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Boosting Consumer Engagement
at PayPal
Sujit Mathew, Goh Yew Yap, Chen Yanhui
PayPal
Two decades ago, our founders invented
payment technology to make buying and
selling faster, safer,
and easier—and put economic power where it
belongs: In the hands of people.
Mass Adoption of
Mobile Devices
Digitization
of Cash
Transformation
of Cards
Fragmentation of
Payment Types,
Technology and
Channels
Rise of Fraud
and Cybercrime
Money is
changing
PayPal is leading the transformation
AT SCALE*
173 Million Customers**
$235 Billion TPV
$8 Billion Revenue
4 Billion Transactions
WITH MOMENTUM
+19 Million Customers Gained in 2014
+26% y/y TPV Growth
+22% y/y Transaction Growth
©2015 PayPal Inc. Confidential and proprietary.
PayPal processed $46 billion
in mobile payment volume in 2014,
up 68% over 2013.
In 2014, 20% of PayPal’s net
Total Payment Volume was
from mobile payments.
Venmo processed
$2.4B in Total Payment
Volume in 2014.
In Q3 2015 Venmo’s Payment
Volume was $2.11 billion – up
201% year over year.
In 2014, PayPal and Venmo combined handled
billions in P2P payment volume globally and
nearly half of that volume was international.
A leader in
person-person payments
Use Case
© 2015 PayPal Inc. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary. 8
“Boost consumer engagement by
recommending merchants and products
to consumers.”
©2015 PayPal Inc. Confidential and
proprietary.
66 Million individual payments
processed for charities via PayPal.
36 Million consumers used
PayPal to make a payment to a
charity.
13% of donations through PayPal
in 2014 were made on a mobile
device.
418,000 charities used PayPal to
accept donations.
$5.7 Billion processed for
charities by PayPal.
65% YoY growth in PayPal’s total
mobile payment value to charities
globally.
Bridging Consumers and Charities
Modeling
Overview
Stack
Graph
Collaborative Filtering
Content Model
Deployment
© 2015 PayPal Inc. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary.
Technology Stack
12
Hadoop / MapReduce
Mahout Pig
Python / Shell
HDFS Cassandra
Titan
Gremlin
Graph Modeling
© 2015 PayPal Inc. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary.
Build Property Graph
Based on P2P transaction data.
14
Discover Communities within P2P
Data
© 2015 PayPal Inc. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary.
Discover Key Influencers
15
Eigenvector Centrality
© 2015 PayPal Inc. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary.
Property Graphs
G = (V , E , λ)
V = vertices
E = Edges
λ = Properties
16
© 2015 PayPal Inc. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary.
Property Graphs
17
User Type
Age
Influence Score
Charity Type
Name
g.V[[type:"Charity"]]
.inE("Donate")
.filter{it.getProperty('Amount') > 25}
.outV.filter{it.getProperty('Influence') >
0.5}
Amount
Recommend
Enrich the graph with Donations and Social data.
Key Interests within
group
Charity
Send
Find all Key influencers who
have donated more than 25
USD to the charity
Collaborative Filtering
© 2015 PayPal Inc. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary.
Collaborative Filtering 101
19
Commerce Interaction Matrix
We want to model the affinity
between consumers and merchants
More transactions occurred,
more confident we believe the relationship
Consumer
nonprofits
Likeness
Matrix
Confidence
Matrix
© 2015 PayPal Inc. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary.
Collaborative Filtering 101
A matrix factorization method
20
Data Fitting Regularization
Merchant
nonprofits
Consumer
Consumer
d
d
© 2015 PayPal Inc. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary.
Alternative Least Square
21
Iteratively update
Fix V and update U:
Fix U and update V:
RegularizationData Fitting
© 2015 PayPal Inc. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary.
Scalable Collaborative Filtering
Improve the scalability of ALS
22
Shard 1 Shard 2 Shard 3Consumer
Merchant
Commerce Interaction Matrix
Mapreduce Job
for Shard 1
Mapreduce Job
for Shard 2
Mapreduce Job
for Shard 3
Stage 1:
Compute the individual
contributions of each rating
Stage 2:
Aggregate all contributions for every
user and update their models in
parallel
Reference: http://www.slideshare.net/jekky_yiqun/scalable-collaborative-filtering-for-commerce-recommendation
Global MapReduce Job for ALS
© 2015 PayPal Inc. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary.
What does CF Learn?
23











