SlideShare a Scribd company logo
Aug	20	2019	
Arno	Candel,	CTO	H2O.ai	
@ArnoCandel
What’s	New	in	H2O	Driverless	AI
Hands-On Training
1. go to aquarium.h2o.ai
2. create account
3. log In
4. select Arno Candel’s Driverless AI 1.7.1
5. start Lab
6. wait… Then click URL when instructed
Hands-On Training
Confidential3
Industry Use Cases
Save Time. Save Money. Gain a Competitive Advantage.
Wholesale / Commercial
Banking
• Know Your Customers (KYC)
• Anti-Money Laundering (AML)
Card / Payments Business
• Transaction frauds
• Collusion fraud
• Real-time targeting
• Credit risk scoring
• In-context promotion
Retail Banking
• Deposit fraud
• Customer churn prediction
• Auto-loan
Financial Services
• Early cancer detection
• Product recommendations
• Personalized prescription
matching
• Medical claim fraud detection
• Flu season prediction
• Drug discovery
• ER and hospital
management
• Remote patient monitoring
• Medical test predictions
Healthcare
• Predictive maintenance
• Avoidable truck-rolls
• Customer churn prediction
• Improved customer viewing
experience
• Master data management
• In-context promotions
• Intelligent ad placements
• Personalized program
recommendations
Telecom
• Funnel predictions
• Personalized ads
• Credit scoring
• Fraud detection
• Next best offer
• Next best customer
• Smart profiling
• Prediction
• Customer recommendations
• Ad predictions and spend
Marketing and Retail
Driverless AI: Used Across Many Industries
Confidential12
Using “AI to do AI” with H2O Driverless AI
21 day free trial for Driverless AI
Gives every data scientist the
tools to be successful
Automatic feature engineering,
modeling, visualization, and
interpretability
Automatic standalone scoring
pipelines – convert data to code
Provides easy to understand
results and visualizations
….. in a single platform
Confidential12
2 months for Grandmasters — 2 hours for Driverless AI
single run, fully automated: 2h on DGX Station! 6h on PC
Driverless AI: 10th place in private LB at Kaggle (out of 2926)
Driverless AI: top 10 in BNP Paribas Kaggle competition
https://www.h2o.ai/blog/
Driverless AI — Teamwork and Maker’s Culture
Automatic Visualization
Scalable outlier detection
(no sampling)
Contains novel statistical algorithms to

only show “relevant” aspects of the data


(soon: actionable recipes and interactive visualization)
MLI - Machine Learning Interpretation
Gain confidence in models before deploying them!
Shapley values, partial dependence, ICE, original and transformed features
Confidential!12
MLI for i.i.d. and Time Series Data
Global approximate model behavior/interactions
Global feature importance
Shapley
DT
Global feature behavior
Reason codes
K-LIME
PDP
Model
Local feature importance
Local feature behavior
ICE
Local approximate model behavior
Model
RF
• Added residual plot for regression problems (keeping all outliers intact)
• Added confusion matrix as default metric display for multinomial problems
• Added Partial Dependence (PD) and Individual Conditional Expectation (ICE)
plots for Driverless AI models in MLI GUI
• Added ability to search by ID column in MLI GUI
• Added ability to run MLI PD/ICE on all features
• Added ability to handle multiple observations for a single time column in
MLI TS by taking the mean of the target and prediction where applicable
• Added ability to handle integer time column in MLI TS
• MLI TS will use train holdout predictions if there is no test set provided
Secret Sauce: 1) Grandmaster Feature Engineering
Numerical/Categorical Interactions, Target
Encoding, Clustering, Dimensionality Reduction,
Weight of Evidence, etc.
