The last decade has presented a new global economic scenario lead by emerging markets. BRICS countries (comprised by Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa) have been at the forefront in this phenomenon. During these years, the real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth of the world (annual percent change - A% c) averages 3,83. And just BRICS countries reached 6,01 (157,02% more); and Advanced Economies - not yet recovered since the last financial crisis - reached 1,6 (47,78%). At the same time - and largely the result of the same phenomenon - many more challenges lie ahead for these countries which still must maintain their growth and find effective ways of sustainability. To that end, they should create global innovation networks involving a new model of economy acting as “drivers”. Such drivers must be conceived understanding global trends. Innovation, vanguard, and adaptation will be key to new era. The importance of this this investigation is defined, analysis of these points and studies them as Strategies 3.0 for sustainability and continuous growth.
Abstract: Fortune telling may not be so difficult for someone who understands current global trends. This paper attempts to predict the future of management by considering the context of leadership, organizational trends, and its effects on the domestic labour market. The paper assumes an increase in government interventions across the globe to protect the domestic markets, emphasizing the circumstances of China and the United States of America. The paper further discusses two futuristic leadership models; the global leadership model and evolutionary-based management models then sets out two possible scenarios of future organizations and concludes by highlighting the necessary characteristics of the future manager.
The Importance of Parameter Constancy for Endogenous Growth with Externality Dr. Kelly YiYu Lin
The economic model of endogenous growth has been commonly discussed. It has been specified by econometric models by Robert Barro (1986, 1990, and 1994) and Xavier Sala-i-Martin (2003) but it is challenging to keep parameter constancy in the model. This paper demonstrates how to find the stable growth rate converging to the steady state and the optimal capital level at the steady state with parameter constancy. This paper also finds the economy would converge to a stable steady state when the co-integration holds between annual growth rate of GDP per capita and GDP per capita. We take an empirical study of selected five countries (Indonesia, India, US, France and Japan) from 1960 to 2016 and specify econometric models of endogenous growth with externality and to test the convergence.
Abstract: Fortune telling may not be so difficult for someone who understands current global trends. This paper attempts to predict the future of management by considering the context of leadership, organizational trends, and its effects on the domestic labour market. The paper assumes an increase in government interventions across the globe to protect the domestic markets, emphasizing the circumstances of China and the United States of America. The paper further discusses two futuristic leadership models; the global leadership model and evolutionary-based management models then sets out two possible scenarios of future organizations and concludes by highlighting the necessary characteristics of the future manager.
The Importance of Parameter Constancy for Endogenous Growth with Externality Dr. Kelly YiYu Lin
The economic model of endogenous growth has been commonly discussed. It has been specified by econometric models by Robert Barro (1986, 1990, and 1994) and Xavier Sala-i-Martin (2003) but it is challenging to keep parameter constancy in the model. This paper demonstrates how to find the stable growth rate converging to the steady state and the optimal capital level at the steady state with parameter constancy. This paper also finds the economy would converge to a stable steady state when the co-integration holds between annual growth rate of GDP per capita and GDP per capita. We take an empirical study of selected five countries (Indonesia, India, US, France and Japan) from 1960 to 2016 and specify econometric models of endogenous growth with externality and to test the convergence.
Professor Professor Hiroyuki Taguchi - Doctor of Social Sciences (Waseda University) commenced the seminar from a macroeconomic angle with a focus on Abenomics’ influence and the question of tackling mid-income trap in Vietnam. The seemingly dry subject was turned into a fruitful feast of novel information, ideas and well thought-out explanations.
Indonésia, Malásia e Tailândia, conhecidas como SEANICs (Países Recentemente Industrializados do Sudeste Asiático), tiveram economias inicialmente especializadas em exportações primárias, mas que dentro de um curto período de tempo conseguiram alcançar extensa exportação e diversificação produtiva na indústria de transformação. Estes países registraram um rápido crescimento do PIB e do PIB per capita entre 1980 e 201, e passou por uma mudança estrutural notável em suas economias. O objetivo deste trabalho é analisar as trajetórias de desenvolvimento dos SEANICs, investigando sua principal fonte de crescimento econômico, especialmente relacionada à integração econômica regional. Embora a literatura desenvolvimentista costume enfatizar a importância da diversificação das exportações e da de produção para gerar altas taxas de crescimento e recuperar o atraso tecnológico, o estudo de caso dos SEANICs demonstrar que isso não é necessariamente verdade. Estes processos foram experimentados em pequena escala, de modo desenvolvimento que o desenvolvimento industrial não tenha garantido a superação da heterogeneidade estrutural tampouco o catch-up tecnológico.
This article was aimed to study the environment and the co-movement of China’s economic growth together with
Thailand under economic and macro-finance dimensions by collecting information from academic literatures, global
organization reports, and historical data from opened source database such as World Bank, United Nations,
International Monetary Fund (IMF), and other relatives. The study found that China’s and Thailand’s economic
activities are related particularly in term of trade but the low investment. In fact, services industry has replaced
industrial manufacture to be the influent factor on gross domestic product (GDP) in both two countries. Moreover,
enhancing to promote world- class capital markets and financial system development in China has drawn attraction
from Thailand investors to invest more than a half of Thailand’s direct investment funds in financial firms and
activities in China in 2017. In the conclusion, Thailand’s economic growth is still relied on China’s demand for raw
materials according to goods and products they have exported to China. The suggestion for Thailand is to create their
own technology like China’s development model in order to produce valuable goods and services productivity. And
for both countries, China and Thailand should also have to focus on income distribution through other areas outside
the city under the principal of economic development to improve the welfare of the population.
Assessing the Impact of Human Capital, Energy Consumption and Environment on ...ijtsrd
This paper investigates the impact of human capital development life expectancy and labor productivity , energy usage, and environmental factors carbon dioxide emissions on the per capita economic sustainable development in Malaysia. We employed the adjusted net savings per capita World Bank to represent the economically sustainable development path in Malaysia. With the assumptions of possible structural breaks along the years of between 1971, and 2013, the Zivot Andrews unit root test was performed on all of the variables concerned. Following the bounds test method, we proposed the auto regressive distributed lag ARDL model for the per capita sustainable development path in Malaysia based on the impact of human capital development and environmental factors. We found that life expectancy, carbon emissions and energy usage have mixed significant effects on adjusted net savings per capita in both the short run and long run in Malaysia. Faridah Pardi | Mohammad Yuzaimi Yasin | Sutina Junos "Assessing the Impact of Human Capital, Energy Consumption and Environment on Sustainable Development Model of Malaysia" Published in International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (ijtsrd), ISSN: 2456-6470, Volume-4 | Issue-6 , October 2020, URL: https://www.ijtsrd.com/papers/ijtsrd33586.pdf Paper Url: https://www.ijtsrd.com/economics/development-economics/33586/assessing-the-impact-of-human-capital-energy-consumption-and-environment-on-sustainable-development-model-of-malaysia/faridah-pardi
The Impact of the Global Financial Crisis on Human Resources in Multinational...ijtsrd
This paper aims to analyse and review the impact of the global financial crisis on human resource management in multinational corporations in Ireland. A review of the literature was done, taking as reference the study of Gunningle, Lavelle and Monaghan 2013 . In addition, newspapers, magazines, books and scientific journals were used as secondary data. The great contribution of the article is related to the fact that how HR managers can be seen as key players within companies, acting in a strategic way over the crisis period in Ireland. It is necessary for HR managers to communicate effectively, build good relationships and pay attention to the difficult task of balancing individual and organizational desires. Addressing the specific case of Ireland, there are limitations from a general point of view, but it works as an illustration of managerial alternatives to companies impacted by economic turbulence , whether for validation of proposed ideas or for the construction of new ones. Charles Alves De Castro ""The Impact of the Global Financial Crisis on Human Resources in Multinational Companies in Ireland"" Published in International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (ijtsrd), ISSN: 2456-6470, Volume-4 | Issue-2 , February 2020,
URL: https://www.ijtsrd.com/papers/ijtsrd30145.pdf
Paper Url : https://www.ijtsrd.com/management/international-business-issues/30145/the-impact-of-the-global-financial-crisis-on-human-resources-in-multinational-companies-in-ireland/charles-alves-de-castro
The purpose of this paper is to investigate how firm age and size affect the small and medium firm to move from the local to international market. Literature has strongly suggested that the firm age and firm size some of the key factors that influence internationalization of medium sized firms for many developing economies though little research has been done regarding the same for developing economies. An in depth survey was conducted with 73 Kenya Top 100 medium companies targeting the CEOs and/or key executives by the use of a questionnaire instrument. The data was analyzed by the use of Statistical Package for Social Scientists (SPSS) Version 21. Both descriptive and inferential statistics were used to present data. The study found that if Kenyan medium sized firms would sustainably increase the size of their operation, as they age, this would increase theirreadiness to internationalize their operations. They would therefore achieve superior capability to maximize on any opportunity that might arise for doing business in foreign market.The study recommends that the Government of Kenya should provide a supportive environment that would enable medium firmsto grow and overcome the challenges of smallness which is a precursor to internationalization.
