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Biomass Risk Management

       Darren Williams
     Commercial Director
        Eco2 Limited
Background
 • Swalec
       • Joined generation business in 1993
 • Energy Power Resources – 2006
       • Biomass and waste energy
       • Ely Straw fired station project manager
       • Largest biomass generator in UK
 • Founding Director of Eco2 – 2002
       • Wind – Dummuie, Betws, Hatton, Bogenlea
       • Landfill Gas
       • Tidal Energy Limited
       • Biomass – Western BioEnergy, Sleaford, Brigg and a
          further 8 biomass plants throughout UK and Europe
          under development
Is Biomass Riskier than Wind?
 • Both offer construction and fuel risk
 • Proven technologies available
 • Long term contracts achievable
 • A biomass plant has a team on site to make
   sure it runs 24 hours a day
 • Lots of projects with good operating history;
   but
 • DEBT FUNDERS ARE NOT SURE!
Key Biomass Risks
   Three Key Risks:
   •Fuel
   •Fuel
   •Fuel

   •Other Risks
        • Construction/Technology Risk
        • Offtake provisions
        • Operating Risks
Fuel – Key Risks

 •Is there enough?

 •What will the price be in the
 long term?

 •How do you get it to the
 plant at all times?

 •Counter Party Risks?
Is there enough?




                   Sleaford
What will the price be in the long
term?

  •   In depth knowledge of the market
  •   Needs third party confirmation
  •   Long term fuel contracts
  •   Ability to utilise back up fuels
How do you get it to the plant?
• Need to fully explain the fuel logistics strategy

• A track record of managing fuel for a UK biomass
  plant

• Appropriate contingency planning

• No substitute for having done it
  before
Counter Party Risk


  • Wide range of fuels with wide range of
    suppliers
  • Some large scale suppliers in the market
  • Strength of counter part vs number of
    contracts
Construction/Technology

• Proven track record of technology on the
  chosen fuel
• Proven contractor within the biomass/waste
  sectors
• Appropriate contract and guarantee
  structures
      • Liquidated Damages and Bonds
• Parent Company Guarantees
• Owner management of construction
Off-take Provisions

 • Key off-take risk is the Power Purchase Agreement
      • Bankable counter party
      • Guarantee Structures
      • Floor price or not?
      • Change of law

 • Ash and effluent provisions
 • Grid Connection
Operating Risks

 • Long term Operations and Maintenance Contract
 • Operations and Maintenance Contractor – track
   record
 • General Plant Management
      • Fuel and O&M contract interface
      • PPA management
      • Accounting function
 • Really important to understand who is going to do
   what and make sure it gets done
Is it all possible?

  • Thankfully yes!
The UK biomass opportunity
Eversheds conference – July 2012
Agenda
                                                                   Page
Section 1      The Ernst & Young Environmental Finance team               3
Section 2      The investment landscape for biomass                6
Section 3      The impact on financing of CfD                      11
Section 4      The funding backdrop                                13
Section 5      Summary                                             20




Ref: 1126192                          Eversheds conference June 2012          2
Ernst & Young Energy Infrastructure Advisory team
We are a market leading renewable energy                              This announcement appears as a matter of record only.                                                                                                 This announcement appears as a matter of record only.
                                                                                                                                              This announcement appears as a matter of record only.


corporate finance team, with over 60
                                                                     Eco2 Lincs Limited                                                       H elus Energy pl
                                                                                                                                                  i          c                                                              SeaEnergy Plc
dedicated professionals advising on                                  has raised £115 million of senior debt funding to
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            has disposed its offshore wind development subsidiary,
                                                                     construct and operate the Lincolnshire based 38 MW
energy and environmental finance                                     straw fired
                                                                                                                                              has disposed of a

                                                                                                                                              73M W f l
                                                                                                                                                     uly-consented                                                          SeaEnergy Renewables
                                                                     Sleaford Renewable
 We are currently advising on:                                                                                                                bi ass si
                                                                                                                                               om      te                                                                   Ltd
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            to
                                                                     Energy Plant
 ►     Over 5GW of renewable M&A                                     The lending club consisted of NIBC Bank NV, The Royal                    for £28 million and 13%
                                                                     Bank of Scotland, Siemens Bank GmbH and Unicredit                        carried-interest                                                              Repsol
       transactions in Europe                                        Bank AG
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            for £50 million
 ►     Over £300m of project financing for                           Ernst & Young acted as financial advisor to the shareholders of          Ernst & Young acted as advisor t o Helius                                     Ernst & Young acted as lead financial advisor to SeaEnergy Plc.
       renewable projects in Europe                                  Eco2 Lincs Limited.                                                      Energy plc.

 In the last 15 months, we have:
 ►     Disposed of four consented onshore
       wind farms in the UK
                                                                      This announcement appears as a mat t er of record only.   August 2011    This announcement appears as a mat t er of record only.   November 2010   This announcement appears as a mat t er of record only.    March 2011

 ►     Secured c.£115m senior debt and a
       PPA for Sleaford biomass plant                                 RES UK & Ireland Lt d                                                    Part nerships for                                                         Eaga plc
                                                                                                                                               Renewables Lt d                                                           UK Solar PV project financing
 ►     Advised on PPAs for over 130MW of
                                                                      has disposed of a majority                                               has raised additional funding                                             has provided accounting, tax
       renewable energy capacity.                                     stake of                                                                 for its onshore wind                                                      and modelling services on
                                                                                                                                               development portfolio through                                             Eaga's £300m project financing
 ►     Provided complex financial modelling                           Wadlow Energy Lt d                                                       the sale of a minority stake in                                           of a portfolio of social housing
       and structuring services to the largest                        to
                                                                                                                                               the company to OPTrust                                                    rooftop solar PV installations
       solar project finance facility in the UK                                                                                                for an undisclosed sum
       (Eaga - £225m)                                                 Barclays Infrast ruct ure
                                                                      Funds                                                                    Ernst & Young acted as lead advisor to the
                                                                                                                                               company and founder shareholders, HSBC
 Since 2005, we have:                                                 Ernst & Young acted as financial advisor to                              Environmental Infrastructure Fund and                                     Ernst & Young provided accounting, tax
                                                                      RES UK & Ireland Ltd.                                                    Carbon Trust Enterprises Limited.                                         and modelling services to Eaga plc.
 ►     Raised project finance for over 785MW
       of renewable energy assets
 ►     Advised on PPAs for over 1.1GW of
       renewable assets
                                                                                                                                                            Financial Adviser of the Year - Renewable Energy
                                                                                                                                                             Financial Adviser of the Year – Power
                                                                                                                                                             Financial Adviser of the Year - Social Infrastructure



Ref: 1126192                                      Eversheds conference June 2012                                                                                                                                                                                                                 3
Ernst & Young Energy & Environmental Finance
Our EEIA team sits within the wider EMEIA
Infrastructure Advisory team, allowing us
to understand financing trends across a
broad range of asset classes.
                                                                                                        Global infrastructure advisory mandates closed – 2011
 ►     We have undertaken in excess of 800                                                              Rank                  Financial adviser                                                                       Deals                        Value ($m)

       infrastructure transactions that involved                                                        1                     Ernst & Young                                                                             31                                 $16,290
       complex structuring in the project                                                               2                     PwC                                                                                        19                                   $7,834
       finance market.                                                                                  3                     KPMG                                                                                       18                                   $6,051

