   M.,	
   2002).	
  
Considering	
  that	
  in	
  beginning	
  of	
  tourism	
  there	
  was	
  almost	
  no	
  prostitution	
  on	
  the	
  island,	
  and	
  in	
  1998	
  
45%	
  of	
  the	
  respondents	
  replied	
  that	
  tourism	
  might	
  have	
  increased	
  prostitution	
  we	
  can	
  see	
  that	
  over	
  
the	
  years	
  there	
  was	
  some	
  impact	
  on	
  culture	
  or	
  moral	
  values.	
  
  19	
  
6.2	
  Case	
  Study	
  2:	
  Mauritius	
  
Republic	
  of	
  Mauritius	
  is	
  small	
  country	
  located	
  2000	
  km	
  east	
  of	
  Zanzibar.	
  Island	
  has	
  more	
  the	
  1.2	
  
million	
  inhabitants	
  The	
  main	
  language	
  English	
  even	
  though	
  most	
  of	
  the	
  population	
  speaks	
  Créole	
  
and	
   French	
   are	
   also	
   official	
   languages.	
   Most	
   Seychellois	
   are	
   Hindu	
   (48%)	
   followed	
   by	
   Christians	
  
33%	
  and	
  Islam	
  17%.	
  
Economy	
  before	
  tourism	
  development	
  
Up	
  until	
  late	
  1960s	
  Mauritius	
  was	
  sugar	
  cane	
  dominated	
  economy.	
  From	
  1950	
  to	
  1970,	
  on	
  average,	
  
sugar	
   cane	
   was	
   responsible	
   for	
   35%	
   of	
   GDP,	
   97%	
   of	
   exports	
   and	
   50%	
   of	
   employment.	
   With	
  
stagnating	
  economy,	
  population	
  growing	
  at	
  3%	
  per	
  year	
  the	
  country	
  had	
  bleak	
  prospects	
  for	
  growth	
  
of	
  economy	
  and	
  employment.	
  It	
  was	
  recommended	
  that	
  the	
  manufacturing	
  was	
  promoted,	
  however	
  
the	
   small	
   scale	
   of	
   domestic	
   market,	
   lack	
   of	
   financial	
   institutions	
   and	
   technological	
   knowhow	
  
presented	
  a	
  challenge	
  to	
  large	
  scale	
  manufacturing	
  venture.	
  The	
  government	
  initiated	
  some	
  new	
  
industrial	
  activities	
  through	
  a	
  series	
  of	
  incentives,	
  but	
  the	
  growth	
  and	
  employment	
  generated	
  by	
  
such	
  strategy	
  was	
  insufficient.	
  (Durbarry	
  2002).	
  After	
  the	
  political	
  independence	
  in	
  1968,	
  the	
  new	
  
Mauritian	
   government	
   was	
   determined	
   to	
   bring	
   country	
   to	
   prosperity.	
   It	
   abandoned	
   the	
   failed	
  
import	
  substitution	
  strategy,	
  and	
  in	
  1970	
  introduced	
  two	
  changes	
  to	
  the	
  economy.	
  	
  
• Export	
   Processing	
   Zone	
   –	
   this	
   zone	
   was	
   primarily	
   set	
   up	
   to	
   absorb	
   high	
   levels	
   of	
  
unemployment.	
  It	
  focused	
  on	
  labor	
  intensive	
  productions	
  like	
  textiles	
  
• Tourism	
  development	
  
Tourism	
  on	
  Mauritius	
  
Tourism	
   on	
   Mauritius	
   was	
   developing	
   quite	
  
rapidly,	
  during	
  first	
  three	
  years	
  the	
  room	
  capacity	
  
grew	
   from	
   486	
   in	
   1970	
   to	
   1881	
   in	
   1976.	
   The	
  
tourist	
   arrivals	
   which	
   were	
   only	
   around	
   only	
  
around	
  27,000	
  in	
  1970,	
  exceeded	
  110,000	
  in	
  1980,	
  
reached	
  650,000	
  by	
  2000,	
  to	
  current	
  levels	
  where	
  
almost	
   one	
   million	
   people	
   came	
   to	
   Mauritius	
   in	
  
2013.	
  
The	
   Mauritius	
   government	
   was	
   from	
   beginning	
  
trying	
  to	
  focus	
  on	
  sustainable	
  development	
  and	
  its	
  
impact	
  on	
  people	
  therefore	
  during	
  80s	
  they	
  were	
  
discussing	
   setting	
   the	
   ceiling	
   on	
   350,000	
   tourist	
  
arrivals	
  by	
  the	
  year	
  2000	
  in	
  an	
  attempt	
  to	
  maintain	
  a	
  proper	
  balance	
  between	
  the	
  local	
  population	
  
and	
  tourists.	
  (Debbage	
  1990)	
  However,	
  this	
  level	
  of	
  tourist	
  arrivals	
  was	
  exceeded	
  already	
  by	
  year	
  
1993.	
  Tourism	
  which	
  was	
  from	
  the	
  beginning	
  trying	
  to	
  be	
  developed	
  in	
  a	
  sustainable	
  way	
  is	
  now	
  full	
  
blown	
  mass	
  tourism	
  where	
  there	
  is	
  almost	
  one	
  tourist	
  arrival	
  per	
  capita.	
  
32%	
  
27%	
  
24%	
  
8%	
  
5%	
  
4%	
  
Employment	
  on	
  
Mauri[us	
   Services	
  (except	
  
hospitality	
  
Government	
  
Manufacturing	
  
Hospitality	
  
ConstrucQon	
  
Agriculture	
  
  20	
  
Current	
  Mauritius	
  	
  
This	
   case	
   shows	
   that	
   even	
   with	
   huge	
   number	
   of	
   tourists	
   arrivals	
   country	
   cannot	
   be	
   sorely	
  
dependent	
   on	
   tourism.	
   Other	
   significant	
   parts	
   of	
   the	
   economy	
   are	
   manufacturing	
   and	
   financial	
  
services.	
   Services	
   (74%)	
   and	
   industry	
   (22%)	
   are	
   the	
   main	
   contributor	
   to	
   GDP	
   and	
   only	
   4%	
   is	
  
received	
  from	
  the	
  agriculture	
  sector.	
  sector.	
  (CIA	
  Factbook	
  2014).	
  	
  
The	
  employment	
  on	
  Mauritius	
  is	
  diversified.	
  As	
  can	
  be	
  seen	
  on	
  figure	
  XY,	
  most	
  of	
  the	
  employment	
  
comes	
   from	
   services.	
   Even	
   with	
   current	
   level	
   of	
   tourism	
   only	
   8%	
   of	
   people	
   work	
   directly	
   in	
  
accommodation	
  or	
  food	
  services.	
  
If	
  case	
  of	
  Mauritius	
  is	
  compared	
  with	
  Seychelles	
  where	
  the	
  tourism	
  was	
  developed	
  with	
  slower	
  rate,	
  
more	
   sustainably;	
   it	
   is	
   interesting	
   to	
   see	
   how	
   many	
   tourists	
   come	
   per	
   one	
   person	
   working	
   in	
  
hospitality	
  sector.	
  	
  
In	
  2014	
  in	
  Seychelles,	
  8,830	
  people	
  worked	
  in	
  in	
  
accommodation	
   and	
   food	
   service	
   activities	
  
reached	
   230272	
   (Seychelles	
   Statistical	
   Office	
   2014).	
   This	
   is	
   26	
   tourist	
   arrivals	
   per	
   one	
   job	
   in	
  
accommodation	
  and	
  food	
  services.	
  	
  
Compared	
  to	
  Mauritius,	
  where	
  in	
  2013	
  in	
  accommodation	
  and	
  food	
  services	
  worked	
  24,710	
  people	
  
(Mauritius	
  Statistical	
  office)	
  and	
  tourism	
  arrivals	
  reached	
  993,106	
  (Mauritius	
  statistical	
  Office).	
  In	
  
Mauritius	
   the	
   number	
   of	
   tourists	
   coming	
   to	
   country	
   divided	
   by	
   number	
   of	
   employees	
   is	
  
considerably	
  higher,	
  more	
  than	
  40	
  tourists	
  arrivals	
  per	
  one	
  job.	
  
6.3	
  Case	
  Study	
  3:	
  Maldives	
  
The	
  Republic	
  of	
  Maldives	
  is	
  a	
  small	
  country	
  located	
  southwest	
  of	
  India	
  and	
  consists	
  of	
  1,190	
  coral	
  
islands.	
   In	
   2012	
   approximately	
   393,500	
   inhabitants	
   lived	
   on	
   the	
   194	
   inhabited	
   islands	
   of	
   which	
  
35%	
  of	
  the	
  population	
  is	
  located	
  in	
  the	
  capital	
  Island	
  Mahe.	
  Moreover,	
  less	
  than	
  1,000	
  people	
  lived	
  
on	
  68%	
  of	
  the	
  island.	
  (Shakeela,	
  Ruhanen	
  &	
  Breakey,	
  2011)	
  
Historical	
  Background	
  
The	
   Maldives	
   has	
   always	
   been	
   an	
   independent	
   political	
   entity	
   with	
   the	
   exception	
   of	
   a	
   15	
   year	
  
Portuguese	
   occupation	
   from	
   1558	
   to	
   1573.	
   In	
   1887,	
   the	
   Maldives	
   became	
   a	
   protectorate	
   of	
   the	
  
British	
  government,	
  during	
  which	
  the	
  Maldives	
  maintained	
  all	
  internal	
  control	
  and	
  decision	
  making	
  
while	
   the	
   British	
   government	
   was	
   responsible	
   for	
   defense	
   and	
   foreign	
   relations.	
   After	
   1965	
   the	
  
sovereignty	
   of	
   Maldives	
   was	
   recognized	
   and	
   it	
   was	
   no	
   longer	
   a	
   British	
   protectorate	
  
(Sathiendrakumar	
  &	
  Tisdell,	
  1989).	
  
Tourism	
  development	
  
Tourism	
  in	
  Maldives	
  started	
  in	
  the	
  1970s.	
  In	
  1972,	
  two	
  resorts	
  with	
  a	
  total	
  capacity	
  of	
  280	
  beds	
  
were	
  opened	
  and	
  1000	
  international	
  tourists	
  arrived.	
  By	
  1982	
  the	
  bed	
  capacity	
  had	
  risen	
  to	
  4,000	
  
with	
  74,411	
  tourists	
  arrivals.	
  Over	
  the	
  next	
  ten	
  year	
  the	
  bed	
  capacity	
  more	
  than	
  doubled	
  to	
  8,487	
  
Figure	
  4:	
  Employment	
  on	
  Mauritius	
  
  21	
  
and	
  tourism	
  arrivals	
  increased	
  to	
  236,000.	
  Up	
  until	
  2005,	
  before	
  the	
  tsunami	
  stuck	
  the	
  Maldives,	
  
tourism	
  arrivals	
  on	
  Maldives	
  were	
  growing	
  on	
  average	
  by	
  17%	
  annually	
  to	
  620,000	
  in	
  2004.	
  	
  
All	
  these	
  developments	
  were	
  under	
  “one	
  island	
  one	
  resort”	
  policy	
  introduced	
  in	
  1980s.	
  The	
  goal	
  of	
  
this	
  policy	
  was	
  to	
  limit	
  the	
  socio-­‐cultural	
  impact	
  on	
  the	
  people	
  of	
  Maldives,	
  so	
  resort	
  developments	
  
were	
   only	
   allowed	
   on	
   uninhabited	
   islands.	
   All	
   resorts	
   were	
   self-­‐contained	
   with	
   their	
   own	
  
generators,	
  telecommunication	
  systems,	
  water	
  desalination	
  plants,	
  sewage	
  treatment	
  systems	
  and	
  
other	
   essential	
   requirements	
   (Shakeela,	
   A.,	
   Ruhanen,	
   L,.	
   Breakey,	
   N.,	
   2011).	
   This	
   type	
   of	
  
development	
  was	
  able	
  to	
  reduce	
  some	
  of	
  the	
  sociocultural	
  aspects	
  seen	
  elsewhere.	
  For	
  example,	
  
prostitution	
  did	
  not	
  occur	
  and	
  demonstration	
  effects	
  of	
  tourism	
  consumption	
  patterns	
  were	
  very	
  
limited	
  (Sathiendrakumar,	
  R.,	
  Tisdell,	
  C.,	
  1989).	
  Up	
  until	
  1978	
  all	
  resorts	
  were	
  government-­‐owned,	
  
but	
  from	
  1978	
  onwards	
  development	
  of	
  private	
  commercial	
  enterprises	
  started	
  providing	
  working	
  
and	
   equity	
   capital	
   for	
   tourism.	
   Although,	
   local	
   investors	
   frequently	
   solicited	
   foreign	
   investment,	
  
profit	
  remittances	
  by	
  foreign	
  investors	
  were	
  uncontrolled	
  (Sathiendrakumar,	
  R.,	
  Tisdell,	
  C.,	
  1989).	
  