This report features world capital market performance and a timeline of events for the past quarter. It begins with a global overview, then features the returns of
stock and bond asset classes in the US and
international markets.
The report also illustrates the performance of globally diversified portfolios.
This report features world capital market performance and a timeline of events for the past quarter. It begins with a global overview, then features the returns of stock and bond asset classes in the US and international markets. The report also illustrates the impact of globally diversified portfolios and features a quarterly topic.
The economic landscape of the world is changing rapidly. The nations which were once categorized as developing are now swiftly emerging with eminent powers and are posing a threat to the already existing superpowers of the world. A superpower is a nation which has both the
capacity and the capability of projecting its dictating influence and power on any place all across the planet. Another definition suggests that a nation having a leading position in the global system in addition to the ability to dominate is a superpower.
Foundations of Financial Sector Mechanisms and Economic Growth in Emerging Ec...iosrjce
In this paper, we try to uncover the economic foundations of financial sector development and its
impacts on accelerating economic growth in the given context of emerging economies. We theorize and
empirically test a causally-motivated relationship among economic growth and related key financial sector
variables pertinent to this problem. We accomplish this by analyzing a 20 year panel-data constructed for 30
countries falling within the categorization of an ‘emerging economy’. We estimate the appropriate statistical
models along with related diagnostic tests. Finally, we comment on the strengths and weaknesses of our
approach and we try to explicate the economic rationale and justification for our formulation and the evidences
that follow
World Development Report 2024 (“WDR2024” or “the Report”) will examine the difficulties of economic
growth in middle-income countries and propose practical policy recommendations. Constituting about 75
percent of the world’s population, the 108 middle-income countries today account for about 40 percent of
global economic activity, 50 percent of the world’s extremely poor people, and 60 percent of global carbon
dioxide emissions.1
The Report will summarize the growth record of economies at different income levels. The recent record
suggests that middle-income countries have experienced a sharper slowdown during the last decade (Kose
and Ohnsorge 2023).
2 It will assess the evidence for and against the existence of a “middle-income trap,” a
notion that many countries remain in a narrow income band over long periods of time (Spence 2011) and
their policies and institutions do not adapt to structural characteristics of middle-income economies (Gill
and Kharas 2015). The term “middle-income trap” is popular in policy circles as a mechanism to galvanize
countries into action and recalibrate their growth strategy and economic institutions to make them as
dynamic collectively as their firms and entrepreneurs are individually.
The Report will then analyze the determinants of structural change using the insights of advances in
Schumpeterian growth theory to bear on the problems faced by middle-income countries today. The main insights are related to competition among enterprises, social mobility among households, and the structural transformations needed for steady energy transitions. By itself, each of these insights is not novel; taken together, they have the potential to provide a framework to guide policy makers concerned with boosting economic growth.
Perhaps the most useful part of the Report for policy makers in emerging markets and developing economies
will be the third section, which will present specific remedies based both on development successes and struggles during middle-income transitions. Figure 1 outlines the proposed structure of the Report. Box 1 outlines how this Report builds on previous World Development Reports that have examined various dimensions of economic growth.
Professor Professor Hiroyuki Taguchi - Doctor of Social Sciences (Waseda University) commenced the seminar from a macroeconomic angle with a focus on Abenomics’ influence and the question of tackling mid-income trap in Vietnam. The seemingly dry subject was turned into a fruitful feast of novel information, ideas and well thought-out explanations.
Indonésia, Malásia e Tailândia, conhecidas como SEANICs (Países Recentemente Industrializados do Sudeste Asiático), tiveram economias inicialmente especializadas em exportações primárias, mas que dentro de um curto período de tempo conseguiram alcançar extensa exportação e diversificação produtiva na indústria de transformação. Estes países registraram um rápido crescimento do PIB e do PIB per capita entre 1980 e 201, e passou por uma mudança estrutural notável em suas economias. O objetivo deste trabalho é analisar as trajetórias de desenvolvimento dos SEANICs, investigando sua principal fonte de crescimento econômico, especialmente relacionada à integração econômica regional. Embora a literatura desenvolvimentista costume enfatizar a importância da diversificação das exportações e da de produção para gerar altas taxas de crescimento e recuperar o atraso tecnológico, o estudo de caso dos SEANICs demonstrar que isso não é necessariamente verdade. Estes processos foram experimentados em pequena escala, de modo desenvolvimento que o desenvolvimento industrial não tenha garantido a superação da heterogeneidade estrutural tampouco o catch-up tecnológico.
This article was aimed to study the environment and the co-movement of China’s economic growth together with
Thailand under economic and macro-finance dimensions by collecting information from academic literatures, global
organization reports, and historical data from opened source database such as World Bank, United Nations,
International Monetary Fund (IMF), and other relatives. The study found that China’s and Thailand’s economic
activities are related particularly in term of trade but the low investment. In fact, services industry has replaced
industrial manufacture to be the influent factor on gross domestic product (GDP) in both two countries. Moreover,
enhancing to promote world- class capital markets and financial system development in China has drawn attraction
from Thailand investors to invest more than a half of Thailand’s direct investment funds in financial firms and
activities in China in 2017. In the conclusion, Thailand’s economic growth is still relied on China’s demand for raw
materials according to goods and products they have exported to China. The suggestion for Thailand is to create their
own technology like China’s development model in order to produce valuable goods and services productivity. And
for both countries, China and Thailand should also have to focus on income distribution through other areas outside
the city under the principal of economic development to improve the welfare of the population.
Assessing the Impact of Human Capital, Energy Consumption and Environment on ...ijtsrd
This paper investigates the impact of human capital development life expectancy and labor productivity , energy usage, and environmental factors carbon dioxide emissions on the per capita economic sustainable development in Malaysia. We employed the adjusted net savings per capita World Bank to represent the economically sustainable development path in Malaysia. With the assumptions of possible structural breaks along the years of between 1971, and 2013, the Zivot Andrews unit root test was performed on all of the variables concerned. Following the bounds test method, we proposed the auto regressive distributed lag ARDL model for the per capita sustainable development path in Malaysia based on the impact of human capital development and environmental factors. We found that life expectancy, carbon emissions and energy usage have mixed significant effects on adjusted net savings per capita in both the short run and long run in Malaysia. Faridah Pardi | Mohammad Yuzaimi Yasin | Sutina Junos "Assessing the Impact of Human Capital, Energy Consumption and Environment on Sustainable Development Model of Malaysia" Published in International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (ijtsrd), ISSN: 2456-6470, Volume-4 | Issue-6 , October 2020, URL: https://www.ijtsrd.com/papers/ijtsrd33586.pdf Paper Url: https://www.ijtsrd.com/economics/development-economics/33586/assessing-the-impact-of-human-capital-energy-consumption-and-environment-on-sustainable-development-model-of-malaysia/faridah-pardi
The Impact of the Global Financial Crisis on Human Resources in Multinational...ijtsrd
This paper aims to analyse and review the impact of the global financial crisis on human resource management in multinational corporations in Ireland. A review of the literature was done, taking as reference the study of Gunningle, Lavelle and Monaghan 2013 . In addition, newspapers, magazines, books and scientific journals were used as secondary data. The great contribution of the article is related to the fact that how HR managers can be seen as key players within companies, acting in a strategic way over the crisis period in Ireland. It is necessary for HR managers to communicate effectively, build good relationships and pay attention to the difficult task of balancing individual and organizational desires. Addressing the specific case of Ireland, there are limitations from a general point of view, but it works as an illustration of managerial alternatives to companies impacted by economic turbulence , whether for validation of proposed ideas or for the construction of new ones. Charles Alves De Castro ""The Impact of the Global Financial Crisis on Human Resources in Multinational Companies in Ireland"" Published in International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (ijtsrd), ISSN: 2456-6470, Volume-4 | Issue-2 , February 2020,
URL: https://www.ijtsrd.com/papers/ijtsrd30145.pdf
Paper Url : https://www.ijtsrd.com/management/international-business-issues/30145/the-impact-of-the-global-financial-crisis-on-human-resources-in-multinational-companies-in-ireland/charles-alves-de-castro
The purpose of this paper is to investigate how firm age and size affect the small and medium firm to move from the local to international market. Literature has strongly suggested that the firm age and firm size some of the key factors that influence internationalization of medium sized firms for many developing economies though little research has been done regarding the same for developing economies. An in depth survey was conducted with 73 Kenya Top 100 medium companies targeting the CEOs and/or key executives by the use of a questionnaire instrument. The data was analyzed by the use of Statistical Package for Social Scientists (SPSS) Version 21. Both descriptive and inferential statistics were used to present data. The study found that if Kenyan medium sized firms would sustainably increase the size of their operation, as they age, this would increase theirreadiness to internationalize their operations. They would therefore achieve superior capability to maximize on any opportunity that might arise for doing business in foreign market.The study recommends that the Government of Kenya should provide a supportive environment that would enable medium firmsto grow and overcome the challenges of smallness which is a precursor to internationalization.