 











 






03.05.0
15.09.0
2.11.0
3.001.001.03.12.07.0
VUT
Each vector of U model a consumer
by d implicit attributes
Each vector of V model a merchant
by d implicit attributes
Score = Ui
T . Vj = 1.162
Content Model
© 2015 PayPal Inc. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary.
Data & Feature Dictionary
cust_id
string
age
range
[10:20:30:40:50:]
gender
categorical
[M,F,U]
country
categorical
[NP, IN, CN]
spend
numeric
nonprofits
label
Cust ID Age … Gender
Countr
y
Spend nonprofits
1 28 M NP 10.5 1
2 35 F CN 100 2
3 30 M IN 25.1 1
4 34 F IN 15 3
5 32 M IN 5 4
6 25 F IN 22.5 1
3 30 M IN 12 3
3 30 M IN 1 2
Feature DictionaryDataset
Name
Type
Values
© 2015 PayPal Inc. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary.
Training the model
Data
Source
Featurizer
Business
Logic
Feature
Dictionary
Other
resources
Features Learner Predictive
Models
ML Algorithm
© 2015 PayPal Inc. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary.
Logistic Regression
© 2015 PayPal Inc. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary.
Recurrent Neural Network - LSTM
Source: http://colah.github.io/posts/2015-08-Understanding-LSTMs/
© 2015 PayPal Inc. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary.
Combining the result
Teradata
& HDFS
Interaction
Matrix
Features
CF
Model
Content
Model
Hybrid
Result
CF Engine
Ensemble
…
Deployment
• Emails, Web,
Mobile
Applications
• REST APIsPlatform
• ML ModelsData
Science
© 2015 PayPal Inc. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary.
REST API
The
recommendations will
be stored.
MODEL
The
recommendations
will be generated
and uploaded.
FRONT-END WEB
will query for
recommendations
Recommendations
of respective
customer will be
returned.
Web
Emails
Mobile
Offers
© 2015 PayPal Inc. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary.
Wrap Up
• Approaches to modeling
– Graph Model
– CF Model
– Content Model
• Deployment of models
Thank You
Sujit Mathew, Goh Yew Yap, Chen Yanhui

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Boosting Consumer Engagement at PayPal

