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Labour Migration in Europe 
Anke Hassel / Bettina Wagner 
Dealing with Low Wage Labour Immigration 
Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung Nordic Office and Arena Idé Conference 
Norra Latin, Stockholm 
14 November 2014
Labour mobility and migration in Europe is a success 
story 
• Strong increase of labour migration 
• Economic assessment positive 
• Further facilitation of labour mobility required and fostered: 
– Recognition of qualification and skills 
– Cross-border pension arrangements and income support 
– Elimination of other barriers for mobility
There is a downside however…. 
• Revision of Posted Workers Directive as a 
response to abuses of the system 
• Social Dumping debates in Belgium/ 
France 
• Anti-migration sentiments in many 
member states 
• Cases of labour exploitation on the 
increase including human trafficking
How can we improve the reality of labour migration without 
falling into the trap of right-wing populism? 
How can modern welfare states cope with high levels of 
inequality within the EU, high levels of labour mobility and 
maintain high social standards?
Immigrants, 2012 (per 1 000 inhabitants)
Kahanec, Martin (2012) : Labor mobility in an enlarged European Union, Discussion Paper series, Forschungsinstitut zur 
Zukunft der Arbeit, No. 6485, p. 40
Kahanec, Martin (2012) : Labor mobility in an enlarged European Union, Discussion Paper series, 
Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit, No. 6485, p. 43
1400000 
1200000 
1000000 
800000 
600000 
400000 
200000 
0 
Figure 1: Number of postings within the European Union (2005-2011) 
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
350 
300 
250 
200 
150 
100 
50 
0 
Figure 1: Postings by Destination Countries 2011 (in 1,000 ) 
from EU 15 
from EU 12 
DE FR BE NL AT IT CH ES UK NO SE LU FI CZ PL PT DK RO HU EL SK IE BG SI LT EE LV MT CY LI IS
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 
IT 
ES 
AT 
NL 
FR 
DE 
BE 
Figure 2: Main destination countries for postings 2007/2011 
(% of all postings) 
2011 
2007
Median gross hourly earnings, all employees (excluding apprentices), 2010 
http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/statistics_explained/index.php/File:Median_gross_hourly_earnings,_all_employees_%28excluding_apprentices%29,_2010_%281%29_YB14_II.png
Median gross hourly earnings, all employees (excluding apprentices), 2010 
Wage differentials are main drivers for intra- 
EU posting of workers 
http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/statistics_explained/index.php/File:Median_gross_hourly_earnings,_all_employees_%28excluding_apprentices%29,_2010_%281%29_YB14_II.png
Explanation for patterns of posted workers (2011) 
UK and Ireland 
– wage differential and differences in unemployment levels 
– unemployment main driving force 
Nordic countries 
– strong negative relationship with posting and trade union density and 
collective bargaining coverage 
Continental countries: 
– Wage differentials is main driving factor (weaker effect than in LME) 
– Collective bargaining coverage decreases posting 
Southern and Eastern Europe: No strong effects found 
Strong wage bargaining institutions diminish the arbitrage 
of wage differentials in Nordic and continental European 
countries
How to build a social Europe in the context of labour mobility and migration? 
• Maintain and strengthen labour market institutions and social standards; 
• Improve the administrative capacities at the level of EU and member 
states for law enforcement; 
• Improve the monitoring of employers because of higher levels of 
vulnerability of migrant workers.
Dealing with low wage labour migration 
Anke Hassel / Bettina Wagner 
Dealing with Low Wage Labour Immigration 
Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung Nordic Office and Arena Idé Conference 
Norra Latin, Stockholm 
14 November 2014
350 
300 
250 
200 
150 
100 
50 
0 
Figure 1: Postings by Destination Countries 2011 (in 1,000 ) 
DE FR BE NL AT IT CH ES UK NO SE LU FI CZ PL PT DK RO HU EL SK IE BG SI LT EE LV MT CY LI IS 
Source: EU Commission (2012). Posting of workers in the European Union and EFTA countries: Report on A1 portable 
documents issued in 2010 and 2011, p. 12. Based on administrative data from EU Member States. 