In	
  2000	
  resorts	
  were	
  owned	
  mostly	
  owned	
  by	
  locals,	
  with	
  58.6%	
  of	
  the	
  capacity	
  operated	
  by	
  local	
  
companies	
  and	
  30.9%	
  by	
  foreign	
  and	
  10.5%	
  by	
  joint	
  venture.	
  (Shakeela,	
  A.,	
  Ruhanen,	
  L,.	
  Breakey,	
  N.,	
  
2011)	
  
These	
  types	
  of	
  developments	
  limited	
  not	
  only	
  the	
  socio-­‐cultural	
  impacts	
  but	
  also	
  the	
  benefits	
  from	
  
tourism	
   development	
   for	
   local	
   people.	
   It	
   is	
   estimated	
   that	
   approximately	
   53%	
   of	
   the	
   tourism	
  
workforce	
  is	
  comprised	
  of	
  expatriates	
  due	
  to	
  the	
  lack	
  of	
  skilled	
  and	
  educated	
  local	
  people.	
  In	
  2006	
  
study	
  results	
  indicated	
  that	
  managerial	
  positions	
  were	
  in	
  59%	
  cases	
  filled	
  by	
  expatriates	
  and	
  just	
  
over	
   half	
   of	
   the	
   supervisory	
   level	
   positions	
   were	
   also	
   staffed	
   by	
   expatriates	
   (MTCA,	
   2008).	
   The	
  
functional	
  or	
  front-­‐line	
  positions	
  were	
  only	
  in	
  57%	
  staffed	
  by	
  local	
  employees.	
  In	
  addition	
  to	
  this,	
  
there	
   are	
   major	
   income	
   disparities	
   between	
   local	
   and	
   expatriate	
   employees’	
   income	
   levels.	
   On	
  
managerial	
   and	
   administrative	
   positions	
   expatriate	
   employees	
   receive	
   US$1,400	
   while	
   local	
  
employees	
  only	
  earn	
  US$800.	
  Similarly	
  clinic/health	
  center	
  positions	
  of	
  a	
  resort	
  where	
  expatriate	
  
receives	
  salary	
  US$700	
  while	
  local	
  employee	
  receives	
  only	
  US$200	
  (Shakeela,	
  Ruhanen	
  &	
  Breakey	
  
2011).	
  Employing	
  expats	
  not	
  only	
  increases	
  income	
  disparity	
  but	
  also	
  limits	
  the	
  trickle	
  down	
  effect	
  
into	
  local	
  communities	
  as	
  neither	
  knowledge	
  nor	
  experience	
  is	
  gained.	
  The	
  income	
  is	
  not	
  spend	
  in	
  
the	
  local	
  economy	
  and	
  tourism	
  multiplication	
  effect	
  is	
  due	
  to	
  these	
  leakages	
  not	
  reaching	
  levels	
  it	
  
would	
  otherwise	
  be	
  able	
  to	
  reach.	
  
The	
  Maldives	
  after	
  2008.	
  
Tourism	
  is	
  the	
  main	
  economic	
  activity	
  for	
  the	
  Maldives.	
  It	
  contributes	
  to	
  29%	
  of	
  GDP	
  and	
  generates	
  
70%	
  of	
  foreign	
  exchange.	
  Therefore,	
  the	
  government	
  is	
  highly	
  dependent	
  on	
  tourism	
  income	
  and	
  
the	
  sector	
  as	
  a	
  whole.	
  This	
  dependency	
  was	
  probably	
  motivation	
  for	
  introducing	
  changes	
  in	
  2008	
  
when	
  the	
  new	
  tourism	
  master	
  plan	
  came	
  into	
  law.	
  The	
  main	
  change	
  was	
  that	
  now	
  law	
  allows	
  hotels	
  
and	
  guest	
  houses	
  to	
  be	
  established	
  on	
  all	
  inhabited	
  islands.	
  Parts	
  of	
  the	
  changes	
  were	
  announced	
  
public	
   tendering	
   for	
   lease	
   and	
   resort	
   development	
   of	
   eight	
   uninhabited	
   islands.	
   This	
   is	
   rapid	
  
development,	
  in	
  2009	
  there	
  was	
  97	
  resorts	
  registered	
  with	
  below	
  21,000	
  beds	
  and	
  in	
  2010	
  there	
  
Carrying Capacity Study Pemba Island
Carrying Capacity Study Pemba Island
Carrying Capacity Study Pemba Island
Carrying Capacity Study Pemba Island
Carrying Capacity Study Pemba Island
Carrying Capacity Study Pemba Island
Carrying Capacity Study Pemba Island
Carrying Capacity Study Pemba Island
Carrying Capacity Study Pemba Island
Carrying Capacity Study Pemba Island
Carrying Capacity Study Pemba Island
Carrying Capacity Study Pemba Island
Carrying Capacity Study Pemba Island
Carrying Capacity Study Pemba Island
Carrying Capacity Study Pemba Island
Carrying Capacity Study Pemba Island
Carrying Capacity Study Pemba Island
Carrying Capacity Study Pemba Island
Carrying Capacity Study Pemba Island
Carrying Capacity Study Pemba Island
Carrying Capacity Study Pemba Island
Carrying Capacity Study Pemba Island
Carrying Capacity Study Pemba Island
Carrying Capacity Study Pemba Island
Carrying Capacity Study Pemba Island
Carrying Capacity Study Pemba Island
Carrying Capacity Study Pemba Island
Carrying Capacity Study Pemba Island
Carrying Capacity Study Pemba Island
Carrying Capacity Study Pemba Island
Carrying Capacity Study Pemba Island
Carrying Capacity Study Pemba Island
Carrying Capacity Study Pemba Island
Carrying Capacity Study Pemba Island
Carrying Capacity Study Pemba Island
Carrying Capacity Study Pemba Island
Carrying Capacity Study Pemba Island
Carrying Capacity Study Pemba Island
Carrying Capacity Study Pemba Island
Carrying Capacity Study Pemba Island
Carrying Capacity Study Pemba Island
Carrying Capacity Study Pemba Island
Carrying Capacity Study Pemba Island
Carrying Capacity Study Pemba Island
Carrying Capacity Study Pemba Island
Carrying Capacity Study Pemba Island
Carrying Capacity Study Pemba Island
Carrying Capacity Study Pemba Island
Carrying Capacity Study Pemba Island
Carrying Capacity Study Pemba Island
Carrying Capacity Study Pemba Island

More Related Content

What's hot

Rural Tourism in INDIA
Rural Tourism in INDIARural Tourism in INDIA
Rural Tourism in INDIAFarook_A_Azam
 
Ecotourism & sustainable tourism pp satish menon
Ecotourism & sustainable tourism pp satish menonEcotourism & sustainable tourism pp satish menon
Ecotourism & sustainable tourism pp satish menonRahul Gaikwad
 
Eco tourism project paper
Eco tourism project paperEco tourism project paper
Eco tourism project paperSkillet Tony
 
National tourism policy
National tourism policyNational tourism policy
National tourism policyAMALDASKH
 
LAND USE /LAND COVER CLASSIFICATION AND CHANGE DETECTION USING GEOGRAPHICAL I...
LAND USE /LAND COVER CLASSIFICATION AND CHANGE DETECTION USING GEOGRAPHICAL I...LAND USE /LAND COVER CLASSIFICATION AND CHANGE DETECTION USING GEOGRAPHICAL I...
LAND USE /LAND COVER CLASSIFICATION AND CHANGE DETECTION USING GEOGRAPHICAL I...IAEME Publication
 
SUSTAINABLE TOURISM AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
SUSTAINABLE TOURISM AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENTSUSTAINABLE TOURISM AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
SUSTAINABLE TOURISM AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENTÄngel Rözi Rozi
 
Definition and scope of settlement geography
Definition and scope of settlement geographyDefinition and scope of settlement geography
Definition and scope of settlement geographymarguburrahaman
 
Western ghat region
Western ghat regionWestern ghat region
Western ghat regionPramod Kumar
 
Dark Ages Geography
Dark Ages GeographyDark Ages Geography
Dark Ages Geographymrsfitzss
 
Nature and Scope of Sustainable Tourism
Nature and Scope of Sustainable TourismNature and Scope of Sustainable Tourism
Nature and Scope of Sustainable Tourismdharnas
 
Sustainable tourism in small islands and its challenges to sustainability
Sustainable tourism in small islands and its challenges to sustainabilitySustainable tourism in small islands and its challenges to sustainability
Sustainable tourism in small islands and its challenges to sustainabilityAMALDASKH
 
Introduction, objjectives, research methodology, rol,data analysisi to biblio...
Introduction, objjectives, research methodology, rol,data analysisi to biblio...Introduction, objjectives, research methodology, rol,data analysisi to biblio...
Introduction, objjectives, research methodology, rol,data analysisi to biblio...Eldhose Skaria
 
Ecotourism (Introduction)
Ecotourism (Introduction)Ecotourism (Introduction)
Ecotourism (Introduction)Mike Joseph
 

What's hot (20)

Tourism resources
Tourism resourcesTourism resources
Tourism resources
 
Rural Tourism in INDIA
Rural Tourism in INDIARural Tourism in INDIA
Rural Tourism in INDIA
 
Recreation tourism 1
Recreation tourism 1Recreation tourism 1
Recreation tourism 1
 
Ecotourism & sustainable tourism pp satish menon
Ecotourism & sustainable tourism pp satish menonEcotourism & sustainable tourism pp satish menon
Ecotourism & sustainable tourism pp satish menon
 
Eco tourism
Eco tourismEco tourism
Eco tourism
 
Eco tourism project paper
Eco tourism project paperEco tourism project paper
Eco tourism project paper
 
National tourism policy
National tourism policyNational tourism policy
National tourism policy
 
LAND USE /LAND COVER CLASSIFICATION AND CHANGE DETECTION USING GEOGRAPHICAL I...
LAND USE /LAND COVER CLASSIFICATION AND CHANGE DETECTION USING GEOGRAPHICAL I...LAND USE /LAND COVER CLASSIFICATION AND CHANGE DETECTION USING GEOGRAPHICAL I...
LAND USE /LAND COVER CLASSIFICATION AND CHANGE DETECTION USING GEOGRAPHICAL I...
 
SUSTAINABLE TOURISM AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
SUSTAINABLE TOURISM AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENTSUSTAINABLE TOURISM AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
SUSTAINABLE TOURISM AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
 
Definition and scope of settlement geography
Definition and scope of settlement geographyDefinition and scope of settlement geography
Definition and scope of settlement geography
 
Scope of settlement geography
Scope of settlement geographyScope of settlement geography
Scope of settlement geography
 
Western ghat region
Western ghat regionWestern ghat region
Western ghat region
 
Eco tourism chapter 1
Eco tourism chapter 1Eco tourism chapter 1
Eco tourism chapter 1
 
Climate change and tourism
Climate change and tourismClimate change and tourism
Climate change and tourism
 
Dark Ages Geography
Dark Ages GeographyDark Ages Geography
Dark Ages Geography
 
Nature and Scope of Sustainable Tourism
Nature and Scope of Sustainable TourismNature and Scope of Sustainable Tourism
Nature and Scope of Sustainable Tourism
 
Sustainable tourism in small islands and its challenges to sustainability
Sustainable tourism in small islands and its challenges to sustainabilitySustainable tourism in small islands and its challenges to sustainability
Sustainable tourism in small islands and its challenges to sustainability
 
Introduction, objjectives, research methodology, rol,data analysisi to biblio...
Introduction, objjectives, research methodology, rol,data analysisi to biblio...Introduction, objjectives, research methodology, rol,data analysisi to biblio...
Introduction, objjectives, research methodology, rol,data analysisi to biblio...
 
Behavioral perspective in geography
Behavioral perspective in geographyBehavioral perspective in geography
Behavioral perspective in geography
 
Ecotourism (Introduction)
Ecotourism (Introduction)Ecotourism (Introduction)
Ecotourism (Introduction)
 

Viewers also liked

Population: Carrying Capacity and Limiting Factors in Natural systems
Population:  Carrying Capacity and Limiting Factors in Natural systemsPopulation:  Carrying Capacity and Limiting Factors in Natural systems
Population: Carrying Capacity and Limiting Factors in Natural systemsPaliNalu
 
carbon and ecological footprint
carbon and ecological footprintcarbon and ecological footprint
carbon and ecological footprintdmyen
 
Population, Carrying Capacity And Community
Population, Carrying Capacity And CommunityPopulation, Carrying Capacity And Community
Population, Carrying Capacity And CommunityMarilen Parungao
 
Natural resources and Carrying Capacity
Natural resources and Carrying CapacityNatural resources and Carrying Capacity
Natural resources and Carrying Capacitydmyen
 
Carrying capacity
Carrying capacityCarrying capacity
Carrying capacityjschmied
 

Viewers also liked (10)

Population: Carrying Capacity and Limiting Factors in Natural systems
Population:  Carrying Capacity and Limiting Factors in Natural systemsPopulation:  Carrying Capacity and Limiting Factors in Natural systems
Population: Carrying Capacity and Limiting Factors in Natural systems
 
Carrying Capacity
Carrying CapacityCarrying Capacity
Carrying Capacity
 
Populations
PopulationsPopulations
Populations
 
carbon and ecological footprint
carbon and ecological footprintcarbon and ecological footprint
carbon and ecological footprint
 
Population, Carrying Capacity And Community
Population, Carrying Capacity And CommunityPopulation, Carrying Capacity And Community
Population, Carrying Capacity And Community
 
Natural resources and Carrying Capacity
Natural resources and Carrying CapacityNatural resources and Carrying Capacity
Natural resources and Carrying Capacity
 
Carrying capacity
Carrying capacityCarrying capacity
Carrying capacity
 
Carrying capacity
Carrying capacityCarrying capacity
Carrying capacity
 
Tourism Planning
 Tourism Planning Tourism Planning
Tourism Planning
 
Sustainable tourism
Sustainable tourismSustainable tourism
Sustainable tourism
 

Similar to Carrying Capacity Study Pemba Island

The Factors Influencing IndividualsGroups to Undertake Tours T.docx
The Factors Influencing IndividualsGroups to Undertake Tours T.docxThe Factors Influencing IndividualsGroups to Undertake Tours T.docx
The Factors Influencing IndividualsGroups to Undertake Tours T.docxtodd771
 
The Development Of Sustainability In The Tourism Industry
The Development Of Sustainability In The Tourism IndustryThe Development Of Sustainability In The Tourism Industry
The Development Of Sustainability In The Tourism IndustrySheena Crouch
 