 ►     We are lead advisor on a number of                                                               4                     HSBC                                                                                       15                                 $16,469
       ongoing high profile assignments                                                                 5                     BNP Paribas                                                                                12                                 $19,495

 ►     We are currently advising on £10 billion
       of infrastructure project financings,                                                    Source: “Project Finance International” and “Infrastructure Journal” League Tables – 2011
       including a number of high profile
       assignments in the energy and
       environment space
                                                                      This announcement appears as a matter of record only.
 ►     We are consistently ranked number 1 in                                                                                                                 This announcement appears as a matter of record only.                     This announcement appears as a matter of record only.




       the project finance market
 ►     Our awards is a reflection of our market
       leading position in the infrastructure
       financing space                                      Ongoing                                                                                 Ongoing                                                                   Ongoing


                                                            Financial Advisor on the structuring and financing of                                 £1.5bn Smart meter funding and commercial strategy                          Structuring and financing advice on £1.5bn major
                                                            the £4bn Thames Tunnel project                                                        Financial Advisor                                                           infrastructure roll out
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Financial Advisor




Ref: 1126192                                       Eversheds conference June 2012                                                                                                                                                                                                               4
Infrastructure Advisory– our awards

                          2011 Middle East Power                                        Ernst & Young
                             Deal of the Year
                                                                                     2011 No.1 by Global
                                  Sur IPP                                              Mandates Won                                                                                                           No.1 by Global PFI/PPP Deals
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         closed
                                                                                                                              2005, 2007 & 2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      2009 & 2011                            2009 Renewable Energy
                                                                                                                                PPP Financial Advisor                                                                                                           Advisor of Choice
                                                                                                                                     of the Year
                                                                                        Ernst & Young
       2011 Best Infrastructure Deal in CEE - Polish
        Airports State Enterprise’s PLN700mn fund                                    2010 No.1 by Global
                           raising                                                     Mandates Won




                                                                                        No.1 by Global and
                                                                                       EMEA Mandates Won
                                                                                             2005 - 2009
                                                                                                                                                                                           2011 Best Project Finance Adviser in
                                                                                                                         2008                                                                        EMEA and CEE                                               Best Advisory Firm –
            2011 PPP Deal of the Year                                                                                           Financial Advisor of the Year –                            2009 Best Project Finance House –                                  Renewable Energy Europe
                  Suffolk Waste PFI                                                                                                       Renewables                                               Financial Advisor




 European Transmission Deal of the Year - Robin Rigg
                       OFTO

                                                                                                                                                           Financial Adviser of the Year - Renewable Energy


                                                                                                                                                                  Financial Adviser of the Year - Power


      2011 Best PPP Deal in the Middle East                                                                                                               Financial Adviser of the Year - Social Infrastructure                                        Overall Project Finance Firm of the Year:
               – Bahrain Housing                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          UK



                                                        Partnerships Awards 2012                             Partnerships Awards 2012                                             Partnerships Awards 2012                                   Partnerships Awards 2012
                           2011 Asia-Pacific PPP Deal   Best Local Government Project Team                   Best Waste/Energy/Water Project                                      Project Grand Prix
                                  of the Year
                                Adelaide Hospital                                                            South West Devon Energy from Waste PFI                               South West Devon Energy from Waste PFI
                                                        Devon Waste Partnership                                                                                                                                                               Best Financial Adviser

                                                                                       Eversheds conference June 2012
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   5
Section 2

The investment landscape for
biomass




Ref: 1009231
EY’s assessment of UK energy investment requirements

                Replacement                                        Environmental
                   cycle                                              targets                           Demand growth




UK energy investment requirements to 2020 (£199bn)                                        Generation investment £136bn
                     Smart    Other
  Power and          meters   14%                                                                              Nuclear
  gas                5%                                                                                        generation
  distribution                                                                                                 27%
  2%                                                                               Renewables
                                                                                   generation
  Onshore                                                                          63%
                                      £136bn                                                  £85bn
  power
                                                                                                                 Gas
  transmission
                                                                                                                 generation
  6%                                               Generation                                                    5%
                                                   68%                                                        Coal with
               Offshore
               power                                                                                          CCS
               transmission                                                                                   5%
               5%


Ref: XX00000                              Eversheds conference June 2012                                                      7
Government is increasingly supportive of bio-energy
Charles Hendry MP – 28 June 2012
►    Biomass could meet 40% of the Government’s 2020 renewables target and provide
     ‘sustainable, cost-effective and low-risk‘ energy generation as part of a balanced energy mix.


DECC April 2012 (launch of the bio-energy strategy)
►    “[The] new biomass strategy targets a sector supporting 50,000 jobs and producing 11 per
     cent of UK energy by 2020”


DECC RO Banding consultation (ongoing)
►    1.5 ROCs
►    0.5 ROC uplift for CHP maintained until April 2015
►    Co-firing and coal conversion


Green Investment Bank
►    Biomass waste a priority area


Renewable Heat Incentive
►    First of its kind support for renewable heat generation



Ref: XX00000                             Eversheds conference June 2012                               8
What is the investment opportunity?

 Large scale (greater than 20MW) biomass - consented
 •Source: Department of Energy and Climate Change/ EY proprietary knowledge
                                                                                                    Tansterne (25MW) -      ►   C.2GW ‘here and now’ investment opportunity
                                                                                                         GB Bio (Straw)
Corpach (20MW) –
                                                                                                                            ►   Pipeline increases significantly for:
      Peel                                                                                              Tees Renewable
                                                                                                          Energy Plant              ►   Coal conversion
                                                                                                        (295MW) – MGT

Billingham (45MW) –                                                                                                                 ►   Co-firing upgrade
         Gaia                                                                                            Stallingborough
                                                                                                         (60MW) – RWE               ►   Pre-consent pipeline
Pollington (53MW)- -                                                                                                                ►   Sub 25MW CHP
        Dalkia                                                                                           Brigg (40MW) –
                                                                                                          Eco2 (Straw)
                                                                                                                                    ►   Advanced Conversion Technology
Anglesey (299MW)
                                                                                                     Stockton on Tees
                                                                                                      (50 MW) - Bio
                                                                                                                                    ►   Biomass boiler market
   – Anglesey
                                                                                                    Energy Investments
    Aluminium                                                                                                                       ►   Anaerobic digestion
                                                                                                    Immingham (50MW)
   Morgan Credit                                                                                      – Real Ventures               ►   Related supply chain upgrades (eg
     (25MW)
                                                                                                                                        upstream and midstream)
                                                                                                           Immingham
  Nevis (50MW) –                                                                                         (299MW) - Drax
   Welsh Power
                                                                                                                            ►   Investment opportunity could be in excess of
                                                                                                        Ridham CHP Plant
Port Talbot (300MW)                                                                                     (25MW) – Evonik         c.£10bn
     – Prenergy

                                                    Avonmouth
                                                                                                        Sleaford (40MW) –
                                                 (100MW) – Helius
 Bristol (150MW) –                                                                                         Eco 2 (Straw)
        E.ON

                                                                                     Tilbury Green Power
                                                                                      (65MW) – Express
                                                                                            Energy




Ref: XX00000                                                           Eversheds conference June 2012                                                                          9
What are the challenges?
Primary
►    Regulatory support (RHI, ROCs, FITs, ECAs, CFDs, grandfathering………)
►    Contract bankability
               ►   fuel, fuel, fuel!!!!
               ►   PPA, PPA, PPA!!!
►    Accessing financing


Potentially
►    Sustainability agenda
►    Project returns
►    Technology risk
►    Construction risk
►    Operating risk




Ref: XX00000                              Eversheds conference June 2012   10
Section 3

The impact on financing of CfD




Ref: 1009231
The proposed FiT CfD
 The key to achieving these objectives will be to bring forward the level of investment needed in
 new low-carbon generation capacity and infrastructure at the required pace and through a
 combination of measures.