Time-Series: Lags and historical aggregates
with causality constraints
Secret Sauce: 2) Grandmaster Pipeline Tuning + Validation
19,000 features tested
1,000 models trained
reliable generalization estimates (overfitting avoidance)
Example: Driverless AI BNP Paribas on 3-GPU workstation
evolutionary strategies
DOI: 10.1126/science.aaa9375
MTV
1 final optimal
scoring pipeline
massively parallel processing
(multi-CPU, multi-GPU)
https://web.stanford.edu/~hastie/Papers/ESLII.pdf
http://www.deeplearningbook.org
Typically better for structured data
(CSV, SQL, Transactional)
Typically better for unstructured data
(Images, Video, Audio, Text)
GLM/CART/RF/GBM/XGBoost

K-Means/PCA/SVD
TensorFlow Deep Learning
Secret Sauce: 3) Statistical Learning & Deep Learning
Feature v1.0 v1.1 v1.2 v1.3 v1.4
v1.5

v1.6 LTS
v1.7
v1.8 LTS
v2.0
Kaggle Grandmaster Recipes for i.i.d. data, XGBoost Models
Automatic Visualization
Machine Learning Interpretability
Standalone Python Scoring Pipeline
Hardware acceleration: NVIDIA GPUs (DGX-1 etc.)
User Management and Security (LDAP/Kerberos)
Data Connectors: NFS/HDFS/S3/GCS/BigQuery, CSV/Excel/Parquet/Feather
Native Installer (RPM/DEB) and Cloud Neutral: Amazon/Microsoft/Google
Kaggle Grandmaster Recipes for Time-Series
Automatic Documentation
Deep Learning TensorFlow Models (CPU/GPU)
Standalone Java Scoring Pipeline (MOJO)
Deep Learning for NLP / Text (CPU/GPU)
LightGBM Models (CPU/GPU)
Improved Time-Series Recipes (Multiple Windows, MLI for Time-Series
Local Feature Brain
Improved Scalability, FTRL Models, Model Diagnostics, Data Splitting, Retrain Final Model, etc.
C++ Scoring Pipeline (Runtime for MOJO), with Python and R bindings, TensorFlow MOJO
Improved Time-Series Recipes (backtesting, test-time augmentation, single time-series)
Project Workspace
Bring Your Own Recipe (Transformers, Models, Scorers) - Custom Python Code
Model Monitoring
R client API
Multi-Node and Multi-User Deployment
Driverless AI Roadmap v1.7.1 AUG ‘19
Lots	of	New	Features	in	1.7.x!
time:
Gap=1		|	Forecast	Horizon=2
invalid	lag	size	(no	information	available)
valid	lag	size	(information	available)
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
[Gap]
"[	Gap	]" "8" "9" [Gap] [Gap]
test
tvs	train			 tvs	valid
train
test
Time Series in Driverless AI
• Automatic	Selection	or	Manual	Control	for:	
• Forecast	Horizon	
• Gap	between	Training	and	Production	
• Backtesting	Scheme
Automatic Lag Feature Generation
Driverless AI - NLP Features - Count
Image Source : STHDA
Driverless AI - NLP Features - TFIDF
Image Source : Towards Data Science
Driverless AI - NLP Features - Word Embeddings
Image Source : Tensorflow
Driverless AI - NLP Recipe
Text
Feature
TFIDF /
Count
Truncated
SVD
Txt:<feat>
TFIDF
Word
Embedding
Word
Embedding
Character
Embedding
Linear /
Logistic Model
CNN Model
RNN Model
CNN Model
TxtTE:<feat>
TextCNN_TE:
<feat>
TextBiGRU_TE:
<feat>
TextCharCNN:
<feat>
Data Connectors
Driverless AI connects to data sources
anywhere on premise or in the Cloud.