The Ethical Practices of Tourists in Callao Cave
The Ethical Practices of Tourists in Callao CaveThe Ethical Practices of Tourists in Callao Cave
The Ethical Practices of Tourists in Callao CaveRoy Vincent Abad
 
TSM 444 GLOBAL TOURISM ISSUES COURSE MATERIAL .pdf
TSM 444 GLOBAL TOURISM ISSUES  COURSE MATERIAL .pdfTSM 444 GLOBAL TOURISM ISSUES  COURSE MATERIAL .pdf
TSM 444 GLOBAL TOURISM ISSUES COURSE MATERIAL .pdfAmirPanagsaganAbaca
 
Place based coastal tourism impacts and residents’ quality of life a case of...
Place based coastal tourism impacts and residents’ quality of life  a case of...Place based coastal tourism impacts and residents’ quality of life  a case of...
Place based coastal tourism impacts and residents’ quality of life a case of...INFOGAIN PUBLICATION
 
Environmental Impact of Tourism PDF
Environmental Impact of Tourism PDFEnvironmental Impact of Tourism PDF
Environmental Impact of Tourism PDFAdeebaNihal
 
Tourism Planning And Development Of Sustainable...
Tourism Planning And Development Of Sustainable...Tourism Planning And Development Of Sustainable...
Tourism Planning And Development Of Sustainable...Sheri Elliott
 
C3101720
C3101720C3101720
C3101720aijbm
 
International Organisations And Development Of Tourism
International Organisations And Development Of TourismInternational Organisations And Development Of Tourism
International Organisations And Development Of TourismPatricia Johnson
 
srproj_rugh_w16 (1)
srproj_rugh_w16 (1)srproj_rugh_w16 (1)
srproj_rugh_w16 (1)Erin Rugh
 
CASE STUDY ON THE EFFECTS OF TOURISM ON CULTURE AND THE ENVIRONMENT NEPAL
CASE STUDY ON THE EFFECTS OF TOURISM ON CULTURE AND THE ENVIRONMENT NEPALCASE STUDY ON THE EFFECTS OF TOURISM ON CULTURE AND THE ENVIRONMENT NEPAL
CASE STUDY ON THE EFFECTS OF TOURISM ON CULTURE AND THE ENVIRONMENT NEPALMarcela Conroy
 
11.special interest tourism
11.special interest tourism11.special interest tourism
11.special interest tourismAlexander Decker
 
The Attitudes Of Port Royal
The Attitudes Of Port RoyalThe Attitudes Of Port Royal
The Attitudes Of Port RoyalPaula Smith
 
India – tourism development & sustainable growth 2020
India – tourism development & sustainable growth 2020India – tourism development & sustainable growth 2020
India – tourism development & sustainable growth 2020Harsh Ahuja
 

Similar to Carrying Capacity Study Pemba Island (20)

The Factors Influencing IndividualsGroups to Undertake Tours T.docx
The Factors Influencing IndividualsGroups to Undertake Tours T.docxThe Factors Influencing IndividualsGroups to Undertake Tours T.docx
The Factors Influencing IndividualsGroups to Undertake Tours T.docx
 
The Development Of Sustainability In The Tourism Industry
The Development Of Sustainability In The Tourism IndustryThe Development Of Sustainability In The Tourism Industry
The Development Of Sustainability In The Tourism Industry
 
The Ethical Practices of Tourists in Callao Cave
The Ethical Practices of Tourists in Callao CaveThe Ethical Practices of Tourists in Callao Cave
The Ethical Practices of Tourists in Callao Cave
 
TSM 444 GLOBAL TOURISM ISSUES COURSE MATERIAL .pdf
TSM 444 GLOBAL TOURISM ISSUES  COURSE MATERIAL .pdfTSM 444 GLOBAL TOURISM ISSUES  COURSE MATERIAL .pdf
TSM 444 GLOBAL TOURISM ISSUES COURSE MATERIAL .pdf
 
Place based coastal tourism impacts and residents’ quality of life a case of...
Place based coastal tourism impacts and residents’ quality of life  a case of...Place based coastal tourism impacts and residents’ quality of life  a case of...
Place based coastal tourism impacts and residents’ quality of life a case of...
 
Environmental Impact of Tourism PDF
Environmental Impact of Tourism PDFEnvironmental Impact of Tourism PDF
Environmental Impact of Tourism PDF
 
Tourism Planning And Development Of Sustainable...
Tourism Planning And Development Of Sustainable...Tourism Planning And Development Of Sustainable...
Tourism Planning And Development Of Sustainable...
 
C3101720
C3101720C3101720
C3101720
 
Ecotourism In Malaysia
Ecotourism In MalaysiaEcotourism In Malaysia
Ecotourism In Malaysia
 
International Organisations And Development Of Tourism
International Organisations And Development Of TourismInternational Organisations And Development Of Tourism
International Organisations And Development Of Tourism
 
Final Report Bali
Final Report BaliFinal Report Bali
Final Report Bali
 
srproj_rugh_w16 (1)
srproj_rugh_w16 (1)srproj_rugh_w16 (1)
srproj_rugh_w16 (1)
 
Sustainable Tourism Development
Sustainable Tourism DevelopmentSustainable Tourism Development
Sustainable Tourism Development
 
CASE STUDY ON THE EFFECTS OF TOURISM ON CULTURE AND THE ENVIRONMENT NEPAL
CASE STUDY ON THE EFFECTS OF TOURISM ON CULTURE AND THE ENVIRONMENT NEPALCASE STUDY ON THE EFFECTS OF TOURISM ON CULTURE AND THE ENVIRONMENT NEPAL
CASE STUDY ON THE EFFECTS OF TOURISM ON CULTURE AND THE ENVIRONMENT NEPAL
 
Essay About Ecotourism
Essay About EcotourismEssay About Ecotourism
Essay About Ecotourism
 
Special interest tourism
Special interest tourismSpecial interest tourism
Special interest tourism
 
11.special interest tourism
11.special interest tourism11.special interest tourism
11.special interest tourism
 
The Attitudes Of Port Royal
The Attitudes Of Port RoyalThe Attitudes Of Port Royal
The Attitudes Of Port Royal
 
Spiri paper
Spiri paperSpiri paper
Spiri paper
 
India – tourism development & sustainable growth 2020
India – tourism development & sustainable growth 2020India – tourism development & sustainable growth 2020
India – tourism development & sustainable growth 2020
 

Recently uploaded

VIP Call Girls Service Bikaner Aishwarya 8250192130 Independent Escort Servic...
VIP Call Girls Service Bikaner Aishwarya 8250192130 Independent Escort Servic...VIP Call Girls Service Bikaner Aishwarya 8250192130 Independent Escort Servic...
VIP Call Girls Service Bikaner Aishwarya 8250192130 Independent Escort Servic...Suhani Kapoor
 
(SUHANI) Call Girls Pimple Saudagar ( 7001035870 ) HI-Fi Pune Escorts Service
(SUHANI) Call Girls Pimple Saudagar ( 7001035870 ) HI-Fi Pune Escorts Service(SUHANI) Call Girls Pimple Saudagar ( 7001035870 ) HI-Fi Pune Escorts Service
(SUHANI) Call Girls Pimple Saudagar ( 7001035870 ) HI-Fi Pune Escorts Serviceranjana rawat
 
DNV publication: China Energy Transition Outlook 2024
DNV publication: China Energy Transition Outlook 2024DNV publication: China Energy Transition Outlook 2024
DNV publication: China Energy Transition Outlook 2024Energy for One World
 
(TARA) Call Girls Chakan ( 7001035870 ) HI-Fi Pune Escorts Service
(TARA) Call Girls Chakan ( 7001035870 ) HI-Fi Pune Escorts Service(TARA) Call Girls Chakan ( 7001035870 ) HI-Fi Pune Escorts Service
(TARA) Call Girls Chakan ( 7001035870 ) HI-Fi Pune Escorts Serviceranjana rawat
 
Human-AI Collaboration for Virtual Capacity in Emergency Operation Centers (E...
Human-AI Collaborationfor Virtual Capacity in Emergency Operation Centers (E...Human-AI Collaborationfor Virtual Capacity in Emergency Operation Centers (E...
Human-AI Collaboration for Virtual Capacity in Emergency Operation Centers (E...Hemant Purohit
 
Top Rated Pune Call Girls Hadapsar ⟟ 6297143586 ⟟ Call Me For Genuine Sex Se...
Top Rated  Pune Call Girls Hadapsar ⟟ 6297143586 ⟟ Call Me For Genuine Sex Se...Top Rated  Pune Call Girls Hadapsar ⟟ 6297143586 ⟟ Call Me For Genuine Sex Se...
Top Rated Pune Call Girls Hadapsar ⟟ 6297143586 ⟟ Call Me For Genuine Sex Se...Call Girls in Nagpur High Profile
 
(NEHA) Bhosari Call Girls Just Call 7001035870 [ Cash on Delivery ] Pune Escorts
(NEHA) Bhosari Call Girls Just Call 7001035870 [ Cash on Delivery ] Pune Escorts(NEHA) Bhosari Call Girls Just Call 7001035870 [ Cash on Delivery ] Pune Escorts
(NEHA) Bhosari Call Girls Just Call 7001035870 [ Cash on Delivery ] Pune Escortsranjana rawat
 
VIP High Profile Call Girls Gorakhpur Aarushi 8250192130 Independent Escort S...
VIP High Profile Call Girls Gorakhpur Aarushi 8250192130 Independent Escort S...VIP High Profile Call Girls Gorakhpur Aarushi 8250192130 Independent Escort S...
VIP High Profile Call Girls Gorakhpur Aarushi 8250192130 Independent Escort S...Suhani Kapoor
 
(TARA) Call Girls Sanghavi ( 7001035870 ) HI-Fi Pune Escorts Service
(TARA) Call Girls Sanghavi ( 7001035870 ) HI-Fi Pune Escorts Service(TARA) Call Girls Sanghavi ( 7001035870 ) HI-Fi Pune Escorts Service
(TARA) Call Girls Sanghavi ( 7001035870 ) HI-Fi Pune Escorts Serviceranjana rawat
 
EDUROOT SME_ Performance upto March-2024.pptx
EDUROOT SME_ Performance upto March-2024.pptxEDUROOT SME_ Performance upto March-2024.pptx
EDUROOT SME_ Performance upto March-2024.pptxaaryamanorathofficia
 
Global debate on climate change and occupational safety and health.
Global debate on climate change and occupational safety and health.Global debate on climate change and occupational safety and health.
Global debate on climate change and occupational safety and health.Christina Parmionova
 
Fair Trash Reduction - West Hartford, CT
Fair Trash Reduction - West Hartford, CTFair Trash Reduction - West Hartford, CT
Fair Trash Reduction - West Hartford, CTaccounts329278
 
VIP Russian Call Girls in Indore Ishita 💚😋 9256729539 🚀 Indore Escorts
VIP Russian Call Girls in Indore Ishita 💚😋  9256729539 🚀 Indore EscortsVIP Russian Call Girls in Indore Ishita 💚😋  9256729539 🚀 Indore Escorts
VIP Russian Call Girls in Indore Ishita 💚😋 9256729539 🚀 Indore Escortsaditipandeya
 
VIP Call Girl mohali 7001035870 Enjoy Call Girls With Our Escorts
VIP Call Girl mohali 7001035870 Enjoy Call Girls With Our EscortsVIP Call Girl mohali 7001035870 Enjoy Call Girls With Our Escorts
VIP Call Girl mohali 7001035870 Enjoy Call Girls With Our Escortssonatiwari757
 
VIP High Class Call Girls Amravati Anushka 8250192130 Independent Escort Serv...
VIP High Class Call Girls Amravati Anushka 8250192130 Independent Escort Serv...VIP High Class Call Girls Amravati Anushka 8250192130 Independent Escort Serv...
VIP High Class Call Girls Amravati Anushka 8250192130 Independent Escort Serv...Suhani Kapoor
 
Cunningham Road Call Girls Bangalore WhatsApp 8250192130 High Profile Service
Cunningham Road Call Girls Bangalore WhatsApp 8250192130 High Profile ServiceCunningham Road Call Girls Bangalore WhatsApp 8250192130 High Profile Service
Cunningham Road Call Girls Bangalore WhatsApp 8250192130 High Profile ServiceHigh Profile Call Girls
 

Recently uploaded (20)

VIP Call Girls Service Bikaner Aishwarya 8250192130 Independent Escort Servic...
VIP Call Girls Service Bikaner Aishwarya 8250192130 Independent Escort Servic...VIP Call Girls Service Bikaner Aishwarya 8250192130 Independent Escort Servic...
VIP Call Girls Service Bikaner Aishwarya 8250192130 Independent Escort Servic...
 
(SUHANI) Call Girls Pimple Saudagar ( 7001035870 ) HI-Fi Pune Escorts Service
(SUHANI) Call Girls Pimple Saudagar ( 7001035870 ) HI-Fi Pune Escorts Service(SUHANI) Call Girls Pimple Saudagar ( 7001035870 ) HI-Fi Pune Escorts Service
(SUHANI) Call Girls Pimple Saudagar ( 7001035870 ) HI-Fi Pune Escorts Service
 
DNV publication: China Energy Transition Outlook 2024
DNV publication: China Energy Transition Outlook 2024DNV publication: China Energy Transition Outlook 2024
DNV publication: China Energy Transition Outlook 2024
 
(TARA) Call Girls Chakan ( 7001035870 ) HI-Fi Pune Escorts Service
(TARA) Call Girls Chakan ( 7001035870 ) HI-Fi Pune Escorts Service(TARA) Call Girls Chakan ( 7001035870 ) HI-Fi Pune Escorts Service
(TARA) Call Girls Chakan ( 7001035870 ) HI-Fi Pune Escorts Service
 
Human-AI Collaboration for Virtual Capacity in Emergency Operation Centers (E...
Human-AI Collaborationfor Virtual Capacity in Emergency Operation Centers (E...Human-AI Collaborationfor Virtual Capacity in Emergency Operation Centers (E...
Human-AI Collaboration for Virtual Capacity in Emergency Operation Centers (E...
 