This report features world capital market performance and a timeline of events for the past quarter. It begins with a global overview, then features the returns of
stock and bond asset classes in the US and
international markets.
The report also illustrates the performance of globally diversified portfolios.
This report features world capital market performance and a timeline of events for the past quarter. It begins with a global overview, then features the returns of stock and bond asset classes in the US and international markets. The report also illustrates the impact of globally diversified portfolios and features a quarterly topic.
The economic landscape of the world is changing rapidly. The nations which were once categorized as developing are now swiftly emerging with eminent powers and are posing a threat to the already existing superpowers of the world. A superpower is a nation which has both the
capacity and the capability of projecting its dictating influence and power on any place all across the planet. Another definition suggests that a nation having a leading position in the global system in addition to the ability to dominate is a superpower.
Foundations of Financial Sector Mechanisms and Economic Growth in Emerging Ec...iosrjce
In this paper, we try to uncover the economic foundations of financial sector development and its
impacts on accelerating economic growth in the given context of emerging economies. We theorize and
empirically test a causally-motivated relationship among economic growth and related key financial sector
variables pertinent to this problem. We accomplish this by analyzing a 20 year panel-data constructed for 30
countries falling within the categorization of an ‘emerging economy’. We estimate the appropriate statistical
models along with related diagnostic tests. Finally, we comment on the strengths and weaknesses of our
approach and we try to explicate the economic rationale and justification for our formulation and the evidences
that follow
World Development Report 2024 (“WDR2024” or “the Report”) will examine the difficulties of economic
growth in middle-income countries and propose practical policy recommendations. Constituting about 75
percent of the world’s population, the 108 middle-income countries today account for about 40 percent of
global economic activity, 50 percent of the world’s extremely poor people, and 60 percent of global carbon
dioxide emissions.1
The Report will summarize the growth record of economies at different income levels. The recent record
suggests that middle-income countries have experienced a sharper slowdown during the last decade (Kose
and Ohnsorge 2023).
2 It will assess the evidence for and against the existence of a “middle-income trap,” a
notion that many countries remain in a narrow income band over long periods of time (Spence 2011) and
their policies and institutions do not adapt to structural characteristics of middle-income economies (Gill
and Kharas 2015). The term “middle-income trap” is popular in policy circles as a mechanism to galvanize
countries into action and recalibrate their growth strategy and economic institutions to make them as
dynamic collectively as their firms and entrepreneurs are individually.
The Report will then analyze the determinants of structural change using the insights of advances in
Schumpeterian growth theory to bear on the problems faced by middle-income countries today. The main insights are related to competition among enterprises, social mobility among households, and the structural transformations needed for steady energy transitions. By itself, each of these insights is not novel; taken together, they have the potential to provide a framework to guide policy makers concerned with boosting economic growth.
Perhaps the most useful part of the Report for policy makers in emerging markets and developing economies
will be the third section, which will present specific remedies based both on development successes and struggles during middle-income transitions. Figure 1 outlines the proposed structure of the Report. Box 1 outlines how this Report builds on previous World Development Reports that have examined various dimensions of economic growth.
WORLD DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2024 - Economic Growth in Middle-Income Countries.Christina Parmionova
The Report will summarize the growth record of economies at different income levels. The recent record suggests that middle-income countries have experienced a sharper slowdown during the last decade.
As current growth rates reach a new low, competition for the future is on the...SimCorp
As growth rates came to a standstill in 2015, we took stock of expectations for the future. Surveying firms worldwide, we discovered them to be optimistic about long-term prospects, and found the pursuit of future profits gathering pace.
For the last 50 years, the world economy has benefited fro.docxlmelaine
For the last 50 years, the world economy
has benefited from a demographic
boom that has contributed 1.8 percent
to average annual global GDP increases,
helping to generate an unprecedented
level of growth.1 This demographic
tailwind is coming to an end. With
populations aging and fertility rates
dropping around the world, the growth
rates of the past 50 years may prove to
be the exception, not the rule. The latest
research of the McKinsey Global Institute
(MGI) suggests that unless increases in
labor productivity compensate for an
aging workforce, the next 50 years will
see a nearly 40 percent drop in GDP
growth rates and a roughly 20 percent
drop in the growth rate of per capita
income around the world.
The potential for diminished growth
varies considerably among countries.
In the developed world, Canada and
Germany are poised for the biggest
drops in GDP growth rates. Saudi Arabia,
Mexico, Russia, and Brazil are most at
risk in developing countries (Exhibit 1).
Richard Dobbs, Jaana Remes, and Jonathan Woetzel
Productivity gains could make the difference in an aging world.
Where to look for
global growth
Societies that fail to raise their game
for the productivity needed to sustain
growth will find it harder to achieve a
host of desirable goals, such as reducing
poverty in developing economies and
meeting current social commitments in
developed ones.
But the research also suggests reasons
for optimism. Among the countries we
studied, fully 75 percent of the needed
productivity increases through 2025
could occur if lagging companies
and public-sector institutions caught
up to the productivity of their best-
performing peers. Emerging markets
have the biggest opportunities to do
so. These opportunities are known and
currently available, and they represent
a critical link in the virtuous cycle of
emerging-market development: rising
labor productivity goes hand in hand
with growth in disposable income,
consumption, and GDP.
To close the gap, companies must seize
the opportunity to accelerate productivity
J A N U A R Y 2 0 1 5
2
Exhibit 1
Web 2014
MGI Global Growth
Exhibit 1 of 2
Source: UN population statistics; McKinsey Global Institute analysis
The demographic drag on growth will vary considerably across
countries over the next 50 years.
GDP per capitaGDP
Projected change in growth rate by 2064,
assuming historical productivity growth, %
−26South Korea −39
−40Australia −36
−7Japan −36
−57Canada −53
−28United States −34
−6France −18
−11United Kingdom −10
−2Germany −52
−14Italy −36
−12China −30
−11Indonesia −32
1India −27
−67Saudi Arabia −73
24Turkey −23
39Nigeria 7
−33Brazil −60
−60Mexico −66
51South Africa −30
2Argentina −37
−20Russia −60
D
e
v
e
lo
p
e
d
E
m
e
rg
in
g
3
processing—accounts for a range of
1 to 3 percent of GDP in the countries
we studied. Globally, the sector’s
productivity i ...
Based on Erik Reinert, How Rich Countries Got Rich ... and Why Poor Countries Stay Poor (2007), London: Constable, Chapter 8: “Get the economic activities right”, or, the Lost Art of Creating Middle-Income Countries. Further discussion on how to make upper-middle income county out of middle-income trap. And how to synchronize different aspect on developmental policy in modern era.
The Effects of the Structural Adjustment Programs on Economic Growth in Sub S...ijtsrd
Globalization has changed the political and economic map, but the benefits to different regions have been uneven. Sub Saharan Africa SSA has undergone many economic struggles since achieving independence, and in the early 1980s SSA suffered a severe debt crisis. In response, the International Monetary Fund IMF and the World Bank undertook the implementation of a trade liberalization policy through structural adjustment programs SAPs to ease the debt crisis in SSA. Three of these programs have involved the removal of agricultural subsidies, currency devaluation, and lowering tariffs on natural resources. However, despite the implementation of these programs, economic growth in SSA has been disappointing, and SAP programs earned a negative reputation because of these failures. In this literature review, we discuss studies conducted to analyze these programs. We have suggested further study to explore how these three SAP programs interrupted the economic growth of SSA in the long run, based on open ended discussions with scholars who have researched the history and political economy of the region. Dr. Hasan Ahmed "The Effects of the Structural Adjustment Programs on Economic Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa: A Literature Review" Published in International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (ijtsrd), ISSN: 2456-6470, Volume-6 | Issue-6 , October 2022, URL: https://www.ijtsrd.com/papers/ijtsrd51924.pdf Paper URL: https://www.ijtsrd.com/economics/international-economics/51924/the-effects-of-the-structural-adjustment-programs-on-economic-growth-in-subsaharan-africa-a-literature-review/dr-hasan-ahmed
Rebounding from the Crisis: Strategies for Economic Recovery in the Post-COVI...AJHSSR Journal
ABSTRACT : The COVID-19 pandemic has had a significant impact on the global economy and has resulted
in widespread economic instability and uncertainty. This paper aims to analyze the strategies that governments,
businesses, and communities can employ to support economic recovery in the post-COVID-19 world. The study
includes an evaluation of government-led recovery efforts, the role of the private sector, and innovative
solutions for small and medium-sized businesses. The paper also explores the potential of green and sustainable
economic recovery and the challenges that need to be addressed to support a robust rebound from the crisis. The
study also provides case studies of successful economic recovery and recommendations for future
considerations. The findings of this research contribute to a better understanding of the strategies that can
support economic recovery in the post-COVID-19 world and inform policymakers, businesses, and communities
about the path forward.