Source: DECC


 ►     Will investors be turned off by lack of power price           ►   Overlap of RO provides some continuity, but without
       exposure?                                                         absolute certainty on revenue
 ►     Will 15 year tenor attract investors seeking long term, low   ►   Gross margin indexation linkeage RO and FiT CFD –
       risk returns?                                                     loss of natural hedge?
 ►     Strike price mechanism?                                       ►   Competition against transport fuels (revenues linked to
 ►     Guarantor between generator and supplier?                         oil price)
Ref: XX00000
Section 4

The funding backdrop




Ref: XX00000
Utility balance sheets remain constrained
                                                                          Credit ratings trajectory – top 12
Traditional corporate finance not up to the task                          integrated utilities
► In    2001, 10 of the top 13 utilities in Europe were
     rated AA+ to A+
     ► In      2012, one (EDF) is in that range


► Downgrade      to BBB category increases the cost of
     debt, and cost of doing business


► Management         of their balance sheets and off-book
     liabilities has become a key feature of Utility
     finance (IFRS eg lease accounting)


► Utilities’ capacity to carry out renewable energy
     ambitions of Europe is constrained                                           2001                               2012


                                                                                         BB+   BBB   BBB+   A-   A     A+   AA-   AA




Ref: XX00000                             Eversheds conference June 2012                                                                14
Financing considerations – market backdrop

                                          US, German and UK Government                                                                                                                                                       Greek, Spanish and Port uguese Government
                                                   Bond Yields                                                                                                                                                                               Bond Yields
                           4.5                                                                                                                                                                               40.0
                           4.0                                                                                                                                                                               35.0
                           3.5                                                                                                                                                                               30.0
                           3.0
                       )




                                                                                                                                                                                                         )
                                                                                                                                                                                                             25.0
               Yield (%




                                                                                                                                                                                                 Yield (%
                           2.5
                                                                                                                                                                                                             20.0
                           2.0
                           1.5                                                                                                                                                                               15.0
                           1.0                                                                                                                                                                               10.0
                           0.5                                                                                                                                                                                5.0
                           0.0                                                                                                                                                                                0.0
                                          Mar -10




                                                                                                 Mar -11




                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Mar -10




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Mar -11




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Mar -12
                                                                                                                                                        Mar -12
                                                                               Nov-10




                                                                                                                                      Nov-11




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Nov-10




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Nov-11
                                                    May-10




                                                                                                           May-11




                                                                                                                                                                  May-12




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              May-11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       May-10




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      May-12
                                 Jan-10




                                                                      Sep-10


                                                                                        Jan-11




                                                                                                                             Sep-11


                                                                                                                                               Jan-12




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Sep-10


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Jan-11




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Sep-11


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Jan-12
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Jan-10
                                                             Jul-10




                                                                                                                    Jul-11




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Jul-10




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Jul-11
                                                                 US                      Ger many                                UK                                                                                                      Gr eece                            Spain                               Por tugal
          Source: Bloomberg                                                                                                                                                                 Source: Bloomberg



  Key drivers                                                                                                                                                              Impacts

  ►    Volatility in the financial                                                                                                                                         ►   Banks raising capital in a tough wholesale market or
       markets                                                                                                                                                                 shrinking their balance sheets

  ►    The ongoing Eurozone                                                                                                                                                ►   Project finance loans will attract steep capital weightings
       debt crisis                                                                                                                                                         ►   Some banks may look to sell down their project finance
  ►    Basel III                                                                                                                                                               portfolios to bolster ‘Tier 1’ capital
                                                                                                                                                                           ►   Banks that are less well capitalised and/or lacking support
                                                                                                                                                                               from Government with ready access to the capital markets
  .                                                                                                                                                                            have seen their cost of debt increase

Ref: XX00000                                                                                                                            Eversheds conference June 2012                                                                                                                                                                                         15
Project finance has become a less preferred choice
►         Increasing trend towards:                                                     Global project f inance volume by f unding source
     1.     Club lending
                                                                                       350
     2.     Credit committee decision making driven by
                                                                                       300
            relationships and geography
     3.     Mini-perm structures                                                       250

            Aggressive cash sweeps and restrictions on




                                                                              US$ bn
     4.                                                                                200
            payments to equity
                                                                                       150
     5.     Rise in margins (although offset by recent fall in the
                                                                                       100
            long-term swap rate)
►         Major deals continue to be done (see graphic)                                50     Source: Infrastructure Journal

►         Role of ECAs and Multilaterals key for overall funding                         0
          strategy and market approach                                                       2005         2006                 2007   2008    2009    2010   2011

►         Deals are being closed for biomass (Sleaford, Helius                                   Equity               Bonds           Loans   IFI Suppor t
          Cord) and more are in the pipeline




Ref: XX00000                                 Eversheds conference June 2012                                                                                         16
Biomass offers various business models for different
classes of funders
Institutional capital - >100MW / conversion                                    Fund model <100MW
►   Larger institutions/those with infrastructure experience                   ►   The historic fund model of 20% carry and 2%
    can participate through in house teams (eg Ontario                             management charge is under pressure
    Pension Trust, Aviva)
                                                                               ►   Smaller institutions/those without infrastructure
►   Typically looking for investment tickets >£50m, and in                         experience may be more suited to providing debt or
    some cases alongside another institution                                       participating through such funds
►   Looking for long term stable yields to balance 25-30
    year index linked liabilities
                                                                               ►   Challenges
►   Equity investment currently provides exposure to
                                                                                   1.   Availability of leverage
    power price risk - a challenge for institutions seeking
    stable revenues                                                                2.   Availability of ‘shovel ready’ projects
                                                                                   3.   Investment scalability and flexibility
►   Challenges
    1.         Perception of renewables as an infrastructure                   Other forms of capital
               asset class
                                                                               ►   Tax driven equity (EIS/VST) – sub 10MWs and RHI
    2.         Deal ticket size
                                                                               ►   Project bonds - >50MW
    3.         Lack of residual asset value
                                                                               ►   Non-utility corporates– all asset classes
    4.         Volatility in gross margin
    5.         Construction risk




Ref: XX00000                                  Eversheds conference June 2012                                                            17
Section 5

Summary




Ref: XX00000
Summary
Biomass investment opportunity
► C.£10bn          of investment opportunity over the next few years
► Many          recent blockers have been removed
► There         are still significant risks that need to be worked through (fuel, offtake)


Capital needs are huge
► Biomass      competing against other large scale energy infrastructure funding requirements (nuclear,
     offshore, CCGT, grid)
► The          UK generally needs to compete for limited funds


New sources of capital are needed
► Utilities       cannot do it all / banks cannot project finance it all
► Encouraging          new sources of debt and equity is essential


New capital requires new structures
► Innovative         structures are needed to access capital
► CfDs          could help achieve UK energy objectives if carefully structured but challenges remain


Ref: 1126192                               Eversheds conference June 2012                                 19
Ernst & Young LLP

Assurance | Tax | Transactions | Advisory

www.ey.com/uk


The UK firm Ernst & Young LLP is a limited liability
partnership registered in England and Wales
with registered number OC300001 and is a member firm
of Ernst & Young Global Limited.