Top Rated Pune Call Girls Hadapsar ⟟ 6297143586 ⟟ Call Me For Genuine Sex Se...
Top Rated  Pune Call Girls Hadapsar ⟟ 6297143586 ⟟ Call Me For Genuine Sex Se...Top Rated  Pune Call Girls Hadapsar ⟟ 6297143586 ⟟ Call Me For Genuine Sex Se...
Top Rated Pune Call Girls Hadapsar ⟟ 6297143586 ⟟ Call Me For Genuine Sex Se...
 
(NEHA) Bhosari Call Girls Just Call 7001035870 [ Cash on Delivery ] Pune Escorts
(NEHA) Bhosari Call Girls Just Call 7001035870 [ Cash on Delivery ] Pune Escorts(NEHA) Bhosari Call Girls Just Call 7001035870 [ Cash on Delivery ] Pune Escorts
(NEHA) Bhosari Call Girls Just Call 7001035870 [ Cash on Delivery ] Pune Escorts
 
VIP High Profile Call Girls Gorakhpur Aarushi 8250192130 Independent Escort S...
VIP High Profile Call Girls Gorakhpur Aarushi 8250192130 Independent Escort S...VIP High Profile Call Girls Gorakhpur Aarushi 8250192130 Independent Escort S...
VIP High Profile Call Girls Gorakhpur Aarushi 8250192130 Independent Escort S...
 
Delhi Russian Call Girls In Connaught Place ➡️9999965857 India's Finest Model...
Delhi Russian Call Girls In Connaught Place ➡️9999965857 India's Finest Model...Delhi Russian Call Girls In Connaught Place ➡️9999965857 India's Finest Model...
Delhi Russian Call Girls In Connaught Place ➡️9999965857 India's Finest Model...
 
(TARA) Call Girls Sanghavi ( 7001035870 ) HI-Fi Pune Escorts Service
(TARA) Call Girls Sanghavi ( 7001035870 ) HI-Fi Pune Escorts Service(TARA) Call Girls Sanghavi ( 7001035870 ) HI-Fi Pune Escorts Service
(TARA) Call Girls Sanghavi ( 7001035870 ) HI-Fi Pune Escorts Service
 
EDUROOT SME_ Performance upto March-2024.pptx
EDUROOT SME_ Performance upto March-2024.pptxEDUROOT SME_ Performance upto March-2024.pptx
EDUROOT SME_ Performance upto March-2024.pptx
 
Global debate on climate change and occupational safety and health.
Global debate on climate change and occupational safety and health.Global debate on climate change and occupational safety and health.
Global debate on climate change and occupational safety and health.
 
How to Save a Place: 12 Tips To Research & Know the Threat
How to Save a Place: 12 Tips To Research & Know the ThreatHow to Save a Place: 12 Tips To Research & Know the Threat
How to Save a Place: 12 Tips To Research & Know the Threat
 
Fair Trash Reduction - West Hartford, CT
Fair Trash Reduction - West Hartford, CTFair Trash Reduction - West Hartford, CT
Fair Trash Reduction - West Hartford, CT
 
VIP Russian Call Girls in Indore Ishita 💚😋 9256729539 🚀 Indore Escorts
VIP Russian Call Girls in Indore Ishita 💚😋  9256729539 🚀 Indore EscortsVIP Russian Call Girls in Indore Ishita 💚😋  9256729539 🚀 Indore Escorts
VIP Russian Call Girls in Indore Ishita 💚😋 9256729539 🚀 Indore Escorts
 
VIP Call Girl mohali 7001035870 Enjoy Call Girls With Our Escorts
VIP Call Girl mohali 7001035870 Enjoy Call Girls With Our EscortsVIP Call Girl mohali 7001035870 Enjoy Call Girls With Our Escorts
VIP Call Girl mohali 7001035870 Enjoy Call Girls With Our Escorts
 
VIP High Class Call Girls Amravati Anushka 8250192130 Independent Escort Serv...
VIP High Class Call Girls Amravati Anushka 8250192130 Independent Escort Serv...VIP High Class Call Girls Amravati Anushka 8250192130 Independent Escort Serv...
VIP High Class Call Girls Amravati Anushka 8250192130 Independent Escort Serv...
 
Rohini Sector 37 Call Girls Delhi 9999965857 @Sabina Saikh No Advance
Rohini Sector 37 Call Girls Delhi 9999965857 @Sabina Saikh No AdvanceRohini Sector 37 Call Girls Delhi 9999965857 @Sabina Saikh No Advance
Rohini Sector 37 Call Girls Delhi 9999965857 @Sabina Saikh No Advance
 
9953330565 Low Rate Call Girls In Adarsh Nagar Delhi NCR
9953330565 Low Rate Call Girls In Adarsh Nagar Delhi NCR9953330565 Low Rate Call Girls In Adarsh Nagar Delhi NCR
9953330565 Low Rate Call Girls In Adarsh Nagar Delhi NCR
 
Cunningham Road Call Girls Bangalore WhatsApp 8250192130 High Profile Service
Cunningham Road Call Girls Bangalore WhatsApp 8250192130 High Profile ServiceCunningham Road Call Girls Bangalore WhatsApp 8250192130 High Profile Service
Cunningham Road Call Girls Bangalore WhatsApp 8250192130 High Profile Service
 