Keywords: economic recovery, COVID-19, post-pandemic, government efforts, private sector, small and
medium-sized businesses, green recovery, challenges, case studies, future considerations, recommendations.
JEL Codes: H12 , H13
Whatís an Emerging Market Economy? Essay
business economics Essay
The Role of Business in the Economy
Inflation and the Economy Essay
Germany and its Economy Essays
The Global Economy Essay
Economy Essays
Macroeconomic Outlook of U.S. Economy Essay
Economic Growth Essay
Essay about U.S. Economy
Essay On The Economy
Free Market Economy Essay
Economic Systems Essay
State of Economy Essay
Impact Of Globalization On The Economy Essay
U.K. Economy Essay
Macroeconomics Essay
What is Economics? Essay
Relationship Marketing Strategies in Banking Sector: A ReviewIJBBR
The paper is review of relationship marketing strategies prevalent in Banking Sector. In this era of mature and intense competitive pressures, it is imperative that banks maintain a loyal customer base. Nowadays, banks realize the importance ofRelationship Marketing. Relationship marketing offers benefits to the banks,
customers as wellas employees of the organization. Relationship Marketing gives the banks way to developmutually beneficial and valuable long term relationships. These long term relationships are further helping banks in reducing operating cost and attracting new customers.
TWO WAY FIXED EFFECT OF PRIORITY SECTOR LENDING (SECTOR WISE) ON NON PERFORMI...IJBBR
Reserve Bank of India has fixed some targets and sub targets for all commercial banks for PSL (Priority Sector Lending). Priority sector lending refers to that sector of economy which is not getting adequate financial assistance from different financial institutions. Due to Priority sector Lending, Non-performing assets of the banks are increasing day by day. This research paper is an attempt to measure the two way effect of every sector of PSL on NPA for public and private banks. Effect between PSL and NPA is found with the help of E Views Software. The period of study is 2001 to 2013. For the analysis Pooled Regression Model, Panel Regression Model and Two Way Fixed Effect Model is used.
Factors Affecting Satisfaction and Turnover of Information Technology Workers...IJBBR
The current study examined the key factors that influenced the management of knowledge workers in Indian Information Technology sector. This article also ascertained the various practices employed by the employer’s and explored the practices which were highly appreciated by the employees and their impact on the knowledge workers management. The collection of data done through a self-administered questionnaire with the help of convenience sampling. The sample size was 500 knowledge workers from 10 IT
organizations in Delhi/NCR region. The reliability of the questionnaire was determined by the Cronbach’s alpha method and the value for all the variable was greater than 0.7 that acceptable. The analysis of collected data was done through descriptive tests in SPSS and structure equation modelling conducted in AMOS. The results of the study stated that awareness of employer, reward, recognition & growth, work
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1. International Journal of BRIC Business Research (IJBBR) Volume 2, Number 2, November 2013
1
BRICS STRATEGIES 3.0
Chirinos Adriana
School of Management, Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan 430070 P.R, China
ABSTRACT
The last decade has presented a new global economic scenario lead by emerging markets. BRICS
countries (comprised by Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa) have been at the forefront in this
phenomenon. During these years, the real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth of the world (annual
percent change - A% c) averages 3,83. And just BRICS countries reached 6,01 (157,02% more); and
Advanced Economies - not yet recovered since the last financial crisis - reached 1,6 (47,78%). At the
same time - and largely the result of the same phenomenon - many more challenges lie ahead for these
countries which still must maintain their growth and find effective ways of sustainability. To that end, they
should create global innovation networks involving a new model of economy acting as “drivers”. Such
drivers must be conceived understanding global trends. Innovation, vanguard, and adaptation will be key
to new era. The importance of this this investigation is defined, analysis of these points and studies them as
Strategies 3.0 for sustainability and continuous growth.
KEYWORDS
BRICS countries growth, New Challenges, Drivers to Good Life, BRICS Trends, Era 3.0
1.INTRODUCTION
In 2010, the global financial system remained fragile, but economies around the world began
moving toward recovery. Some, especially those in emerging markets, hardly broke stride,
continuing their rapid growth. BRICS Countries are leading the growth of the economy in the
world, and have done so for over 10 years. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) projected that
from 2013 to 2017 it will maintain its growth at least 26% above World Growth GDP. This
information comes from the IMF [1] data base and calculations made by the author.
As emerging market countries gain in stature, new companies are taking center stage. The rise of
these emerging market leaders will constitute one of the fastest-growing global trends of this
decade. These companies or New Emerging – Markets Multinational Corporations (EMNCs) will
continue to be great competitors in their home markets while increasingly making outbound
investments into other emerging and developed economies. This paper will describe the main
winning strategies used by these companies to succeed.
To make matters challenging, innovation and ingenuity cannot be stopped. Era 3.0 is fast
approaching! The author of this research refers to the "Age 3.0" or just "3.0" using the term to
refer to the "New Internet" [2], still under development, intangible; refers to an age markedly by:
artificial intelligence, the web semantic, geospatial, sensory and 3D, which promise to affect and
transform all areas of the society we know today. Therefore, the author believes this is the perfect
term or connotation to describe the future.
2. International Journal of BRIC Business Research (IJBBR) Volume 2, Number 2, November 2013
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The changing global landscape, lead mainly by the BRICS countries, opened the doors to new
opportunities and challenges, a consequence of the huge and rapid growth. Some challenges,
which the world are already facing and now are even more present in BRICS countries, for
example: “How can we mend the imbalance created by over-consumption and deliver a positive
legacy for the future? Business models that embrace a system based on consumption alone are
obsolete.” [3]. Fortunately, we are starting to see a subtle shift in culture, a move towards a more
transparent, sustainable and, most importantly, meaningful model where people actively consider
how to achieve the Good Life. It is, therefore, hardly surprising that people now call for
companies to demonstrate that they really do care and demand these attributes in everything from
government policies to products and services.
I do believe that in order to develop a more sustainable future the equation that represents the new
model as: “driver” should be:
PLANET+ PEOPLE+ OPORTUNITY+ MOTIVATION + PROFIT = GOOD LIFE
These factors should be the “drivers” in order to face new challenges and in order to healthily
coexist while at the same time enabling us to be responsible towards the environment and all
communities, avoiding thereby the chaos that the culture of constant consumption could easily
bring about upon the Earth.
The BRICS countries should use these factors as "drivers" in order to face global trends. These
factors can be applied globally in some cases but all of them are specifically apply to Emerging
Powers. It is important to mention that these are long-term strategies which are currently taking
shape (Strategies 3.0).
This paper: (i) analyzes and describes growth in BRICS countries and the main winning strategies
used by NMCs to succeed, (ii) explains reasons that support as well as define “new drivers–
equation 3.0” (iii) explains global trends that affect BRICS countries “trends 3.0.,” and finally
offers some conclusions. All the data comes from Official Institutions, also includes research
about recent trends in different topics, as well as own experience; corporate work, and talent
mobility and research done by the author about BRICS countries.
2. GROWTH IN BRICS COUNTRIES
The Figure 1, shows the argument that as introduces the research and salient facts may be
mentioned; (i) 2003 and 2004, emerging economies (BRICS) began a significant consolidated
period of growth (and were already doing so), during these two years, their GDP increased from
5,64 to 7,04 (ii) 2008 (September), the outbreak of the global crisis obviously affects everyone.
BRICS fell in 2009 to 1,1 (fall but remain in positive), the world economy: -0,6 and Developing
Economies: -3,5 (iii) After the global crisis, very slow recovery in developed economies and
promising trend showing the BRICS economies. This graph (figure 1), also evidenced the
situation and positioning: BRICS, Advanced Economies and World, from 1991 (since all these
countries have data) to 2017, from 2013 to 2017 are projections.