Ernst & Young LLP, 1 More London Place, London SE1 2AF.

© Ernst & Young LLP 2012. Published in the UK.
All rights reserved.




  This document has been prepared by Ernst & Young. The information and opinions contained in this document are derived from public
  and private sources which we believe to be reliable and accurate but which, without further investigation, cannot be warranted as to their
  accuracy, completeness or correctness. This information is supplied on the condition that Ernst & Young, and any partner or employee of
  Ernst & Young, are not liable for any error or inaccuracy contained herein, whether negligently caused or otherwise, or for loss or damage
  suffered by any person due to such error, omission or inaccuracy as a result of such supply. In particular any numbers, initial valuations
  and schedules contained in this document are preliminary and are for discussion purposes only.




Ref: 1126192
Biomass Technology

      Paul Noble



     2nd July 2012

                     1
Context in today’s workshop

•   Biomass Technology – Paul Noble
•   Managing Project Risks – Darren Williams
•   Financial Modelling and funding structures of
    renewable projects – James Barrett-Miles
Contents


1.   Biomass in the UK Energy Mix
2.   Technology Review
3.   Biomass Co-firing and Conversion
4.   What is happening now?
5.   What of the future?
UK Bioenergy Strategy, April 2012

“The potential scale of bioenergy deployment: although highly
uncertain, our analysis indicates that sustainably-sourced bioenergy
could contribute by 2020 around 8-11% to the UK’s total primary
energy demand and around 12% by 2050 (within a wide range of 8%-
21%)”

“Biomass in power generation currently accounts for less than 3% of
the total electricity generation in the UK. Going forward our analysis
indicates that biomass in power generation has an important
transitional role which can contribute to the cost effective delivery of
our renewable targets. The range of biomass in power generation to
2020, which are consistent with our principles, could be 20 to 40 TWh
of delivered energy in 2020, accounting for 5% to 11% of total power
generation”


                                                                           4
National Grid View, 2011




                       5
Contents


1.   Biomass in the UK Energy Mix
2.   Technology Review
3.   Biomass Co-firing and Conversion
4.   What is happening now?
Technology Map
                                                              Infrastructure:
                              Electricity                     energy supply, services, land,
                              generation                      logistics
                                     Coal
                                     Biomass
                                     CCGT
                                     Wind
                    Energy from
                    Waste
                                  Pyrolysis
Waste                             Gasification

 Separation                                          Chemicals
 processes                   Reverse cracking      Petrochemical processes


       Anaerobic digestion

                                  Biocatalysts
                                                    Fischer-Tropsch
                                                    Transesterification



                                    Algae
                                    Ethanol
   Biotechnology                    fermentation
                                    Enzymes
                                                              Biofuels
OVERALL CONTROL SYSTEM * - “PLANT” OR “STATION LEVEL” *




                 FGT          ASH
                                        STEAM*           STG*                  E*                  HV *
                    BOILER                                                                                                   GRID
                            EQUIPMENT                          EQUIPMENT                             EQUIPMENT
                             CONTROL                            CONTROL                               CONTROL


                       FUEL
                    CONVEYORS *                          STEAM *



                FUEL    *     FUEL                        FW *
                                                     (NB - EFW-SINGLE STAGE)   CON            COOLING *
                STORE 1       STORE 2                 (BIOMASS – 4/5 STAGE)
                                                                                              (ACC)
                       EQUIPMENT                                 EQUIPMENT
                                                                                                     EQUIPMENT
                        CONTROL                                   CONTROL
                                                                                                      CONTROL



                                                                   DEMIN*
                                                                                                               WATER *
                                                                                         FIRE             (IF WET COOLING)
                         FUEL                     DEMIN *        EQUIPMENT           PROTECTION*
                                                                  CONTROL
                                                                                         EQUIPMENT
FUEL DELIVERY                                                                             CONTROL
                                                                   WATER


                            RAW WATER – SUPPLY AND DISTRIBUTION (S & D) PIPING *

                                          COMPRESSED AIR - (S & D) *

                                            LV ELECTRICAL (S & D) *

                                             BUILDING SERVICES *
Biomass Technology for Power Generation

1) Fuel Preparation and Processing:

Separation, Drying, Pelletisation, Torrefaction

2) Combustion:

Grate Combustion – open flame
Fluidised Bed Combustion Groups
Pulverised Fuel

3) Low Oxygen Processing

Gasification or low oxygen processes including pyrolysis
Project Development Process

           GATE 1                 GATE 2                 GATE 3

                     Design Basis
Concept                                     Basic Design
Screening            Concept                                            Detailed
                     development            Front End                   Design
Pre-Feasibility      and finalisation       Engineering
Assessment                                  Design (FEED)               Construction
                     Project
Cost Estimate        Definition             Cost Estimate
                     Cost Estimate          -10% to +10%
-20% to +50%
                     -15 to +30%



                     Engineering work to    Early Stages of Final       Contractor team
Ranking of Options
                                            Design.                     performs much of the
Select preferred     finalise the project
                                            For EPCM, the 3rd party     engineering at this stage
option               scope and              engineer and the            although for some items
                     implementation         tenderers, through supply   the 3rd party engineer
                                            chain engagement, carry     continues the
                                            out enough engineering to   engineering to ‘issued for
                                            achieve +/- 10% capex       construction’ stage
Fuel Processing and Storage


Fuel/Raw Material
 ‘Field of Origin’




                     Fuel/Raw Material Processing




                     Density and moisture
                                                    Storage
                     variation




                                                              11
Combustion

                            Typical Atmospheric (Bubbling)
                            Fluidised Bed Combustion Boiler
                            (AFBC)




Typical Stoker Fired
(Grate) Combustion Boiler

                                                              12
Combustion Fuel Compatibility


                                                            Existing Coal Boilers
                                                             - includes a range
               Stoker /    Bubbling Fluidised Circulating
    Fuel                                                     of options such as
                Grate             Bed         Fluidised Bed
                                                                co-milling and
                                                               direct injection
    Straw        Yes
    MSW          Yes
 Wood Chip       Yes              Yes
Waste Wood       Yes              Yes              Yes
Wood Pellets                      Yes              Yes
Milled Wood
                                                                     Yes
   Pellets




                                                                               13
Contents


1.   Biomass in the UK Energy Mix
2.   Technology Review
3.   Biomass Co-firing and Conversion
4.   What is happening now?
Typical Biomass Conversion Scope