Carrying Capacity Study Pemba Island

  • 1. Kwanini  Carrying  Capacity  Assessment     June  -­‐  September  2014             Prepared  for     Ministry  of  Information,  Culture,  Tourism  and  Sports   Hon.  Said  Ali  Mbarouk     By   Denise  Bretlaender   &   Pavol  Toth       Investors   Government   Guests   Workforce   People   Kwanini
  • 2.   2     Table  of  Contents   KWANINI  CARRYING  CAPACITY  ASSESSMENT  .................................................................................................................  1   1.  INTRODUCTION  ...............................................................................................................................................  3   2.  LITERATURE  REVIEW  .......................................................................................................................................  3   2.1  SUSTAINABLE  TOURISM  .......................................................................................................................................  3   2.2  MANAGEMENT  TOOLS  FOR  SUSTAINABLE  TOURISM  ..................................................................................................  4   3.  CARRYING  CAPACITY  EXERCISE  ........................................................................................................................  5   4.  METHODOLOGY  ..............................................................................................................................................  8   5.  ANALYSES  ......................................................................................................................................................  10   5.  1  CURRENT  STATE  OF  TOURISM  .............................................................................................................................  11   5.2  ZONING  .........................................................................................................................................................  13   6.  CASE  STUDY  ..................................................................................................................................................  15   6.1  CASE  STUDY  1:  SEYCHELLES  ................................................................................................................................  15   6.2  CASE  STUDY  2:  MAURITIUS  ................................................................................................................................  19   6.3  CASE  STUDY  3:  MALDIVES  .................................................................................................................................  20   7.  INDICATOR  ANALYSES  ...................................................................................................................................  22   8.    SURVEYS  .......................................................................................................................................................  24   8.1  VISITOR  EXIT  SURVEY  ........................................................................................................................................  24   8.2  HOTEL  MANAGEMENT  SURVEY  ............................................................................................................................  28   8.3  HOTEL  STAFF  SURVEY  ........................................................................................................................................  30   8.4  LOCAL  COMMUNITY  LEADER  SURVEY  ....................................................................................................................  32   9.  DISCUSSION  ..................................................................................................................................................  35   10.  RECOMMENDATIONS  FOR  FURTHER  RESEARCH  ..........................................................................................  37   11.  CONCLUSION  ...............................................................................................................................................  38   APPENDIX  I:  LITERATURE  REVIEW  .....................................................................................................................  44   1.1.   JAFARI’S  FOUR  PLATFORMS  ...........................................................................................................................  44   1.2.   MICRO-­‐  AND  MACRO-­‐  LEVEL  MANAGEMENT  TOOL  DESCRIPTION  ..........................................................................  44    
  • 3.   3   1.  Introduction   Pemba’s  attractiveness  as  a  tourism  location  is  mainly  due  to  its  natural  resources  such  as  world-­‐ class  diving  and  beautiful  beaches.  The  tourism  industry  on  the  island  has  an  interest  in  developing   a  sustainable  and  economically  profitable  business  without  damaging  neither  the  environment  nor   the  local  population.   Based   on   the   structured   interviews   with   stakeholders,   an   indicator   analyses,   three   case   studies,   literature   review   and   four   surveys   as   well   as   the   framework   developed   by   Kurhade   (2013)   a   tourism   strategy   for   Pemba   was   recommended   in   this   paper   and   presented   to   the   Ministry   for   Information,  Culture,  Tourism  and  Sports  of  the  Revolutionary  Government  of  Zanzibar.   The  variety  of  characteristics  that  should  be  managed  sustainably  makes  it  difficult  to  choose  one   specific  form  of  protection.  Management  must  take  into  consideration  the  traditional  way  of  life  of   its  indigenous  citizens,  the  wildlife,  the  recreational  areas  (e.g.  coral  reefs  as  dive  sites)  and  different   forms  of  landscape.  All  these  aspects  must  be  considered  when  developing  a  strategy  on  how  to   handle  future  tourism  on  Pemba  without  sacrificing  the  island’s  character  through  overcrowding.   This  paper  commences  with  a  literature  review  concerning  Tourism  Carrying  Capacity  Assessment   (TCCA),  which  includes  changes  in  expert  mindset  and  limitations  of    TCCAs.     2.  Literature  Review   Tourism  constitutes  a  valuable  source  of  revenue  especially  for  resource-­‐poor  countries  (Brown  et   al.,  1997).  However,  there  exists  a  crucial  trade-­‐off  between  generated  benefits  and  economic  costs   in  the  tourism  sector  (Brown  et  al.,  1997).     2.1  Sustainable  Tourism   This  paper  will  use  MacIntosh  and  Goeldner’s  (1986)  definition  of  tourism  as  a  foundation.  They   define   tourism   as   “the   sum   of   the   phenomena   and   relationships   arising   from   the   interaction   of   tourists,  business  suppliers,  host  governments  and  host  communities  in  the  process  of  attracting   and   hosting   these   tourists   and   other   visitors”   (p.18).   Mathieson   and   Walls   established   the   most   commonly  used  definition  in  1982.  According  to  the  authors,  tourism  is  explained  as  a  “temporary   movement   of   people   to   destinations   outside   their   normal   places   of   work   and   residence,   the   activities  undertaken  during  their  stay  in  those  destinations,  and  the  facilities  created  to  cater  to   their   needs”   (p.   29).   This   paper   uses   the   first   definition   as   it   includes   the   importance   of   relationships  between  different  stakeholders.  Moreover,  it  also  allows  for  different  non-­‐locals  being   present   on   Pemba   (i.e.   visitors   and   tourists).   More   importantly   it   includes   marketing   activities,   which  have  a  tremendous  impact  concerning  destination  decision-­‐making  process  and  expectation   management.  
  • 4.   4   The   discussion   of   different   tourism   definitions   is   important   as   it   showcases   that   experts   and   academic  literature  have  not  come  to  a  consensus  on  the  extent  tourism  has  in  the  context  of  the   community.   Many  models  have  been  published  in  regards  to  the  evolution  of  tourism.  Jafari’s  (2001)  influential   platform  stage  model  identified  a  gradual  change  from  tourism  as  a  platform  for  advocacy  (1950’s-­‐ 1960’s)  to  cautionary  (1970’s)  to  ada  ptancy  and  finally  knowledge-­‐based  (1990’s).1  This  model  was   expanded  upon  to  include  the  ethics  and  finally  sustainability  stage  (McBeth,  2005).  He  defines  the   latter   as   a   limited   growth   concept   based   on   political   considerations.   Pemba   Island   is   an   African   tourism   destination   and   as   of   2013   relatively   unknown   as   a   travel   location.   As   such   it   has   not   experienced  the  different  mentalities  of  tourists  and  leapfrogged  all  this  stages.  As  such  the  only   negative   association   the   local   population   has   is   the   example   of   Unguja.   The   lack   of   the   first   four   stages   in   Pemba’s   development   as   a   tourist   location   increases   measurement   difficulties   but   also   explains   the   current   pristine   stages   of   the   natural   landscape.   The   government   has   the   unique   opportunity   to   leapfrog   certain   tourism   management   stages   and   develop   a   sustainable   tourism   environment  that  aims  to  avoid  the  negative  impacts,  that  have  occurred  in  other  locations  due  to   mass  market  tourism  (especially  on  Unguja).     Saarinen  (2006)  states  three  alternative  perspectives  on  how  to  view  sustainability  limits.  The  first   perspective  is  resource  based  and  founded  upon  a  positivist  ecological  point-­‐of-­‐view.  According  to   this   tradition   limits   to   growth   are   imposed   to   protect   the   resources   in   the   holiday   location.   The   second  perspective  is  activity  based  and  defines  limits  as  flexible  and  adaptive  to  new  situations.   Butler’s   (2006)   tourism   area   life   cycle   is   deeply   interwoven   with   this   line   of   argumentation.   According  to  Butler’s  theory  once  a  tourism  area  enters  the  stagnation  stage  the  management  can   use  activities  such  as  marketing  to  revive  growth  and  avoid  the  normally  occurring  decline  stage   due   saturation.   This   developmental   approach   has   strong   support   amongst   international   organizations,   including   World   Tourism   Organization.   The   last   perspective   is   based   on   the   stakeholder   community   empowerment.   If   local   communities   contribute   through   information   or   knowledge  sharing  relationships  are  build.  On  the  basis  of  these  valuable  social  networks  limits  can   be   negotiated   and   often   upwardly   adjusted.   Thus,   this   theory   sees   growth   boundaries   as   management  concepts  to  be  handled.  The  discussion  of  different  perspectives  highlight  that  limit   setting   is   not   a   static   activity   and   can   be   approached   differently   and   with   different   degrees   of   stakeholder  participation.     2.2  Management  Tools  for  Sustainable  Tourism   Tools  that  can  be  utilized  in  sustainable  tourism  activities  are  manifold  and  can  be  separated  into   micro-­‐  and  macro  management  level  tools.  Management  tools  on  the  micro-­‐level  include,  but  are  not   limited   to:   area   protection,   visitor   management   techniques   (e.g.   zoning,   honeypots,   visitor   dispersion,   channeled   visitor   flow,   restricted   entry,   vehicle   restriction),   differential   pricing                                                                                                                             1  See  Apendix  1.1  for  a  deeper  explanation  of  Jafari’s  four  platforms.  
  • 5.   5   strategies,   usage   of   sustainability   indicators   and   finally   carrying   capacity   assessment.   Industry   regulation,  environmental  foot-­‐printing,  auditing  and  indicators,  Codes  of  Conduct  and  eco-­‐labels   (including   certification   schemes)   count   as   macro-­‐level   management   tools2   (Mowforth   &   Munt,1997).     The  carrying  capacity  study  results  can  be  used  to  commence  with  other  tools  as  well.  As  described   above   it   could   lead   to   important   industry   regulations   (including   government   legislation,   professional  association  and  voluntary  self-­‐regulation).Moreover  as  the  Carrying  Capacity  is  based   on  dialogue  and  research  it  can  also  give  insights  into  various  topics  that  are  currently  to  costly  or   complicated   such   as   extensive   environmental   foot-­‐printing.   It   can   also   show   the   importance   of   increased  governmental  participation  or  need  for  lack  thereof.  As  such  carrying  capacity  is  at  the   center   of   many   management   tools,   which   indicates   this   study   is   a   necessary   foundation   to   base   other  management  tools  upon  or  which  to  not  use.   3.  Carrying  Capacity  Exercise   Managers   in   the   tourism   sector   need   to   know   how   much   tourism   a   certain   location   can   sustain   without   jeopardizing   the   long-­‐term   quality.   A   Carrying   Capacity   Exercise   (CCE),   also   known   a   Carrying  Capacity  Study,  Carrying  Capacity  Assessment  or  Carrying  Capacity  Calculations,  is  used  to   balance  maintenance  of  the  physical  environment  and  the  quality  of  how  the  visitor  experienced   their  chosen  vacation  (O'Reilly,  1986).  This  chapter  will  give  explain  CCEs  and  examine  the  benefits   and  criticism  associated  with  the  usage  of  this  tool.     Three   different   ways   of   thinking   must   be   differentiated   when   talking   about   Tourism   Carrying   Capacity  (TCC)  the  most  general  description  of  CCE  in  the  tourism  sector  (a  description  of  different   forms  of  TCC  will  follow  later  in  this  subsection)  and  was  first  developed  in  the  1960s.  The  first   school   of   thought   defines   tourism   capacity   by   how   much   tourists   can   be   accommodates   before   negative   impacts   start   to   become   observable.   The   second   school   of   thought   however   defined   capacity  as  reached  when  the  tourists  themselves  see  the  negative  impacts  and  start  to  withdraw   from  an  area  as  it  no  longer  satisfies  their  requirements.  Subsequently  they  will  seek  alternative   destinations.  (O'Reilly,  1986)  A  different  approach  is  to  disregard  absolute  numbers  and  measure   maximum   growth   rates,   however   as   growth   does   not   define   an   upper   limit,   either   the   company   must  do  that  or  use  continuous  revaluation  to  ensure  overcapacity  is  not  reached  accidentally  (De   Kadt,  1976).   This  paper  ascribes  to  the  first  observation  based  on  two  considerations.  Firstly,  according  to  Plog’s   “Psychographic  Positions  of  Destinations”  model  (1974)  the  homogenous  treatment  of  tourists  is   not   realistic.   According   to   him   tourists   must   be   separated   into   psycho-­‐centric   and   allo-­‐centric   groups.  The  first  group  consists  of  non-­‐adventurous  travelers  and  the  latter  is  their  opposite  and                                                                                                                             2  For  a  description  of  the  different  tools  please  see  Appendix  1.2.  