  • 1. Boosting Consumer Engagement at PayPal Sujit Mathew, Goh Yew Yap, Chen Yanhui
  • 3. Two decades ago, our founders invented payment technology to make buying and selling faster, safer, and easier—and put economic power where it belongs: In the hands of people.
  • 4. Mass Adoption of Mobile Devices Digitization of Cash Transformation of Cards Fragmentation of Payment Types, Technology and Channels Rise of Fraud and Cybercrime Money is changing
  • 5. PayPal is leading the transformation AT SCALE* 173 Million Customers** $235 Billion TPV $8 Billion Revenue 4 Billion Transactions WITH MOMENTUM +19 Million Customers Gained in 2014 +26% y/y TPV Growth +22% y/y Transaction Growth
  • 6. ©2015 PayPal Inc. Confidential and proprietary. PayPal processed $46 billion in mobile payment volume in 2014, up 68% over 2013. In 2014, 20% of PayPal’s net Total Payment Volume was from mobile payments. Venmo processed $2.4B in Total Payment Volume in 2014. In Q3 2015 Venmo’s Payment Volume was $2.11 billion – up 201% year over year. In 2014, PayPal and Venmo combined handled billions in P2P payment volume globally and nearly half of that volume was international. A leader in person-person payments
  • 8. © 2015 PayPal Inc. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary. 8 “Boost consumer engagement by recommending merchants and products to consumers.”
  • 9. ©2015 PayPal Inc. Confidential and proprietary. 66 Million individual payments processed for charities via PayPal. 36 Million consumers used PayPal to make a payment to a charity. 13% of donations through PayPal in 2014 were made on a mobile device. 418,000 charities used PayPal to accept donations. $5.7 Billion processed for charities by PayPal. 65% YoY growth in PayPal’s total mobile payment value to charities globally. Bridging Consumers and Charities
  • 12. © 2015 PayPal Inc. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary. Technology Stack 12 Hadoop / MapReduce Mahout Pig Python / Shell HDFS Cassandra Titan Gremlin
  • 14. © 2015 PayPal Inc. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary. Build Property Graph Based on P2P transaction data. 14 Discover Communities within P2P Data
  • 15. © 2015 PayPal Inc. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary. Discover Key Influencers 15 Eigenvector Centrality
  • 16. © 2015 PayPal Inc. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary. Property Graphs G = (V , E , λ) V = vertices E = Edges λ = Properties 16
  • 17. © 2015 PayPal Inc. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary. Property Graphs 17 User Type Age Influence Score Charity Type Name g.V[[type:"Charity"]] .inE("Donate") .filter{it.getProperty('Amount') > 25} .outV.filter{it.getProperty('Influence') > 0.5} Amount Recommend Enrich the graph with Donations and Social data. Key Interests within group Charity Send Find all Key influencers who have donated more than 25 USD to the charity
  • 19. © 2015 PayPal Inc. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary. Collaborative Filtering 101 19 Commerce Interaction Matrix We want to model the affinity between consumers and merchants More transactions occurred, more confident we believe the relationship Consumer nonprofits Likeness Matrix Confidence Matrix
  • 20. © 2015 PayPal Inc. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary. Collaborative Filtering 101 A matrix factorization method 20 Data Fitting Regularization Merchant nonprofits Consumer Consumer d d
  • 21. © 2015 PayPal Inc. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary. Alternative Least Square 21 Iteratively update Fix V and update U: Fix U and update V: RegularizationData Fitting
  • 22. © 2015 PayPal Inc. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary. Scalable Collaborative Filtering Improve the scalability of ALS 22 Shard 1 Shard 2 Shard 3Consumer Merchant Commerce Interaction Matrix Mapreduce Job for Shard 1 Mapreduce Job for Shard 2 Mapreduce Job for Shard 3 Stage 1: Compute the individual contributions of each rating Stage 2: Aggregate all contributions for every user and update their models in parallel Reference: http://www.slideshare.net/jekky_yiqun/scalable-collaborative-filtering-for-commerce-recommendation Global MapReduce Job for ALS
  • 23. © 2015 PayPal Inc. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary. What does CF Learn? 23                                 03.05.0 15.09.0 2.11.0 3.001.001.03.12.07.0 VUT Each vector of U model a consumer by d implicit attributes Each vector of V model a merchant by d implicit attributes Score = Ui T . Vj = 1.162
  • 25. © 2015 PayPal Inc. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary. Data & Feature Dictionary cust_id string age range [10:20:30:40:50:] gender categorical [M,F,U] country categorical [NP, IN, CN] spend numeric nonprofits label Cust ID Age … Gender Countr y Spend nonprofits 1 28 M NP 10.5 1 2 35 F CN 100 2 3 30 M IN 25.1 1 4 34 F IN 15 3 5 32 M IN 5 4 6 25 F IN 22.5 1 3 30 M IN 12 3 3 30 M IN 1 2 Feature DictionaryDataset Name Type Values
  • 26. © 2015 PayPal Inc. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary. Training the model Data Source Featurizer Business Logic Feature Dictionary Other resources Features Learner Predictive Models ML Algorithm
  • 27. © 2015 PayPal Inc. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary. Logistic Regression
  • 28. © 2015 PayPal Inc. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary. Recurrent Neural Network - LSTM Source: http://colah.github.io/posts/2015-08-Understanding-LSTMs/
  • 29. © 2015 PayPal Inc. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary. Combining the result Teradata & HDFS Interaction Matrix Features CF Model Content Model Hybrid Result CF Engine Ensemble …
  • 31. • Emails, Web, Mobile Applications • REST APIsPlatform • ML ModelsData Science
  • 32. © 2015 PayPal Inc. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary. REST API The recommendations will be stored. MODEL The recommendations will be generated and uploaded. FRONT-END WEB will query for recommendations Recommendations of respective customer will be returned. Web Emails Mobile Offers
  • 33. © 2015 PayPal Inc. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary. Wrap Up • Approaches to modeling – Graph Model – CF Model – Content Model • Deployment of models
  • 34. Thank You Sujit Mathew, Goh Yew Yap, Chen Yanhui