                                    NMI
                                                               Conveyors and
Boiler              Day bin                                       hoppers
                                             Pellet
                                            storage
                                                                 Road/Rail/Ship
                     Milling                                       receiving

           Pulverized fuel
           transport

                    Controls including process controls
         Electrical, Civil, Structural, Mechanical, Fire Protection
Comparison of Biomass New Build and Conversion

                     New Build Biomass              Biomass Conversion
                                               Adjust Boiler to burn new fuel.
                                                  Consider new or modified
                                                          burners.
 Combustion       designed for required fuel    Consider heat transfer surface
Characteristics          variability                    modifications
                                               Adjustments required following
  Emissions       designed for required fuel   assessment of fuel composition
 Treatment               properties,           and combustion characteristics
 Technology
 Guarantee            straight forward                   Uncertain
 Contracting
  Approach          EPC or multi-package            EPC or multi-package
Biomass Conversion Example Risks (1)
     Process                         Risks                                            Mitigations

Fire systems /       Fire/explosion caused by build up of    Lessons learnt captured.
explosion            dust                                    Interface to be managed early on.
prevention           Fire Office/Independent Certifier
                     Interface.
Electrical           Insufficient expansion of               Load study.
infrastructure       infrastructure available on site.
Road reception       Incorrect design and specification      Design & specification


Rail reception       Flow of pellets too slow or fast once   Modify bunker to put extraction in.
                     feeders replaced. Too much dust
                     generated.
                     Drainage failure & contamination.
Storage / delivery   Conveyor failure. Problems include      Complete redundancy to be provided. Dual 100%
conveyors            power, control system, motors.          systems.
Storage              Fire detection & storage design         Design to meet code of practice.
                     interface failure.                      Design in movement and turning of stock to reduce risk.
                     Excessive CO2 levels, bacteria, fire    Maintain relationship with silo providers as a fallback.
                     risk.
Reclaim conveyor     Conveyor failure. Problems include      Complete redundancy to be provided. Dual 100%
                     power, control system, motors.          systems.
Biomass Conversion Example Risks (2)
         Process                           Risks                                  Mitigations
Milling towers          Fire & explosion                           Dust Control Systems. Design in easy
                                                                   access for cleaning floors, walls and
                                                                   ceilings (removing flammable fuel build).

Milling equipment       Power consumption excessive.               Use equipment tested elsewhere.
                                                                   Understand loads.
                        Reliability (particularly hammers).        Use high quality equipment – assess
                                                                   supply chain.
Pneumatic conveyor &    Fire & explosion                           Dust Control Systems. interconnections
intermediate storage                                               between equipment.
Furnace Exit Gas        Poor Boiler Performance                    Detailed assessment. Internal Boiler
Temperature                                                        redesign
Boiler air systems      Poor Boiler Performance                    Over fire air technology

Slagging Deposition     Poor Boiler Performance                    Provision for Furnace Wall Blowers
Behaviour
Dust Control Systems    Poor Boiler Performance                    Safety risks
Emissions Control       Out of compliance with permit to operate   Detailed assessment of Boiler System
What is the Current Situation?


                       Development /
                         Planning    Construction Operating



    New Build            2,010MW       175MW       275MW

    Conversion
(including cofiring)     6,350MW       300MW      1200MW




                                                              19
What of the future?

Energy Policy

Power sector is characterised by large scale investments with long
lead times and 10-15+ year payback requiring 10-15+ year regulatory
clarity, stability and internal consistency

CCS plus Biomass – potential for negative emissions

Technological advancement in the supply chain




                                                                      20
Attracting and Maintaining Institutional Investment: Biomass

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Attracting and Maintaining Institutional Investment: Biomass