  • 6.   6   characterized  by  curiosity  and  adventurousness.  Tourism  carrying  capacity  (TCC)  assumed  that  all   tourists  leave  a  location  after  the  same  amount  of  time  which  is  not  a  real-­‐life  observation.  Plog   argues   that   allo-­‐centric   travelers   grow   impatient   with   commercialization   much   quicker   than   psycho-­‐centric  and  will  leave  a  destination  sooner  to  seek  more  authentic  sites.  This  further  implies   that   locations   that   are   avoided   by   allo-­‐centric   persons   might   still   be   visited   by   less-­‐adventurous   people   and   as   such   TCC   should   not   be   defined   as   capacity   is   reached   when   tourists   leave   the   destination   of   their   own   free   will.   Secondly,   the   first   school   of   thought   is   more   conservative   to   maintain  the  quality  of  the  current  island.     There   are   six   different   forms   of   CCE,   which   differ   in   the   underlying   measurement:   Physical,   ecological,  economic,  social  and  environmental  carrying  capacity  (see  Graphic  1  below).  The  seventh   form  of  CCE  concerns  itself  with  the  limits  of  acceptable  change.  (Mowforth  &  Munt,1997)     Graph  1:  6  Key  Types  of  TCC  based  on  Mowforth  &  Munt  (1997)  and  O'Reilly  (1986).   However,  the  different  carrying  capacities  can  be  further  broken  down.  Capacity  levels  are  subject   to  two  factor  groups:  tourist  attributes  and  destination  (including  area  and  population)  attributes.   The  first  group  includes  socioeconomic,  ethnical  and  behavioral  characteristics.  The  second  group  is   wider   and   includes   natural   environment,   features   and   processes,   economic   structure   and   development,   social   structure   and   organization,   political   organization   and   level   of   tourist   development.  It  is  important  to  note  that  tourist  development  could  be  positive  in  one  factor  while   impacting   another   one   negatively.   Moreover,   each   factor   has   a   maximum   capacity   in   itself   and   prioritizing   and   defining   individual   tolerance   limits   can   be   helpful   in   finding   a   balance   between   trade-­‐offs  later  in  the  process.  (Mathieson  and  Wall,1982)   Historical   data   on   vacation   locations   has   shown   that   most   crises   caused   by   destruction   or   deterioration   has   only   occurred   once   the   maximum   capacity   has   been   exceeded.   Thus,   proper   • Capacity  is  reached  when  the  exisQng  historical  sites  and/or  the  infrastructue  can  no  longer   support  the  tourist  number.   Physical  Carrying   Capacity   • Capacity  is  reached  naQve  wildlife  populaQon  is  endangered  due  to  tourist  aciQviQes.   Ecological   Carrying  Capacity   • Capacity  is  reached  when  beneficial  local  acQviQes  can  no  longer  be  carried  out  as  these  are   squeezed  out  by  tourist  funcQons.   Economic  Carrying   Capacity   • Capacity  is  reached  when  the  tourists  can  no  longer  tolerate  the  behavior  of  other  tourists  or   when  the  indigenous  populaQon  can  no  longer  tolerate  tourists.   Social  carrying   capacity   • Capacity  is  reached  when  tourists  no  longer  enjoy  themselves  due  to  obervable  damage  caused   by  previous  visitors.   Perceptual   carrying  capacity   • Capacity  is  reached  when  environmental  problems  start  to  occur  due  to  the  tourist  interacQon   with  the  environment.   Environmental   carrying  capacity  
  • 7.   7   capacity  management  can  be  used  as  crisis  prevention  and  could  lead  to  cost  savings  measures  in   the  long-­‐term  perspective.  A  TCC  study  can  give  a  range  of  expected  visitors  and  with  this  number  a   cost-­‐benefit   analyses   could   be   executed   before   opening   tourism   related   projects.   Thus   potential   projects  with  financial  or  natural  losses  could  be  avoided  before  they  occur.  (O’Reilley,  1986)   Most   importantly   sustaining   quality   in   the   long-­‐run   for   specific   categories   is   a   crucial   benefit.   Ensuring   optimized   planning   for   all   stakeholders   on   the   island   is   necessary   so   they   can   use   resources  responsibly  and  avoid  investing  into  projects  that  are  harmful  for  the  future.  Furthermore   carrying   capacity   exercises   can   be   supplemented   with   pricing   differentiation   techniques   as   described  in  Chapter  3.  This  would  allow  management  to  find  the  optimal  price  point  that  various   tourists  segments  are  willing  to  pay  and  thus  allow  for  profit  optimization.   One  key  reason  why  TCC  tools  are  not  as  commonly  used  are  measurement  and  quantifying  issues.   These   can   have   three   causes.   Firstly,   different   societies   accept   different   visitor   levels   as   overcapacity.   Secondly,   some   developments   make   a   higher   visitor   density   necessary.   Thirdly,   management  greatly  affects  physical  and  environmental  carrying  capacities.  (O’Reilley,  1986)  This   makes  it  difficult  name  an  exact  number  of  desired  tourists.  Furthermore,  companies  have  struggled   to  identify  how  to  measure  tourist  numbers  in  an  optimal  manner.   Capacity  mismanagement  is  especially  common  in  developing  countries  as  these  often  rely  on  the   mass  tourism  sector  as  one  key  revenue  source.  The  short-­‐term  perspective  is  often  deemed  more   relevant  than  overcapacity  consideration  on  future  income.  (O’Reilley,  1986)  These  two  statements   combined  with  the  above  benefit  description  shows  that  capacity  management  should  be  a  part  of   the  management  tool  kit  in  regards  to  sustainable  tourism  Pemba  and  Zanzibar  in  general.   One  main  criticism  was  the  measurement  issues.  In  order  to  gain  an  understanding  of  which  visitor   density  ratio  for  physical  carrying  capacity  is  classified  as  overcrowded  (for  the  entire  island  and   specifically   for   the   resort)   expectations   of   target   audiences   need   to   be   analyzed.   Based   on   this   specific  numbers  a  tourist  number  per  square  mile  in  that  region  or  the  entire  island  could  be  taken   as  a  baseline  for  monitoring  capacity.  Another  measurement  could  be  the  number  of  tourists  per   100  local  people  in  that  region.  A  combination  of  both  factors  might  further  optimize  the  number  for   specific  carrying  capacities.(O’Reilley,  1986)   The  six  main  carrying  capacities  in  Graphic  1  should  all  be  included  in  the  TCC  estimation  as  they   showcase   different   aspects   of   resort   vacations.   However,   the   Tourism   Ministry   has   to   determine   priorities  because  the  maximum  capacities  will  not  be  identical  in  each  capacity  and  choosing  the   lowest  number  overall  can  also  lead  to  exempting  possible  visitors  that  would  enjoy  their  vacations.   Another  way  to  use  low  capacity  numbers  in  one  category  is  as  a  critical  threshold.  For  example   physical   carrying   capacity   includes   aspects   such   as   waste   removal   infrastructure,   which   is   not   a   static  number  but  could  be  improved  to  allow  for  more  visitors.  More  importantly  the  biggest  issue   will   be   combing   the   interest   of   the   island   as   a   whole   with   the   interests   of   the   individual  
  • 8.   8   stakeholders.   As   priorities   will   not   be   identical   a   discussion   point   (such   as   the   annual   Kwanini   conference)  and  equal  commitment  is  crucial.   TCC’s   underlying   statement   of   tourism’s   inability   to   continuously   grow   without   harming   the   domestic   system   is   logical   (Coccossis   &   Mexa,   2004).   Thus,   knowing   the   limitations   can   help   to   recognize  maturity  levels  in  locations  and  management  can  react  accordingly  instead  of  investing   money  and  other  valuable  resources  into  an  expansion  attempt  that  will  do  more  harm  than  good.   To   conclude   doing   an   EEC   at   the   relative   beginning   of   tourism   development   has   the   benefit   of   avoiding   quality   damages   before   they   occur.   Especially   in   the   context   of   the   current   mindset   towards  sustainable  ecotourism  Pemba  is  in  a  situation  where  it  would  be  very  beneficial  to  define   aims  and  limitations  from  the  start  and  develop  a  holistic  strategy  for  the  entire  island  with  the   inclusion  of  all  stakeholders.  Thus  this  study  aims  at  doing  exactly  that.   4.  Methodology   Based  on  the  literature  review,  (see  Chapter  2),  this  Tourism  Carrying  Capacity  Study  (TCCS)  was   based   on   qualitative   and   quantitative   data   research.   The   focus   was   not   to   determine   a   specific   number  as  various  authors  have  noted  that  this  is  not  feasible  in  a  changing  regulatory  environment   (see  Chapter  2),  but  instead  to  define  a  tourism  strategy  and  an  reevaluation  of  the  determined  goal   number   of   2300   and   2605   beds   in   the   National   Land   Use   Plan   and   the   Tourism   Master   Plan   respectively.   This   TCSS   is   designed   to   answer   three   guiding   questions,   that   were   modified   from   Sharma’s  carrying  capacity  research  in  1995  :   • Given  the  strategy  for  a  positive  contribution  to  the  people  of  Pemba  through  tourism  how   can  opportunities  be  maximized  and  harm  to  the  culture  and  uniqueness  of  Pemba  Island  be   prevented?   • How  can  every  stakeholder  be  involved  in  the  tourism  planning  process?   • Which  local  institutions  should  be  created  or  their  jurisdiction  modified  to  enable  an  holistic   tourism  approach  that  monitors  and  manages  the  local  economy  efficiently  and  responsibly   as   well   as   the   environmental   development   through   a   set   of   core   evaluation   criterias   and   mandates  that  evaluates  projects  and  investments  in  the  tourism  industry  of  Pemba.   A  framework  of  nine  steps  was  developed  based  on  Kurhade  (2013)  in  order  to  answer  the  three   guiding  questions.  The  following  steps  were  identified  as  crucial  for  a  holistic  TCCS:   1. Current  tourism  sector’s  characteristics  analyses   2. Tourism  zones  identification  and  analyses  of  development   3. Indicator  implications  definition   4. Separation   into   status,   driving   force   and   response   to   analyze   trends   and   exploitation   potentials   5. Threats,  conflicts  and  issue  analyses  based  on  indicators  
  • 9.   9   6. Component  assessment  and  identification  of  bottlenecks  and  constrains   7. Alternative  tourism  development  options  elaboration   8. Optimal  recommended  tourism  strategy  for  Pemba  development   9. Total  tourism  carrying  capacity  implementation  recommendations   A  list  of  indicators  was  designed  to  measure  the  current  state  of  Pemba  island,  three  impact  areas   were  identified  based  on  the  literature  review:  Socio-­‐demographic,  political-­‐economic  and  physical-­‐ ecological  impacts.  The  next  step  included  breaking  down  these  three  main  areas  of  interest  into   smaller   topics   and   then   to   an   indicator   level.   The   indicators   were   selected   based   on   mutual   exclusivity  but  collective  exhaustively.  Moreover  the  indicators  were  divided  into  Status,  Driving-­‐ Force  and  Response,  which  gives  a  clearer  overview  of  the  future  development  in  the  three  main   areas.  Status  indicators  reflect  the  current  condition  of  the  system  (e.g.  size  of  forest),  while  Driving-­‐ Force   indicators   show   the   pressure   that   is   places   on   the   resource   in   question   (e.g.   deforestation   rate).  Finally  Response  indicators  take  into  consideration  counter-­‐measures  against  these  driving   forces  that  may  limit  exposure  and  damage  (e.g.  size  of  protected  areas).  Practical  examples  of  this   type  of  indicator  assessment  can  be  found  in  Chapter  7.   During  the  data  gathering  process  it  was  found  challenging  to  obtain  data  for  all  four  administrative   districts   (Wete,   MIcheweni,   Chake   Chake   and   Mkoani)   on   Pemba   island.   As   such   three   solutions   were  implemented  to  avoid  gaps  in  the  sustainability  indicators.   1. Usage  of  proxy  indicators.  If  data  could  not  be  obtained  for  a  specific  indicator  it  was  decided   to  utilize  available  data  that  could  be  used  as  a  comparative  indicator  with  similar  quality.   2. Island  or  two  district  data.  Although  data  was  not  available  for  every  of  the  four  districts,  in   most   cases   statistical   information   could   be   found   regarding   North   and   South   Pemba   or   Pemba   as   a   whole.   As   such   the   scores   should   be   considered   to   have   a   lower   confidence   interval  but  still  reflect  the  situation  on  Pemba.   3. Vocal  scale.  In  rare  cases  when  neither  data  for  the  entire  island  nor  the  two  broader  regions   (North   and   South   Pemba)   could   be   obtained   the   reliability   of   the   qualitative   data   from   structured  interviews  was  analyzed.  Based  on  that  indicators  were  given  a  score  between   zero   and   one   in   0.2   intervals   and   were   used   for   educated   judgment   based   on   expert   knowledge.  Thus  the  following  five  vocal  scores  were  agreed  upon:  very  bad  (0  –  0.2),  bad   (0.21-­‐0.4),  average  (0.41  –  0.6),  good  (0.61  –  0.8)  and  very  good  (0.81  –  1).   Based   on   the   data   for   the   different   district   a   target   value   was   set   as   well   as   maximums   and   minimums,  which  were  then  used  to  normalize  the  data  for  every  district  and  calculate  a  score  from   a  scale  of  zero  to  one  (with  the  same  breakdown  as  in  the  precedent  paragraph).  This  normalization   procedure   was   adopted   from   the   Fuzzy   Approach   Calculation   Method.   Finally   the   different   indicators,  sub-­‐themes,  themes  and  areas  were  given  weights  to  reflect  the  importance  of  various   significant   indicators   and   lower   the   statistical   impact   of   indicators   that   were   not   drivers   of   sustainability   to   a   strong   degree.   This   process   also   helped   to   limit   the   impacts   caused   by   proxy  
  • 10.   10   indicators   that   may   have   been   not   as   mutually   exclusive   but   still   collectively   exhaustive.   This   technique  led  to  an  overall  sustainability  score  and  thus  a  measurement  of  the  current  sustainability   of   the   island.   The   current   sustainability   of   Pemba   needed   to   be   measured   to   facility   a   deeper   understanding  of  current  resource  use  in  various  themes  and  areas  and  to  base  a  tourism  strategy   on  the  correct  baseline  and  to  give  guidance  and  monitoring  baselines  for  future  governance  and   research.   Due   to   the   various   impacts   different   tourism   strategies   may   have   on   the   above   three   main   categories  and  the  island  as  a  whole  a  case  study  analyzes  was  initiated.  The  focus  lied  on  African   island   tourism   destinations   that   managed   or   attempted   to   create   a   holistic   approach   to   development.  After  an  initial  research  into  different  African  tourist  destination  three  target  cases   were   identified:   the   Maldives,   the   Seychelles   and   Mauritius.   Especially,   the   socio-­‐demographic   impacts  were  researched  in  these  case  studies  in  order  to  get  a  precise  idea  of  social  change  due  to   tourism   and   how   it   can   be   guided   to   avoid   most   common   negative   effects   and   optimize   positive   drivers.   During  the  course  of  this  study  four  types  of  surveys  were  conducted;  hotel  management,  hotel  staff,   local  community  leaders  and  visitor  exit  survey.  The  hotel  management  and  hotel  staff  survey  were   conducted   in   all   tourism   establishments   on   Pemba.   While   In   local   communities   the   Shehias   (the   local  community  leaders)  in  every  district  of  the  island  were  approached  to  conduct  the  survey.  For   four  consecutive  days  survey  was  conducted  in  Pemba  Airport  with  every  tourist  leaving  Pemba   Island.  All  surveys  were  created  in  English,  hotel  staff  survey  and  local  community  surveys  were   later  translated  in  to  Swahili,  since  majority  of  respondents  did  not  speak  English.   In  all  surveys  both  qualitative  and  quantitative  approach  was  used.  Some  questions  were  part  of   more  than  one  survey.  As  example,  question  where  changes  in  last  three  years  in  different  aspects  of   environment  are  questioned  can  serve.  On  scale  of  five  (from  much  worse  to  much  better,  no  change   being  in  middle)  both  hotel  management  and  staff  as  well  as  in  local  community  leaders  answer   how  do  they  perceive  changes  and  what  they  consider  to  be  reason  for  these  changes.  These  types  of   questions  provide  insights  in  to  deeper  understanding  how  tourism  impacts  the  island.   Based   on   the   structured   interviews   with   stakeholders,   the   indicators,   the   case   studies,   literature   review  and  surveys  and  the  framework  developed  by  Kurhade  (2013)  a  tourism  strategy  for  Pemba   was  developed  and  recommendations  for  urgent  critical  issues  were  given.   5.  Analyses   The  methodology  description  in  the  former  chapter  has  given  a  background  to  this  study  and  will  be   elaborated  upon  and  explained  throughout  the  analyses  to  give  the  reader  a  clearer  understanding   of   the   study.   This   chapter   is   divided   into   nine   subchapters   as   to   follow   the   framework   set   by   Kurhade  (2013).    