Current approach: Scale-up
Move the data once onto dedicated
compute hardware
Coming soon: Scale-out (and -up)
Distribute across multiple nodes
Overrides for Column Types and Date/Time Formats
Set data science column
types, e.g.:
integer field can be categorical
only, and not treated as numeric
(0=hi, 1=lo, 2=n/a)
string field can be text and
categorical, for NLP features and
grouping
Custom datetime format
string like “%d.%m.%Y”
Project Workspace - Organize & Compare
Project Workspace - Organize & Compare
Expert Settings for Experiments
R and Python Clients — Remote Control Driverless AI
Clients	for	Python	and	R	
• Automate	workflows	with	scripts	
• Connect	to	powerful	server	remotely	
• Full	functionality	of	Driverless	AI	is	
available	from	Python	and	R	
• Secure	connection	(LDAP,	Kerberos)
MOJO2 Scoring Runtime for Java, Python and R
MOJO2	Runtime	
• Stand-alone	scoring	based	on	Protobuf	
serialization	
• No	approximations,	entire	ML	pipeline	
• Low-Latency	scoring	
• No	other	dependencies	
• Can	be	embedded	in	applications	
• Python,	R,	Java	(Scala),	C++	coming
Visualization of MOJO2 Pipeline
One-Click Deployment: Amazon AWS Lambda
One-Click Deployment: Local REST Server
BYOR — Bring Your Own Recipes!
https://www.h2o.ai/products-h2o-driverless-ai-recipes/
Open-Source Recipes - Makers Gonna Make!
https://github.com/h2oai/driverlessai-recipes
Open-Source Recipes - Makers Gonna Make!
BYOR — Bring Your Own Recipes!
Easy Uplift by Adding NLP Sentiment Recipe
LogLoss	=	0.48LogLoss	=	0.60 LogLoss	=	0.49
Built-In	TensorFlow	NLP	RecipesBuilt-In	Tf/IdF	NLP	Recipes With	custom	Sentiment	recipe
Combined multiple models together for better Accuracy
MAE = 1744 (DAI+Prophet+ARIMA) MAE = 2060 (FaceBook Prophet) MAE = 3442 (ARIMA)
MLI for Custom Time-Series Recipes
Default	Recipe	(Lags) Prophet	Recipe
More details:
FAQ / Architecture Diagram etc.
https://github.com/h2oai/driverlessai-recipes
AutoDoc - Automatic Documentation of Experiments
Full transparency into automation process:

Validation scheme, model tuning, feature selection, ensembling, metrics, diagnostics.
Includes custom recipes, fully editable/customizable Word document.
AutoDoc - Automatic Documentation of Experiments
Now also with partial dependence plots!
Take a Test Drive!
http://h2o.ai
Chat with Us!
https://www.h2o.ai/community/
Webinars
Driverless AI Docs & Tutorials: docs.h2o.ai
https://h2oai.github.io/tutorials/
Live Demo

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Bring Your Own Recipes Hands-On Session

  • 2. Hands-On Training 1. go to aquarium.h2o.ai 2. create account 3. log In
  • 3. 4. select Arno Candel’s Driverless AI 1.7.1 5. start Lab 6. wait… Then click URL when instructed Hands-On Training
  • 4.
  • 5. Confidential3 Industry Use Cases Save Time. Save Money. Gain a Competitive Advantage. Wholesale / Commercial Banking • Know Your Customers (KYC) • Anti-Money Laundering (AML) Card / Payments Business • Transaction frauds • Collusion fraud • Real-time targeting • Credit risk scoring • In-context promotion Retail Banking • Deposit fraud • Customer churn prediction • Auto-loan Financial Services • Early cancer detection • Product recommendations • Personalized prescription matching • Medical claim fraud detection • Flu season prediction • Drug discovery • ER and hospital management • Remote patient monitoring • Medical test predictions Healthcare • Predictive maintenance • Avoidable truck-rolls • Customer churn prediction • Improved customer viewing experience • Master data management • In-context promotions • Intelligent ad placements • Personalized program recommendations Telecom • Funnel predictions • Personalized ads • Credit scoring • Fraud detection • Next best offer • Next best customer • Smart profiling • Prediction • Customer recommendations • Ad predictions and spend Marketing and Retail Driverless AI: Used Across Many Industries
  • 6. Confidential12 Using “AI to do AI” with H2O Driverless AI 21 day free trial for Driverless AI Gives every data scientist the tools to be successful Automatic feature engineering, modeling, visualization, and interpretability Automatic standalone scoring pipelines – convert data to code Provides easy to understand results and visualizations ….. in a single platform Confidential12
  • 7.