  • 1. Biomass Risk Management Darren Williams Commercial Director Eco2 Limited
  • 2. Background • Swalec • Joined generation business in 1993 • Energy Power Resources – 2006 • Biomass and waste energy • Ely Straw fired station project manager • Largest biomass generator in UK • Founding Director of Eco2 – 2002 • Wind – Dummuie, Betws, Hatton, Bogenlea • Landfill Gas • Tidal Energy Limited • Biomass – Western BioEnergy, Sleaford, Brigg and a further 8 biomass plants throughout UK and Europe under development
  • 3. Is Biomass Riskier than Wind? • Both offer construction and fuel risk • Proven technologies available • Long term contracts achievable • A biomass plant has a team on site to make sure it runs 24 hours a day • Lots of projects with good operating history; but • DEBT FUNDERS ARE NOT SURE!
  • 4. Key Biomass Risks Three Key Risks: •Fuel •Fuel •Fuel •Other Risks • Construction/Technology Risk • Offtake provisions • Operating Risks
  • 5. Fuel – Key Risks •Is there enough? •What will the price be in the long term? •How do you get it to the plant at all times? •Counter Party Risks?
  • 6. Is there enough? Sleaford
  • 7. What will the price be in the long term? • In depth knowledge of the market • Needs third party confirmation • Long term fuel contracts • Ability to utilise back up fuels
  • 8. How do you get it to the plant? • Need to fully explain the fuel logistics strategy • A track record of managing fuel for a UK biomass plant • Appropriate contingency planning • No substitute for having done it before
  • 9. Counter Party Risk • Wide range of fuels with wide range of suppliers • Some large scale suppliers in the market • Strength of counter part vs number of contracts
  • 10. Construction/Technology • Proven track record of technology on the chosen fuel • Proven contractor within the biomass/waste sectors • Appropriate contract and guarantee structures • Liquidated Damages and Bonds • Parent Company Guarantees • Owner management of construction
  • 11. Off-take Provisions • Key off-take risk is the Power Purchase Agreement • Bankable counter party • Guarantee Structures • Floor price or not? • Change of law • Ash and effluent provisions • Grid Connection
  • 12. Operating Risks • Long term Operations and Maintenance Contract • Operations and Maintenance Contractor – track record • General Plant Management • Fuel and O&M contract interface • PPA management • Accounting function • Really important to understand who is going to do what and make sure it gets done
  • 13. Is it all possible? • Thankfully yes!
  • 14. The UK biomass opportunity Eversheds conference – July 2012
  • 15. Agenda Page Section 1 The Ernst & Young Environmental Finance team 3 Section 2 The investment landscape for biomass 6 Section 3 The impact on financing of CfD 11 Section 4 The funding backdrop 13 Section 5 Summary 20 Ref: 1126192 Eversheds conference June 2012 2
  • 16. Ernst & Young Energy Infrastructure Advisory team We are a market leading renewable energy This announcement appears as a matter of record only. This announcement appears as a matter of record only. This announcement appears as a matter of record only. corporate finance team, with over 60 Eco2 Lincs Limited H elus Energy pl i c SeaEnergy Plc dedicated professionals advising on has raised £115 million of senior debt funding to has disposed its offshore wind development subsidiary, construct and operate the Lincolnshire based 38 MW energy and environmental finance straw fired has disposed of a 73M W f l uly-consented SeaEnergy Renewables Sleaford Renewable We are currently advising on: bi ass si om te Ltd to Energy Plant ► Over 5GW of renewable M&A The lending club consisted of NIBC Bank NV, The Royal for £28 million and 13% Bank of Scotland, Siemens Bank GmbH and Unicredit carried-interest Repsol transactions in Europe Bank AG for £50 million ► Over £300m of project financing for Ernst & Young acted as financial advisor to the shareholders of Ernst & Young acted as advisor t o Helius Ernst & Young acted as lead financial advisor to SeaEnergy Plc. renewable projects in Europe Eco2 Lincs Limited. Energy plc. In the last 15 months, we have: ► Disposed of four consented onshore wind farms in the UK This announcement appears as a mat t er of record only. August 2011 This announcement appears as a mat t er of record only. November 2010 This announcement appears as a mat t er of record only. March 2011 ► Secured c.£115m senior debt and a PPA for Sleaford biomass plant RES UK & Ireland Lt d Part nerships for Eaga plc Renewables Lt d UK Solar PV project financing ► Advised on PPAs for over 130MW of has disposed of a majority has raised additional funding has provided accounting, tax renewable energy capacity. stake of for its onshore wind and modelling services on development portfolio through Eaga's £300m project financing ► Provided complex financial modelling Wadlow Energy Lt d the sale of a minority stake in of a portfolio of social housing and structuring services to the largest to the company to OPTrust rooftop solar PV installations solar project finance facility in the UK for an undisclosed sum (Eaga - £225m) Barclays Infrast ruct ure Funds Ernst & Young acted as lead advisor to the company and founder shareholders, HSBC Since 2005, we have: Ernst & Young acted as financial advisor to Environmental Infrastructure Fund and Ernst & Young provided accounting, tax RES UK & Ireland Ltd. Carbon Trust Enterprises Limited. and modelling services to Eaga plc. ► Raised project finance for over 785MW of renewable energy assets ► Advised on PPAs for over 1.1GW of renewable assets Financial Adviser of the Year - Renewable Energy  Financial Adviser of the Year – Power  Financial Adviser of the Year - Social Infrastructure Ref: 1126192 Eversheds conference June 2012 3
  • 17. Ernst & Young Energy & Environmental Finance Our EEIA team sits within the wider EMEIA Infrastructure Advisory team, allowing us to understand financing trends across a broad range of asset classes. Global infrastructure advisory mandates closed – 2011 ► We have undertaken in excess of 800 Rank Financial adviser Deals Value ($m) infrastructure transactions that involved 1 Ernst & Young 31 $16,290 complex structuring in the project 2 PwC 19 $7,834 finance market. 3 KPMG 18 $6,051 ► We are lead advisor on a number of 4 HSBC 15 $16,469 ongoing high profile assignments 5 BNP Paribas 12 $19,495 ► We are currently advising on £10 billion of infrastructure project financings, Source: “Project Finance International” and “Infrastructure Journal” League Tables – 2011 including a number of high profile assignments in the energy and environment space This announcement appears as a matter of record only. ► We are consistently ranked number 1 in This announcement appears as a matter of record only. This announcement appears as a matter of record only. the project finance market ► Our awards is a reflection of our market leading position in the infrastructure financing space Ongoing Ongoing Ongoing Financial Advisor on the structuring and financing of £1.5bn Smart meter funding and commercial strategy Structuring and financing advice on £1.5bn major the £4bn Thames Tunnel project Financial Advisor infrastructure roll out Financial Advisor Ref: 1126192 Eversheds conference June 2012 4
  • 18. Infrastructure Advisory– our awards 2011 Middle East Power Ernst & Young Deal of the Year 2011 No.1 by Global Sur IPP Mandates Won No.1 by Global PFI/PPP Deals closed 2005, 2007 & 2009 2009 & 2011 2009 Renewable Energy PPP Financial Advisor Advisor of Choice of the Year Ernst & Young 2011 Best Infrastructure Deal in CEE - Polish Airports State Enterprise’s PLN700mn fund 2010 No.1 by Global raising Mandates Won No.1 by Global and EMEA Mandates Won 2005 - 2009 2011 Best Project Finance Adviser in 2008 EMEA and CEE Best Advisory Firm – 2011 PPP Deal of the Year Financial Advisor of the Year – 2009 Best Project Finance House – Renewable Energy Europe Suffolk Waste PFI Renewables Financial Advisor European Transmission Deal of the Year - Robin Rigg OFTO Financial Adviser of the Year - Renewable Energy Financial Adviser of the Year - Power 2011 Best PPP Deal in the Middle East Financial Adviser of the Year - Social Infrastructure Overall Project Finance Firm of the Year: – Bahrain Housing UK Partnerships Awards 2012 Partnerships Awards 2012 Partnerships Awards 2012 Partnerships Awards 2012 2011 Asia-Pacific PPP Deal Best Local Government Project Team Best Waste/Energy/Water Project Project Grand Prix of the Year Adelaide Hospital South West Devon Energy from Waste PFI South West Devon Energy from Waste PFI Devon Waste Partnership Best Financial Adviser Eversheds conference June 2012 5