  • 11.   11   5.  1  Current  state  of  Tourism   The  analyses  of  the  current  tourism’s  characteristics  was  taken  from  information  supplied  from  the   Commission   of   tourism,   literature   reviews   and   the   visitors   exit   survey.   There   were   nine   overall   characteristics   of   tourists   that   were   deemed   most   important   by   the   literature:   type   of   tourists,   seasonality,  excursion  concentration,  concentration  of  tourists  across  space,  average  length  of  stay,   activities   exercised,   socio-­‐economic   characteristics,   tourist   behavior   and   degree   of   tourist   infrastructure  use.   Pemba  island  has  a  multifaceted  landscape,  which  includes  forests,  swamps,  mangroves,  beaches,   lagoons  and  a  pristine  marine  eco-­‐system,  including  coral  reefs.  It  is  a  fertile  island  with  farming   being  a  major  source  of  income  for  the  local  population.  Mosques  and  tombs,  often  reclaimed  by   nature,  are  a  testament  to  the  Omani  Sultan  of  Muscat  who  seized  Pemba  and  ruled  it  from  his  main   court  on  Unguja  in  the  17th  century.     A  historical  tourist  arrival  review  has  shown  that  the  current  tourism  policy  on  Pemba  is  a  cause  of   concern   not   only   in   terms   of   tourist   arrivals   but  moreover  on  average  bed  occupancy.     The  most  apparent  fluctuations  are  due  to  the   seasonal  changes  mainly  based  around  school   holidays   in   Europe   and   North   America.   However,  there  was  a  significant  dip  in  visitor   numbers  in  2012  for  which  reasons  could  not   yet   be   identified.   Although   the   numbers   recovered   in   2013   they   show   a   need   for   a   coherent   strategy   across   the   island   to   take   advantage  of  seasonality  and  to  generate  a  consistent  and  sustainable  growth  for  future  years.   As  of  winter  2014,  18  hotels  were  operating  on   Pemba   with   a   room   capacity   of   220   and   398   total   beds.   Although   the   average   room   occupancy  has  risen  during  the  peak  season  of   2013   when   compared   to   2011,   the   average   occupancy  did  not  manage  to  rise  higher  than   34%.  As  such  the  current  rooms  and  hotels  are   not  fully  utilized  and  show  potential  for  higher   visitor   numbers   without   new   hotel   facilities.   Furthermore,  based  on  the  hotel  management   survey  there  is  full  occupancy  in  the  high  end   facilities   and   thus   conclusions   about   the   Figure  1:  Tourist  arrivals   Figure  2:  Bed  occupancy  
  • 12.   12   successful  tourism  strategies  on  Pemba  become  apparent.     The  four  key  segments  of  tourism  on  Pemba   Currently   tourism   on   Pemba   is   based   on   four   segments:   Beach,   culture,   sea-­‐safaris   and   nature.   Especially,  the  beach  segment  is  pursued  by  the  hotel  facilities  that  cater  mainly  to  international   vacation  tourists.  However,  the  tourism  policy  on  Pemba  is  not  structured  cohesively  towards  these   segments  but  through  analyses  they  do  become  apparent.  The  following  subchapter  describes  the   positive   and   negative   impacts   of   each   segment   and   the   threats   and   opportunities   that   these   segments  can  bring  to  the  people  of  Pemba.     Beach:  The  environment  of  Pemba  is  perfectly  situated  to  cater  to  beach  visitors  due  to  the  pristine,   sandy  white  beaches  that  are  relatively  secluded  and  isolated  from  each  other  and  as  such  give  an   impression   of   isolation   and   peacefulness   for   tourists.   This   segment   is   especially   favored   by   honeymooners   and   by   safari   visitors   that   want   to   relax   after   their   adventure   on   the   Tanzanian   mainland.  Furthermore,  the  clear  turquoise  waters,  coral  reefs,  sand  banks  and  small  islands  are  the   perfect  background  for  tourists  looking  for  a  beach  vacation.  The  traditional  use  of  Dhows  gives   another  unique  dimension  to  the  holidays.  Furthermore,  due  to  the  relative  small  tourism  on  Pemba   there  is  no  hassle  from  beachboys.   However  threats  to  these  segments  is  the  weather  especially  during  Monsoon  season.  Moreover,   seaweed  farming  can  destroy  the  visual  sereneness  of  the  beaches  as  well  as  development  close  to   shore   land.   Beach   erosion   that   is   currently   apparent   also   on   Pemba   can   further   lead   to   a   deterioration   of   the   attractiveness   of   the   beaches.   This   is   further   driven   by   overdevelopment   of   beach   areas.   Other   factors   that   can   make   beaches   less   attractive   to   tourists   are   overfishing,   inadequate  safety,  litter  on  beach  and  surrounding  areas  as  well  as  dangerous  animals,  which  are   not  common  on  Pemba.  However,  there  are  jellyfish  that  could  prevent  tourists  from  swimming  and   thus  enjoying  their  beach  holiday.  There  are  many  competitors  around  the  world  that  cater  to  the   same  segment  and  as  such  beach  preservation  must  be  a  bigger  focus  of  the  efforts  made  by  the   public  and  private  sector.     Culture:   Pemba’s   history   as   a   spice   island   with   various   clove   manufacturing   facilities   and   spice   products  is  the  basis  for  the  cultural  visitor  segment.  Moreover,  the  fish  and  village  markets  give  the   cultural  integration  another  dimension  for  tourists.  Cultural  possibilities  also  include  local  school   trips,  local  products  (soaps,  honey,  baskets  and  spices).  The  most  important  aspect  for  this  segment,   however,  is  the  open,  engaging  and  alive  Swahili  culture  on  Pemba.  Especially,  the  friendliness  and   open  interaction  between  locals  and  tourists  makes  the  vacation  more  unique  for  visitors  looking   for  a  cultural  experience.  Although  the  historical  ruins  and  the  museum  are  not  yet  a  big  attraction   they  have  initial  attraction  for  tourists.   However,  there  is  a  strong  deterioration  of  historical  sites  and  many  are  reclaimed  by  nature.  The   sites   are   also   insufficient   in   their   current   status   as   they   are   badly   accessible   or   not   marketed   strongly  or  are  too  small  to  justify  a  trip.  Littering  and  lack  of  signposting  and  information  points  
  • 13.   13   further  lessen  the  enjoyment  potential.  There  is  a  decline  in  safety  that  comes  with  mass  tourism  as   tourists  explore  more  areas  by  themselves  and  without  guidance  as  well  as  search  adventure  by   exploring  unsafe  areas.   Sea  Safaris:  Sea-­‐Safaris  are  another  major  attraction  for  tourists  especially  due  to  the  available  and   diverse   wildlife   such   as   whale   sharks,   dolphins   and   rays.   The   high   water   visibility   heightens   the   chances  of  animal  viewings  for  in  and  out  of  water  activities.  Pemba  is  also  recognized  as  one  of  the   world’s  best  dive  spots.  There  are  a  variety  of  sports  that  attract  tourists  such  as  snorkeling,  diving,   swimming  and  fishing.  Dolphin  and  whale  watching  are  a  common  activity  offered  by  most  hotels   located  close  to  the  beaches.  The  protected  coral  reefs  on  the  western  site  of  the  island  also  add  to   the  regeneration  of  the  reefs  and  a  future  healthy  sea  environment.  As  with  the  beach  segments   tourists  in  this  segment  are  attracted  by  the  traditional  usage  of  Dhows.   The  unpredictability  of  wildlife  viewing  is  the  biggest  limitation  in  this  segment.  Increased  tourism   can   also   lead   to   a   possible   crowding   of   dive   sites,   which   decreases   the   enjoyment   of   tourists.   Furthermore,  because  the  protection  of  reef  and  shore  areas  does  not  extend  to  the  entire  island  it   cannot   be   guaranteed   that   all   sites   can   be   used   for   the   water   activities   in   the   future.   Another   drawback  due  to  the  protected  areas  is  that  tourists  may  not  be  able  to  engage  in  shore  fishing  and   may  find  this  disappointing.   Nature:   Pemba   has   much   to   offer   for   the   type   of   tourists   looking   for   nature   and   environmental   attractions.  The  most  common  attractions  are  unique  animal  species  on  Pemba,  such  as  the  Pemba   Flying   Fox.   Especially,   birdwatchers   can   be   attracted   through   the   unique   bird   species   living   on   Pemba.   There   are   many   available   guided   tours   with   low   environmental   and   cultural   impact   for   tourists  interested  in  learning  about  and  exploring  the  nature  on  Pemba.  This  segment  is  especially   important  as  a  source  of  sustainable  revenue  for  parks  such  as  the  Ngezi  Forest.  This  park  practices   a  profitable  strategy  of  price  discrimination  in  order  to  profit  from  tourists  while  allowing  cheap   access  for  locals.  The  current  protection  of  flora  and  fauna  also  makes  efforts  to  guarantee  future   enjoyment  for  visitors  of  this  segment.  Due  to  the  difficult  accessibility  most  tourists  are  guided  and   as  such  have  a  higher  educational  experience  and  lower  the  impact  through  bad  behavior.   Limitations  on  this  segment  are  the  few  choices  of  natural  sites  with  the  exception  of  beaches  that   are  scattered  around  the  island.   5.2  Zoning   The  literature  shows  three  different  approaches  to  determining  zones;  these  can  be  allocated  based   on  main  environmental  issues,  resource  use  conflict  or  protection  /  conservation  needs  (Sharma   1995).  The  National  Land  use  plan  and  Tourism  Master  Plan  have  specified  6  and  7  tourism  zones   respectively  as  such  the  analyses  of  current  tourists  was  focused  on  these  zones.  Moreover  Pemba’s   administration  is  divided  into  four  regions:  Micheweni  and  Wete  in  North  Pemba  as  well  as  Mkoani   and  Chake-­‐Chake  in  South  Pemba.  Thus  these  four  districts  have  been  the  base  for  the  indicator  
  • 14.   14   analyses  but  due  to  information  limitations  proxies  for  North  and  South  Pemba  as  well  as  the  entire   island  have  been  used  in  extreme  cases.     Although  the  NLUP  and  the  tourism  zoning  plan  have  given  clear  guidance  as  to  specific  zones  that   should   be   dedicated   to   tourism   development   they   have   not   been   followed.   As   of   2014   tourism   establishments  are  scattered  and  only  one  hotel  has  been  developed  in  the  correct  tourism  zone.   Figure  3  gives  an  overview  of  the  different  zones  and  the  bed  allocations  as  well  as  the  evolution  of   the  planes.     Tourism   Zoning   Plan   (1993)   National   Land   Use   Plan   (1995)   Current  State   Verani   590  beds   Verani   590  beds       Vumawimbi   300  beds   Vumawimbi   300  beds       Ufukweni   170  beds   Mivumoni   170  beds       Mtangani   90  beds   Mtangani   90  beds       Kwakaimu   250  beds   Kwakaimu   250  beds       Wambaa   900  beds   Wambaa   905  beds   Wambaa   36  beds       Tundaua   300  beds               Others   370  beds   6  zones   2300   7  zones   2605  beds     406  beds   Figure  3:  Planned  Tourism  Zones   Both  tourism  plans  give  ideas  for  specific  zones  based  on  their  environmental  characteristics  and  to   avoid   overcrowding.   In   itself   the   plans   do   make   a   very   good   and   conscious   effort   to   minimize   negative  impacts  and  include  buffer  zones  to  local  communities  in  order  to  avoid  too  much  negative   exposure  to  tourism  culture  for  the  local  population.  As  such  the  zoning  if  followed  correctly  would   do  much  for  a  positive  future  of  Pemba.  
  • 15.   15   6.  Case  Study   As  the  indicators  only  give  a  partial  insight  into  the  social  component  and  due  to  the  difficulty  of   measuring   change   in   culture   per   tourist   a   case   study   analyses   was   administered   to   benchmark   developments  across  different  locations  that  were  deemed  similar.   Tourism  development  in  Small  Island  Developing  States  (SIDS)  has  become  a  prominent  issue  in  the   academic   research   and   as   thus   has   established   situational   unique   developments,   issues   and   opportunities.  Although  Pemba  is  not  a  separate  nation  its  characteristics  and  the  jurisdiction  of  the   Revolutionary   Government   of   Zanzibar   do   make   the   comparison   feasible.   The   most   prominent   characteristics   of   SIDS   are   their   limited,   small   size,   their   seclusion,   unique   flora   and   fauna,   unhurried  pace  of  life,  distinctive  culture  as  well  as  relatively  untouched  environment  (Baum,  1997;   Lockhart,  1997).  Their  target  visitors  are  people  in  search  for  locations  “off-­‐the-­‐beaten-­‐track”  and   distinct  exotic  appeal  (Zubair  et  al.,  2010).  However,  according  to  UNEP  (1994)  there  are  various   significant   issues   and   disadvantages   to   tourism   on   SIDS:   exploitation   and   early   depletion   of   extremely  finite  natural  resources,  high  risk  of  natural  disasters,  trade  dependency,  high  population   density,   drinking   water   scarceness   as   well   as   expensive   administration   and   infrastructure,   especially  in  regards  to  transportation  and  communication.  The  below  analyses  of  indicators  (see   Chapter  7)  has  shown  the  same  trends  towards  Pemba  facing  these  problems  already  in  2014  and  a   continued  acceleration  speed  which  would  be  further  hastened,  albeit  in  different  degrees,  by  more   tourist  arrivals.   Due   to   the   early   tourism   development   stage   on   Pemba   homogenous   case   studies   were   early   maturity  years  in  the  Seychelles,  Maldives  and  Mauritius.  An  advantage  with  these  locations  is  that   they   have   since   then   (rapidly)   developed   tourism   and   as   such   can   give   examples   for   possible   impacts   and   problem-­‐solving   strategies   based   on   different   government   policies   and   tourism   strategies.   6.1  Case  Study  1:  Seychelles   The  Republic  of  Seychelles  is  a  small  country  located  1,500  km  east  of  Zanzibar.  As  of  June  2014  the   island  has  91,359  inhabitants  (National  Bureau  of  Statistics,  2014)  mostly  descendants  of  French   settlers,  African  plantation  workers,  British  sailors  and  traders  from  India,  China  and  Middle  East,   giving  rise  to  a  multiethnic  society.  Most  of  the  population  is  concentrated  on  three  islands,  which   also  host  most  economic  activities:  Mahe  (over  80%  of  the  population),  Praslin  and  La  Digue.  The   main   language   is   Créole   with   English   and   French   being   the   other   two   official   languages.   (United   Nations  Development  Program,  2010).  Most  Seychellois  are  Christians;  76.2%  are  Roman  Catholic,   10.6%  are  Protestant  and  2.4%  are  of  other  Christian  denominations  (National  Bureau  of  Statistics,   2010)  
  • 16.   16   Historical  Context   French  colonists  first  settled  the  uninhabited  islands  in  1770,  which  came  with  their  slaves  from   Mauritius.  However,  the  Seychelles  was  ceded  to  Britain  in  1813.  Originally  the  islands  grew  mainly   sugar  cane  and  cotton,  but  grew  into  an  economy  dominated  by  coconut  palm  and  cinnamon.   Creole  culture  is  the  product  of  a  legacy  of  French,  English,  and  non-­‐European  traditions  introduced   by   various   settlers   but   some   aspect   of   it   evolved   with   set   of   values   different   from   those   of   the   European-­‐oriented  elite.  These  include  tendency  towards  consensual  unions,  believes  in  efficiency   of  “gris-­‐gris”  (the  local  system  of  magical  practices),  easygoing  attitude  towards  work  and  sexual   relationships   and   tolerance   of   other   aspects   of   local   lifestyle   such   as   heavy   drinking   and   petty   larceny.  Another  aspect  was  status  differentiation  based  on  color,  where  “dark”  was  the  mark  of   social  inferiority  and  low  status.   Beginning  of  tourism  on  Seychelles   The  island’s  economy  is  dominated  by  agriculture  and  once  booming  population  began  to  stagnate.   This  situation  prompted  British  Government  to  introduce  tourism  into  the  Seychelles  and  justified   its  decision  to  opt  for  tourism  development  on  the  grounds  that  an  important  objective  is  to  enable   the  Government  of  Seychelles  to  balance  its  budget  again…the  ultimate  purpose…  is  to  advance  the   welfare  development  was  an  employment  boom  in  the  construction  industry  triggered  by  airport   construction  started  in  1969.  This  was  followed  by  rapid  development  of  tourism  facilities,  a  marine   port   and   road   infrastructure.   In   the   beginning,   there   was   an   abundance   of   cheap,   unskilled   local   labor.  However  local  employees  for  more  skilled  positions  like  tradesman  and  artisan  were  scarce   and  thus  the  Seychelles  experienced  a  significant  inflow  of  expatriates.  Later  on,  constantly  growing   demand  for  labor  in  construction  sector,  that  was  offering  considerably  higher  wages  than  other   sectors  created  problems  for  other,  more  traditional  industries.  People  from  remote  islands  moved   to  the  main  islands  where  opportunities  in  construction  sectors  were  offered  as  well  as  traditional   industries   like   agriculture   had   problem   to   find   workers   for   wages   they   could   afford   to   offer.   Growing   business   opportunities   attracted   not   only   skilled   workforce   from   abroad   to   the   construction   sector   but   also   entrepreneurs   who   started   local   agencies   and   services.   This   boom   where  during  four  years  capacities  of  tourism  facilities  grew  by  86%  on  average  not  only  created   huge  shock  in  employment  structure  where  thousands  of  people  left  traditional  agriculture  sector   and   found   better   paid   positions   in   construction   and   hospitality   sector   but   also   rapidly   boosted   imports  of  consumption  goods  in  to  the  economy.  After  the  initial  construction  boom  slowed,  many   males  were  working  in  this  sector  could  not  find  jobs  with  similar  compensation.  The  positions  in   hospitality   sector   required   different   set   of   skills   and   on   many   of   them   women   were   preferred.   (Wilson,  D.,  1967)   Consequences  of  rapid  tourism  development   This  rapid  development  of  tourism  had  many  positive  but  also  negative  consequences.   Positives  were  mainly  of  economic  character.    