from EU 15 
from EU 12
Drivers for extensive use of posted workers in Germany 
• Proximity to low wage countries 
• History of labour postings from Eastern Europe 
• Weak regulation of outsourcing 
• Transition agreements on labour mobility 
• Weak labour market institutions (low bargaining coverage, no minimum 
wage) 
80 
70 
60 
50 
40 
30 
20 
10 
0 
France 
United States 
Spain 
Netherlands 
Portugal 
Australia 
New Zealand 
Germany 
Greece 
United… 
Canada 
Average 
Austria 
Ireland 
Italy 
Belgium 
Norway 
Denmark 
Finland 
Sweden 
union density 
100 
80 
60 
40 
20 
0 
collective bargaining coverage 
United States 
New Zealand 
Canada 
United… 
Australia 
Ireland 
Portugal 
Average 
Germany 
Greece 
Norway 
Italy 
Denmark 
Netherlands 
Spain 
Finland 
France 
Sweden 
Belgium 
Austria
Challenges 
• Lack of labour inspectorate 
• Lack of union inclusion of migrant workers 
• Lack of cooperation of migrant workers to prosecute 
• High financial incentives to exploit migrant workers 
• Path of dualization of workforce (i.e. works councils) 
• High demand for migrant labour due to demographic change 
• No sufficient law enforcement and prosecution

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  • 1. Labour Migration in Europe Anke Hassel / Bettina Wagner Dealing with Low Wage Labour Immigration Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung Nordic Office and Arena Idé Conference Norra Latin, Stockholm 14 November 2014
  • 2. Labour mobility and migration in Europe is a success story • Strong increase of labour migration • Economic assessment positive • Further facilitation of labour mobility required and fostered: – Recognition of qualification and skills – Cross-border pension arrangements and income support – Elimination of other barriers for mobility
  • 3. There is a downside however…. • Revision of Posted Workers Directive as a response to abuses of the system • Social Dumping debates in Belgium/ France • Anti-migration sentiments in many member states • Cases of labour exploitation on the increase including human trafficking
  • 4. How can we improve the reality of labour migration without falling into the trap of right-wing populism? How can modern welfare states cope with high levels of inequality within the EU, high levels of labour mobility and maintain high social standards?
  • 5. Immigrants, 2012 (per 1 000 inhabitants)
  • 6. Kahanec, Martin (2012) : Labor mobility in an enlarged European Union, Discussion Paper series, Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit, No. 6485, p. 40
  • 7. Kahanec, Martin (2012) : Labor mobility in an enlarged European Union, Discussion Paper series, Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit, No. 6485, p. 43
  • 8. 1400000 1200000 1000000 800000 600000 400000 200000 0 Figure 1: Number of postings within the European Union (2005-2011) 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
  • 9. 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 Figure 1: Postings by Destination Countries 2011 (in 1,000 ) from EU 15 from EU 12 DE FR BE NL AT IT CH ES UK NO SE LU FI CZ PL PT DK RO HU EL SK IE BG SI LT EE LV MT CY LI IS
  • 10. 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 IT ES AT NL FR DE BE Figure 2: Main destination countries for postings 2007/2011 (% of all postings) 2011 2007
  • 11. Median gross hourly earnings, all employees (excluding apprentices), 2010 http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/statistics_explained/index.php/File:Median_gross_hourly_earnings,_all_employees_%28excluding_apprentices%29,_2010_%281%29_YB14_II.png
  • 12. Median gross hourly earnings, all employees (excluding apprentices), 2010 Wage differentials are main drivers for intra- EU posting of workers http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/statistics_explained/index.php/File:Median_gross_hourly_earnings,_all_employees_%28excluding_apprentices%29,_2010_%281%29_YB14_II.png
  • 13. Explanation for patterns of posted workers (2011) UK and Ireland – wage differential and differences in unemployment levels – unemployment main driving force Nordic countries – strong negative relationship with posting and trade union density and collective bargaining coverage Continental countries: – Wage differentials is main driving factor (weaker effect than in LME) – Collective bargaining coverage decreases posting Southern and Eastern Europe: No strong effects found Strong wage bargaining institutions diminish the arbitrage of wage differentials in Nordic and continental European countries
  • 14. How to build a social Europe in the context of labour mobility and migration? • Maintain and strengthen labour market institutions and social standards; • Improve the administrative capacities at the level of EU and member states for law enforcement; • Improve the monitoring of employers because of higher levels of vulnerability of migrant workers.
  • 15. Dealing with low wage labour migration Anke Hassel / Bettina Wagner Dealing with Low Wage Labour Immigration Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung Nordic Office and Arena Idé Conference Norra Latin, Stockholm 14 November 2014
  • 16. 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 Figure 1: Postings by Destination Countries 2011 (in 1,000 ) DE FR BE NL AT IT CH ES UK NO SE LU FI CZ PL PT DK RO HU EL SK IE BG SI LT EE LV MT CY LI IS Source: EU Commission (2012). Posting of workers in the European Union and EFTA countries: Report on A1 portable documents issued in 2010 and 2011, p. 12. Based on administrative data from EU Member States. from EU 15 from EU 12
  • 17. Drivers for extensive use of posted workers in Germany • Proximity to low wage countries • History of labour postings from Eastern Europe • Weak regulation of outsourcing • Transition agreements on labour mobility • Weak labour market institutions (low bargaining coverage, no minimum wage) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 France United States Spain Netherlands Portugal Australia New Zealand Germany Greece United… Canada Average Austria Ireland Italy Belgium Norway Denmark Finland Sweden union density 100 80 60 40 20 0 collective bargaining coverage United States New Zealand Canada United… Australia Ireland Portugal Average Germany Greece Norway Italy Denmark Netherlands Spain Finland France Sweden Belgium Austria
  • 18. Challenges • Lack of labour inspectorate • Lack of union inclusion of migrant workers • Lack of cooperation of migrant workers to prosecute • High financial incentives to exploit migrant workers • Path of dualization of workforce (i.e. works councils) • High demand for migrant labour due to demographic change • No sufficient law enforcement and prosecution