3. International Journal of BRIC Business Research (IJBBR) Volume 2, Number 2, November 2013
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Figure 1. Real GDP Growth (Annual percent change) 1991 to 2017
Considering information about the last 10 years (2003- 2012), the position and growth average for
each BRICS country (including the world as well) is: China: 10,45%, India: 7,76%, Russia:
4,73%, world: 3,83%, Brazil: 3,67% and South Africa: 3,46%. All of them have correlated
well with the “world” result, except China, with a strong first place position, followed by India
(See Figure 2).
Figure 2. Real GDP Growth BRICS Countries (Annual percent change) 2003- 2012
However, fast growth in economies with a background of instability might not be sustainable.
From a statistical point of view, when deciding whether measurements agree with a theoretical
prediction, the standard deviation of those measurements is of crucial importance: if the mean of
the measurements is too far away from the prediction, then the theory being tested probably needs
to be revised [4]. The following comparison was also done for these economies. (See Figure 3):
2003:5,64
2004:7,04
-3,5
B: 1,1
W:-0,6
4. International Journal of BRIC Business Research (IJBBR) Volume 2, Number 2, November 2013
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Figure 3. Market Instability (Mean Vs. Standard Deviation) 2003- 2012
From these results it can be determined which country seems to have higher or lower levels of
uncertainty. From higher to lower, the order is the following China and India (far away from the
rest), then, South Africa, Brazil, and Russia. Almost the same positioning reached in its
growth.
The new global economic scenario has changed phenomenally in the last decades. Securing a
sustained growth in the coming years will be crucial in reducing the level of uncertainty for these
countries; therefore, it becomes necessary to implement adequate strategies.
2.1. Major players
Regarding growth in BRICS countries as key players in the above-mentioned phenomenon, we
find that the growth of the EMNCs has been remarkable. In 2005, there were only 44 of them on
the Fortune’s List of the TOP Global 500 firms. In 2010, there were 113 of such companies [5].
Many of these multinational companies work with natural resources and also with new brands
which have names such as: Lenovo (China), Mahindra & Mahindra (India), Natura (Brazil), Tata
Motors and Tata Global Beverages (India), etc. The aforementioned companies are soon
becoming strong competitors.
Without a doubt, they applied different strategies, innovated, adapted and succeeded in a time
when the global economy required changes and the developed countries of the world were still
very pressed and contracted by the latest financial crisis and did so from countries where a
volatile economy and political/social uncertainty is an everyday factor.
It is worth mentioning that they used winning strategies and made them perform to the same level
of the global firms that until recently had dominated the market. Four types of strategies defined
by [6]; two of them are of the more traditional type and the other ones are new. Four strategies in
order to develop and deploy an amazing amount of growth and expansion, as well show Table 1,
whose source is the same reference.
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Table 1. New Emerging – Market Multinational Corporations (NMCs) Strategies
Consumer Segments and International Expansion
StrategicCompetency
Focus on Similar Emerging
Markets (Speedy, Easy,
Short Term)
Focus on Dissimilar
Developed Markets
(Slow, Dificult, Long
Term)
Mechanistic Extension Knowledge Leverager Cost Leader
*Leverage existing resources *Mastery of narrow capability,
e.g; making rugged and durable
products
*Leverage local low-cost
human resources
*Scale and cost as main
competency
*Ability to identify markets where
they can win
*Relentless and continuous
focus on cost, e.g; through
scale
*Relentless focus on cost
cutting
*Knowledge of poor customers *Develop and combine with
firm-specific asseets, e.g;
process capability , to create
novel process or business
models
*Mastery over a narrow but
extendable technology
*Manage businesses in volatile
economies, with poor
infrastructure and lees
transparent regime
*E.g Chigo, Infosys, Mahindra
Tractors, Midea, Temsa
*Ability to identify similar
customers
* E.g; Asia Paints, Aramex, Savola
Foods
Dynamic Evolution Niche Customizer Global Brand Builder
*Focused innovation *Lower-cost ability to customize *Focused Innovation Oriented
*R&D capability acquisition *Self-owned, therefore more
flexible manufacturing facilities
*Lower manufacturing costs
(like the cost leaders)
*Customer insight generation
capability
*Lower-cost "frugal innovation"
R&D abilities
*Additional weapon of lower-
cost home-based R&D
*Competencies in leveraging
customer insights
*E.g; Dabur, Marico, Mavi, Mitac *Higher investments in R&D,
but at same time more
focused
*E.g; Haier, HTC, Lenovo, LG
2.1.1. Cost Leaders
Leverage existing low-cost structures and large-scale volumes to extend their reach into
developed markets.
2.1.2. Knowledge Leveragers
Tap their existing resources and knowledge of home consumers and the market to build branded
businesses in other emerging markets.
2.1.3. Niche Customizers
Combine their cost advantages in manufacturing with newly developed low-cost R&D
capabilities to develop customized niche-segment branded offerings in other emerging markets.
2.1.4. Global Brand Builders
Use their low-cost manufacturing and R&D capabilities to build branded businesses in developed
markets—but limit their focus to specific products and segments through a process of focused
innovation.
6. International Journal of BRIC Business Research (IJBBR) Volume 2, Number 2, November 2013
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Many emerging market leaders have developed in markets with “institutional voids,” where
support systems such as retail distribution channels, reliable transportation, telecommunication
systems and adequate water supply simply do not exist. As a result, these companies possess a
more innovative and entrepreneurial culture, and have developed greater flexibility to meet the
demands of their local and “bottom-of-the-pyramid” customers [7].
They must now - as if it were a small matter - make use of: "Genius and Vanguard" again to face
3.0., where the BRICS Economies should use their innovative ways of doing things in order to
make them better than the developed economies did in its moments the major growing.
Avoid past mistakes, facing new challenges and a new society, as well as understanding new
drivers and trends will be the key to attaining sustainability. To gain that, the synergy between
companies, government, society and industry must be key and it may happen in ways we could
not have imagined just a few years ago.
3. NEW DRIVERS – EQUATION 3.0
Since the Industrial Revolution, we have been urbanizing at an exponential rate. Only 150 years
ago, we consumed 26 times less than we do today. We have now reached a negative tipping point,
where unsustainable lifestyle patterns are impacting and affecting us locally and globally. As,
Diane Coyle [8] says: “Many would argue that our relentless pursuit of higher economic growth,
indicated through GDP statistics, is at the heart of our current dire circumstances.”
3.1. BRICS Well-being
The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) [9] has a Framework for
Measuring Well-being and Progress. It is based on the recommendations made in 2009 by the
Commission for the Measurement of Economic Performance and Social Progress. The
aforementioned recommendations emerge because in recent years concerns have arisen regarding
the fact that macro-economic statistics such as GDP did not portray the right image of what
ordinary people perceived about the state of their own socioeconomic conditions. While these
concerns were already evident during the years of strong growth and “good” economic
performance that characterized the early part of the decade, the financial and economic crisis of
the past few years has amplified them further. Addressing such perceptions of the citizens is of
crucial importance for the credibility and accountability of public policies.
They also defined “Progress.” The progress of society is about improvement of the well-being of
people and households. Assessing such progress requires not only looking at the functioning of
the system of economy, but also looking at the diverse experiences and living conditions of
people. Figure 4, whose source is the same organization, shows us the composition “Individual
Well-being (quality of life and material conditions)” and remains a cycle through different types
of capital “Sustainability of Well-being over Time”.
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Figure 4. OECD Framework for measuring Well – Being and Progress
Notably, of the five (5) BRICS countries, only two (2) have data in the database of the OECD:
Brazil and Russia, even though they are not members of the same. This data comprise eleven (11)
categories and each has from two to three (2-3) variables that describe: Housing (Dwellings
without basic facilities, Housing expenditure, Rooms per person), Income (Household net
adjusted disposable income, Household net financial wealth), Jobs (Employment rate, Job
security, Long-term unemployment rate, Personal earnings), Community (Quality of support
network), Education (Educational attainment, Student skills, Years in education), Environment
(Air pollution, Water quality), Civic engagement (Consultation on rule-making, Voter turnout),
Health (Life expectancy, Self-reported), Life Satisfaction (Life Satisfaction), Safety and Work-
Life Balance (Assault rate, Homicide rate), Work-Life Balance (Employees working very long
hours, Time devoted to leisure and personal care) for a total of twenty-four (24) variables. The
five (5) first results and/or opportunities with major gaps found, after comparing each of these
countries (Brazil and Russian) against the average of the member countries of the organization,
can be seen in Figure 5.
8. International Journal of BRIC Business Research (IJBBR) Volume 2, Number 2, November 2013
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Figure 5. Brazil and Russian TOP 5 Highest Gap Vs. Avg. OECD Countries
For Brazil the first five (5) major gaps are in the categories: Safety (Homicide and Assault rate),
Housing (Dwellings without basic facilities), Income (Household net financial wealth) and Job
(Personal earnings) and for Russia are within: Safety (Homicide), Civic engagement
(Consultation on rule-making), Income (Household net financial wealth), Housing (Housing
expenditure) and Health (Self-reported health). It is important to mention that the most important
gaps for both are in the "Safety" category and the variable is "Homicide Rates."