  • 17.   17   • Unemployment  on  the  islands  has  decreased  since  many  young  people  found  employment  in   tourism   or   construction   sector,   which   offered   high   wages   compared   to   what   was   the   standard  before.   • The   booming   economy   diversified   into   previously   unknown   industries   and   provided   opportunities   for   social   advancement   for   all   social   levels.   E.g.   productions   of   handcrafts,   brewery  which  was  opened  to  substitute  imported  beer.   • Tourism   promoted   financing   and   conservation   of   natural   areas   as   well   as   traditions   like   music,  dances  and  production  of  traditional  souvenirs.     • Prospect  of  establishing  Seychelles  as  a  financial  center.   Negative  consequences  of  rapid  tourism  development  were  mainly  of  economic  and  sociocultural   character.     • The  economical  were:     o Soaring  land  prices  caused  by  land  speculations  because  people  were  buying  land  in   order  to  resell  it  later  to  tourism  developers.   o Rapid  inflation  and  sudden  shortages  of  staple  commodities,  because  island  was  not   ready  for  sudden  increase  in  demand.   o Growth   of   imports   to   satisfy   the   demand   from   construction   and   hospitality   sectors   limited  local  production,  which  could  not  compete  with  foreign  imports.   o Huge  inflow  of  expats,  who  took  better-­‐paid  jobs  and  opened  businesses,  limited  the   employment  of  local  people  on  more  prestigious  positions.   o Ownership  of  most  of  the  major  businesses  by  non-­‐nationals  who  came  to  the  country   and  used  their  know-­‐how.   • The  sociocultural  impacts  were:   o Changes   in   consumption   patterns   caused   by   sudden   availability   of   imported   goods   that  were  attractive  to  the  younger  population,  which  faced  increase  of  income  from   new   industries   and   followed   example   of   foreigners   coming   to   country   created   disruptions  in  traditional  way  of  life.   o Traditional   industries   such   as   agriculture   were   neglected   and   not   considered   unattractive  by  younger  generations.   o Increased  criminality  aimed  at  expats  who  had  higher  incomes  and  owned  majority  of   businesses.   o Increase  in  prostitution,  local  girls  was  interested  in  foreign  man  who  could  afford  to   buy  them  things  and  pay  for  their  company.   o In  hospitality  majority  of  jobs  was  for  woman  not  man,  creating  social  problems  in   families  where  in  traditional  way  of  life  woman  were  not  provider  for  the  families.   Suddenly   girls   working   in   tourism   sector   earned   more   than   their   boyfriends   or   fathers.  
  • 18.   18   o Man   previously   working   in   booming   construction   sector,   were   not   able   to   find     employment   offering   comparable   salary,   which   left   them   depressed   and   promoted   alcoholism  or  found  way  of  living  where  they  were  selling  different,  often  illegal  items   on  the  beach  to  tourist  who  wanted  to  have  fun.     (Wilson  1967;  Campling  &  Rosalie  2006;  Connell  1991;  Dogan  1989)   Current  state  of  Seychelles   Currently   Seychelles   are   one   of   the   most   developed   African   economies.   After   rapid   growth   of   tourism  in  1970s  when  tourists  arrivals  were  annually  growing  on  average  72%,  tourists  arrivals   was  growing  on  average  at  4%.  In  2001  –  2010  Seychelles  pursued  goal  of  promoting  eco-­‐tourism,   smaller  scale  development  and  growth  of  2%-­‐7%  in  tourist  arrivals  (Rosalie,  M.,  2002).   Currently,  the  main  contributors  to  GDP  are  tourism  (25%)  and  tuna  fishing  &  processing  (5%).   Country  imports  90%  of  its  population  and  tourism  consumption  (CIA  Factbook).   Over   the   years,   the   government   of   Seychelles   was   making   sure   that   everybody   benefits   from   tourism   development.   Country   was   heavily   investing   in   to   the   infrastructure.   Indicators   like   population  having  piped  water,  electricity  supply  or  flushed  toilets  have  been  gradually  increasing   over  the  years  as  well  as  quality  of  health  sector  and  education  (Campling,  L.,  Rosalie,  M.,  2006).   Structure   of   the   populations   has   also   rapidly   changed.   In   order   to   protect   environment,   In   1999   Seychelles  introduced  a  US$  90  tax  on  travelers  entering  the  Seychelles.  Revenue  is  used  to  preserve   the  environment  and  improve  tourism  facilities  (UNEP).   Forty  years  of  development  under  influence  of  tourism  have  changed  the  culture  of  the  country.  In   1998  survey  was  conducted  on  social  impacts  of  tourism.  Majority  of  respondents  (58%)  consider   tourism  to  have  impact  on  culture.  On  question  whether  tourism  has  impact  on  moral  values,  24%   of   respondents   consider   it   to   have   little   impact,   22%   to   have   some   impact   and   14%   to   have   considerable  impact.  In  terms  of  who  benefits  from  the  tourism,  majority  of  respondents  consider   that  most  of  the  people  (31%)  or  everyone  (53%)(awareness  program  from  1993  which  goal  was  to   increase   awareness   of   importance   of   tourism   can   be   considered   success)(Rosalie,   M.,   2002).   Considering  that  in  beginning  of  tourism  there  was  almost  no  prostitution  on  the  island,  and  in  1998   45%  of  the  respondents  replied  that  tourism  might  have  increased  prostitution  we  can  see  that  over   the  years  there  was  some  impact  on  culture  or  moral  values.  
  • 19.   19   6.2  Case  Study  2:  Mauritius   Republic  of  Mauritius  is  small  country  located  2000  km  east  of  Zanzibar.  Island  has  more  the  1.2   million  inhabitants  The  main  language  English  even  though  most  of  the  population  speaks  Créole   and   French   are   also   official   languages.   Most   Seychellois   are   Hindu   (48%)   followed   by   Christians   33%  and  Islam  17%.   Economy  before  tourism  development   Up  until  late  1960s  Mauritius  was  sugar  cane  dominated  economy.  From  1950  to  1970,  on  average,   sugar   cane   was   responsible   for   35%   of   GDP,   97%   of   exports   and   50%   of   employment.   With   stagnating  economy,  population  growing  at  3%  per  year  the  country  had  bleak  prospects  for  growth   of  economy  and  employment.  It  was  recommended  that  the  manufacturing  was  promoted,  however   the   small   scale   of   domestic   market,   lack   of   financial   institutions   and   technological   knowhow   presented  a  challenge  to  large  scale  manufacturing  venture.  The  government  initiated  some  new   industrial  activities  through  a  series  of  incentives,  but  the  growth  and  employment  generated  by   such  strategy  was  insufficient.  (Durbarry  2002).  After  the  political  independence  in  1968,  the  new   Mauritian   government   was   determined   to   bring   country   to   prosperity.   It   abandoned   the   failed   import  substitution  strategy,  and  in  1970  introduced  two  changes  to  the  economy.     • Export   Processing   Zone   –   this   zone   was   primarily   set   up   to   absorb   high   levels   of   unemployment.  It  focused  on  labor  intensive  productions  like  textiles   • Tourism  development   Tourism  on  Mauritius   Tourism   on   Mauritius   was   developing   quite   rapidly,  during  first  three  years  the  room  capacity   grew   from   486   in   1970   to   1881   in   1976.   The   tourist   arrivals   which   were   only   around   only   around  27,000  in  1970,  exceeded  110,000  in  1980,   reached  650,000  by  2000,  to  current  levels  where   almost   one   million   people   came   to   Mauritius   in   2013.   The   Mauritius   government   was   from   beginning   trying  to  focus  on  sustainable  development  and  its   impact  on  people  therefore  during  80s  they  were   discussing   setting   the   ceiling   on   350,000   tourist   arrivals  by  the  year  2000  in  an  attempt  to  maintain  a  proper  balance  between  the  local  population   and  tourists.  (Debbage  1990)  However,  this  level  of  tourist  arrivals  was  exceeded  already  by  year   1993.  Tourism  which  was  from  the  beginning  trying  to  be  developed  in  a  sustainable  way  is  now  full   blown  mass  tourism  where  there  is  almost  one  tourist  arrival  per  capita.   32%   27%   24%   8%   5%   4%   Employment  on   Mauri[us   Services  (except   hospitality   Government   Manufacturing   Hospitality   ConstrucQon   Agriculture  
  • 20.   20   Current  Mauritius     This   case   shows   that   even   with   huge   number   of   tourists   arrivals   country   cannot   be   sorely   dependent   on   tourism.   Other   significant   parts   of   the   economy   are   manufacturing   and   financial   services.   Services   (74%)   and   industry   (22%)   are   the   main   contributor   to   GDP   and   only   4%   is   received  from  the  agriculture  sector.  sector.  (CIA  Factbook  2014).     The  employment  on  Mauritius  is  diversified.  As  can  be  seen  on  figure  XY,  most  of  the  employment   comes   from   services.   Even   with   current   level   of   tourism   only   8%   of   people   work   directly   in   accommodation  or  food  services.   If  case  of  Mauritius  is  compared  with  Seychelles  where  the  tourism  was  developed  with  slower  rate,   more   sustainably;   it   is   interesting   to   see   how   many   tourists   come   per   one   person   working   in   hospitality  sector.     In  2014  in  Seychelles,  8,830  people  worked  in  in   accommodation   and   food   service   activities   reached   230272   (Seychelles   Statistical   Office   2014).   This   is   26   tourist   arrivals   per   one   job   in   accommodation  and  food  services.     Compared  to  Mauritius,  where  in  2013  in  accommodation  and  food  services  worked  24,710  people   (Mauritius  Statistical  office)  and  tourism  arrivals  reached  993,106  (Mauritius  statistical  Office).  In   Mauritius   the   number   of   tourists   coming   to   country   divided   by   number   of   employees   is   considerably  higher,  more  than  40  tourists  arrivals  per  one  job.   6.3  Case  Study  3:  Maldives   The  Republic  of  Maldives  is  a  small  country  located  southwest  of  India  and  consists  of  1,190  coral   islands.   In   2012   approximately   393,500   inhabitants   lived   on   the   194   inhabited   islands   of   which   35%  of  the  population  is  located  in  the  capital  Island  Mahe.  Moreover,  less  than  1,000  people  lived   on  68%  of  the  island.  (Shakeela,  Ruhanen  &  Breakey,  2011)   Historical  Background   The   Maldives   has   always   been   an   independent   political   entity   with   the   exception   of   a   15   year   Portuguese   occupation   from   1558   to   1573.   In   1887,   the   Maldives   became   a   protectorate   of   the   British  government,  during  which  the  Maldives  maintained  all  internal  control  and  decision  making   while   the   British   government   was   responsible   for   defense   and   foreign   relations.   After   1965   the   sovereignty   of   Maldives   was   recognized   and   it   was   no   longer   a   British   protectorate   (Sathiendrakumar  &  Tisdell,  1989).   Tourism  development   Tourism  in  Maldives  started  in  the  1970s.  In  1972,  two  resorts  with  a  total  capacity  of  280  beds   were  opened  and  1000  international  tourists  arrived.  By  1982  the  bed  capacity  had  risen  to  4,000   with  74,411  tourists  arrivals.  Over  the  next  ten  year  the  bed  capacity  more  than  doubled  to  8,487   Figure  4:  Employment  on  Mauritius  
  • 21.   21   and  tourism  arrivals  increased  to  236,000.  Up  until  2005,  before  the  tsunami  stuck  the  Maldives,   tourism  arrivals  on  Maldives  were  growing  on  average  by  17%  annually  to  620,000  in  2004.     All  these  developments  were  under  “one  island  one  resort”  policy  introduced  in  1980s.  The  goal  of   this  policy  was  to  limit  the  socio-­‐cultural  impact  on  the  people  of  Maldives,  so  resort  developments   were   only   allowed   on   uninhabited   islands.   All   resorts   were   self-­‐contained   with   their   own   generators,  telecommunication  systems,  water  desalination  plants,  sewage  treatment  systems  and   other   essential   requirements   (Shakeela,   A.,   Ruhanen,   L,.   Breakey,   N.,   2011).   This   type   of   development  was  able  to  reduce  some  of  the  sociocultural  aspects  seen  elsewhere.  For  example,   prostitution  did  not  occur  and  demonstration  effects  of  tourism  consumption  patterns  were  very   limited  (Sathiendrakumar,  R.,  Tisdell,  C.,  1989).  Up  until  1978  all  resorts  were  government-­‐owned,   but  from  1978  onwards  development  of  private  commercial  enterprises  started  providing  working   and   equity   capital   for   tourism.   Although,   local   investors   frequently   solicited   foreign   investment,   profit  remittances  by  foreign  investors  were  uncontrolled  (Sathiendrakumar,  R.,  Tisdell,  C.,  1989).   In  2000  resorts  were  owned  mostly  owned  by  locals,  with  58.6%  of  the  capacity  operated  by  local   companies  and  30.9%  by  foreign  and  10.5%  by  joint  venture.  (Shakeela,  A.,  Ruhanen,  L,.  Breakey,  N.,   2011)   These  types  of  developments  limited  not  only  the  socio-­‐cultural  impacts  but  also  the  benefits  from   tourism   development   for   local   people.   It   is   estimated   that   approximately   53%   of   the   tourism   workforce  is  comprised  of  expatriates  due  to  the  lack  of  skilled  and  educated  local  people.  In  2006   study  results  indicated  that  managerial  positions  were  in  59%  cases  filled  by  expatriates  and  just   over   half   of   the   supervisory   level   positions   were   also   staffed   by   expatriates   (MTCA,   2008).   The   functional  or  front-­‐line  positions  were  only  in  57%  staffed  by  local  employees.  In  addition  to  this,   there   are   major   income   disparities   between   local   and   expatriate   employees’   income   levels.   On   managerial   and   administrative   positions   expatriate   employees   receive   US$1,400   while   local   employees  only  earn  US$800.  Similarly  clinic/health  center  positions  of  a  resort  where  expatriate   receives  salary  US$700  while  local  employee  receives  only  US$200  (Shakeela,  Ruhanen  &  Breakey   2011).  Employing  expats  not  only  increases  income  disparity  but  also  limits  the  trickle  down  effect   into  local  communities  as  neither  knowledge  nor  experience  is  gained.  The  income  is  not  spend  in   the  local  economy  and  tourism  multiplication  effect  is  due  to  these  leakages  not  reaching  levels  it   would  otherwise  be  able  to  reach.   The  Maldives  after  2008.   Tourism  is  the  main  economic  activity  for  the  Maldives.  It  contributes  to  29%  of  GDP  and  generates   70%  of  foreign  exchange.  Therefore,  the  government  is  highly  dependent  on  tourism  income  and   the  sector  as  a  whole.  This  dependency  was  probably  motivation  for  introducing  changes  in  2008   when  the  new  tourism  master  plan  came  into  law.  The  main  change  was  that  now  law  allows  hotels   and  guest  houses  to  be  established  on  all  inhabited  islands.  Parts  of  the  changes  were  announced   public   tendering   for   lease   and   resort   development   of   eight   uninhabited   islands.   This   is   rapid   development,  in  2009  there  was  97  resorts  registered  with  below  21,000  beds  and  in  2010  there