  • 19. Section 2 The investment landscape for biomass Ref: 1009231
  • 20. EY’s assessment of UK energy investment requirements Replacement Environmental cycle targets Demand growth UK energy investment requirements to 2020 (£199bn) Generation investment £136bn Smart Other Power and meters 14% Nuclear gas 5% generation distribution 27% 2% Renewables generation Onshore 63% £136bn £85bn power Gas transmission generation 6% Generation 5% 68% Coal with Offshore power CCS transmission 5% 5% Ref: XX00000 Eversheds conference June 2012 7
  • 21. Government is increasingly supportive of bio-energy Charles Hendry MP – 28 June 2012 ► Biomass could meet 40% of the Government’s 2020 renewables target and provide ‘sustainable, cost-effective and low-risk‘ energy generation as part of a balanced energy mix. DECC April 2012 (launch of the bio-energy strategy) ► “[The] new biomass strategy targets a sector supporting 50,000 jobs and producing 11 per cent of UK energy by 2020” DECC RO Banding consultation (ongoing) ► 1.5 ROCs ► 0.5 ROC uplift for CHP maintained until April 2015 ► Co-firing and coal conversion Green Investment Bank ► Biomass waste a priority area Renewable Heat Incentive ► First of its kind support for renewable heat generation Ref: XX00000 Eversheds conference June 2012 8
  • 22. What is the investment opportunity? Large scale (greater than 20MW) biomass - consented •Source: Department of Energy and Climate Change/ EY proprietary knowledge Tansterne (25MW) - ► C.2GW ‘here and now’ investment opportunity GB Bio (Straw) Corpach (20MW) – ► Pipeline increases significantly for: Peel Tees Renewable Energy Plant ► Coal conversion (295MW) – MGT Billingham (45MW) – ► Co-firing upgrade Gaia Stallingborough (60MW) – RWE ► Pre-consent pipeline Pollington (53MW)- - ► Sub 25MW CHP Dalkia Brigg (40MW) – Eco2 (Straw) ► Advanced Conversion Technology Anglesey (299MW) Stockton on Tees (50 MW) - Bio ► Biomass boiler market – Anglesey Energy Investments Aluminium ► Anaerobic digestion Immingham (50MW) Morgan Credit – Real Ventures ► Related supply chain upgrades (eg (25MW) upstream and midstream) Immingham Nevis (50MW) – (299MW) - Drax Welsh Power ► Investment opportunity could be in excess of Ridham CHP Plant Port Talbot (300MW) (25MW) – Evonik c.£10bn – Prenergy Avonmouth Sleaford (40MW) – (100MW) – Helius Bristol (150MW) – Eco 2 (Straw) E.ON Tilbury Green Power (65MW) – Express Energy Ref: XX00000 Eversheds conference June 2012 9
  • 23. What are the challenges? Primary ► Regulatory support (RHI, ROCs, FITs, ECAs, CFDs, grandfathering………) ► Contract bankability ► fuel, fuel, fuel!!!! ► PPA, PPA, PPA!!! ► Accessing financing Potentially ► Sustainability agenda ► Project returns ► Technology risk ► Construction risk ► Operating risk Ref: XX00000 Eversheds conference June 2012 10
  • 24. Section 3 The impact on financing of CfD Ref: 1009231
  • 25. The proposed FiT CfD The key to achieving these objectives will be to bring forward the level of investment needed in new low-carbon generation capacity and infrastructure at the required pace and through a combination of measures. Source: DECC ► Will investors be turned off by lack of power price ► Overlap of RO provides some continuity, but without exposure? absolute certainty on revenue ► Will 15 year tenor attract investors seeking long term, low ► Gross margin indexation linkeage RO and FiT CFD – risk returns? loss of natural hedge? ► Strike price mechanism? ► Competition against transport fuels (revenues linked to ► Guarantor between generator and supplier? oil price) Ref: XX00000
  • 26. Section 4 The funding backdrop Ref: XX00000
  • 27. Utility balance sheets remain constrained Credit ratings trajectory – top 12 Traditional corporate finance not up to the task integrated utilities ► In 2001, 10 of the top 13 utilities in Europe were rated AA+ to A+ ► In 2012, one (EDF) is in that range ► Downgrade to BBB category increases the cost of debt, and cost of doing business ► Management of their balance sheets and off-book liabilities has become a key feature of Utility finance (IFRS eg lease accounting) ► Utilities’ capacity to carry out renewable energy ambitions of Europe is constrained 2001 2012 BB+ BBB BBB+ A- A A+ AA- AA Ref: XX00000 Eversheds conference June 2012 14
  • 28. Financing considerations – market backdrop US, German and UK Government Greek, Spanish and Port uguese Government Bond Yields Bond Yields 4.5 40.0 4.0 35.0 3.5 30.0 3.0 ) ) 25.0 Yield (% Yield (% 2.5 20.0 2.0 1.5 15.0 1.0 10.0 0.5 5.0 0.0 0.0 Mar -10 Mar -11 Mar -10 Mar -11 Mar -12 Mar -12 Nov-10 Nov-11 Nov-10 Nov-11 May-10 May-11 May-12 May-11 May-10 May-12 Jan-10 Sep-10 Jan-11 Sep-11 Jan-12 Sep-10 Jan-11 Sep-11 Jan-12 Jan-10 Jul-10 Jul-11 Jul-10 Jul-11 US Ger many UK Gr eece Spain Por tugal Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg Key drivers Impacts ► Volatility in the financial ► Banks raising capital in a tough wholesale market or markets shrinking their balance sheets ► The ongoing Eurozone ► Project finance loans will attract steep capital weightings debt crisis ► Some banks may look to sell down their project finance ► Basel III portfolios to bolster ‘Tier 1’ capital ► Banks that are less well capitalised and/or lacking support from Government with ready access to the capital markets . have seen their cost of debt increase Ref: XX00000 Eversheds conference June 2012 15
  • 29. Project finance has become a less preferred choice ► Increasing trend towards: Global project f inance volume by f unding source 1. Club lending 350 2. Credit committee decision making driven by 300 relationships and geography 3. Mini-perm structures 250 Aggressive cash sweeps and restrictions on US$ bn 4. 200 payments to equity 150 5. Rise in margins (although offset by recent fall in the 100 long-term swap rate) ► Major deals continue to be done (see graphic) 50 Source: Infrastructure Journal ► Role of ECAs and Multilaterals key for overall funding 0 strategy and market approach 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 ► Deals are being closed for biomass (Sleaford, Helius Equity Bonds Loans IFI Suppor t Cord) and more are in the pipeline Ref: XX00000 Eversheds conference June 2012 16
  • 30. Biomass offers various business models for different classes of funders Institutional capital - >100MW / conversion Fund model <100MW ► Larger institutions/those with infrastructure experience ► The historic fund model of 20% carry and 2% can participate through in house teams (eg Ontario management charge is under pressure Pension Trust, Aviva) ► Smaller institutions/those without infrastructure ► Typically looking for investment tickets >£50m, and in experience may be more suited to providing debt or some cases alongside another institution participating through such funds ► Looking for long term stable yields to balance 25-30 year index linked liabilities ► Challenges ► Equity investment currently provides exposure to 1. Availability of leverage power price risk - a challenge for institutions seeking stable revenues 2. Availability of ‘shovel ready’ projects 3. Investment scalability and flexibility ► Challenges 1. Perception of renewables as an infrastructure Other forms of capital asset class ► Tax driven equity (EIS/VST) – sub 10MWs and RHI 2. Deal ticket size ► Project bonds - >50MW 3. Lack of residual asset value ► Non-utility corporates– all asset classes 4. Volatility in gross margin 5. Construction risk Ref: XX00000 Eversheds conference June 2012 17
  • 32. Summary Biomass investment opportunity ► C.£10bn of investment opportunity over the next few years ► Many recent blockers have been removed ► There are still significant risks that need to be worked through (fuel, offtake) Capital needs are huge ► Biomass competing against other large scale energy infrastructure funding requirements (nuclear, offshore, CCGT, grid) ► The UK generally needs to compete for limited funds New sources of capital are needed ► Utilities cannot do it all / banks cannot project finance it all ► Encouraging new sources of debt and equity is essential New capital requires new structures ► Innovative structures are needed to access capital ► CfDs could help achieve UK energy objectives if carefully structured but challenges remain Ref: 1126192 Eversheds conference June 2012 19