For other BRICS countries, we do not have the information to identify the opportunities related to
well-being concerns, but we make an analysis of some of the most common indicators in order to
determine some level of satisfaction in society for each country, as follows:
The following is an analysis for each country [10]: (i) distribution of income, reflected in the
percentage of shares of income or consumption accruing to portions of the population and ranked
by levels (deciles in this paper): highest (more income); lowest (less or no income). (ii) The Gini
Index-Lorenz Curve, which represents the distribution of income within a community, plotted
with a Lorenz curve, where “0” means perfect equality, and “100” implies perfect inequality. (iii)
Poverty; considering the percentage of the population living on less than $2,00 (which covers the
$1,25 a day at 2005 international prices). This information comes from World Bank data base and
calculations made by the author [11].
3.1.1. Brazil
The only South American member of the Group, with a population of 196,7 million in 2011 (last
year published). There has been some improvement in the incomes distribution, as well, growth
of the economy. Considering data from 1990 to 2009; the 20% highest of the population (people
with more incomes) controlled: Averages 62,24% of incomes while 20% lowest just 2,38%. The
highest deciles (10-20%) have been going down and the lowest (20%) have been going slightly
up. More people are joining the middle class. Concerning poverty, it has consistently improved,
however moderately; nevertheless, by 2009 they have 10.8% of its population living in poverty.
That means a total of 21,2 millions of people. The Gini Index has descended to 6,35 in the same
period of time. This country shows the best results in terms of proportion of improvement.
3.1.2. China
The Asian giant has recently given so much to talk about in terms of growth, with a population of
1.344,1 million. Contrary to economic growth, not so well results exposed, with data from 1990 –
2005 (last available), the 20% Highest of the population control: Avg. 45%, while 20% lowest
just 6,58%. Overall, it looks like the lowest 10%-20% of the population is poorer, and the highest
10%-20% just descended somewhat. The Gini index jumped by 10,5 in the same period.
Regarding poverty (one additional year of data - 2009), it is clear that there has been a descent
9. International Journal of BRIC Business Research (IJBBR) Volume 2, Number 2, November 2013
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(2,6%), in this country it is equal to aprox. 34,8 millions of people. However, by the last year
available it shows 27,2% of its population living in poverty. That means 365,6 millions of people
(almost two Brazil).
3.1.3. India
Another Asian populated giant. It shows a huge growth and a population of 1.241,5 millions of
people. Concerning income distribution: data of: 1994 and 2005 (years available); the proportion
is: 20% Highest: Avg. 41,25% and 20% lowest: just 8,8%. There are no significant changes
during the time, except that the highest 10-20% of the population (wealthy people) has been
receiving more income. The Gini index jumped to 2,56. Poverty levels have improved (based on
one more year of data -2010). However, by the year 2010 it had an amazing 68,72% of its
population living in poverty. That means 853,2 millions of people (more than China, which has
more population).
3.1.4. Russia
The largest country in the world, with a population of 143 million. Its income distribution, from
1993 to 2009: The highest 20% control Avg. 47,07% of incomes, while 20% lowest 5,96%. In
this economy, each decile is closer to each other. The Gini Index descended: 8,27 points. Poverty
has decreased. By 2009 the result for “$1,25 a day” is: 0% and “$2 a day” is: 0,1%. That means
142,9 thousand people. They show the best result in terms of “absolute numbers” in the BRICS
countries.
3.1.5. South Africa:
The newest member of the BRICS group and a country representative of Africa. It had a
population of 50,6 million in 2011. Considering data from 1993 to 2009 (last year available), the
gap between the highest levels (10-20%) and the rest of the population (48,67 points) is
disturbing. Here the proportion is: 20% Highest: 65,85% and 20% Lowest: 2.95%. In terms of
poverty, it can be said that it has decreased but not significantly. During sixteen (16) years: 9,7
points. That means that by 2009, approximately 15,8 million of its people (31,3%) still live in
poverty.
As a group, considering the last 10 years, the GDP average growth of the BRICS countries is
6,0% and the world´s is 3,83%. Meanwhile, for all of them, the highest concentration of income is
controlled by a few people. The highest 20% of the population controlled 52,3% of the income
and the lowest 20% controlled just 5,3%. The Gini Index Average is 46, and 41,9% of the
population is living in poverty, that is means: 1.255,9 millions of people (approximately 18% of
the population of the world).
3.2. Drivers 3.0
It is appropriate at this point to remember that the middle class in the BRICS countries has grown
and continues to grow at a surprisingly high rate, even to the point that it is stated. “By 2025 as
many as 50% of the world’s population will have joined the so-called consuming classes and
annual consumption in rising economies may hit $30 trillion, the biggest growth opportunity in
the history of capitalism” [12]. Such a claim, it is positive because based on the fact that many
people are being incorporated into a better lifestyle and more opportunities but carefulness,
nowadays (more than ever) based on: common sense, ethics, recent collapses in the economy, the
obvious damage to the environment, and the constant concern for the legacy to the new
generations. We must look to do things differently and in order to avoid falling into the
temptation of adopting unsustainable patterns of life.
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I do believe that in order to develop a more sustainable future, the following equation should
drive the trends for the next era, the Era 3.0:
PLANET+ PEOPLE+ OPORTUNITY+ MOTIVATION + PROFIT = GOOD LIFE
We need a planet to live in, and the planet needs to be inhabited by people who respect it. People
need to have access to opportunities, and thereby gain the motivation to find their benefits. We
should be a positive change for the future and the more effective way is gain Good Life.
4. BRICS TRENDS 3.0
Global economies are so tightly interconnected that companies, governments and industries will
soon be forced to cooperate in ways we could not have imagined just a few years ago.
The BRICS countries should use this equation as "drivers" to cope with present trends of all kinds
(socio-economic, business, and technological) and to cope with those trends that are to come or
that will be accentuated. Some cases apply globally but all of them apply specifically to all
BRICS countries. The above-mentioned strategies are full of technology and/or innovative
concepts that function well, and they are certainly part of the strategies for long-term
development that must be adhered to in order to ensure continued growth and sustainability for
the emerging economies.
4.1. Public-Private synergy
Public and private synergy should be even more crucial in the future. Emerging market countries
need to boost social spending on pensions, health care and infrastructure, they also need to
improve the effectiveness of their tax administration, as well as invest in telecommunications,
transportation, education and housing. Public-private partnerships (PPPs) are likely to become
important investment vehicles in these markets [7].
Also mentioned in [13], Public-Private Synergy: Making the Best of Both Worlds. Around the
world, citizens are demanding that governments manage their tax revenue with efficiency and
thrift. Some government leaders have come to believe that a greater reliance on the private sector
is the remedy for the inefficiency in the public sphere. Others support sticking with the status quo,
pointing to boom-and-bust cycles and other evidence of the private sector’s recklessness. Neither
option is satisfactory. It is necessary to transcend this conflict by combining the best of both
worlds; this concept of synergy implies more than a PPP. When working in synergy, the
government entity contracts with a private supplier to deliver specified services, such as
transportation or water, under highly regulated conditions. Separating the executive function from
the operational entity improves governance and operational outcomes by letting each sector play
to its own strengths. The operational dynamism and efficiency of the private sector is combined
with the steadiness and social focus of the government. Roles are clearly divided: strategic
decision-making, executive control and pricing are government functions, while operations and
service delivery are handled by the private contractor. The government retains final
responsibility, acting as a controlling shareholder, similar to a holding company that monitors the
performance of businesses entrusted with delivery of specific services. In emerging markets,
public-private synergy brings in advanced expertise without risking a governmental loss of
control over how the technology is used. At the same time, the fact that operations are executed
by a profit-driven private entity circumvents the issues that might arise from possible government
inefficiencies.
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4.2. New Middle Class
Over the next 15 years, just 440 emerging market cities will generate nearly half of the global
GDP growth and 40% of the global consumption growth [12]. In a recent report called
Macroeconomic Foresights, The Futures Company said that: “In developed markets, consumers
feel threatened by the loss of status in declining economies. In emerging markets, consumers feel
threatened by a relentless push into an unknown future because of rapidly growing economies. In
both cases, consumers want reassurance, guidance and encouragement.” Either way is a good
sign that many people are enjoying better standards of living, but it also brings forth a new
society, more informed, with other demands, desires and expectations to be met.