  • 8. 2 months for Grandmasters — 2 hours for Driverless AI single run, fully automated: 2h on DGX Station! 6h on PC Driverless AI: 10th place in private LB at Kaggle (out of 2926) Driverless AI: top 10 in BNP Paribas Kaggle competition
  • 9. https://www.h2o.ai/blog/ Driverless AI — Teamwork and Maker’s Culture
  • 10. Automatic Visualization Scalable outlier detection (no sampling) Contains novel statistical algorithms to
 only show “relevant” aspects of the data 
 (soon: actionable recipes and interactive visualization)
  • 11. MLI - Machine Learning Interpretation Gain confidence in models before deploying them! Shapley values, partial dependence, ICE, original and transformed features
  • 12. Confidential!12 MLI for i.i.d. and Time Series Data Global approximate model behavior/interactions Global feature importance Shapley DT Global feature behavior Reason codes K-LIME PDP Model Local feature importance Local feature behavior ICE Local approximate model behavior Model RF • Added residual plot for regression problems (keeping all outliers intact) • Added confusion matrix as default metric display for multinomial problems • Added Partial Dependence (PD) and Individual Conditional Expectation (ICE) plots for Driverless AI models in MLI GUI • Added ability to search by ID column in MLI GUI • Added ability to run MLI PD/ICE on all features • Added ability to handle multiple observations for a single time column in MLI TS by taking the mean of the target and prediction where applicable • Added ability to handle integer time column in MLI TS • MLI TS will use train holdout predictions if there is no test set provided
  • 13. Secret Sauce: 1) Grandmaster Feature Engineering Numerical/Categorical Interactions, Target Encoding, Clustering, Dimensionality Reduction, Weight of Evidence, etc. Time-Series: Lags and historical aggregates with causality constraints
  • 14. Secret Sauce: 2) Grandmaster Pipeline Tuning + Validation 19,000 features tested 1,000 models trained reliable generalization estimates (overfitting avoidance) Example: Driverless AI BNP Paribas on 3-GPU workstation evolutionary strategies DOI: 10.1126/science.aaa9375 MTV 1 final optimal scoring pipeline massively parallel processing (multi-CPU, multi-GPU)
  • 15. https://web.stanford.edu/~hastie/Papers/ESLII.pdf http://www.deeplearningbook.org Typically better for structured data (CSV, SQL, Transactional) Typically better for unstructured data (Images, Video, Audio, Text) GLM/CART/RF/GBM/XGBoost
 K-Means/PCA/SVD TensorFlow Deep Learning Secret Sauce: 3) Statistical Learning & Deep Learning
  • 16. Feature v1.0 v1.1 v1.2 v1.3 v1.4 v1.5
 v1.6 LTS v1.7 v1.8 LTS v2.0 Kaggle Grandmaster Recipes for i.i.d. data, XGBoost Models Automatic Visualization Machine Learning Interpretability Standalone Python Scoring Pipeline Hardware acceleration: NVIDIA GPUs (DGX-1 etc.) User Management and Security (LDAP/Kerberos) Data Connectors: NFS/HDFS/S3/GCS/BigQuery, CSV/Excel/Parquet/Feather Native Installer (RPM/DEB) and Cloud Neutral: Amazon/Microsoft/Google Kaggle Grandmaster Recipes for Time-Series Automatic Documentation Deep Learning TensorFlow Models (CPU/GPU) Standalone Java Scoring Pipeline (MOJO) Deep Learning for NLP / Text (CPU/GPU) LightGBM Models (CPU/GPU) Improved Time-Series Recipes (Multiple Windows, MLI for Time-Series Local Feature Brain Improved Scalability, FTRL Models, Model Diagnostics, Data Splitting, Retrain Final Model, etc. C++ Scoring Pipeline (Runtime for MOJO), with Python and R bindings, TensorFlow MOJO Improved Time-Series Recipes (backtesting, test-time augmentation, single time-series) Project Workspace Bring Your Own Recipe (Transformers, Models, Scorers) - Custom Python Code Model Monitoring R client API Multi-Node and Multi-User Deployment Driverless AI Roadmap v1.7.1 AUG ‘19 Lots of New Features in 1.7.x!