  • 33. Ernst & Young LLP Assurance | Tax | Transactions | Advisory www.ey.com/uk The UK firm Ernst & Young LLP is a limited liability partnership registered in England and Wales with registered number OC300001 and is a member firm of Ernst & Young Global Limited. Ernst & Young LLP, 1 More London Place, London SE1 2AF. © Ernst & Young LLP 2012. Published in the UK. All rights reserved. This document has been prepared by Ernst & Young. The information and opinions contained in this document are derived from public and private sources which we believe to be reliable and accurate but which, without further investigation, cannot be warranted as to their accuracy, completeness or correctness. This information is supplied on the condition that Ernst & Young, and any partner or employee of Ernst & Young, are not liable for any error or inaccuracy contained herein, whether negligently caused or otherwise, or for loss or damage suffered by any person due to such error, omission or inaccuracy as a result of such supply. In particular any numbers, initial valuations and schedules contained in this document are preliminary and are for discussion purposes only. Ref: 1126192
  • 34. Biomass Technology Paul Noble 2nd July 2012 1
  • 35. Context in today’s workshop • Biomass Technology – Paul Noble • Managing Project Risks – Darren Williams • Financial Modelling and funding structures of renewable projects – James Barrett-Miles
  • 36. Contents 1. Biomass in the UK Energy Mix 2. Technology Review 3. Biomass Co-firing and Conversion 4. What is happening now? 5. What of the future?
  • 37. UK Bioenergy Strategy, April 2012 “The potential scale of bioenergy deployment: although highly uncertain, our analysis indicates that sustainably-sourced bioenergy could contribute by 2020 around 8-11% to the UK’s total primary energy demand and around 12% by 2050 (within a wide range of 8%- 21%)” “Biomass in power generation currently accounts for less than 3% of the total electricity generation in the UK. Going forward our analysis indicates that biomass in power generation has an important transitional role which can contribute to the cost effective delivery of our renewable targets. The range of biomass in power generation to 2020, which are consistent with our principles, could be 20 to 40 TWh of delivered energy in 2020, accounting for 5% to 11% of total power generation” 4
  • 39. Contents 1. Biomass in the UK Energy Mix 2. Technology Review 3. Biomass Co-firing and Conversion 4. What is happening now?
  • 40. Technology Map Infrastructure: Electricity energy supply, services, land, generation logistics Coal Biomass CCGT Wind Energy from Waste Pyrolysis Waste Gasification Separation Chemicals processes Reverse cracking Petrochemical processes Anaerobic digestion Biocatalysts Fischer-Tropsch Transesterification Algae Ethanol Biotechnology fermentation Enzymes Biofuels
  • 41. OVERALL CONTROL SYSTEM * - “PLANT” OR “STATION LEVEL” * FGT ASH STEAM* STG* E* HV * BOILER GRID EQUIPMENT EQUIPMENT EQUIPMENT CONTROL CONTROL CONTROL FUEL CONVEYORS * STEAM * FUEL * FUEL FW * (NB - EFW-SINGLE STAGE) CON COOLING * STORE 1 STORE 2 (BIOMASS – 4/5 STAGE) (ACC) EQUIPMENT EQUIPMENT EQUIPMENT CONTROL CONTROL CONTROL DEMIN* WATER * FIRE (IF WET COOLING) FUEL DEMIN * EQUIPMENT PROTECTION* CONTROL EQUIPMENT FUEL DELIVERY CONTROL WATER RAW WATER – SUPPLY AND DISTRIBUTION (S & D) PIPING * COMPRESSED AIR - (S & D) * LV ELECTRICAL (S & D) * BUILDING SERVICES *
  • 42. Biomass Technology for Power Generation 1) Fuel Preparation and Processing: Separation, Drying, Pelletisation, Torrefaction 2) Combustion: Grate Combustion – open flame Fluidised Bed Combustion Groups Pulverised Fuel 3) Low Oxygen Processing Gasification or low oxygen processes including pyrolysis
  • 43. Project Development Process GATE 1 GATE 2 GATE 3 Design Basis Concept Basic Design Screening Concept Detailed development Front End Design Pre-Feasibility and finalisation Engineering Assessment Design (FEED) Construction Project Cost Estimate Definition Cost Estimate Cost Estimate -10% to +10% -20% to +50% -15 to +30% Engineering work to Early Stages of Final Contractor team Ranking of Options Design. performs much of the Select preferred finalise the project For EPCM, the 3rd party engineering at this stage option scope and engineer and the although for some items implementation tenderers, through supply the 3rd party engineer chain engagement, carry continues the out enough engineering to engineering to ‘issued for achieve +/- 10% capex construction’ stage
  • 44. Fuel Processing and Storage Fuel/Raw Material ‘Field of Origin’ Fuel/Raw Material Processing Density and moisture Storage variation 11
  • 45. Combustion Typical Atmospheric (Bubbling) Fluidised Bed Combustion Boiler (AFBC) Typical Stoker Fired (Grate) Combustion Boiler 12
  • 46. Combustion Fuel Compatibility Existing Coal Boilers - includes a range Stoker / Bubbling Fluidised Circulating Fuel of options such as Grate Bed Fluidised Bed co-milling and direct injection Straw Yes MSW Yes Wood Chip Yes Yes Waste Wood Yes Yes Yes Wood Pellets Yes Yes Milled Wood Yes Pellets 13
  • 47. Contents 1. Biomass in the UK Energy Mix 2. Technology Review 3. Biomass Co-firing and Conversion 4. What is happening now?
  • 48. Typical Biomass Conversion Scope NMI Conveyors and Boiler Day bin hoppers Pellet storage Road/Rail/Ship Milling receiving Pulverized fuel transport Controls including process controls Electrical, Civil, Structural, Mechanical, Fire Protection
  • 49. Comparison of Biomass New Build and Conversion New Build Biomass Biomass Conversion Adjust Boiler to burn new fuel. Consider new or modified burners. Combustion designed for required fuel Consider heat transfer surface Characteristics variability modifications Adjustments required following Emissions designed for required fuel assessment of fuel composition Treatment properties, and combustion characteristics Technology Guarantee straight forward Uncertain Contracting Approach EPC or multi-package EPC or multi-package
  • 50. Biomass Conversion Example Risks (1) Process Risks Mitigations Fire systems / Fire/explosion caused by build up of Lessons learnt captured. explosion dust Interface to be managed early on. prevention Fire Office/Independent Certifier Interface. Electrical Insufficient expansion of Load study. infrastructure infrastructure available on site. Road reception Incorrect design and specification Design & specification Rail reception Flow of pellets too slow or fast once Modify bunker to put extraction in. feeders replaced. Too much dust generated. Drainage failure & contamination. Storage / delivery Conveyor failure. Problems include Complete redundancy to be provided. Dual 100% conveyors power, control system, motors. systems. Storage Fire detection & storage design Design to meet code of practice. interface failure. Design in movement and turning of stock to reduce risk. Excessive CO2 levels, bacteria, fire Maintain relationship with silo providers as a fallback. risk. Reclaim conveyor Conveyor failure. Problems include Complete redundancy to be provided. Dual 100% power, control system, motors. systems.
  • 51. Biomass Conversion Example Risks (2) Process Risks Mitigations Milling towers Fire & explosion Dust Control Systems. Design in easy access for cleaning floors, walls and ceilings (removing flammable fuel build). Milling equipment Power consumption excessive. Use equipment tested elsewhere. Understand loads. Reliability (particularly hammers). Use high quality equipment – assess supply chain. Pneumatic conveyor & Fire & explosion Dust Control Systems. interconnections intermediate storage between equipment. Furnace Exit Gas Poor Boiler Performance Detailed assessment. Internal Boiler Temperature redesign Boiler air systems Poor Boiler Performance Over fire air technology Slagging Deposition Poor Boiler Performance Provision for Furnace Wall Blowers Behaviour Dust Control Systems Poor Boiler Performance Safety risks Emissions Control Out of compliance with permit to operate Detailed assessment of Boiler System
  • 52. What is the Current Situation? Development / Planning Construction Operating New Build 2,010MW 175MW 275MW Conversion (including cofiring) 6,350MW 300MW 1200MW 19
  • 53. What of the future? Energy Policy Power sector is characterised by large scale investments with long lead times and 10-15+ year payback requiring 10-15+ year regulatory clarity, stability and internal consistency CCS plus Biomass – potential for negative emissions Technological advancement in the supply chain 20