4.3. Greener Life
A global P&G consumer survey [14] bears this out, showing that currently 70% of people want to
live a greener life but they don’t want to be penalized. The initiative [15], explore the impact of
the downturn on people management, The different options and scenarios open to companies will
play out during this time of great change. They outline three possible worlds or business models
which will coexist in the future. They show three fictitious companies as they look back from
2020. These are: (i) Green World scenario: demands for greater transparency and social
responsibility in business have been magnified by the crisis and combine with the call for
environmental responsibility already present in the green agenda. (ii) Blue World scenario:
increased focus on hard metrics to measure performance and productivity as companies look at a
long-term reality of having to do more with less. (iii) Orange World scenario: the opportunity for
radical new ways of working, taking the concept of workforce outsourcing and globalization to an
extreme model portfolio where people organize their work lives as individual businesses in a
highly networked world. Figure 5 shows us details of these three possible worlds or business
models. What should leadership companies in BRICS countries do? In which companies do
capable leaders want to work? The trend says that the first
Figure 6. 2020: Where three worlds co-exist
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4.4. Demographic shifts transform the global workforce
Is the number of workers actually shrinking? [7]. A “demographic divide” will soon arise
between countries with skilled young workers and those that face an aging, shrinking workforce.
The war for talent will become increasingly acute in certain sectors, especially in areas which
require high skill levels and more education. It is important to mention that 65% of the companies
around the globe are having problems sourcing critical-skills talent. The problem is markedly
acute in fast-growth markets. Why can’t companies find the right talent despite the growing ranks
of college-educated workers and the high unemployment rate in some of the best-educated
markets? Part of the answer has to do with the rising of the skill level needed in the evolving
global economy; another element is the failure of the educational systems to produce an adequate
base of talent to meet these changing needs. Although educational access is growing worldwide,
not enough students graduate with the skills desired by global employers. And also cross-border
migration has grown 42% in the last decade, from 150 million to 214 million, with most of the
traffic directed toward OECD countries. Dramatic growth of emerging market countries is also
beginning to change migration patterns. Although developed markets are still a top choice for
working immigrants, we are increasingly seeing reverse migration as well. According to the
World Economic Forum, “The return migration of highly skilled workers to their home countries
is a growing trend for emerging countries.” “Generation U” and women fill the skills gap and
create a new focus on broader segments of the talent pool.
Desperate for workers, many companies will become more accepting of a diversity of employees,
particularly older workers and women. The leading US advocacy group for retired people, the
AARP, believes that 80% of baby boomers will keep working full or part-time past their current
retirement age. The Pew Research Center predicts that Generation U (unretired) workers will fuel
93% of the growth in the US labor market through 2016. Employees should gain more bargaining
power. Over the past 20 or 30 years, the bond between company and employee has weakened,
even in corporate cultures where loyalty was once prized. But now, as the market turns, skilled
employees should benefit. They will want a better understanding of their employment options and
a greater say in how work is assigned, assessed, and rewarded. The employer will no longer
define the workplace; rather, employees’ priorities and preferences will dictate what the
workplace of the future will look like, particularly now that technology makes it easier than ever
to design a variety of flexible arrangements. Companies operating in aging societies will have to
craft methods to engage or re-engage the experienced base of talent. Companies that fail to
respond to this change and do not succeed in redefining their employee value proposition will fail
to attract, retain, or develop talent effectively.
4.5. Female Factor and Social Capital
The Female Factor should induce and influence a fresh approach to collaboration and creating
value. At the same time, business in general is recognizing the twenty-first-century’s imperative
to maintain a social capital focus. Research was [16] conducted in 2011 of 7.280 leaders (of the
most successful and progressive organizations in the world both public and private, government
and commercial, domestic and international) and it tested how strong he or she were on the 16
competencies that are most important to overall leadership effectiveness. The research asked, for
instance, how good a leader was at taking the initiative, developing others, inspiring, motivating,
and pursuing their own development. Table 2, shows the results. As leaders in organizations look
hard to find the talent they need to achieve exceptional results, they ought to be aware that many
women have impressive leadership skills. According to [17], “closing the gender gap can drive
long-term economic growth - pushing income per capita 14 % higher than baseline projections by
2020, and as much as 20 % higher by 2030.” Nurturing a balanced gender culture to inspire the
best in people in terms of contribution, innovation and loyalty, while ensuring optimal conditions
for their individual happiness, is vital to the future success of our society.
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Table 2. The Top 16 Competencies Top Leaders Exemplify Most
Competencies Male
Mean
Percentile
Female
Mean
Percentile
T Value
Takes Initiative 48 56 -11,58
Practices Self-Development 48 55 -9,45
Displays High integrity and Honesty 48 55 -9,48
Drivers for Results 48 54 -8,84
Develops Others 48 54 -7,94
Inspires and Morivates Others 49 54 -7,53
Builds Relationships 49 54 -7,15
Collaboration and Teamwork 49 53 -6,14
Establishes Stretch Goals 49 53 -5,41
Champions Change 49 53 -4,48
Solves Problems and Analyzes Issues 50 52 -2,53
Communicates Powerfully and Prolifically 50 52 -2,47
Connects the Group to the Outside World 50 51 -0,78
Innovates 50 51 -0,76
Technical or Professional Expertise 50 51 -0,11
Develops Strategic Perspective 51 49 2,79
4.6. Global Citizens, Talent Mobility (More Inter-Cultural Exchange)
There is no information about the world that can stay safe for long because the best carriers of
information, life experiences, etc. (people) are now global. Global Citizens use new technologies
as a means to establish personal interest groups and to explore fresh ideas. Flexible, open-minded
and attracted to diversity, they seek enhanced interaction and multi-layered experiences with
technology as the key enabler of cultural exchange, social networks and brand engagement. The
best and brightest talent is prepared to follow their own agenda and opportunities wherever they
may be, irrespective of who is offering them. Future migration is not only influenced by
traditional pull factors, such as job opportunities and wage levels, but also by the desire for
personal development and improved cultural and political conditions alongside the provision of a
“higher level of service” [18], that is mean good life.
This is a reality. Emphasis will be placed on access over ownership, as they prefer facilitation
over “more stuff.” Younger Global Citizens are particularly attuned to sustainability issues and
expect goods to be produced and delivered responsibly. The business world is in the midst of
fundamental change, and in 2020 and beyond, the ability of organizations to manage their global
talent efficiently will mark the difference between success and failure. It’s a world where the
strongest and most sustainable supply of talent is in the East, rather than the West. Talent
management will become a key strategic tool which places great management responsibility.
4.7. Good Life
Good Life. "Good Life" is not just a cliché, today there are a host of initiatives, offices,
organizations, and public and private institutions promoting balance in the life of the individual
and providing a real catalyst in order to achieve more and better results in business life, school,
family and society as a whole. Although many economists and politicians still view continuous
and rapid growth as the only model going forward, in a better world scenario, clean tech and
conscious consumption sit alongside transparency as a core business strategy for long-term
growth. This resonates with the Study [19], which shows that 87% of the global consumers want
businesses to place at least equal weight on society’s interests as on business’ interests. In the
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same survey, less than a third believe current businesses are addressing societal issues, making
this a key differentiator for successful businesses of the future. Economic growth does not
necessarily indicate more life satisfaction or, at the very least, it is not the only thing we should be
measuring. “Happinomics” is flourishing, as many corporations have realized that they can
achieve success and change behaviors by encouraging employees to adopt a mindful approach to
work and life in general. Harvard Business School’s course on positive psychology as the
catalyst for change is now oversubscribed and is informing a new generation of business leaders
[3]. New business concepts, such as financial coaching and “energy makeovers” are just the tip of
the iceberg when it comes to delivering Good Life propositions and experiences that engage
people in self-improvement and in building the future society they want to see.
4.8. Managing the Business
Vanguard and revised management strategies are needed in organizations 3.0 in BRICS countries
4.8.1. Urban growth cluster
BRICS countries have deployed their national development plans by clusters, mindful of
understanding the complexity, low viability and slowness of results that might just do it for the
whole country. Business strategy must also be considered in these countries, while taking into
account the diversity of consumer preferences, the purchasing power, and the market conditions
that can be found within the same region by ethnic group.
4.8.2. Predicting Demand
Timing and geographic matters play a fundamental role in matters of competing for the Emerging
Markets. Demand for a particular product or category of product typically follows an S-curve
[12], there is a “hot zone” where costumers have enough money to buy a product and a “chill-out
zone” in which demand eases. Predicting when and where customers will move into the hot zone
also requires understanding of technological, demographic, cultural, geographical and regulatory
trends as well as comprehensive knowledge of local distribution networks.