  • 17. time: Gap=1 | Forecast Horizon=2 invalid lag size (no information available) valid lag size (information available) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 [Gap] "[ Gap ]" "8" "9" [Gap] [Gap] test tvs train tvs valid train test Time Series in Driverless AI • Automatic Selection or Manual Control for: • Forecast Horizon • Gap between Training and Production • Backtesting Scheme Automatic Lag Feature Generation
  • 18. Driverless AI - NLP Features - Count Image Source : STHDA
  • 19. Driverless AI - NLP Features - TFIDF Image Source : Towards Data Science
  • 20. Driverless AI - NLP Features - Word Embeddings Image Source : Tensorflow
  • 21. Driverless AI - NLP Recipe Text Feature TFIDF / Count Truncated SVD Txt:<feat> TFIDF Word Embedding Word Embedding Character Embedding Linear / Logistic Model CNN Model RNN Model CNN Model TxtTE:<feat> TextCNN_TE: <feat> TextBiGRU_TE: <feat> TextCharCNN: <feat>
  • 22. Data Connectors Driverless AI connects to data sources anywhere on premise or in the Cloud. Current approach: Scale-up Move the data once onto dedicated compute hardware Coming soon: Scale-out (and -up) Distribute across multiple nodes
  • 23. Overrides for Column Types and Date/Time Formats Set data science column types, e.g.: integer field can be categorical only, and not treated as numeric (0=hi, 1=lo, 2=n/a) string field can be text and categorical, for NLP features and grouping Custom datetime format string like “%d.%m.%Y”
  • 24. Project Workspace - Organize & Compare
  • 25. Project Workspace - Organize & Compare
  • 26. Expert Settings for Experiments
  • 27. R and Python Clients — Remote Control Driverless AI Clients for Python and R • Automate workflows with scripts • Connect to powerful server remotely • Full functionality of Driverless AI is available from Python and R • Secure connection (LDAP, Kerberos)
  • 28. MOJO2 Scoring Runtime for Java, Python and R MOJO2 Runtime • Stand-alone scoring based on Protobuf serialization • No approximations, entire ML pipeline • Low-Latency scoring • No other dependencies • Can be embedded in applications • Python, R, Java (Scala), C++ coming
  • 32. BYOR — Bring Your Own Recipes! https://www.h2o.ai/products-h2o-driverless-ai-recipes/
  • 33. Open-Source Recipes - Makers Gonna Make! https://github.com/h2oai/driverlessai-recipes
  • 34. Open-Source Recipes - Makers Gonna Make!
  • 35. BYOR — Bring Your Own Recipes!
  • 36. Easy Uplift by Adding NLP Sentiment Recipe LogLoss = 0.48LogLoss = 0.60 LogLoss = 0.49 Built-In TensorFlow NLP RecipesBuilt-In Tf/IdF NLP Recipes With custom Sentiment recipe
  • 37. Combined multiple models together for better Accuracy MAE = 1744 (DAI+Prophet+ARIMA) MAE = 2060 (FaceBook Prophet) MAE = 3442 (ARIMA)
  • 38. MLI for Custom Time-Series Recipes Default Recipe (Lags) Prophet Recipe
  • 39. More details: FAQ / Architecture Diagram etc. https://github.com/h2oai/driverlessai-recipes
  • 40. AutoDoc - Automatic Documentation of Experiments Full transparency into automation process:
 Validation scheme, model tuning, feature selection, ensembling, metrics, diagnostics. Includes custom recipes, fully editable/customizable Word document.
  • 41. AutoDoc - Automatic Documentation of Experiments Now also with partial dependence plots!
  • 42. Take a Test Drive! http://h2o.ai
  • 45. Driverless AI Docs & Tutorials: docs.h2o.ai https://h2oai.github.io/tutorials/