4.8.3. Designing an Ultra Segmentation Strategy
Proper use of the benefits of good technology could help users perform segmentation based on
their behavior. Needless to say, deciding how and how much to cater to local preferences requires
a deep understanding of customer demographics, preferences, and behavior within the target
segments in order to reach them with a dynamic message which can be adapted to suit real-time
customer behavior well, and which can offer what most would be interested in at the right time. It
is also important how consumers encounter managing products at the point of sale. For instance,
almost a quarter of the Chinese consumers that were surveyed said that in-store promoters and
salespeople greatly influence their decisions [20].
4.8.4. Innovative to deliver value across the price spectrum
Whether a company sells basic product or service to challenge low-cost local players or seeks to
entice consumers to adopt new products and services comparable to global offerings, competing
effectively often requires innovating and localizing.
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4.8.5. Built brands thought Total Transparency and Trust
Information flies and is everywhere (in value or not), people now more than ever prefer the truth
and you can only get their attention or get their engagement if they feel confident. It is important
to earn this attention and engagement continuously through openness, consistent performance,
and total transparency. Research [21] has shown that the more transparent you are, the more
people are willing to forgive if mistakes should happen.
4.8.6. Organize today for the markets of tomorrow
The competition which awaits the New Multinationals (from BRICS Countries) is fierce. There is
not a single global company that has not placed these emerging powers within radar. They
represent a portion of their investments in the coming years. Both local and global emerging
markets coexist; they cannot rely on their past successes because selling today is as important as
planning for tomorrow. Strategic planning, risk management, talent development, and operating
efficiency is not to be left for later. Plan, Innovate, or Disappear.
4.8.7. Handling Emerging-Market Talent
BRICS growth was very rapid, and difficulty in acquiring qualified talent today is one of the most
serious flaws and threats to be overcome. Unskilled workers may be plentiful in emerging
societies, but skilled managers are scarce and hard to retain or they are immigrants working in
developed countries. In China, barely two million local managers have the managerial and
English-language capabilities needed [12]. Emerging Markets should endeavor to multiply the
number of leaders tenfold, while at the same time looking for them locally, and/or deploying
plans to motivate the return of some of them. The strategies of emerging markets need careful
study, and they depend on each case; however, increasing salaries is, at best, a partial solution.
They must develop clear value proposals (an employer brand).
4.8.8. Key stakeholders
In government, civil society, and the local media, etc., managing these relationships can
effectively have an impact on a company’s market access, on its ability to engage in mergers or
acquisitions activity, and on the broadening of its reputation
4.9. Technology Trends
Smart Technology and hyper connectivity means that we can control all aspects of our lives like
never before and this is fundamentally reshaping the way society is operating. There isn’t any
area of life today that is not affected by ICT (Information and communications technology).
These trends are classified as: socio-economic, technological per se, and business-related. Many
technology trends are not necessarily just for the single-user-sector. The categories are just a way
to group them by functionality, as shows the research [22].
4.9.1. Socio-Economic
Major socio-economic trends which were identified are: the aging population (ICT presents
many opportunities with respect to improvement in the quality of life and health care in this
population), attention deficit disorder (mobility and social networks have increased the available
channels to inform, establish contact and service customers and users, increasing the number of
hits it receives daily), smart cities (the expected increase in the percentage of population living in
cities will facilitate the development of advanced technology solutions to facilitate citizen
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interaction with urban elements), life-logging (the possibilities introduced include technology in
order to collect information about the activity of individuals and in order to analyze this data in
real time, and this will allow the alignment of the supply of products and services),
crowdsourcing (as a way of harnessing the potential of innovation, financing and execution of
tasks and jobs by massive professional communities), the BYOD-Bring Your Own Device-
(employees increasingly use their own computers to work, improving productivity, availability
and response times) and the redefinition of working models (due to the increasing shift in
preferences and motivations of professionals and improvement in performance, sustainability,
capacity, and corporate commitment to foster ICT).
4.9.2. Technology per se
There are a number of technological trends with different degrees of maturity and expected rates
of evolution, among them: Mobile applications, marketplaces and half tablets (organizations
and companies should take advantage of the new types of interaction that these new devices
foster), environmental interfaces human/ computer interaction (HCI) (to facilitate natural and
intuitive interaction between similar devices as between people in real life), Internet of things
(IoT) & context-aware-computing (the exchange of information between physical and virtual
objects over the Internet will generate new services and business models), in-memory
computing (IMC) - storage class memory (SCM) (the new generation memory capacity and cost
is similar to existing storage systems but with similar performance to the RAM), extreme low-
energy servers (servers that require less energy and space occupied by systems that require less
processing) and desktop virtualization (the separation between operating system and physical
device or hardware that runs it facilitates the tasks of the IT departments and facilitate the
deployment of BYOD).
4.9.3. In business
In order to facilitate analysis and understanding of the environment in terms of the business
context, the study groups the main trends of the ICT market in the following categories: Big Data
(proactive and efficient use of information that affects the organization and which is increasingly
dispersed, and which is also growing exponentially in terms of volume, in order to improve the
services offered and customer satisfaction), Mobility (its impact on organizations will be
developed by mobilizing business processes and applications to achieve increased productivity
and reduce direct and indirect costs. It will also increase customer and employee satisfaction;
moreover, it will generate new business models and integration of current mobile devices such as
the central axis), Social Business (understanding how to maximize the potential of mobile
technologies. Social and collaborative approaches will become compulsory jurisdiction for most
organizations seeking to develop the areas of customer relations and marketing), XaaS:
Everything as a service (we will assist in the development of new business models to be used for
purchasing and for consumption technology in which the availability of software and
development services cloud mode applications will be key parts), business improvement
(business processes are increasingly fragmented in terms of its components and their participants,
business improvement will become increasingly more dynamic and processes will require
considerable management capacity and technology investment).
A good example is: Government’s Role in Innovation Growth [7]. Governments will become
increasingly involved in technology, investing in a broad range of applications (from home-grown
innovation incubators to local manufacturing sites that create jobs and manage geopolitical risk).
Cloud Computing. Governments are taking the lead; much like the US did in the development of
the Internet. In China, the Beijing Academy of Science and Technology has built the country’s
largest industrial cloud-computing platform, designed to serve small and medium-sized
17. International Journal of BRIC Business Research (IJBBR) Volume 2, Number 2, November 2013
17
enterprises in government-supported industries, including biotech, pharmaceuticals, new energy
and knowledge-intensive manufacturing. At the same time, governments haven’t forgotten their
regulatory role. As citizens share more personal data on websites such as Facebook, many
governments are considering regulations to protect citizens’ privacy and corporations’ data.
5. CONCLUSIONS
It’s clear that BRICS countries are at the forefront of the GDP growth worldwide, but with
growth come more challenges in all areas, including, among others, the inclusion of millions of
people into the middle class and likewise into the consumer society, which while indeed
necessary, it is also known for its negative effects, one of which is: reaching disproportionate
levels. Here begins one of the greatest ethical dilemmas and concerns that must occupy decision
makers today and that must be adequately handled in order to achieve a better future. As we start
to challenge the belief that personal happiness is dependent on the consumption of stuff, we look
to other models for inspiration on how to restructure a society based on different values.
Whichever way we look at the current landscape, it is clear that the Good Life is the overriding
driver for the future agenda and the social glue that interlinks all the trends. As the trends
described in this paper change the ways in which businesses operate, grow and compete, winners
and losers inevitably will emerge. The winners will be easy to spot. They’ll be the organizations
that constantly monitor broad trends in external environments, embrace technology and look for
talent everywhere, especially among previously neglected segments of the workforce such as
women, minorities and older workers. Everyone has already understood this and is trying to
figure out how clean tech fits into their paths for growth and is also trying to make it an integral
part of their future strategy.
National governments, meanwhile, are seeking ways to meet growth agendas while reducing cost
structures and future debt obligations. As businesses and governments look to the future, they
must think deeply about the opportunities and risks presented by the evolving trends, and the
driving forces behind them. With a different mindset, they can re-imagine what is possible,
discover new ways to do things, and discover how best to do it. Those that succeed may find
themselves not just navigating tomorrow’s global trends, but actually shaping them.
Governments, companies, and individuals play an active role in determining the direction of
society through their actions and business sense. Governments and companies which pioneer this
approach are already seeing huge benefits and this is influencing how we do business as well as
shaping policy in fresh ways. Put simply, profit has to be calculated in an inclusive manner to
ensure a positive and sustainable outcome and to ensure the rebuilding of people’s trust in
business and government.
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
To my family and my best good friend, near or far physically, always they are with me!
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Author
Venezuelan, Bachelor in Administration, Master in Management in Marketing.
Professional with experience in accountancy, logistics, customer services, sales and
marketing. Have worked with Multinational Companies for more than 10 years (Johnson
& Johnson 10,5 years and 2 years in Procter & Gamble). At present, Ph.D Student at
Wuhan University of Technology (Wuhan-Hubei, China).